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© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   1
October 24, 2011



                   Trends in Distribution
                                         Workshop

                               “French Affairs 2011”
                                  JW Marriott Marquis
                                            Miami, FL




                                          Cees Bosselaar
                      Director Business Development and
                         Destination Marketing Specialist
Travel is our world.
PhoCusWright is the global travel research authority on
 how travelers, suppliers and intermediaries connect.
PhoCusWright Analysts Around the World




© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.             4
© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   6
TRENDS IN DISTRIBUTION
The Global Picture

Distribution: consumers

Distribution: suppliers and intermediaries

Distribution: travel agents

Distribution: mobile + social

Q&A
U.S.
                                                                                                                        Europe
                                                   SCAN
                                                               U.S.                                                     APAC
                            Higher




                                            U.K.                                                       CHILE
                                                                                    JAPAN                               LATAM
Online Travel Penetration




                                                                              ANZ
                                                     U.S.
                                                     FRANCE

                                                                                      SING INDIA
                                                             GERMANY
                                                                                            MEXICO


                                                           ITALY                                     BRAZIL

                                                                      SPAIN                                                    COL
                                                                                                               PERU        ARG


                                                                                       CHINA
                            Lower




                                      Lower                                                                           Higher
     Source: PhoCusWright’s Global Online Travel Overview Second Edition
                                                                            Annual Growth Online Sales
                            © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                            9
U.S.
                                                                                                                        Europe
                                                   SCAN
                                                               U.S.                                                     APAC
                            Higher




                                            U.K.                                                       CHILE
                                                                                    JAPAN                               LATAM
Online Travel Penetration




                                                                              ANZ


                                                     FRANCE

                                                                                      SING INDIA
                                                             GERMANY
                                                                                            MEXICO


                                                           ITALY                                     BRAZIL

                                                                      SPAIN                                                    COL
                                                                                                               PERU        ARG


                                                                                       CHINA
                            Lower




                                      Lower                                                                           Higher
     Source: PhoCusWright’s Global Online Travel Overview Second Edition
                                                                            Annual Growth Online Sales
                            © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                            10
U.S.
                                                                                                                        Europe
                                                   SCAN
                                                               U.S.                                                     APAC
                            Higher




                                            U.K.                                                       CHILE
                                                                                    JAPAN                               LATAM
Online Travel Penetration




                                                                              ANZ


                                                     FRANCE

                                                                                      SING INDIA
                                                             GERMANY
                                                                                            MEXICO


                                                           ITALY                                     BRAZIL

                                                                      SPAIN                                                    COL
                                                                                                               PERU        ARG


                                                                                       CHINA
                            Lower




                                      Lower                                                                           Higher
     Source: PhoCusWright’s Global Online Travel Overview Second Edition
                                                                            Annual Growth Online Sales
                            © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                            11
U.S.
                                                                                                                        Europe
                                                   SCAN
                                                               U.S.                                                     APAC
                            Higher




                                            U.K.                                                       CHILE
                                                                                    JAPAN                               LATAM
Online Travel Penetration




                                                                              ANZ


                                                     FRANCE

                                                                                      SING INDIA
                                                             GERMANY
                                                                                            MEXICO


                                                           ITALY                                     BRAZIL

                                                                      SPAIN                                                    COL
                                                                                                               PERU        ARG


                                                                                       CHINA
                            Lower




                                      Lower                                                                           Higher
     Source: PhoCusWright’s Global Online Travel Overview Second Edition
                                                                            Annual Growth Online Sales
                            © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                            12
Online Leisure/Unmanaged Business Travel Penetration by
 Market, 1992

45%

40%

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%




 Note: 2010-2012 projected.
 Source: PhoCusWright’s Global Online Travel Overview Second Edition, 2011

      © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                          13
Online Leisure/Unmanaged Business Travel Penetration by
 Market, 2012

45%

40%

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%




                                                                Europe       APAC   LATAM
 Note: 2010-2012 projected.
 Source: PhoCusWright’s Global Online Travel Overview Second Edition, 2011

      © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                         14
Online Travel Penetration* of the Total Travel
Market, Global Markets, 2008-2012
45%
                                                                                    39%                  39%
40%                                      38%                   38%
                    35%
35%                                                                                                        36%
                                                                                     35%
                                                                33%
30%                                        31%
                                                                                                         24%                    U.S.
25%                   27%                                                           23%
                                                               21%
                                                                                                                                APAC
20%                                      18%
                                                                                                         21%
                    15%                                                                                                         Europe
15%                                                                                 18%
                                                               14%
                                                                                                                                Latin America
10%                                      11%
   5%                8%

