This survey of 1,003 registered Hawaii voters found that 64% planned to vote in the Democratic primary in August. Opinions of Governor Abercrombie were split with 42% positive and 46% negative, while opinions of David Ige were more uncertain with 31% positive and 13% negative. If voting in the Democratic primary for Governor, 37% of respondents supported Abercrombie and 37% supported Ige. 74% of respondents approved of President Obama's job performance.
Hawaii Primary Poll: Abercrombie, Ige in Dead Heat
1. 1
Statewide Registered Voter Sample = 1,003
Margin of Error = +/- 3.1%
29% Cell Phones, 71% Landlines
This upcoming August, Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa [candidate name order
randomized] will face each other in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, and Neil
Abercrombie and David Ige [candidate name order randomized] will run in the Democratic
primary for Governor. In Hawaii, you can only vote in one party’s primary—you must choose
between voting in the Democratic Primary, the Republican primary, or another party’s primary.
What are you most likely to do on primary day in August?
DemScreen
Democratic
GOP
Other/None
Unsure
64%
19%
7%
10%
Likely Democratic Primary Voter Sample = 643
Margin of Error = +/- 3.9%
--Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Governor Neil Abercrombie?
Abercrombie
Positive
Negative
Unsure
42%
46%
12%
--Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of State Senator David Ige?
Ige
Positive
Negative
Unsure
31%
13%
56%
2. 2
--If you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor between Neil Abercrombie and David Ige
[candidate name order randomized], what would you do?
Governor
Abercrombie
Ige
Unsure
37%
37%
26%
--How do you feel about Barack Obama’s job performance as President?
Obama
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
74%
22%
3%
Demographics (Likely Democratic Primary Voters)
Sex
Male
Female
47%
53%
Age
Under 50
Fifty and over
26%
74%
7. 7
Demographic Crosstabs
Abercrombie * Sex Crosstabulation
% within Sex
Abercrombie
Total
Positive
Negative
Unsure
Male
38%
51%
11%
100%
Sex
Female Refused
46%
42%
100%
11%
100%
100%
Abercrombie * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
Fifty
Under
and
50
over
Abercrombie
Positive
43%
43%
Negative
48%
46%
Unsure
9%
11%
Total
100% 100%
Abercrombie * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasi Japanes Filipin Hawaiia Chines Hispani Other/
an
e
o
n
e
c
Mixed
AbercrombiPositive
55%
31% 44%
45%
29%
40%
38%
e
Negativ
38%
53% 43%
45%
61%
60%
53%
e
Unsure
7%
16% 13%
10%
11%
0%
9%
Total
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
9. 9
Abercrombie * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
Military_Family
Yes
No
Refused
Abercrombie
Positive
41%
48%
24%
Negative
48%
43%
35%
Unsure
11%
9%
41%
Total
100% 100%
100%
Abercrombie * Union_Family Crosstabulation
% within Union_Family
Union_Family
Yes
No
Refused
Abercrombie
Positive
33%
51%
29%
Negative
58%
38%
62%
Unsure
10%
11%
10%
Total
100% 100%
100%
Abercrombie * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Abercrombie
Total
Positive
Negative
Unsure
Income
Under $50,000 - $100,000
$50,000 $99,999 or more Refused
44%
45%
46%
36%
39%
49%
50%
45%
17%
6%
5%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
10. 10
Ige * Sex Crosstabulation
% within Sex
Ige
Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Male
31%
14%
55%
100%
Sex
Female Refused
31%
50%
13%
50%
56%
100%
100%
Ige * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Ige
Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Age
Under Fifty and
50
over
30%
33%
18%
12%
52%
56%
100% 100%
Ige * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasia Japanes
Hawaiia Chines Hispani
n
e
Filipino
n
e
c
Ige Positive
21%
52% 28%
20%
29%
50%
Negativ
15%
5% 26%
18%
4%
e
Unsure
64%
44% 45%
61%
68%
50%
Total
100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Other/
