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IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 5
ENHANCING POST DISASTER RECOVERY BY OPTIMAL
INFRASTRUCTURE CAPACITY BUILDING
Abhijeet Deshmukh1
, Makarand Hastak2
1
PhD Candidate, Hampton Hall of Civil Engineering, Purdue University, USA. E-Mail: deshmukh@purdue.edu
2
Head and Professor of Construction Engineering and Management, Professor of Civil Engineering, Purdue University, USA,
E-Mail: hastak@purdue.edu
Abstract
When the services of infrastructure systems necessary for the operation of other infrastructure are compromised due disaster
impacts, the recovery is hampered. For example, the delivery of basic aid and relief in Haiti and Philippines was hampered as
vital infrastructure such as transportation network, communications, electricity, water supply and sanitation failed to provide
required services. Additionally, a gap is created between the demands arising in post disaster recovery and the services available.
As a result, the response and recovery activities are not able to meet the community demands that delay the overall recovery.
Strategic capacity building of infrastructure is needed that will allow decision makers to fill the gap created in a timely manner.
This research will enable the decision makers to take into account the availability of auxiliary capacities that will be able to
complement the reduced services of supporting infrastructure. This paper presents an optimization model to assure the delivery of
desired services in post disaster recovery through optimal infrastructure capacity building. The model uses genetic algorithm for
optimal capacity selection. It has a single objective function that minimizes cost of using capacities to meet the demand on a daily
basis.
Keywords: resilience, capacity building, infrastructure serviceability, hospitals, water supply
.................................................................................................***.......................................................................................
INTRODUCTION
The impact of natural disasters in a region is further
escalated by lack of capacities such as reduced infrastructure
serviceability and inadequate vital resources required for
recovery. Often, existing capacities are unable to support
post disaster recovery in different phases, i.e., emergency,
short term recovery or restoration and long term recovery.
For example, the response and recovery in Philippines were
impacted by limited services offered by damaged
infrastructure such as transportation, communication, power,
water and governing agencies (Lum and Rhoda 2014). This
became one of the fundamental challenges associated with
infrastructure that were fundamental for the operations of
other infrastructure and recovery activities. The lack of
support from the infrastructure created physical and logistic
challenges due to which the worst stricken areas were not
able to receive relief supplies within desired time.
Hurricane Yolanda caused major disruption to infrastructure
services such as food, water, telecommunications, and
electricity. The National Grid Corporation of the Philippines
(NGPC) estimated that approximately 2,000 major
distribution and transmission facilities were damaged (Abi-
Samra et al. 2014). Lack of electricity not only impacted the
services of health infrastructure but also increased the risks
in maintaining cold chains and storing vaccines (Chiu 2013).
Additionally, lack of leadership in governing agencies
impacted the coordination between actors involved in
recovery and response resulting in delayed recovery (Lum
and Rhoda 2014). As a result, the severity of impact
increased and delayed the overall recovery.
There is a need to i) identify the gap created between
community demand and available infrastructure services, ii)
find alternatives, i.e., auxiliary capacities for filling the gap
and iii) optimally select the alternatives for infrastructure
capacity building. This paper presents a transformative
research approach that will help the decision makers for
optimal infrastructure capacity building. The optimization
model is a part of a larger research work focused on the
development of decision support system (DSS) (Deshmukh
and Hastak 2014). Decision makers will be able to develop
effective response and recovery strategies at various levels,
i.e., local, state and national for meeting community
demands in desired time. This research adopts the definition
of resilience proposed by the UNISDR (2011). Resilience is
the ability of a system, community or society exposed to
hazards to resist, absorb, accommodate to and recover from
the effects of a hazard in a timely and efficient manner,
including through the preservation and restoration of its
essential basic structures and functions.
PRIOR RESEARCH WORK
Recovery is a complex process consisting of loosely based
set of activities that enables the community to return to a pre
disaster level by restoring or even improving the community
attributes such as health, livelihoods, security (Garnett and
Moore 2010). It is a holistic approach where different actors
play simultaneously in stabilizing the disaster impact within
a community. It involves an effective decision making
process that allows the community to return to either pre
IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
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Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 6
disaster or better levels within desired time. Recovery is
supported by factors such as availability of resources and
funds, available infrastructure capacities, effective
leadership, and planning and implementation of response
and recovery strategies. Additionally, improving the
resilience of critical lifelines such as water and power and
critical facilities and functions such as emergency response
management is critical for overall community resilience.
Infrastructure plays an important role in the disaster
recovery as it provides vital services to the community,
serving as “the backbone” of any community (Bruneau et al.
2003; Vugrin et al. 2010). The lifeline services help the
community to restore its social functions such as health
services, education, livelihood and economic functions such
as business, production, manufacturing, etc. (Rose and Liao
2005; Bruneau et al. 2003; Oh et al. 2012).
Disrupted infrastructure services are unable to support
recovery and impact the regions both socially and
economically. (Chang et al. 2002; Blake et al. 2011; Chiu
2013; Zhang et al. 2013). Lack of infrastructure services
during post disaster recovery increases the risk of failure of
critical recovery and sustaining activities such as health,
housing education, restoration, logistics and debris removal
(Comfort et al. 2011;Blake et al. 2011). Comfort et al.
