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Bioenergy and Food Security ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BEFS countries, the policy spectrum and support Thailand Tanzania Peru Currently no policy in place, agriculture sector plays a key role   ,[object Object],[object Object],BEFS Analytical Framework Informing policy  Building capacity BEFS  Evidence
The  BEFS Analytical Framework ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BEFS’ core message   ... how to  manage  the industry to deliver  maximum benefits  with  fewest risks  for the most vulnerable groups of the population Ex ante  - being aware of all the issues, minimising    risks Ex post  - having mechanisms to monitor and deal    with problems ...Per se   biofuels is neither good nor bad What matters is the  management  of the sector...
BEFS in Practice: Cassava in Tanzania Land suitability assessment for cassava excluding environmental and land use constraints
Cassava production scenarios A B C
Ethanol competitiveness in Tanzania Literature Cost (USD/l) Scheme Fresh cassava from outgrowers 0.42 Thailand and Vietnam – 0.34 to 0.40  Dried cassava from outgrowers 0.47 Brazil - 0.45 - 0.47, China and India  0.60 - 0.65 Dried cassava from estate (60%) and outgrowers (40%) 0.37
Impact on growth and poverty Aligning with country policy goals Scenarios Feedstock production Feedstock  yield level Land expansion  (% land displaced) Cassava 1  (low tech) Small scale Low  (10 mt/ha) Yes  (50%) Cassava 2 (high tech) Small scale High  (20 mt/ha) No
Food security and short term vulnerability ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: FAOSTAT Source: Ministry of Trade, Calculations by the authors 1959 Total Calories per capita 88.5 Subtotal share for selected items 1.4 Millet 15 1.5 Plantains 14 1.7 Pulses, Other 13 1.8 Bovine Meat 12 2.2 Milk – Excluding Butter 11 2.7 Beverages, Fermented 10 2.9 Beans 9 3.0 Palm Oil 8 3.3 Sugar (Raw Equivalent) 7 3.3 Sweet Potatoes 6 4.0 Sorghum 5 4.0 Wheat 4 7.9 Rice (Milled Equivalent) 3 15.2 Cassava 2 33.4 Maize 1 Calorie Share Commodity Ranking
Conclusions on cassava ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THANK YOU! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Bioenergy and Food Security

  • 1.  
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. BEFS’ core message ... how to manage the industry to deliver maximum benefits with fewest risks for the most vulnerable groups of the population Ex ante - being aware of all the issues, minimising risks Ex post - having mechanisms to monitor and deal with problems ...Per se biofuels is neither good nor bad What matters is the management of the sector...
  • 6. BEFS in Practice: Cassava in Tanzania Land suitability assessment for cassava excluding environmental and land use constraints
  • 8. Ethanol competitiveness in Tanzania Literature Cost (USD/l) Scheme Fresh cassava from outgrowers 0.42 Thailand and Vietnam – 0.34 to 0.40 Dried cassava from outgrowers 0.47 Brazil - 0.45 - 0.47, China and India 0.60 - 0.65 Dried cassava from estate (60%) and outgrowers (40%) 0.37
  • 9. Impact on growth and poverty Aligning with country policy goals Scenarios Feedstock production Feedstock yield level Land expansion (% land displaced) Cassava 1 (low tech) Small scale Low (10 mt/ha) Yes (50%) Cassava 2 (high tech) Small scale High (20 mt/ha) No
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.

Notas del editor

  1. Tanzania No policy in place Guidelines approved in December 2009 Government has tasked a bioenergy policy group to work on the biofuel policy Peru Biofuels policy in place: mandate for bioethanol and biodiesel (implementation) Thailand Biofuels policy in place with stepping up production targets, some already in place (effectiveness for improving livelihoods through better understanding the impacts) Biofuels policy in place with stepping up production targets, some already in place
  2. Not about endorsing biofuels but about finding a sustainable pathway for biofuel development, where sustainable means that it drives econ growth, leads to poverty reduction. no negative impact on food security, no negative impact on the environment
  3. Tanzania very competitive
  4. How the work in Tanzania helps support livelihoods What did the analysis shows: opportunity but needs institutional support