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Renewables IPO Seminar

A changing climate for IPOs?




4th April 2011
Neil Matthews
The IPO Voyage
What we will cover today:

• Market conditions and outlook
• Current trends in the markets
• Choice of markets – influencing
  factors
• Preparing for the IPO – particular
  issues facing the clean energy sector
• Practical tips for a successful IPO
Climatic conditions
London markets - 2010 in review
• IPOs - Total 89 IPOs raising £10bn   (2009 = 22 / £1.7bn)
   – Main Market = 46 IPOs raising £9bn     (2009 = 9 / £0.9bn)
   – AIM = 43 IPOs raising £1bn   (2009 = 13 / £0.6bn)
• 2010 highlights include:
   – Main Market – Essar, Ocado, Betfair, SuperGroup,
     Flybe, AZE
   – AIM – EMIS Group, Halosource Inc, Ncondezi Coal
   – Natural resouces / energy still dominate (esp. AIM)
• AIM generally out of favour; lack of good UK candidates
• Slow start to 2011. Funds flow out of bonds into equities
  continues but recent volatility threatens IPO chances
Climatic conditions
Outlook:

• Market sentiment improving for IPOs after sole focus
  on secondary issues in 2008/9
• Investor preference remaining for Main Market IPOs
• Our experience:
   – Flybe Group plc, AZ Electronics etc
• AIM = will remain tough but some successes (e.g.
  Ilika plc)
• Increasing competition from other stock markets
Current Trends (1) – favoured listing
locations?

• Hong Kong 
                             New York 
                                                   London

• Key determinants
   – Sizeable capital raising?
   – Valuation / rating?
   – Creation of liquidity?
   – Exposure/ profile raising in local
     jurisdiction?
• Cleantech/energy …………?? …still up for grabs !!
Current Trends (2) – emerging markets


Emerging markets companies in London:
– Russia – active again (particularly GDR offerings)
– China – difficult and looking elsewhere
  (e.g. Frankfurt?)
– India – a little patchy
– Other jurisdictions
Choice of Markets: London

• AIM:
   – still reputational challenges although fundamentally a
     robust and appropriately regulated environment.
   – needs more fiscal incentives / liquidity drivers to kick
     start it again
   – Nomad concerns over increasing burden on them
• Main Market: Premium listing:
   – back in favour although highly regulated and thus
     compliance is expensive
• Main Market: Standard listing:
   – limited regulation although voluntary compliance with
     higher standards not uncommon. Used in specific
     circumstances.
What is required to join the UK’s markets?
Investor expectations of an applicant are:
          strong             market appetite
        management
           team               for the sector




     long term
  commitment from              viable business plan
    directors/key
    shareholders

                                transparency
       good corporate            of ownership
         governance             and accounting
Preparing for the IPO (1)
Key issues – corporate structuring
• Creating the IPO structure
• For UK companies:
   – converting to / re-registering as a PLC
   – …or establish Newco and effect share
     exchange
   – careful handing – a clear steps-plan
   – early involvement/implementation
     is key
• For overseas entities:
   – Choice of Holdco jurisdiction (drivers =
     tax, investor protection, settlement issues,
     reputation etc)
   – Again, early stage planning
Preparing for the IPO (2)
Due diligence issues - protecting your assets

• capture your assets
   – make sure you own them
• protect your assets
   – eg patents/design rights etc
   – confidential information
• exploit your assets
   – jvs/sale of IPR/licensing
• remove non-core assets
Preparing for the IPO (3)
Other issues
• optimise financing structures
• pre-IPO housekeeping (e.g. any disputes,
  claims, litigation etc)
• corporate governance – strengthening the
  board – this takes time
• financial systems/ reporting
  procedures?
• new share/ incentive schemes.

NB: identify issues at an early stage!!
The process
 Why does it take so long?
• selecting the advisory team
• legal & financial due diligence
• pre-IPO restructuring
• preparing the Prospectus /        Typically -
  Admission Document                6 - 12
• verification                      months
• marketing - the roadshow
• placing and pricing
• Admission and dealings
  commence
Smoothing the way for a successful IPO
Top tips
• Don’t under-estimate the time
  commitment needed
• Plan ahead – don’t leave issues until
  the last minute
• Ensure you have adequate internal &
  external resource available
• Pick the right advisory team
• Expect some highs and lows
  along the way
Neil Matthews
Head of equity capital markets group
            Tel:       +44 (0) 845 497 4880
            Mobile:    +44 (0) 776 786 3390
            E-mail:    neilmatthews@eversheds.com
            Address:   One Wood Street
                       London EC2V 7WS



Eversheds LLP
• One of the leading mid-market ECM practices
• 92 UK stock market clients (over 60 listed on Main
   Market)
• AIM Law Firm of the Year 2008/9 & 2009/10
• Member of LSE AIM Advisory Group
• Acted on approx 10% of all UK public company
   acquisitions in last 5 years
Equity Capital Markets
A selection of our recent deals
© EVERSHEDS LLP 2010. Eversheds LLP is a limited liability partnership.
Renewables IPO Seminar
4 April 2010
Global leader for capital raising


• World’s leading market in terms of access to international investors and capital
• World’s most diverse market in terms of international quoted companies
• 3rd largest global equity market by market capitalsiation
• Europe’s highly traded equity market by value traded
• Supported by one of the World’s most highly experienced advisory communities




                                                                                     2
Routes to market

• The London Stock Exchange offers a range offers different routes to raise capital from
  the equity market, each designed to appeal to different companies and investors
• Three options for commercial companies:
     – AIM
          – growth market aimed at smaller and/or younger companies
          – unique regulatory framework
          – AIM focused indices available
     – Main Market, Premium
          – premium product weighted more towards established and/or larger companies
          – highest level of regulation applies
          – UK index inclusion
     – Main Market, Standard
          – lower level of regulation compared with Premium listing and AIM
          – useful for special situations (special acquisition vehicle, nearly eligible for Premium)
          – no index inclusion
• Specialist Fund Market also available to funds focused at sophisticated investors
                                                                                                       3
Cleantech companies at a glance


                                                                        Main Market    AIM


Number of cleantech companies                                           39             80


Average amount raised at admission                                      £34m           £36m


Total amount raised at admission                                        £4,702m        £4,589m


Total raised in further issues                                          £5,292.75m     £5,060.42m


Total market capitalisation                                             £59,513,685m   £51,742,221m


Number of UK companies                                                  38             62




Source: London Stock Exchange statistics and ProQuote data 31.03.2011                                 4
Cleantech sectors represented on AIM & MM


                 Renewable & Alternative Energy
                                                                                                           34

                                   Energy Efficiency
                                                                                                                37

               Waste Management & Technologies
                                                                                                      20

                   Environmental Support Services
                                                                                                      20

                                    Pollution Control
                                                                                          11

             Water Infrastructure & Technologies
                                                                                             12

                                   Financial Services
                                                                  2

                                            Electricity
                                                                      3

                                  Alternative Energy
                                                              1




Source: London Stock Exchange Statistics 31.03.11, FTSE Environmental Markets Classification System
definitions used where relevant                                                                                      5
Number of Cleantech companies (AIM & MM) by
market capitalisation (£m)
                  47




                                   25


                                                                                                               16


                                                      8                         8
                                                                     5                    4          4
                                                                                                                         1


                 0-25            25-75            75-125           125-200   200- 350   350-700   700-1,000   1,000-   10,000+
                                                                                                              10,000




Source: London Stock Exchange Statistic, and ProQuote 31.03.2011                                                                 6
IPO activity – Q1 2011
                                                                                           Mkt cap      Funds
Date        Company                            Market     Sector                            (£m)     raised (£m)


