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WINNING IN THE AGE OF
        HYPERCOMPETITION
                                  Strategies for Revolutionizing Markets

                                                                   ExpoGestao
                                                                  Joinville, Brazil
                                                                   June 4, 2004




                                                               Professor Richard D'Aveni

                                    Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College
© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Goals
                              Leading in Times of Rapid Disruption

                                     To Crystallize Our Intuition About
                                     Market Dynamics

                                     To Examine How Traditional Strategic
                                     Thinking Fails in a Dynamic Market

                                     To Suggest Ways to Understand and
                                     Compete in the Dynamic World of the
                                     Future




© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Traditional Sustainable Advantage
                                                                         Period
                          Competitive                                of Advantage
                          Advantage Launch                                                 Slow Counter
                                                                                              Attack



                                                                                    Time


     Hypercompetition and Unsustainable Advantage

                                                               Short Period
                          Competitive                          of Advantage
                          Advantage Launch
                                                                        Rapid Counter
                                                                           Attack

                                                                                    Time
© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Old Models Don’t Work




© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Agenda

                                 Topic I - What is
                                           Hypercompetition?
                                 Topic II - Unsustainable Advantage
                                            in Four Arenas of
                                            Competition
                                 Topic III - Creative Disruption and
                                             Shifting the Rules of the
                                             Game


© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
The Old Rules:Win By Reducing Rivalry

                 Build Non-Competitive Industry Structures

            • Barriers to Entry
                      • Exclude Competitors

            • Reduce Rivalry
                      • Avoid Price Wars
                      • Strength Against Weakness               Strong
                                                               Defensive
                      • Proprietary Technology
                                                                 Walls
            • Use the Power of Monopoly
                      • Over Buyers
                      • Over Suppliers


© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
The Old Rules:Win By Reducing Rivalry
                                        Avoid Competitive Behaviors

                                                      • Oligopolistic Bargains
                                                               •   Signaling Cooperation
                                                               •   Avoiding Price Wars
                                                               •   Avoid Frontal Attacks
                                                               •   Strength against Weakness
                                                      • Retreat to Low Rivalry Markets
                                                      • Focus on Hard-to-Replicate Niches
                                                               • Service and Relationships
                                                               • Proprietary Technologies
                                                               • Brand Names and Premium Images

© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
What is
                                                 Hypercompetition?



© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
A New Type of Competition
                                                                             Impact on
                             Level                             Advantage
                                                                             Customers
                       Monopoly                                 Absolute      Negative
                        Oligopoly                              Sustainable    Negative



     Hypercompetition                                          Temporary     Positive

                            Perfect                               None        Positive


© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Embracing The Hypercompetitive Shift
                                                                                   N = 200
                                                                                   Industries
             Industry
             Average                                                                1980’s - 1990’s
             Stock
             Performance




                                                                                  1950’s - 1970’s


                                                               Industry Rivalry


                               Drive Growth to Create Shareholder Value
© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Capitalizing on the Four Driving
                      Forces of Hypercompetition
                                                               Fragmenting and Escalating
                                                                   Customer Demands


                                                                                            Falling
                                                                                            Entry
                                                                                      n     Barriers
                                                                                  itio
                                                                              pet
                                                                          com
                                                                      per
      Accelerating                                                  Hy
      Technological
      Change


                                                                   Rising Deep Pockets
© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Strategic Dominance

           Long-Term Advantage
                    Advantage



                                                                           Time
             A Series of Advantages
                     Advantage



                                                                           Time


© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Pre-Plan Your Disruption Sequence
                            Create a Value and Competence Migration Path


                                              Property & Casualty Insurance Industry


               QUALITY                                                                      FUTURE
                Financial                                                      Specialty
                                                   Service/      Value
                Strength/                                                       Value         Brand
                                                   Products     Pricing
                Reliability                                                  Propositions

                 KNOW-
                                                                                            FUTURE
               HOW/ASSETS
                                                               Economies        Link        Distribution,
                   Balance
                                                               of Scale in    Marketing        Direct
                    Sheet                           Agents
                                                               Operations/      with        Selling, and
                 Management
                                                                Overhead     Underwriting     Internet


© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Do Not Wait Until It Is Too Late

                    Advantage



          Four Virtually                                                Time
          Simultaneous                                     Doing
          Organizations
                                                           Setting Up

          Set Your Time                                   Planning
          Pacing Interval

                                                          Envisioning




© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Smart Bombing The Competition                ®




                                           Revolutionizing Your Mindset
                                                 and Your Market




© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Smart Bombing                   ®




                            The Disruption of the Brokerage Industry

             Round 1: Challenging the Downstream End of the Brokerage Value Added Chain

                                                                              Largest
                                                                               Broker      Tailored
                                     Merrill’s
                                     Strengths                                Network       Advice



          Product                                Research/                                                   Customer
        Development                              Analysis         Marketing     Distribution       Service   Account
                                                                                                              Reports


                                      Schwab’s                                Lower cost and 24-hr.
                                      Disruption                                    service via
                                                                               electronic/telephone
                                                                                      service
                                                                                [No Commissions]
© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Smart Bombing   ®




        The Disruption of the Brokerage Industry (cont.)

