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Analytics and AI based Retention
in e-commerce
Jay Magdani
We help Optimize Customer Experiences at Scale
Customer Lifecycle Management and Engagement Platform
Cloud Based
Digital Marketer
AARRR
10B+
App and Web
Analytics
Engagement
26M/min
CleverTap?
Analyst
Retention: How e-commerce plays the game
ATTRACT
CONVERTRETAIN
MarketerGrowth
Product
Day in a life of an e-commerce business
Strategic
Landscape
Retention: What the industry thinks
App performance?
How do I improve revenue?
How do I get stickiness?
Who is my User?
How do I reduce Churn?
What should I build next?
Tactical
Landscape
Who should I reach out to?
Why are my users exhibiting
said behavior?
Where should I target my Users?
What should be my message?
When is the best time to
reach my users
Martech Landscape
Day in a life of a marketer
Analytics Landscape
Make smarter decisions
Retention: What e-commerce demands from technology
How does my App perform?
How do I meet my KPIs?
Who?
Why?
When?
Where?What?
Descriptive Analytics
Prescriptive Analytics
Predictive Analytics
Diagnostic Analytics
C
L
E
V
E
R
T
A
P
Retention: What e-commerce demands from technology
SEGMENTATION
ANALYTICS ENGAGEMENT EXPERIENCES
Behavioral | Interest | Demographic | Geographic | RFM | Intent
Funnels | Cohorts | Flows Push | Email | WhatsApp Experiments | Triggers
But before that… Collect data
Profile
• Information about the user
• Geo, Demo, type, devices
Event
• Actions performed by user
• App Launch, Charged
Who I am?
End User
Profile
Event
Engage
Analytics
What I do?
Brand
AUTOMATED
USER SEGMENTATION
CHAMPION USER
OPTIMIZATION
• Analyze what the champion users do
• Track and compare behavior with other users
• Replicate the champion user behavior
1
2
How AI plays a role…
SEGMENTATION
ANALYTICS ENGAGEMENT EXPERIENCES
CONTENT
RECOMMENDATION
• What message should I send?
• Performance of campaigns based on message
• Track, measure and learn from ROI
3
OPTIMIZE NATIVE UI
EXPERIENCES
• Blue button vs Red button
• Run experiments
• Easily publish multiple app versions
4
History with Segmentation
Manual
Segmentation Tool
Automated
Segmentation
AUTOMATED
USER SEGMENTATION
1
Assisted Segmentation
Via RFM
Manual Segmentation Problems
AUTOMATED
USER SEGMENTATION
1
Intuition Based
Best users?
Users who did
 App Launch
and then…
 Searched
and then…
 Added to Cart
and then…
 Charged
Within 1 day
RFM Problems
AUTOMATED
USER SEGMENTATION
1
Single Event Analysis
Ignores Time Aspect
Low Predictive Power
Reactive
Split all users who made a Purchase into good and bad segments
Why Intent Based Segmentation
AUTOMATED
USER SEGMENTATION
Proactive
1
Users who will uninstall
in the next 30 days
Users
Most Likely
Moderately Likely
Least Likely
Productizing Predictive Segments
AUTOMATED
USER SEGMENTATION
1
Largest ticket booking app in LATAM
● Before
○ High uninstall rates
○ Reactive approach
○ Low conversions
Large food app in Asia
● Before
○ High marketing spend
Impact on Customers
AUTOMATED
USER SEGMENTATION
1
IBS Impact
Conversions
25%
Uninstalls
18%
Spend
21%
● After
● After
○ Optimized budget by selective, smart and
intent based engagement strategy
AUTOMATED
USER SEGMENTATION
• Real-time User Segmentation
• Customer Insights powered by ML
• Predictive modeling for better ROI
CHAMPION USER
OPTIMIZATION
1
2
SEGMENTATION
ANALYTICS ENGAGEMENT EXPERIENCES
CONTENT
RECOMMENDATION
• What message should I send?
• Performance of campaigns based on message
• Track, measure and learn from ROI
3
OPTIMIZE NATIVE UI
EXPERIENCES
• Blue button vs Red button
• Run experiments
• Easily publish multiple app versions
4
Compare Conversion Funnels
CHAMPION USER
OPTIMIZATION
2
App Launched
Product Viewed
Added to Cart
Charged
App Launched
Product Viewed
Added to Cart
Charged
1M 100K
500K
100K
25K
25K
10K
1K
Champion Users New Users
CLTV
CHAMPION USER
OPTIMIZATION
2
Customer Acquisition CostTotal Revenue generated Duration before churn
E-commerce Golden Ratio -> 3:1
AUTOMATED
USER SEGMENTATION
• Real-time User Segmentation
• Customer Insights powered by ML
• Predictive modeling for better ROI
CHAMPION USER
OPTIMIZATION
1
SEGMENTATION
ANALYTICS ENGAGEMENT EXPERIENCES
CONTENT
RECOMMENDATION
OPTIMIZE NATIVE UI
EXPERIENCES
• Blue button vs Red button
• Run experiments
• Easily publish multiple app versions
4
3
2
• Analyze what the champion users do
• Track and compare behavior with other users
• Replicate the champion user behavior
● Poor user experience
● High churn rates
● Lost business opportunity
● Low LTV/CLV
CONTENT
RECOMMENDATION
3
● Category Based
● Same recommendations
provided multiple times.
