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“The Future of Media”
Presentation by Gerd Leonhard

‣            ★ twitter.com/gleonhard
  Futurist
‣ Strategist ★ www.mediafuturist.com
‣ Author
All of a sudden

                           COMMU-
                                   MEDIA
                          NICATION
                                     &
                   ADVER-   &
SEARCH   CONTENT                   ENTER-
                   TISING           TAIN-
                           TELE-   MENT
                           COM
Bundles and Flat
                                          Rates will drive this

 MUCH bigger
potential (imho)




                                            Huge potential - once
                                             licensing issues are
                                                    solved
          Source: IBM Institute for Business Value Study
Think: Mobile + Content +Social Nets
The Music Industry: a good example of
how not to do this...
Larry Lessig (and me, too ;):


Compensation
    not
  Control
Digital Content Trends

       Music     Video     Games       Books       Mags & Print

           Percentage of Revenues from Digital Services
100%


75%


50%


25%


 0%
   2008         2009          2010          2012           2015
Digital Content Trends
Copy Economy



Access / Usage /
Sharing Economy
Starting in 2009:
• Total convergence of Telecom & Web Layers
• Deep collaboration becomes the KEY
  requirement for creating new business opps
• Over-the top layers (search, social media...)
  will come down, telecoms will move up!
2010: ‘Telecom’ and Media = TeleMedia


Experience Platform
        Service Pipe
          Content Pipe

              Data
              Pipe
Media will follow the switch from Closed to Open
From Domination to Collaboration




                                   Source: Nokia




 Google China President Kai Fu Lee:
“Mutual Interest, rather than Monopoly,
   is the key to sustainable growth”
Source: Susan Fassberg
Meet the 2nd
biggest
music retailer
in
Indonesia...
Kevin Kelly @ kk.org
Value of ‘a Copy’            Value of CONTEXT
         Value of Meta-Content        Value of Experiences
         Value of Packaging
               Value Trends (by Gerd Leonhard)
                                                      Value of Context
100%
                                                   Value of Experience
                                                 Value of Meta-Content
                                                    Value of Packaging
75%



50%



25%
                                                  Value of ‘a Copy’

 0%
   Was            Is                  Soon              The Future
Media $$$: no
longer about
 Distribution
Should ISPs to control what people do online??
In the meantime...
New forms of Reputation and Status?
Social Media is becoming... CRM!
A new driver of commerce: Sharism
The Sharing Economy Logic
        ...the Output (i.e. publish, re-
        mix, co-create, life-stream...)
        the Input (i.e. remuneration in
        cash, attention, reputation...)
        ... the Thruput (i.e. usage
        data, meta content, attention
        trails >> New Data Economics)
New Data                 New Content
                          Economy
Economy



              Next
           Generation
           Advertising
The new Generatives of Content
influenced by Kevin Kelly, Chris Anderson, Don Tapscott, Yochai Benkler...

              Conversation
           Convenience
        Selection / Filtering
                          Packaging
                     Individualization
              Immediacy

      Tr u s t
Example: the difference between




   iStockphoto photos are purchased
   because of:
  • Much better metadata.
  • Better findability.
  • Faster service.
  • Low & attractive price-points
New Generatives and The Future of Television
The TV experience is becoming
unified across all screens
What’s new about that?
• Your own, unique selection
  of add-ons, widgets and
  applications on all platforms
• This TV
 knows
 who you
 are!
And how will we experience all this?
Turning the USERs into $$
Summary
Participate or be participated!
Thanks for your time!




TALK BACK:
★ email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com
★ twitter.com/gleonhard
★ facebook: gleonhard
★ more presentations at
  www.mediafuturist.com

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Gerd Leonhard Presentation on Future of Media

  • 1. “The Future of Media” Presentation by Gerd Leonhard ‣ ★ twitter.com/gleonhard Futurist ‣ Strategist ★ www.mediafuturist.com ‣ Author
  • 2.
  • 3. All of a sudden COMMU- MEDIA NICATION & ADVER- & SEARCH CONTENT ENTER- TISING TAIN- TELE- MENT COM
  • 4. Bundles and Flat Rates will drive this MUCH bigger potential (imho) Huge potential - once licensing issues are solved Source: IBM Institute for Business Value Study
  • 5. Think: Mobile + Content +Social Nets
  • 6.
  • 7. The Music Industry: a good example of how not to do this...
  • 8. Larry Lessig (and me, too ;): Compensation not Control
  • 9. Digital Content Trends Music Video Games Books Mags & Print Percentage of Revenues from Digital Services 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% 2008 2009 2010 2012 2015
  • 11. Copy Economy Access / Usage / Sharing Economy
  • 12. Starting in 2009: • Total convergence of Telecom & Web Layers • Deep collaboration becomes the KEY requirement for creating new business opps • Over-the top layers (search, social media...) will come down, telecoms will move up!
  • 13. 2010: ‘Telecom’ and Media = TeleMedia Experience Platform Service Pipe Content Pipe Data Pipe
  • 14. Media will follow the switch from Closed to Open
  • 15. From Domination to Collaboration Source: Nokia Google China President Kai Fu Lee: “Mutual Interest, rather than Monopoly, is the key to sustainable growth”
  • 17. Meet the 2nd biggest music retailer in Indonesia...
  • 18. Kevin Kelly @ kk.org
  • 19. Value of ‘a Copy’ Value of CONTEXT Value of Meta-Content Value of Experiences Value of Packaging Value Trends (by Gerd Leonhard) Value of Context 100% Value of Experience Value of Meta-Content Value of Packaging 75% 50% 25% Value of ‘a Copy’ 0% Was Is Soon The Future
  • 20. Media $$$: no longer about Distribution
  • 21. Should ISPs to control what people do online??
  • 23.
  • 24. New forms of Reputation and Status?
  • 25. Social Media is becoming... CRM!
  • 26. A new driver of commerce: Sharism
  • 27. The Sharing Economy Logic ...the Output (i.e. publish, re- mix, co-create, life-stream...) the Input (i.e. remuneration in cash, attention, reputation...) ... the Thruput (i.e. usage data, meta content, attention trails >> New Data Economics)
  • 28. New Data New Content Economy Economy Next Generation Advertising
  • 29. The new Generatives of Content influenced by Kevin Kelly, Chris Anderson, Don Tapscott, Yochai Benkler... Conversation Convenience Selection / Filtering Packaging Individualization Immediacy Tr u s t
  • 30. Example: the difference between iStockphoto photos are purchased because of: • Much better metadata. • Better findability. • Faster service. • Low & attractive price-points
  • 31. New Generatives and The Future of Television
  • 32.
  • 33. The TV experience is becoming unified across all screens
  • 34. What’s new about that? • Your own, unique selection of add-ons, widgets and applications on all platforms • This TV knows who you are!
  • 35. And how will we experience all this?
  • 36.
  • 37. Turning the USERs into $$
  • 39.
  • 40. Participate or be participated!
  • 41. Thanks for your time! TALK BACK: ★ email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com ★ twitter.com/gleonhard ★ facebook: gleonhard ★ more presentations at www.mediafuturist.com