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International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD)
Volume 5 Issue 4, May-June 2021 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD42421 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 4 | May-June 2021 Page 866
Prediction of Car Price using Linear Regression
Ravi Shastri1, Dr. A Rengarajan2
1Student, 2Professor,
1,2School of CS & IT, Department of MCA, Jain University, Bangalore, Karnataka, India
ABSTRACT
In this paper, we look at how supervised machine learning techniques can be
used to forecast car prices in India. Data from the online marketplace quikr
was used to make the predictions. The predictions were made using a variety
of methods, including multiple linear regression analysis, Random forest
regressor and Randomized search CV. The predictions are then analyzed and
compared to determine which ones provide the best results. A seemingly
simple problem turned out to be extremely difficult to solve accurately. All of
the strategies yielded similar results. In the future, we want to make
predictions using more advanced technologies.
KEYWORDS: Multiple linear regression, Random forest, Randomized search CV
and Supervised learning
How to cite this paper: Ravi Shastri | Dr.
A Rengarajan "Prediction of Car Price
using Linear Regression" Published in
International Journal
of Trend in Scientific
Research and
Development(ijtsrd),
ISSN: 2456-6470,
Volume-5 | Issue-4,
June 2021, pp.866-
869, URL:
www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd42421.pdf
Copyright © 2021 by author (s) and
International Journal ofTrendinScientific
Research and Development Journal. This
is an Open Access article distributed
under the terms of
the Creative
Commons Attribution
License (CC BY 4.0)
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
INTRODUCTION
Given the demand for cars, the second-hand car market has
been growing in popularity, providingopportunitiesfor both
buyers and sellers. Buying a used car is the best option for
customers in several countries because the price is fair and
affordable. After a few years of use, it might be possible to
resell them for a profit. However, many factors affect the
price of a used car, including its age and currentcondition. In
most cases, the price of a used car on the market fluctuates.
As a result, a model for evaluating car prices is needed to
assist in trading.
In this paper, we used multiple linear regression, random
forest regression to build a price model for the car. Each
algorithm relied on information gathered from a website.
The main goal of this paper is to find the best predictive
model for car price prediction. Predictinga car'sresalevalue
is not an easy job. The fact that the value of used cars is
determined by a variety of variables. The most significant
ones are typically the car's age, model, origin (the
manufacturer's original country), mileage (the number of
kilometer’s it has travelled), and horsepower.
The fuel economy is also important because of rising fuel
prices. Unfortunately, most people may not realise how
much fuel their car consumes per km driven in reality.Other
factors include the type of fuel it uses, the interior style, the
braking system, acceleration, the volume of its cylinders
(measured in cc), safety index, the car's size, number of
doors, paint colour, weight, consumer reviews, prestigious
awards won by the car manufacturer, the car's physical
condition, whether it is a sports car, whether it has cruise
control, and whether it is automatic or manual transmission,
whether it belonged to a person or a business, as well as
other features like air conditioning, sound system, power
steering, cosmic wheels, and GPSnavigator,mayall affectthe
price.
The following is the outline for this research paper. In
section II the segment looked at some prior studies that
were close to this one. We have discussed our methodology
in section III. We analysed and compared the results of our
algorithms in section IV. Section V concludes with a
conclusion and a potential opportunity.
Literature Review- Richardson [1] worked on the theory
that car manufacturers are more likely to produce cars that
do not depreciate rapidly in another university study. He
demonstrated that hybrid cars (cars that use two separate
power sources to drive the vehicle, i.e. they have both an
internal combustion engine and an electric motor) are more
able to keep their value than conventional vehicles by using
a multiple regression study. This is most likely due to
increased environmental concernsregardingclimatechange
and higher fuel efficiency. Other variables such as age,
mileage, make, and MPG (miles per gallon) were also taken
into account in this report. He gathered all ofhisinformation
from various website.
To estimate the price of a vehicle, Noor and Jan [2] used
multiple linear regression. They used a variable selection
method to find the variables that had the greatest influence
and then eliminated the rest. Just a few variables are
included in the data, which were used to create the linear
regression model. With an R-square of 98percent,the result
was remarkable.
IJTSRD42421
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD42421 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 4 | May-June 2021 Page 867
Peerun [3] et al. researched to assess the neural network's
success in predicting used car prices. However, particularly
on higher-priced vehicles, the predicted value is not very
similar to the actual price. In predicting the price of a used
car, they found that support vector machine regression
outperformed neural networks and linear regression.
