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David C. Wyld (Eds) : ICCSEA, SPPR, CSIA, WimoA - 2013
pp. 329–338, 2013. © CS & IT-CSCP 2013 DOI : 10.5121/csit.2013.3534
NEURAL NETWORK BASED
IDENTIFICATION OF MULTIMACHINE
POWER SYSTEM
Sheela Tiwari1
, Ram Naresh2
, Rameshwar Jha3
1
Department of Instrumentation and Control Engineering, Dr. B R Ambedkar
National Institute of Technology, Jalandhar, Punjab, India
2
Department of Electrical Engineering, National Institute of Technology,
Hamirpur, Himachal Pradesh, India
3
IET Bhaddal Technical Campus, Ropar, Punjab, India
ABSTRACT
This paper demonstrates an effective application of artificial neural networks for online
identification of a multimachine power system. The paper presents a recurrent neural network
as the identifier of the benchmark two area, four machine system. This neural identifier is
trained using the static Backpropagation algorithm. The trained neural identifier is then tested
using datasets generated by simulating the system under consideration at different operating
points and a different loading condition. The test results clearly establish a satisfactory
performance of the trained neural identifier in identification of the power system considered.
KEYWORDS
System Identification, Neural Networks, Backpropagation (BP)
1. INTRODUCTION
With electric power consumption set to increase many fold worldwide, there is an imminent need
of augmenting the power carrying capacity of the existing power grid. Continuous monitoring
and intelligent control of the grid activities is becoming important to improve the reliability, secu-
rity and efficiency of the electric power system. However, with increasing complexities in the
modern power grid, it is becoming difficult and time consuming to generate acceptable approx-
imate mathematical models of the system and the uncertainties involved therein, required by the
conventional controllers. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been known to have the capa-
bility to learn the complex approximate relationships between the inputs and the outputs of the
system and are not restricted by the size and complexity of the system [1]. Since these approx-
imate relationships are learnt on the basis actual inputs and outputs, they are generally more accu-
rate as compared to the relationships based on assumptions. This makes ANNs a promising and
attractive tool for modern power system applications. ANNs have been proposed for detection of
power system harmonics [2-4], fault section estimation [5-6], fault diagnostics of power plant [7]
and in protection strategies [8-9]. Applications of ANNs in reactive power transfer allocation [10]
and ATC estimation [11] have been reported. Stability issues like damping of oscillations [12-
14], prediction of loadability margins [15] and voltage contingency screening [16] have been
successfully addressed by ANN based solutions. ANNs have the potential of application for real-
time control as reported [17]. In today’s time, accurate system identification is of great impor-
330 Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT)
tance in power system operation and control. The capability of the ANNs to approximate non
linear functions sufficiently accurately makes them a suitable choice for use in identification of
non linear systems. Multilayer feedforward artificial neural networks using Backpropagation al-
gorithm for training have been proposed for successful online model identification of synchron-
ous generator [18] and a UPFC equipped single machine infinite bus system [19]. A neural net-
work based estimation unit has been proposed to estimate in real time, the parameters for an inter-
facing scheme for grid-connected inverters and simultaneously estimating the grid voltage [20].
The authors have employed neural network for system identification for predictive control of a
multimachine power system operating under widely varying operating conditions and subjected
to transient conditions [21].
The work undertaken proposes to use a recurrent neural network for online identification of a
multimachine power system. This work aims to investigate the performance of such a neural net-
work in online identification of a multimachine power system. The testing performances of the
trained neural identifier are also investigated to establish the accuracy of the trained identifier.
2. SYSTEM DESCRIPTION
The system under consideration for the undertaken work is a two area system with active power
flowing from Area 1 to Area 2 [22]. In spite of the small size of the system, its behavior mimics
the behavior of a large power system in actual operation. Each area comprises of two 900 MVA
machines and the two areas are connected by a 220 kV double circuit line of length 220 km. The
load voltage profile is improved by installing additional 187 MVAr capacitors in each area. The
system under study is equipped with PSS and has a UPFC installed between bus 11 and bus 12
with bus 11 common to the shunt and series converters and the other side of the series converter
connected to bus 12 as shown in Figure 1.