(2011) examined the challenge faced by the Haitian
government during the recovery process due to
unavailability of lifeline infrastructure such as transportation
networks, communication, electrical, water, waste and other
facilities. According to Miles and Chang (2006),
infrastructure performance over time could be used to assess
community recovery. Similarly, Chang and Shinozuka
(2004) have proposed that a broader understanding is
required for improving resilience which should not be
limited to minimizing monetary losses. Additionally, there is
a need to focus on delivery of infrastructure service that
would help the decision makers to address post disaster
demands, quality of service and managing flow of service.
While there are significant research results available in
developing loss models for post disaster recovery,
measuring recovery with progression of time has largely
been neglected (Miles and Chang 2006).
INFRASTRUCTURE SUPPORT TO
COMMUNITY RECOVERY
Infrastructure play an important role in not only sustaining
the communities during normal situation but also support
the community recovery after a disaster. In this research,
infrastructure is classified into six different types, i.e., civil
infrastructure that includes utility systems, transportation
systems, etc., civic infrastructure such as hospitals,
emergency centers, etc., social infrastructure such as
religious centers, homes, and businesses, environmental
infrastructure such as watershed, financial infrastructure
such as savings, community funds, and educational
infrastructure that provide education on capacity
development programs, education regarding disaster
preparedness and disaster management (Table 1).
Table 1 Six infrastructure supporting community/infrastructure recovery
Capacity is defined as the combination of all the strengths,
attributes and resources available within a community,
society or organization that can be used to achieve agreed
goals. Each infrastructure has a zone of influence (ZOI)
based on the interrelationships among infrastructure and the
community (Oh et al. 2012). The intersection between ZOI
illustrates the interrelationship between infrastructure. These
infrastructure support the sustaining and recovery activities
of a community or an industry. When these are not
adequately supported by infrastructure and the resources, a
gap is created between the community demands and the
services available from infrastructure. Therefore, it takes
longer for adequately meeting the community needs that
escalates the impacts on the community.
RESEARCH FRAMEWORK AND OBJECTIVES
The general objective of this paper is to help decision
makers develop strategies by addressing the provision of
auxiliary capacities in the event of supporting infrastructure
failure during post disaster events. The specific objective of
this paper is to present an optimization model for selecting
capacities that will help decision makers for meeting the
daily requirements of the community under give conditions.
The explanation of the optimization model is provided using
Civil Civic Social Environmental Financial Education
Utility
Systems
Emergency
Centers
Homes Landscape
Disaster
Funds
Training
Water, Gas,
Electricity
Hospitals
Religious
Centers
Wastelands Insurance Programs
Transportatio
n Systems
Police, etc.
Community
Centers
Donors
Feedback
Mechanism
Roads,
Bridges, etc.
Governance,
etc.
NGOs
IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 7
a hypothetical situation for water demand of the hospital
where in auxiliary capacities are optimally built to
complement reduced civil infrastructure system services.
This approach allows the hospital to adequately meet its
daily water needs in absence of required services from city
water supply network. The following section describes the
hypothetical situation.
DESCRIPTION OF OPTIMAL
INFRASTRUCTURE CAPACITY BUILDING
THROUGH A HYPOTHETICAL SITUATION
The optimization model is explained using the relationship
between city water supply network and a hospital. In this
case, Hospital A is a large hospital with a 700 bed facility.
The hospital uses water in running the HVAC, boilers,
cooling towers, sterilization procedures, kitchen, laundry,
cleaning, irrigation of lawns, and domestic purposes (EIA
2012). The average consumption of water for large hospitals
is 139,124 gallons per day of water (based on EIA 2012).
Many hospitals have developed emergency planning guide
for the event of failure of lifeline services. However, the
daily potable water needs of the hospital are beyond the
stockpiling capacity for such emergencies (Welter et al.
2013). The hospitals should seek different approaches for
satisfying the daily demand.
Figure 1 Infrastructure supporting hospital
The daily water needs of the hospital are adequately met by
the city supply network during normal conditions. Consider
a hospital network located in an urban city in the United
States. Under normal conditions, civil infrastructure systems
such as power, gas, water supply, waste water management,
and transportation support the hospital in providing medical
services (Figure 1). Suppose, a severe earthquake occurs
close to the city region and impacts the communities,
industries and infrastructure. The hospital network might be
able to withstand the earthquake and would be able to
function at pre disaster level only if the supporting
infrastructure can provide the necessary service. However,
the supporting civil infrastructure systems might not be able
to provide the required services due to their post disaster
condition.
Welter et al. (2013) have highlighted the importance of cross
sector planning for water supply to hospitals during
emergency events. Failure of city water supply to hospitals
could lead to cascading failure of critical components in
hospitals such as cooling systems resulting in complete
cessation. Welter et al. (2013) conducted a water audit on a
large hospital in United States that revealed that the hospital
was able to curtail its daily normal water demand by
approximately 50% without compromising the essential
services to the community (Welter et al. 2013). It is assumed
that Hospital A is able to curtail its daily water demand by
approximately 50% during emergency situation. As shown
in Table 2, there are three water demand levels of the
hospital, i.e., critical demand, essential demand, and normal
demand. Critical water demand allows the hospital to
functionally operate as a system in both pre and post disaster
situation. If the critical demand is not met, the hospital will
cease to operate. The essential demand is the minimum
water required to provide basic medical services. And
normal demand is the pre disaster water requirement. The
scope of this paper focuses on optimal selection of auxiliary
capacities to meet the daily normal demand of hospital
under the absence of desired water supply services.