10 Jan-11   Hazel Renewable Energy VCT 1       Premium    Equity Investment Instruments      5.4         5.4
10 Jan-11   Hazel Renewable Energy VCT 2       Premium    Equity Investment Instruments      5.4         5.4
12 Jan-11   Marwyn Mngt Partners Plc           Standard   General Financial                  6           6
20 Jan-11   Farglory Land Development Co       Standard   Real Estate Investments & Serv    131.6      131.6
31 Jan-11   Frontier IP Group Plc                AIM      Support Services                   3.4         1
17 Feb-11   Justice Holdings Limited           Standard   Special Purpose Acquisition Co    900         900
1 Mar-11    Octopus Titan VCT 5 PLC            Premium    Equity Investment Instruments      5.5         5.5
14 Mar-11   Duet Real Estate Finance Limited   Premium    Equity Investment Instruments      50          50
17 Mar-11   Trap Oil Group plc                   AIM      Oil and Gas                       78.3         60
23 Mar-11   Hoang Anh Gia Lai JSC                PSM      Diversified                        38          38
31 Mar-11   Top Creation Investments Ltd         AIM      Equity Investment Instruments      3           3




                                                                                                               7
IPO activity – live Intention to Floats
    Date                                        Country                                    Mkt cap
 announced    Company                Market     of origin    Sector                         (£m)

28 Feb-11    Skrill Group plc       Premium    UK           Financial Services              415
 3 Mar-11    Diverse Income Trust   Premium    UK           Equity Investment Instrument     50
10 Mar-11    Perform Group plc      Premium    UK           Media                           700
14 Mar-11    Edwards Group          Premium    UK           Industrial Engineering          1,300
23 Mar-11    Etalon Group Limited   Standard   Russia       Real Estate                     310
23 Mar 11    Nomos Bank             Standard   Russia       Banks                           370




                                                                                                     8
IPO Outlook


•   Economic growth slow in developed countries, higher in emerging
•   IPO activity increased during Q4 2010
•   Moderate Q1, anticipate stronger Q2 2011
•   “Operating companies” return to IPO
•   M&A activity underpinning valuations and recycling cash for investors
•   Institutional investors long on cash / low interest rates / appetite for
    risk to deliver returns
•   Lack of debt / trade sales and PE secondary sales still slow
•   Geo-political uncertainty & oil prices




                                                                               9
Eversheds IPO Seminar
Presentation by Novusmodus
   Novusmodus is a VC/Development Capital investment firm
        in the renewable and cleantech sector

       We are the adviser to ESB Novusmodus Fund LP, a
        €200m fund established in August 2009 where ESB is the
        only investor
         ESB provides a unique perspective on the utility market, and direct
          access to engineering and sector specialist expertise

       The team is based in London, Dublin, and Munich
         a European focus, a global mandate


1
   All things to do with clean, low-carbon generation, and
        the efficient delivery and usage of electricity and heat

       €3m - €20m equity investments

       Significant minority positions and board representation

       5-6 year investment horizon

       Open to consider co-investments with other funds


2
    Albeit independent, we have a deep relationship with
         ESB
            Leverage expertise within dedicated ESB teams




        Provide expert skills and management support to
         investee companies
        Utility Expertise and Engineering
                                              •   Carbon neutral by 2035
               International Reach            •   c.€20bn investment program
                                              •   €6.5bn asset value
                                              •   International presence in over 50
               Cornerstone Investor               countries
                                              •   1,100 consulting engineers out of 7,000
3
                                                  staff
Bridging the Financing Gap
      Between the VC and PE stages

4
EU 20:20:20 Targets       $$$$$$$$$        Huge investment

       €200 billion per major economy
       DECC spending = 1/3 of defence spending by 2020
       DECC will be spending more than police + justice +
        prisons
            Utilities             $$           Cash constrained


       Focusing on large projects e.g. Offshore or nuclear
       Don’t really buy the green story... Will governments
        really do something economically irrational?

5   Investment in renewable infrastructure companies is a must
   Debt
       Venture Capital
       Private Equity
       Infrastructure Funds
       Retail Investors
       Institutional investors
6
Renewable Energy
                             EDF Energies Nouvelles
                                                                                                                   Generation
                        60                                                                        140




                                                                                   Share Price (£p)
                                                                                                  120
    Share Price (€)




                        50
                                                                                                  100
                        40
                                                                                                      80
                        30
                                                                                                      60
                        20                                                                            40
                        10                                                                            20
                             N ov-06 Jul-07 Mar-08 N ov-08 Jul-09 Mar-10 N ov-10                       Dec-06 Aug-07 Apr-08 Dec-08 Aug-09 Apr-10 Dec-10




                                 Iberdrola Renovable                                                            EDP Renováveis
                             7                                                                        10
                             6
           Share Price (€)




                                                                                   Share Price (€)

                                                                                                      8
                             5
                             4                                                                        6
                             3
                                                                                                      4
                             2
                             1                                                                        2
                             Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10                          Jun-08   Dec-08   Jun-09   Dec-09   Jun-10   Dec-10
7
Interest Rates* at all time
                                                                                                            Inflation** high and rising
                         low
                        8.0%                                                                                6.0%
    3-mth LIBOR (U K)




                                                                                          Change over LTM
                                                                                                            5.0%
                        6.0%
                                                                                                            4.0%
                        4.0%                                                                                3.0%
                                                                                                            2.0%
                        2.0%
                                                                                                            1.0%
                        0.0%                                                                                0.0%
                          Mar-06       Mar-07   Mar-08   Mar-09    Mar-10     Mar-11                          Mar-06   Mar-07   Mar-08   Mar-09    Mar-10




                                                FTSE 100 – Same level as 5 years ago
                               7,000
                               6,000
                               5,000
                               4,000
                               3,000
                                   Mar-06                Mar-07                 Mar-08    Mar-09                           Mar-10                 Mar-11
8
                   * 3-month UK BBA LIBOR
                   * *All items excluding mortgage interest payments and indirect taxes
   Proven technology
       Strong levels of government support
         Grandfathering

       Long dated
       Predictable
       Inflation-linked
                    The perfect investment!
9
Renewable infrastructure assets =
        higher return for same given level of risk

     Risk
                                                             Toll
                                                            Road

                                                           Airport

                                                 Water
                                                                    Biomas
                                                                       s
                        PFI                       Wind

                                        Solar
10
            Source: Richard Nourse                                   Return
Access to investors
                     who focus on absolute low risk-return

        Deep pockets
        Long arms

               8-10% nominal return is amazing
                        compared to other investments

        Strong yield
        Low risk

11
Small sector       Just 1 GW /year of onshore wind consented in the
                           UK
      Offshore is risky    No real track record


      Biomass is risky     Sustainability issues


      Government risk      FIT row back not a shining example


      Complex drivers      Each country has its own regulations / support


     Developing thinking   Green deal is massive but who takes the risk?

12
   Government must be more thoughtful
        Lower complexity
        Mergers & acquisitions
        Professionalise management
        Private placement? Like USPP



13
Nomura Code Securities Limited




 What investors look for in an IPO

      Eversheds Renewables IPO seminar
                                 4th April 2011



                             Ken Rumph
                             Nomura Code

                           kcr@nomuracode.com
                              0207 776 1242




                                                  © Nomura International plc
Important Notice
Disclaimer

This presentation has been prepared by, and is subject to the copyright of, Nomura Code Securities Limited (“Nomura Code”). No part of this presentation may be
reproduced, transmitted, stored in a retrieval system or translated in any other language in any form, by any means without the prior written consent of Nomura
Code.

This presentation is confidential and has been furnished to the intended recipient solely for such recipient‟s information and private use and may not be referred
to, disclosed, reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, to any other person.