The effective utilization of the UPFC in the system requires implementation of various control
schemes, many of which require the system to be identified. In this work, the active power at bus
12, 12P corresponding to a specific value of the quadrature component, qV of the series voltage
injected by the UPFC is to be predicted under various operating conditions. This next step value
of 12P is predicted using the values of qV and 12
P at some preceding instants.
Fig.1. 2-Area system equipped with UPFC
Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT) 331
3. DESIGN OF THE NEURAL IDENTIFIER
Recurrent neural networks have the capability to predict the future values based on the values at
the preceding instants. The nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous (independent) in-
puts i.e. NARX, is a recurrent dynamic network defined by
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )( )uy ntutuntytyfty −−−−= ,,1,,,1 KK (1)
Where ( )ky and ( )ku are the outputs and inputs at the kth instant and yn , un are the number of
time steps for which the current output is regressed on the output and input respectively. A dia-
gram showing the implementation of the NARX model using a feedforward neural network to
approximate the function f in (1) is given in Figure 2.
Fig.2. Implementation of NARX model
A neural identifier that predicts the next step value of 12P on the basis of the values of qV and 12
P at
four preceding instants is proposed. As the objective clearly requires that the output of the neural
network should depend on the current input as well as on current and/or previous inputs and out-
puts, the NARX model is used. A two layer neural network with sigmoidal hidden layer neurons
and linear output layer neurons can identify any system with any degree of accuracy, subject to
the availability of sufficient number of hidden neurons [23]. Therefore, the NARX model is im-
plemented using the two layer feedforward neural network. Since the true value of the output
12
P for the preceding instants are available, the series parallel architecture is used. As the values
of q
V and 12
P at four preceding instants are to be used, the total number of inputs to the neural
network is eight as shown in Figure 3. The number of sigmoidal neurons in the hidden layer has
been fixed at thirteen using trial and error approach and the output layer has one linear neuron.
Fig.3. Architecture of the proposed neural identifier
332 Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT)
The system under consideration is modeled and simulated using MATLAB / SIMULINK to gen-
erate data for training and testing the proposed neural identifier. The operation of the system is
simulated by applying qV restricted within the range +0.1 pu and -0.1 pu (restricting the quadra-
ture component of the series injected voltage to 10% of the nominal line-to-ground voltage) and
sampling the input, q
V and output, 12
P at the rate of 32 samples per second. The neural network
is presented with the following inputs
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) T
qqqq tVtVtVtV ]321[ −−−=qV (2)
And
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) T
tPtPtPtP ]4321[ 12121212
−−−−=12
P (3)
for predicting ( )tP12
. For linear input neurons, the output of the input neurons is same as the input
given by
T
][ 12q
0
18
PVa =×
(4)
The output of the hidden layer (layer 1), consisting of 13 sigmoidal neurons is given by
( )1
113
0
18
1
813
1
113
baWa ××××
+= sigtan (5)
where, 1
813×W is the weight matrix between input and hidden layers and 1
113×b is the bias to the hid-
den layer neurons. Similarly, the output of the output layer (layer 2), comprising of one linear
neuron is given by
( )21
113
2
13112
ˆ bpurelinP += ×× aW (6)
where, 2
131×W is the weight matrix between hidden and output and layers and
2
b is the bias to the
output layer neurons.
4. TRAINING OF THE NEURAL IDENTIFIER
Identification requires setting up a suitably parameterized identification model and adjustment of
these parameters of the model to optimize a performance function based on the error between the
outputs from the plant and the identification model [24]. It is assumed that the weight matrices of
the neural network proposed as the identifier exists, for which, both plant and the identifier have
the same output for any specified inputs, for the same initial conditions [24].
The system under consideration is simulated for different operating conditions ranging over a
wide range of steady state active power flow level between the two areas to generate data for
training. The training data set consists of 1288 data points spread over a wide range of operation.