WTP
Distribution
Network
Power
Natural Gas
Legend
WTP Water Treatment Plant
Power Power Grid providing
electricity to the
community
Natural Gas City natural gas
distribution
Transportation Connectivity to the
community
Waste
Management
City waste management
(including biohazard
waste disposal and
waste water)
Transportation
Waste Management
IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 8
Table 2 Daily water demand of hospital
Sr. No. Type of Demand Quantity (GPD)
1 Critical Demand 150,000
2 Essential Demand 180,000
3 Normal Demand 300,000
WATER SUPPLY NETWORK
Water from the treatment plant is conveyed through the
city’s water distribution network. The damage to the water
treatment plant and the distribution network damaged due to
the earthquake compromises the city water supply services.
In this situation, city water supply is unable to meet the
daily demands of Hospital A and produces a cascading
failure. As a result, the hospital ceases to function. Soon
after the disaster, public utilities assess the damage on
infrastructure to include losses, physical damage to
infrastructure assets, and service losses. This assessment
complements the recovery and restoration of the
infrastructure and based on the available capacities such as
manpower, equipment, funds available, etc., the utility
service providers are able to i) prioritize restoration, and ii)
estimate the restoration of services of infrastructure over
time. The scope of this paper excludes the design and
formulation of serviceability curves of the infrastructure
systems. The serviceability curve of the water supply
network is represented by a progressive S-curve.
Additionally, the serviceability curve provides information
regarding the amount of water (in gallons per day) which is
available at the hospital. It is assumed that the equation
incorporates the system and conveyance water losses and
provides the net water available at the hospital.
According to the water utility, the city water supply is able
to meet the daily normal demand by the 60th
day. As
mentioned earlier, the scope of this paper focuses on the
optimal selection of capacities for Hospital A when the city
water supply network is not able to meet the daily normal
water demand. Thus, it can be understood that till the 60th
day, a gap is created between the daily normal water
demand and city water supply service. If Hospital A is
unable to function, then unavailability of medical services
could likely increase the risk of i) malnutrition, ii) diseases
with respect to natural hazards, and iii) deaths.
SUPPORT FROM OTHER INFRASTRUCTURE
During response and recovery phase of disaster, several
infrastructure come in to support the hospital. For example,
civic infrastructure such as the government may send a
group of medical professionals to the disaster prone areas,
the local governing agencies may set up capacities such as
surface water pumps, and mobile tankers to meet the potable
water need of the hospital. During the flooding of Red River
in 1997, the water treatment plant at Grand Forks, North
Dakota failed that resulted in the failure of the health care
facilities. Nearly 1000 patients and senior residents were
evacuated and the city was without any health services for a
period of 18 days. Civic infrastructure, i.e., National Guards
provided temporary services by setting up reverse osmosis
treatment system till the city water supply services were
restored (Reed 1998; Siders and Jacobson 1998). In this
hypothetical situation, social infrastructure such as not for
profit organizations and religious institutions, civic
infrastructure such local municipal corporations, or private
parties and other entities step in to provide auxiliary services
to the Hospital (Figure 2). The capacities available from
“non” civil infrastructure collectively will be able to meet
the water demand of the hospital.
Figure 2 Support from other infrastructure during post disaster recovery (Water from city water supply is not able to meet the
daily demand of the hospital)
OPTIONS AVAILABLE
As mentioned earlier, during post disaster recovery, the
capacities available from sources like government, donor
organizations and other agencies might be able to
collectively meet the water demand. However, these options
might have certain limitations, restrictions that may affect
meeting daily water demand. The options available for
meeting the daily water demand have the following
characteristics: -
Hospital
A
WTP
10MGD Option-1
(Civic
Govt.)
Option-2
(Social
NGO)
Option-3
(Civic
Govt.)
Option-4
(Civic
Private
Party)
IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 9
i) Number of options available. For example,
auxiliary capacities may include water tankers,
water pumps, emergency water purification
system (EWPS), bottled waters for specific
operations, etc.
ii) Number of units available within each option
iii) Volume of unit
iv) Day from when option is available
v) Duration of availability, and
vi) Cost associated per unit.
This information will be helpful in mathematical design of
the model. The options could be selected such that the daily
selected capacities have a minimum cost. Finding set of
alternatives that are optimal (in this case, minimal cost)
could be achieved using optimization algorithm. The
problem defined in this paper could be solved either using
linear programming or genetic algorithm. Genetic algorithm
is selected in order to handle discrete data. Prior research
work on genetic algorithm and its usage in disaster relief
and disaster management field is excluded from this paper
due to word limitations.
MATHEMATICAL FORMULATION
In this section, the information provided in the hypothetical
situation is used to design the optimization problem. This
section firstly, consists of the parameters, decision variables
and objective functions. Following that, the objective
function is developed and lastly, the constraints of the
problem are explained. The explanation of the mathematical
model in this paper is excluded.
PARAMETERS
Optionsi = number of options available for meeting the
hospital demand
N_optionsi = number of units available with each option
costi = cost of using one single unit of optioni
opt_capi = capacity of each unit of optioni
opt_starti = day when the optioni is available
opt_duri = number of days for which optioni is available
where, i ∈ I, I = 1, 2, 3, 4,……..n
Table 3 Parameters of options (Abundant resources available)
Sr. No. Option
Option capacity
(Gallons)
Number of
units (#)
Cost of using each
unit (in dollars)
When available
(day)
Duration of
availability (day)
1 Option-1 2300 50 2290 1 77
2 Option-2 1500 50 1500 1 77
3 Option-3 1260 55 1280 1 77
4 Option-4 1200 55 1250 1 77
Note: Table 3 shows the parameter values under the
abundant resources scenario. In this case, each option is
available from the 1st
day till the 77th
day (which exceeds the
60th
day, i.e., water supply network is able to meet the
normal daily demand). Additionally, each option has 50
units which reflect that abundant resources are available.