To forecast the residual value of privately used vehicles,
Gonggi [4] suggested a new model focused on artificial
neural networks. The mileage, maker, and estimated useful
life were the three key features used in this analysis. The
model was tweaked to accommodate nonlinear
relationships, which are difficult to analyze usingtraditional
linear regression approaches. This model was found to be
fairly effective at estimating the residual value of used
vehicles.
Sun et al. [5] suggested using the optimized BP neural
network algorithm to develop an online used car price
assessment model. To maximize secret neurons, they
developed a new optimization method called Like Block-
Monte Carlo Method (LB-MCM). As compared to the non-
optimized model, the result showed that the optimised
model produced higher accuracy. Based on previous related
works, we discovered that no one had yet used the random
forest regression model to estimate the price of a used
vehicle. As a result, we chose to use a random forest
regression model to build a model for evaluating used car
prices.
METHODOLOGY:
This section presents the research methodology
The car dataset for this study was obtained from www.quikr.com. For each vehicle, the following information was gathered:
make, model, seller type, kilometre’s driven, year of manufacture, fuel type, and price. A sample of the collected data is shown
below in Table 1.
Table I. Sample Data collection
SI. no Car Name Year Selling Price Kms Driven Fuel Type Seller Type
1. Ritz 2014 3.35 27000 Petrol Dealer
2. Sx4 2013 4.75 43000 Diesel Dealer
3. Ciaz 2017 7.25 6900 Petrol Dealer
4. Wagon r 2011 2.85 5200 Petrol Dealer
5. Swift 2014 4.60 42450 Diesel Dealer
6. Vitara brezza 2018 9.25 2071 Diesel Dealer
7. S cross 2015 6.50 33429 Diesel Dealer
8. Ciaz 2016 8.75 20273 Diesel Dealer
9. City 2016 9.50 33988 Diesel Dealer
10. Brio 2015 4.00 600000 Petrol Dealer
# Selling Price: In Lakhs
Table II. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF NUMERICAL VARIABLES
Attributes Mean Std Min Max
Selling Price 4.661296 5.082812 0.100000 35.000000
Present Price 7.628472 8.644115 0.320000 35.000000
Kms Driven 36947.205980 38886.883882 500.000000 500000.000000
Owner 0.043189 0.247915 0.000000 3.000000
These datasets will contain a large amount of used car data, so they will most likely need some tuning and engineering.
Duplicated, for example, the model output can be affected by observations, so they must be excluded beforehand.
Each attribute requires some tweaking, according to the statistical details in Table II. The average price, in particular, was
4.661296, with a standard deviation of 5.082812. This suggested that the price values in the dataset are widely dispersed.
In predictive statistics and machine learning, attributes with a high correlation coefficient have a greater effect on the
prediction variable, although this is not always the case. The correlation coefficient is a statistical measure that defines the
relationship between variables, as its name suggests. The correlation coefficient between two attributesisalwaysintherange
of 1 (Positive relationship) to -1 (Negative relationship), while 0 indicates that there is no correlation at all.
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD42421 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 4 | May-June 2021 Page 868
Fig I A correlation matrix of every attribute
Price prediction: a comparative review
This study uses the Scikit-learn machine learning library to
implement multiple machine learning algorithms. The same
training data is used to train each model, and the same
testing data is used to evaluate it. In the following section,
the results are compared and defined.
The regression-based approach is reliable in predicting
continuous variables in supervised machine learning. A
single linear regression model, as shown in, is sufficient to
predict Y, where Y is the dependent variable and X is the
independent variable. The model will forecast the future
value of Y by determining the Y-intercept and slope of the
regression line plus noise.
RESULT AND DISCUSSION:
Using testing data as input to multiple linear regression and
random forest regression, the following results are
evaluated. The mean absolute error of multiple linear
regression and random forest regression was compared
using mean absolute error as a criterion. With an MAE of =
0.72, random forest regression produces the best results.
It should be noted that MAE is a negative focused ranking,
meaning the closer the value is to zero, the better the model
prediction.
Conclusion:
The authors of this study performed a comparison of
regression-based model results. The data for this study was
scraped from a popular e-commerce site called Quikr and
then processed using the Python programming language. As
a consequence, there are 240 rows and 8 attributes in the
final data. On that particular dataset, we usedmultiplelinear
regression and random forest regression to test the results.
