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Fiber, Microwave and Copper
   in the mobile backhaul
        Business Case
                              Market Development
                                        Nov 2010
                                            Ed. 2
Skyrocket data traffic

•   New mobile applications
    and bandwidth growth
    (>100% in 2009 with much
    more to come)




                                          Source: Metro Ethernet Forum




                            Movies, music, news, chat,
                           social net, web surfing, e-mail
Skyrocket data traffic

                                                    Traffic

 Operators are experiencing a
                                                              Gap between traffic
                                                                 Gap between
 dramatic change in mobile                                     Gap between traffic
                                                              traffic and revenue
                                                                  and revenue
 services that move from Voice                                      increases
 Dominant into Data Dominant
 scenarios with an increasing                                         Revenues
 gap between the revenues
 and the amount of traffic.
 That necessarily leads to a big   Voice Dominant         Data Dominant

 issue:
                                   ----------- today ----------------


 • HOW TO COPE WITH AN INCREASING DEMAND OF BADWIDTH
   KEEPING THE BACKHAUL COST UNDER CONTROL ?
 • HOW TO DO IT TODAY ?
Comparison

   Cross comparison among the three main technologies
   used for mobile backhauling

                            COPPER                    FIBER                         MICROWAVE

                     • No Obstacles           • Dig permissions           • Spectrum licence
      Obstacles                                                           • Line of Sight Radio Link
                                                                          • Per site engineering study

    Time to deploy   • Immediate              • Very High                 • Short


    Cost to dploy    • Very Cheap             • Very High                 • High


   Equipment Reuse   • NO                     • NO                        • YES


      Bandwidth      • Limited                • Illimited                 • High but Limited


     Future Proof    • NO                     • YES                       • Presumably NOT

                     • Compliant ITU G.8162   • Problematic               • Yes but it is spectrum
                                                (performance of             consuming (Ethernet + E1s)
        Synch                                   IEEE 1588 are still too
                                                network dependant)
Copper length distribution
  The graph represents the NodeB incremental distribution distances
  from the nearest Centreal Offices, in a real European scenario*. The
  indicated distance is the reach that can be covered, where possible,
  by bonded copper.



                                                                                 Incremental NodeB Distance Distribution

                     12000


                     10000
   Number of Nodes




                      8000


                      6000                                                                                                                                             NodeB


                      4000


                      2000


                         0
                                               1




                                                                                                         4




                                                                                                                                                                   7
                             0,1

                                   0,4

                                         0,7




                                                   1,3

                                                         1,6

                                                               1,9

                                                                     2,2

                                                                           2,5

                                                                                 2,8

                                                                                       3,1

                                                                                             3,4

                                                                                                   3,7




                                                                                                             4,3

                                                                                                                   4,6

                                                                                                                         4,9

                                                                                                                               5,2

                                                                                                                                     5,5

                                                                                                                                           5,8

                                                                                                                                                 6,1

                                                                                                                                                       6,4

                                                                                                                                                             6,7
                                                                                         Distance (Km)



* The distribution is a real case of a major Fixed Incumbent operator in Europe.
Copper performances
          VDSL2 Bonding Performances (Mbit/s)
                    4 pairs           6 pairs                     8 pairs
Distances (m)
      150
                  DS
                188,3
                           US
                          97,1
                                   DS
                                 282,4
                                              US
                                            145,6
                                                               DS
                                                             376,5
                                                                          US
                                                                        194,1
                                                                                        Performances (UpStream and
      300        168      84,9   251,9      127,4            335,9      169,8           DownStream bandwidth) on
      500
      750
                135,2
                110,7
                          57,2
                          26,6
                                 202,8
                                 166,1
                                             85,8
                                             39,8
                                                             270,4
                                                             221,4
                                                                        114,4
                                                                         53,1
                                                                                        PE04 cable with ETSI TS-
     1000        90,4     12,4   135,5       18,5            180,7       24,7           101.271 environment.
     1200        74,5      6,6   111,7        9,9            148,9       13,2
     1400        63,3      3,7    94,9        5,5            126,5        7,3
     1500        57,1      2,7    85,6        4,1            114,1        5,4
                                                                                      VDSL2 Bonding Performances
     1800        39,3      2,6     59         3,8             78,6        5,1

