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1
From Wall Street
to Main Street
Deborah Weinswig
Managing Director
Fung Global Retail & Technology
April 14, 2016
2
FROM
WALL STREET
TO MAIN STREET:
My Personal Journey
TOP
RETAIL TRENDS
3
Wall Street Career: The Changing Landscape
In 17 years on Wall Street (1997–2013):
•  Career began in the go-go years of the tech bubble
–  Research directors were saying, “Multiples don’t matter…”
4
Wall Street Regulation Timeline
2000 2002 2003 2008–2009 2010 2016
Dodd-FrankRegulation FD Sarbanes-Oxley
Global
Financial Crisis
Regulation FD:
•  Response to companies unfairly
giving guidance to favorite analysts
•  Leveled the playing field, giving retail
investors the same info as the pros
•  But it changed the research
process…
•  … and made the analyst job less
attractive
Sarbanes-Oxley Act:
•  Response to WorldCom and Enron frauds
•  To protect investors from fraudulent corporate accounting
activities
•  Management and financial internal controls
Dodd-Frank Act:
•  Response to US government bailouts during global financial crisis
•  Volcker Rule: restrictions on proprietary trading
•  Financial Stability Oversight Council
•  Macroprudential regulations
Today
Compliance today:
•  Response to global financial crisis,
LIBOR scandal, rogue traders
(Barings, UBS)
•  Now, 1/3 of sales floor staff are
compliance officers
Global Analyst
Research Settlement
Global Analyst Research Settlement:
•  Response to banking-research conflicts
•  10 firms (including Citi) paid total fines of
$1.4 billion; support for independent
research
•  Completely separated research and
investment banking (physical, reporting
lines, staff, budget, etc.)
•  Analyst compensation no longer tied to
banking revenue
5
MBAs Migrate Away from Wall Street
•  New talent is gravitating toward tech and
entrepreneurial pursuits, avoiding the
financial-services industry
•  MBA graduates from Booth pursuing careers
in investment banking:
–  33% in early 2000s
–  16% in 2015
24%	
  
45%	
  
8%	
  
24%	
  
32%	
  
35%	
  
15%	
  
18%	
  
0%	
  
8%	
  
15%	
  
23%	
  
30%	
  
38%	
  
45%	
  
Consul0ng	
   Financial	
  Services	
   Technology	
   Other	
  
University	
  of	
  Chicago	
  Booth	
  Full-­‐Time	
  Hires	
  by	
  Industry,	
  2015	
  vs.	
  
2010	
  
2010	
   2015	
  
Source:	
  University	
  of	
  Chicago	
  
6
Global Financial Crisis
•  The last four years on Wall Street have been
dramatically altered by the global financial
crisis of 2008–2009
•  Global financial crisis
–  Market crash
–  Analyst job less attractive
–  The power of compliance departments was
expanded even further
•  Personal crisis …
•  … offering a start toward my next career …
7
The Start of My Retail Tech Journey…
8
The Start of My Retail Tech Journey…
•  Met ProfitLogic in 2001:
–  Science-based solution for analyzing demand
patterns for markdowns in order to optimize price
and profit in real time
–  Huge supporter, but could not legally join at the time
•  Acquired by Oracle for almost $200 million in 2005
JULY 2005
9
The Intersection of Retail, Fashion and Technology
FASHION TECHRETAIL
10
Joined Fung Group to Lead New Global Research Effort in April 2014
•  Head of Fung Global Retail & Technology
•  The knowledge bank and think tank for the Fung
Group; focused on analyzing retail and
technology trends
•  Differentiate ourselves from sell-side research by
focusing on deep dive reports as well as on the
intersection of retail, fashion and technology
FUNG
THINK
TANK
RETAIL
TECH
MICRO
MACRO
RETAIL
REAL
ESTATE
THEMATIC
RESEARCH
VR
AI
IOT
DIGITAL
DIGITAL
DIGITAL
DIGITAL

HONG KONG NEW YORK LONDON
11
Top 25 Retail Trends
1.  Store Traffic
2.  Experiential Retail
3.  Smart Malls
4.  Retail Store Closings and Openings
5.  Owning Grocery
6.  Moving to Omni
7.  Evolving Pure Plays
8.  Winner-Take-All E-Commerce
9.  Loyalty Programs
10.  Social Media
11.  Mobile Payments
12.  Influencers
13.  Social shopping
14. Buy Buttons
15. Consignment
16. Subscription Economy
17. Sharing Economy
18. Rental Economy
19. Caring Economy
20. Silver Economy
21. Internet of Things
22. Artificial Intelligence
23. 3D Printing
24. Jewelry/Art
25. Israel-China Silk Road
12
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
With Store Traffic Down, In-Store Experience Is Key
•  US mall traffic has decreased for 37
consecutive months and continues to be
challenging
•  Malls have seen an average 9.1% YoY
decrease in traffic since January 2015
–  High-end malls appear less affected
–  General Growth Properties: traffic up 2%
in 2015
–  Simon Malls: traffic up 1.5% in 2015
–  Taubman Centers: traffic up in 2015
Source:	
  RetailNext	
  
Monthly	
  US	
  Store	
  Traffic:	
  YoY%	
  Change	
  
1
13
Experiential Retail: A Way to Bring Shoppers Back to Stores
•  Urban Outfitters acquired the Vetri Family group of
restaurants in 2015
•  Club Monaco collaborated Café Myriade to open
an in-store coffee shop in Montreal
Food &
Beverage
In-Store
Technology
•  Rebecca Minkoff offers interactive mirrors as well as
virtual reality headsets in stores
•  Tommy Hilfiger stores have virtual reality headsets
that allow visitors to experience runway shows
Custom-
ization
•  In March of 2016, Nike revealed its app, Nike+, that
gives shoppers the ultimate customized experience
2
14
Experiential Retail: Making the Experience Engaging
•  Urban Outfitters acquired the Vetri Family group of
restaurants in 2015
•  Club Monaco collaborated Café Myriade to open
an in-store coffee shop in Montreal
Food &
Beverage
In-Store
Technology
•  Rebecca Minkoff offers interactive mirrors as well as
virtual reality headsets in stores
•  Tommy Hilfiger stores have virtual reality headsets
that allow visitors to experience runway shows
Custom-
ization
•  In March of 2016, Nike revealed its app, Nike+, that
gives shoppers the ultimate customized experience
2
15
Experiential Retail: Customization and Personalization
•  Urban Outfitters acquired the Vetri Family group of
restaurants in 2015
•  Club Monaco collaborated Café Myriade to open
an in-store coffee shop in Montreal
Food &
Beverage
In-Store
Technology
•  Rebecca Minkoff offers interactive mirrors as well as
virtual reality headsets in stores
•  Tommy Hilfiger stores have virtual reality headsets
that allow visitors to experience runway shows
2
Custom-
ization
•  In March of 2016, Nike revealed its new app, Nike+, that
gives shoppers the ultimate customized experience
16
Rebecca Minkoff Connected Store Demo
17
Data-­‐enabled	
  