The same testing data was used to assess and model. The
mean absolute error is then used as a criterion for
comparing the outcomes. With only MAE =0.72, random
forest regression generated the best results. As a result, we
came to the conclusion that using random forest regression
trees to create the price evaluation model.
This research can be used to improve future work by fine-
tuning each model parameter. To generate better training
data, more appropriate data engineering can be used. The
models can also be used in real-life situations.
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD42421 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 4 | May-June 2021 Page 869
References:
[1] RICHARDSON, "Determinants of Used Car Resale
Value," 2009.
[2] Sadaqat, N. Kanwal and a. J., "Vehicle Price Prediction
System using Machine Learning Techniques,"
International JournalofComputerApplications, pp.27-
31, 2017.
[3] S. Peerun, N. H. Chummun and a. S. Pudaruth,
"Predicting the Price of Second-hand Cars using
Artificial Neural Networks," The Second International
Conference on Data Mining, Internet Computing, and
Big Data, pp. 17-21, 2015.
[4] GONGGI, "New model for residual value prediction of
used cars based on BP neural network and non-linear
curve fit," International Conference on Measuring
Technology and Mechatronics Automation (ICMTMA),,
pp. 682-685, 2011.
[5] N. Sun, H. Bai, Y. Geng and a. H. Shi, "Price evaluation
model in second-hand car system based on BP neural
network theory," International Conference on
Software Engineering, Artificial Intelligence,
Networking and Parallel/Distributed Computing
(SNPD), pp. 431-36, 2017.
[6] Monburinon, N. a. Chertchom, P. a. Kaewkiriya, T. a.
Rungpheung, S. a. Buya, S. a.BoonpouandPitchayakit,
"Prediction of prices for used car by using regression
models," International Conference on Business and
Industrial Research, no. IEEE, pp. 115-119, 2018.
[7] Gegic, E. a. Isakovic, B. a. Keco, D. a. Masetic, Z. a.
Kevric and Jasmin, "Car price prediction using
machine learning techniques," TEM Journal, vol. 8, p.
113, 2019.
[8] Sinha, S. a. Azim, R. a. Das and Sourav, "Linear
Regression on Car Price Prediction," 2020.
[9] Yang, R. R. a. Chen, S. a. Chou and Edward, Vehicle
price prediction using visual features, 2018.
[10] Kiran and S, "Prediction of Resale Value of the Car
Using Linear Regression Algorithm," International
Journal of InnovativeScience andResearchTechnology,
vol. 5, no. 7, pp. 382-386, 2020.

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Prediction of Car Price using Linear Regression

  • 1. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) Volume 5 Issue 4, May-June 2021 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD42421 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 4 | May-June 2021 Page 866 Prediction of Car Price using Linear Regression Ravi Shastri1, Dr. A Rengarajan2 1Student, 2Professor, 1,2School of CS & IT, Department of MCA, Jain University, Bangalore, Karnataka, India ABSTRACT In this paper, we look at how supervised machine learning techniques can be used to forecast car prices in India. Data from the online marketplace quikr was used to make the predictions. The predictions were made using a variety of methods, including multiple linear regression analysis, Random forest regressor and Randomized search CV. The predictions are then analyzed and compared to determine which ones provide the best results. A seemingly simple problem turned out to be extremely difficult to solve accurately. All of the strategies yielded similar results. In the future, we want to make predictions using more advanced technologies. KEYWORDS: Multiple linear regression, Random forest, Randomized search CV and Supervised learning How to cite this paper: Ravi Shastri | Dr. A Rengarajan "Prediction of Car Price using Linear Regression" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development(ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-5 | Issue-4, June 2021, pp.866- 869, URL: www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd42421.pdf Copyright © 2021 by author (s) and International Journal ofTrendinScientific Research and Development Journal. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0) (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0) INTRODUCTION Given the demand for cars, the second-hand car market has been growing in popularity, providingopportunitiesfor both buyers and sellers. Buying a used car is the best option for customers in several countries because the price is fair and affordable. After a few years of use, it might be possible to resell them for a profit. However, many factors affect the price of a used car, including its age and currentcondition. In most cases, the price of a used car on the market fluctuates. As a result, a model for evaluating car prices is needed to assist in trading. In this paper, we used multiple linear regression, random forest regression to build a price model for the car. Each algorithm relied on information gathered from a website. The main goal of this paper is to find the best predictive model for car price prediction. Predictinga car'sresalevalue is not an easy job. The fact that the value of used cars is determined by a variety of variables. The most significant ones are typically the car's age, model, origin (the manufacturer's original country), mileage (the number of kilometer’s it has travelled), and horsepower. The fuel economy is also important because of rising fuel prices. Unfortunately, most people may not realise how much fuel their car consumes per km driven in reality.Other factors include the type of fuel it uses, the