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The Golden Age of AI
1. The Golden Age of AI
Opportunities and Challenges
Chris Evdemon
Partner
Sinovation Ventures
November 2016
2. 10 years from now, Artificial Intelligence will replace 90% of the world’s ...
• Can you play a million Chess games a day, while learning like AlphaGo?
• Absorb the cumulative daily experience of Tesla from a million vehicles?
• Instantly compare all of the world’s airport cameras against all wanted criminals’
faces?
Translation Reporters Assistants Security Taxis
Sales Services Traders Accounting Maids
Artificial Intelligence is not just an "imitation of the human", but it usually
goes "far beyond human” abilities …
AI will be the greatest value creation engine
3. 70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Human eye
Deep learning
Medical Sciences
Automated and auxiliary diagnosis,
personalized diagnosis, gene sequencing.
Education
Foreign languages, personalized adaptive
learning.
Banking and Insurance
Targeted marketing, loan approval, credit card
fraud prevention
Recognition
Voice, face, video content applications for
security, customer service, etc.
Investments
AI + high frequency trading, prediction
engines, etc.
Internet Analytics
Purchase conversion, recommendation,
pricing, targeting, SNS marketing.
Business Intelligence and Process Automation
Deep Learning revolution
5. Why AI works now?
5
Conditions
of
AI
Clear
Boundaries
Auto-
Collected
Feedback
Loop
Computing
Resources
Big Data
(ideally
closed-loop)
Top Data
Scientists
Prof. Yang Qiang, HKUST
6. 1 2
3 4
Own end-to-end data
Hire best scientists
Buy hardware optimized for AI
$100,000,000 $400,000,000
Train young people in “AI alchemy”
The right AI approach
7. 1 2
3 4
Assist and not replace people
“Trick”users to provide data
“Error-tolerant”user interface
Constrained application scenarios
“无人驾驶”
Navigating for the short-term
8. L1:
(AI as input to
humans)
Vision
Voice
Language
Gesture
Industrial
and
Commercial
Robots
Home
Robots
Big Data Perception Robotics
Autonomous
Driving
Stage3–5yr5–10yr10yr+
Internet
Analytics
All-terrain fully
autonomous
driving
L2-3:
(AI assisting
human driver)
AR/VR and
new natural
interface
Cross-domain and general
natural language
understanding
L4
(Human assisting
AI)
Investments
Insurance
Banking
Healthcare
Education and
any industry with big
data
Artificial intelligence + computing architecture
+ algorithm framework + sensing platform
Business
Intelligence
and
process
automation
Mass
produced
sensors
Understanding
Sensors:
infrared,
depth
camera,
gyroscope,
Lidar, etc.
AI roadmap
Typical
Duration of an
Early Stage VC
Fund
9. PC era Internet era Mobile Internet era AI era
YOU
Bill Gates
Born in 1955
Steve Jobs
Born in 1955
Jeff Bezos
Born in 1964
Jerry Yang
Born in 1968
Kevin Systrom
Born in 1983
Evan Spiegel
Born in 1990
The AI era is YOURS!
10. Internet era App era O2O era AI era
Returnees
Product manager
On-the-ground Sales
+
Back-end
Technologist
AI Scientists
+
Enterprise Sales Leader
YOU
The AI era needs a different type of founders
11. Research
Start-Up
Local start-up Local start-up
Chinese start-up (U.S. team) U.S. start-up (China team)
Own start-up Own start-up
YOUR CAREER CHOICES
Industry
Local company Local company
Chinese company (U.S. ops) U.S. company (China ops)
Increasing
risk and
return
12. Overflow of capital.
Staging deliverables.
Limited talent pool.
Big corporates’ muscle.
One-dimensional team.
Building a business.
Building for the long-term.
Challenges for AI start-up projects
13. $7/hour$15/hour
From creating additional revenue for
millions of people around the world
to … eliminating it!
Partial vs. complete substitution of human labour
Social implications of AI
14. The U.S. – China relationship: “it’s complicated” …
15. Attract top AI talent
Collecting
industry big data
Build up a platform
and clusters
Top engineers
Collaborating with
industry leaders
Researching
the best AI
opportunities
AI Institute - Incubation
Sinovation Ventures AI strategy
Series A + B
Start-Up
Local company Local company
Chinese company U.S. company
Own start-up Own start-up
16. 300+ 创业公司
天使投资
人
国内外企业
13,000+创业者
Team, offices, and partnerships with leading corporations
in the three largest economic regions in China.
A complete cross-border business services ecosystem
Presence, resources and investment activity in Silicon Valley.
18. Join the 工场 family!
Thank you.
chris@sinovationventures.com
ricky@sinovationventures.com
@SinovationVC
Notas del editor
From supervised to unsupervised (looking for optimal return), to transferring knowledge from existing solutions to new problems.
All this favours big companies.
一步一步的. The problem with venture capital.
B2C vs. B2B. For China you always need a 草根 (grassroots) component too.
Most and best choices in the world. Two most important ecosystems and markets. SV and Beijing. Personal choice, no right or wrong. Industry and start-up both offer opportunities to be at the forefront of the AI evolution. Glass ceiling in the U.S. Relocalization in China. Chinese companies operating in the U.S. need to learn from the mistakes of the U.S. companies entering China. 入乡随俗 (“when in Rome do as the Romans do”).
AI not a sector, like mobile internet wasn’t. Too much capital. Realizing how important tech is in creating new jobs, the Chinese government has embarked on one of the largest efforts ever to spark innovation by funneling some $383 billion into 911 government guidance funds, an assortment of different types of funds whose goals are policy before profits. Arbitrage in valuations. Investors do not have the right background. AR/VR examples of Chinese investments. Google, Intel, IBM, Microsoft, Salesforce, Apple, Amazon. Companies getting desperate of missing the AI train and rushing to jump onboard.
Interdependent economies but trying to reduce that. Political situation deteriorating by the month (HK/Taiwan/SE Asia/Trump). Immigration in the US becoming tougher. China encourages capital inflows / outflows but controls scope very tightly. Tencent/Webank example. U.S. concerned with IP going to China.
Designed for maximum options. Led by Kai-Fu himself. $500M available to invest between USD / RMB and publicly listed entity in 新三板.
工场 is not a normal VC firm. Full service model. $1.2B under management. More than 300 portfolio companies, 36 in the U.S., 13,000 persons employed, 4 offices, 60 people staff, top tier LPs incl. value add corporates like Foxconn. AI is a truly cross-border opportunity, and 工场 is a truly cross-border fund.