DECISION VARIABLE
Xij = number of optioni available on the jth
day, where j ∈ J,
J =1, 2, 3, 4,……….m
Objective function
Minimize cost, where
cost = Xij*opt_capi
(1)
Constraints
The objective function is subjected to two constraints in this
optimization model: -
i) Limited resources available,
ii) Limited budget available to invest in optimal
selection.
RESULTS
Genetic algorithm is a problem solving method to find
approximate solutions to optimization and search problem.
GA is uses the concept of natural selection based on
genetics in problem solving (Sumathi and Paneerselvam
2010). GA starts with a randomly generated population that
represents possible solutions to the problem. Parents are
selected from one population to form new solutions based
on their fitness measure. The next generation population is
expected to provide better results than the older generation.
The process is repeated several times that drives the result
towards global optimal solution (Sumathi and Paneerselvam
2010). It is an evolutionary algorithm that will identify set of
auxiliary capacities, i.e., number of units selected under
each option for filling the gap created each day. The
capacities selected will have their cost minimal. For
example, there might be set 1 and set 2 that are able to fill
the gap on the jth
day. However, the collective cost of set 1
being less than set 2 will be selected. The optimization
model continues to identify daily optimal capacities with
minimal cost till the city water supply is able to meet the
daily normal water demand. Table 4 shows the optimization
results under various conditions.
IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 10
Table 4 Results of Simulations
Sr. No.
Optimization
Constraint
Result Observation
1. Abundant
resource and
funds available
i) Normal demand is met from the
first day.
ii) Options are selected such that
the cost is minimal each day
2. Limited
Resources
(Inclusion of
constraint)
i) Normal demand is met on the
22nd
day. Hospital operational
from the 23rd
day.
ii) Till the 21st
day, gap is created
between the demand perceived
and capacities available.
3. Limited Budget
(inclusion of
Constraint)
i)Under budgetary constraint,
only part of the gap is filled. In
this case, the optimally selected
capacities are able to meet the
daily normal demand from the
38th
day till the 60th
day.
LEGEND
DEVELOPMENT OF STRATEGIES
This research will help the decision makers to prepare
effective response and recovery strategies during response
and recovery phases. Additionally, this research will allow
the integration of decisions taken during emergency and
short term recovery into long term planning of the
community. Decision makers should consider the following
for developing effective strategies: -
i) Strategies for building capacities should be: -
– Cost effective and time effective
– Capacities should have more than one purpose.
This will allow their implementation during normal
and post disaster conditions.
– Capacities selected should be able to provide
desired level of resilience.
IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 11
ii) Important factors to consider for selecting auxiliary
capacities:
– Investment made in building capacities should
relate with the probability of occurrence of the
event.
– Capacities selected should be scalable.
– Multiple decisions made and their impact on
overall recovery
– Tradeoff between capacity building and enhancing
resilience
The strategies developed using this approach will help
decision makers in the following ways: -
i) Greater insight over the budget and capacity
requirement for optimal capacity building. For
example, decision makers will be able to assess the
budget and capacity requirement with respect to target
resilience. For example, what will be the budget
required if the hospital was to start the operations on
5th
day after disaster rather than on the 10th
day.
ii) Increase coordination among actors involved during
recovery. Develop agreement with agencies for
providing the auxiliary capacities.
iii)Encourage agencies to develop a disaster response
budget.
iv) Plan for implementation of auxiliary support for
meeting the infrastructure demands for providing the
required support.
v) Integrate the decisions taken during emergency
response and recovery into long term planning. This
exercise will help in considering the implementation of
permanent fixtures such as onsite water storage
options such as water towers, private wells, etc.
CONCLUSION
Timely recovery is crucial for communities to recover after
a disaster. Infrastructure should be able to provide adequate
services for supporting different phases of recovery. The
paper presents an optimization model of a decision support
system for optimal building of infrastructure capacities. The
optimization model is explained using a hypothetical
situation where-in capacities are optimally selected to meet
the daily water demands. This research will allow the
decision makers to prepare better and effective response and
recovery strategies for the community. Additionally, the
decision makers will be able to better coordinate with actors
involved. Through this research approach, the decisions
taken during the different phases of recovery could be
integrated in disaster planning of the anticipated disasters.
Communities will be able to build capacities for each phase,
i.e., emergency, short term and long term that will help them
in enhancing resilience by expediting post disaster recovery.
REFERENCES
1. Abi-Samra, N., McConnach, J., Mukhopadhyay, S.,
and Wojszczyk, B. (2014). “When the Bough Breaks:
Managing Extreme Weather Events Affecting
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2. Blake, S., Walker, R., and Walker, R (2011), “Potable
Water Issues during Disaster Response and Recovery:
Lessons Learned from Recent Coastal Disasters”,
Solutions to Coastal Disasters 2011, June 2011, 779-
794
3. Bruneau, M, Chang, S, Eguchi, R, Lee, G, O’Rourke,
T, Reinhorn, A (2003), “A framework to quantitatively
assess & enhance the seismic resilience of
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5. Chiu, Y. T. (2013). “Typhoon Haiyan: Philippines
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S., Siciliano, M., D., Huggins, L., J., Serrant, T.,
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Transition from Response to Recovery: The January
12th, 2010 Haiti Earthquake. Earthquake Spectra, Vol.