personalized	
  and	
  
Lmely	
  promoLons	
  
Track	
  movement,	
  
behavior	
  and	
  
preferences	
  
Beacon-­‐enabled	
  
locaLon-­‐based	
  
adverLsing	
  
Smart Malls: Reshaping the Physical Shopping Experience3
18
Partnered with HGTV to launch virtual and hands-on technology-
based experiences
Formed strategic alliance with StepsAway, an in-mall mobile
retail solutions provider offering shoppers smartphone access to
hyperlocal in-store deals
Silicon Valley–based unit that designs and develops innovations
to improve the retail experience
Smart Malls: Reshaping the Physical Shopping Experience3
19
Retail Store Closings and Openings Continue
2015
•  There was a 7% year-over-year increase in
store closure announcements
•  There was 29% less square footage
associated with announced store closures
in 2015 than in 2014
•  16 retailers closed at least 10% of their stores
between 2010 and 2015
–  Teen retailers appear consistently on this list
-70% -60% -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0%
Sears
aerie
Christopher and Banks
Abercrombie & Fitch
Pacific Sunwear
Kmart
Restoration Hardware
Office Max/Office Depot
Aéropostale
Saks Fifth Avenue
Bebe Stores
Hollister US
Lands' End
Staples
Barnes & Noble
New York & Company
Williams-Sonoma
JCPenney
Dillard's
Rite Aid Corp
Gap
Change in Store Base: 2010–2015
3
20
Retail Store Closings and Openings Continue
2016
•  Off-price/discount retailers are expected to
see major growth in 2016 as well as fast
fashion brands
•  Foreign discount grocers Aldi and Lidl plan
to push US expansion
•  E-commerce pure plays are opening stores
Retailer
Number of Announced
Store Closings
Walmart 269
Men’s Wearhouse 250
Sports Authority 140
Sears 50
Macy’s 40
Kohl’s 18
Retailer
Number of Announced
Store Openings
Dollar General 1,000*
Forever 21 600
H&M 425
Amazon 400
Under Armour 200
Dick’s Sporting Goods 135–150
Ulta 100
Lidl 50
Aldi 45
Costco 32
Dollar Tree 13
Stein Mart 12
Target 11
*In 2017
Source: ICSC Research/PNC Research
4
21
Owning Grocery as a Pipe into the Home
Grocery Retail:
•  Large customer base + frequency of
touchpoints = big opportunity to leverage
nonfood offering.
•  In Europe, Tesco led the way in the
1990s –2000s
•  Tesco has expanded beyond its grocery
base by cross-selling to its banking and
mobile telecom customers
Global Scale
Online Capabilities
Bigger Stores
Brand Building
£~10 billion in
group general
merchandise sales.
7.4 million Tesco Bank
customers.
4 million Tesco Mobile
cellphone customers
Tesco’s Diversification from Grocery
Source:	
  Company	
  reports/Fung	
  Global	
  Retail	
  &	
  Technology	
  
5
22
Owning Grocery as a Pipe into the Home
Similar opportunities today for grocery
discounters Aldi and Lidl:
•  Aldi and Lidl launching non-foods online in
selected markets (UK, Germany, Belgium)
•  Discounter store sizes have been increasing
•  Weekly nonfood special deals are already
footfall drivers
•  Average discounter basket size in the UK up
by 47% in five years—suggests growing
shopper trust
(source: Kantar Worldpanel)
•  Frequency of visits increasing in the UK
(source: Kantar Worldpanel)
5
23
Moving to Omni:
Tech Investments Help Feed the Digital Shopping Habit
•  Retailers are raising capital-spending
budget for technology projects
•  There is a 75% correlation between capex/
sales and e-commerce sales/total sales for
selected retailers:
“You have to spend money to make money”
Retailer Capex and Capex/Sales (2015)
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
$0.0
$2.0
$4.0
$6.0
$8.0
$10.0
$12.0
$14.0
$16.0
Walmart
Costco
HomeDepot
Target
Walgreens
Lowe’s
Nordstrom
Nike
Macy’s
LBrands
Gap
Kohl’s
BestBuy
Sears
Capex/Sales
Capex($Bil.)
Source:	
  eRetailer/company	
  reports/Fung	
  Global	
  Retail	
  &	
  Technology	
  
6
24
Moving to Omni: Operations and Channels
•  L Brands moved to integrate its Victoria’s Secret direct-sales business
— online — into the store businesses
•  Victoria’s Secret discontinued catalogs in 2016, saving $100 million annually
•  Aim to offer a seamless shopping across mobile, online and in stores
6
The Seamless
Experience
Same-day
Delivery
•  From test phase to full-scale operations:
–  Kohl’s expands same-day delivery to 7 new markets with Deliv
(April 2016)
–  Best Buy expands same-day delivery to 13 new markets with Deliv
(April 2016)
–  Macy’s already in 17 markets with Deliv
Click &
Collect
•  Amazon UK has partnered with Barclays to use its outlets as
collection points for deliveries
25
Evolving Pure Plays (Number of Actual/Planned Physical Stores)
AMAZON

ATHLETA
CASPER
AYR
YOGIBO

HARRY’S
 

 
1 400 120 1 3 2
3 21 1 1 7
4 27 25 12 2
7
26
Evolving Pure Plays
•  Millennials prefer mono-brand brick-and-mortar stores, and they shift between online and offline
along the shopping journey
7
27
(10%)
5%
20%
35%
50%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Amazon Sales Growth US Total Retail Sales Growth
Amazon Annual Sales Growth
Winner-Take-All E-Commerce:
Amazon Sales Growth Far Outpaces US Retail Sales Growth
•  Amazon accounted for $0.51 of every
$1.00 of growth in US e-commerce in 2015
•  The company generated 24% of total US
retail growth
•  Amazon’s apparel business is expected to
grow from 5% of the total US apparel
market in 2015 to 14% by 2020
(Cowen & Co.)
Source:	
  Bloomberg/US	
  Census	
  Bureau	
  