This training dataset is employed in training the proposed neural identifier offline through simula-
tion to make it learn the forward dynamics of the plant. During training the weights and biases of
the network are iteratively adjusted to minimize the network performance function. The perfor-
mance function used for the neural identifier under consideration is the mean square error, mse,
given by
( ) ( )
2
1
2
1
1212
1ˆ1
∑=∑ −=
==
N
q
q
N
q
e
N
PP
N
V qq
(7)
Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT) 333
where, N is the size of training dataset, 12P and 12
ˆP are the target and predicted value of the output
of the neural network when the th
q input is presented and qe is the error (difference between the
target and predicted value) for the th
q input. The performance index V in (7) is a function of
weights and biases, ][ 21 nxxx K=x and can be given by
( ) ( )∑=
=
N
q
q xe
N
xV
1
21
(8)
The performance of the neural network can be improved by modifying x till the desired level of
the performance index, ( )xV is achieved. This is achieved by minimizing ( )xV with respect to x
and the gradient required for this is given by
( ) ( ) ( )xexJV T
x =∇ (9)
where, ( )xJ is the Jacobian matrix given by
( )
( ) ( )
( ) ( )














∂
∂
∂
∂
∂
∂
∂
∂
=
n
NN
n
x
xe
x
xe
x
xe
x
xe
xJ
L
MOM
L
1
1
1
1
(10)
and ( )xe is the error for all the inputs.
The gradient in (9) is determined using backpropagation, which involves performing computa-
tions backward through the network. This gradient is then used by different algorithms to update
the weights of the network. These algorithms differ in the way they use the gradient to update the
weights of the network and are known as the variants of the Backpropagation algorithm. This
work compares the performance of the basic implementation of the Backpropagation algorithm
i.e. Gradient descent algorithm with the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm. A brief overview of the
different algorithms considered in this work is given under:
4.1 Gradient Descent Algorithm
The network weights and biases, x is modified in a direction that reduces the performance func-
tion in (8) most rapidly i.e. the negative of the gradient of the performance function [25]. The
updated weights and biases in this algorithm are given by
kkkk
Vxx ∇−=+
α1
(11)
Where, k
x is the vector of the current weights and biases, k
V∇ is the current gradient of the per-
formance function and k
α is the learning rate.
4.2 Levenberg-Marquardt Algorithm
Since the performance index in (8) is sum of squares of non linear function, the numerical opti-
mization techniques for non linear least squares can be used to minimize this cost function. The
Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm (LM), which is an approximation to the Newton’s method is said
to be more efficient in comparison to other methods for convergence of the Backpropagation al-
gorithm for training a moderate-sized feedforward neural network [26]. As the cost function is a
334 Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT)
sum of squares of non linear function, the Hessian matrix required for updating the weights and
biases need not be calculated and can be approximated as
( ) ( )xJxJH T
= (12)
The updated weights and biases are given by
( ) ( ) ( ) ( )xexJIxJxJxx TT
kk
1
1 ][ −
+ +−= µ (13)
where, µ is a scalar and I is the identity matrix.
This work compares the performance of the basic implementation of the Backpropagation algo-
rithm i.e. Gradient descent algorithm with the LM algorithm.
5. SIMULATION RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS
5.1 Training
The neural network proposed in section 3 was trained using the training set and the training algo-
rithms described in section 4. A Pentium (R) Dual-Core CPU T4400 @2.20 GHz was used to
train the proposed neural identifier. The proposed neural identifier was trained 50 times each with
the two training algorithms, with random initial weights taken for each trial to rule out the weight
sensitivity of the performance of the two training algorithms. The network was trained in each
case till the value of the performance index in (8) was 0.0001 or less. The training trials estab-
lished the inability of the Gradient Descent algorithm to converge for the required value of the
performance index but the LM algorithm converges successfully during each of the 50 trials. The
average time (from the 50 trials) required for training the network using the Levenberg-
Marquardt algorithm using the entire training set consisting of 1288 data points is 5.8675
seconds. The minimum and maximum time required for training is 2.9393 and 9.4187 seconds
respectively.
