GEOVISUALIZING SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN TENNIS

Damien Demaj
Damien DemajWeb Map Designer en Esri
GEOVISUALIZING
SPATIO-TEMPORAL
PATTERNS IN TENNIS:
An Alternative Approach to
Post-match Analysis
@damiendemaj : Geospatial Product Engineer
THE PROBLEM
A typical summary of tennis fails to
answer important questions about a
match.
WHERE?
WHEN?
MAPS?
Geospatial and visual analysis.
A real opportunity in tennis.
Within sport but outside of
tennis, some spatio-temporal
research has been completed.
In tennis however,
spatio-temporal analytics is a
relatively new area of study.
THE SERVE
The most important shot in tennis?
Unpredictable differences in
serve location makes your
opponents life a lot more
difficult.
“
”
The results of tennis matches are
often determined by a small
number of important points.
“
”
QUESTION
Which player served with more
spatio-temporal variation at
important points?
WHO?
Roger Federer v Andy Murray
© Getty Images	
   © Getty Images	
  
WHERE?
Olympic Gold
Medal Match,
London, UK
Sunday Aug 5, 2012
DATA
1706 attributed spatial points
Source: 3D GIS & streaming video
GEOVISUALIZING SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN TENNIS
METHOD
Plot x,y serve bounces in GIS
78 pts for Federer
86 pts for Murray
PART 1 of 4
Identify the visual structure of
each serve pattern using K. Means
algorithm tool in ArcGIS.
K. MEANS Algorithm
Looks for natural
clusters in the
data.
K. MEANS Algorithm
Allows user to define similarity of
serves by attribute (direction of
serve) and number of groups.
Federer = 11
Murray = 10
W
B
T
T
B
W
RESULT 1 of 4
Expected clusters in data.
Classify data:Wide – Body – T
PART 2 of 4
Arrange the data into a temporal
sequence to see who served
with more spatial variation.
Temporal sequence =
service box, point #, shot #, game #, set #
Q: How do we measure spatial
variation between serve
locations?
Create
EUCLIDEAN LINES
p1 (x1,y1) and p2 (x2,y2), p2 (x2,y2) and p3 (x3,y3), p3 (x3,y3)
and p4 (x4,y4) etc
in each service court location
LARGE MEAN
EUCLIDEAN distance
= more spatial serve variation
Small mean
Euclidean distance
= less spatial serve variation
RESULT 2 of 4
Federer served with greater
spatial variation than Murray
PART 3 of 4
Tag the most ‘important’ serves
Most important points in tennis:
30-40 and 40-Ad
Source: Morris 1977, [21]	
  
SELECT
Important points only
Recalculate euclidean distance
RESULT 3 of 4
Murray served with more spatial
variation at the most important
points than Federer.
PART 4 of 4
Overlay successful serves onto
important points to determine
visual relationship.
RESULT 4 of 4
Murray had more success on his
serve at important points than
Federer.
METHOD SUMMARY
1.Visual analytics
2. Introduced K Means Algorithm
3. Euclidean distances
4. Feature overlay
WRAP UP
GIS provided an effective
means to geovisualize
spatio-temporal sports data.
Reveal potential new patterns
within sport.
NEXT STEP…
Real-time authoritative data
More data variables
Integrate sports professionals
OTHER TECH
OPPORTUNITIES…
GOOGLE GLASS in sport
GEOVISUALIZING SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN TENNIS
GEOVISUALIZING SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN TENNIS
GEOVISUALIZING SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN TENNIS
REFERENCES[1] M.J. Smith et el,“Geospatial Analysis, a comprehensive guide to principles, techniques and software tools”, Matador, 2007.
[2] A. Mitchell,“The Esri guide to GIS Analysis”, Esri Press, 1999.
[3] J. Bertin,“Semiology of Graphics: Diagrams, Networks, Maps”, Esri Press, 2nd Edition, 2010.
[4] Franc J.G.M. Klaassen and Jan R. Magnus,“Forecasting the winner of a tennis match”, European Journal of Operational Research, no. 148, pp.
257-267, Sept. 2003.
[5] J.K Vis et el,“Tennis Patterns: Player, Match and Beyond”, In 22nd Benelux Conference on Artificial Intelligence (BNAIC 2010), Luxembourg,
25-26 October 2010.
[6] T. Barnett and S.R. Clarke,“Combining player statistics to predict outcomes of tennis matches”, IMA Journal of Management and Mathematics,
vol. 16, pp. 113-120, 2005.
[7] F. Radicchi,“Who is the best player ever? A complex network analysis of the history of professional tennis”, PLoS ONE 6(2): e17249. doi:
10.1371/journal.pone.0017249.
[8] T. Barnett and S.R. Clarke,“Using Microsoft Excel to model a tennis match”, In Proceedings 6th Australian Conference on Mathematics and
Computers in Sport, Bond University, pp. 63-68, 2002.
[9] B. Schroeder,“A methodology for pattern discovery in tennis rallys using the adaptive framework ANIMA”, In Second International Workshop
on Knowledge Discovery from Data Streams (IWKDDS), 2005.
[10] A.Terroba et el,“Tactical analysis modeling through data mining, Pattern discovery in racket sports”, In International Conference on
Knowledge Discovery and Information Retreival (KDIR 2010), 2010.
[11] A. Moore et el,“Sport and Time Geography: a good match?”, Presented at the 15th Annual Colloquium of the Spatial Information Research
Centre (SIRC 2003: Land, Place and Space), 2003.
[12] A. Gatrell and P. Gould,“A micro-geography of team games: graphical explorations of structural relations”, Area, 11, 275-278.
[13] K. Goldsberry,“CourtVision: New Visual and Spatial Analytics for the NBA”, In Proceedings MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, 2012.
[14] United States Tennis Association,“Tennis tactics, winning patterns of play”, Human Kinetics, 1st Edition, 1996.
[15] G. E. Parker,“Percentage Play in Tennis”, In Mathematics and Sports Theme Articles, http://www.mathaware.org/mam/2010/essays/
[16] Hawk-Eye Innovations, http://www.hawkeyeinnovations.co.uk/
[17] J Ren,“Tracking the soccer ball using multiple fixed cameras”, Computer Vision and Image Understanding, vol. 113, pp. 633-642, 2009.
[18] J.R.Wang and N. Parameswaran,“Survey of Sports Video Analysis: Research Issues and Applications”, In Proceedings of the Pan-Sydney area
workshop on Visualization, pp.87-90, 2005.
[19] J. A. Hartigan and M. A.Wong,“Algorithm AS 136: A K-Means Clustering Algorithm”, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C (Applied
Statistics), vol. 28, No. 1, pp. 100-108, 1979.
[20] ArcGIS Resources Help 10.1, http://resources.arcgis.com/en/help/main/10.1/index.html – /Grouping_Analysis/005p00000051000000/
[21] C. Morris,“The most important points in tennis”, In Optimal Strategies in Sports, vol 5 in Studies and Management Science and Systems, ,
North-Holland Publishing, Amsterdam, pp. 131-140, 1977.
[22] C.D. Lloyd,“Spatial data analysis, an introduction to for GIS users”, Oxford University Press, 1st edition, NewYork, 2010
[23] M. Lames,“Modeling the interaction in games sports – relative phase and moving correlations”, Journal of Sports Science and Medicine, vol
5, pp. 556-560, 2006
QUESTIONS?
@damiendemaj
gamesetmap.com
esri.com
1 de 39