	
  
8
28
Winner-Take-All: Amazon Leads Fashion Apparel Market
•  Winner: Amazon led the group of the
top 19 apparel companies with growth
of 26% in 2015
•  Runners-up: Fast fashion top 5 included
Inditex and H&M
•  Declining players: Walmart’s apparel
division and Gap and Macy’s all posted
sales declines for the year
•  Key Brand Partnerships: Amazon has
recently partnered with Kate Spade,
Calvin Klein, Lacoste, and Nicole Miller
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Amazon
FastRetailing
Inditex
LVMH
H&M
RossStores
Hanesbrands
Nordstrom
TJXCompanies
JCPenney
RalphLauren
PVH
Target
Kohl's
VFCorp
Walmart
GapInc
Macy's
IsetanMitsukoshi
2015 Annual Sales Growth by Company
8
29
•  Smartphone based
•  Integration of tracking status, payment, gift cards, etc.
Loyalty Programs: Apps Will Dominate
•  Cards with bar codes, reward programs
•  Use of gamification (membership levels, points, leaderboards)
Last-
generation
Loyalty
Tomorrow’s
Loyalty
Today’s
Loyalty
•  Coupons, membership cards
9
30
•  Integration with credit cards, gift cards, etc.
•  Round-up on purchases + 15% savings bonus
•  180+ redemption options
Loyalty Programs: Case Studies
•  Re-launched in February 2016
•  Game allows users to win free dessert, drink, or GrubHub
credit after placing five unique orders
Partnerships
Mobile
Gamification
•  Launched in May 2015
•  Retailers: Macy's, AT&T, Rite Aid, Enterprise Rent-A-Car, Hulu
•  Links existing store loyalty cards to their Plenti account
9
31
App	
  
2016/2015	
  	
  
AcLve	
  Users	
  (Mil.)	
  
Approx.	
  YoY	
  
Change	
  
WhatsApp	
   1,000	
   37%	
  
QQ	
  Mobile	
   860	
   5%	
  
Facebook	
  Messenger	
   800	
   53%	
  
WeChat	
   650	
   37%	
  
Skype	
   300	
   27%	
  
Viber	
   249	
   29%	
  
LINE	
   212	
   57%	
  
Snapchat	
   100	
   45%	
  
Social Media: Occupies Consumers’ Leisure Time
•  Adults spent an average of 109 mins. per
day in 2015 on social media sites such as
Facebook, Twitter and Instagram
•  Consumers spend 84% of their time in only
five apps each month: One or two are likely
social media, instant messaging, etc.
Source:	
  Company	
  Reports,	
  Quartz,	
  TechinAsia	
  
10
32
Social Media: Snapchat Reaches Millennials
•  Snapchat users view 7 billion videos per day and address a young audience
Source:	
  CivicScience,	
  “Insight	
  Report:	
  Who	
  is	
  the	
  Snapchat	
  User?	
  Profiling	
  the	
  Snapchat	
  Fan”	
  
Snapchat Users’ Demographic Profile
10
33
Social Media: Burberry Snapchat Campaign
•  Burberry becomes the 1st luxury brand to run a Snapchat Discover channel native ad
•  Printing codes on products to encourage customers to use Snapchat in-store
10
34
Mobile Payments: Samsung Pay Changes Landscape
•  Apple and Android pay require near-filed communications (NFC)
chips for payment
–  Negative: Require retailers to install new equipment
•  Samsung uses magnetic stripe capability (MST) chips for payment
–  MST compatible with new and older credit card terminals –
no additional invest required
–  Most-widely accepted mobile wallet in the US
–  Consumers can enlist loyalty cards into Samsung Pay
–  Receive coupons and discounts directly to Samsung account
–  In 2016: Expanding to China, lower-priced handsets and online transactions
•  Customer adoption remains hurdle, shoppers need incentive
11
35
Mobile Payments: Samsung Pay Changes Landscape
# of
Accepted
Locations
700,000 > 30 million > 700,000
+
•  Apple Watch is compatible
•  Secure – Unique security code
for each transaction
•  Compatibility with existing
terminals
•  No additional investment for
retailers
•  Works any Android device
•  Support from major retailers:
Staples, Walgreens,
Wholegoods
–
•  Only works with NFC-enabled
registers
•  NFC terminal cost retailer $500
or more
•  Not accepted by major
retailers: Walmart, Target,
Best Buy
•  Limited device options -
Samsung Galaxy S6
•  Magnetic strip reader requires
tricky position for phone
•  Uses NFC technology
11
36
Mobile Payments:
Peer-to-peer payments explode on WeChat
32.1 billion
red envelopes
516 million
Users *
Chinese	
  Lunar	
  New	
  Year	
  2016	
  
~74% of all WeChat
users
903% Y-o-Y growth
since introduction of
red envelopes
* Over 92% of those senders were reportedly between the ages of 20 and 29
11
37
Snapchat Cash
38
Influencer Word-of-Mouth Marketing Gains Momentum12
•  Brand influencers: advocates on social media platforms
and review sites to support brands they love
•  Influencer marketing:
-  81% of marketers found IM effective in 2015
-  59% of marketers will increase IM budgets in 2016
•  Influencer marketing agency is now a booming industry
•  Each month over 50 million people watch over 1.6 billion
minutes of fashion and beauty videos in more than 45,000
YouTube channels
39
12
Target collaborates with
Joy Cho, a popular designer and
blogger. They also launched Oh Joy
for Target collection, an exclusive
party-inspired Home line
Emily Schuman a much-followed
fashion blogger, author and
designer launched her Cupcakes
and Cashmere collection in
collaboration with Nordstrom
Blogger star and
entrepreneur Michelle Phan
launched her own makeup
line, Em, with L’Oreal
Influencer Word-of-Mouth Marketing Gains Momentum
40
Harnessing Social Media Influencers with MuseFind
41
Social Shopping is Made Simpler13
•  Buy on social media platforms without switch
apps or websites
•  WeChat is a pioneer in social shopping
45%
44%
30%
25%
22%
20%
16%
Reading reviews, comments and
feedback
Receiving promotional offerings
Viewing advertisements
Staying on top of current fashion and
product trends
Writing reviews, comments and
feedback
Associating with particular brands
and retailers
Purchasing products directly via a
social media channel
How Social Media Influences Shopping Behavior
Source:	
  PWC	
  