REPEAT
RECOMMENDATIONS
● Using basic analytics like best
items, etc.
● Best guess intuition
MANUAL DISCOVERY
Issues with Manual Content Creation
CONTENT
RECOMMENDATION
3 Why Content
Recommendation Engine
Right Content
Vestibulum
congue
Vestibulum
congue
Vestibulum
congue
Vestibulum
congue
Relevance
SerendipityDiversity
Right User
CONTENT
RECOMMENDATION
3 How recommendation engine works
Upload
Catalog
Run
Recommendation
Model
Engage
Luke:
Views electronics goods
John:
Searches sports goods
Product
Name
Category Price
iPhone 11 Electronics $ 700
Tennis shoes Sports $ 400
● Using Recommendations in Campaigns and Journeys
● Comparing performance of recommendations w.r.t Control Group
● CTR and Conversion performance Boost generated
CONTENT
RECOMMENDATION
3 Impact on Customers
40%
ARPU
AUTOMATED
USER SEGMENTATION
• Real-time User Segmentation
• Customer Insights powered by ML
• Predictive modeling for better ROI
CHAMPION USER
OPTIMIZATION
1
SEGMENTATION
ANALYTICS ENGAGEMENT EXPERIENCES
CONTENT
RECOMMENDATION
OPTIMIZE NATIVE UI
EXPERIENCES
2
• Analyze what the champion users do
• Track and compare behavior with other users
• Replicate the champion user behavior
4
3
• What message should I send?
• Performance of campaigns based on message
• Track, measure and learn from ROI
OPTIMIZE NATIVE UI
EXPERIENCES
4 What is it?
OPTIMIZE NATIVE UI
EXPERIENCES
4 What is it?
Purchase Now!!!
Offer available
30% off
Last day today
Buy
30% discount
OPTIMIZE NATIVE UI
EXPERIENCES
4 Why is it important?
money time
experience optimization
Prescriptive
Recommenders
Predictive
IBS
Diagnostic
Segment
Comparison,
Anomaly Detection
and Reasons, etc.
Descriptive
Events, Trends,
RFM, Flows, etc.
Data Science
Pillars
Summary: Driving Retention backed by Analytics and DS
Thank You!
jay.magdani@clevertap.com

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Analytics and AI based Retention in e-commerce

  • 1. Analytics and AI based Retention in e-commerce Jay Magdani
  • 2. We help Optimize Customer Experiences at Scale Customer Lifecycle Management and Engagement Platform Cloud Based Digital Marketer AARRR 10B+ App and Web Analytics Engagement 26M/min CleverTap?
  • 3. Analyst Retention: How e-commerce plays the game ATTRACT CONVERTRETAIN MarketerGrowth Product
  • 4. Day in a life of an e-commerce business Strategic Landscape Retention: What the industry thinks App performance? How do I improve revenue? How do I get stickiness? Who is my User? How do I reduce Churn? What should I build next? Tactical Landscape Who should I reach out to? Why are my users exhibiting said behavior? Where should I target my Users? What should be my message? When is the best time to reach my users
  • 5. Martech Landscape Day in a life of a marketer Analytics Landscape Make smarter decisions Retention: What e-commerce demands from technology How does my App perform? How do I meet my KPIs? Who? Why? When? Where?What? Descriptive Analytics Prescriptive Analytics Predictive Analytics Diagnostic Analytics C L E V E R T A P
  • 6. Retention: What e-commerce demands from technology SEGMENTATION ANALYTICS ENGAGEMENT EXPERIENCES Behavioral | Interest | Demographic | Geographic | RFM | Intent Funnels | Cohorts | Flows Push | Email | WhatsApp Experiments | Triggers
  • 7. But before that… Collect data Profile • Information about the user • Geo, Demo, type, devices Event • Actions performed by user • App Launch, Charged Who I am? End User Profile Event Engage Analytics What I do? Brand
  • 8. AUTOMATED USER SEGMENTATION CHAMPION USER OPTIMIZATION • Analyze what the champion users do • Track and compare behavior with other users • Replicate the champion user behavior 1 2 How AI plays a role… SEGMENTATION ANALYTICS ENGAGEMENT EXPERIENCES CONTENT RECOMMENDATION • What message should I send? • Performance of campaigns based on message • Track, measure and learn from ROI 3 OPTIMIZE NATIVE UI EXPERIENCES • Blue button vs Red button • Run experiments • Easily publish multiple app versions 4
  • 9. History with Segmentation Manual Segmentation Tool Automated Segmentation AUTOMATED USER SEGMENTATION 1 Assisted Segmentation Via RFM