Mixed
22%
22%
55%
100%
Ige * County_CD Crosstabulation
% within County_CD
County_CD
Ige
Total
Positive
Negative
Unsure
Oahu_CD1 Oahu_CD2 Hawaii Maui
Kauai
41%
34%
17%
13%
11%
12%
14%
15%
18%
9%
48%
52%
68%
68%
80%
100%
100% 100% 100% 100%
11. 11
Ige * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Ige
Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure
28%
35%
42%
21%
16%
12%
14%
9%
56%
53%
43%
70%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Ige * Party Crosstabulation
% within Party
Party
Ige
Democrat Republican Independent Unsure
32%
34%
29%
15%
13%
12%
19%
8%
55%
54%
52%
77%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Ige * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
Education
Ige
Total
Positive
Negative
Unsure
No
HS
College
Grad
degree graduate Graduate Some/Assoc/Voc Degree Refused
33%
23%
33%
28%
34%
54%
11%
16%
9%
18%
67%
66%
51%
63%
47%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100% 100%
100%
Ige * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
Military_Family
Yes
No
Refused
Ige
Positive
31%
31%
31%
Negative
16%
10%
6%
Unsure
53%
59%
63%
Total
100% 100%
100%
12. 12
Ige * Union_Family Crosstabulation
% within Union_Family
Union_Family
Yes
No
Refused
Ige
Positive
33%
29%
43%
Negative
15%
13%
10%
Unsure
52%
58%
48%
Total
100% 100%
100%
Ige * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Ige
Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Income
Under $50,000 - $100,000
$50,000 $99,999 or more Refused
21%
30%
40%
37%
12%
13%
21%
8%
67%
57%
39%
55%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Governor * Sex Crosstabulation
% within Sex
Governor
Total
Abercrombie
Ige
Unsure
Male
35%
38%
27%
100%
Sex
Female Refused
39%
37%
50%
24%
50%
100%
100%
Governor * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
Under Fifty and
50
over
Governor
Abercrombie
38%
38%
Ige
31%
40%
Unsure
31%
22%
Total
100% 100%
13. 13
Governor * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasi Japanes Filipin Hawaiia Chines Hispani Other/
an
e
o
n
e
c
Mixed
Governor
GovernorAbercrom
49%
24% 38%
41% 26% 40%
40%
bie
Ige
29%
51% 21%
35% 48% 60%
35%
Unsure
23%
26% 40%
24% 26%
0%
25%
Total
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100%
Governor * County_CD Crosstabulation
% within County_CD
County_CD
Governor
Total
Abercrombie
Ige
Unsure
Oahu_CD1 Oahu_CD2 Hawaii Maui
Kauai
33%
40%
31%
58%
24%
45%
34%
34%
23%
24%
22%
27%
34%
18%
53%
100%
100% 100% 100% 100%
14. 14
Governor * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Governor
Abercrombie
Ige
Unsure
Total
Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure
53%
32%
25%
21%
19%
47%
63%
36%
29%
21%
12%
43%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Governor * Party Crosstabulation
% within Party
Party
Governor
Abercrombie
Ige
Unsure
Total
Democrat Republican Independent Unsure
42%
21%
25%
42%
32%
64%
46%
33%
26%
14%
29%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Governor * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
Education
No
HS
College Some/Assoc/
Grad
degree graduate Graduate
Voc
Degree Refused
Governor Abercrombie
40%
34%
39%
33%
42%
43%
Ige
20%
38%
38%
41%
34%
14%
Unsure
40%
28%
23%
27%
24%
43%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100% 100% 100%
Governor * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
Military_Family
Yes
No
Refused
Governor
Abercrombie
37%
41%
24%
Ige
40%
32%
29%
Unsure
24%
28%
47%
Total
100% 100%
100%
15. 15
Governor * Union_Family Crosstabulation
% within Union_Family
Union_Family
Yes
No
Refused
Governor
Abercrombie
30%
44%
14%
Ige
42%
32%
57%
Unsure
28%
24%
29%
Total
100% 100%
100%
Governor * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Governor
Total
Abercrombie
Ige
Unsure
Income
Under $50,000 - $100,000
$50,000 $99,999 or more Refused
40%
41%
40%
25%
29%
38%
42%
40%
30%
21%
18%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%