42
NICE: Brands Campaign Aggressively on China’s Instagram
43
More Social Shopping Enhanced by Buy Buttons14
•  In 2015 Pinterest introduced “Buy it” button, and
Instagram expanded its ad program.
•  Twitter, Facebook and YouTube also becoming more
commerce-friendly and are experiment with buy buttons
Source:	
  Pinterest	
  
Pinterest users’ average order value is $123.50, which is
about 126% higher than Facebook users’ average of $54.64
(source: Javelin Strategy & Research)
Oct 2015: Facebook
Tests Buy Buttons
May 2015: Google
Search Buy Button
Sep 2015: Twitter
Buy Button
Sep 2015: YouTube
Buy Button
June 2015: Pinterest
Buy Button
44
Consignment: Online Fashion Resale Marketplaces Show
Explosive Growth
•  Disruptors: thredUP, Tradesy, The RealReal,
Poshmark, Vestiaire Collective
•  Why Online Resale Marketplaces Took Off
–  Heavy venture capital investment in online
consignment industry (over $300 million)
–  Retail brands’ resale programs encouraged
consumers’ sustainable consumption habits
–  Consumers are convinced by great quality
of secondhand apparel bought via online
platforms
–  Societal shift toward less ownership—
the art of decluttering
15
45
Poshmark and the Consignment Economy
46
Subscription Economy: Beauty and Fashion Are Growing
•  Disruptors: Le Tote, Birchbox, BarkBox, Pijon, Stitch Fix
•  Convenience and curated products for consumers
•  Recurring revenue model for retailers
•  Element of self-gifting
•  Beauty is the biggest category
•  Fashion-styling subscriptions are becoming popular
•  Office supplies present an opportunity
16
47
Sharing Economy: “Uberifying” Virtually Every Industry
Disruptors: Uber, Airbnb, Lending Club, WeWork
•  Valuations of sharing-economy companies have
skyrocketed
•  Revenues are projected to catch up to
aggressive valuations
•  Sharing-economy market:
$15 Billion
2013
$335 Billion
2025
CAGR: 29.5%
17
48
Sharing Economy:
Millennials Like Sharing Plans, but Want to Own a Car
•  20% of millennials take public transit once a week
or more, compared with just 7% of Gen Xers and
10% of baby boomers
•  35% of millennials indicated that they plan to
purchase a vehicle in the next 12 months,
compared to 25% of all US adults surveyed
•  Millennials lease cars more than any other
generation, and are leasing 50% more often
today than they were five years ago
17
49
Rental Economy: Fashion Rental Leading
Following Rent the Runway, a new generation of fashion-rental companies has emerged
Disruptors: Style Lend, VillageLuxe, Le Tote, Lena the Fashion Library and Borrow For Your Bump (maternity)
18
50
Caring Economy Promotes Startups for Social Good
Disruptors: TOMS, Reformation, Warby Parker,
NOURI, SoapBox Soaps, Zady, GoodXChange
•  Promotes social activism over self-indulgence
–  Consumers, especially Gen Z, demand
integrity from brands and retailers
•  Startups with social missions apply market-
based strategies to achieve a social goal
–  TOMS, the shoe company, has a “one for one”
business model
–  Reformation designs and manufactures
sustainable apparel; sources sustainable
fabrics and vintage garments
–  Kohl’s Cares gives back to communities with
Salina Yoon children’s books
19
51
How an Aging Population Will Change the World
52
Silver Economy: Demographics Create Opportunities
•  “The Grey Market” : older consumers may be an
engine of growth in the sluggish global economy
•  Silvers are those aged 65–85 years old, while
super silvers are 85+
•  The United Nations forecasts that the 60+ age
group will grow from 12.3% of the global
population in 2015 to 16.5% in 2030
•  In 2015, consumers aged 65+ accounted for
around $7 trillion, or approximately 17%, of total
worldwide consumer spending
•  Spending by silvers is expected to grow 114%,
2015 – 2030, outpacing population growth of 56%
Source:	
  UN	
  Department	
  of	
  Economic	
  and	
  Social	
  Affairs,	
  PopulaQon	
  Division,	
  
World	
  Popula0on	
  Prospects:	
  The	
  2015	
  Revision/InternaQonal	
  Labour	
  
OrganizaQon,	
  World	
  Social	
  Protec0on	
  Report	
  2014–15/Euromonitor	
  
InternaQonal/Fung	
  Global	
  Retail	
  &	
  Technology	
  
56%
114%
Population Spending
Estimated Growth in Senior Population and
Spending by Seniors, 2015–2030
20
53
Silver Economy: Demographics Create Opportunities
•  In 2030, seniors are projected to account
for around $15 trillion, or approximately
23.5%, of total spending
•  Products for silvers:
–  Health apps, cell phones and medical
alert devices
–  Kanega smartwatch offers discreet
support for falls and medication
reminders, and guards against
wandering
20
54
Internet of Things: Direct-to-Consumer
55
Internet Of Things: Overview
•  The global market size of the retail IoT is estimated
increase from $14.28 billion in 2015 to $35.64 billion
in 2020, representing a 20.07% CAGR.
•  It is estimated that in 2020, retailers worldwide will
spend $2.5 billion per year on IoT-related
hardware:
21
56
Internet of Things: Wearables - Beyond Fitbit
•  Wearables are becoming increasingly smart
–  Altra IQ Smart Shoes use sensors to give feedback
about running and walking habits, revealing why some
muscles or joints hurt
–  Medical-grade Embrace watch alerts caregivers to any
unusual physiological events of watch wearers,
Source:	
  EmpaQca	
  
Source:	
  BusinessWire	
  
21
57
Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning
•  Predictive analytics and machine learning
used for generating recommendations; key
driver across industries
35% of Amazon sales, 50% of LinkedIn
connections and 75% of Netflix views are driven
by recommendations
Stitch Fix
•  Subscription service that uses AI and human
judgment to recommend apparel to shoppers
•  Subscribers receive a curated box with items
Lewk
•  An algorithmically curated monthly menswear
box
22
58
3D Printing: Clothes, Footwear, and Accessories
•  The 3D printing industry was valued at $11 billion in 2015, and is expected to grow to
$26.7 billion by 2019, a CAGR of 27%.
23
59
Jewelry/Art Taking Increasing Share of Consumers’ Wallet24
•  High-end consignment jewelry platform
•  Merchandise, appraise, photograph and serve
•  Partnered with E-bay valet
•  Curates emerging artists
•  “Democratize" the process of selling artwork
•  Connecting artists directly with collectors
60
Israel-China Silk Road
•  Are Israel and China creating a Silk Road for startups?
•  China is a “mobile first” country
•  Chinese companies are developing apps
•  In 2014, Chinese investors invested US$302 million in
Israeli companies, and in 2015, that number rose to
more than US$500 million, a significant increase.
25
61
Bonus Trend: Beauty
•  Disruptors: Sephora, Lancôme, Mink, Cover Girl
•  Sephora implemented the Virtual Artist, allowing users to try makeup online which they can filter by color,
brand, and price
•  Lancôme introduced Le Teint Particulier at select Nordstrom stores in which computers scan the users skin
tone and customize the final blend using eight different hues.
•  Cover Girl’s beauty app, BeautyU, has profiling features to add personalization to recommendations
62
Q & A
Deborah Weinswig
Managing Director of Fung Global Retail & Technology
deborahweinswig@fung1937.com
US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016
April 14, 2016