5.2 Testing
The trained neural network was tested on the same CPU. The test datasets consisted of data points
not included in the training set. The system under consideration was simulated at two such oper-
ating points for which no data point was included in the training set. The operation of the multi-
machine power system under consideration at these two operating points was simulated using
MATLAB/SIMULINK for a period of 13 seconds each. This period also included a 3-phase short
circuit fault at point A at t=10 s for a duration of 200 ms with the circuit breakers auto reclosing
after 12 cycles. The load on the system was then increased and the operation of the system under
the new load condition was then simulated for a period of 45 seconds with the same fault at t=30
s with auto reclosing circuit breakers. The data during these three simulations was sampled at the
rate of 32 samples per second to form three test sets: Test Set I and Test Set II, corresponding to
the two operating points at the initial loading condition and Test Set III, at the higher load operat-
ing point. As the Gradient Descent algorithm failed to converge for the desired value of the per-
formance index, the neural network that was trained using the LM algorithm was tested using
these three test sets.
Test Set I. Test Set I consists of 417 data points. The first four data points are used to predict the
output at the next instant. Therefore, the number of predicted outputs for this test set is 413. A
Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT) 335
three-phase short circuit fault is simulated at t=10 s which corresponds to the sample point num-
ber 321 in the test set. The actual output for the system after autoreclosure of the circuit breaker is
available in the sample point number 329 of the test set. The actual values of the output power
and the values predicted for the same using the neural identifier during a part of the steady state
and transient period are shown in Figure 4 and 5 respectively. The effect of the 3-phase short cir-
cuit fault on the system is captured in the sample point 322 of the actual output power as shown
in Figure 5. However, the circuit breakers operate and an improved system performance is re-
flected in subsequent samples. As the neural network has been trained to use the information at
four preceding instants to predict the next step output, the effect of decrease in the actual output
in sample 322 is reflected immediately in the values predicted by the neural identifier in sample
323. Figure 5 clearly shows that the values predicted by the neural identifier follow the actual
values closely in the transient period. The effect of autoreclosure of the circuit breakers on the
power level is visible in sample number 329 of the actual output power. The increased value of
the actual output power in sample 329 due to the autoreclosure of the circuit breakers is reflected
in the value predicted by the neural identifier in the subsequent instant. The average absolute er-
ror in the predicted values is determined as a measure to establish the predictive quality of the
neural identifier. The value of the average absolute error over the entire set is 0.0103.
Fig.4. Actual and predicted values of output power during steady state for test set I
Fig.5. Actual and predicted values of output power during transient period for test set I
Test Set II. Test Set II also consists of 417 data points and 413 predicted outputs. This test set is
generated by simulating the system at an operating point corresponding to a different tie line
power level and subjected to the same fault as in Test Set I. Figures 6 and 7 show the actual and
336 Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT)
predicted output values for a section of steady state and transient period of the system respective-
ly, at the operating point under consideration. It is clear from these figures that the actual power
output values and the values predicted using the neural identifier in steady state and transient pe-
riod are in close proximity even at this operating point. The average absolute error over this test
set is 0.0078.
301 303 305 307 309 311 313 315 317318318
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
x 10
8
Sample
ActivePower,P12
(W)
Target
Predicted (LM)
Fig.6. Actual and predicted values of output power during steady state for test set II
320 322 324 326 328 330 332 334 336336
−2
−1
0
1
2
3
4
x 10
8
Sample
ActivePower,P12
(W)
Target
Predicted (LM)
Fig.7. Actual and predicted values of output power during transient period for test set II
Test Set III. Test Set III consists of 1441 data points. The actual and predicted output values for
a section of steady state and transient period of the system are shown in figures 8 and 9 respec-
tively. These figures demonstrate the same trend as in Test Set I and II. The value of average ab-
solute error for this test set is 0.0367.