This presentation has been prepared on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data and other sources believed to be reliable. This
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is made and no reliance should be placed on the accuracy, completeness or correctness thereof. The information contained, and any opinions expressed, in this
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designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment
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Nomura Code Securities Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange.




                                                                                                                                                                Page 2
Focus on water and efficiency, as well as renewables

   Most Cleantech investment banks are focussed on renewables, particularly
    solar…
   … but Nomura has a global focus on efficiency
     Investors prefer the economic and regulatory drivers for efficiency, vs. the subsidy-
      dependence of solar PV in particular
     Process efficiency stocks in London and elsewhere have performed well
     Smart grids (power and water) attracting attention from investors and corporates


   Water is a growing theme for investors
     Shortage of fresh water (desalination, recycling, efficiency/leaks)
     Waste water treatment
     Water purification
     Overlap with agricultural/irrigation demand – another theme for investors
     Fitting in with these trends is important for smaller/earlier stage companies to gain attention
      from investors or attract premiums in M&A




                                                                                                        Page 3
Nomura Code research on public companies …




                                             Page 4
… and on private VC-backed companies




The ability to produce research from the same analysts and in the same format as listed company equity
             research is a differentiating factor, adding credibility and familiarity for investors
                                                                                                   Page 5
Nomura’s global coverage of water, renewables and the energy-
efficiency/climate change aspect is second to none




                                                                Page 6
Page 7
Cleantech – early stage companies
Many cleantech or environmental companies at IPO are early stage –
 perhaps pre-revenue, often not yet profitable. In these circumstances,
 investors will expect, and benefit from

 Milestones, past and future
      Provide a measure of performance, financial, operational or technical
      Past progress provides a sense of development and momentum
      Ideally future milestones should be well spaced (to provide regular indications
       that the company is on schedule) and have room for (inevitable) delays

 Management skills
      A business may be young, but (some of) its management should display
       experience of success in similar early stage businesses
      Investors expect management to be enthusiastic but realistic

 Funds raised for acquisitions
      If you‟re raising funds to acquire assets or businesses
      Why will you get a better deal than other buyers?
      Why are the sellers selling?

                                                                                         Page 8
Cleantech – valuation
 Peers, real and apparent
      Investors will tend to draw comparisons with similar companies, UK and
       elsewhere
      Your broker should identify the types of company investors will compare your
       company with – not necessarily by industry sector, but by stage of development
      Some sub-sectors are well defined and have many peers – eg solar – in which
       case you will meet more experienced investors and tend to define yourself
       versus that peer group
      Other companies will find themselves „alone‟ – Modern Water, Zenergy and
       SeaEnergy are all examples (tomorrow) – more general comparisons are made,
       and more work is needed in educating investors about the sector
      Investors may identify peers that you don‟t accept – explain why
      Your competitors are not your (investment) competitors
 Past funding sets a benchmark
    Previous share transactions or funding rounds set a benchmark
    If investors see that a private funding round occurred recently at a given price,
     they will generally be reluctant to pay a much higher price



                                                                                         Page 9
Cleantech – pros and cons
Pros
 A strong theme, with specialist and generalist investors‟ attention
      But specialists want the same things as generalists – a good investment
       case
      Generalists are wary of (past) hype and overvaluation
      „Saving the world‟ alone will not be a sufficient case for investment
      Making money alone will also not be sufficient (in the environmental,
       cleantech space)


Cons
 „Cleantech‟ or environment is not a well-defined sector
      Investors will want to understand the specific drivers for a business
      Most investors in small- and mid-sized IPOs are generalists, so education
       about the drivers and the business is always needed
      Is this a regulation-driven business, supported by subsidies, or influenced
       by market prices (carbon, fossil fuels) – each will have its specifics and
       vulnerabilities



                                                                                     Page 10
Investors want: the perfect company

They know they won‟t get a perfect company, but each defect will have a
 price. Common defects are:

 Existing shareholders are selling
      For entrepreneurs, this is understandable
      Investors will expect the entrepreneur to retain a stake
      And sales at IPO are better than later – a lock-in would be normal
      VCs are also expected to sell in time
      Willingness to accept PE LBO-type exits is limited (currently)

 Funds raised to reduce debt
      Investors will accept some debt reduction, but prefer companies to raise
       funds to grow the value of the business

 Lack of a complete or conforming management/board
      Investors expect a CEO, CFO, Chairman, independent directors
      The roadshow team should involve operations and finance


                                                                                  Page 11
Know your investors

 Before the IPO – find the right investors
      What sort of investor should be buying into your IPO?
      It might seem desirable to take anyone‟s money, but the consequences of
       having the wrong kind of investor, or investors with the wrong expectations
       will be bad for your company‟s strategy and share price
      Many large institutions have many different potential buyers of your shares
       – different fund managers, different funds, different locations and business
       units – expect to meet more than one individual in many firms
      Your broker should help you navigate this terrain (before and after the IPO),
       describing the type of fund manager, providing feedback

 Shareholders will sell
      As fund managers change their views, the company changes, individuals
       change, the fund needs to raise cash, or the holding becomes too large (or
       small) – don‟t be surprised or hold grudges
      Continue to market your company to new (and previous) shareholders – the
       best recipe for a good share price is new buyers to take stock from
       inevitable sellers (insiders included)


                                                                                       Page 12
After the IPO – when things go wrong
• Not the rating, but the earnings
      What ever the valuation basis, investors know from experience with small-
       and mid-cap companies, that disappointing performance after IPO comes
       far more often from failure to meet forecasts than from paying the wrong
       valuation of those forecasts (larger mature companies may differ)
      What is the basis of the earnings forecasts investors have read in broker
       research (which will determine „consensus‟ expectations) and what are
       the risks


• When things go wrong
      Investors are realistic
      But they want to know as early as possible when things go wrong
      Handle inevitable problems well and you will benefit
      Early disclosure builds confidence and support
      Missing expectations significantly on the upside also gives an
       impression of riskiness



                                                                                   Page 13
After the IPO

 Keep communicating
      You became a public company for a reason – be public
      Even if you don‟t need to raise capital now, a languishing share price can be a
       vulnerability or present an image of decline
      Be aware of what „peers‟ are doing, saying, how they are performing
      Communication is not just results, or even „news‟
      Expect to visit UK investors twice a year at least, in person
      Visits to sites, conference presentations, etc also count


 Investors like to support successful companies with more money
      In general, small- and mid-cap managers want small companies to grow – both
       organically, but often via secondary equity issues, provided the business is
       going to plan
      Investors generally like to invest more money for the right reasons (growth) but
       not for the wrong reasons („we used up the first lot‟)



                                                                                          Page 14
IPO companies – questions that need answers
 Why isn‟t someone else doing this already (if its so great)? Or, who are
  your competitors, and how do they compare?
 Why will customers buy your product/service? Explain the economic value
  proposition!
 How do you (and hence the investors) make money? Explain your
  business model!
 Why are you selling (part of) your company? How long are VCs, directors
  locked up for?
 What policies, subsidies, prices affect your business? With what sensitivity
 What worries you? What could go wrong? What are the upside/downside
  risks?
 (When) will there be value-enhancing newsflow?




                                                                                 Page 15
Pitching: Less Greenery. More Greenbacks

Focus will tend to be on commercialisation – not technology or
green credentials.