27.1.
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Community Resilience To Natural Disasters.”,
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IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308
_______________________________________________________________________________________
Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 12
16. United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction
(UNISDR) (2011), “Basics of capacity development
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>, Visited 18th
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Bonnaffon, H. (2013). “Cross‐sector emergency
planning for water supply utilities and healthcare
facilities.”, Journal of Healthcare Risk Management,
vol. 32(4), 5-14.

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Enhancing post disaster recovery by optimal infrastructure capacity building

  • 1. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 5 ENHANCING POST DISASTER RECOVERY BY OPTIMAL INFRASTRUCTURE CAPACITY BUILDING Abhijeet Deshmukh1 , Makarand Hastak2 1 PhD Candidate, Hampton Hall of Civil Engineering, Purdue University, USA. E-Mail: deshmukh@purdue.edu 2 Head and Professor of Construction Engineering and Management, Professor of Civil Engineering, Purdue University, USA, E-Mail: hastak@purdue.edu Abstract When the services of infrastructure systems necessary for the operation of other infrastructure are compromised due disaster impacts, the recovery is hampered. For example, the delivery of basic aid and relief in Haiti and Philippines was hampered as vital infrastructure such as transportation network, communications, electricity, water supply and sanitation failed to provide required services. Additionally, a gap is created between the demands arising in post disaster recovery and the services available. As a result, the response and recovery activities are not able to meet the community demands that delay the overall recovery. Strategic capacity building of infrastructure is needed that will allow decision makers to fill the gap created in a timely manner. This research will enable the decision makers to take into account the availability of auxiliary capacities that will be able to complement the reduced services of supporting infrastructure. This paper presents an optimization model to assure the delivery of desired services in post disaster recovery through optimal infrastructure capacity building. The model uses genetic algorithm for optimal capacity selection. It has a single objective function that minimizes cost of using capacities to meet the demand on a daily basis. Keywords: resilience, capacity building, infrastructure serviceability, hospitals, water supply .................................................................................................***....................................................................................... INTRODUCTION The impact of natural disasters in a region is further escalated by lack of capacities such as reduced infrastructure serviceability and inadequate vital resources required for recovery. Often, existing capacities are unable to support post disaster recovery in different phases, i.e., emergency, short term recovery or restoration and long term recovery. For example, the response and recovery in Philippines were impacted by limited services offered by damaged infrastructure such as transportation, communication, power, water and governing agencies (Lum and Rhoda 2014). This became one of the fundamental challenges associated with infrastructure that were fundamental for the operations of other infrastructure and recovery activities. The lack of support from the infrastructure created physical and logistic challenges due to which the worst stricken areas were not able to receive relief supplies within desired time. Hurricane Yolanda caused major disruption to infrastructure services such as food, water, telecommunications, and electricity. The National Grid Corporation of the Philippines (NGPC) estimated that approximately 2,000 major distribution and transmission facilities were damaged (Abi- Samra et al. 2014). Lack of electricity not only impacted the services of health infrastructure but also increased the risks in maintaining cold chains and storing vaccines (Chiu 2013). Additionally, lack of leadership in governing agencies impacted the coordination between actors involved in recovery and response resulting in delayed recovery (Lum and Rhoda 2014). As a result, the severity of impact increased and delayed the overall recovery. There is a need to i) identify the gap created between community demand and available infrastructure services, ii) find alternatives, i.e., auxiliary capacities for filling the gap and iii) optimally select the alternatives for infrastructure capacity building. This paper presents a transformative research approach that will help the decision makers for optimal infrastructure capacity building. The optimization model is a part of a larger research work focused on the development of decision support system (DSS) (Deshmukh and Hastak 2014). Decision makers will be able to develop effective response and recovery strategies at various levels, i.e., local, state and national for meeting community demands in desired time. This research adopts the definition of resilience proposed by the UNISDR (2011). Resilience is the ability of a system, community or society exposed to hazards to resist, absorb, accommodate to and recover from the effects of a hazard in a timely and efficient manner, including through the preservation and restoration of its essential basic structures and functions. PRIOR RESEARCH WORK Recovery is a complex process consisting of loosely based set of activities that enables the community to return to a pre disaster level by restoring or even improving the community attributes such as health, livelihoods, security (Garnett and Moore 2010). It is a holistic approach where different actors play simultaneously in stabilizing the disaster impact within a community. It involves an effective decision making process that allows the community to return to either pre
  • 2. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 6 disaster or better levels within desired time. Recovery is supported by factors such as availability of resources and funds, available infrastructure capacities, effective leadership, and planning and implementation of response and recovery strategies. Additionally, improving the resilience of critical lifelines such as water and power and critical facilities and functions such as emergency response management is critical for overall community resilience. Infrastructure plays an important role in the disaster recovery as it provides vital services to the community, serving as “the backbone” of any community (Bruneau et al. 2003; Vugrin et al. 2010). The lifeline services help the community to restore its social functions such as health services, education, livelihood and economic functions such as business, production, manufacturing, etc. (Rose and Liao 2005; Bruneau et al. 2003; Oh et al. 2012). Disrupted infrastructure services are unable to support recovery and impact the regions both socially and economically. (Chang et al. 2002; Blake et al. 2011; Chiu 2013; Zhang et al. 2013). Lack of infrastructure services during post disaster recovery increases the risk of failure of critical recovery and sustaining activities such as health, housing education, restoration, logistics and debris removal (Comfort et al. 2011;Blake et al. 2011). Comfort et al. (2011) examined the challenge faced by the Haitian government during the recovery process due to unavailability of lifeline