interior style, the braking system, acceleration, the volume of its cylinders (measured in cc), safety index, the car's size, number of doors, paint colour, weight, consumer reviews, prestigious awards won by the car manufacturer, the car's physical condition, whether it is a sports car, whether it has cruise control, and whether it is automatic or manual transmission, whether it belonged to a person or a business, as well as other features like air conditioning, sound system, power steering, cosmic wheels, and GPSnavigator,mayall affectthe price. The following is the outline for this research paper. In section II the segment looked at some prior studies that were close to this one. We have discussed our methodology in section III. We analysed and compared the results of our algorithms in section IV. Section V concludes with a conclusion and a potential opportunity. Literature Review- Richardson [1] worked on the theory that car manufacturers are more likely to produce cars that do not depreciate rapidly in another university study. He demonstrated that hybrid cars (cars that use two separate power sources to drive the vehicle, i.e. they have both an internal combustion engine and an electric motor) are more able to keep their value than conventional vehicles by using a multiple regression study. This is most likely due to increased environmental concernsregardingclimatechange and higher fuel efficiency. Other variables such as age, mileage, make, and MPG (miles per gallon) were also taken into account in this report. He gathered all ofhisinformation from various website. To estimate the price of a vehicle, Noor and Jan [2] used multiple linear regression. They used a variable selection method to find the variables that had the greatest influence and then eliminated the rest. Just a few variables are included in the data, which were used to create the linear regression model. With an R-square of 98percent,the result was remarkable. IJTSRD42421
  • 2. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD42421 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 4 | May-June 2021 Page 867 Peerun [3] et al. researched to assess the neural network's success in predicting used car prices. However, particularly on higher-priced vehicles, the predicted value is not very similar to the actual price. In predicting the price of a used car, they found that support vector machine regression outperformed neural networks and linear regression. To forecast the residual value of privately used vehicles, Gonggi [4] suggested a new model focused on artificial neural networks. The mileage, maker, and estimated useful life were the three key features used in this analysis. The model was tweaked to accommodate nonlinear relationships, which are difficult to analyze usingtraditional linear regression approaches. This model was found to be fairly effective at estimating the residual value of used vehicles. Sun et al. [5] suggested using the optimized BP neural network algorithm to develop an online used car price assessment model. To maximize secret neurons, they developed a new optimization method called Like Block- Monte Carlo Method (LB-MCM). As compared to the non- optimized model, the result showed that the optimised model produced higher accuracy. Based on previous related works, we discovered that no one had yet used the random forest regression model to estimate the price of a used vehicle. As a result, we chose to use a random forest regression model to build a model for evaluating used car prices. METHODOLOGY: This section presents the research methodology The car dataset for this study was obtained from www.quikr.com. For each vehicle, the following information was gathered: make, model, seller type, kilometre’s driven, year of manufacture, fuel type, and price. A sample of the collected data is shown below in Table 1. Table I. Sample Data collection SI. no Car Name Year Selling Price Kms Driven Fuel Type Seller Type 1. Ritz 2014 3.35 27000 Petrol Dealer 2. Sx4 2013 4.75 43000 Diesel Dealer 3. Ciaz 2017 7.25 6900 Petrol Dealer 4. Wagon r 2011 2.85 5200 Petrol Dealer 5. Swift 2014 4.60 42450 Diesel Dealer 6. Vitara brezza 2018 9.25 2071 Diesel Dealer 7. S cross 2015 6.50 33429 Diesel Dealer 8. Ciaz 2016 8.75 20273 Diesel Dealer 9. City 2016 9.50 33988 Diesel Dealer 10. Brio 2015 4.00 600000 Petrol Dealer # Selling Price: In Lakhs Table II. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF NUMERICAL VARIABLES Attributes Mean Std Min Max Selling Price 4.661296 5.082812 0.100000 35.000000 Present Price 7.628472 8.644115 0.320000 35.000000 Kms Driven 36947.205980 38886.883882 500.000000 500000.000000 Owner 0.043189 0.247915 0.000000 3.000000 These datasets will contain a large amount of used car data, so they will most likely need some tuning and engineering. Duplicated, for example, the model output can be affected by observations, so they must be excluded beforehand. Each attribute requires some tweaking, according to the statistical details in Table II. The average price, in particular, was 4.661296, with a standard deviation of 5.082812. This suggested that the price values in the dataset are widely dispersed. In predictive statistics and machine learning, attributes with a high correlation coefficient have a greater effect on the prediction variable, although this is not always the case. The correlation coefficient is a statistical measure that defines the relationship between variables, as its name suggests. The correlation coefficient between two attributesisalwaysintherange of 1 (Positive relationship) to -1 (Negative relationship), while 0 indicates that there is no correlation at all.