      Who is going to buy your product/service?
      Why? At what price versus competition? What are the economics for
       the customer?
      How will you find and convert your customer? Do you understand the
       distribution channels, and the motives of the participants? Why will they
       buy from you, a small early stage company?
      Market segmentation may be appropriate? Niche sales first, versus the
       mass market?
      Who is your head salesperson?
      Timetables – enthusiastic but realistic




                                                                                   Page 16
What Investors like and don’t like…
• More than particular sectors, investors like/dislike characteristics

• Best of all, an economic case that doesn’t rely on external help

• Regulations preferred to subsidies: due to widespread public spending
  cuts and bad experiences in Spain, investors are wary of reliance on
  subsidies (eg renewable tariffs, etc) and turning towards regulation-driven
  sectors
         E.g. REACH, Landfill tax/targets, fuel efficiency, product bans
         Or businesses where any subsidy is privately funded
• Global statistics on investment are often mis-leading:
         ‘VC’ investment is mixed with private equity/infrastructure finance –
          investing in a new waste treatment technology company is pure
          cleantech investment, financing a windfarm or a landfill gas or waste
          treatment plant may be more utility/infrastructure
         Sector is hard to define – more efficient coal fired power stations and
          insulating lofts are cleantech in emissions reduction terms.

                                                                                    Page 17
Cleantech Funding and M&A conditions
                                                             Trends in VC/PE, M&A and IPOs in Cleantech
                                                   $200bn
                                                   $180bn
   VC/PE, IPOs and M&A all show similar           $160bn                             VC/PE
                                                   $140bn                             M&A
    patterns, tentative signs of recovery during
                                                   $120bn                             IPOs
    2010                                           $100bn
   Figures often include utilities or general      $80bn
                                                    $60bn
    industrials as cleantech
                                                    $40bn
                                                    $20bn
                                                     $0bn
                                                             2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
                                                                                                                ytd

                                                                           VC vs. PE investment
   Venture Capital & Private Equity flows are     $60bn
    large
                                                   $50bn
   But dominated by major corporate buyouts
                                                                 PE - buy-outs, etc
                                                   $40bn
   VC-type funding is a small portion                           PE - expansion capital
                                                   $30bn
                                                                 VC
                                                   $20bn

                                                   $10bn

                                                    $0bn
                                                            2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
                                                                                                             Page 18
                                                                                                               ytd
                                                                                                               Page 18
Cleantech Funding and M&A conditions
                                           Share of 1996-2010 VC funding by sub-sector
                                                                         Solar
                                                 Other                   27%
                                        Biomass & 6%
                                          Waste
                                            4%
                                       Wind
                                       4%

                                       Fuel Cells                                       EE transport
                                          5%                                                11%
                                           Power
                                           Storage                                      EE built
                                             8%                                       environment
                                                                                          10%
                                               Biofuels
                                                 10%                     EE digital
                                                             EE supply    energy
                                               EE industry                 8%
                                                               side
                                                   2%
                                                                5%



             Although „Solar‟ has been a large part of VC funding, this has been dominated by solar PV
              utilities/park developers, and by solar PV technology companies

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
                                                                                                          Page 19
Ken Rumph




Ken Rumph joined Nomura Code in September 2009 having built Clear Capital/Noble‟s climate
change coverage between 2007 - 2009.

Ken specialises in energy and resource efficiency, including water, waste and recycling.

Ken graduated in Natural Sciences from Trinity, Cambridge and had held roles as a fund
manager and buy-side analyst at Scottish Amicable and as a sell-side global building materials
analyst at UBS and Merrill Lynch.

Repenting his emissions-intensive ways, Ken undertook a masters in Environmental
Management at Cranfield in 2006/7 and is a member of the Institute of Environmental
Management and Assessment




                                                                                                 Page 20
Regulation and
getting the finances right
Andrew Perkins and David Wilkinson
Agenda


►    Introduction to Ernst & Young
►    Renewable energy market outlook
►    Diversifying global portfolios
►    Accessing capital

          Andrew Perkins
          Partner
          Energy and Environmental Infrastructure Advisory
          Ernst & Young
          aperkins@uk.ey.com
          Tel +44 (0)11 7981 2325
          Mob: +44 (0)7799 072523




Page 2
Ernst & Young EU network of renewable
energy specialists

               Transaction Advisory
                     Services



                   UK global
                    centre of
         Tax                        Assurance
                   renewable
                    expertise



               Investment Banking




Page 3
The need for regulatory certainty

Short term market volatility                        Long term market outlook

► The threat of cuts in European feed in tariff’s   ► Fundamental drivers of renewable energy
  have created uncertainty amongst the                investment still remain:
  investment community e.g. Spain, UK, Italy             ►   Increasing energy requirements
► Arguably only Spanish Solar was retrospective          ►   EU 2020 renewable energy targets
► Returns on sovereign risk often makes                  ►   Security of supply
  renewables look expensive
                                                         ►   EU GHG emission limits
► Uncertainty due to new legislative requirements
  e.g. UK Electricity market reform                      ►   Consumer demand
► Fluid planning regimes and long lead times        ► Transparent, long term policies can stimulate
  make feed in tariff allocation uncertain            investment and the development of global
                                                      supply chains e.g. German feed in tariff regime
► Lack of a universal carbon price to support
  renewables investment                             ► Innovative policies to encourage domestic
                                                      supply chain growth e.g. Tariff premium in
                                                      Turkey




Page 4
Diversifying global investments

► Developing a balanced, global portfolio across multiple sectors can help reduce exposure to policy and
  individual country market risk
► Investment risk decreases with market maturity as additional benefits are realised e.g. Jobs growth,
  development of manufacturing bases
► Tailoring investment to resource availability may hedge against market volatility e.g. UK offshore wind


            High
                            Global
                          component
                         manufacturer

                                                       Manufacturing
Portfolio                                Global
                                                        investment
diversification                          project
                                        portfolio
                                                                 Single
                                                                country
                                                               portfolio of
                                                                projects
                                                                                  Single
                                                                                 country             Single
                                                                                                     project

            Low

                   Low                                  Risk Profile                                   High


   Page 5
Likely funding gap

Funding requirements excluding energy efficiency investments of £230 billion
                                    300

                                                                                                                                         250
                                    250                                                                                            236
  Capital expenditure (£ billion)




                                                                                                                             222
                                                                                                                       206
                                    200                                                                          190                           Utilities funding
                                                                                                           173
                                                                                                     156
                                                                                                                                               Bank debt
                                    150                                                        140
                                                                                         124
                                                                                   109                                                         Pension funds
                                                                              94                                                               and insurance
                                    100
                                                                       72                                                                      Funding gap
                                                                 54
                                    50                     35
                                                   18
                                             4
                                     -
                                            201


                                                  201


                                                          201


                                                                 201


                                                                       201


                                                                             201


                                                                                   201


                                                                                         201


                                                                                               201


                                                                                                     201


                                                                                                           202


                                                                                                                 202


                                                                                                                       202


                                                                                                                             202


                                                                                                                                   202


                                                                                                                                         202
                                             0


                                                   1


                                                           2


                                                                  3


                                                                        4


                                                                              5


                                                                                    6


                                                                                          7


                                                                                                8


                                                                                                      9


                                                                                                            0


                                                                                                                  1


                                                                                                                        2


                                                                                                                              3


                                                                                                                                    4


                                                                                                                                          5
                         ► Some estimates of capital expenditure required of UK PLC for energy efficiency of £230 billion
                         ► This doubles the requirement to £450 billion
                         ► Only £50-80 billion funding available from current sources:
                                          ► Utilities   (£30 – 45 billion),
                                          ► Project     finance debt and equity (£20 - £22 billion)
                                          ► Infrastructure      funds (£7 – 15 billion)
                         ► Funding gap of £330 - £360 billion

                                                                                                                                                         6
Green investments – the need for new funding

► Significant funding gap to reach targets

► Investment barriers in offshore wind generation, carbon capture (&) storage, energy efficiency and
  micro-generation

► Capital needs to be mobilised through a variety of structures, risk and financial products

► Other issues for consideration in
    ► Flexibilityof funds
    ► Competitiveness of green investment opportunities
    ► Risk of investments ie how proven is the technology
    ► Time taken to access funds


