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operational excellence through integration
 “product design to delivery”
           retail & sales planning
           methodology overview

V.2.2
200809
team composition
a team of industry professional with relevant
hands-on experiences on the market

                                               markets
                                   Made in Italy Luxury Goods   Automotive
        Customer eXperience Mgmt
lines




        Supply Chain Mgmt
        Business Intelligence
        Retail Management
our mission

increase our client’s performances
                  implementing

            tools, methodologies,
                services, and expertise
      to increase customer loyalty and

to streamline sales & logistic activities.
what we do
               ncrease efficiency and streamline activities of
                             “design to deliver”


                                  supply
                 product                       retail                     business
                                   chain                      CRM
                  design                     operation                  intelligence
                                  mgmt



  business process reegineering

  leverage on the expertise already present in the company

  sustain change management

  design and implement business intelligence applications

  project management during software implementation, web-based sw development

  increase usage of existing sw application through user training and support
our methodology
         Discover
         • process owners & key players interview
         • process & IT applications assessment
         • gather business needs



              Diagnose
              • identify critical success factors
                • organization
                • operation
                • finance


                    Design
                    • to be plan
                      • “gap” analysys
                      • implementation plan
                      • change management plan


                          Deliver
                          • implement plans
                          • project management
                            • time
                            • cost
objectives
   setting


lines of action


  negative
  signnals


   actions


new products
   launch

    POS
segmentation


 forecasting
                  supply chain management




replenishment


key perform.
 indicators

 key learning
    points
business objectives
                                        organizaton / operations
                                        • increase flexibility and readiness of entire
                                          design to delivery process
service / volume                        • roles and responsiblities re-alignement
                                        • re-fucus each resource on its core             inventory / financials
• increase POS sales forecasting
                                          competences
  demand and a better execution of
                                                                                         • reduce new products stock-out
  assortment/castegory
                                                                                           during early months of sales
  management
                                                                                         • increase stock turnover controlling
• increase new products sales during
                                                                                           and optimize inventory over the
  launch and post-launch period
                                                                                           entire supply chain
• increase sales orders fill-rate and
                                                                                         • sustain company growth with no or
  respect of promised delivery date
                                                                                           minimum increase of inventory
• make a more reliable forecast of
                                                                                         • obsolete management
  demand through the usage of
  advanced BI toolsi


                                                       maximise
                                                       shopping
                                                      eXperience
lines of action
                         organization
                         realignment




     streamline
                                            POS segmentation
     operations

                           As Is



           budgeting &                    product
           forecasting                  assortment
negative signals
   product                                                                                           sales &
                                purchasing                        production
 assortment                                                                                         marketing

      weak control of                                                                                 sales forecast by
                               purchase orders driven
                                                                   sales forecast by sku
       assortment                                                                                       business unit
                               by personal taste / gutt
                                                                 • no unfullfilled demand
• brand,                               feeling                                                   • country / sales channell
                                                                   analysis at POS
• area / country,                                                                                • breakdown by product
                              • little or no usage of BI info,   • unsctrucured awereness of       category using past sales
• shop / pos
                              • stock turnover objectives          new opening plans and           data only
                                set at category level              seasonality at POS

  no product stock-out                                                                            inventory level forecast
        analysis                stock turnover set by                                            • by product category only
                                                                       new products
                              financial objectives not                                           • underestimate seasonality
                                                                 • little or no alignment with
                              by customer experience                                               and new products launch
                                                                   sales & mktg
     loosely defined                expectations
                                                                 • understimation of product
 processes & procedures
                                                                   needs to sustain
                                                                                                    new products sales
• no periodic assessment of                                        distribuition network
  assortment,                                                                                            forecast
                                                                   growth
                                low POs’ fill-rate and
• new shops opening,                                             • production capacity limits
                              respect of delivery dates                                          • underestimate
• new products launch                                              sales forecast                  cannibalization
indicated actions
                                   sales &                        sales &
                                  marketing                      marketing
  production                                                                                      logistics
                                   (corp.)                         (local)
                                                                  sales data quality
    procurement plan                segmentation &                                            safety level definitions
                                      assortment              • correctdness
• strategic raw materials
                                                                                             • central warehouse
                                                              • timeliness
• components and WIP           • products                                                    • area warehouse
  management                   • pos                                                         • shop warehouse
                                                                project management
   engineering of new
                                                              • promotion
                                                                                                 global and local
        products                      new products            • new shop / pos opening
                                                                                                 distribution plan
• increase reusability of      • creative briefing
  existing components          • launch strategies
                               • distribution strategies on
                                                                   demand forecast
                                 different sales channels                                      BI competence center
    actual production
                                                              • capture unfilfilled demand
• keep promised quantities &                                    at shop / pos
  delivery dates                                              • BI tools
• increase flexibility                                                                         sustain and champion
                                      sales forecast          • sales forecast at macro
• postponement                                                  level                                  change
                                      consolidation
• control product quality
segment product assortment
define key dimensions
• identify and agree on key dimensions of each business line and / or
  product line
• assign and maintain key dimensions to each sku