                                                             400
                                                             350
                                                             300                                                                       DS 4 pairs

    Focus on the                                             250                                                                       US 4 pairs
                                                    Mb/sec




    100Mbit/s threshold
                                                                                                                                       DS 6 pairs
                                                             200
                                                                                                                                       US 6 pairs
    with 8 pairs                                             150
                                                                                                                                       DS 8 pairs
                                                             100                                                                       US 8 pairs
                                                             50
                                                              0
                                                                   150   300    450     600   750   900   1050   1200   1400   1800 meters
Copper with no boundaries
                         The blue area shows the amount of NodeB that can be
                         covered using bonded copper with a real downstream
                         bandwidth of 100Mbit/s*.




                                                                                 Incremental NodeB Distance Distribution

                     12000


                     10000
   Number of Nodes




                      8000

                                                                                                                                                                       NodeB over Threshold
                      6000
                                                                                                                                                                       NodeB underThreshold

                      4000


                      2000


                         0
                                               1




                                                                                                         4




                                                                                                                                                                   7
                             0,1

                                   0,4

                                         0,7




                                                   1,3

                                                         1,6

                                                               1,9

                                                                     2,2

                                                                           2,5

                                                                                 2,8

                                                                                       3,1

                                                                                             3,4

                                                                                                   3,7




                                                                                                             4,3

                                                                                                                   4,6

                                                                                                                         4,9

                                                                                                                               5,2

                                                                                                                                     5,5

                                                                                                                                           5,8

                                                                                                                                                 6,1

                                                                                                                                                       6,4

                                                                                                                                                             6,7
                                                                                         Distance (Km)



* The distribution is the real case of a major Fixed Incumbent operator in Europe.
Incumbent and Challenger


                Fixed Operators and Mobile Operators:
                    A DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE !!




            Incumbent                           Challenger

  Fixed Operators    Cost Reduction     Competitive      Competitive
                                      Mobile Operators   Advantage
                     Cost Reduction
  Fixed Operators          &
    with affiliate    Competitive
  Mobile Operators     Advantage
Incumbent Costs case

            Cost comparison among Fiber, Microwave and Copper
            backhaul with 100Mbit/s per NodeB connection.

                                                        Breakdown Costs
                            Fiber                           Microwave                             Copper
                       Item          Cost                Item            Cost                 Item         Cost
            Ethernet Switches        € 2.800   1+1 Link                 € 25.000   8 pairs link            € 3.500
            Fiber (per meter)            €4    Tower                    € 15.000
            Digging Trench              € 70
            Annual Maintenance      Included   Annual Maintenance       Included   Annual Maintenance       € 510



                        Total Cost for backhaul infrastructur of 1600 meters
                            Fiber                    Microwave                                Copper
                        € 121.200                       € 40.000                             € 4.010


                                                                Costs
             €140.000
Incumbent




             €120.000

             €100.000

              €80.000
                                                                                                                     Costo i n €
              €60.000

              €40.000

              €20.000

                   €0
Challenger Cost case

             Cost comparison among Fiber, Microwave and Copper
             backhaul with 100Mbit/s per NodeB connection.

                                                            Breakdown Costs
                             Fiber                              Microwave                             Copper
                        Item            Cost                Item            Cost                 Item             Cost
             Ethernet Switches           € 2.800   1+0 Link                 € 25.000    SNGA (8 pairs link)        € 3.500
             Fiber (per meter)               €4    Tower                    € 15.000    Annual Copper Rent           € 126
             Digging Trench                 € 70
             Annual Maintenance         Included   Annual Maintenance       Included    Annual Maintenance           € 510
             Colocation              Trascurated   Colocation            Trascurated    Colocation             Trascurated


                         Total Cost for backhaul infrastructur of 1600                 meters
                            Fiber                      Microwave                                   Copper
                         € 121.200                          € 40.000                              € 5.018


                                                                    Costs
              €140.000
Challenger




              €120.000

              €100.000

               €80.000
                                                                                                                             Costs i n €
               €60.000

               €40.000

               €20.000

                    €0
Long term evolution

    There’s no doubt that Fiber will emerge as the winner
    technology in the future, slowly eroding the microwave and
    the copper on longer distnaces, but for a window of 4-5 years
    there is surely space for asymmetrical bonded coppers !!



