Repurposing Farm Polices: What a few years of work have taught us

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
REPURPOSING FARM POLICIES:
WHAT A FEW YEARS OF WORK HAVE
TAUGHT US
David Laborde
MTID, IFPRI
Some modelling works done
Repurposing Farm Polices: What a few years of work have taught us
2020: What is the
effect of current
farm policies on
agricultural
emissions?
(no land use)
2021: Counting the
cost of various
agricultural support
instruments on
nature, climate,
nutrition, health and
equity by 2030
2021: Reallocating
farm subsidies
towards products
with low emissions
and/or high nutrition
potential
Repurposing Farm Polices: What a few years of work have taught us
2022: Phasing out
of existing policies
by 2040 (with land
use) and focus on
green innovations
2022: Trade-offs of
repurposing
policies towards
healthier diets and
consumer
incentives
2022: Hidden
gains and
costs of
current
policies
2022:
Repurposing:
how to make
it works for
the Global
South?
Some lessons learned
Farm policies are complex and diverse, and people are prone to over-simplification
Subsidies are just a part of the decision making by farmers: even without subsidies
production will occur (somewhere)
Ex-ante policy goals and ex-post policy impacts could be different: what should
be the criteria to define “harmful” subsidies?
Policy reform is a country level process, but many environmental impacts are
cross-border
Removing all existing subsidies will make things worst in today’s world and
productivity matters
How to reform policies: “do no harm”, with a well focused approach, or “do good”
and tackle the multi-dimension of the food system transformation
Integrating Global South countries in the discussions remain challenging
Farm policies are complex and diverse, and people are prone to over-simplification
Subsidies are just a part of the decision making by farmers: even without subsidies
production will occur (somewhere)
Ex-ante policy goals and ex-post policy impacts could be different: what should
be the criteria to define “harmful” subsidies?
Policy reform is a country level process, but many environmental impacts are
cross-border
Removing all existing subsidies will make things worst in today’s world and
productivity matters
How to reform policies: “do no harm”, with a well focused approach, or “do good”
and tackle the multi-dimension of the food system transformation
Integrating Global South countries in the discussions remain challenging
Understanding policy impacts
• Two main type of policies
Subsidies aka
domestic
support
Trade policies
aka import and
export
taxes/subsidies
• 4 types of effects
How much
to produce
(scale)
What to
produce
(products)
How to
produce
(practices)
Where to
produce
(location)
Defining harmful for the environment is not
straightforward. E.g. of Input Subsidies category (2020)
Input type Value (US$ bn) Share
Chemicals and pesticides 0.2 0.2%
Environment 8 7.7%
Extension services 9.6 9.3%
Feed 0.5 0.5%
Fertilizer 19.9 19.3%
Financial services 17.6 17.0%
Fuel 15.6 15.1%
Insurance 7.7 7.5%
Irrigation 6.7 6.5%
Mechanization 7.3 7.1%
Quality control 0.1 0.1%
Risk management 1.2 1.2%
Seed 0.3 0.3%
Transport 0.1 0.1%
Source: Laborde and Manun, 2022, based on OECD PSE database
Farm policies are complex and diverse, and people are prone to over-simplification
Subsidies are just a part of the decision making by farmers: even without subsidies
production will occur (somewhere)
Ex-ante policy goals and ex-post policy impacts could be different: what should
be the criteria to define “harmful” subsidies?
Policy reform is a country level process, but many environmental impacts are
cross-border
Removing all existing subsidies will make things worst in today’s world and
productivity matters
How to reform policies: “do no harm”, with a well focused approach, or “do good”
and tackle the multi-dimension of the food system transformation
Integrating Global South countries in the discussions remain challenging
True cost of
removing
existing
subsidies
Steven Lord, 2022, Forthcoming, FSEC
Steven Lord, 2022, Forthcoming, FSEC
Farm policies are complex and diverse, and people are prone to over-simplification
Subsidies are just a part of the decision making by farmers: even without subsidies
production will occur (somewhere)
Ex-ante policy goals and ex-post policy impacts could be different: what should
be the criteria to define “harmful” subsidies?
Policy reform is a country level process, but many environmental impacts are
cross-border
Removing all existing subsidies will make things worst in today’s world and
productivity matters
How to reform policies: “do no harm”, with a well focused approach, or “do good”
and tackle the multi-dimension of the food system transformation
Integrating Global South countries in the discussions remain challenging
A brief history of farm policy goals, and level of
development
Producing
more (Green
revolution)
Supporting
farmer income
Environmental
considerations
Health and
nutrition
The future?
The past?
Multi-dimension targets: Tackling trade-offs, cross-
border effects and the need to enlarge the policy space
Glauber and Laborde, 2022
Farm policies are complex and diverse, and people are prone to over-simplification
Subsidies are just a part of the decision making by farmers: even without subsidies
production will occur (somewhere)
Ex-ante policy goals and ex-post policy impacts could be different: what should
be the criteria to define “harmful” subsidies?