► Significant funds are needed for the large energy generating infrastructure and its enabling
  components




                                                                                                 7
Agenda


►   What the market is looking for in volatile times
►   Financial track record
►   Financial reporting procedures


            David Wilkinson
            Partner
            Domestic IPO Leader
            Ernst & Young
            dwilkinson@uk.ey.com
            Tel +44 (0)207 951 2335
            Mob: +44 (0)7774 741 277




Page 8
What the market is looking for in volatile times

► Equity growth story – risk and reward

► Depth and breadth of team to execute

► Financial track record to support the story

► Quality of governance and financial reporting procedures




                                                             9
Financial track record – cleantech issues

► Quality and period of track record

► Tracking and capitalisation of development costs

► Identifying components of infrastructure and impairment testing

► Accounting implications of funding structure

► Accounting for emissions allowances and incentive schemes

► Embedded derivatives in power sales and purchase contracts

► Accounting for complex investment structures




                                                                    10
Financial reporting procedures – cleantech
issues
              Expectations                                              Challenges

          ►     IFRS budgeting, forecasting                        ►      Forecasts dependent upon
                and working capital reporting                             project milestones

          ►     Effective prospects                                ►      Young businesses without
                management                                                deeply embedded processes

          ►     Effective monitoring and                           ►      Sales and operational priorities
                reporting on controls                                     ahead of controls

          ►     Appropriate corporate                              ►      Remediation of FRP requires
                governance architecture                                   time

          ►     Process for disclosure of timely                   ►      Underestimation of time and
                key information to the market                             effort to achieve goals




Page 11       25 March 2010             Financial Reporting in the IPO Process
Thank you
            Ernst & Young LLP

            Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory

            www.ey.com/uk


            The UK firm Ernst & Young LLP is a limited liability
            partnership registered in England and Wales
            with registered number OC300001 and is a member firm
            of Ernst & Young Global Limited.

            Ernst & Young LLP, 1 More London Place, London SE1 2AF.

            © Ernst & Young LLP 2011. Published in the UK.
            All rights reserved.

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A Renewable IPO Market - When will we see it?