    Round 2: Challenging the Upstream End of the Brokerage Value Added Chain

                                  Invention of
                                  CMA/Mutual Securities                        Merrill’s
                                     Funds     Analysis                        Strengths



                                                                                        Customer
                                   Product   Research/
                                                       Marketing Distribution Service   Account
                                 Development Analysis
                                                                                         Reports


                                                                               Schwab’s
                                   One Source provides
                                   many new products                           Disruption
                                  and access to research
                                      by many funds
© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Smart Bombing             ®




         The Disruption of the Brokerage Industry (cont.)

         Round 3: Rechallenging the Downstream End of the Brokerage Value Added Chain

                                                                       Largest
                               Merrill’s                                Broker   Tailored
                               Strengths                               Network    Advice



                          Product   Research/                                                 Customer
                        Development Analysis                   Marketing Distribution Service Account
                                                                                               Reports


                                 Schwab’s
                                                                    Schwab Advisor Network &
                                 Disruption                             Schwab OnLine



© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Smart Bombing                            ®




                                                         Round 4: The Empire Strikes Back
                                                                                            New Comp System
                                                                                             [No commission
                                                                                              paid on small
                                                                                             account trading]
                                                                                     Major Cost              My
Merrill Moves--                                                                      Cut Backs Retirement Financial
                                                                                     (overseas Planning Picture
Dropping                                                                               & U.S.)  Network Online
Megatonage


                                     Product   Research/                               Customer
                                   Development Analysis Marketing Distribution Service Account
                                                                                        Reports


Schwab                                                           Schwab       Upscale    Major         U.S. Trust
Imitates Full                                                  Direct Detail Rebranding Employee     Computerized
Line Brokers                                                    (In-depth              Reductions    Stock Advice
                                                               Mutual Fund                           and Portfolio
                                                                Insights)                              Planning &
                                                                                                    Wireless Trading
© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Smart Bombing               ®




                                                       Round 5: The Guerilla Strikes Back




                                            Research
                                 CMA Funds Influenced                                 IPOs Given
       Merrill                    Used For                                            To IB Client
                                              by IB
                                 M&A Loans                                             Executives
                                             Clients




                                    Product   Research/                               Customer
                                  Development Analysis Marketing Distribution Service Account
                                                                                       Reports
   Schwab
   Challenges
   Conflicts
   of Interest                           Advertising De-Legitimizing Investment Banks—
                                Biased Toward Investment Banking Clients Over Brokerage Clients

© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Use Creative Disruption
                                         Shifting the Rules of the Game

                         Redefine Quality and the Value
                         Proposition
                         Redefine Critical Know How and the
                         Value Chain Configuration
                         Redefine the Boundaries of Your
                         Stronghold and Circumvent Barriers to
                         Entry
                         Redefine the Level of Deep Pockets Used
                         -- Brains versus Brawn or vice versa
© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
The Goals of the Struggle


  • Out maneuver your opponent by
    serving your customer better

  • Compete to neutralize or obsolete
    the opponent’s advantage at
    serving the customer

  • Not to sustain your advantage




© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Chivalry is Dead

               The New Golden Rule
                • Do Unto Yourself Before
                  Others Do Unto You

               The New Goals
                • Disrupt the Status
                  Quo
                • Reshape and
                  Reinvent the Industry


© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
Only Two Types of Firms




                 The                                           The
              Disruptive                                       Dead




© Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.

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Palestra: Winning in the Age of Hypercompetition - Richard D' Aveni

