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Apresentação Institucional RI - Maio 2012

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Apresentação Institucional RI - Maio 2012

  1. 1. Corporate and Business Strategy • Organic growth. • Margins enhancement through the P3E. • Business and revenues diversification. • Product strategy. • Diversification and expansion of customer base. • Excellence in Customer Experience (ECE). • Market share growth. • Margins improvement. • Product strategy and customer support focus. • Establish Embraer as the defense house of Brazil. • Organic growth and acquisitions. 2
  2. 2. Aircraft Deliveries Commercial Jets Executive Jets 98 126 165 133 125 83 101 105 2 36 37 12 21 21 19 16 1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1Q2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1Q2012 Light Jets - Phenom 2012 deliveries estimates • 105 - 110 commercial jets Large Jets - Legacy & Lineage • 15 - 20 executive large jets • 75 - 85 executive light jets 3
  3. 3. Revenues US$ Million 6,335 5,498 5,364 5,803 5,245 1,156 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1Q2012 2012 Outlook: US$ 5.8 – 6.2 billion 2007-2008: USGAAP * 2009-2012: IFRS 4
  4. 4. Revenues Breakdown Revenues by Segment Revenues by Region Net Revenues US$ Billion 5.49 5.36 5.80 5.49 5.36 5.80 2% 1% 2% 12% 6% 4% 4% 15% 15% 21% 22% 23% 17% 23% 19% 11% 13% 17% 7% 15% 11% 69% 33% 61% 64% 25% 33% 22% 20% 13% 2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011 Commercial aviation Defense and security North America Europe Latin America Executive aviation Others Brazil Asia Pacific Others 5
  5. 5. Firm Backlog US$ Billion 20.9 18.8 16.6 15.6 15.4 14.8 14.7 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1Q2012 6
  6. 6. 83 Airlines from 48 Countries 7
  7. 7. Product Portfolio capacity: 37 seats capacity: 70 to 80 seats range: 1,750 nm (3,250 Km) range: 2,100 nm (3,900 Km) capacity: 44 seats capacity: 78 to 88 seats range: 1,650 nm (3,050 Km) range: 2,000 nm (3,700 Km) capacity: 98 to 114 seats capacity: 50 seats range: 2,400 nm (4,500 Km) range: 1,550 nm (2,900 Km) capacity: 50 seats capacity: 108 to 122 seats range: 2,000 nm (3,700 Km) range: 2,200 nm (4,100 Km) 8
  8. 8. E-Jets Customer Base Evolution Customers/ Operators 1 2 3 4 9 14 19 28 42 60 1018 1000 764 800 EIS 619 Accumulated Firm Orders 600 440 400 343 245 200 110 112 118 60 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008-11 9
  9. 9. Worldwide Distribution Commercial Jets Market Share Evolution Worldwide E-Jets Customer Base by Business Model 60-120 Seats Jets (% of E-Jets Fleet+Backlog) 27% 41% Low Cost Carriers 43% Regional Airlines 32% Network Airlines 30% Firm Orders Backlog 7% 12% 16% 5% 6% 33% 8% 3% 44% 26% 12% 13% 30% Considering Accumulated Net Orders Europe & CIS North America Middle East & Africa Asia Pacific & China Latin America 10
  10. 10. E-Jets Deployment helping airlines to be more efficient World Right-sizing New Markets Replacement of Natural old Jets Growth 11
  11. 11. Embraer Market Forecast (2011-2030) • Scope Clauses relaxation allowing 80-seater aircraft as a natural growth of RJ50s in the US • Right-sizing of narrow-body operations • Regional aviation development in Emerging Markets • Acceleration of replacement of old & inefficient jets Russia / CIS Europe North North 435 155 America America 1,675 580 6% 23% 22% 2,350 840 China China Projected Deliveries- Jets 33% 32% Market Segment 2010 – 2019 2011 2030 Middle 975 340 Africa East (Seats) Deliveries 13% 30-60 430 60 195 80 310 105 Latin Asia 61-90 2,670 1,015 Latin 3% 4% Pacific America America 91-120 4,125 1,550 210 615 30-120 7,225 2,625 315 670 9% 8% 12% 9% Around 7,225 jet deliveries (30-120 seats) in the next 20 years (US$ 320 bi) 12
  12. 12. Competitive Landscape 120 CS100 110 110 Seats E195 Capacity 32'' pitch 100 100 Seats E190 SSJ100/95 90 70-90 Seats ARJ21 MRJ90 CRJ900 E175 80 CRJ700 E170 70 MRJ70 60 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000 Range Nominal 13
