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Knowing how our project is performing means knowing how our Cost, 
Schedule, and Technical Performance is performing  according to Plan.
          p
    If the performance of our 
    project is like cycling, then 
    we plan to ride at a planned 
    pace – say 20 mph
            say 20 mph.
   If our group maintains the 
    target pace of 20 mph they 
    can look at their watches to 
          l k  t th i   t h  t  
    determine if we’re on pace 
    to complete our 40 mile ride 
    in 2 hours.
   30 minutes into the ride we’re still all riding as a group. Nice 
    sustainable pace, we ll make the 40 miles in our planned 
    sustainable pace  we’ll make the 40 miles in our planned 
    time – no problems so far.
   But some of us are starting to get 
    tired. We’re falling to the back of 
    pace line.
   Instead of our planned 20 mph, 
    we’ve dropped to 19 mph, still 
    moving along pretty well, but a gap 
    is starting to open up.
   As time passes this gap is opening more – we’re falling off the 
    back of pace line – and we’re gonna get dropped if we don’t do 
    something soon.
    something soon
   We’re Underperforming to our Plan
     For the invested effort (ACWP) we’re under delivering value (BCWP) 
      against our planned value (BCWS).
      against our planned value (BCWS)
    If we keep riding at our 19 mph pace, 
     the gap will continue to open and 
     we’ll soon be all alone.
    Our planned performance (BCWS) has 
     fallen off the actual pace (BCWP) and 
     we need to do something about it, 
     and we need to do it fast.
   If we can get back on pace (BCWP) – go back to our planned 20 
    mph – this will be good, but the gap that opened up will 
    remain (SPI   1.0). 
    remain (SPI < 1.0). 
   We’ll still have the gape between us and the peloton.
   Our riding group is now far ahead.
   We re not falling further behind, but we re still behind.
    We’re not falling further behind, but we’re still behind.
   We’ll need to pick up the pace (SPI > 1.0).
   In order to close the gap,  
    In order to close the gap
    riding at our planned 20 
    mph pace is not enough.
   We have to ride faster –
    say a 22 mph to close the 
    gap to rejoin the peloton.
   Let’s assume we have the strength, skills, stamina, and 
    L t’             h  th   t        th   kill   t i   d 
    mental fortitude needed to pick up the pace and ride a 22 mph 
    pace to try to regain contact with the group.
   Exactly how to do this will require some thought:
    E tl  h  t  d  thi   ill        i           th  ht
       Simply peddle faster – steady increase in effort.
       Sprint to close the gap on an uphill section.
       Ride faster down hill.
       Find someone to pull us to the Peloton in a draft.
 In order to close the gap, we 
  need to find the needed 
  actions to close the gap that 
  put us back on pace 
  put us back on pace – 20 
  mph.
 But no matter how we need 
  to ride faster – at 22mph.
  to ride faster  at 22mph
   Two things are actually needed:
     Close the gap  ride at 22 mph to regain contact
      Close the gap – ride at 22 mph to regain contact.
     Once reconnected with the group, keep on planned pace –
      maintain 20 mph.
   Easy in concept – hard in the execution.
    Easy in concept  hard in the execution
The planned pace is BCWS.
The actual pace is BCWP.
           p
The work effort needed to ride at the planed pace is ACWP.
The effort need to close the gap is TCPI.
   Budgeted Cost for Work Scheduled (BCWS)
      d    d      f      k h d l d
     The planned cost in hours and / or dollars.
   Budget Cost of Work Performed (BCWP)
    B d t C t  f W k P f        d (BCWP)
     The planned value of the work delivered.
     Wh  BCWS   BCWP  ’  
      When BCWS = BCWP we’re staying with the Peloton.
                                 i   i h  h  P l
     This is the “Earned Value” over the period of 
      performance.
      performance
   Actual Cost of Work Performed (ACWP)
     The cost in dollars or hours to “earn” the Earned Value 
      The cost in dollars or hours to  earn  the Earned Value 
      (BCWP).
BCWS
  BCWP
  ACWP
   The same work component is in all three Earned Value variables
                    p

† CPM–300: Principles of Earned Value Implementation, Lesson E: Developing the Performance Measurement
  Baseline, Dennis W. White, IPMC 2002 Fall Conference, Professional Education Program.
Time
       Now
COST