infrastructure such as transportation networks, communication, electrical, water, waste and other facilities. According to Miles and Chang (2006), infrastructure performance over time could be used to assess community recovery. Similarly, Chang and Shinozuka (2004) have proposed that a broader understanding is required for improving resilience which should not be limited to minimizing monetary losses. Additionally, there is a need to focus on delivery of infrastructure service that would help the decision makers to address post disaster demands, quality of service and managing flow of service. While there are significant research results available in developing loss models for post disaster recovery, measuring recovery with progression of time has largely been neglected (Miles and Chang 2006). INFRASTRUCTURE SUPPORT TO COMMUNITY RECOVERY Infrastructure play an important role in not only sustaining the communities during normal situation but also support the community recovery after a disaster. In this research, infrastructure is classified into six different types, i.e., civil infrastructure that includes utility systems, transportation systems, etc., civic infrastructure such as hospitals, emergency centers, etc., social infrastructure such as religious centers, homes, and businesses, environmental infrastructure such as watershed, financial infrastructure such as savings, community funds, and educational infrastructure that provide education on capacity development programs, education regarding disaster preparedness and disaster management (Table 1). Table 1 Six infrastructure supporting community/infrastructure recovery Capacity is defined as the combination of all the strengths, attributes and resources available within a community, society or organization that can be used to achieve agreed goals. Each infrastructure has a zone of influence (ZOI) based on the interrelationships among infrastructure and the community (Oh et al. 2012). The intersection between ZOI illustrates the interrelationship between infrastructure. These infrastructure support the sustaining and recovery activities of a community or an industry. When these are not adequately supported by infrastructure and the resources, a gap is created between the community demands and the services available from infrastructure. Therefore, it takes longer for adequately meeting the community needs that escalates the impacts on the community. RESEARCH FRAMEWORK AND OBJECTIVES The general objective of this paper is to help decision makers develop strategies by addressing the provision of auxiliary capacities in the event of supporting infrastructure failure during post disaster events. The specific objective of this paper is to present an optimization model for selecting capacities that will help decision makers for meeting the daily requirements of the community under give conditions. The explanation of the optimization model is provided using Civil Civic Social Environmental Financial Education Utility Systems Emergency Centers Homes Landscape Disaster Funds Training Water, Gas, Electricity Hospitals Religious Centers Wastelands Insurance Programs Transportatio n Systems Police, etc. Community Centers Donors Feedback Mechanism Roads, Bridges, etc. Governance, etc. NGOs
  • 3. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 7 a hypothetical situation for water demand of the hospital where in auxiliary capacities are optimally built to complement reduced civil infrastructure system services. This approach allows the hospital to adequately meet its daily water needs in absence of required services from city water supply network. The following section describes the hypothetical situation. DESCRIPTION OF OPTIMAL INFRASTRUCTURE CAPACITY BUILDING THROUGH A HYPOTHETICAL SITUATION The optimization model is explained using the relationship between city water supply network and a hospital. In this case, Hospital A is a large hospital with a 700 bed facility. The hospital uses water in running the HVAC, boilers, cooling towers, sterilization procedures, kitchen, laundry, cleaning, irrigation of lawns, and domestic purposes (EIA 2012). The average consumption of water for large hospitals is 139,124 gallons per day of water (based on EIA 2012). Many hospitals have developed emergency planning guide for the event of failure of lifeline services. However, the daily potable water needs of the hospital are beyond the stockpiling capacity for such emergencies (Welter et al. 2013). The hospitals should seek different approaches for satisfying the daily demand. Figure 1 Infrastructure supporting hospital The daily water needs of the hospital are adequately met by the city supply network during normal conditions. Consider a hospital network located in an urban city in the United States. Under normal conditions, civil infrastructure systems such as power, gas, water supply, waste water management, and transportation support the hospital in providing medical services (Figure 1). Suppose, a severe earthquake occurs close to the city region and impacts the communities, industries and infrastructure. The hospital network might be able to withstand the earthquake and would be able to function at pre disaster level only if the supporting infrastructure can provide the necessary service. However, the supporting civil infrastructure systems might not be able to provide the required services due to their post disaster condition. Welter et al. (2013) have highlighted the importance of cross sector planning for water supply to hospitals during emergency events. Failure of city water supply to hospitals could lead to cascading failure of critical components in hospitals such as cooling systems resulting in complete cessation. Welter et al. (2013) conducted a water audit on a large hospital in United States that revealed that the hospital was able to curtail its daily normal water demand by approximately 50% without compromising the essential services to the community (Welter et al. 2013). It is assumed that Hospital A is able to curtail its daily water demand by approximately 50% during emergency situation. As shown in Table 2, there are three water demand levels of the hospital, i.e., critical demand, essential demand, and normal demand. Critical water demand allows the hospital to functionally operate as a system in both pre and post disaster situation. If the critical demand is not met, the hospital will cease to operate. The essential demand is the minimum water required to provide basic medical services. And normal demand is the pre disaster water requirement. The scope of this paper focuses on optimal selection of auxiliary capacities to meet the daily normal demand of hospital under the absence of desired water supply services. WTP Distribution Network Power Natural Gas Legend WTP Water Treatment Plant Power Power Grid providing electricity to the community Natural Gas City natural gas distribution Transportation Connectivity to the community Waste Management City waste management (including biohazard waste disposal and waste water) Transportation Waste Management