Policy reform is a country level process, but many environmental impacts are
cross-border
Removing all existing subsidies will make things worst in today’s world and
productivity matters
How to reform policies: “do no harm”, with a well focused approach, or “do good”
and tackle the multi-dimension of the food system transformation
Integrating Global South countries in the discussions remain challenging
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Repurposing Farm Polices: What a few years of work have taught us

  • 1. REPURPOSING FARM POLICIES: WHAT A FEW YEARS OF WORK HAVE TAUGHT US David Laborde MTID, IFPRI
  • 4. 2020: What is the effect of current farm policies on agricultural emissions? (no land use) 2021: Counting the cost of various agricultural support instruments on nature, climate, nutrition, health and equity by 2030 2021: Reallocating farm subsidies towards products with low emissions and/or high nutrition potential
  • 6. 2022: Phasing out of existing policies by 2040 (with land use) and focus on green innovations 2022: Trade-offs of repurposing policies towards healthier diets and consumer incentives 2022: Hidden gains and costs of current policies 2022: Repurposing: how to make it works for the Global South?
  • 8. Farm policies are complex and diverse, and people are prone to over-simplification Subsidies are just a part of the decision making by farmers: even without subsidies production will occur (somewhere) Ex-ante policy goals and ex-post policy impacts could be different: what should be the criteria to define “harmful” subsidies? Policy reform is a country level process, but many environmental impacts are cross-border Removing all existing subsidies will make things worst in today’s world and productivity matters How to reform policies: “do no harm”, with a well focused approach, or “do good” and tackle the multi-dimension of the food system transformation Integrating Global South countries in the discussions remain challenging
  • 9. Farm policies are complex and diverse, and people are prone to over-simplification Subsidies are just a part of the decision making by farmers: even without subsidies production will occur (somewhere) Ex-ante policy goals and ex-post policy impacts could be different: what should be the criteria to define “harmful” subsidies? Policy reform is a country level process, but many environmental impacts are cross-border Removing all existing subsidies will make things worst in today’s world and productivity matters How to reform policies: “do no harm”, with a well focused approach, or “do good” and tackle the multi-dimension of the food system transformation Integrating Global South countries in the discussions remain challenging
  • 10. Understanding policy impacts • Two main type of policies Subsidies aka domestic support Trade policies aka import and export taxes/subsidies • 4 types of effects How much to produce (scale) What to produce (products) How to produce (practices) Where to produce (location)
  • 11. Defining harmful for the environment is not straightforward. E.g. of Input Subsidies category (2020) Input type Value (US$ bn) Share Chemicals and pesticides 0.2 0.2% Environment 8 7.7% Extension services 9.6 9.3% Feed 0.5 0.5% Fertilizer 19.9 19.3% Financial services 17.6 17.0% Fuel 15.6 15.1% Insurance 7.7 7.5% Irrigation 6.7 6.5% Mechanization 7.3 7.1% Quality control 0.1 0.1% Risk management 1.2 1.2% Seed 0.3 0.3% Transport 0.1 0.1% Source: Laborde and Manun, 2022, based on OECD PSE database
  • 12. Farm policies are complex and diverse, and people are prone to over-simplification Subsidies are just a part of the decision making by farmers: even without subsidies production will occur (somewhere) Ex-ante policy goals and ex-post policy impacts could be different: what should be the criteria to define “harmful” subsidies? Policy reform is a country level process, but many environmental impacts are cross-border Removing all existing subsidies will make things worst in today’s world and productivity matters How to reform policies: “do no harm”, with a well focused approach, or “do good” and tackle the multi-dimension of the food system transformation Integrating Global South countries in the discussions remain challenging
  • 13. True cost of removing existing subsidies Steven Lord, 2022, Forthcoming, FSEC Steven Lord, 2022, Forthcoming, FSEC
  • 14. Farm policies are complex and diverse, and people are prone to over-simplification Subsidies are just a part of the decision making by farmers: even without subsidies production will occur (somewhere) Ex-ante policy goals and ex-post policy impacts could be different: what should be the criteria to define “harmful” subsidies? Policy reform is a country level process, but many environmental impacts are cross-border Removing all existing subsidies will make things worst in today’s world and productivity matters How to reform policies: “do no harm”, with a well focused approach, or “do good” and tackle the multi-dimension of the food system transformation Integrating Global South countries in the discussions remain challenging
  • 15. A brief history of farm policy goals, and level of development Producing more (Green revolution) Supporting farmer income Environmental considerations Health and nutrition The future? The past?
  • 16. Multi-dimension targets: Tackling trade-offs, cross- border effects and the need to enlarge the policy space Glauber and Laborde, 2022
  • 17. Farm policies are complex and diverse, and people are prone to over-simplification Subsidies are just a part of the decision making by farmers: even without subsidies production will occur (somewhere) Ex-ante policy goals and ex-post policy impacts could be different: what should be the criteria to define “harmful” subsidies? Policy reform is a country level process, but many environmental impacts are cross-border Removing all existing subsidies will make things worst in today’s world and productivity matters How to reform policies: “do no harm”, with a well focused approach, or “do good” and tackle the multi-dimension of the food system transformation Integrating Global South countries in the discussions remain challenging