Katrina Kosec
CGIAR SEMINAR SERIES
Food Security Trends and Resilience-Building Priorities
Co-organized by IFPRI, the CGIAR, and Germany’s Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ)
SEP 1, 2023 - 9:00 TO 10:30AM EDT
Key Findings and Recommendations IFPRI’s 2023 Global Food Policy Report, Rethinking Food Crisis Responses
1. Katrina Kosec
International Food Policy Research Institute
Washington, DC
September 1, 2023
Key Findings and Recommendations
IFPRI’s 2023 Global Food Policy Report,
Rethinking Food Crisis Responses
2. 2023 GFPR: A timely contribution
Calls for building resilience to crises, and for
more effective crisis responses, are not new –
but increasingly urgent
Report provides cutting-edge analysis from
IFPRI and partners on recent crises and their
impacts on food security, nutrition, poverty, and
livelihoods
Concrete strategies for resilience building and
crisis response
Regionally differentiated approaches
3. 2023 GFPR: Key action areas
1. The Road to Resilience: Rethinking Responses to Food
Crises
2. Food Crisis Risk Monitoring: Early Warning for Early Action
3. Crisis Resilience: Humanitarian Response and Anticipatory
Action
4. Agrifood Value Chains: Building Resilient Food Systems
5. Social Protection: Adaptive Safety Nets for Crisis Recovery
6. Gender: Promoting Equality in Fragile and Conflict-
Affected Settings
7. Forced Migration: Fragility, Resilience, and Policy
Responses
(+ Six Regional Chapters)
4. Evidence-based tools, policy models, and
approaches at hand
Must align humanitarian aid with medium- and
long-term development strategies and with
resilience building, reflecting a humanitarian –
development – peace (HDP) nexus approach
Cornerstones of effective responses:
Effective governance and coordination
Sufficient and flexible funding
Charting a new path to address
crises and promote resilience
5. Effective governance is key to promoting resilience
building and timely crisis response
Central to deploying and sustaining anticipatory action, humanitarian
assistance, social protection, and other programs
Can promote market stability and innovation in the private sector
Contributes to trust and social cohesion, thwarting future conflicts
Coordination is critical
International – national – local
Public – private – civil society
Global south – global north
Policy forums can help build consensus
Action must be grounded in evidence
Cornerstone #1: Effective governance and
coordination
6. Needs for funding – in preparation for and after crises –
have increased
Investment in resilience and anticipatory action can
reduce future costs of humanitarian response
Funding options
Repurposing US$600 billion in government agricultural supports
Improved government regulation and incentives to shift private
investment toward crisis prevention and resilience
Development banks can de-risk investment in resilience with blended
finance
Cornerstone #2: Sufficient and flexible funding
US$ 24 billion
US$ 52
Billion
Funding received in
2022
Funding requested in
2023
Rapid increase in humanitarian
funding needs
Source: Humanitarian Action, “At a Glance” (2022).
Note: Amounts of funding received and requested by UN Office
for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
7. Early-warning, early-action (EWEA) systems
Systems must better address the complexity of crises and
build resilience in advance
Filling M&E gaps is critical
Integrating existing systems can ensure that policymakers
receive clear, timely, and actionable warning signals
Anticipatory action frameworks
Require monitoring data that illuminate risks, exposure, and
vulnerability
Can mitigate crises at lower cost and support longer-term
development efforts
Robust governance and improved targeting raise efficacy
Policy recommendations (1)
8. Resilient agrifood value chains
Businesses should invest in improved and innovative tools
like climate-smart agriculture and new forms of insurance
Governments should create a business environment that
fosters value chain innovations
Data can help target assistance to crucial value chain nodes
Responsive social protection systems
Governments need highly adaptive, flexible, and inclusive
social protection systems
Integrate “shock responsive” social protection with EWEA
and humanitarian aid for greater coherence
Explore new ways to cover costs (e.g., climate or green
financing) and reduce costs (e.g., using mobile payments)
Policy recommendations (2)
9. Empowering women amid crisis
Improve the quality of gender-disaggregated data collected
before and during crises
Creating explicit gender targets in crisis response and track
them
Increase women’s political participation and amplify their
voice and agency in their communities
Responding to forced migration
Governments should invest in infrastructure and design
policies that expand the benefits of migration
Innovative data collection can be used to better understand
and address the root causes of forced migration
Policy recommendations (3)
10. Chapter 1: Johan Swinnen and Katrina
Kosec
Chapter 2: Rob Vos, Arif Husain,