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From Wall Street to Main Street: Top Retail Trends

  • 1. 1 From Wall Street to Main Street Deborah Weinswig Managing Director Fung Global Retail & Technology April 14, 2016
  • 2. 2 FROM WALL STREET TO MAIN STREET: My Personal Journey TOP RETAIL TRENDS
  • 3. 3 Wall Street Career: The Changing Landscape In 17 years on Wall Street (1997–2013): •  Career began in the go-go years of the tech bubble –  Research directors were saying, “Multiples don’t matter…”
  • 4. 4 Wall Street Regulation Timeline 2000 2002 2003 2008–2009 2010 2016 Dodd-FrankRegulation FD Sarbanes-Oxley Global Financial Crisis Regulation FD: •  Response to companies unfairly giving guidance to favorite analysts •  Leveled the playing field, giving retail investors the same info as the pros •  But it changed the research process… •  … and made the analyst job less attractive Sarbanes-Oxley Act: •  Response to WorldCom and Enron frauds •  To protect investors from fraudulent corporate accounting activities •  Management and financial internal controls Dodd-Frank Act: •  Response to US government bailouts during global financial crisis •  Volcker Rule: restrictions on proprietary trading •  Financial Stability Oversight Council •  Macroprudential regulations Today Compliance today: •  Response to global financial crisis, LIBOR scandal, rogue traders (Barings, UBS) •  Now, 1/3 of sales floor staff are compliance officers Global Analyst Research Settlement Global Analyst Research Settlement: •  Response to banking-research conflicts •  10 firms (including Citi) paid total fines of $1.4 billion; support for independent research •  Completely separated research and investment banking (physical, reporting lines, staff, budget, etc.) •  Analyst compensation no longer tied to banking revenue
  • 5. 5 MBAs Migrate Away from Wall Street •  New talent is gravitating toward tech and entrepreneurial pursuits, avoiding the financial-services industry •  MBA graduates from Booth pursuing careers in investment banking: –  33% in early 2000s –  16% in 2015 24%   45%   8%   24%   32%   35%   15%   18%   0%   8%   15%   23%   30%   38%   45%   Consul0ng   Financial  Services   Technology   Other   University  of  Chicago  Booth  Full-­‐Time  Hires  by  Industry,  2015  vs.   2010   2010   2015   Source:  University  of  Chicago  
  • 6. 6 Global Financial Crisis •  The last four years on Wall Street have been dramatically altered by the global financial crisis of 2008–2009 •  Global financial crisis –  Market crash –  Analyst job less attractive –  The power of compliance departments was expanded even further •  Personal crisis … •  … offering a start toward my next career …
  • 7. 7 The Start of My Retail Tech Journey…
  • 8. 8 The Start of My Retail Tech Journey… •  Met ProfitLogic in 2001: –  Science-based solution for analyzing demand patterns for markdowns in order to optimize price and profit in real time –  Huge supporter, but could not legally join at the time •  Acquired by Oracle for almost $200 million in 2005 JULY 2005
  • 9. 9 The Intersection of Retail, Fashion and Technology FASHION TECHRETAIL
  • 10. 10 Joined Fung Group to Lead New Global Research Effort in April 2014 •  Head of Fung Global Retail & Technology •  The knowledge bank and think tank for the Fung Group; focused on analyzing retail and technology trends •  Differentiate ourselves from sell-side research by focusing on deep dive reports as well as on the intersection of retail, fashion and technology FUNG THINK TANK RETAIL TECH MICRO MACRO RETAIL REAL ESTATE THEMATIC RESEARCH VR AI IOT DIGITAL DIGITAL DIGITAL DIGITAL HONG KONG NEW YORK LONDON
  • 11. 11 Top 25 Retail Trends 1.  Store Traffic 2.  Experiential Retail 3.  Smart Malls 4.  Retail Store Closings and Openings 5.  Owning Grocery 6.  Moving to Omni 7.  Evolving Pure Plays 8.  Winner-Take-All E-Commerce 9.  Loyalty Programs 10.  Social Media 11.  Mobile Payments 12.  Influencers 13.  Social shopping 14. Buy Buttons 15. Consignment 16. Subscription Economy 17. Sharing Economy 18. Rental Economy 19. Caring Economy 20. Silver Economy 21. Internet of Things 22. Artificial Intelligence 23. 3D Printing 24. Jewelry/Art 25. Israel-China Silk Road
  • 12. 12 -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 With Store Traffic Down, In-Store Experience Is Key •  US mall traffic has decreased for 37 consecutive months and continues to be challenging •  Malls have seen an average 9.1% YoY decrease in traffic since January 2015 –  High-end malls appear less affected –  General Growth Properties: traffic up 2% in 2015 –  Simon Malls: traffic up 1.5% in 2015 –  Taubman Centers: traffic up in 2015 Source:  RetailNext   Monthly  US  Store  Traffic:  YoY%  Change   1
  • 13. 13 Experiential Retail: A Way to Bring Shoppers Back to Stores •  Urban Outfitters acquired the Vetri Family group of restaurants in 2015 •  Club Monaco collaborated Café Myriade to open an in-store coffee shop in Montreal Food & Beverage In-Store Technology •  Rebecca Minkoff offers interactive mirrors as well as virtual reality headsets in stores •  Tommy Hilfiger stores have virtual reality headsets that allow visitors to experience runway shows Custom- ization •  In March of 2016, Nike revealed its app, Nike+, that gives shoppers the ultimate customized experience 2
  • 14. 14 Experiential Retail: Making the Experience Engaging •  Urban Outfitters acquired the Vetri Family group of restaurants in 2015 •  Club Monaco collaborated Café Myriade to open an in-store coffee shop in Montreal Food & Beverage In-Store Technology •  Rebecca Minkoff offers interactive mirrors as well as virtual reality headsets in stores •  Tommy Hilfiger stores have virtual reality headsets that allow visitors to experience runway shows Custom- ization •  In March of 2016, Nike revealed its app, Nike+, that gives shoppers the ultimate customized experience 2
  • 15. 15 Experiential Retail: Customization and Personalization •  Urban Outfitters acquired the Vetri Family group of restaurants in 2015 •  Club Monaco collaborated Café Myriade to open an in-store coffee shop in Montreal Food & Beverage In-Store Technology •  Rebecca Minkoff offers interactive mirrors as well as virtual reality headsets in stores •  Tommy Hilfiger stores have virtual reality headsets that allow visitors to experience runway shows 2 Custom- ization •  In March of 2016, Nike revealed its new app, Nike+, that gives shoppers the ultimate customized experience
