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The Age of Opportunity
  The New Era of Innovation for
Business, Technology, and Society
Our present-day
 tools, models,
and processes
   are quickly
   becoming
 Industrial
Age relics...
 Something
fundamental
has changed!
We have entered the...
               Postnormal Economy




                                                  {
 “All that was ‘normal’ has now                     Complexity
  evaporated; we have entered                         Chaos
postnormal times, the in-between                  Contradiction
     period where old                             Open-Sourced
                                                    Disruptive
  orthodoxies are dying,                            Networked
  new ones have not yet                           Collaborative
 emerged, and nothing really                       Uncertainty
            makes sense.”                           Resilience
                                                   Imagination
   Ziauddin Sardar, The City University, London
before the shift          after the shift

  “We must reduce
complexity in order to
     innovate.”




                          “We must embrace
                         complexity in order to
                              innovate.”
7 Critical Value Shifts for Organizational
   Culture in the Postnormal Future
          Open Systems

                          Multiples

Pattern & Sense-Making


                         Meshing

   Resilience

                             Organic

         Futures
“In an age of ever increasing
    complexity & ambiguity,
linear thinking & simple
strategies will no longer work.
Our interconnected world has
created an environment where
learning and acting
   from multiples
   perspectives is
   imperative for success.”
The Avatar
     Future:
 Telepresence,
Human/Machine
  Interface, &
    Robotics
    Areas of Impact:
 •Technology
 •Medicine
 •Human Resources
 •Talent & Work
“This is a move from
     top-down
‘command & control’
   business to seeing more
power placed in the
hands of individuals,
including crowdsourcing, social
networking, open innovation, &
         solopreneurs.”
The “VirFlex” Future
            “VirFlex”                                       Areas of Impact:
 Virtual Geography & Location        Flexible Work Hours
                                                            •Work
                                                            •Talent
                                                             Development
                                                            •Business
                                +                            Development
                                                            •City
                                                             Development
                                                            •Innovation
What does this do to the concepts of “work,” “workplace,”   •Collaboration
  & “business,” not to mention the idea of the “city?”
The
   ... Near Field
Communications
 Communication
       Future
  Areas of
  Impact:
•Technology
•Innovation
•Money
•Banking &
 Finances
•Data &
 Information
•City
 Development
•Retail
“We have moved from
  sustainability to resilience,
               adapt
needing the ability to
 & be flexible in the
  face of unfamiliar
 landscapes. Business
cannot rely on old strategies,
  but must learn how to be
robust in the face of change.”
"          has become
       so tied up in
    intellectual knots
      that it has the



    of making things
                       "


                              Neal Stephenson on
                           “Getting Big Things Done.”
The “Gamified” Future
                            The Gamification of Business
 Areas of Impact:

•Talent                If "customer
 Assessment          engagement" is
•Technology          the super metric
•Consumer               of the next
  Insights             decade, then
•Consumption         "gamification" is
•Data & Analytics         its elixir.
•Marketing
•Job Creation
•Governance
•Innovation
•Social Media
•Health & Medicine
“Gone are the days when we
     could separate various
   academic & professional
  disciplines in order to make
sense of our world & get the
job done. We are finding that
  it’s in the “spaces-in-
   between” that the
   solutions to our greatest
challenges exist & new ways of
  operating are emerging.”
Areas of Impact:
The Hybrid Future             •Technology •Data •Social Media
                              •Work       •Insights •Innovation
The “meshing” of physical
and virtual/digital worlds,
   resulting in the co-
evolution of humanity and
       technology...



                                ...impacting the way we
                                   govern, do business,
                               perceive social interaction,
                                  and shape our world.
The
“Sensored”
  Future

   Areas of Impact:
•Health & Medicine
•Talent Assessment
•Consumer Tech
•Communications
•Consumer Insights
•Product Development
•Data & Analytics
•Marketing
“People aren’t machines.
Nonetheless, we’ve tried very
 hard to build our businesses
 in a mechanical fashion, like
 cogs in a clock. Humans are
  organic – living, breathing,
and often messy. We thrive in
    environments filled with
  purpose, deep
meaning, creativity,
 and connection.”
Areas of Impact:

The Holistic   •Work and Talent
               •Innovation and Creativity
               •Technology
  Future       •Consumption
“Our new world demands that
we look past the “tip
of the iceberg” to see
 patterns between
seemingly unrelated
  events & trends,
making deep sense out of our
   converging systems.”
The
Generative
 Future
Areas of Impact:

•City Development
•Consumer Insights
•Technology
•Consumption
•Innovation
•Data & Analytics
                              pavagen
• Marketing
•Job Creation      Using exponentially accelerating technology
•Governance         and “big data” clusters to create cities &
•Social Media
• Energy            workforces that are equitable, inclusive,
•Health & Medicine   citizen-centric, and hubs of innovation.
“We are used to depending on
          hindsight to run our businesses,
            schools, & countries, but this
          can no longer be our practice in
            a rapidly changing world. Our
Futures
          leaders must develop the skill of
             identifying emerging issues,
          building alternative scenarios, &
                 creating
             transformational
                 futures.”
Why Is Futures Thinking Critical To The Success Of
         Innovation In The Postnormal Economy?