  13. 13. More than 460 executive jets in operation. 14
  14. 14. Product Portfolio Aircraft Model Seats / Range Competitors Entry up to 8 occupants/ • Cessna - Mustang CJ1+/M2 Phenom 100 1,178 nm Certified: 2008 • HondaJet • Cessna - CJ2+/CJ3/CJ4 Phenom 300 up to 11 occupants/ • Hawker - PremierIA/400XP Light 1,971 nm • Bombardier - Learjet 40XR Certified: 2009 • SyberJet - SJ30 Under development • Bombardier - Learjet 45XR Mid-light Legacy 450 7 to 9 passengers/ • Cessna - XLS+/Latitude 2,300 nm • Hawker 750 • Bombardier - Learjet 60XR/85 • Cessna - Sovereign Mid-size 8 to 12 passengers/ • Hawker - H900XP Legacy 500 3,000 nm • Gulfstream – G150 • Bombardier - CL300/CL850 • Cessna - X/Ten Super Mid-Size Legacy 600 13 to 14 passengers/ • Dassault - Falcon 2000S 3,400 nm Certified: 2001 • Gulfstream - G200/G280 • Hawker - H4000 Large • Bombardier - CL605/GL5000 Legacy 650 13 to 14 passengers/ • Dassault - Falcon 2000/900LX 3,900 nm Certified: 2010 • Gulfstream - G350/G450 • Bombardier - GL XRS Ultra-Long Range • Gulfstream – G500/G550/G650 • Dassault – Falcon 7X • Airbus - ACJ 318/319/320 Lineage 1000 13 to 19 passengers/ Ultra-large • Boeing – BBJ/BBJ2/BBJ3 4,500 nm Certified: 2008 • SSJ VIP/ ARJ21B / An-148VIP 15
  15. 15. Market Share Revenues share (US$ - based on B&CA list prices) Deliveries share (units) $16.6Bi $19.3Bi $22.2Bi $17.2Bi $18.2Bi $18.1Bi 885 1,040 1,154 870 763 703 8% 6% 5% 6% 10% 7% 3% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% % OEM Share – Total Revenues US$ 8% 8% 8% 4% 10% 7% 9% 6% 6% 16% 16% 14% 11% 4% 5% 4% 6% 7% 3% 14% % OEM Share – Total units 3% 3% 14% 19% 23% 24% 27% 13% 13% 14% 23% 21% 21% 15% 6% 11% 13% 7% 7% 9% 9% 11% 12% 12% 18% 12% 15% 22% 16% 18% 35% 37% 40% 17% 12% 9% 33% 26% 7% 23% 29% 28% 29% 28% 27% 33% 26% 24% 22% 21% 20% 20% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Market Revenues 2011: $18.1 billion Market Deliveries 2011: 703 units Embraer Revenues: $1.0 billion Embraer Deliveries: 99 units Bombardier Dassault Hawker-Beech Embraer Gulfstream Cessna Others 16
  16. 16. 2012-21 Market Forecast World Deliveries ULTRA LARGE New bizjet deliveries (Units) ULTRA-LONG RANGE 1.400 LARGE Forecast SUPER MID-SIZE 1.200 MID-SIZE MID-LIGHT 1.000 LIGHT ENTRY* 800 600 400 200 - 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 11,275 jets  US$ 260 billion over the next 10 years 17
  17. 17. 2012-21 Market Forecast and Embraer Actual Fleet Distribution North America EMB >170 a/c EMEA EMB >150 a/c 5,265 a/c (47%) 3,415 a/c (30%) US$ 109 Bi (42%) US$ 88 Bi (34%) Asia Pacific EMB ~20 a/c 1,690 a/c (15%) US$ 48 Bi (18%) Latin America EMB ~100 a/c Brazil 905 a/c (8%) EMB 90 a/c US$ 16 Bi (6%) 550 a/c (5%) US$ 8 Bi (3%) 18
  18. 18. Pre-owned Inventory: Recovering Business Jets For Sale 3500 28% Fleet older than 10 yrs Fleet from 6 to 10 yrs Fleet up to 5 yrs Positions 3000 24% Fleet up to 5 yrs and positions % for sale (per total active fleet) up to 10 yrs % for sale % active fleet 2500 20% % of of active fleet Units 2000 16% Units 1500 12% 1000 8% 500 4% 0 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 19
  19. 19. Canada Sweden Germany United States United Kingdom¹ Italy Luxembourg Belgium Greece Kuwait¹ Switzerland France Pakistan Spain Portugal Tunisia Thailand Dominican Rep. Libya Honduras Mauritania Egypt Panama Indonesia Mexico Niger Kenya¹ Venezuela Chad Colombia Togo Nigeria India Equatorial Guinea Ecuador Gabon Peru Brazil Argentina Paraguay Angola Chile Uruguay Presence in 48 countries. 20
  20. 20. Embraer Defense and Security Embraer Defense and Security, partners and affiliated companies System of Systems HARPIA ISR (Intelligence, Light attack and advanced Surveillance and Transport of authorities training Reconnaissance) UAV’s Modernization programs Services Tactical military transport Radar 21