  • 4. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 8 Table 2 Daily water demand of hospital Sr. No. Type of Demand Quantity (GPD) 1 Critical Demand 150,000 2 Essential Demand 180,000 3 Normal Demand 300,000 WATER SUPPLY NETWORK Water from the treatment plant is conveyed through the city’s water distribution network. The damage to the water treatment plant and the distribution network damaged due to the earthquake compromises the city water supply services. In this situation, city water supply is unable to meet the daily demands of Hospital A and produces a cascading failure. As a result, the hospital ceases to function. Soon after the disaster, public utilities assess the damage on infrastructure to include losses, physical damage to infrastructure assets, and service losses. This assessment complements the recovery and restoration of the infrastructure and based on the available capacities such as manpower, equipment, funds available, etc., the utility service providers are able to i) prioritize restoration, and ii) estimate the restoration of services of infrastructure over time. The scope of this paper excludes the design and formulation of serviceability curves of the infrastructure systems. The serviceability curve of the water supply network is represented by a progressive S-curve. Additionally, the serviceability curve provides information regarding the amount of water (in gallons per day) which is available at the hospital. It is assumed that the equation incorporates the system and conveyance water losses and provides the net water available at the hospital. According to the water utility, the city water supply is able to meet the daily normal demand by the 60th day. As mentioned earlier, the scope of this paper focuses on the optimal selection of capacities for Hospital A when the city water supply network is not able to meet the daily normal water demand. Thus, it can be understood that till the 60th day, a gap is created between the daily normal water demand and city water supply service. If Hospital A is unable to function, then unavailability of medical services could likely increase the risk of i) malnutrition, ii) diseases with respect to natural hazards, and iii) deaths. SUPPORT FROM OTHER INFRASTRUCTURE During response and recovery phase of disaster, several infrastructure come in to support the hospital. For example, civic infrastructure such as the government may send a group of medical professionals to the disaster prone areas, the local governing agencies may set up capacities such as surface water pumps, and mobile tankers to meet the potable water need of the hospital. During the flooding of Red River in 1997, the water treatment plant at Grand Forks, North Dakota failed that resulted in the failure of the health care facilities. Nearly 1000 patients and senior residents were evacuated and the city was without any health services for a period of 18 days. Civic infrastructure, i.e., National Guards provided temporary services by setting up reverse osmosis treatment system till the city water supply services were restored (Reed 1998; Siders and Jacobson 1998). In this hypothetical situation, social infrastructure such as not for profit organizations and religious institutions, civic infrastructure such local municipal corporations, or private parties and other entities step in to provide auxiliary services to the Hospital (Figure 2). The capacities available from “non” civil infrastructure collectively will be able to meet the water demand of the hospital. Figure 2 Support from other infrastructure during post disaster recovery (Water from city water supply is not able to meet the daily demand of the hospital) OPTIONS AVAILABLE As mentioned earlier, during post disaster recovery, the capacities available from sources like government, donor organizations and other agencies might be able to collectively meet the water demand. However, these options might have certain limitations, restrictions that may affect meeting daily water demand. The options available for meeting the daily water demand have the following characteristics: - Hospital A WTP 10MGD Option-1 (Civic Govt.) Option-2 (Social NGO) Option-3 (Civic Govt.) Option-4 (Civic Private Party)
  • 5. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 9 i) Number of options available. For example, auxiliary capacities may include water tankers, water pumps, emergency water purification system (EWPS), bottled waters for specific operations, etc. ii) Number of units available within each option iii) Volume of unit iv) Day from when option is available v) Duration of availability, and vi) Cost associated per unit. This information will be helpful in mathematical design of the model. The options could be selected such that the daily selected capacities have a minimum cost. Finding set of alternatives that are optimal (in this case, minimal cost) could be achieved using optimization algorithm. The problem defined in this paper could be solved either using linear programming or genetic algorithm. Genetic algorithm is selected in order to handle discrete data. Prior research work on genetic algorithm and its usage in disaster relief and disaster management field is excluded from this paper due to word limitations. MATHEMATICAL FORMULATION In this section, the information provided in the hypothetical situation is used to design the optimization problem. This section firstly, consists of the parameters, decision variables and objective functions. Following that, the objective function is developed and lastly, the constraints of the problem are explained. The explanation of the mathematical model in this paper is excluded. PARAMETERS Optionsi = number of options available for meeting the hospital demand N_optionsi = number of units available with each option costi = cost of using one single unit of optioni opt_capi = capacity of each unit of optioni opt_starti = day when the optioni is available opt_duri = number of days for which optioni is available where, i ∈ I, I = 1, 2, 3, 4,……..n Table 3 Parameters of options (Abundant resources available) Sr. No. Option Option capacity (Gallons) Number of units (#) Cost of using each unit (in dollars) When available (day) Duration of availability (day) 1 Option-1 2300 50 2290 1 77 2 Option-2 1500 50 1500 1 77 3 Option-3 1260 55 1280 1 77 4 Option-4 1200 55 1250 1 77 Note: Table 3 shows the parameter values under the abundant resources scenario. In this case, each option is available from the 1st day till the 77th day (which exceeds the 60th day, i.e., water supply network is able to meet the normal daily demand). Additionally, each option has 50 units which reflect that abundant resources are available. DECISION VARIABLE Xij = number of optioni available on the jth day, where j ∈ J, J =1, 2, 3, 4,……….m Objective function Minimize cost, where cost = Xij*opt_capi (1) Constraints The objective function is subjected to two constraints in this optimization model: - i) Limited resources available, ii) Limited budget available to invest in optimal selection. RESULTS Genetic algorithm is a problem solving method to find approximate solutions to optimization and search problem. GA is uses the concept of natural selection based on genetics in problem solving (Sumathi and Paneerselvam 2010). GA starts with a randomly generated population that represents possible solutions to the problem. Parents are selected from one population to form new solutions based on their fitness measure. The next generation population is expected to provide better results than the older generation. The process is repeated several times that drives the result towards global optimal solution (Sumathi and Paneerselvam 2010). It is an evolutionary algorithm that will identify set of auxiliary capacities, i.e., number of units selected under each option for filling the gap created each day. The capacities selected will have their cost minimal. For example, there might be set 1 and set 2 that are able to fill the gap on the jth day. However, the collective cost of set 1 being less than set 2 will be selected. The optimization model continues to identify daily optimal capacities with minimal cost till the city water supply is able to meet the daily normal water demand. Table 4 shows the optimization results under various conditions.