  • 10. Manual Segmentation Problems AUTOMATED USER SEGMENTATION 1 Intuition Based Best users? Users who did  App Launch and then…  Searched and then…  Added to Cart and then…  Charged Within 1 day
  • 11. RFM Problems AUTOMATED USER SEGMENTATION 1 Single Event Analysis Ignores Time Aspect Low Predictive Power Reactive Split all users who made a Purchase into good and bad segments
  • 12. Why Intent Based Segmentation AUTOMATED USER SEGMENTATION Proactive 1 Users who will uninstall in the next 30 days Users Most Likely Moderately Likely Least Likely
  • 14. Largest ticket booking app in LATAM ● Before ○ High uninstall rates ○ Reactive approach ○ Low conversions Large food app in Asia ● Before ○ High marketing spend Impact on Customers AUTOMATED USER SEGMENTATION 1 IBS Impact Conversions 25% Uninstalls 18% Spend 21% ● After ● After ○ Optimized budget by selective, smart and intent based engagement strategy
  • 15. AUTOMATED USER SEGMENTATION • Real-time User Segmentation • Customer Insights powered by ML • Predictive modeling for better ROI CHAMPION USER OPTIMIZATION 1 2 SEGMENTATION ANALYTICS ENGAGEMENT EXPERIENCES CONTENT RECOMMENDATION • What message should I send? • Performance of campaigns based on message • Track, measure and learn from ROI 3 OPTIMIZE NATIVE UI EXPERIENCES • Blue button vs Red button • Run experiments • Easily publish multiple app versions 4
  • 16. Compare Conversion Funnels CHAMPION USER OPTIMIZATION 2 App Launched Product Viewed Added to Cart Charged App Launched Product Viewed Added to Cart Charged 1M 100K 500K 100K 25K 25K 10K 1K Champion Users New Users
  • 17. CLTV CHAMPION USER OPTIMIZATION 2 Customer Acquisition CostTotal Revenue generated Duration before churn E-commerce Golden Ratio -> 3:1
  • 18. AUTOMATED USER SEGMENTATION • Real-time User Segmentation • Customer Insights powered by ML • Predictive modeling for better ROI CHAMPION USER OPTIMIZATION 1 SEGMENTATION ANALYTICS ENGAGEMENT EXPERIENCES CONTENT RECOMMENDATION OPTIMIZE NATIVE UI EXPERIENCES • Blue button vs Red button • Run experiments • Easily publish multiple app versions 4 3 2 • Analyze what the champion users do • Track and compare behavior with other users • Replicate the champion user behavior
  • 19. ● Poor user experience ● High churn rates ● Lost business opportunity ● Low LTV/CLV CONTENT RECOMMENDATION 3 ● Category Based ● Same recommendations provided multiple times. REPEAT RECOMMENDATIONS ● Using basic analytics like best items, etc. ● Best guess intuition MANUAL DISCOVERY Issues with Manual Content Creation
  • 20. CONTENT RECOMMENDATION 3 Why Content Recommendation Engine Right Content Vestibulum congue Vestibulum congue Vestibulum congue Vestibulum congue Relevance SerendipityDiversity Right User
  • 21. CONTENT RECOMMENDATION 3 How recommendation engine works Upload Catalog Run Recommendation Model Engage Luke: Views electronics goods John: Searches sports goods Product Name Category Price iPhone 11 Electronics $ 700 Tennis shoes Sports $ 400
  • 22. ● Using Recommendations in Campaigns and Journeys ● Comparing performance of recommendations w.r.t Control Group ● CTR and Conversion performance Boost generated CONTENT RECOMMENDATION 3 Impact on Customers 40% ARPU
  • 23. AUTOMATED USER SEGMENTATION • Real-time User Segmentation • Customer Insights powered by ML • Predictive modeling for better ROI CHAMPION USER OPTIMIZATION 1 SEGMENTATION ANALYTICS ENGAGEMENT EXPERIENCES CONTENT RECOMMENDATION OPTIMIZE NATIVE UI EXPERIENCES 2 • Analyze what the champion users do • Track and compare behavior with other users • Replicate the champion user behavior 4 3 • What message should I send? • Performance of campaigns based on message • Track, measure and learn from ROI
  • 25. OPTIMIZE NATIVE UI EXPERIENCES 4 What is it? Purchase Now!!! Offer available 30% off Last day today Buy 30% discount
  • 26. OPTIMIZE NATIVE UI EXPERIENCES 4 Why is it important? money time experience optimization
  • 27. Prescriptive Recommenders Predictive IBS Diagnostic Segment Comparison, Anomaly Detection and Reasons, etc. Descriptive Events, Trends, RFM, Flows, etc. Data Science Pillars Summary: Driving Retention backed by Analytics and DS