  21. 21. Embraer Defense and Security Results Revenues Evolution (US$ Million) 800 GAGR 15% 12.6% 700 31% 12% 600 9% Participation (%) US$ (Million) 500 8% 9% 7% 400 6% 300 6% 200 505 499 670 227 346 3% 100 0 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 EBIT Evolution (%) Backlog Evolution (US$ Billion) 16 4 3.5 13.4 3.2 3.3 14 12.4 12.2 12 11.4 3 10 US$ (Billion) 2 (%) 8 6.3 1.5 6 1.1 1 4 1 2 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 3T11 22
  22. 22. Super Tucano Firm orders: 182 aircraft Addressable Market Forecast 2020 Brazil: 99 (US$ million) Colombia: 25 Long-term 700 Dominican Republic: 8 Chile: 12 Ecuador: 18 Medium-term Indonesia: 8 2,000 Short-term 800 Greystone (TACAir): 1 Undisclosed: 11 Pursuing USAF Light Air Deliveries: 156 aircraft Support competition Total Market Forecast: 300 aircraft US$ 3.5 billion 23
  23. 23. EMBRAER KC-390 • A new tactical military transport and tanker aircraft • First flight in 2014 • Six countries Brazil Colombia Argentina Chile Portugal Czech Rep. (28) (12) (6) (6) (6) (2) • Letters of intent totalizing 60 aircraft Total Market Forecast 2025: 700 aircraft US$ 50+ bi 24
  24. 24. Modernization Programs Addressable Market Forecast 2025 (US$ million) Brazilian Navy A-4 Long-term 567 12 aircraft Two prototype at GPX-CS Brazilian Air Force A-1M 43 aircraft Five received by Embraer for the modernization Medium-term 505 Short-term Brazilian Air Force F-5M 527 46 a/c + 11 a/c (2nd batch) 44 already delivered Total Market Forecast*: 234 aircraft US$ 1.6 billion * Forecast considering the market for F-5 and Tucano modernization F-5M A1-M A-4 25
  25. 25. New Portfolio Command and Control Systems Onboard Systems Simulation Systems Electronic Warfare Systems Intelligence Systems Air Traffic Management and Control Systems System of Systems Security of Critical Infrastructure JV with Elbit/AEL Sistemas where Embraer Public Security Defense and Security has a major (sporting events, HARPIA participation UAV’s cities, states) UAS, simulators and modernization of avionics systems Airport Management Systems SISFRON Air, ground and sea surveillance radars Radar SisGAAZ Remote sensing Engine and Component Maintenance Overhaul and Modernization Services Aerostructure Manufacturing and Assembling 26
  26. 26. Brazilian Army Priorities SISFRON Integrated Borders Monitoring System Estimate: US$ 4 Billion Comprising radars, communication networks, C4I, unmanned air vehicles (UAV) and armored vehicles Comm 9% UAV 12% Sensors 59% SW 20% Satellite Estimate: US$ 400 Million Participation in the first Brazilian Geostationary Satellite 27
  27. 27. Revenues Breakdown Evolution Services Transport 2020 11% 4% Sisfron, Satellite 10% KC-390 34% 2011 KC-390 New Business Services 16% 14% 11% Light Attack and ISR Radar, C4I, UAV, Combat 9% MRO 9% Modernization 18% 30% Light Attack 9% New Business Airport Management Systems Radar, C4I, UAV, SisGAAz (“Blue Amazon” Integrated Management System) MRO Security of Critical Infrastructure 25% Public Security (sporting events, cities, states) 28
  28. 28. 29
  29. 29. 2012 Outlook Expected deliveries: 105 to 110 commercial jets, 75 to 85 light jets and 15 to 20 large jets. 20% 16% Net Revenues US$ 5.8 – 6.2 billion 62% 2% Commercial aviation Executive aviation Defense and security EBIT margin 8.0% – 8.5% Others EBITA margin 11.5% – 12.5% 30
  30. 30. 2012 Outlook Research US$ 100 million TOTAL Development US$ 350 million US$ 650 CAPEX US$ 200 million million US$ Million CAPEX R&D Investment/Revenue 31
  31. 31. Financial Results IFRS 32
  32. 32. Net Revenues / SG&A Expenses Net Revenues - US$ Million SG&A Expenses - US$ Million 186 180 24.3% 173 172 22.5% 23.2% 22.4% 151 21.2% 72 64 71 69 57 2,025 1,359 1,364 109 103 114 109 1,156 94 1,056 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 US$ Net Revenues Gross Margin US$ G&A Expenses Selling Expenses 2010 5,364 19.1% 2010 198 374 2011 5,803 22.5% 2011 262 420 33