   0%
                  2008                  2009                 2010                 2011                  2012
*Leisure/unmanaged business travel websites as a percent of the total travel market.
Note: 2010-2012 projected. Data for 2012 not available for Canada.
Source: PhoCusWright's U.S. Online Travel Overview Tenth Edition; PhoCusWright’s Asia Pacific Online Travel Overview Fourth Edition; PhoCusWright’s Latin
American Online Travel Overview

    © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                                                           15
Consumers
© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   17
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The Leisure Travel Cycle

                                                              Dream




                                       Share                                 Plan




                                                    Explore           Book




Source: PhoCusWright Inc.


    © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                   21
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© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   23
Leisure Destination Types (Incidence Among Travelers)*
                                                                                                                       57%
      Destination that you selected independently                                                                         63%
               (excluding all of the above)                                                                              61%
                                                                                                                           65%

   Destination where you visited friends or family                                                                   55%
   casually (not driven by a social event, such as a                                                           45%
                                                                                                       36%
                 reunion or wedding)                                                                     39%

                                                                                            23%
            Destination where you attended a social                                   16%
             event, such as a reunion or wedding                                     15%
                                                                                             24%

                                                                                9%
  Destination where you, friends, or family own a                                   14%
                  holiday home                                                    11%                           U.S.
                                                                                  11%

                                                                               9%                               France
Destination where you added a leisure stay as an                               9%
          extension of a business trip                                          10%
                                                                             5%                                 Germany

        Destination where you have a timeshare or
                                                                               8%                               U.K.
                                                                             5%
             fractional ownership of property                                5%
                                                                             5%

*Respondents were asked to count each trip once in the most relevant category
Base: U.S. travelers (N=2,755), French travelers (N=807), German travelers (N=793), U.K. travelers (N=783)
Source: Destination Unknown: How U.S. and European Travelers Decide Where to Go

    © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                                24
© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   25
Factors Affecting Destination Selection
                                                                                                                                                        70%
 I had the specific destination in mind and planned this                                                                               54%
                       trip around it                                                                                                     59%
                                                                                                                                           60%
                                                                                                 16%
I chose between a number of destinations I had in mind                                                22%
                                                                                                       24%
                                                                                                     20%
                                                                                     5%
   I had some destinations in mind but considered new                               3%
       options as I began researching and planning                                 2%
                                                                                       7%
                                                                                    3%
     I had no specific destinations in mind until I started                                 11%
                  researching and planning                                             6%
                                                                                      5%

 I hadn't been thinking about taking this trip, but saw a
                                                                                    3%                                               U.S.
                                                                                        8%
  good deal for this destination and decided to book it                                6%                                            France
                                                                                      5%
                                                                                                                                     Germany
                                                                                    3%                                               U.K.
                                                                    Other           3%
                                                                                   2%
                                                                                    3%
Base: Travelers who have selected a destination independently: U.S. travelers (1,569), French travelers (N=507), German travelers (N=477), U.K. travelers (N=510)
Source: Destination Unknown: How U.S. and European Travelers Decide Where to Go

    © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                                                                   26
A

                                                B




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Suppliers and Intermediaries
© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   34
© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   35
© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   36
“When was the last time somebody
 used a travel agent instead of just
           going online?”
Is this a
  travel
 agent?
And Travel Agencies Have Suffered
    U.S. Online Leisure/Unmanaged Business Travel Penetration of
    Total U.S. Travel Market and ARC-Accredited Agencies, 1999-2011
                                                                                                                        50%
35,000                                                          Online Travel Agencies & Supplier Web Sites
                                                                                                                        45%
                                                                Accredited ARC agencies
30,000                                                                                                                  40%

                                                                                                                        35%
25,000
                                                                                                                        30%
20,000                                                                                                                  25%

                                                                                                                        20%
15,000
                                                                                                                        15%
10,000
                                                                                                                        10%

 5,000                                                                                                                  5%

                                                                                                                         0%
    01999           2000       2001        2002          2003   2004   2005   2006   2007    2008   2009      2010   2011
                Sources: PhoCusWright Inc. and ARC

         © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                        39
Travel Agents’ Exaggerated Demise
Total U.S. Travel Market by Channel, 2008-2012




 Source: PhoCusWright’s U.S. Online Travel Overview 10th Edition, November 2010

 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                    40
Travel Agents’ Exaggerated Demise
Total U.S. Travel Market by Channel, 2008-2012 (US$B)




 Source: PhoCusWright’s U.S. Online Travel Overview 10th Edition, November 2010

 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                    41
Yesterday’s travel agent

  Order taker                                                   Air was the asset



  General purpose                                                Change averse




                                                Transactional

© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                       42
Today’s travel agent

                                                             Expertise, relationships,
  Consultative                                                service are the asset




  Specialized                                                      Adaptive




                                         Traveler Advocate

© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                            43
The “Conceptual” Travel Distribution Chain



          Supplier
       Air, hotel, car rental

                                            Wholesaler
                                                         Retailer




  © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                     44
The Convoluted Reality of “Traditional” Agency Distribution


      “Preferred”
          Supplier                                        HBAs
              Airline
                                                           Host
               Hotel
                                                         Agencies
             Car rental                           RSAs
            Cruise line
           Tour operator




                                                    Consortia/
                                                    Franchise




  © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                     45
Pressure




© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.         46
OTAs & Supplier                                      Pressure on the      Demand
Direct                                            leisure travel agency   Generation
                                                        landscape




  © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                        47
But Travel Agents Still Have Significant Market Share
Total U.S. Travel Market* & Travel Agency** Sales & Share, 2010 (US$B)




               32% of all
              travel sales
                 in 2010

         * Total travel market: passenger/ticket/room revenue of airlines, hotels, car rental, tour operator, cruise and rail.
         ** Travel agency refers to traditional agencies (TMC, brick and mortar, home-based) and excludes online agencies.
         Source: PhoCusWright Inc.


 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                                   48
Leisure Agencies Have Focused on Higher-Margin
Complex Leisure
Travel Agency Leisure Sales by Component Type, 2010




        Source: PhoCusWright Inc.

 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.        49
© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   50
There Are a Lot Fewer of These…




 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   51
But a Lot More of These…




 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   52
Agencies in 2006:                                       Agencies in 2009:
                   c.24,000                                                c.20,600


          General
          Purpose                                                      Corporate &
            24%                                                          General
                                                                       Purpose, 26%


  Corporate
     7%
                                                Leisure                               Leisure, 74%
                                                 69%




                                                                        Corporate, “GP” not examined
                                                                           in this study, but most
       Agency Type Definitions:
       Leisure: At least 70% of volume is leisure
                                                                         contraction expected within
       Corporate: At least 60% of volume is managed corporate travel     “general purpose agencies”
       Source: PhoCusWright Inc.

© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                          53
Agency Population Contracts Faster Than the
Home-Based Population Grows
Agent Population Shift by Type, 2006 & 2009 (000s)

                                                2006   2009
                  111
                            106


                                                80
                                                       72



                                                                           31         34




             Agent Population                     RSAs                       HBAs


        Note: RSAs include leisure and corporate, full-time and part-time employees
        Source: PhoCusWright Inc.

© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                              54
RSAs Are Far More Productive
Total Personal Sales Volume for All Travel Products by
Agent Type

                    Retail storefront                                                         Home-based




              30%                                                                                              33%
                                                               $250k+
                                                               <$250K
                                                                                             67%
                                70%




       Note: Q20. Please check the volume range that best represents the gross sales volume (the total value) you personally
       expect to sell in 2009, including all travel (leisure and corporate, cruise and land-based vacations, etc). Select only one.
       (n=917)
       Source: PhoCusWright Inc.
© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                                         55
If You Provide a Service, Why Not Charge for It?
Percentage of Leisure Agents That Charge Fees




 Retail storefront                                                         82%



      Home-based                                                   45%




          Note: Q17. Do you charge service fees to your clients? (n=917)
          Source: PhoCusWright Inc.


 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                   56
Characteristics of Agency Organizations
  (PhoCusWright subjective assessment)


                                                                                  Franchise/Club
                                                                                        AAA
                                                                                     CruiseOne
                                                                                   TravelLeaders
                                                                     Consortia
Production                                                           Ensemble
Volume                      Independent                              Signature
                               HBAs                                Vacation.com
(per capita)                                              Host
                                                                      Virtuoso
                                                        Agencies
                                                         Avoya
                                                         Nexion
                                               Hosted
                                                HBAs




                 Unorganized                                                                   Organized
             Source: PhoCusWright Inc.

     © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                         57
Characteristics of Agency Organizations


                                                                                  Franchise/Club
                                                                                        AAA
                                                                                     CruiseOne
                                                                                   TravelLeaders
                                                                     Consortia
Production                                                           Ensemble
Volume                      Independent                              Signature
                               HBAs                                Vacation.com
(per capita)                                              Host
                                                                      Virtuoso
                                                        Agencies
                                                         Avoya
                                                         Nexion
                                               Hosted
                                                HBAs




                 Unorganized                                                                   Organized
             Source: PhoCusWright Inc.

     © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                         58
Vacation.com Is Most Common, but Lots of
 Fragmentation
  Consortia, Franchise & Host Agency Affiliation
                             RSAs                                                         HBAs

    Vacation.com      23%                                            Other                                              57%

           Other      20%
                                                              Vacation.com                                        38%

        Virtuoso      16%
                                                                    Nexion              11%
             AAA      14%
                                                         American Express            8%
American Express      9%
                                                                      AAA          6%
    TravelSavers      8%
                                                                   Virtuoso        6%
       Ensemble       8%
                                                            Cruise Planners       5%
       Signature      8%
                                                              TravelSavers        5%
  Travel Leaders      7%


             Note: Q22a. Please tell us to which of the following you belong: Select all that apply.(n=384/533)
             Source: PhoCusWright Inc.

     © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                       59
For Leisure Agents, These Days Should Be Coming to an
End…




 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.          60
Travel Agents Are Expecting – and Expected – to Shop
and Book Online




 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.         61
© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   62
Travel Distribution & Mobile
© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   64
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© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   67
Mobile Travel Applications for Leisure Travel
                                                                      Explore
                                                                      destinations, view
                                                                      sample itineraries
                                                              Dream


           Share experiences                                                                Plan day-by-day
           while traveling                                                                  activities

                                       Share                                    Plan




   Navigate location and                                                               Book alternatives during
   explore surroundings.                                                               service disruptions and
   Explore cultures and                             Explore              Book          ancillary services such as
   historical sites based on                                                           hotels, restaurants, and
   your preferences                                                                    ground transportation

Source: PhoCusWright Inc.


    © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                   68
Travel-Related Mobile Phone Activities (U.S.)
                              View maps/get directions online                     35%            14%                51%

 Research local activities such as restaurants and shows
                                                                               28%            16%                  56%
                           online
 Research travel products such as hotel rooms or flights
                                                                              25%         14%                    61%
                         online
    Reserve/purchase local activities such as restaurants
                                                                             21%         17%                     62%
                 and show tickets online

                Check-in for flight, hotel, train, or car rental            20%           22%                     58%

 Reserve/purchase travel products such as hotel rooms
                                                                            19%         16%                     64%
                   or flights online

     Make online changes to existing travel reservations                    17%         18%                     65%


         Use as a boarding pass or ticket for flight or train              16%          20%                     64%

       Likely to do and have in the past                 Likely to do and have not in the past      Not likely to do in next 12 mos.
Note: Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding
Source: PhoCusWright's Traveler Technology Survey 2010

    © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                                      69
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© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   73
Travel Distribution & Social Media
© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   75
Sizing Social Travel
• More than two in three travelers cite traveler reviews (either on OTAs or
  traveler review websites) as influential when planning leisure travel
• More than four in ten travelers say comments from people within their social
  networks are influential in the travel planning process
• Facebook referred more than 15.2 million visitors to hotel websites in 2010, a
  35% increase from 2009 and more than 400% jump from 2.1 million in 2008
• Of those 15.2 million referrals from Facebook to hotel websites, some
  568,000 resulted in a booking, representing a conversion rate of 4% and a
  jump of 562% in referred bookers from 2008




  © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                    76
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© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   85
Thank you!
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© 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved.   90

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Atout France French- Affairs 2011