  • 1. Renewables IPO Seminar A changing climate for IPOs? 4th April 2011 Neil Matthews
  • 2. The IPO Voyage What we will cover today: • Market conditions and outlook • Current trends in the markets • Choice of markets – influencing factors • Preparing for the IPO – particular issues facing the clean energy sector • Practical tips for a successful IPO
  • 3. Climatic conditions London markets - 2010 in review • IPOs - Total 89 IPOs raising £10bn (2009 = 22 / £1.7bn) – Main Market = 46 IPOs raising £9bn (2009 = 9 / £0.9bn) – AIM = 43 IPOs raising £1bn (2009 = 13 / £0.6bn) • 2010 highlights include: – Main Market – Essar, Ocado, Betfair, SuperGroup, Flybe, AZE – AIM – EMIS Group, Halosource Inc, Ncondezi Coal – Natural resouces / energy still dominate (esp. AIM) • AIM generally out of favour; lack of good UK candidates • Slow start to 2011. Funds flow out of bonds into equities continues but recent volatility threatens IPO chances
  • 4. Climatic conditions Outlook: • Market sentiment improving for IPOs after sole focus on secondary issues in 2008/9 • Investor preference remaining for Main Market IPOs • Our experience: – Flybe Group plc, AZ Electronics etc • AIM = will remain tough but some successes (e.g. Ilika plc) • Increasing competition from other stock markets
  • 5. Current Trends (1) – favoured listing locations? • Hong Kong  New York  London • Key determinants – Sizeable capital raising? – Valuation / rating? – Creation of liquidity? – Exposure/ profile raising in local jurisdiction? • Cleantech/energy …………?? …still up for grabs !!
  • 6. Current Trends (2) – emerging markets Emerging markets companies in London: – Russia – active again (particularly GDR offerings) – China – difficult and looking elsewhere (e.g. Frankfurt?) – India – a little patchy – Other jurisdictions
  • 7. Choice of Markets: London • AIM: – still reputational challenges although fundamentally a robust and appropriately regulated environment. – needs more fiscal incentives / liquidity drivers to kick start it again – Nomad concerns over increasing burden on them • Main Market: Premium listing: – back in favour although highly regulated and thus compliance is expensive • Main Market: Standard listing: – limited regulation although voluntary compliance with higher standards not uncommon. Used in specific circumstances.
  • 8. What is required to join the UK’s markets? Investor expectations of an applicant are: strong market appetite management team for the sector long term commitment from viable business plan directors/key shareholders transparency good corporate of ownership governance and accounting
  • 9. Preparing for the IPO (1) Key issues – corporate structuring • Creating the IPO structure • For UK companies: – converting to / re-registering as a PLC – …or establish Newco and effect share exchange – careful handing – a clear steps-plan – early involvement/implementation is key • For overseas entities: – Choice of Holdco jurisdiction (drivers = tax, investor protection, settlement issues, reputation etc) – Again, early stage planning
  • 10. Preparing for the IPO (2) Due diligence issues - protecting your assets • capture your assets – make sure you own them • protect your assets – eg patents/design rights etc – confidential information • exploit your assets – jvs/sale of IPR/licensing • remove non-core assets
  • 11. Preparing for the IPO (3) Other issues • optimise financing structures • pre-IPO housekeeping (e.g. any disputes, claims, litigation etc) • corporate governance – strengthening the board – this takes time • financial systems/ reporting procedures? • new share/ incentive schemes. NB: identify issues at an early stage!!
  • 12. The process Why does it take so long? • selecting the advisory team • legal & financial due diligence • pre-IPO restructuring • preparing the Prospectus / Typically - Admission Document 6 - 12 • verification months • marketing - the roadshow • placing and pricing • Admission and dealings commence
  • 13. Smoothing the way for a successful IPO Top tips • Don’t under-estimate the time commitment needed • Plan ahead – don’t leave issues until the last minute • Ensure you have adequate internal & external resource available • Pick the right advisory team • Expect some highs and lows along the way
  • 14. Neil Matthews Head of equity capital markets group Tel: +44 (0) 845 497 4880 Mobile: +44 (0) 776 786 3390 E-mail: neilmatthews@eversheds.com Address: One Wood Street London EC2V 7WS Eversheds LLP • One of the leading mid-market ECM practices • 92 UK stock market clients (over 60 listed on Main Market) • AIM Law Firm of the Year 2008/9 & 2009/10 • Member of LSE AIM Advisory Group • Acted on approx 10% of all UK public company acquisitions in last 5 years
  • 15. Equity Capital Markets A selection of our recent deals
  • 16. © EVERSHEDS LLP 2010. Eversheds LLP is a limited liability partnership.
  • 18. Global leader for capital raising • World’s leading market in terms of access to international investors and capital • World’s most diverse market in terms of international quoted companies • 3rd largest global equity market by market capitalsiation • Europe’s highly traded equity market by value traded • Supported by one of the World’s most highly experienced advisory communities 2
  • 19. Routes to market • The London Stock Exchange offers a range offers different routes to raise capital from the equity market, each designed to appeal to different companies and investors • Three options for commercial companies: – AIM – growth market aimed at smaller and/or younger companies – unique regulatory framework – AIM focused indices available – Main Market, Premium – premium product weighted more towards established and/or larger companies – highest level of regulation applies – UK index inclusion – Main Market, Standard – lower level of regulation compared with Premium listing and AIM – useful for special situations (special acquisition vehicle, nearly eligible for Premium) – no index inclusion • Specialist Fund Market also available to funds focused at sophisticated investors 3
  • 20. Cleantech companies at a glance Main Market AIM Number of cleantech companies 39 80 Average amount raised at admission £34m £36m Total amount raised at admission £4,702m £4,589m Total raised in further issues £5,292.75m £5,060.42m Total market capitalisation £59,513,685m £51,742,221m Number of UK companies 38 62 Source: London Stock Exchange statistics and ProQuote data 31.03.2011 4
  • 21. Cleantech sectors represented on AIM & MM Renewable & Alternative Energy 34 Energy Efficiency 37 Waste Management & Technologies 20 Environmental Support Services 20 Pollution Control 11 Water Infrastructure & Technologies 12 Financial Services 2 Electricity 3 Alternative Energy 1 Source: London Stock Exchange Statistics 31.03.11, FTSE Environmental Markets Classification System definitions used where relevant 5
  • 22. Number of Cleantech companies (AIM & MM) by market capitalisation (£m) 47 25 16 8 8 5 4 4 1 0-25 25-75 75-125 125-200 200- 350 350-700 700-1,000 1,000- 10,000+ 10,000 Source: London Stock Exchange Statistic, and ProQuote 31.03.2011 6
  • 23. IPO activity – Q1 2011 Mkt cap Funds Date Company Market Sector (£m) raised (£m) 10 Jan-11 Hazel Renewable Energy VCT 1 Premium Equity Investment Instruments 5.4 5.4 10 Jan-11 Hazel Renewable Energy VCT 2 Premium Equity Investment Instruments 5.4 5.4 12 Jan-11 Marwyn Mngt Partners Plc Standard General Financial 6 6 20 Jan-11 Farglory Land Development Co Standard Real Estate Investments & Serv 131.6 131.6 31 Jan-11 Frontier IP Group Plc AIM Support Services 3.4 1 17 Feb-11 Justice Holdings Limited Standard Special Purpose Acquisition Co 900 900 1 Mar-11 Octopus Titan VCT 5 PLC Premium Equity Investment Instruments 5.5 5.5 14 Mar-11 Duet Real Estate Finance Limited Premium Equity Investment Instruments 50 50 17 Mar-11 Trap Oil Group plc AIM Oil and Gas 78.3 60 23 Mar-11 Hoang Anh Gia Lai JSC PSM Diversified 38 38 31 Mar-11 Top Creation Investments Ltd AIM Equity Investment Instruments 3 3 7
  • 24. IPO activity – live Intention to Floats Date Country Mkt cap announced Company Market of origin Sector (£m) 28 Feb-11 Skrill Group plc Premium UK Financial Services 415 3 Mar-11 Diverse Income Trust Premium UK Equity Investment Instrument 50 10 Mar-11 Perform Group plc Premium UK Media 700 14 Mar-11 Edwards Group Premium UK Industrial Engineering 1,300 23 Mar-11 Etalon Group Limited Standard Russia Real Estate 310 23 Mar 11 Nomos Bank Standard Russia Banks 370 8
  • 25. IPO Outlook • Economic growth slow in developed countries, higher in emerging • IPO activity increased during Q4 2010 • Moderate Q1, anticipate stronger Q2 2011 • “Operating companies” return to IPO • M&A activity underpinning valuations and recycling cash for investors • Institutional investors long on cash / low interest rates / appetite for risk to deliver returns • Lack of debt / trade sales and PE secondary sales still slow • Geo-political uncertainty & oil prices 9
  • 27. Novusmodus is a VC/Development Capital investment firm in the renewable and cleantech sector  We are the adviser to ESB Novusmodus Fund LP, a €200m fund established in August 2009 where ESB is the only investor  ESB provides a unique perspective on the utility market, and direct access to engineering and sector specialist expertise  The team is based in London, Dublin, and Munich  a European focus, a global mandate 1
  • 28. All things to do with clean, low-carbon generation, and the efficient delivery and usage of electricity and heat  €3m - €20m equity investments  Significant minority positions and board representation  5-6 year investment horizon  Open to consider co-investments with other funds 2
  • 29. Albeit independent, we have a deep relationship with ESB  Leverage expertise within dedicated ESB teams  Provide expert skills and management support to investee companies Utility Expertise and Engineering • Carbon neutral by 2035 International Reach • c.€20bn investment program • €6.5bn asset value • International presence in over 50 Cornerstone Investor countries • 1,100 consulting engineers out of 7,000 3 staff
  • 30. Bridging the Financing Gap Between the VC and PE stages 4
  • 31. EU 20:20:20 Targets $$$$$$$$$ Huge investment  €200 billion per major economy  DECC spending = 1/3 of defence spending by 2020  DECC will be spending more than police + justice + prisons Utilities $$ Cash constrained  Focusing on large projects e.g. Offshore or nuclear  Don’t really buy the green story... Will governments really do something economically irrational? 5 Investment in renewable infrastructure companies is a must
  • 32. Debt  Venture Capital  Private Equity  Infrastructure Funds  Retail Investors  Institutional investors 6
  • 33. Renewable Energy EDF Energies Nouvelles Generation 60 140 Share Price (£p) 120 Share Price (€) 50 100 40 80 30 60 20 40 10 20 N ov-06 Jul-07 Mar-08 N ov-08 Jul-09 Mar-10 N ov-10 Dec-06 Aug-07 Apr-08 Dec-08 Aug-09 Apr-10 Dec-10 Iberdrola Renovable EDP Renováveis 7 10 6 Share Price (€) Share Price (€) 8 5 4 6 3 4 2 1 2 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 7