Fig.8. Actual and predicted values of output power during steady state for test set III
Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT) 337
Fig.9. Actual and predicted values of output power during transient period for test set III
6. CONCLUSION
A neural network has been proposed to predict the next step value of the output power on the
basis of the values of the control input and output power at preceding time instants. The proposed
neural network is trained using the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm. The trained neural identifier
is tested over a range of operating conditions and the test results establish a satisfactory perfor-
mance of the trained neural identifier over the entire range of testing conditions. The availability
of fast computing machines in current times and the accurate predictions reported in this work
clearly establish the scope for online application of neural networks for identification of multima-
chine power systems.
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Neural network identifies multi-machine power system

  • 1. David C. Wyld (Eds) : ICCSEA, SPPR, CSIA, WimoA - 2013 pp. 329–338, 2013. © CS & IT-CSCP 2013 DOI : 10.5121/csit.2013.3534 NEURAL NETWORK BASED IDENTIFICATION OF MULTIMACHINE POWER SYSTEM Sheela Tiwari1 , Ram Naresh2 , Rameshwar Jha3 1 Department of Instrumentation and Control Engineering, Dr. B R Ambedkar National Institute of Technology, Jalandhar, Punjab, India 2 Department of Electrical Engineering, National Institute of Technology, Hamirpur, Himachal Pradesh, India 3 IET Bhaddal Technical Campus, Ropar, Punjab, India ABSTRACT This paper demonstrates an effective application of artificial neural networks for online identification of a multimachine power system. The paper presents a recurrent neural network as the identifier of the benchmark two area, four machine system. This neural identifier is trained using the static Backpropagation algorithm. The trained neural identifier is then tested using datasets generated by simulating the system under consideration at different operating points and a different loading condition. The test results clearly establish a satisfactory performance of the trained neural identifier in identification of the power system considered. KEYWORDS System Identification, Neural Networks, Backpropagation (BP) 1. INTRODUCTION With electric power consumption set to increase many fold worldwide, there is an imminent need of augmenting the power carrying capacity of the existing power grid. Continuous monitoring and intelligent control of the grid activities is becoming important to improve the reliability, secu- rity and efficiency of the electric power system. However, with increasing complexities in the modern power grid, it is becoming difficult and time consuming to generate acceptable approx- imate mathematical models of the system and the uncertainties involved therein, required by the conventional controllers. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been known to have the capa- bility to learn the complex approximate relationships between the inputs and the outputs of the system and are not restricted by the size and complexity of the system [1]. Since these approx- imate relationships are learnt on the basis actual inputs and outputs, they are generally more accu- rate as compared to the relationships based on assumptions. This makes ANNs a promising and attractive tool for modern power system applications. ANNs have been proposed for detection of power system harmonics [2-4], fault section estimation [5-6], fault diagnostics of power plant [7] and in protection strategies [8-9]. Applications of ANNs in reactive power transfer allocation [10] and ATC estimation [11] have been reported. Stability issues like damping of oscillations [12- 14], prediction of loadability margins [15] and voltage contingency screening [16] have been successfully addressed by ANN based solutions. ANNs have the potential of application for real- time control as reported [17]. In today’s time, accurate system identification is of great impor-
  • 2. 330 Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT) tance in power system operation and control. The capability of the ANNs to approximate non linear functions sufficiently accurately makes them a suitable choice for use in identification of non linear systems. Multilayer feedforward artificial neural networks using Backpropagation al- gorithm for training have been proposed for successful online model identification of synchron- ous generator [18] and a UPFC equipped single machine infinite bus system [19]. A neural net- work based estimation unit has been proposed to estimate in real time, the parameters for an inter- facing scheme for grid-connected inverters and simultaneously estimating the grid voltage [20]. The authors have employed neural network for system identification for predictive control of a multimachine power system operating under widely varying operating conditions and subjected to transient conditions [21]. The work undertaken proposes to use a recurrent neural network for online identification of a multimachine power system. This work aims to investigate the performance of such a neural net- work in online identification of a multimachine power system. The testing performances of the trained neural identifier are also investigated to establish the accuracy of the trained identifier. 