  • 1. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 1
  • 2. October 24, 2011 Trends in Distribution Workshop “French Affairs 2011” JW Marriott Marquis Miami, FL Cees Bosselaar Director Business Development and Destination Marketing Specialist
  • 3. Travel is our world. PhoCusWright is the global travel research authority on how travelers, suppliers and intermediaries connect.
  • 4. PhoCusWright Analysts Around the World © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 4
  • 5.
  • 6. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6
  • 8. The Global Picture Distribution: consumers Distribution: suppliers and intermediaries Distribution: travel agents Distribution: mobile + social Q&A
  • 9. U.S. Europe SCAN U.S. APAC Higher U.K. CHILE JAPAN LATAM Online Travel Penetration ANZ U.S. FRANCE SING INDIA GERMANY MEXICO ITALY BRAZIL SPAIN COL PERU ARG CHINA Lower Lower Higher Source: PhoCusWright’s Global Online Travel Overview Second Edition Annual Growth Online Sales © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 9
  • 10. U.S. Europe SCAN U.S. APAC Higher U.K. CHILE JAPAN LATAM Online Travel Penetration ANZ FRANCE SING INDIA GERMANY MEXICO ITALY BRAZIL SPAIN COL PERU ARG CHINA Lower Lower Higher Source: PhoCusWright’s Global Online Travel Overview Second Edition Annual Growth Online Sales © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 10
  • 11. U.S. Europe SCAN U.S. APAC Higher U.K. CHILE JAPAN LATAM Online Travel Penetration ANZ FRANCE SING INDIA GERMANY MEXICO ITALY BRAZIL SPAIN COL PERU ARG CHINA Lower Lower Higher Source: PhoCusWright’s Global Online Travel Overview Second Edition Annual Growth Online Sales © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 11
  • 12. U.S. Europe SCAN U.S. APAC Higher U.K. CHILE JAPAN LATAM Online Travel Penetration ANZ FRANCE SING INDIA GERMANY MEXICO ITALY BRAZIL SPAIN COL PERU ARG CHINA Lower Lower Higher Source: PhoCusWright’s Global Online Travel Overview Second Edition Annual Growth Online Sales © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 12
  • 13. Online Leisure/Unmanaged Business Travel Penetration by Market, 1992 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Note: 2010-2012 projected. Source: PhoCusWright’s Global Online Travel Overview Second Edition, 2011 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 13
  • 14. Online Leisure/Unmanaged Business Travel Penetration by Market, 2012 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Europe APAC LATAM Note: 2010-2012 projected. Source: PhoCusWright’s Global Online Travel Overview Second Edition, 2011 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 14
  • 15. Online Travel Penetration* of the Total Travel Market, Global Markets, 2008-2012 45% 39% 39% 40% 38% 38% 35% 35% 36% 35% 33% 30% 31% 24% U.S. 25% 27% 23% 21% APAC 20% 18% 21% 15% Europe 15% 18% 14% Latin America 10% 11% 5% 8% 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 *Leisure/unmanaged business travel websites as a percent of the total travel market. Note: 2010-2012 projected. Data for 2012 not available for Canada. Source: PhoCusWright's U.S. Online Travel Overview Tenth Edition; PhoCusWright’s Asia Pacific Online Travel Overview Fourth Edition; PhoCusWright’s Latin American Online Travel Overview © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 15
  • 17. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 17
  • 18. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 18
  • 19. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 19
  • 20. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 20
  • 21. The Leisure Travel Cycle Dream Share Plan Explore Book Source: PhoCusWright Inc. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 21
  • 22. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 22
  • 23. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 23
  • 24. Leisure Destination Types (Incidence Among Travelers)* 57% Destination that you selected independently 63% (excluding all of the above) 61% 65% Destination where you visited friends or family 55% casually (not driven by a social event, such as a 45% 36% reunion or wedding) 39% 23% Destination where you attended a social 16% event, such as a reunion or wedding 15% 24% 9% Destination where you, friends, or family own a 14% holiday home 11% U.S. 11% 9% France Destination where you added a leisure stay as an 9% extension of a business trip 10% 5% Germany Destination where you have a timeshare or 8% U.K. 5% fractional ownership of property 5% 5% *Respondents were asked to count each trip once in the most relevant category Base: U.S. travelers (N=2,755), French travelers (N=807), German travelers (N=793), U.K. travelers (N=783) Source: Destination Unknown: How U.S. and European Travelers Decide Where to Go © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 24
  • 25. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 25
  • 26. Factors Affecting Destination Selection 70% I had the specific destination in mind and planned this 54% trip around it 59% 60% 16% I chose between a number of destinations I had in mind 22% 24% 20% 5% I had some destinations in mind but considered new 3% options as I began researching and planning 2% 7% 3% I had no specific destinations in mind until I started 11% researching and planning 6% 5% I hadn't been thinking about taking this trip, but saw a 3% U.S. 8% good deal for this destination and decided to book it 6% France 5% Germany 3% U.K. Other 3% 2% 3% Base: Travelers who have selected a destination independently: U.S. travelers (1,569), French travelers (N=507), German travelers (N=477), U.K. travelers (N=510) Source: Destination Unknown: How U.S. and European Travelers Decide Where to Go © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 26