  • 17. 17 Data-­‐enabled   personalized  and   Lmely  promoLons   Track  movement,   behavior  and   preferences   Beacon-­‐enabled   locaLon-­‐based   adverLsing   Smart Malls: Reshaping the Physical Shopping Experience3
  • 18. 18 Partnered with HGTV to launch virtual and hands-on technology- based experiences Formed strategic alliance with StepsAway, an in-mall mobile retail solutions provider offering shoppers smartphone access to hyperlocal in-store deals Silicon Valley–based unit that designs and develops innovations to improve the retail experience Smart Malls: Reshaping the Physical Shopping Experience3
  • 19. 19 Retail Store Closings and Openings Continue 2015 •  There was a 7% year-over-year increase in store closure announcements •  There was 29% less square footage associated with announced store closures in 2015 than in 2014 •  16 retailers closed at least 10% of their stores between 2010 and 2015 –  Teen retailers appear consistently on this list -70% -60% -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% Sears aerie Christopher and Banks Abercrombie & Fitch Pacific Sunwear Kmart Restoration Hardware Office Max/Office Depot Aéropostale Saks Fifth Avenue Bebe Stores Hollister US Lands' End Staples Barnes & Noble New York & Company Williams-Sonoma JCPenney Dillard's Rite Aid Corp Gap Change in Store Base: 2010–2015 3
  • 20. 20 Retail Store Closings and Openings Continue 2016 •  Off-price/discount retailers are expected to see major growth in 2016 as well as fast fashion brands •  Foreign discount grocers Aldi and Lidl plan to push US expansion •  E-commerce pure plays are opening stores Retailer Number of Announced Store Closings Walmart 269 Men’s Wearhouse 250 Sports Authority 140 Sears 50 Macy’s 40 Kohl’s 18 Retailer Number of Announced Store Openings Dollar General 1,000* Forever 21 600 H&M 425 Amazon 400 Under Armour 200 Dick’s Sporting Goods 135–150 Ulta 100 Lidl 50 Aldi 45 Costco 32 Dollar Tree 13 Stein Mart 12 Target 11 *In 2017 Source: ICSC Research/PNC Research 4
  • 21. 21 Owning Grocery as a Pipe into the Home Grocery Retail: •  Large customer base + frequency of touchpoints = big opportunity to leverage nonfood offering. •  In Europe, Tesco led the way in the 1990s –2000s •  Tesco has expanded beyond its grocery base by cross-selling to its banking and mobile telecom customers Global Scale Online Capabilities Bigger Stores Brand Building £~10 billion in group general merchandise sales. 7.4 million Tesco Bank customers. 4 million Tesco Mobile cellphone customers Tesco’s Diversification from Grocery Source:  Company  reports/Fung  Global  Retail  &  Technology   5
  • 22. 22 Owning Grocery as a Pipe into the Home Similar opportunities today for grocery discounters Aldi and Lidl: •  Aldi and Lidl launching non-foods online in selected markets (UK, Germany, Belgium) •  Discounter store sizes have been increasing •  Weekly nonfood special deals are already footfall drivers •  Average discounter basket size in the UK up by 47% in five years—suggests growing shopper trust (source: Kantar Worldpanel) •  Frequency of visits increasing in the UK (source: Kantar Worldpanel) 5
  • 23. 23 Moving to Omni: Tech Investments Help Feed the Digital Shopping Habit •  Retailers are raising capital-spending budget for technology projects •  There is a 75% correlation between capex/ sales and e-commerce sales/total sales for selected retailers: “You have to spend money to make money” Retailer Capex and Capex/Sales (2015) 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% $0.0 $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 $14.0 $16.0 Walmart Costco HomeDepot Target Walgreens Lowe’s Nordstrom Nike Macy’s LBrands Gap Kohl’s BestBuy Sears Capex/Sales Capex($Bil.) Source:  eRetailer/company  reports/Fung  Global  Retail  &  Technology   6
  • 24. 24 Moving to Omni: Operations and Channels •  L Brands moved to integrate its Victoria’s Secret direct-sales business — online — into the store businesses •  Victoria’s Secret discontinued catalogs in 2016, saving $100 million annually •  Aim to offer a seamless shopping across mobile, online and in stores 6 The Seamless Experience Same-day Delivery •  From test phase to full-scale operations: –  Kohl’s expands same-day delivery to 7 new markets with Deliv (April 2016) –  Best Buy expands same-day delivery to 13 new markets with Deliv (April 2016) –  Macy’s already in 17 markets with Deliv Click & Collect •  Amazon UK has partnered with Barclays to use its outlets as collection points for deliveries
  • 25. 25 Evolving Pure Plays (Number of Actual/Planned Physical Stores) AMAZON ATHLETA CASPER AYR YOGIBO HARRY’S 1 400 120 1 3 2 3 21 1 1 7 4 27 25 12 2 7
  • 26. 26 Evolving Pure Plays •  Millennials prefer mono-brand brick-and-mortar stores, and they shift between online and offline along the shopping journey 7
  • 27. 27 (10%) 5% 20% 35% 50% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Amazon Sales Growth US Total Retail Sales Growth Amazon Annual Sales Growth Winner-Take-All E-Commerce: Amazon Sales Growth Far Outpaces US Retail Sales Growth •  Amazon accounted for $0.51 of every $1.00 of growth in US e-commerce in 2015 •  The company generated 24% of total US retail growth •  Amazon’s apparel business is expected to grow from 5% of the total US apparel market in 2015 to 14% by 2020 (Cowen & Co.) Source:  Bloomberg/US  Census  Bureau     8
  • 28. 28 Winner-Take-All: Amazon Leads Fashion Apparel Market •  Winner: Amazon led the group of the top 19 apparel companies with growth of 26% in 2015 •  Runners-up: Fast fashion top 5 included Inditex and H&M •  Declining players: Walmart’s apparel division and Gap and Macy’s all posted sales declines for the year •  Key Brand Partnerships: Amazon has recently partnered with Kate Spade, Calvin Klein, Lacoste, and Nicole Miller -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Amazon FastRetailing Inditex LVMH H&M RossStores Hanesbrands Nordstrom TJXCompanies JCPenney RalphLauren PVH Target Kohl's VFCorp Walmart GapInc Macy's IsetanMitsukoshi 2015 Annual Sales Growth by Company 8