2. SYSTEM DESCRIPTION The system under consideration for the undertaken work is a two area system with active power flowing from Area 1 to Area 2 [22]. In spite of the small size of the system, its behavior mimics the behavior of a large power system in actual operation. Each area comprises of two 900 MVA machines and the two areas are connected by a 220 kV double circuit line of length 220 km. The load voltage profile is improved by installing additional 187 MVAr capacitors in each area. The system under study is equipped with PSS and has a UPFC installed between bus 11 and bus 12 with bus 11 common to the shunt and series converters and the other side of the series converter connected to bus 12 as shown in Figure 1. The effective utilization of the UPFC in the system requires implementation of various control schemes, many of which require the system to be identified. In this work, the active power at bus 12, 12P corresponding to a specific value of the quadrature component, qV of the series voltage injected by the UPFC is to be predicted under various operating conditions. This next step value of 12P is predicted using the values of qV and 12 P at some preceding instants. Fig.1. 2-Area system equipped with UPFC
  • 3. Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT) 331 3. DESIGN OF THE NEURAL IDENTIFIER Recurrent neural networks have the capability to predict the future values based on the values at the preceding instants. The nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous (independent) in- puts i.e. NARX, is a recurrent dynamic network defined by ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )( )uy ntutuntytyfty −−−−= ,,1,,,1 KK (1) Where ( )ky and ( )ku are the outputs and inputs at the kth instant and yn , un are the number of time steps for which the current output is regressed on the output and input respectively. A dia- gram showing the implementation of the NARX model using a feedforward neural network to approximate the function f in (1) is given in Figure 2. Fig.2. Implementation of NARX model A neural identifier that predicts the next step value of 12P on the basis of the values of qV and 12 P at four preceding instants is proposed. As the objective clearly requires that the output of the neural network should depend on the current input as well as on current and/or previous inputs and out- puts, the NARX model is used. A two layer neural network with sigmoidal hidden layer neurons and linear output layer neurons can identify any system with any degree of accuracy, subject to the availability of sufficient number of hidden neurons [23]. Therefore, the NARX model is im- plemented using the two layer feedforward neural network. Since the true value of the output 12 P for the preceding instants are available, the series parallel architecture is used. As the values of q V and 12 P at four preceding instants are to be used, the total number of inputs to the neural network is eight as shown in Figure 3. The number of sigmoidal neurons in the hidden layer has been fixed at thirteen using trial and error approach and the output layer has one linear neuron. Fig.3. Architecture of the proposed neural identifier
  • 4. 332 Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT) The system under consideration is modeled and simulated using MATLAB / SIMULINK to gen- erate data for training and testing the proposed neural identifier. The operation of the system is simulated by applying qV restricted within the range +0.1 pu and -0.1 pu (restricting the quadra- ture component of the series injected voltage to 10% of the nominal line-to-ground voltage) and sampling the input, q V and output, 12 P at the rate of 32 samples per second. The neural network is presented with the following inputs ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) T qqqq tVtVtVtV ]321[ −−−=qV (2) And ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) T tPtPtPtP ]4321[ 12121212 −−−−=12 P (3) for predicting ( )tP12 . For linear input neurons, the output of the input neurons is same as the input given by T ][ 12q 0 18 PVa =× (4) The output of the hidden layer (layer 1), consisting of 13 sigmoidal neurons is given by ( )1 113 0 18 1 813 1 113 baWa ×××× += sigtan (5) where, 1 813×W is the weight matrix between input and hidden layers and 1 113×b is the bias to the hid- den layer neurons. Similarly, the output of the output layer (layer 2), comprising of one linear neuron is given by ( )21 113 2 13112 ˆ bpurelinP += ×× aW (6) where, 2 131×W is the weight matrix between hidden and output and layers and 2 b is the bias to the output layer neurons. 