Friederike Greb, Peter Läderach, and
Brendan Rice
Chapter 3: Sikandra Kurdi and Sandra
Ruckstuhl
Chapter 4: Bart Minten, Ben Belton, and
Thomas Reardon
Chapter 5: Kalle Hirvonen
Chapter 6: Hazel Malapit and Lynn
Brown
Chapter 7: Manuel Hernandez, Olivier
Ecker, Peter Läderach, and Jean-
François Maystadt
Thanks to our authors
Africa: Samuel Benin, Wim Marivoet,
Harriet Mawia, and John Ulimwengu
Middle East and North Africa: Kibrom
Abay, Xinshen Diao, David Laborde, and
Mariam Raouf
Central Asia: Kamiljon Akramov
South Asia: Anjani Kumar and Shahidur
Rashid
East and Southeast Asia: Kevin Chen,
Yunyi Zhou, and Rui Mao
Latin America and the Caribbean:
Eugenio Diaz-Bonilla, and Valeria Piñeiro
11. www.cgiar.org
New CGIAR research initiative: Fragility, Conflict, and
Migration (FCM)
• IFPRI's 2023 Global Food
Policy Report outlines
existing evidence and
needed research for
effective crisis response
• The CGIAR Research
Initiative on Fragility,
Conflict, and Migration
(FCM) takes up this
research agenda, with
partners
Build strong relationships
with partners in FCAS
Co-develop demand-
driven research
Support decision-making
for stakeholder policies
and programming
https://www.cgiar.org/initiative/fragility-conflict-and-migration/
Lead: Katrina Kosec; Co-leads: Peter Laderach & Sandra Ruckstuhl
12. www.cgiar.org
Fragility, Conflict, and Migration (FCM) initiative
work packages and geographies
LEARNING &
PARTNER
DECISION-
SUPPORT
Where we work
https://www.cgiar.org/initiative/fragility-conflict-and-migration/
Lead: Katrina Kosec; Co-leads: Peter Laderach & Sandra Ruckstuhl
Funding strategies offered by GFPR can also generate wins for climate adaptation and mitigation
Calls for more effective crisis responses are not new, but take on greater urgency as crises become more frequent, complex, and protracted
We already have wealth of evidence that can help better predict and prepare for crises, address crises, and build resilient food systems
Cornerstones of more effective response include effective governance and coordination, and sufficient and flexible funding
HDP Nexus Approach:
Humanitarian relief, development programs, and peacebuilding are not serial processes: they are all needed at the same time
Focuses on the work needed to coherently address people’s vulnerability before, during and after crises
It challenges the status quo of the aid system, which is overstretched and operates with little coordination between project-based development and humanitarian interventions
UN request for humanitarian assistance up 461% since 2012
US$711 billion invested in social protection in 2022
EWAEs:
Systems should consider complex crises, including climate-related events and conflict situations
Filling gaps in monitoring and analysis can foster greater understanding of compounding crises
Integrating existing systems can ensure that policymakers receive clear, timely, and actionable warning signals
Example of integrating existing systems: Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) classifications at the country level are based on a convergence of evidence, which works from the premise that various unrelated sources and types of data can “converge” toward strong conclusions
Anticipatory action means using early warning or forecasting tools combined with predetermined decision-making protocols to inform early action for timely emergency response at the local, national, and/or international levels (see Chapter 2). Triggers or thresholds are predefined within data and risk monitoring systems.
Businesses should invest in improved and innovative tools like climate-smart agriculture and new forms of insurance
Governments should create a business environment that fosters value chain innovations
Careful monitoring before and during crises can be used to target assistance to crucial value chain nodes
Governments need highly adaptive, flexible, and inclusive social protection systems that budget for potential crises
Integrate “shock responsive” social protection with EWEA and humanitarian aid for greater coherence
Explore new ways to cover costs (e.g., climate or green financing) and reduce costs (e.g., using mobile payments)
Example of resilient agrifood value chains from pandemic response: E-commerce expanded to serve small and medium enterprises (SMEs), including wet-market stall owners; for example, Getir started Getirçarşı, a division delivering only for SME retailers.
Improve the quality of gender-disaggregated data collected before and during crises
Creating explicit gender targets and tracking progress in crisis response is central to promoting gender equality
Increase women’s political participation and amplify their voice and agency in their communities
Governments should invest in infrastructure and design policies that expand the benefits of migration
Innovative data collection can be used to better understand and address the root causes of forced migration
Funding strategies offered by GFPR can also generate wins for climate adaptation and mitigation