You can't have a   better tomorrow if
you're only thinking   about yesterday.

Those who can look ahead with
foresight are better equipped to face
change and harness opportunity, since
they know which decisions today might open up
new doors tomorrow.

Applying foresight thinking can turn a
complex and unclear world into
a map of new innovation, opportunities,
and possibilities.
                             Foresight and Innovation at Stanford University
About Kedge, LLC
Kedge is a minority-owned foresight, innovation, creativity, and strategic design consultancy. We help our clients to
thrive in a world of complex ideas and practices, uncover emerging trends on the horizon that will impact their
business, and discover unseen opportunities for strategic advantage and development.

Yvette Montero Salvatico, Partner/Principal
Holding a bachelor’s degree in Finance and an MBA from the University of Florida, Yvette has over 15 years of
corporate experience with large, multi-national firms such as Kimberly-Clark and The Walt Disney Company. Before
becoming a partner at Kedge, she lead the effort to establish Future Workforce Insights at the Walt Disney Company,
identifying future workforce trends and leveraging foresight models and techniques to assess potential threats and
impacts, emerging ideas, and exciting opportunities for the organization. Yvette is an experienced speaker,
addressing large audiences on topics such as business policy, diversity, and foresight.

Frank Spencer, Partner/Principal
Prior to founding Kedge, Frank worked for 15 years as a leadership coach and developer with entrepreneurs, social
communities, networking initiatives and SMEs, helping them to advance human development, local and global
innovation, and open-source collaboration. He holds a Master of Arts in Strategic Foresight from Regent University,
and is a member of the Association of Professional Futurists and the World Futures Studies Federation. With a
strong background in both business and academic foresight, Frank taught a course on futures and foresight for
developing solutions to wicked problems at the Duke TIP Institutes; is on the organizing team that is developing an
MSc in Foresight and Innovation at ISTIA/The University of Angers in France; and has worked on strategic foresight
projects for companies such as Kraft, Mars, Marriott, and The Walt Disney Company.

  Yvette Montero Salvatico                                                         Frank W. Spencer, IV
  Principal, Kedge, LLC                                                            Principal, Kedge, LLC
  2905 Boat Dock Road                                                              12 Drake Drive
  Kissimmee, Florida 34746                                                         Savannah, Georgia 31406
  407-973-1172                                                                     912-660-6726
  e-mail: yvette@kedgefutures.com        www.kedgefutures.com                      e-mail: frank@kedgefutures.com

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The Age of Opportunity: Innovation in the Postnormal Economy