                        Planned Cost
                        Actual Costs
C




               Measuring budget 
               p
               performance is useful for the 
               financial staff.
               But program managers need 
        TIME   insight into the delivery of 
                   g                   y
               techncial value
Time
       Now
COST




                       Planned Costs
                       Actual Costs
C




                       Earned Value

               It’s the Earned Value 
               measurement we’re after.
                                ’   f
               The EV represents the 
        TIME   delivered value to the 
               customer, not just the 
                  t        t j t th  
               consumption of resources
EAC: Estimate at Complete

                                                                  TAB: Total Allocated Budget
              Management Reserve
                                                                  BAC: Budget at Complete
                                     PMB
                                                                      The Performance
                                                                    Measurement Baseline
           Schedule Variance                                       (PMB) represents of the
                                            Cost

$                                         Variance                  program “ b
                                                                            “on baseline”
                                                                                    li ”
             ACWP


     C S
    BCWS

                            BCWP


                     time          Time              Completion
                                   Now                 Date
Schedule Variance
                 BC WS: Of the work scheduled to have done,
                         how much was it budget for it to cost?
                 BC WP: Of the work ac ua y performed,
                        O e o actually pe o ed,
                         how much was it budget for it to cost?
     SCHEDULE VARIANCE is the difference between work scheduled
      SCHEDULE VARIANCE is the difference between work scheduled
     and work performed ((expressedin terms of budget dollars)
      and workpperformed(expressed in terms of budget dollars)
                           p                      g          )
     formula:
      formula:         SV$ = BCWP – BCWS
                       SV$ = BCWP – BCWS
     example:
      example:         SV = BCWP – BCWS = $1,800 – $2,000
                       SV = BCWP – BCWS = $1,800 – $2,000
                       SV= –$200 (negative = behind schedule))
                        SV= –$200 (negative = behind schedule)
                                    ( g

     Convert SCHEDULE VARIANCE to a percentage
      Convert SCHEDULE VARIANCE to a percentage
     formula:
      formula:      SV% = BCWP – BCWS = SV$
                     SV% = BCWP – BCWS = SV$
                             BCWS
                              BCWS         BCWS
                                            BCWS
     example:
      example:      SV% = – $200 = –10%
                    SV% = – $200 = –10%
                            $2,000
                             $2,000
Cost Variance
                 BC WP: Of the work actually performed,
                          how much was it budgeted to cost?
                 AC WP:   Of the work actually performed,
                          how much did it actually cost?

     COST VARIANCE is the difference between the budgeted cost and
      COST VARIANCE is the difference between the budgeted cost and
     the actual cost
      the actual cost
          act al
     formula:
      formula:          CV$ = BCWP – ACWP
                        CV$ = BCWP – ACWP
     example:
      example:          CV = BCWP – ACWP = $1,800 – $1,900
                        CV = BCWP – ACWP = $1,800 – $1,900
                        SV= –$100 (negative = cost overrun)
                         SV= –$100 (negative = cost overrun)
                         SV    $100

     Convert COST VARIANCE to a percentage:
      Convert COST VARIANCE to a percentage:
     formula:
      formula:      CV% = BCWP – ACWP = CV $
                     CV% = BCWP – ACWP = CV $
                              BCWP
                              BCWP           BCWP
                                              BCWP
     example:
      example:      CV% = –$100 = –6%
                     CV% = –$100 = –6%
                            $1,800
                             $1,800
 When a gap opens in cost or schedule, it  
  Wh                 i          h d l  i
  needs to be closed.
 Knowing the CPI and SPI is necessary but not 
  sufficient.
 We need to know how much better we must 
  perform to close the gap:
     Have much faster do we need to ride to get back 
                                             g
      to the Peloton?
     How much more efficient do we need to be for 
      each dollar spent to get back on schedule?
          h d ll               b k       h d l
   The To Complete Performance Index (TCPI) 
    Th  T  C     l  P f           I d  (TCPI) 
    index states how much better we need to 
    perform to close the gap:
           BAC  BCWP
    TCPI 
           EAC  ACWP