   Technology Breakdown Today                                  Technology Breakdown Tomorrow


  Fiber
  27%
                                                                                          Microwave;
                                                                                             35%
                                             5 Years
                                             late …
                               Microwave
                                 48%
                                                       Fiber; 56%




   Copper                                                                            Copper; 11%
    25%
                  Source by: Heavy Reading
Consideration

 Considerations:
 • Fiber will surely eliminate any other technologies in the long term
   future
 • Fiber deployment take time: in the meanwhile challenger can
   follow different approach gaining competitive advantages
 • The copper in the backhaul can enlast for at least 4-5 years,
   giving the operators an immediate advantage in terms of service
   and cost
 • Even when fiber will erode copper investments, lines with reach
   under 1Km can maintain position thanks to a bandwidth of
   200Mbit/sec or more (see the table in previous slides)
 • Copper cost, as stressed in the previous slides, is a fractional part
   of the microwave or, worst of any, of the fiber cost deployment
Conclusion



   Whenever the fierce competition on
   mobile services leads to gain an
   immediate and economical market
   position IT MAKES ENORMOUS
   SENSE to set up a business plan with
   asymmetrical bonded copper

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Fiber, Microwave and Copper in mobile backhaul market development

  • 1. Fiber, Microwave and Copper in the mobile backhaul Business Case Market Development Nov 2010 Ed. 2
  • 2. Skyrocket data traffic • New mobile applications and bandwidth growth (>100% in 2009 with much more to come) Source: Metro Ethernet Forum Movies, music, news, chat, social net, web surfing, e-mail
  • 3. Skyrocket data traffic Traffic Operators are experiencing a Gap between traffic Gap between dramatic change in mobile Gap between traffic traffic and revenue and revenue services that move from Voice increases Dominant into Data Dominant scenarios with an increasing Revenues gap between the revenues and the amount of traffic. That necessarily leads to a big Voice Dominant Data Dominant issue: ----------- today ---------------- • HOW TO COPE WITH AN INCREASING DEMAND OF BADWIDTH KEEPING THE BACKHAUL COST UNDER CONTROL ? • HOW TO DO IT TODAY ?
  • 4. Comparison Cross comparison among the three main technologies used for mobile backhauling COPPER FIBER MICROWAVE • No Obstacles • Dig permissions • Spectrum licence Obstacles • Line of Sight Radio Link • Per site engineering study Time to deploy • Immediate • Very High • Short Cost to dploy • Very Cheap • Very High • High Equipment Reuse • NO • NO • YES Bandwidth • Limited • Illimited • High but Limited Future Proof • NO • YES • Presumably NOT • Compliant ITU G.8162 • Problematic • Yes but it is spectrum (performance of consuming (Ethernet + E1s) Synch IEEE 1588 are still too network dependant)
  • 5. Copper length distribution The graph represents the NodeB incremental distribution distances from the nearest Centreal Offices, in a real European scenario*. The indicated distance is the reach that can be covered, where possible, by bonded copper. Incremental NodeB Distance Distribution 12000 10000 Number of Nodes 8000 6000 NodeB 4000 2000 0 1 4 7 0,1 0,4 0,7 1,3 1,6 1,9 2,2 2,5 2,8 3,1 3,4 3,7 4,3 4,6 4,9 5,2 5,5 5,8 6,1 6,4 6,7 Distance (Km) * The distribution is a real case of a major Fixed Incumbent operator in Europe.