  • 27. A B © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 27
  • 28. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 28
  • 29. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 29
  • 30. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 30
  • 31. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 31
  • 32. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 32
  • 34. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 34
  • 35. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 35
  • 36. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 36
  • 37. “When was the last time somebody used a travel agent instead of just going online?”
  • 38. Is this a travel agent?
  • 39. And Travel Agencies Have Suffered U.S. Online Leisure/Unmanaged Business Travel Penetration of Total U.S. Travel Market and ARC-Accredited Agencies, 1999-2011 50% 35,000 Online Travel Agencies & Supplier Web Sites 45% Accredited ARC agencies 30,000 40% 35% 25,000 30% 20,000 25% 20% 15,000 15% 10,000 10% 5,000 5% 0% 01999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Sources: PhoCusWright Inc. and ARC © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 39
  • 40. Travel Agents’ Exaggerated Demise Total U.S. Travel Market by Channel, 2008-2012 Source: PhoCusWright’s U.S. Online Travel Overview 10th Edition, November 2010 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 40
  • 41. Travel Agents’ Exaggerated Demise Total U.S. Travel Market by Channel, 2008-2012 (US$B) Source: PhoCusWright’s U.S. Online Travel Overview 10th Edition, November 2010 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 41
  • 42. Yesterday’s travel agent Order taker Air was the asset General purpose Change averse Transactional © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 42
  • 43. Today’s travel agent Expertise, relationships, Consultative service are the asset Specialized Adaptive Traveler Advocate © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 43
  • 44. The “Conceptual” Travel Distribution Chain Supplier Air, hotel, car rental Wholesaler Retailer © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 44
  • 45. The Convoluted Reality of “Traditional” Agency Distribution “Preferred” Supplier HBAs Airline Host Hotel Agencies Car rental RSAs Cruise line Tour operator Consortia/ Franchise © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 45
  • 46. Pressure © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 46
  • 47. OTAs & Supplier Pressure on the Demand Direct leisure travel agency Generation landscape © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 47
  • 48. But Travel Agents Still Have Significant Market Share Total U.S. Travel Market* & Travel Agency** Sales & Share, 2010 (US$B) 32% of all travel sales in 2010 * Total travel market: passenger/ticket/room revenue of airlines, hotels, car rental, tour operator, cruise and rail. ** Travel agency refers to traditional agencies (TMC, brick and mortar, home-based) and excludes online agencies. Source: PhoCusWright Inc. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 48
  • 49. Leisure Agencies Have Focused on Higher-Margin Complex Leisure Travel Agency Leisure Sales by Component Type, 2010 Source: PhoCusWright Inc. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 49
  • 50. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 50
  • 51. There Are a Lot Fewer of These… © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 51
  • 52. But a Lot More of These… © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 52
  • 53. Agencies in 2006: Agencies in 2009: c.24,000 c.20,600 General Purpose Corporate & 24% General Purpose, 26% Corporate 7% Leisure Leisure, 74% 69% Corporate, “GP” not examined in this study, but most Agency Type Definitions: Leisure: At least 70% of volume is leisure contraction expected within Corporate: At least 60% of volume is managed corporate travel “general purpose agencies” Source: PhoCusWright Inc. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 53
  • 54. Agency Population Contracts Faster Than the Home-Based Population Grows Agent Population Shift by Type, 2006 & 2009 (000s) 2006 2009 111 106 80 72 31 34 Agent Population RSAs HBAs Note: RSAs include leisure and corporate, full-time and part-time employees Source: PhoCusWright Inc. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 54
  • 55. RSAs Are Far More Productive Total Personal Sales Volume for All Travel Products by Agent Type Retail storefront Home-based 30% 33% $250k+ <$250K 67% 70% Note: Q20. Please check the volume range that best represents the gross sales volume (the total value) you personally expect to sell in 2009, including all travel (leisure and corporate, cruise and land-based vacations, etc). Select only one. (n=917) Source: PhoCusWright Inc. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 55