   The TCPI is an indicator of how our 
    performance needs to improve to close the 
    g p
    gap between the planned performance and 
                      p        p
    the actual performance.
   If the TCPI is > 1.0 something has to change 
     f
    to stay on schedule and budget:
     Reduce scope – do less work (BCWP) for the same 
      effort.
     Reduce rework – reduce breakage
     Increase efficiency – do more work (BCWP) with 
      the same (ACWP).
       h
   When a gap opens …
     Getting back on the original plan 
      (pace) is necessary but not 
      sufficient.
      sufficient
     We have to perform better (faster 
      than plan) in order to close any 
      gaps that opened while we were 
      falling behind.
   Knowing the level to which we need to perform to close 
    the gap is the To Complete Performance Index (TCPI) …
     Being able to perform at this level requires we understand what 
      went wrong and how to fix it.

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The simple problem of schedule performance indices

  • 2. p If the performance of our  project is like cycling, then  we plan to ride at a planned  pace – say 20 mph say 20 mph.  If our group maintains the  target pace of 20 mph they  can look at their watches to   l k  t th i   t h  t   determine if we’re on pace  to complete our 40 mile ride  in 2 hours.  30 minutes into the ride we’re still all riding as a group. Nice  sustainable pace, we ll make the 40 miles in our planned  sustainable pace  we’ll make the 40 miles in our planned  time – no problems so far.
  • 3. But some of us are starting to get  tired. We’re falling to the back of  pace line.  Instead of our planned 20 mph,  we’ve dropped to 19 mph, still  moving along pretty well, but a gap  is starting to open up.  As time passes this gap is opening more – we’re falling off the  back of pace line – and we’re gonna get dropped if we don’t do  something soon. something soon  We’re Underperforming to our Plan  For the invested effort (ACWP) we’re under delivering value (BCWP)  against our planned value (BCWS). against our planned value (BCWS)
  • 4. If we keep riding at our 19 mph pace,  the gap will continue to open and  we’ll soon be all alone.  Our planned performance (BCWS) has  fallen off the actual pace (BCWP) and  we need to do something about it,  and we need to do it fast.  If we can get back on pace (BCWP) – go back to our planned 20  mph – this will be good, but the gap that opened up will  remain (SPI   1.0).  remain (SPI < 1.0).   We’ll still have the gape between us and the peloton.  Our riding group is now far ahead.  We re not falling further behind, but we re still behind. We’re not falling further behind, but we’re still behind.  We’ll need to pick up the pace (SPI > 1.0).
  • 5. In order to close the gap,   In order to close the gap riding at our planned 20  mph pace is not enough.  We have to ride faster – say a 22 mph to close the  gap to rejoin the peloton.  Let’s assume we have the strength, skills, stamina, and  L t’      h  th   t th   kill   t i   d  mental fortitude needed to pick up the pace and ride a 22 mph  pace to try to regain contact with the group.  Exactly how to do this will require some thought: E tl  h  t  d  thi   ill  i    th ht  Simply peddle faster – steady increase in effort.  Sprint to close the gap on an uphill section.  Ride faster down hill.  Find someone to pull us to the Peloton in a draft.
  • 6.  In order to close the gap, we  need to find the needed  actions to close the gap that  put us back on pace  put us back on pace – 20  mph.  But no matter how we need  to ride faster – at 22mph. to ride faster  at 22mph  Two things are actually needed:  Close the gap  ride at 22 mph to regain contact Close the gap – ride at 22 mph to regain contact.  Once reconnected with the group, keep on planned pace – maintain 20 mph.  Easy in concept – hard in the execution. Easy in concept  hard in the execution
  • 7. The planned pace is BCWS. The actual pace is BCWP. p The work effort needed to ride at the planed pace is ACWP. The effort need to close the gap is TCPI.
