CCAFS is moving towards Phase 2, creating Impact Pathways for each Flagship and Regions, Theory of Change, and Monitoring and Evaluation. The first Working Group on Impact Pathways and Monitoring and Evaluation for Results-Based Management met for the first time to take on this challenge, in April 2014. This is one of the introductory presentations held during the meeting. Learn more about the Training: ow.ly/vit3Q

1. Phase 2 of CCAFS
Philip Thornton
Training of GIMPS, Madrid
1 April 2014

3. 3
Over-arching objectives
1. To identify and test pro-poor adaptation and
mitigation technologies, practices, and policies for
food systems, adaptive capacity and rural livelihoods
2. To provide diagnosis and analysis that will ensure
cost effective investments, the inclusion of
agriculture in climate change policies, and the
inclusion of climate issues in agricultural policies,
from the sub-national to the global level

4. CCAFS Theory of Change

5. Transition from old CCAFS to CCAFS Phase 2
• Via a “refresh phase, 2015-2016; Phase 2 proper starts 2017
• Refresh phase proposal being submitted to the CO today
• All CRPs are tasked with defining “Flagship Programmes” and a move
to Results-Based Management (resource allocation and evaluation)
• CCAFS plans to have a Phase 2 structure by 2015: four FPs rather than
4 Themes (which map fairly well)
• CCAFS involved in a trial of RBM for 2014 (along with 4 other CRPs) –
the regional pieces of FP4
• Necessitates a Theory of Change, Impact Pathways, and a process

6. FP 1: Climate-smart practices
1. Improved technologies and practices for
climate-smart agriculture
2. Methods, approaches and capacity for local
adaptation planning
3. Innovative mechanisms for scaling up and
out, including building local capacity to
innovate

7. FP 2: Climate Information Services and
Climate-Informed Safety Nets
1. Methods of improving near-term climate
forecasts
2. Methods of communicating climate
information and advisories
3. Climate-informed insurance products for
women and men farmers
4. Tools and options to manage the whole food
system

8. FP 3: Low-emissions agricultural
development
1. Measurement of small-scale farming
emissions
2. Tools and approaches to assess mitigation
options
3. Support to national low emissions
development plans and finance (e.g. NAMAs)
4. Improving innovation systems for mitigation
5. Information systems and analysis supporting
sustainable commodity initiatives

9. FP 4: Policies and institutions for
resilient food systems
1. Data, models and scenarios to understand
impacts of climate change
2. Decision support tools for targeting policy
development and making investment choices
3. Analysis of strengths and weaknesses of
current and emerging policy
4. Analysis and experimentation concerning
novel decision-making processes

10. FP 1: Climate-
smart practices
FP 2: Climate
information
services and
climate-informed
safety nets
FP 3: Low
emissions
development
FP 4: Policies and
institutions for a
resilient food
system
20 million farmers have transformed
their agricultural practices to be
climate-smart
Build the resilience of 10 million
farmers to climate-related risk
By 2025
25 countries will have enabling
agricultural, climate change and food
security policies, with a 50% increase in
investments
20% reduction of GHG emissions
while enhancing food security in at
least seven countries

11. Who / how to pull this together?
• FP4 tasked with piloting processes for this new way of doing
business
• Six selected projects from a competitive call for regional
activities now underway
• A shift from a logframe approach to an impact pathway
approach based on a Theory of Change (ToC): need to define
pathways from research and its outputs and results towards
outcomes, i.e. changes in behaviour
• GIMPS set up to expand the capacity to help with the process (in
FPs, regions, centres)

12. Proposed timeline for RBM, 2014
1-5 April: Training module 1: TOC/ impact pathways / M+E for GIMPS
30 April: FP4 global IP and M&E strategy finalised (building on GIMPS input)
May - Jul: Working group members facilitate the production of impact pathways with indicators
for M&E in FPs 1, 2 and 3, and WA, EA, SA and SEA
1 July: Second FP4 “lessons learned” note circulated
Aug - Sep: Review of impact pathways and indicators in terms of aggregation and progress
towards IDOs
20-24 October, DC: Module 2 training – operationalising M&E for CCAFS Phase 2 - for GIMPS
1 November: Third FP4 “lessons learned” note circulated
22 November: Draft reporting to the Consortium Office on the FP4 trial
30 November: FP4 baseline to monitor the global indicators completed (GIMPS)
Nov - Dec: Finalization of CCAFS Global flagship and regional impact pathways with M&E plans

13. Last comments
• This is radical change – definitely not business as usual
• Timing is very tight for other FP and regional IPs: best to avoid too
much retro-fitting
• We don’t entirely know what we’re doing: social learning writ large
• All CRPs and Centres will need to develop capacity in ToC, IPs, and
appropriate M&E
• CCAFS is involved in one set of processes for RBM and M&E: no
guarantee that the Consortium Office will adopt what we are
trialling
• Although we don’t entirely know what were doing, neither does
anyone else …