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Finding the Future Faster™

What are the possible implications of
  playing the “Choking Game”?

              Joel Barker’s
           Implications Wheel®
      Identify Opportunities. Reduce Risks.
               Improve Outcomes.

                               ©
                                   Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
Joel Barker’s Implications Wheel®


 The Implications Wheel® is a Strategic
    Exploration Tool that explores the
implications, positive and negative, of an
 issue, in a collaborative process where
          “every voice is heard.”



                          ©
                              Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
In a complex environment, the implications of a
     decision or event may not be immediately obvious.
    Every decision or event has
   immediate implications.
     These are 1st order.


   The 1st order consequences
trigger additional consequences.
      These are 2nd order.


 2nd order consequences trigger
another ripple of consequences.
      These are 3rd order.




       © Joel Barker / Implication Wheel®   © Joel Barker
                                                            3
Joel Barker’s Implications Wheel®


What are the possible implications of
  playing the “Choking Game”?




                       ©
                           Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
The Choking Game
• Choking game refers to intentionally cutting off oxygen to the
  brain with the goal of inducing temporary euphoria.
• Mostly boys and girls between the ages of 9-16. Estimated as
  many as 250 to 1,000 young people die in the United States
  each year playing some variant of the choking game.
• Recent college survey found the following statistics:
  - 16% of students said they'd played the game.
  - On average, students first played the game at age 14.
  - 90% of students who had played the game learned about it
  from friends, and most students first played in a group
  setting.

                                         ©
                                             Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
An Implications Wheel® exploration
first identifies “first order”
implications – “what might happen
next?”

This exploration identified 13 “first-
order” implications.
                                                 1st Order

                                         Topic




                                                  ©
                                                      Copyright, 2005-2011, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
An Implications Wheel® exploration then
identifies “second order” implications for
each of the “first-orders.”

This exploration identified 65 “second-
order” implications.                                 2 Order
                                                     nd




                                             Topic




                                                     ©
                                                         Copyright, 2005-2011, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
The exploration then
identifies “third-order”
implications for each of
the “second-order”
                                   3 Orderrd
implications.

This exploration
identified 325 “third-
order” implications.



                           Topic




                                   ©
                                       Copyright, 2005-2011, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
Each implication is scored from a specified
“point-of-view” on two factors – in a process
where “majority rules” but minority reports are
respected and reported.




                                                  ©
                                                      Copyright, 2005-2011, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
Joel Barker’s Implications Wheel®


What are the possible implications of
  playing the “Choking Game”?
         Here are five “arcs” from this exploration. If you would
         like to receive more information on this exploration,
         please e-mail Andrew.Schreier@strategicexploration.com

       Scoring “Point-of-View:” Adolescent (13-18) who is aware of
       choking game (through peers, social media, Internet) but has
       never played before. *
                                      ©
                                          Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
Here’s a “Summary” showing the
 Highly Likely Significant Negative
Implications for one of the “first orders.”
Here’s a “Summary” showing the
 Highly Likely Significant Negative
Implications for one of the “first orders.”
Joel Barker’s Implications Wheel®

• The Implications Wheel is a “decision-enhancing”
  tool for individuals and organizations.
• We “interrogate” the exploration to answer:
   – What actions can be taken to avoid the highly negative,
     highly likely implications?
   – What actions can be taken to increase the likelihood of
     highly positive, less likely implications?
   – Are there implications that appear frequently in the
     exploration, indicating something more likely to occur –
     prompted by different preceding events.?


                                       ©
                                           Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
Joel Barker’s Implications Wheel®

• It is interesting in this exploration on the “Choking
  Game” that the same implication is scored very
  differently on different “arcs,” depending on the
  preceding implication.
   – If a person has successfully played the “Choking Game” it
     appears the following implications, even if negative, will
     be scored as less undesirable and/or less likely – if they
     had a bad experience, the same implication following
     was scored as more undesirable and more likely.



                                        ©
                                            Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
Download
• For more information on this exploration and the                                           Introductory
                                                                                                Article
  Implications Wheel® process:
   – Contact Andrew.Schreier@strategicexploration.com
      • for a complete “Scouting Report” on this topic.
   – Follow @Explore_Wheels
   – Visit http://www.facebook.com/ExploringImplications
   – Visit http://www.implicationswheel.com
   – Visit http://www.implicationswheel.org
   – Follow this and other key topics at:
     http://www.scoop.it/t/exploring-current-issues


                                                 ©
                                                     Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.