        definition of assortment cell
        • all sku’s that have same values of their key dimensions



                assortment cell is the basic tool to:
                •   be perceived as “different” (assortmentwise) by the final customer
                •   control and measure stock-outs
                •   forecast sales
                •   define product obsolescenze and manage “long tail”
product assortment grid
Bracelets / Retail price: 1,000 – 5,000€
                         Steel             Steel-Gold   Gold-Steel   Gold
Plain                    Sku1              Sku2         Sku3         Sku4
                         Sku5              Sku7         Sku8         Sku10
                         Sku6                           Sku9
Semiprecious             Sku11             Sku12        Sku14        Sku17
                                           Sku13        Sku15        Sku18
Semiprec.-Prec.                            Sku20        Sku22        Sku24
                                                        Sku23        Sku25
                                                                     Sku26
Preciuos                                                Sku27        Sku30
                                                        Sku28        Sku31
                                                        Sku29        Sku32
Diamonds                Sku33              Sku34        Sku35        Sku36
                                                                     Sku37
                                                                     Sku38
Rubies                                                               Sku39
                                                                     Sku40
Emeralds                                                             Sku41
Zaffires                                                             Sku42
new products launch process
                     As Is                                               To Be
                 stand-alone                                             shared

                unstructured                                           structured

               reactive / late                                   proactive / planned

                                                       4. sales meetings and sell-in orders
1. product brief
                                                            – first update to purchasing and
    – agreed with sales / mktg / production
                                                              replenishment plan
    – expected retail price band
2. collaborative forecasting                           5. merchandise delivery to shops
    – consensus based
                                                          and POS
         •   corporate
         •   areas / sales channels managers
         •   marketing corporate & local
                                                       6. early sales analisys
         •   production
         •   logistics
                                                       7. second update to purchasing and
    – impact on existing products
3. distribution plan                                      replenishment plan
    – expected service levels  safety stocks levels
    – purchasing and replenishment plans
shop and POS segmentation
 shop segmentation
       strategic & brand image building                      location
          ̶ flagship                                             ̶ on street
           ̶ level 1                                              ̶ shop in shop
            ̶ level 2                                              ̶ shopping mall
             ̶ level 3                                              ̶ travel retail outlet


BU # 1          on street      shop in shop      shopping mall           airport
flagship 2         full
   BU #            on street    shop in shop        shopping mall            airport




                                                                                             marketing
level 1            full full     high1
   flagship 3
      BU #           on street    shop in shop        shopping mall                airport
level 2 1          full full     high2                   high2
   level                             high1
      flagship             full
level 3 2                                                high2              full
   level               high1           high2                 high2
      level 1            high1           high2
   level 3 2                                                high2              high1
      level                 high2        low1                  low2
      level 3                                                    low3               low3
forecasting cycle (top down approach)
                      sales forecast
                by quarter by product category


                                                            responsible
                 sales forecast by sku
        monthly forecast by shop / sales channel by sku

                                                              sales /
           agreement on sales forecast                         mktg
           updates/changes at assortment cell level


           definition of inventory levels                     CEO
       safety stock levels by area / shop by month by sku


               sales forecast approval
                                                             logistics
                   group-wide sales forecast


                          acquisti
                purchase plan by month by sku


                    distribution plan
         delivery plan by warehouse by sku by month
anticipate customer demand
safety stock levels defined taking into consideration product
typology and its seasonality
• Core (fast movers): no stock-outs expected
• Select (slow movers): no stock-outs expected on assortment cell



                   flexible purchase plan
                   • moving purchase plan
                   • scope of purchase plan equal to product lead-time
                   • flexibility bands vary according to production processes


                                                                                                             trend
                         0%                        20%                                50%
 flexibility
    band
               month 1    month2   month 3   month 4   month 5   month 6   month 7   month 8   month 9   month 10 month 11 month 12




         delivery plan
replenishment – owned shops
 each shops makes available daily sales and stock levels data



           logistics calculates inventory gaps by shop by sku


                 logistics calculates the optimal distribution plan to:
                 • replenish shop filling the inventory gaps, and replenish the entire
                   supply chain if needed
                 • anticipate shop and product seasonality

 replenishment frequency: based on sales forecast and distribution network
                            safety stock                                                        changes to
                  sales                    purchasing   product on                  inventory
delivery plan                  levels                                    sale                    delivery
                forecast                      plan       shekves                       gaps
                             definition                                                            plan
key performance indicators
                     sales forecast variances vs. actual sales
              expected vs. actual operation activities and costs