  • 8. Budgeted Cost for Work Scheduled (BCWS) d d f k h d l d  The planned cost in hours and / or dollars.  Budget Cost of Work Performed (BCWP) B d t C t  f W k P f d (BCWP)  The planned value of the work delivered.  Wh  BCWS   BCWP  ’   When BCWS = BCWP we’re staying with the Peloton. i   i h  h  P l  This is the “Earned Value” over the period of  performance. performance  Actual Cost of Work Performed (ACWP)  The cost in dollars or hours to “earn” the Earned Value  The cost in dollars or hours to  earn  the Earned Value  (BCWP).
  • 9. BCWS BCWP ACWP The same work component is in all three Earned Value variables p † CPM–300: Principles of Earned Value Implementation, Lesson E: Developing the Performance Measurement Baseline, Dennis W. White, IPMC 2002 Fall Conference, Professional Education Program.
  • 10. Time Now COST Planned Cost Actual Costs C Measuring budget  p performance is useful for the  financial staff. But program managers need  TIME insight into the delivery of  g y techncial value
  • 11. Time Now COST Planned Costs Actual Costs C Earned Value It’s the Earned Value  measurement we’re after.   ’   f The EV represents the  TIME delivered value to the  customer, not just the  t   t j t th   consumption of resources
  • 12. EAC: Estimate at Complete TAB: Total Allocated Budget Management Reserve BAC: Budget at Complete PMB The Performance Measurement Baseline Schedule Variance (PMB) represents of the Cost $ Variance program “ b “on baseline” li ” ACWP C S BCWS BCWP time Time Completion Now Date
  • 13. Schedule Variance BC WS: Of the work scheduled to have done, how much was it budget for it to cost? BC WP: Of the work ac ua y performed, O e o actually pe o ed, how much was it budget for it to cost? SCHEDULE VARIANCE is the difference between work scheduled SCHEDULE VARIANCE is the difference between work scheduled and work performed ((expressedin terms of budget dollars) and workpperformed(expressed in terms of budget dollars) p g ) formula: formula: SV$ = BCWP – BCWS SV$ = BCWP – BCWS example: example: SV = BCWP – BCWS = $1,800 – $2,000 SV = BCWP – BCWS = $1,800 – $2,000 SV= –$200 (negative = behind schedule)) SV= –$200 (negative = behind schedule) ( g Convert SCHEDULE VARIANCE to a percentage Convert SCHEDULE VARIANCE to a percentage formula: formula: SV% = BCWP – BCWS = SV$ SV% = BCWP – BCWS = SV$ BCWS BCWS BCWS BCWS example: example: SV% = – $200 = –10% SV% = – $200 = –10% $2,000 $2,000
  • 14. Cost Variance BC WP: Of the work actually performed, how much was it budgeted to cost? AC WP: Of the work actually performed, how much did it actually cost? COST VARIANCE is the difference between the budgeted cost and COST VARIANCE is the difference between the budgeted cost and the actual cost the actual cost act al formula: formula: CV$ = BCWP – ACWP CV$ = BCWP – ACWP example: example: CV = BCWP – ACWP = $1,800 – $1,900 CV = BCWP – ACWP = $1,800 – $1,900 SV= –$100 (negative = cost overrun) SV= –$100 (negative = cost overrun) SV $100 Convert COST VARIANCE to a percentage: Convert COST VARIANCE to a percentage: formula: formula: CV% = BCWP – ACWP = CV $ CV% = BCWP – ACWP = CV $ BCWP BCWP BCWP BCWP example: example: CV% = –$100 = –6% CV% = –$100 = –6% $1,800 $1,800
  • 15.  When a gap opens in cost or schedule, it   Wh        i       h d l  i needs to be closed.  Knowing the CPI and SPI is necessary but not  sufficient.  We need to know how much better we must  perform to close the gap:  Have much faster do we need to ride to get back  g to the Peloton?  How much more efficient do we need to be for  each dollar spent to get back on schedule? h d ll b k h d l
  • 16. The To Complete Performance Index (TCPI)  Th  T  C l  P f  I d  (TCPI)  index states how much better we need to  perform to close the gap: BAC  BCWP TCPI  EAC  ACWP  The TCPI is an indicator of how our  performance needs to improve to close the  g p gap between the planned performance and  p p the actual performance.
  • 17. If the TCPI is > 1.0 something has to change  f to stay on schedule and budget:  Reduce scope – do less work (BCWP) for the same  effort.  Reduce rework – reduce breakage  Increase efficiency – do more work (BCWP) with  the same (ACWP). h
  • 18. When a gap opens …  Getting back on the original plan  (pace) is necessary but not  sufficient. sufficient  We have to perform better (faster  than plan) in order to close any  gaps that opened while we were  falling behind.  Knowing the level to which we need to perform to close  the gap is the To Complete Performance Index (TCPI) …  Being able to perform at this level requires we understand what  went wrong and how to fix it.