4. TRAINING OF THE NEURAL IDENTIFIER Identification requires setting up a suitably parameterized identification model and adjustment of these parameters of the model to optimize a performance function based on the error between the outputs from the plant and the identification model [24]. It is assumed that the weight matrices of the neural network proposed as the identifier exists, for which, both plant and the identifier have the same output for any specified inputs, for the same initial conditions [24]. The system under consideration is simulated for different operating conditions ranging over a wide range of steady state active power flow level between the two areas to generate data for training. The training data set consists of 1288 data points spread over a wide range of operation. This training dataset is employed in training the proposed neural identifier offline through simula- tion to make it learn the forward dynamics of the plant. During training the weights and biases of the network are iteratively adjusted to minimize the network performance function. The perfor- mance function used for the neural identifier under consideration is the mean square error, mse, given by ( ) ( ) 2 1 2 1 1212 1ˆ1 ∑=∑ −= == N q q N q e N PP N V qq (7)
  • 5. Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT) 333 where, N is the size of training dataset, 12P and 12 ˆP are the target and predicted value of the output of the neural network when the th q input is presented and qe is the error (difference between the target and predicted value) for the th q input. The performance index V in (7) is a function of weights and biases, ][ 21 nxxx K=x and can be given by ( ) ( )∑= = N q q xe N xV 1 21 (8) The performance of the neural network can be improved by modifying x till the desired level of the performance index, ( )xV is achieved. This is achieved by minimizing ( )xV with respect to x and the gradient required for this is given by ( ) ( ) ( )xexJV T x =∇ (9) where, ( )xJ is the Jacobian matrix given by ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )               ∂ ∂ ∂ ∂ ∂ ∂ ∂ ∂ = n NN n x xe x xe x xe x xe xJ L MOM L 1 1 1 1 (10) and ( )xe is the error for all the inputs. The gradient in (9) is determined using backpropagation, which involves performing computa- tions backward through the network. This gradient is then used by different algorithms to update the weights of the network. These algorithms differ in the way they use the gradient to update the weights of the network and are known as the variants of the Backpropagation algorithm. This work compares the performance of the basic implementation of the Backpropagation algorithm i.e. Gradient descent algorithm with the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm. A brief overview of the different algorithms considered in this work is given under: 4.1 Gradient Descent Algorithm The network weights and biases, x is modified in a direction that reduces the performance func- tion in (8) most rapidly i.e. the negative of the gradient of the performance function [25]. The updated weights and biases in this algorithm are given by kkkk Vxx ∇−=+ α1 (11) Where, k x is the vector of the current weights and biases, k V∇ is the current gradient of the per- formance function and k α is the learning rate. 4.2 Levenberg-Marquardt Algorithm Since the performance index in (8) is sum of squares of non linear function, the numerical opti- mization techniques for non linear least squares can be used to minimize this cost function. The Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm (LM), which is an approximation to the Newton’s method is said to be more efficient in comparison to other methods for convergence of the Backpropagation al- gorithm for training a moderate-sized feedforward neural network [26]. As the cost function is a
  • 6. 334 Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT) sum of squares of non linear function, the Hessian matrix required for updating the weights and biases need not be calculated and can be approximated as ( ) ( )xJxJH T = (12) The updated weights and biases are given by ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )xexJIxJxJxx TT kk 1 1 ][ − + +−= µ (13) where, µ is a scalar and I is the identity matrix. This work compares the performance of the basic implementation of the Backpropagation algo- rithm i.e. Gradient descent algorithm with the LM algorithm. 5. SIMULATION RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS 5.1 Training The neural network proposed in section 3 was trained using the training set and the training algo- rithms described in section 4. A Pentium (R) Dual-Core CPU T4400 @2.20 GHz was used to train the proposed neural identifier. The proposed neural identifier was trained 50 times each with the two training algorithms, with random initial weights taken for each trial to rule out the weight sensitivity of the performance of the two training algorithms. The network was trained in each case till the value of the performance index in (8) was 0.0001 or less. The training trials estab- lished the inability of the Gradient Descent algorithm to converge for the required value of the performance index but the LM algorithm converges successfully during each of the 50 trials. The average time (from the 50 trials) required for training the network using the Levenberg- Marquardt algorithm using the entire training set consisting of 1288 data points is 5.8675 seconds. The minimum and maximum time required for training is 2.9393 and 9.4187 seconds respectively. 