re-orders              re-routing           delays                obsolete

 budget                                     production           outlet
                        central warehouse
                               
 forecast update                            central warehouse    auctions
    sales                                   area warehouse       e-commerce
                         area warehouse
    Production                              new product          reverse logistic
 inventory levels                           launches                intraarea
                         area warehouse
    central                                                         interarea
                               
    area
                              shop
    shop / POS
key learning points
“soft”
   get quick wins asap,
   top management sponsorship,
   increase and reward operations flexibity,
   align customer experience objectives with corporate and personal objectives,
   change management,
   right mix of data analysis and gutt feelings.




“hard”
 standardize, streamline and accelerate information flows,
 standardize, streamline and accelerate business processes,
 don’t stop to communicate and align:
        shops,
        key players,
        what’s going wrong and the relevant countermeasures,
        product shortages and action plan to minimize bad effect on customer experience.
thank you

Ing. Fabio O. Bernardini
Managing Partner
mobile +39 3383497750
office +39 0683398345
email: fabio.bernardini@e-xperience.it

founder of “Made in Italy & Luxury Goods” social network

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20080816 Design To Delivery V2.2 En

  • 1. operational excellence through integration “product design to delivery” retail & sales planning methodology overview V.2.2 200809
  • 2. team composition a team of industry professional with relevant hands-on experiences on the market markets Made in Italy Luxury Goods Automotive Customer eXperience Mgmt lines Supply Chain Mgmt Business Intelligence Retail Management
  • 3. our mission increase our client’s performances implementing tools, methodologies, services, and expertise to increase customer loyalty and to streamline sales & logistic activities.
  • 4. what we do ncrease efficiency and streamline activities of “design to deliver” supply product retail business chain CRM design operation intelligence mgmt business process reegineering leverage on the expertise already present in the company sustain change management design and implement business intelligence applications project management during software implementation, web-based sw development increase usage of existing sw application through user training and support
  • 5. our methodology Discover • process owners & key players interview • process & IT applications assessment • gather business needs Diagnose • identify critical success factors • organization • operation • finance Design • to be plan • “gap” analysys • implementation plan • change management plan Deliver • implement plans • project management • time • cost
  • 6. objectives setting lines of action negative signnals actions new products launch POS segmentation forecasting supply chain management replenishment key perform. indicators key learning points
  • 7. business objectives organizaton / operations • increase flexibility and readiness of entire design to delivery process service / volume • roles and responsiblities re-alignement • re-fucus each resource on its core inventory / financials • increase POS sales forecasting competences demand and a better execution of • reduce new products stock-out assortment/castegory during early months of sales management • increase stock turnover controlling • increase new products sales during and optimize inventory over the launch and post-launch period entire supply chain • increase sales orders fill-rate and • sustain company growth with no or respect of promised delivery date minimum increase of inventory • make a more reliable forecast of • obsolete management demand through the usage of advanced BI toolsi maximise shopping eXperience
  • 8. lines of action organization realignment streamline POS segmentation operations As Is budgeting & product forecasting assortment
  • 9. negative signals product sales & purchasing production assortment marketing weak control of sales forecast by purchase orders driven sales forecast by sku assortment business unit by personal taste / gutt • no unfullfilled demand • brand, feeling • country / sales channell analysis at POS • area / country, • breakdown by product • little or no usage of BI info, • unsctrucured awereness of category using past sales • shop / pos • stock turnover objectives new opening plans and data only set at category level seasonality at POS no product stock-out inventory level forecast analysis stock turnover set by • by product category only new products financial objectives not • underestimate seasonality • little or no alignment with by customer experience and new products launch sales & mktg loosely defined expectations • understimation of product processes & procedures needs to sustain new products sales • no periodic assessment of distribuition network assortment, forecast growth low POs’ fill-rate and • new shops opening, • production capacity limits respect of delivery dates • underestimate • new products launch sales forecast cannibalization