  • 1. WINNING IN THE AGE OF HYPERCOMPETITION Strategies for Revolutionizing Markets ExpoGestao Joinville, Brazil June 4, 2004 Professor Richard D'Aveni Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 2. Goals Leading in Times of Rapid Disruption To Crystallize Our Intuition About Market Dynamics To Examine How Traditional Strategic Thinking Fails in a Dynamic Market To Suggest Ways to Understand and Compete in the Dynamic World of the Future © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 3. Traditional Sustainable Advantage Period Competitive of Advantage Advantage Launch Slow Counter Attack Time Hypercompetition and Unsustainable Advantage Short Period Competitive of Advantage Advantage Launch Rapid Counter Attack Time © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 4. Old Models Don’t Work © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 5. Agenda Topic I - What is Hypercompetition? Topic II - Unsustainable Advantage in Four Arenas of Competition Topic III - Creative Disruption and Shifting the Rules of the Game © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 6. The Old Rules:Win By Reducing Rivalry Build Non-Competitive Industry Structures • Barriers to Entry • Exclude Competitors • Reduce Rivalry • Avoid Price Wars • Strength Against Weakness Strong Defensive • Proprietary Technology Walls • Use the Power of Monopoly • Over Buyers • Over Suppliers © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 7. The Old Rules:Win By Reducing Rivalry Avoid Competitive Behaviors • Oligopolistic Bargains • Signaling Cooperation • Avoiding Price Wars • Avoid Frontal Attacks • Strength against Weakness • Retreat to Low Rivalry Markets • Focus on Hard-to-Replicate Niches • Service and Relationships • Proprietary Technologies • Brand Names and Premium Images © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 8. What is Hypercompetition? © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 9. A New Type of Competition Impact on Level Advantage Customers Monopoly Absolute Negative Oligopoly Sustainable Negative Hypercompetition Temporary Positive Perfect None Positive © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 10. Embracing The Hypercompetitive Shift N = 200 Industries Industry Average 1980’s - 1990’s Stock Performance 1950’s - 1970’s Industry Rivalry Drive Growth to Create Shareholder Value © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 11. Capitalizing on the Four Driving Forces of Hypercompetition Fragmenting and Escalating Customer Demands Falling Entry n Barriers itio pet com per Accelerating Hy Technological Change Rising Deep Pockets © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 12. Strategic Dominance Long-Term Advantage Advantage Time A Series of Advantages Advantage Time © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 13. Pre-Plan Your Disruption Sequence Create a Value and Competence Migration Path Property & Casualty Insurance Industry QUALITY FUTURE Financial Specialty Service/ Value Strength/ Value Brand Products Pricing Reliability Propositions KNOW- FUTURE HOW/ASSETS Economies Link Distribution, Balance of Scale in Marketing Direct Sheet Agents Operations/ with Selling, and Management Overhead Underwriting Internet © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 14. Do Not Wait Until It Is Too Late Advantage Four Virtually Time Simultaneous Doing Organizations Setting Up Set Your Time Planning Pacing Interval Envisioning © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 15. Smart Bombing The Competition ® Revolutionizing Your Mindset and Your Market © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 16. Smart Bombing ® The Disruption of the Brokerage Industry Round 1: Challenging the Downstream End of the Brokerage Value Added Chain Largest Broker Tailored Merrill’s Strengths Network Advice Product Research/ Customer Development Analysis Marketing Distribution Service Account Reports Schwab’s Lower cost and 24-hr. Disruption service via electronic/telephone service [No Commissions] © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 17. Smart Bombing ® The Disruption of the Brokerage Industry (cont.) Round 2: Challenging the Upstream End of the Brokerage Value Added Chain Invention of CMA/Mutual Securities Merrill’s Funds Analysis Strengths Customer Product Research/ Marketing Distribution Service Account Development Analysis Reports Schwab’s One Source provides many new products Disruption and access to research by many funds © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 18. Smart Bombing ® The Disruption of the Brokerage Industry (cont.) Round 3: Rechallenging the Downstream End of the Brokerage Value Added Chain Largest Merrill’s Broker Tailored Strengths Network Advice Product Research/ Customer Development Analysis Marketing Distribution Service Account Reports Schwab’s Schwab Advisor Network & Disruption Schwab OnLine © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 19. Smart Bombing ® Round 4: The Empire Strikes Back New Comp System [No commission paid on small account trading] Major Cost My Merrill Moves-- Cut Backs Retirement Financial (overseas Planning Picture Dropping & U.S.) Network Online Megatonage Product Research/ Customer Development Analysis Marketing Distribution Service Account Reports Schwab Schwab Upscale Major U.S. Trust Imitates Full Direct Detail Rebranding Employee Computerized Line Brokers (In-depth Reductions Stock Advice Mutual Fund and Portfolio Insights) Planning & Wireless Trading © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 20. Smart Bombing ® Round 5: The Guerilla Strikes Back Research CMA Funds Influenced IPOs Given Merrill Used For To IB Client by IB M&A Loans Executives Clients Product Research/ Customer Development Analysis Marketing Distribution Service Account Reports Schwab Challenges Conflicts of Interest Advertising De-Legitimizing Investment Banks— Biased Toward Investment Banking Clients Over Brokerage Clients © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 21. Use Creative Disruption Shifting the Rules of the Game Redefine Quality and the Value Proposition Redefine Critical Know How and the Value Chain Configuration Redefine the Boundaries of Your Stronghold and Circumvent Barriers to Entry Redefine the Level of Deep Pockets Used -- Brains versus Brawn or vice versa © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 22. The Goals of the Struggle • Out maneuver your opponent by serving your customer better • Compete to neutralize or obsolete the opponent’s advantage at serving the customer • Not to sustain your advantage © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 23. Chivalry is Dead The New Golden Rule • Do Unto Yourself Before Others Do Unto You The New Goals • Disrupt the Status Quo • Reshape and Reinvent the Industry © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.
  • 24. Only Two Types of Firms The The Disruptive Dead © Copyright by Richard A. D’Aveni 2004. All rights reserved.