Presentation by John Highbarger, McCombs School Business, University of Texas at Lost Creek Civic Organization Meeting on November 2, 2017.

1. THE FUTURE OF
TRANSPORTATION
Professor John Highbarger
The McCombs School of Business
The University of Texas at Austin

2. “The future is very hard to
predict, because it hasn't
happened yet.”
Yogi Berra

3. AUTONOMOUS
VEHICLE SERVICE
Autonomous Vehicle Service
Ride sharing with no driver
Multiple vehicle type options
Multi-rider, lower cost, options

4. DRIVERS DO
STUPID
THINGS
• Drive Impaired
• Drive Tired
• Can’t See
• Weak Driving Skill
• Lead Foot
• Run Lights
• Run Stop Signs

5. HUMANS HAVE LIMITED
SIGHT

6. HUMANS HAVE LIMITED
SIGHT
AUTONOMUS VEHICLES DO NOT

7. SAFETY
• IN 2016, 40,000 PEOPLE DIED IN DRIVER OPERATED
AUTOMOBILE CRASHES.
• THERE WERE 16,000,000 DRIVER DRIVEN AUTO
ACCIDENTS
• THESE CRASHES RESULTED IN $432 BILLION IN
LOSSES
• THERE WAS ONE AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE ACCIDENT,
RESULTING IN ONE DEATH
• THE CAUSE OF THE AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE ACCIDENT
WAS FIXED IN ALL SIMILAR CARS WITHIN 24 HOURS.

8. URBAN AREAS AND INTERSTATES
WILL BECOME AUTONOMOUS
SAFETY TRAFFIC
POLICE

9. • ON AVERAGE, OWNERSHIP AND OPERATION OF A
VEHICLE COSTS $9,122 PER YEAR
• THAT COMES OUT TO $0.61 PER MILE
• FOR AN AVERAGE CITY FIVE MILE TRIP, $3.05
• AN AUTONOMOUS SERVICE, USING ELECTRIC
VEHICLES CAN DO THAT FIVE MILE TRIP FOR $1.00
• WHY NOT?
AUTONOMOUS
SERVICE

10. AUTONOMOUS SERVICE
RIDE SHARING WITHOUT THE
DRIVER
DEDICATED CAR OR
MULTI-RIDER CAR
VEHICLE CHOICE

11. AUTONOMOUS SERVICE
VEHICLE CHOICE

12. COMMUTING DISTANCE
• CHEST = Continuous, High-speed, Elevated, Self-operating,
Transit
• Continuous - Departs within two minutes
• High-speed - Made minimum operating speed 90 mph
• Elevated - Operates on elevated tracks in existing right-of-
way
• Self-operating - No driver
• Transit - Public system available at low cost to all

13. IT COULD BE
SOMETHING
LIKE THIS
MOST LIKELY NOT
IT COULD BE
SOMETHING
LIKE THIS
OR SOMETHING
TOTALLY DIFFERENT

14. C.H.E.S.T.
• ELECTRIC
• POINT TO POINT BETWEEN POPULATION CENTERS
• LIMITED STOPS
• LIMITED TRANSFERS TO REACH ANY NODE IN THE
SYSTEM
• DESIGN/BUILD/RUN BY MAJOR TRANSPORTATION
COMPANY
• FINANCED BY MUNICIPAL REVENUE BONDS

15. RESULTS
LOCAL
TRAFFIC
FLOWS

16. QUESTIONS?