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Ftf choking game

  • 1. Finding the Future Faster™ What are the possible implications of playing the “Choking Game”? Joel Barker’s Implications Wheel® Identify Opportunities. Reduce Risks. Improve Outcomes. © Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
  • 2. Joel Barker’s Implications Wheel® The Implications Wheel® is a Strategic Exploration Tool that explores the implications, positive and negative, of an issue, in a collaborative process where “every voice is heard.” © Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
  • 3. In a complex environment, the implications of a decision or event may not be immediately obvious. Every decision or event has immediate implications. These are 1st order. The 1st order consequences trigger additional consequences. These are 2nd order. 2nd order consequences trigger another ripple of consequences. These are 3rd order. © Joel Barker / Implication Wheel® © Joel Barker 3
  • 4. Joel Barker’s Implications Wheel® What are the possible implications of playing the “Choking Game”? © Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
  • 5. The Choking Game • Choking game refers to intentionally cutting off oxygen to the brain with the goal of inducing temporary euphoria. • Mostly boys and girls between the ages of 9-16. Estimated as many as 250 to 1,000 young people die in the United States each year playing some variant of the choking game. • Recent college survey found the following statistics: - 16% of students said they'd played the game. - On average, students first played the game at age 14. - 90% of students who had played the game learned about it from friends, and most students first played in a group setting. © Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
  • 6. An Implications Wheel® exploration first identifies “first order” implications – “what might happen next?” This exploration identified 13 “first- order” implications. 1st Order Topic © Copyright, 2005-2011, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
  • 7.
  • 8. An Implications Wheel® exploration then identifies “second order” implications for each of the “first-orders.” This exploration identified 65 “second- order” implications. 2 Order nd Topic © Copyright, 2005-2011, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
  • 9. The exploration then identifies “third-order” implications for each of the “second-order” 3 Orderrd implications. This exploration identified 325 “third- order” implications. Topic © Copyright, 2005-2011, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
  • 10. Each implication is scored from a specified “point-of-view” on two factors – in a process where “majority rules” but minority reports are respected and reported. © Copyright, 2005-2011, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
  • 11. Joel Barker’s Implications Wheel® What are the possible implications of playing the “Choking Game”? Here are five “arcs” from this exploration. If you would like to receive more information on this exploration, please e-mail Andrew.Schreier@strategicexploration.com Scoring “Point-of-View:” Adolescent (13-18) who is aware of choking game (through peers, social media, Internet) but has never played before. * © Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Here’s a “Summary” showing the Highly Likely Significant Negative Implications for one of the “first orders.”
  • 18. Here’s a “Summary” showing the Highly Likely Significant Negative Implications for one of the “first orders.”
  • 19. Joel Barker’s Implications Wheel® • The Implications Wheel is a “decision-enhancing” tool for individuals and organizations. • We “interrogate” the exploration to answer: – What actions can be taken to avoid the highly negative, highly likely implications? – What actions can be taken to increase the likelihood of highly positive, less likely implications? – Are there implications that appear frequently in the exploration, indicating something more likely to occur – prompted by different preceding events.? © Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
  • 20. Joel Barker’s Implications Wheel® • It is interesting in this exploration on the “Choking Game” that the same implication is scored very differently on different “arcs,” depending on the preceding implication. – If a person has successfully played the “Choking Game” it appears the following implications, even if negative, will be scored as less undesirable and/or less likely – if they had a bad experience, the same implication following was scored as more undesirable and more likely. © Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.
  • 21. Download • For more information on this exploration and the Introductory Article Implications Wheel® process: – Contact Andrew.Schreier@strategicexploration.com • for a complete “Scouting Report” on this topic. – Follow @Explore_Wheels – Visit http://www.facebook.com/ExploringImplications – Visit http://www.implicationswheel.com – Visit http://www.implicationswheel.org – Follow this and other key topics at: http://www.scoop.it/t/exploring-current-issues © Copyright, 2005-2012, Joel A. Barker. All Rights Reserved.

Notas del editor

  1. In a complex environment, the implications of a decision or event may not be immediately obvious .