These slides were originally presented at Tech Open Air Berlin 2013.
The presentation is intended to help founders understand their marketplace.
www.kinderfee.de
4. @daan_kinderfee
Liquidity disected – the exponential curve
Liquidity
Businessvolume
Frustrating
waste land
First handful of
transactions
Things start to
happen
BOOM!
5. @daan_kinderfee
Magic formula for estimating your market liquidity
N = total number of
potential needs
A = number of
different demand
offers
B = number of
different supply offers
(A * B)/
N2
9. @daan_kinderfee
Magic formula for estimating your market liquidity
N = total number of
potential needs
A = number of
different demand
offers
B = number of
different supply offers
(A * B)/
N2
11. @daan_kinderfee
Where on the marketplace value chain are you?
Online
Classifieds
Auction / Reverse
Auction Marketplaces
Community
Marketplaces
Prevalent from 1990+ Prevalent from 2000+ Prevalent from 2010+
Much higher CLTV
Particularly good for
marketplaces that require
a large element of trust
Slightly higher CLTV
More trust & services
than online classifieds
Low CLTV
Monetisation either
through Ads or
Subscription
Known counterparty
Handling of payment
Transactional knowledge
Additional services
Transaction made on
platform
Enables user ratings
Searchable list of
available offers
Low trust & low
convenience
12. @daan_kinderfee
BCG – product life cycle matrix
Online
Classifieds
Auction / Reverse
Auction Marketplaces
Market share %
Growth%
Community
Marketplaces
Cash cows
Low investment requirements
High margins / cash flows
Slowing growth (imminent)
In early growth phase
Rising stars & questions
marks
Showing huge growth
13. @daan_kinderfee
Number of sides on your marketplace?
Hard to get liquid Impossible to get liquid
One-sided
marketplace
1.7-sided
marketplace
2-sided
marketplace
3-sided
marketplace
Easier to build Easier to defend
14. @daan_kinderfee
What type of geographical liquidity is required?
Hard to get liquid Impossible to get liquid
Location
independent
LocalPostal Global
Easier to build Easier to defend
15. @daan_kinderfee
What factor does time play?
Hard to get liquid Impossible to get liquid
Time
independent
12-24 hoursDays Real time
Easier to build Easier to defend
Typically
mobile first
26. @daan_kinderfee
Typical transaction
USD 80 per night
4 nights = USD 320
15% fee = USD 48
Guest
Will do 1-3 trips per year
Host
Can host up to 365 days per year
Please note: this example is my estimate. The
data is entirely made up.
If this says
USD 2 you are in
trouble