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Prediction vs. Explanation PHIL 160 What will happen next? Why  did it happen? Prediction: Explanation:
PHIL 160 Why did it  have   to  happen? How is it  possible  for  this to happen? Why did  this  happen rather than something else? Why  did it happen?
Deductive-Nomological model PHIL 160 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],(from “nomos”, Greek for “law”)
Why is this bird black? PHIL 160 ,[object Object],[object Object],   This bird is black.
Deductive-Nomological model PHIL 160 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],at work in  “ intertheoretic reduction”
PHIL 160
PHIL 160
Why does the pressure of this gas sample increase? PHIL 160 ,[object Object],[object Object], The pressure of the gas sample increases.
PHIL 160 Kinetic Theory of Gases: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Kinetic Theory of Gases: PHIL 160 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PHIL 160
“ Bridge Laws” PHIL 160 Volume = space through which point particles are moving Pressure = force from collisions with walls/area Temperature = measure of the kinetic energy of the particles.
PHIL 160
PHIL 160 Volume of the gas sample  is decreased  (less space for particles to move through). Why does the pressure of this gas sample increase?
Why does the pressure of this gas sample increase? PHIL 160 Same number of particles with same kinetic energy     more frequent  collisions with walls.
PHIL 160 More frequent  collisions with walls    higher force/area  (i.e., higher pressure) Why does the pressure of this gas sample increase?
Does D-N model work for all explanations? PHIL 160 ,[object Object],[object Object]
PHIL 160    Alex didn’t get pregnant. Why didn’t Alex get pregnant? ,[object Object],[object Object]
PHIL 160
Why did the salt dissolve? PHIL 160 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],   The salt dissolved.
PHIL 160 ,[object Object],[object Object],   The salt dissolved. Hexing is not  explanatorily relevant! Why did the salt dissolve?
Why did Nancy get lung cancer? PHIL 160 ,[object Object],[object Object],   Nancy got lung cancer.
PHIL 160 Smoking 2 packs of cigarettes a day for 10 years causes lung cancer. Not for every smoker! Not a law of nature. Why did Nancy get lung cancer?
PHIL 160
Why did these camellias die? PHIL 160 ,[object Object],[object Object],   These camellias died.
Why did these camellias thrive? PHIL 160 ,[object Object],[object Object],   These camellias thrived.
Cartwright : We don’t need a law! PHIL 160 We don’t need to know a law of nature to explain the camellias dying or thriving. There might be no such law of nature!  (Explanation is still good.)
PHIL 160
Why is the flagpole’s shadow 4 meters long?  PHIL 160 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],   Shadow length = 4 m.
Good deductive argument, BAD explanation!  PHIL 160 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],   Height of pole = 3 m.
PHIL 160 What kind of explanations in science? Looking for universal regularities or statistical regularities? Possible mechanisms or how it actually happened? (Causes, or something else?)

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Explanation Slides

  • 1. Prediction vs. Explanation PHIL 160 What will happen next? Why did it happen? Prediction: Explanation:
  • 2. PHIL 160 Why did it have to happen? How is it possible for this to happen? Why did this happen rather than something else? Why did it happen?
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 12. “ Bridge Laws” PHIL 160 Volume = space through which point particles are moving Pressure = force from collisions with walls/area Temperature = measure of the kinetic energy of the particles.
  • 14. PHIL 160 Volume of the gas sample is decreased (less space for particles to move through). Why does the pressure of this gas sample increase?
  • 15. Why does the pressure of this gas sample increase? PHIL 160 Same number of particles with same kinetic energy  more frequent collisions with walls.
  • 16. PHIL 160 More frequent collisions with walls  higher force/area (i.e., higher pressure) Why does the pressure of this gas sample increase?
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. PHIL 160 Smoking 2 packs of cigarettes a day for 10 years causes lung cancer. Not for every smoker! Not a law of nature. Why did Nancy get lung cancer?
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. Cartwright : We don’t need a law! PHIL 160 We don’t need to know a law of nature to explain the camellias dying or thriving. There might be no such law of nature! (Explanation is still good.)
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31. PHIL 160 What kind of explanations in science? Looking for universal regularities or statistical regularities? Possible mechanisms or how it actually happened? (Causes, or something else?)