  • 34. Interest Rates* at all time Inflation** high and rising low 8.0% 6.0% 3-mth LIBOR (U K) Change over LTM 5.0% 6.0% 4.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 FTSE 100 – Same level as 5 years ago 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 8 * 3-month UK BBA LIBOR * *All items excluding mortgage interest payments and indirect taxes
  • 35. Proven technology  Strong levels of government support  Grandfathering  Long dated  Predictable  Inflation-linked The perfect investment! 9
  • 36. Renewable infrastructure assets = higher return for same given level of risk Risk Toll Road Airport Water Biomas s PFI Wind Solar 10 Source: Richard Nourse Return
  • 37. Access to investors who focus on absolute low risk-return  Deep pockets  Long arms 8-10% nominal return is amazing compared to other investments  Strong yield  Low risk 11
  • 38. Small sector Just 1 GW /year of onshore wind consented in the UK Offshore is risky No real track record Biomass is risky Sustainability issues Government risk FIT row back not a shining example Complex drivers Each country has its own regulations / support Developing thinking Green deal is massive but who takes the risk? 12
  • 39. Government must be more thoughtful  Lower complexity  Mergers & acquisitions  Professionalise management  Private placement? Like USPP 13
  • 40. Nomura Code Securities Limited What investors look for in an IPO Eversheds Renewables IPO seminar 4th April 2011 Ken Rumph Nomura Code kcr@nomuracode.com 0207 776 1242 © Nomura International plc
  • 41. Important Notice Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by, and is subject to the copyright of, Nomura Code Securities Limited (“Nomura Code”). No part of this presentation may be reproduced, transmitted, stored in a retrieval system or translated in any other language in any form, by any means without the prior written consent of Nomura Code. This presentation is confidential and has been furnished to the intended recipient solely for such recipient‟s information and private use and may not be referred to, disclosed, reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, to any other person. This presentation has been prepared on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data and other sources believed to be reliable. This information has not been independently verified by Nomura Code. No representation or warranty as to this presentation‟s accuracy, completeness or correctness is made and no reliance should be placed on the accuracy, completeness or correctness thereof. The information contained, and any opinions expressed, in this presentation are subject to change at any time and Nomura Code is under no obligation to inform the intended recipient or any other person of any such change. Nomura Code accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever in relation to this presentation (including for any error contained in this presentation or in relation to the accuracy, completeness or correctness of this presentation or in relation to any projections, analyses, assumptions and/or opinions contained herein nor for any loss of profit or damages or any liability to a third party whatsoever arising from the use of this presentation). The exclusion of liability provided herein shall protect Nomura Code, its officers, employees, agents, representatives and/or associates in all circumstances. This presentation is not intended to form the basis of any investment decision and does not constitute or form part of any offer to sell or an invitation to subscribe for, hold or purchase any securities or any other investment, and neither this presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is not, and should not be treated or relied upon as investment research or a research recommendation under applicable regulatory rules. Nomura Code, unlike other members of the Nomura Group, is a sector specialist and, due to its size and structure, its analysts may represent the interests of the firm or of companies referred to in its research. For example, analysts may be involved in marketing activities to solicit corporate finance business or attend roadshows to market new issues by corporate clients. As a result, Nomura Code does not hold its research out as being impartial. This research is non- independent and is classified as a Marketing Communication under the FSA‟s rules. As such it has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research in COBS 12.2.5. However, Nomura Code Securities has adopted internal procedures which prohibit analysts from dealing ahead of the publication of non-independent research, except for legitimate market making and fulfilling clients‟unsolicited orders. Nomura Code Securities Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Page 2
  • 42. Focus on water and efficiency, as well as renewables  Most Cleantech investment banks are focussed on renewables, particularly solar…  … but Nomura has a global focus on efficiency  Investors prefer the economic and regulatory drivers for efficiency, vs. the subsidy- dependence of solar PV in particular  Process efficiency stocks in London and elsewhere have performed well  Smart grids (power and water) attracting attention from investors and corporates  Water is a growing theme for investors  Shortage of fresh water (desalination, recycling, efficiency/leaks)  Waste water treatment  Water purification  Overlap with agricultural/irrigation demand – another theme for investors  Fitting in with these trends is important for smaller/earlier stage companies to gain attention from investors or attract premiums in M&A Page 3
  • 43. Nomura Code research on public companies … Page 4
  • 44. … and on private VC-backed companies The ability to produce research from the same analysts and in the same format as listed company equity research is a differentiating factor, adding credibility and familiarity for investors Page 5
  • 45. Nomura’s global coverage of water, renewables and the energy- efficiency/climate change aspect is second to none Page 6
  • 47. Cleantech – early stage companies Many cleantech or environmental companies at IPO are early stage – perhaps pre-revenue, often not yet profitable. In these circumstances, investors will expect, and benefit from  Milestones, past and future  Provide a measure of performance, financial, operational or technical  Past progress provides a sense of development and momentum  Ideally future milestones should be well spaced (to provide regular indications that the company is on schedule) and have room for (inevitable) delays  Management skills  A business may be young, but (some of) its management should display experience of success in similar early stage businesses  Investors expect management to be enthusiastic but realistic  Funds raised for acquisitions  If you‟re raising funds to acquire assets or businesses  Why will you get a better deal than other buyers?  Why are the sellers selling? Page 8
  • 48. Cleantech – valuation  Peers, real and apparent  Investors will tend to draw comparisons with similar companies, UK and elsewhere  Your broker should identify the types of company investors will compare your company with – not necessarily by industry sector, but by stage of development  Some sub-sectors are well defined and have many peers – eg solar – in which case you will meet more experienced investors and tend to define yourself versus that peer group  Other companies will find themselves „alone‟ – Modern Water, Zenergy and SeaEnergy are all examples (tomorrow) – more general comparisons are made, and more work is needed in educating investors about the sector  Investors may identify peers that you don‟t accept – explain why  Your competitors are not your (investment) competitors  Past funding sets a benchmark  Previous share transactions or funding rounds set a benchmark  If investors see that a private funding round occurred recently at a given price, they will generally be reluctant to pay a much higher price Page 9
  • 49. Cleantech – pros and cons Pros  A strong theme, with specialist and generalist investors‟ attention  But specialists want the same things as generalists – a good investment case  Generalists are wary of (past) hype and overvaluation  „Saving the world‟ alone will not be a sufficient case for investment  Making money alone will also not be sufficient (in the environmental, cleantech space) Cons  „Cleantech‟ or environment is not a well-defined sector  Investors will want to understand the specific drivers for a business  Most investors in small- and mid-sized IPOs are generalists, so education about the drivers and the business is always needed  Is this a regulation-driven business, supported by subsidies, or influenced by market prices (carbon, fossil fuels) – each will have its specifics and vulnerabilities Page 10
  • 50. Investors want: the perfect company They know they won‟t get a perfect company, but each defect will have a price. Common defects are:  Existing shareholders are selling  For entrepreneurs, this is understandable  Investors will expect the entrepreneur to retain a stake  And sales at IPO are better than later – a lock-in would be normal  VCs are also expected to sell in time  Willingness to accept PE LBO-type exits is limited (currently)  Funds raised to reduce debt  Investors will accept some debt reduction, but prefer companies to raise funds to grow the value of the business  Lack of a complete or conforming management/board  Investors expect a CEO, CFO, Chairman, independent directors  The roadshow team should involve operations and finance Page 11
  • 51. Know your investors  Before the IPO – find the right investors  What sort of investor should be buying into your IPO?  It might seem desirable to take anyone‟s money, but the consequences of having the wrong kind of investor, or investors with the wrong expectations will be bad for your company‟s strategy and share price  Many large institutions have many different potential buyers of your shares – different fund managers, different funds, different locations and business units – expect to meet more than one individual in many firms  Your broker should help you navigate this terrain (before and after the IPO), describing the type of fund manager, providing feedback  Shareholders will sell  As fund managers change their views, the company changes, individuals change, the fund needs to raise cash, or the holding becomes too large (or small) – don‟t be surprised or hold grudges  Continue to market your company to new (and previous) shareholders – the best recipe for a good share price is new buyers to take stock from inevitable sellers (insiders included) Page 12