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GEOVISUALIZING SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN TENNIS

  • 1. GEOVISUALIZING SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN TENNIS: An Alternative Approach to Post-match Analysis @damiendemaj : Geospatial Product Engineer
  • 2. THE PROBLEM A typical summary of tennis fails to answer important questions about a match.
  • 4. Geospatial and visual analysis. A real opportunity in tennis.
  • 5. Within sport but outside of tennis, some spatio-temporal research has been completed.
  • 6. In tennis however, spatio-temporal analytics is a relatively new area of study.
  • 7. THE SERVE The most important shot in tennis?
  • 8. Unpredictable differences in serve location makes your opponents life a lot more difficult. “ ”
  • 9. The results of tennis matches are often determined by a small number of important points. “ ”
  • 10. QUESTION Which player served with more spatio-temporal variation at important points?
  • 11. WHO? Roger Federer v Andy Murray © Getty Images   © Getty Images  
  • 13. DATA 1706 attributed spatial points Source: 3D GIS & streaming video
  • 15. METHOD Plot x,y serve bounces in GIS 78 pts for Federer 86 pts for Murray
  • 16. PART 1 of 4 Identify the visual structure of each serve pattern using K. Means algorithm tool in ArcGIS.
  • 17. K. MEANS Algorithm Looks for natural clusters in the data.
  • 18. K. MEANS Algorithm Allows user to define similarity of serves by attribute (direction of serve) and number of groups. Federer = 11 Murray = 10
  • 19. W B T T B W RESULT 1 of 4 Expected clusters in data. Classify data:Wide – Body – T
  • 20. PART 2 of 4 Arrange the data into a temporal sequence to see who served with more spatial variation. Temporal sequence = service box, point #, shot #, game #, set #
  • 21. Q: How do we measure spatial variation between serve locations?
  • 22. Create EUCLIDEAN LINES p1 (x1,y1) and p2 (x2,y2), p2 (x2,y2) and p3 (x3,y3), p3 (x3,y3) and p4 (x4,y4) etc in each service court location
  • 23. LARGE MEAN EUCLIDEAN distance = more spatial serve variation Small mean Euclidean distance = less spatial serve variation
  • 24. RESULT 2 of 4 Federer served with greater spatial variation than Murray
  • 25. PART 3 of 4 Tag the most ‘important’ serves Most important points in tennis: 30-40 and 40-Ad Source: Morris 1977, [21]  
  • 27. RESULT 3 of 4 Murray served with more spatial variation at the most important points than Federer.
  • 28. PART 4 of 4 Overlay successful serves onto important points to determine visual relationship.
  • 29. RESULT 4 of 4 Murray had more success on his serve at important points than Federer.
  • 30. METHOD SUMMARY 1.Visual analytics 2. Introduced K Means Algorithm 3. Euclidean distances 4. Feature overlay
  • 31. WRAP UP GIS provided an effective means to geovisualize spatio-temporal sports data. Reveal potential new patterns within sport.
  • 32. NEXT STEP… Real-time authoritative data More data variables Integrate sports professionals
  • 38. REFERENCES[1] M.J. Smith et el,“Geospatial Analysis, a comprehensive guide to principles, techniques and software tools”, Matador, 2007. [2] A. Mitchell,“The Esri guide to GIS Analysis”, Esri Press, 1999. [3] J. Bertin,“Semiology of Graphics: Diagrams, Networks, Maps”, Esri Press, 2nd Edition, 2010. [4] Franc J.G.M. Klaassen and Jan R. Magnus,“Forecasting the winner of a tennis match”, European Journal of Operational Research, no. 148, pp. 257-267, Sept. 2003. [5] J.K Vis et el,“Tennis Patterns: Player, Match and Beyond”, In 22nd Benelux Conference on Artificial Intelligence (BNAIC 2010), Luxembourg, 25-26 October 2010. [6] T. Barnett and S.R. Clarke,“Combining player statistics to predict outcomes of tennis matches”, IMA Journal of Management and Mathematics, vol. 16, pp. 113-120, 2005. [7] F. Radicchi,“Who is the best player ever? A complex network analysis of the history of professional tennis”, PLoS ONE 6(2): e17249. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0017249. [8] T. Barnett and S.R. Clarke,“Using Microsoft Excel to model a tennis match”, In Proceedings 6th Australian Conference on Mathematics and Computers in Sport, Bond University, pp. 63-68, 2002. [9] B. Schroeder,“A methodology for pattern discovery in tennis rallys using the adaptive framework ANIMA”, In Second International Workshop on Knowledge Discovery from Data Streams (IWKDDS), 2005. [10] A.Terroba et el,“Tactical analysis modeling through data mining, Pattern discovery in racket sports”, In International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Information Retreival (KDIR 2010), 2010. [11] A. Moore et el,“Sport and Time Geography: a good match?”, Presented at the 15th Annual Colloquium of the Spatial Information Research Centre (SIRC 2003: Land, Place and Space), 2003. [12] A. Gatrell and P. Gould,“A micro-geography of team games: graphical explorations of structural relations”, Area, 11, 275-278. [13] K. Goldsberry,“CourtVision: New Visual and Spatial Analytics for the NBA”, In Proceedings MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, 2012. [14] United States Tennis Association,“Tennis tactics, winning patterns of play”, Human Kinetics, 1st Edition, 1996. [15] G. E. Parker,“Percentage Play in Tennis”, In Mathematics and Sports Theme Articles, http://www.mathaware.org/mam/2010/essays/ [16] Hawk-Eye Innovations, http://www.hawkeyeinnovations.co.uk/ [17] J Ren,“Tracking the soccer ball using multiple fixed cameras”, Computer Vision and Image Understanding, vol. 113, pp. 633-642, 2009. [18] J.R.Wang and N. Parameswaran,“Survey of Sports Video Analysis: Research Issues and Applications”, In Proceedings of the Pan-Sydney area workshop on Visualization, pp.87-90, 2005. [19] J. A. Hartigan and M. A.Wong,“Algorithm AS 136: A K-Means Clustering Algorithm”, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C (Applied Statistics), vol. 28, No. 1, pp. 100-108, 1979. [20] ArcGIS Resources Help 10.1, http://resources.arcgis.com/en/help/main/10.1/index.html – /Grouping_Analysis/005p00000051000000/ [21] C. Morris,“The most important points in tennis”, In Optimal Strategies in Sports, vol 5 in Studies and Management Science and Systems, , North-Holland Publishing, Amsterdam, pp. 131-140, 1977. [22] C.D. Lloyd,“Spatial data analysis, an introduction to for GIS users”, Oxford University Press, 1st edition, NewYork, 2010 [23] M. Lames,“Modeling the interaction in games sports – relative phase and moving correlations”, Journal of Sports Science and Medicine, vol 5, pp. 556-560, 2006

Notas del editor

  1. Winning big points is critical to a players success
  2. Grouping Analysis tool in ArcGIS
  3. Federer’s spatial serve cluster in the ad court on the left side of the net was the most spread of all his clusters. However, he served out wide with great accuracy into the deuce court on the left side of the net by hugging the line 9 times out 10 (Figure 5). Murray’s clusters appeared to be grouped overall more tightly in each of the service boxes. He showed a clear bias by serving down the T in the deuce court on the right side of the net. Visually there appeared to be no other significant differences between each player’s patterns of serve. 
  4. Morris (1977) defines the importance of a point for winning a game (IPG) as the probability that the server wins the game given he wins the next point minus the probability that the server wins the game given he loses the next point. Assumes the server has a 0.62 probability of winning a point on serve.
  5. Overlay Euclidean lines between important points, then add average distances between each player (on click).
  6. Overlay Euclidean lines between important points, then add average distances between each player (on click).
  7. Sergey Brin, co-founder Google