  • 10. indicated actions sales & sales & marketing marketing production logistics (corp.) (local) sales data quality procurement plan segmentation & safety level definitions assortment • correctdness • strategic raw materials • central warehouse • timeliness • components and WIP • products • area warehouse management • pos • shop warehouse project management engineering of new • promotion global and local products new products • new shop / pos opening distribution plan • increase reusability of • creative briefing existing components • launch strategies • distribution strategies on demand forecast different sales channels BI competence center actual production • capture unfilfilled demand • keep promised quantities & at shop / pos delivery dates • BI tools • increase flexibility sustain and champion sales forecast • sales forecast at macro • postponement level change consolidation • control product quality
  • 11. segment product assortment define key dimensions • identify and agree on key dimensions of each business line and / or product line • assign and maintain key dimensions to each sku definition of assortment cell • all sku’s that have same values of their key dimensions assortment cell is the basic tool to: • be perceived as “different” (assortmentwise) by the final customer • control and measure stock-outs • forecast sales • define product obsolescenze and manage “long tail”
  • 12. product assortment grid Bracelets / Retail price: 1,000 – 5,000€ Steel Steel-Gold Gold-Steel Gold Plain Sku1 Sku2 Sku3 Sku4 Sku5 Sku7 Sku8 Sku10 Sku6 Sku9 Semiprecious Sku11 Sku12 Sku14 Sku17 Sku13 Sku15 Sku18 Semiprec.-Prec. Sku20 Sku22 Sku24 Sku23 Sku25 Sku26 Preciuos Sku27 Sku30 Sku28 Sku31 Sku29 Sku32 Diamonds Sku33 Sku34 Sku35 Sku36 Sku37 Sku38 Rubies Sku39 Sku40 Emeralds Sku41 Zaffires Sku42
  • 13. new products launch process As Is To Be stand-alone shared unstructured structured reactive / late proactive / planned 4. sales meetings and sell-in orders 1. product brief – first update to purchasing and – agreed with sales / mktg / production replenishment plan – expected retail price band 2. collaborative forecasting 5. merchandise delivery to shops – consensus based and POS • corporate • areas / sales channels managers • marketing corporate & local 6. early sales analisys • production • logistics 7. second update to purchasing and – impact on existing products 3. distribution plan replenishment plan – expected service levels  safety stocks levels – purchasing and replenishment plans
  • 14. shop and POS segmentation shop segmentation  strategic & brand image building  location ̶ flagship ̶ on street ̶ level 1 ̶ shop in shop ̶ level 2 ̶ shopping mall ̶ level 3 ̶ travel retail outlet BU # 1 on street shop in shop shopping mall airport flagship 2 full BU # on street shop in shop shopping mall airport marketing level 1 full full high1 flagship 3 BU # on street shop in shop shopping mall airport level 2 1 full full high2 high2 level high1 flagship full level 3 2 high2 full level high1 high2 high2 level 1 high1 high2 level 3 2 high2 high1 level high2 low1 low2 level 3 low3 low3
  • 15. forecasting cycle (top down approach) sales forecast by quarter by product category responsible sales forecast by sku monthly forecast by shop / sales channel by sku sales / agreement on sales forecast mktg updates/changes at assortment cell level definition of inventory levels CEO safety stock levels by area / shop by month by sku sales forecast approval logistics group-wide sales forecast acquisti purchase plan by month by sku distribution plan delivery plan by warehouse by sku by month
  • 16. anticipate customer demand safety stock levels defined taking into consideration product typology and its seasonality • Core (fast movers): no stock-outs expected • Select (slow movers): no stock-outs expected on assortment cell flexible purchase plan • moving purchase plan • scope of purchase plan equal to product lead-time • flexibility bands vary according to production processes trend 0% 20% 50% flexibility band month 1 month2 month 3 month 4 month 5 month 6 month 7 month 8 month 9 month 10 month 11 month 12 delivery plan
  • 17. replenishment – owned shops each shops makes available daily sales and stock levels data logistics calculates inventory gaps by shop by sku logistics calculates the optimal distribution plan to: • replenish shop filling the inventory gaps, and replenish the entire supply chain if needed • anticipate shop and product seasonality replenishment frequency: based on sales forecast and distribution network safety stock changes to sales purchasing product on inventory delivery plan levels sale delivery forecast plan shekves gaps definition plan
  • 18. key performance indicators sales forecast variances vs. actual sales expected vs. actual operation activities and costs re-orders re-routing delays obsolete  budget  production  outlet central warehouse   forecast update  central warehouse  auctions sales  area warehouse  e-commerce area warehouse Production  new product  reverse logistic  inventory levels launches intraarea area warehouse central interarea  area shop shop / POS
  • 19. key learning points “soft”  get quick wins asap,  top management sponsorship,  increase and reward operations flexibity,  align customer experience objectives with corporate and personal objectives,  change management,  right mix of data analysis and gutt feelings. “hard”  standardize, streamline and accelerate information flows,  standardize, streamline and accelerate business processes,  don’t stop to communicate and align:  shops,  key players,  what’s going wrong and the relevant countermeasures,  product shortages and action plan to minimize bad effect on customer experience.
  • 20. thank you Ing. Fabio O. Bernardini Managing Partner mobile +39 3383497750 office +39 0683398345 email: fabio.bernardini@e-xperience.it founder of “Made in Italy & Luxury Goods” social network