  • 6. Copper performances VDSL2 Bonding Performances (Mbit/s) 4 pairs 6 pairs 8 pairs Distances (m) 150 DS 188,3 US 97,1 DS 282,4 US 145,6 DS 376,5 US 194,1 Performances (UpStream and 300 168 84,9 251,9 127,4 335,9 169,8 DownStream bandwidth) on 500 750 135,2 110,7 57,2 26,6 202,8 166,1 85,8 39,8 270,4 221,4 114,4 53,1 PE04 cable with ETSI TS- 1000 90,4 12,4 135,5 18,5 180,7 24,7 101.271 environment. 1200 74,5 6,6 111,7 9,9 148,9 13,2 1400 63,3 3,7 94,9 5,5 126,5 7,3 1500 57,1 2,7 85,6 4,1 114,1 5,4 VDSL2 Bonding Performances 1800 39,3 2,6 59 3,8 78,6 5,1 400 350 300 DS 4 pairs Focus on the 250 US 4 pairs Mb/sec 100Mbit/s threshold DS 6 pairs 200 US 6 pairs with 8 pairs 150 DS 8 pairs 100 US 8 pairs 50 0 150 300 450 600 750 900 1050 1200 1400 1800 meters
  • 7. Copper with no boundaries The blue area shows the amount of NodeB that can be covered using bonded copper with a real downstream bandwidth of 100Mbit/s*. Incremental NodeB Distance Distribution 12000 10000 Number of Nodes 8000 NodeB over Threshold 6000 NodeB underThreshold 4000 2000 0 1 4 7 0,1 0,4 0,7 1,3 1,6 1,9 2,2 2,5 2,8 3,1 3,4 3,7 4,3 4,6 4,9 5,2 5,5 5,8 6,1 6,4 6,7 Distance (Km) * The distribution is the real case of a major Fixed Incumbent operator in Europe.
  • 8. Incumbent and Challenger Fixed Operators and Mobile Operators: A DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE !! Incumbent Challenger Fixed Operators Cost Reduction Competitive Competitive Mobile Operators Advantage Cost Reduction Fixed Operators & with affiliate Competitive Mobile Operators Advantage
  • 9. Incumbent Costs case Cost comparison among Fiber, Microwave and Copper backhaul with 100Mbit/s per NodeB connection. Breakdown Costs Fiber Microwave Copper Item Cost Item Cost Item Cost Ethernet Switches € 2.800 1+1 Link € 25.000 8 pairs link € 3.500 Fiber (per meter) €4 Tower € 15.000 Digging Trench € 70 Annual Maintenance Included Annual Maintenance Included Annual Maintenance € 510 Total Cost for backhaul infrastructur of 1600 meters Fiber Microwave Copper € 121.200 € 40.000 € 4.010 Costs €140.000 Incumbent €120.000 €100.000 €80.000 Costo i n € €60.000 €40.000 €20.000 €0
  • 10. Challenger Cost case Cost comparison among Fiber, Microwave and Copper backhaul with 100Mbit/s per NodeB connection. Breakdown Costs Fiber Microwave Copper Item Cost Item Cost Item Cost Ethernet Switches € 2.800 1+0 Link € 25.000 SNGA (8 pairs link) € 3.500 Fiber (per meter) €4 Tower € 15.000 Annual Copper Rent € 126 Digging Trench € 70 Annual Maintenance Included Annual Maintenance Included Annual Maintenance € 510 Colocation Trascurated Colocation Trascurated Colocation Trascurated Total Cost for backhaul infrastructur of 1600 meters Fiber Microwave Copper € 121.200 € 40.000 € 5.018 Costs €140.000 Challenger €120.000 €100.000 €80.000 Costs i n € €60.000 €40.000 €20.000 €0
  • 11. Long term evolution There’s no doubt that Fiber will emerge as the winner technology in the future, slowly eroding the microwave and the copper on longer distnaces, but for a window of 4-5 years there is surely space for asymmetrical bonded coppers !! Technology Breakdown Today Technology Breakdown Tomorrow Fiber 27% Microwave; 35% 5 Years late … Microwave 48% Fiber; 56% Copper Copper; 11% 25% Source by: Heavy Reading
  • 12. Consideration Considerations: • Fiber will surely eliminate any other technologies in the long term future • Fiber deployment take time: in the meanwhile challenger can follow different approach gaining competitive advantages • The copper in the backhaul can enlast for at least 4-5 years, giving the operators an immediate advantage in terms of service and cost • Even when fiber will erode copper investments, lines with reach under 1Km can maintain position thanks to a bandwidth of 200Mbit/sec or more (see the table in previous slides) • Copper cost, as stressed in the previous slides, is a fractional part of the microwave or, worst of any, of the fiber cost deployment
  • 13. Conclusion Whenever the fierce competition on mobile services leads to gain an immediate and economical market position IT MAKES ENORMOUS SENSE to set up a business plan with asymmetrical bonded copper