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KEYNOTE
Alex Sofronas
LEAD MEDIA MANAGER
DIRECTV
Supercharge your Direct
Marketing Stack with
Data Science
CHICAGO, IL ~ MAY 3 - 4, 2023
DIGIMARCONMIDWEST.COM | #DigiMarConMidwest
Alex Sofronas
Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host
Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast
3
World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER
Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER |
Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host
Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast
World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER
Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER |
⩥ Overview of Direct Marketing
⩥ Ensemble Methods
⩥ Data Management
⩥ Using Models in Direct Marketing
⩥ Innovations in Direct Marketing
4
Every piece of mail sent
influences an individual
toward a purchase.
• SMS
• Email
• Direct Mail
• Alternative Media
⩥ Can operate in any funnel stage depending on business need. Alter targeting and
creative for most impact.
⩥ Targeting based on behavior is more impactful to the prospect
⊳ 3P Purchase data, Organic 1P data (web visitors, callers), 1P Predicted Lifetime
Value, 3P Life Stage & other predicted attribute data.
⩥ Powerful combination of individual-level targeting and variable gift card distribution
6
Story: Reward Card Modeling
⩥ In the context of time-series forecasting, ensemble methods are applied to increase
predictive accuracy by averaging multiple models.
⩥ Hypothesis of each model must be disjointed for increased predictability.
⩥ Simple averaging of model outputs beats weighted.
⩥ You can predict call responses, sales, churn, customer lifetime value, and more with
ensemble methods.
7
Story: Switching to Ensemble and increasing accuracy 40%
⩥ Recommend Snowflake or similar data warehouse that has
easy sharing capabilities to bring data science and reporting
together for tests and modeling.
⩥ Prospecting database, recommend working with a vendor to
avoid legal headache.
⊳ Think through how to connect your prospecting database to other
tactics and how models built on it can serve customers in different
channels.
⩥ Current customer and opted-in marketing leads
recommended to be stored on a database you own.
⊳ Enables significantly-reduced cost of data management
and allows for faster improvements/changes.
8
Additional Database Options
1. Amazon Redshift
2. Google BigQuery
3. Microsoft Azure Synapse Analytics
4. IBM Cloud Pak for Data
5. Oracle Autonomous Data Warehouse
6. Databricks Delta Lake
Story: Switching to Palantir, Snowflake
⩥ Targeting model
⊳ Built on large prospecting databases
⊳ Model developed using 10-20 variables and outputs a decile that the
audience belongs in
⊳ Can develop different targeting models for different audiences
■ High-value prospects
■ MDU (Multi Dwelling Units)
■ General Population
⊳ Additional modeling can be done on how many deciles from each model
should be selected
⊳ Random hold outs of 10% can be used to measure overall lift from direct
mail
9
Story: Targeting Model Build/Rebuild
⩥ Mail every week for a couple months and collect results.
⊳ Which month had the highest response and close rate?
⊳ Use name / email on billing address to connect sales to direct marketing
prospecting list to collect results
⊳ Applies to direct mail, email, SMS. Adapt this test structure for times of day an
email goes out, number of days following a triggered event, etc.
10
Story: Cadence Test
⩥ A/B testing with randomized selection is best practice. Only change one variable at a
time.
⩥ Depending on volume available, multiple tests can be run at the same time. Use
average response rates to determine minimum quantity to achieve statistic
significance.
Story: Product Specific Messaging Test
⩥ USPS Informed Delivery
⩥ SMS Marketing
⩥ Digital Surround with Online Ads linked to Direct Marketing
targeting models
⩥ Modular Creative for faster mail production
11
Story: informed Delivery
12
Questions?
Marketing x Analytics
on Apple Podcasts!
Lead Media Manager  - Alex Sofronas, DirecTV

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Lead Media Manager - Alex Sofronas, DirecTV

  • 1. KEYNOTE Alex Sofronas LEAD MEDIA MANAGER DIRECTV Supercharge your Direct Marketing Stack with Data Science CHICAGO, IL ~ MAY 3 - 4, 2023 DIGIMARCONMIDWEST.COM | #DigiMarConMidwest
  • 3. Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast 3 World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast Host | Marketing and Analytics Professional | Podcast World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER | World Traveler | Designer | Musician | DREAMER |
  • 4. ⩥ Overview of Direct Marketing ⩥ Ensemble Methods ⩥ Data Management ⩥ Using Models in Direct Marketing ⩥ Innovations in Direct Marketing 4
  • 5. Every piece of mail sent influences an individual toward a purchase. • SMS • Email • Direct Mail • Alternative Media
  • 6. ⩥ Can operate in any funnel stage depending on business need. Alter targeting and creative for most impact. ⩥ Targeting based on behavior is more impactful to the prospect ⊳ 3P Purchase data, Organic 1P data (web visitors, callers), 1P Predicted Lifetime Value, 3P Life Stage & other predicted attribute data. ⩥ Powerful combination of individual-level targeting and variable gift card distribution 6 Story: Reward Card Modeling
  • 7. ⩥ In the context of time-series forecasting, ensemble methods are applied to increase predictive accuracy by averaging multiple models. ⩥ Hypothesis of each model must be disjointed for increased predictability. ⩥ Simple averaging of model outputs beats weighted. ⩥ You can predict call responses, sales, churn, customer lifetime value, and more with ensemble methods. 7 Story: Switching to Ensemble and increasing accuracy 40%
  • 8. ⩥ Recommend Snowflake or similar data warehouse that has easy sharing capabilities to bring data science and reporting together for tests and modeling. ⩥ Prospecting database, recommend working with a vendor to avoid legal headache. ⊳ Think through how to connect your prospecting database to other tactics and how models built on it can serve customers in different channels. ⩥ Current customer and opted-in marketing leads recommended to be stored on a database you own. ⊳ Enables significantly-reduced cost of data management and allows for faster improvements/changes. 8 Additional Database Options 1. Amazon Redshift 2. Google BigQuery 3. Microsoft Azure Synapse Analytics 4. IBM Cloud Pak for Data 5. Oracle Autonomous Data Warehouse 6. Databricks Delta Lake Story: Switching to Palantir, Snowflake
  • 9. ⩥ Targeting model ⊳ Built on large prospecting databases ⊳ Model developed using 10-20 variables and outputs a decile that the audience belongs in ⊳ Can develop different targeting models for different audiences ■ High-value prospects ■ MDU (Multi Dwelling Units) ■ General Population ⊳ Additional modeling can be done on how many deciles from each model should be selected ⊳ Random hold outs of 10% can be used to measure overall lift from direct mail 9 Story: Targeting Model Build/Rebuild
  • 10. ⩥ Mail every week for a couple months and collect results. ⊳ Which month had the highest response and close rate? ⊳ Use name / email on billing address to connect sales to direct marketing prospecting list to collect results ⊳ Applies to direct mail, email, SMS. Adapt this test structure for times of day an email goes out, number of days following a triggered event, etc. 10 Story: Cadence Test ⩥ A/B testing with randomized selection is best practice. Only change one variable at a time. ⩥ Depending on volume available, multiple tests can be run at the same time. Use average response rates to determine minimum quantity to achieve statistic significance. Story: Product Specific Messaging Test
  • 11. ⩥ USPS Informed Delivery ⩥ SMS Marketing ⩥ Digital Surround with Online Ads linked to Direct Marketing targeting models ⩥ Modular Creative for faster mail production 11 Story: informed Delivery