  • 3. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD42421 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 4 | May-June 2021 Page 868 Fig I A correlation matrix of every attribute Price prediction: a comparative review This study uses the Scikit-learn machine learning library to implement multiple machine learning algorithms. The same training data is used to train each model, and the same testing data is used to evaluate it. In the following section, the results are compared and defined. The regression-based approach is reliable in predicting continuous variables in supervised machine learning. A single linear regression model, as shown in, is sufficient to predict Y, where Y is the dependent variable and X is the independent variable. The model will forecast the future value of Y by determining the Y-intercept and slope of the regression line plus noise. RESULT AND DISCUSSION: Using testing data as input to multiple linear regression and random forest regression, the following results are evaluated. The mean absolute error of multiple linear regression and random forest regression was compared using mean absolute error as a criterion. With an MAE of = 0.72, random forest regression produces the best results. It should be noted that MAE is a negative focused ranking, meaning the closer the value is to zero, the better the model prediction. Conclusion: The authors of this study performed a comparison of regression-based model results. The data for this study was scraped from a popular e-commerce site called Quikr and then processed using the Python programming language. As a consequence, there are 240 rows and 8 attributes in the final data. On that particular dataset, we usedmultiplelinear regression and random forest regression to test the results. The same testing data was used to assess and model. The mean absolute error is then used as a criterion for comparing the outcomes. With only MAE =0.72, random forest regression generated the best results. As a result, we came to the conclusion that using random forest regression trees to create the price evaluation model. This research can be used to improve future work by fine- tuning each model parameter. To generate better training data, more appropriate data engineering can be used. The models can also be used in real-life situations.
  • 4. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD42421 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 4 | May-June 2021 Page 869 References: [1] RICHARDSON, "Determinants of Used Car Resale Value," 2009. [2] Sadaqat, N. Kanwal and a. J., "Vehicle Price Prediction System using Machine Learning Techniques," International JournalofComputerApplications, pp.27- 31, 2017. [3] S. Peerun, N. H. Chummun and a. S. Pudaruth, "Predicting the Price of Second-hand Cars using Artificial Neural Networks," The Second International Conference on Data Mining, Internet Computing, and Big Data, pp. 17-21, 2015. [4] GONGGI, "New model for residual value prediction of used cars based on BP neural network and non-linear curve fit," International Conference on Measuring Technology and Mechatronics Automation (ICMTMA),, pp. 682-685, 2011. [5] N. Sun, H. Bai, Y. Geng and a. H. Shi, "Price evaluation model in second-hand car system based on BP neural network theory," International Conference on Software Engineering, Artificial Intelligence, Networking and Parallel/Distributed Computing (SNPD), pp. 431-36, 2017. [6] Monburinon, N. a. Chertchom, P. a. Kaewkiriya, T. a. Rungpheung, S. a. Buya, S. a.BoonpouandPitchayakit, "Prediction of prices for used car by using regression models," International Conference on Business and Industrial Research, no. IEEE, pp. 115-119, 2018. [7] Gegic, E. a. Isakovic, B. a. Keco, D. a. Masetic, Z. a. Kevric and Jasmin, "Car price prediction using machine learning techniques," TEM Journal, vol. 8, p. 113, 2019. [8] Sinha, S. a. Azim, R. a. Das and Sourav, "Linear Regression on Car Price Prediction," 2020. [9] Yang, R. R. a. Chen, S. a. Chou and Edward, Vehicle price prediction using visual features, 2018. [10] Kiran and S, "Prediction of Resale Value of the Car Using Linear Regression Algorithm," International Journal of InnovativeScience andResearchTechnology, vol. 5, no. 7, pp. 382-386, 2020.