5.2 Testing The trained neural network was tested on the same CPU. The test datasets consisted of data points not included in the training set. The system under consideration was simulated at two such oper- ating points for which no data point was included in the training set. The operation of the multi- machine power system under consideration at these two operating points was simulated using MATLAB/SIMULINK for a period of 13 seconds each. This period also included a 3-phase short circuit fault at point A at t=10 s for a duration of 200 ms with the circuit breakers auto reclosing after 12 cycles. The load on the system was then increased and the operation of the system under the new load condition was then simulated for a period of 45 seconds with the same fault at t=30 s with auto reclosing circuit breakers. The data during these three simulations was sampled at the rate of 32 samples per second to form three test sets: Test Set I and Test Set II, corresponding to the two operating points at the initial loading condition and Test Set III, at the higher load operat- ing point. As the Gradient Descent algorithm failed to converge for the desired value of the per- formance index, the neural network that was trained using the LM algorithm was tested using these three test sets. Test Set I. Test Set I consists of 417 data points. The first four data points are used to predict the output at the next instant. Therefore, the number of predicted outputs for this test set is 413. A
  • 7. Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT) 335 three-phase short circuit fault is simulated at t=10 s which corresponds to the sample point num- ber 321 in the test set. The actual output for the system after autoreclosure of the circuit breaker is available in the sample point number 329 of the test set. The actual values of the output power and the values predicted for the same using the neural identifier during a part of the steady state and transient period are shown in Figure 4 and 5 respectively. The effect of the 3-phase short cir- cuit fault on the system is captured in the sample point 322 of the actual output power as shown in Figure 5. However, the circuit breakers operate and an improved system performance is re- flected in subsequent samples. As the neural network has been trained to use the information at four preceding instants to predict the next step output, the effect of decrease in the actual output in sample 322 is reflected immediately in the values predicted by the neural identifier in sample 323. Figure 5 clearly shows that the values predicted by the neural identifier follow the actual values closely in the transient period. The effect of autoreclosure of the circuit breakers on the power level is visible in sample number 329 of the actual output power. The increased value of the actual output power in sample 329 due to the autoreclosure of the circuit breakers is reflected in the value predicted by the neural identifier in the subsequent instant. The average absolute er- ror in the predicted values is determined as a measure to establish the predictive quality of the neural identifier. The value of the average absolute error over the entire set is 0.0103. Fig.4. Actual and predicted values of output power during steady state for test set I Fig.5. Actual and predicted values of output power during transient period for test set I Test Set II. Test Set II also consists of 417 data points and 413 predicted outputs. This test set is generated by simulating the system at an operating point corresponding to a different tie line power level and subjected to the same fault as in Test Set I. Figures 6 and 7 show the actual and
  • 8. 336 Computer Science & Information Technology (CS & IT) predicted output values for a section of steady state and transient period of the system respective- ly, at the operating point under consideration. It is clear from these figures that the actual power output values and the values predicted using the neural identifier in steady state and transient pe- riod are in close proximity even at this operating point. The average absolute error over this test set is 0.0078. 301 303 305 307 309 311 313 315 317318318 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 2.2 x 10 8 Sample ActivePower,P12 (W) Target Predicted (LM) Fig.6. Actual and predicted values of output power during steady state for test set II 320 322 324 326 328 330 332 334 336336 −2 −1 0 1 2 3 4 x 10 8 Sample ActivePower,P12 (W) Target Predicted (LM) Fig.7. Actual and predicted values of output power during transient period for test set II Test Set III. Test Set III consists of 1441 data points. The actual and predicted output values for a section of steady state and transient period of the system are shown in figures 8 and 9 respec- tively. These figures demonstrate the same trend as in Test Set I and II. The value of average ab- solute error for this test set is 0.0367. Fig.8. Actual and predicted values of output power during steady state for test set III
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