  • 6. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 10 Table 4 Results of Simulations Sr. No. Optimization Constraint Result Observation 1. Abundant resource and funds available i) Normal demand is met from the first day. ii) Options are selected such that the cost is minimal each day 2. Limited Resources (Inclusion of constraint) i) Normal demand is met on the 22nd day. Hospital operational from the 23rd day. ii) Till the 21st day, gap is created between the demand perceived and capacities available. 3. Limited Budget (inclusion of Constraint) i)Under budgetary constraint, only part of the gap is filled. In this case, the optimally selected capacities are able to meet the daily normal demand from the 38th day till the 60th day. LEGEND DEVELOPMENT OF STRATEGIES This research will help the decision makers to prepare effective response and recovery strategies during response and recovery phases. Additionally, this research will allow the integration of decisions taken during emergency and short term recovery into long term planning of the community. Decision makers should consider the following for developing effective strategies: - i) Strategies for building capacities should be: - – Cost effective and time effective – Capacities should have more than one purpose. This will allow their implementation during normal and post disaster conditions. – Capacities selected should be able to provide desired level of resilience.
  • 7. IJRET: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology eISSN: 2319-1163 | pISSN: 2321-7308 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Volume: 03 Special Issue: 16 | ICPECDM-2014 | Dec-2014, Available @ http://www.ijret.org 11 ii) Important factors to consider for selecting auxiliary capacities: – Investment made in building capacities should relate with the probability of occurrence of the event. – Capacities selected should be scalable. – Multiple decisions made and their impact on overall recovery – Tradeoff between capacity building and enhancing resilience The strategies developed using this approach will help decision makers in the following ways: - i) Greater insight over the budget and capacity requirement for optimal capacity building. For example, decision makers will be able to assess the budget and capacity requirement with respect to target resilience. For example, what will be the budget required if the hospital was to start the operations on 5th day after disaster rather than on the 10th day. ii) Increase coordination among actors involved during recovery. Develop agreement with agencies for providing the auxiliary capacities. iii)Encourage agencies to develop a disaster response budget. iv) Plan for implementation of auxiliary support for meeting the infrastructure demands for providing the required support. v) Integrate the decisions taken during emergency response and recovery into long term planning. This exercise will help in considering the implementation of permanent fixtures such as onsite water storage options such as water towers, private wells, etc. CONCLUSION Timely recovery is crucial for communities to recover after a disaster. Infrastructure should be able to provide adequate services for supporting different phases of recovery. The paper presents an optimization model of a decision support system for optimal building of infrastructure capacities. The optimization model is explained using a hypothetical situation where-in capacities are optimally selected to meet the daily water demands. This research will allow the decision makers to prepare better and effective response and recovery strategies for the community. Additionally, the decision makers will be able to better coordinate with actors involved. Through this research approach, the decisions taken during the different phases of recovery could be integrated in disaster planning of the anticipated disasters. Communities will be able to build capacities for each phase, i.e., emergency, short term and long term that will help them in enhancing resilience by expediting post disaster recovery. REFERENCES 1. Abi-Samra, N., McConnach, J., Mukhopadhyay, S., and Wojszczyk, B. (2014). “When the Bough Breaks: Managing Extreme Weather Events Affecting Electrical Power Grids”, Power and Energy Magazine, IEEE, vol. 12(5), 61-65. 2. Blake, S., Walker, R., and Walker, R (2011), “Potable Water Issues during Disaster Response and Recovery: Lessons Learned from Recent Coastal Disasters”, Solutions to Coastal Disasters 2011, June 2011, 779- 794 3. Bruneau, M, Chang, S, Eguchi, R, Lee, G, O’Rourke, T, Reinhorn, A (2003), “A framework to quantitatively assess & enhance the seismic resilience of communities”, Earthquake Spectra, 19, 733–752. 4. Chang, S., Shinozuka M., (2004). Measuring Improvements in the disaster Resilience of Communities, EERI Spectra Journal, 20, (3), 739-755 5. Chiu, Y. T. (2013). “Typhoon Haiyan: Philippines faces long road to recovery”, The Lancet, 382(9906), 1691-1692. 6. Comfort, L., K., McAdoo, B., Sweeney, P., Stebbins, S., Siciliano, M., D., Huggins, L., J., Serrant, T., Scheinert, S., Augenstein, J. Krenitsky, N. (2011). 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