  • 29. 29 •  Smartphone based •  Integration of tracking status, payment, gift cards, etc. Loyalty Programs: Apps Will Dominate •  Cards with bar codes, reward programs •  Use of gamification (membership levels, points, leaderboards) Last- generation Loyalty Tomorrow’s Loyalty Today’s Loyalty •  Coupons, membership cards 9
  • 30. 30 •  Integration with credit cards, gift cards, etc. •  Round-up on purchases + 15% savings bonus •  180+ redemption options Loyalty Programs: Case Studies •  Re-launched in February 2016 •  Game allows users to win free dessert, drink, or GrubHub credit after placing five unique orders Partnerships Mobile Gamification •  Launched in May 2015 •  Retailers: Macy's, AT&T, Rite Aid, Enterprise Rent-A-Car, Hulu •  Links existing store loyalty cards to their Plenti account 9
  • 31. 31 App   2016/2015     AcLve  Users  (Mil.)   Approx.  YoY   Change   WhatsApp   1,000   37%   QQ  Mobile   860   5%   Facebook  Messenger   800   53%   WeChat   650   37%   Skype   300   27%   Viber   249   29%   LINE   212   57%   Snapchat   100   45%   Social Media: Occupies Consumers’ Leisure Time •  Adults spent an average of 109 mins. per day in 2015 on social media sites such as Facebook, Twitter and Instagram •  Consumers spend 84% of their time in only five apps each month: One or two are likely social media, instant messaging, etc. Source:  Company  Reports,  Quartz,  TechinAsia   10
  • 32. 32 Social Media: Snapchat Reaches Millennials •  Snapchat users view 7 billion videos per day and address a young audience Source:  CivicScience,  “Insight  Report:  Who  is  the  Snapchat  User?  Profiling  the  Snapchat  Fan”   Snapchat Users’ Demographic Profile 10
  • 33. 33 Social Media: Burberry Snapchat Campaign •  Burberry becomes the 1st luxury brand to run a Snapchat Discover channel native ad •  Printing codes on products to encourage customers to use Snapchat in-store 10
  • 34. 34 Mobile Payments: Samsung Pay Changes Landscape •  Apple and Android pay require near-filed communications (NFC) chips for payment –  Negative: Require retailers to install new equipment •  Samsung uses magnetic stripe capability (MST) chips for payment –  MST compatible with new and older credit card terminals – no additional invest required –  Most-widely accepted mobile wallet in the US –  Consumers can enlist loyalty cards into Samsung Pay –  Receive coupons and discounts directly to Samsung account –  In 2016: Expanding to China, lower-priced handsets and online transactions •  Customer adoption remains hurdle, shoppers need incentive 11
  • 35. 35 Mobile Payments: Samsung Pay Changes Landscape # of Accepted Locations 700,000 > 30 million > 700,000 + •  Apple Watch is compatible •  Secure – Unique security code for each transaction •  Compatibility with existing terminals •  No additional investment for retailers •  Works any Android device •  Support from major retailers: Staples, Walgreens, Wholegoods – •  Only works with NFC-enabled registers •  NFC terminal cost retailer $500 or more •  Not accepted by major retailers: Walmart, Target, Best Buy •  Limited device options - Samsung Galaxy S6 •  Magnetic strip reader requires tricky position for phone •  Uses NFC technology 11
  • 36. 36 Mobile Payments: Peer-to-peer payments explode on WeChat 32.1 billion red envelopes 516 million Users * Chinese  Lunar  New  Year  2016   ~74% of all WeChat users 903% Y-o-Y growth since introduction of red envelopes * Over 92% of those senders were reportedly between the ages of 20 and 29 11
  • 38. 38 Influencer Word-of-Mouth Marketing Gains Momentum12 •  Brand influencers: advocates on social media platforms and review sites to support brands they love •  Influencer marketing: -  81% of marketers found IM effective in 2015 -  59% of marketers will increase IM budgets in 2016 •  Influencer marketing agency is now a booming industry •  Each month over 50 million people watch over 1.6 billion minutes of fashion and beauty videos in more than 45,000 YouTube channels
  • 39. 39 12 Target collaborates with Joy Cho, a popular designer and blogger. They also launched Oh Joy for Target collection, an exclusive party-inspired Home line Emily Schuman a much-followed fashion blogger, author and designer launched her Cupcakes and Cashmere collection in collaboration with Nordstrom Blogger star and entrepreneur Michelle Phan launched her own makeup line, Em, with L’Oreal Influencer Word-of-Mouth Marketing Gains Momentum
  • 40. 40 Harnessing Social Media Influencers with MuseFind
  • 41. 41 Social Shopping is Made Simpler13 •  Buy on social media platforms without switch apps or websites •  WeChat is a pioneer in social shopping 45% 44% 30% 25% 22% 20% 16% Reading reviews, comments and feedback Receiving promotional offerings Viewing advertisements Staying on top of current fashion and product trends Writing reviews, comments and feedback Associating with particular brands and retailers Purchasing products directly via a social media channel How Social Media Influences Shopping Behavior Source:  PWC  
  • 42. 42 NICE: Brands Campaign Aggressively on China’s Instagram
  • 43. 43 More Social Shopping Enhanced by Buy Buttons14 •  In 2015 Pinterest introduced “Buy it” button, and Instagram expanded its ad program. •  Twitter, Facebook and YouTube also becoming more commerce-friendly and are experiment with buy buttons Source:  Pinterest   Pinterest users’ average order value is $123.50, which is about 126% higher than Facebook users’ average of $54.64 (source: Javelin Strategy & Research) Oct 2015: Facebook Tests Buy Buttons May 2015: Google Search Buy Button Sep 2015: Twitter Buy Button Sep 2015: YouTube Buy Button June 2015: Pinterest Buy Button
  • 44. 44 Consignment: Online Fashion Resale Marketplaces Show Explosive Growth •  Disruptors: thredUP, Tradesy, The RealReal, Poshmark, Vestiaire Collective •  Why Online Resale Marketplaces Took Off –  Heavy venture capital investment in online consignment industry (over $300 million) –  Retail brands’ resale programs encouraged consumers’ sustainable consumption habits –  Consumers are convinced by great quality of secondhand apparel bought via online platforms –  Societal shift toward less ownership— the art of decluttering 15