  • 56. If You Provide a Service, Why Not Charge for It? Percentage of Leisure Agents That Charge Fees Retail storefront 82% Home-based 45% Note: Q17. Do you charge service fees to your clients? (n=917) Source: PhoCusWright Inc. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 56
  • 57. Characteristics of Agency Organizations (PhoCusWright subjective assessment) Franchise/Club AAA CruiseOne TravelLeaders Consortia Production Ensemble Volume Independent Signature HBAs Vacation.com (per capita) Host Virtuoso Agencies Avoya Nexion Hosted HBAs Unorganized Organized Source: PhoCusWright Inc. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 57
  • 58. Characteristics of Agency Organizations Franchise/Club AAA CruiseOne TravelLeaders Consortia Production Ensemble Volume Independent Signature HBAs Vacation.com (per capita) Host Virtuoso Agencies Avoya Nexion Hosted HBAs Unorganized Organized Source: PhoCusWright Inc. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 58
  • 59. Vacation.com Is Most Common, but Lots of Fragmentation Consortia, Franchise & Host Agency Affiliation RSAs HBAs Vacation.com 23% Other 57% Other 20% Vacation.com 38% Virtuoso 16% Nexion 11% AAA 14% American Express 8% American Express 9% AAA 6% TravelSavers 8% Virtuoso 6% Ensemble 8% Cruise Planners 5% Signature 8% TravelSavers 5% Travel Leaders 7% Note: Q22a. Please tell us to which of the following you belong: Select all that apply.(n=384/533) Source: PhoCusWright Inc. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 59
  • 60. For Leisure Agents, These Days Should Be Coming to an End… © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 60
  • 61. Travel Agents Are Expecting – and Expected – to Shop and Book Online © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 61
  • 62. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 62
  • 64. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 64
  • 65. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 65
  • 66. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 66
  • 67. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 67
  • 68. Mobile Travel Applications for Leisure Travel Explore destinations, view sample itineraries Dream Share experiences Plan day-by-day while traveling activities Share Plan Navigate location and Book alternatives during explore surroundings. service disruptions and Explore cultures and Explore Book ancillary services such as historical sites based on hotels, restaurants, and your preferences ground transportation Source: PhoCusWright Inc. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 68
  • 69. Travel-Related Mobile Phone Activities (U.S.) View maps/get directions online 35% 14% 51% Research local activities such as restaurants and shows 28% 16% 56% online Research travel products such as hotel rooms or flights 25% 14% 61% online Reserve/purchase local activities such as restaurants 21% 17% 62% and show tickets online Check-in for flight, hotel, train, or car rental 20% 22% 58% Reserve/purchase travel products such as hotel rooms 19% 16% 64% or flights online Make online changes to existing travel reservations 17% 18% 65% Use as a boarding pass or ticket for flight or train 16% 20% 64% Likely to do and have in the past Likely to do and have not in the past Not likely to do in next 12 mos. Note: Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding Source: PhoCusWright's Traveler Technology Survey 2010 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 69
  • 70. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 70
  • 71. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 71
  • 72. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 72
  • 73. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 73
  • 74. Travel Distribution & Social Media
  • 75. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 75
  • 76. Sizing Social Travel • More than two in three travelers cite traveler reviews (either on OTAs or traveler review websites) as influential when planning leisure travel • More than four in ten travelers say comments from people within their social networks are influential in the travel planning process • Facebook referred more than 15.2 million visitors to hotel websites in 2010, a 35% increase from 2009 and more than 400% jump from 2.1 million in 2008 • Of those 15.2 million referrals from Facebook to hotel websites, some 568,000 resulted in a booking, representing a conversion rate of 4% and a jump of 562% in referred bookers from 2008 © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 76
  • 77. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 77
  • 78. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 78
  • 79. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 79
  • 80. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 80
  • 81. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 81
  • 82. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 82
  • 83. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 83
  • 84. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 84
  • 85. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 85
  • 87. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87
  • 88. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 88
  • 89. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 89
  • 90. © 2011 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. 90

Notas del editor

  1. INTERHOMEATOUT FRANCEPIERRE ET VACANCESWER
  2. INTERHOMEATOUT FRANCEPIERRE ET VACANCESWER