  • 52. After the IPO – when things go wrong • Not the rating, but the earnings  What ever the valuation basis, investors know from experience with small- and mid-cap companies, that disappointing performance after IPO comes far more often from failure to meet forecasts than from paying the wrong valuation of those forecasts (larger mature companies may differ)  What is the basis of the earnings forecasts investors have read in broker research (which will determine „consensus‟ expectations) and what are the risks • When things go wrong  Investors are realistic  But they want to know as early as possible when things go wrong  Handle inevitable problems well and you will benefit  Early disclosure builds confidence and support  Missing expectations significantly on the upside also gives an impression of riskiness Page 13
  • 53. After the IPO  Keep communicating  You became a public company for a reason – be public  Even if you don‟t need to raise capital now, a languishing share price can be a vulnerability or present an image of decline  Be aware of what „peers‟ are doing, saying, how they are performing  Communication is not just results, or even „news‟  Expect to visit UK investors twice a year at least, in person  Visits to sites, conference presentations, etc also count  Investors like to support successful companies with more money  In general, small- and mid-cap managers want small companies to grow – both organically, but often via secondary equity issues, provided the business is going to plan  Investors generally like to invest more money for the right reasons (growth) but not for the wrong reasons („we used up the first lot‟) Page 14
  • 54. IPO companies – questions that need answers  Why isn‟t someone else doing this already (if its so great)? Or, who are your competitors, and how do they compare?  Why will customers buy your product/service? Explain the economic value proposition!  How do you (and hence the investors) make money? Explain your business model!  Why are you selling (part of) your company? How long are VCs, directors locked up for?  What policies, subsidies, prices affect your business? With what sensitivity  What worries you? What could go wrong? What are the upside/downside risks?  (When) will there be value-enhancing newsflow? Page 15
  • 55. Pitching: Less Greenery. More Greenbacks Focus will tend to be on commercialisation – not technology or green credentials.  Who is going to buy your product/service?  Why? At what price versus competition? What are the economics for the customer?  How will you find and convert your customer? Do you understand the distribution channels, and the motives of the participants? Why will they buy from you, a small early stage company?  Market segmentation may be appropriate? Niche sales first, versus the mass market?  Who is your head salesperson?  Timetables – enthusiastic but realistic Page 16
  • 56. What Investors like and don’t like… • More than particular sectors, investors like/dislike characteristics • Best of all, an economic case that doesn’t rely on external help • Regulations preferred to subsidies: due to widespread public spending cuts and bad experiences in Spain, investors are wary of reliance on subsidies (eg renewable tariffs, etc) and turning towards regulation-driven sectors  E.g. REACH, Landfill tax/targets, fuel efficiency, product bans  Or businesses where any subsidy is privately funded • Global statistics on investment are often mis-leading:  ‘VC’ investment is mixed with private equity/infrastructure finance – investing in a new waste treatment technology company is pure cleantech investment, financing a windfarm or a landfill gas or waste treatment plant may be more utility/infrastructure  Sector is hard to define – more efficient coal fired power stations and insulating lofts are cleantech in emissions reduction terms. Page 17
  • 57. Cleantech Funding and M&A conditions Trends in VC/PE, M&A and IPOs in Cleantech $200bn $180bn  VC/PE, IPOs and M&A all show similar $160bn VC/PE $140bn M&A patterns, tentative signs of recovery during $120bn IPOs 2010 $100bn  Figures often include utilities or general $80bn $60bn industrials as cleantech $40bn $20bn $0bn 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 ytd VC vs. PE investment  Venture Capital & Private Equity flows are $60bn large $50bn  But dominated by major corporate buyouts PE - buy-outs, etc $40bn  VC-type funding is a small portion PE - expansion capital $30bn VC $20bn $10bn $0bn 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Page 18 ytd Page 18
  • 58. Cleantech Funding and M&A conditions Share of 1996-2010 VC funding by sub-sector Solar Other 27% Biomass & 6% Waste 4% Wind 4% Fuel Cells EE transport 5% 11% Power Storage EE built 8% environment 10% Biofuels 10% EE digital EE supply energy EE industry 8% side 2% 5%  Although „Solar‟ has been a large part of VC funding, this has been dominated by solar PV utilities/park developers, and by solar PV technology companies Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance Page 19
  • 59. Ken Rumph Ken Rumph joined Nomura Code in September 2009 having built Clear Capital/Noble‟s climate change coverage between 2007 - 2009. Ken specialises in energy and resource efficiency, including water, waste and recycling. Ken graduated in Natural Sciences from Trinity, Cambridge and had held roles as a fund manager and buy-side analyst at Scottish Amicable and as a sell-side global building materials analyst at UBS and Merrill Lynch. Repenting his emissions-intensive ways, Ken undertook a masters in Environmental Management at Cranfield in 2006/7 and is a member of the Institute of Environmental Management and Assessment Page 20
  • 60. Regulation and getting the finances right Andrew Perkins and David Wilkinson
  • 61. Agenda ► Introduction to Ernst & Young ► Renewable energy market outlook ► Diversifying global portfolios ► Accessing capital Andrew Perkins Partner Energy and Environmental Infrastructure Advisory Ernst & Young aperkins@uk.ey.com Tel +44 (0)11 7981 2325 Mob: +44 (0)7799 072523 Page 2
  • 62. Ernst & Young EU network of renewable energy specialists Transaction Advisory Services UK global centre of Tax Assurance renewable expertise Investment Banking Page 3
  • 63. The need for regulatory certainty Short term market volatility Long term market outlook ► The threat of cuts in European feed in tariff’s ► Fundamental drivers of renewable energy have created uncertainty amongst the investment still remain: investment community e.g. Spain, UK, Italy ► Increasing energy requirements ► Arguably only Spanish Solar was retrospective ► EU 2020 renewable energy targets ► Returns on sovereign risk often makes ► Security of supply renewables look expensive ► EU GHG emission limits ► Uncertainty due to new legislative requirements e.g. UK Electricity market reform ► Consumer demand ► Fluid planning regimes and long lead times ► Transparent, long term policies can stimulate make feed in tariff allocation uncertain investment and the development of global supply chains e.g. German feed in tariff regime ► Lack of a universal carbon price to support renewables investment ► Innovative policies to encourage domestic supply chain growth e.g. Tariff premium in Turkey Page 4
  • 64. Diversifying global investments ► Developing a balanced, global portfolio across multiple sectors can help reduce exposure to policy and individual country market risk ► Investment risk decreases with market maturity as additional benefits are realised e.g. Jobs growth, development of manufacturing bases ► Tailoring investment to resource availability may hedge against market volatility e.g. UK offshore wind High Global component manufacturer Manufacturing Portfolio Global investment diversification project portfolio Single country portfolio of projects Single country Single project Low Low Risk Profile High Page 5
  • 65. Likely funding gap Funding requirements excluding energy efficiency investments of £230 billion 300 250 250 236 Capital expenditure (£ billion) 222 206 200 190 Utilities funding 173 156 Bank debt 150 140 124 109 Pension funds 94 and insurance 100 72 Funding gap 54 50 35 18 4 - 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 202 202 202 202 202 202 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 ► Some estimates of capital expenditure required of UK PLC for energy efficiency of £230 billion ► This doubles the requirement to £450 billion ► Only £50-80 billion funding available from current sources: ► Utilities (£30 – 45 billion), ► Project finance debt and equity (£20 - £22 billion) ► Infrastructure funds (£7 – 15 billion) ► Funding gap of £330 - £360 billion 6
  • 66. Green investments – the need for new funding ► Significant funding gap to reach targets ► Investment barriers in offshore wind generation, carbon capture (&) storage, energy efficiency and micro-generation ► Capital needs to be mobilised through a variety of structures, risk and financial products ► Other issues for consideration in ► Flexibilityof funds ► Competitiveness of green investment opportunities ► Risk of investments ie how proven is the technology ► Time taken to access funds ► Significant funds are needed for the large energy generating infrastructure and its enabling components 7
  • 67. Agenda ► What the market is looking for in volatile times ► Financial track record ► Financial reporting procedures David Wilkinson Partner Domestic IPO Leader Ernst & Young dwilkinson@uk.ey.com Tel +44 (0)207 951 2335 Mob: +44 (0)7774 741 277 Page 8
  • 68. What the market is looking for in volatile times ► Equity growth story – risk and reward ► Depth and breadth of team to execute ► Financial track record to support the story ► Quality of governance and financial reporting procedures 9
  • 69. Financial track record – cleantech issues ► Quality and period of track record ► Tracking and capitalisation of development costs ► Identifying components of infrastructure and impairment testing ► Accounting implications of funding structure ► Accounting for emissions allowances and incentive schemes ► Embedded derivatives in power sales and purchase contracts ► Accounting for complex investment structures 10
  • 70. Financial reporting procedures – cleantech issues Expectations Challenges ► IFRS budgeting, forecasting ► Forecasts dependent upon and working capital reporting project milestones ► Effective prospects ► Young businesses without management deeply embedded processes ► Effective monitoring and ► Sales and operational priorities reporting on controls ahead of controls ► Appropriate corporate ► Remediation of FRP requires governance architecture time ► Process for disclosure of timely ► Underestimation of time and key information to the market effort to achieve goals Page 11 25 March 2010 Financial Reporting in the IPO Process
  • 71. Thank you Ernst & Young LLP Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory www.ey.com/uk The UK firm Ernst & Young LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England and Wales with registered number OC300001 and is a member firm of Ernst & Young Global Limited. Ernst & Young LLP, 1 More London Place, London SE1 2AF. © Ernst & Young LLP 2011. Published in the UK. All rights reserved.