  • 1. The Age of Opportunity The New Era of Innovation for Business, Technology, and Society
  • 2. Our present-day tools, models, and processes are quickly becoming Industrial Age relics... Something fundamental has changed!
  • 3. We have entered the... Postnormal Economy { “All that was ‘normal’ has now Complexity evaporated; we have entered Chaos postnormal times, the in-between Contradiction period where old Open-Sourced Disruptive orthodoxies are dying, Networked new ones have not yet Collaborative emerged, and nothing really Uncertainty makes sense.” Resilience Imagination Ziauddin Sardar, The City University, London
  • 4. before the shift after the shift “We must reduce complexity in order to innovate.” “We must embrace complexity in order to innovate.”
  • 5. 7 Critical Value Shifts for Organizational Culture in the Postnormal Future Open Systems Multiples Pattern & Sense-Making Meshing Resilience Organic Futures
  • 6. “In an age of ever increasing complexity & ambiguity, linear thinking & simple strategies will no longer work. Our interconnected world has created an environment where learning and acting from multiples perspectives is imperative for success.”
  • 7. The Avatar Future: Telepresence, Human/Machine Interface, & Robotics Areas of Impact: •Technology •Medicine •Human Resources •Talent & Work
  • 8. “This is a move from top-down ‘command & control’ business to seeing more power placed in the hands of individuals, including crowdsourcing, social networking, open innovation, & solopreneurs.”
  • 9. The “VirFlex” Future “VirFlex” Areas of Impact: Virtual Geography & Location Flexible Work Hours •Work •Talent Development •Business + Development •City Development •Innovation What does this do to the concepts of “work,” “workplace,” •Collaboration & “business,” not to mention the idea of the “city?”
  • 10. The ... Near Field Communications Communication Future Areas of Impact: •Technology •Innovation •Money •Banking & Finances •Data & Information •City Development •Retail
  • 11. “We have moved from sustainability to resilience, adapt needing the ability to & be flexible in the face of unfamiliar landscapes. Business cannot rely on old strategies, but must learn how to be robust in the face of change.”
  • 12. " has become so tied up in intellectual knots that it has the of making things " Neal Stephenson on “Getting Big Things Done.”
  • 13. The “Gamified” Future The Gamification of Business Areas of Impact: •Talent If "customer Assessment engagement" is •Technology the super metric •Consumer of the next Insights decade, then •Consumption "gamification" is •Data & Analytics its elixir. •Marketing •Job Creation •Governance •Innovation •Social Media •Health & Medicine
  • 14. “Gone are the days when we could separate various academic & professional disciplines in order to make sense of our world & get the job done. We are finding that it’s in the “spaces-in- between” that the solutions to our greatest challenges exist & new ways of operating are emerging.”
  • 15. Areas of Impact: The Hybrid Future •Technology •Data •Social Media •Work •Insights •Innovation The “meshing” of physical and virtual/digital worlds, resulting in the co- evolution of humanity and technology... ...impacting the way we govern, do business, perceive social interaction, and shape our world.
  • 16. The “Sensored” Future Areas of Impact: •Health & Medicine •Talent Assessment •Consumer Tech •Communications •Consumer Insights •Product Development •Data & Analytics •Marketing
  • 17. “People aren’t machines. Nonetheless, we’ve tried very hard to build our businesses in a mechanical fashion, like cogs in a clock. Humans are organic – living, breathing, and often messy. We thrive in environments filled with purpose, deep meaning, creativity, and connection.”
  • 18. Areas of Impact: The Holistic •Work and Talent •Innovation and Creativity •Technology Future •Consumption
  • 19. “Our new world demands that we look past the “tip of the iceberg” to see patterns between seemingly unrelated events & trends, making deep sense out of our converging systems.”
  • 20. The Generative Future Areas of Impact: •City Development •Consumer Insights •Technology •Consumption •Innovation •Data & Analytics pavagen • Marketing •Job Creation Using exponentially accelerating technology •Governance and “big data” clusters to create cities & •Social Media • Energy workforces that are equitable, inclusive, •Health & Medicine citizen-centric, and hubs of innovation.
  • 21. “We are used to depending on hindsight to run our businesses, schools, & countries, but this can no longer be our practice in a rapidly changing world. Our Futures leaders must develop the skill of identifying emerging issues, building alternative scenarios, & creating transformational futures.”
  • 22. Why Is Futures Thinking Critical To The Success Of Innovation In The Postnormal Economy? You can't have a better tomorrow if you're only thinking about yesterday. Those who can look ahead with foresight are better equipped to face change and harness opportunity, since they know which decisions today might open up new doors tomorrow. Applying foresight thinking can turn a complex and unclear world into a map of new innovation, opportunities, and possibilities. Foresight and Innovation at Stanford University
  • 23. About Kedge, LLC Kedge is a minority-owned foresight, innovation, creativity, and strategic design consultancy. We help our clients to thrive in a world of complex ideas and practices, uncover emerging trends on the horizon that will impact their business, and discover unseen opportunities for strategic advantage and development. Yvette Montero Salvatico, Partner/Principal Holding a bachelor’s degree in Finance and an MBA from the University of Florida, Yvette has over 15 years of corporate experience with large, multi-national firms such as Kimberly-Clark and The Walt Disney Company. Before becoming a partner at Kedge, she lead the effort to establish Future Workforce Insights at the Walt Disney Company, identifying future workforce trends and leveraging foresight models and techniques to assess potential threats and impacts, emerging ideas, and exciting opportunities for the organization. Yvette is an experienced speaker, addressing large audiences on topics such as business policy, diversity, and foresight. Frank Spencer, Partner/Principal Prior to founding Kedge, Frank worked for 15 years as a leadership coach and developer with entrepreneurs, social communities, networking initiatives and SMEs, helping them to advance human development, local and global innovation, and open-source collaboration. He holds a Master of Arts in Strategic Foresight from Regent University, and is a member of the Association of Professional Futurists and the World Futures Studies Federation. With a strong background in both business and academic foresight, Frank taught a course on futures and foresight for developing solutions to wicked problems at the Duke TIP Institutes; is on the organizing team that is developing an MSc in Foresight and Innovation at ISTIA/The University of Angers in France; and has worked on strategic foresight projects for companies such as Kraft, Mars, Marriott, and The Walt Disney Company. Yvette Montero Salvatico Frank W. Spencer, IV Principal, Kedge, LLC Principal, Kedge, LLC 2905 Boat Dock Road 12 Drake Drive Kissimmee, Florida 34746 Savannah, Georgia 31406 407-973-1172 912-660-6726 e-mail: yvette@kedgefutures.com www.kedgefutures.com e-mail: frank@kedgefutures.com