  33. 33. Income from Operations / EBITDA Income from Operations - US$ Million EBITDA - US$ Million 12.8% 14.8% 13.8% 8.9% 9.1% 11.3% 7.8% 7.4% -0.3% 2.9% 124 188 106 156 153 148 94 86 59 (6) 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 US$ EBIT EBIT Margin US$ EBITDA EBITDA Margin 2010 392 7.3% 2010 611 11.4% 2011 318 5.5% 2011 557 9.6% 34
  34. 34. Net Income / Free Cash Flow Net Income - US$ Million Free Cash Flow - US$ Million 10.0% 7.1% 5.4% 105 96 0.1% 63 2 -4.5% -92 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 US$ Net Income Net Margin US$ 2010 330 6.2% 2010 287 2011 112 1.9% 2011 1 35
  35. 35. Indebtedness Profile / Net Cash Indebtedness Maturity Net Cash - US$ Million 10% 13% 15% 26% 27% 5.0 4.8 5.7 4.5 4.2 85% 505 87% 74% 74% 446 90% 406 302 193 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Long-term Short-term Loans Average Maturity (Years) Total Debt 1Q12 US$ 2.0 Billion Total Cash 1Q12 US$ 2.3 Billion 36
  36. 36. Investors’ Return EPADS and Pay Out Dividend Yield (%) 115% 68% 53% 52% 34% 35% 26% 4.34 2.64 2.57 3.28 2.11 2.14 1.68 2.91 1.83 2.23 2.13 2.01 0.62 2006 2007 2008 2009* 2010* 2011* 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 EPADS Pay Out 2006-2008: US GAAP * 2009-2011: IFRS 37
  37. 37. Ownership Structure 724,040,044 Voting Shares BLACKROCK,INC THORNBURG 5.2% INVESTMENT 7.2% OPPENHEIMER FUND'S 8.6% BM&FBOVESPA OTHERS BM&F 31.1% NYSE BOVESPA 53% 47% NYSE OTHERS 31.7% BNDESPAR PREVI 5.5% 10.7% March, 2012 38
  38. 38. Sustainability Initiatives ISO 14001 and OHSAS 18001 Certifications Brazilian Alliance for Bio-fuel 1st ethanol powered aircraft in the World Social Activities Reforestation Projects Ipanema Recycling Corporate Values Greener Technology 40
  39. 39. Lean Results: E-Jets Final Assembly Line Transformation “Dock” layout - 2008 Assembly Line – 2009 Assembly Line – 2011 Performance indicators May/2008 July/2009 Sep/2009 June/2010 Mar/11 Out/11 (15ac/month) (10ac/month) (10ac/month) (8ac/month) (10ac/month) (12ac/month) Number of positions 12 6 5 4 4 4 Cycle time (days) 18 12 10 8 8 7 Work in process (US$mi) 212 106 95 89 68 68 Number of non-conformity per a/c 32 7 1,7 0 0 0 Over time (% of work hours) 10 1,5 1,5 0,2 0 0 41
  40. 40. P3E Results Kaizen - E-Jets Cycle Reduction Cost of Non Quality Reduction Lead Time (E-Jets) Cost of Non Quality 40% 44% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 40% reduction on the production cycle 44% reduction on CNQ 42
  41. 41. “Boa Idéia” Program Evolution 28,3 Cost: US$ 18.9 mi 22,7 24,0 22,7 Benefit: US$ 175.5 mi 14,5 12,7 10,7 10,6 9,1 8,4 7,2 3,5 3,1 1,6 2,5 2,2 2,5 0,9 1,2 1,6 1,3 0,4 0,5 0,8 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
  42. 42. Forward Looking Statement This presentation includes forward-looking statements or statements about events or circumstances which have not occurred. We have based these forward-looking statements largely on our current expectations and projections about future events and financial trends affecting our business and our future financial performance. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, among other things: general economic, political and business conditions, both in Brazil and in our market. The words “believes,” “may,” “will,” “estimates,” “continues,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “expects” and similar words are intended to identify forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligations to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements because of new information, future events or other factors. In light of these risks and uncertainties, the forward-looking events and circumstances discussed in this presentation might not occur. Our actual results could differ substantially from those anticipated in our forward-looking statements.

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