  • 45. 45 Poshmark and the Consignment Economy
  • 46. 46 Subscription Economy: Beauty and Fashion Are Growing •  Disruptors: Le Tote, Birchbox, BarkBox, Pijon, Stitch Fix •  Convenience and curated products for consumers •  Recurring revenue model for retailers •  Element of self-gifting •  Beauty is the biggest category •  Fashion-styling subscriptions are becoming popular •  Office supplies present an opportunity 16
  • 47. 47 Sharing Economy: “Uberifying” Virtually Every Industry Disruptors: Uber, Airbnb, Lending Club, WeWork •  Valuations of sharing-economy companies have skyrocketed •  Revenues are projected to catch up to aggressive valuations •  Sharing-economy market: $15 Billion 2013 $335 Billion 2025 CAGR: 29.5% 17
  • 48. 48 Sharing Economy: Millennials Like Sharing Plans, but Want to Own a Car •  20% of millennials take public transit once a week or more, compared with just 7% of Gen Xers and 10% of baby boomers •  35% of millennials indicated that they plan to purchase a vehicle in the next 12 months, compared to 25% of all US adults surveyed •  Millennials lease cars more than any other generation, and are leasing 50% more often today than they were five years ago 17
  • 49. 49 Rental Economy: Fashion Rental Leading Following Rent the Runway, a new generation of fashion-rental companies has emerged Disruptors: Style Lend, VillageLuxe, Le Tote, Lena the Fashion Library and Borrow For Your Bump (maternity) 18
  • 50. 50 Caring Economy Promotes Startups for Social Good Disruptors: TOMS, Reformation, Warby Parker, NOURI, SoapBox Soaps, Zady, GoodXChange •  Promotes social activism over self-indulgence –  Consumers, especially Gen Z, demand integrity from brands and retailers •  Startups with social missions apply market- based strategies to achieve a social goal –  TOMS, the shoe company, has a “one for one” business model –  Reformation designs and manufactures sustainable apparel; sources sustainable fabrics and vintage garments –  Kohl’s Cares gives back to communities with Salina Yoon children’s books 19
  • 51. 51 How an Aging Population Will Change the World
  • 52. 52 Silver Economy: Demographics Create Opportunities •  “The Grey Market” : older consumers may be an engine of growth in the sluggish global economy •  Silvers are those aged 65–85 years old, while super silvers are 85+ •  The United Nations forecasts that the 60+ age group will grow from 12.3% of the global population in 2015 to 16.5% in 2030 •  In 2015, consumers aged 65+ accounted for around $7 trillion, or approximately 17%, of total worldwide consumer spending •  Spending by silvers is expected to grow 114%, 2015 – 2030, outpacing population growth of 56% Source:  UN  Department  of  Economic  and  Social  Affairs,  PopulaQon  Division,   World  Popula0on  Prospects:  The  2015  Revision/InternaQonal  Labour   OrganizaQon,  World  Social  Protec0on  Report  2014–15/Euromonitor   InternaQonal/Fung  Global  Retail  &  Technology   56% 114% Population Spending Estimated Growth in Senior Population and Spending by Seniors, 2015–2030 20
  • 53. 53 Silver Economy: Demographics Create Opportunities •  In 2030, seniors are projected to account for around $15 trillion, or approximately 23.5%, of total spending •  Products for silvers: –  Health apps, cell phones and medical alert devices –  Kanega smartwatch offers discreet support for falls and medication reminders, and guards against wandering 20
  • 54. 54 Internet of Things: Direct-to-Consumer
  • 55. 55 Internet Of Things: Overview •  The global market size of the retail IoT is estimated increase from $14.28 billion in 2015 to $35.64 billion in 2020, representing a 20.07% CAGR. •  It is estimated that in 2020, retailers worldwide will spend $2.5 billion per year on IoT-related hardware: 21
  • 56. 56 Internet of Things: Wearables - Beyond Fitbit •  Wearables are becoming increasingly smart –  Altra IQ Smart Shoes use sensors to give feedback about running and walking habits, revealing why some muscles or joints hurt –  Medical-grade Embrace watch alerts caregivers to any unusual physiological events of watch wearers, Source:  EmpaQca   Source:  BusinessWire   21
  • 57. 57 Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning •  Predictive analytics and machine learning used for generating recommendations; key driver across industries 35% of Amazon sales, 50% of LinkedIn connections and 75% of Netflix views are driven by recommendations Stitch Fix •  Subscription service that uses AI and human judgment to recommend apparel to shoppers •  Subscribers receive a curated box with items Lewk •  An algorithmically curated monthly menswear box 22
  • 58. 58 3D Printing: Clothes, Footwear, and Accessories •  The 3D printing industry was valued at $11 billion in 2015, and is expected to grow to $26.7 billion by 2019, a CAGR of 27%. 23
  • 59. 59 Jewelry/Art Taking Increasing Share of Consumers’ Wallet24 •  High-end consignment jewelry platform •  Merchandise, appraise, photograph and serve •  Partnered with E-bay valet •  Curates emerging artists •  “Democratize" the process of selling artwork •  Connecting artists directly with collectors
  • 60. 60 Israel-China Silk Road •  Are Israel and China creating a Silk Road for startups? •  China is a “mobile first” country •  Chinese companies are developing apps •  In 2014, Chinese investors invested US$302 million in Israeli companies, and in 2015, that number rose to more than US$500 million, a significant increase. 25
  • 61. 61 Bonus Trend: Beauty •  Disruptors: Sephora, Lancôme, Mink, Cover Girl •  Sephora implemented the Virtual Artist, allowing users to try makeup online which they can filter by color, brand, and price •  Lancôme introduced Le Teint Particulier at select Nordstrom stores in which computers scan the users skin tone and customize the final blend using eight different hues. •  Cover Girl’s beauty app, BeautyU, has profiling features to add personalization to recommendations
  • 62. 62 Q & A Deborah Weinswig Managing Director of Fung Global Retail & Technology deborahweinswig@fung1937.com US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 April 14, 2016