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Trends in Tourism and Outdoors




                      Walldorf, 08. Juni 2011




  Hamburg, 30. Mai 2012
From the society of obligation to LOHAS-Culture


1950s und 60s                    1970s und 80s                End 1990s

Society of
                                 Hedonism                     LOHAS
obligation



diligence                        lust                         experience
obligation      transformation   achievement transformation   engagement
family                           me                           friendship
devoutness                       material                     spirituality
fidelity                         eros                         authenticity
utility                          fun                          nature
Industrial Biography: 3 Phases




                          23                             60


    Childhood and Youth        Working- and Familylife        Retirement




                     Family
How we will live in the future:
From 3-phase-biographies to 6-phase biographies



                                                       Job 3
                                        Job 2
                         Job 1



  Childhood   Youth      Adolescence    Rush Hour   Second Breakup   Wisdom




                      Family 1         Family 2          Family 3




                  23                                60
Future of society: Indindividual lifestyles
class, social class, milieu, lifestyle




                                                                                                                +
social differentiation      multidimensional
                            two-dimensional

                            (social values
                            one-dimensional-hierarchich

                            (top vs. bottom)
                                                                                        lifestyles




                                                                social milieus


                                                    classes
                                                                                                          on/
                                                                                                     zati
                                       caste                                                    uali
                                                                                            ivid ization
                         estate                                                          Ind ern
                                                                                              d
                                                                                          mo

              –           traditional society     1950s       1980s              2000             2020
Inbetweens




> Entering job sphere and family life through contingency
> Oscilating between different part time jobs and ties and friendships
> Prolonged job-entering (labs, temporary jobs, project work, freelancer)
> Permanent social and geografical mobility
Forecasts 2020:
2,9 Mio. Inbetweens
Latte-Macchiato-Families – urban Hedonists with kids




> Modern, urban-lifestyle (Starbucks, Pizzaservice, Cocktailbar) plus family life
> Relatively young families, decision for family and urban lifestyle
> Amenities of big citys (mobility, culture, advanced consumerism)
> Unconventionel, alternative, but no consumer rebels
> Enviromentally conscious, high affinity to modern technology
> Focus on quality and design
Forecast 2020:
2,6 Mio. Latte-Macchiato-People
Tribal Family 2.0: Increasing
       share of people in the U.S.
       and in western europe are
       living in more-generational
       families
30 %
       24,7


  20


                                      16,7
  10



   0
  1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 2090 2000 2009
Very-Important-Baby-Families (VIBS) –
Megaproject Child




> Child-focused
> Heavily investing into the future of child and family
> Well established in job and society
> Child as follow-up project of establishment in job, planned child
> High standard of formal education, educated class: Bildungsbürger
Forecast 2020:
2,4 Millionen VIB-Parents
Super-Daddy – family orientated men

> Family life, based on true partnership
> Fragmented Careers
> Big Picture: Sucess in job, happiness, sharing quality time with children,
  sound family life, individual self-fulfillment –
  daily feeling of excessive demands
Forecast 2020:
3,8 Mio. Super-Daddys
Greyhopper – Have fun with 71


> independent, autonomy seeking
> responsibility
> Seniority and spiritual and physical challenges are no antagonists
> Second upraise
Forecast 2020:
6,1 Mio. Greyhopper
We are switching from
                 knee-breeches to modern
                 outdoor-culture




Hiking in Baiersbronn as it was conceived in
the 70s: Nature is a postcard
Outdoor-Kitchen, Design-Fireplaces: artepuro
 From Campingground-Amusement to noble Highend-Lifestyle
Neo-Nature and Fashion: A big Hype in the USA: „Be
glam, live green!“

www.myecoself.blogspot.com,
www.prettybynature.com,
www.greenmystyle.com,
http://stylesavestheworld.blogspot.com,
http://thegreenlifestyle.blogspot.com,
http://hautenature.blogspot.com
Nature as rooms of deceleration




                   >> In contrast to one-
                     dimensional everyday life

                   >> Share of people between 20-
                     to 29-years who prefer hiking
                     has doubled in the last 2
                     years
Natur as Outdoor-Cocooning: „Being outdoors at
home“

>> Nature is becoming a place to be AND a Livingroom.
   That means in the mass culture of the 21. century: We
   want to get into contact with nature in the same way
   as we are putting on our slippers.
>> Western Europe: revenues outdoor-articles: 5,5 billion
   euro.
>> Jack Wolfskin: Revenues in europe: 304 million euros,
   tripled 3 years.
Learning from Nature, enjoying Nature
Glamping, Camping 2.0
Urban Camping as work of art
Tipis and Bohemian Bivouacs
Re-Discovering Nature
Spirituality and Luxury
Mental Journey
Holidays as religious adventure
Adventure - Tourism - Medicine - Well being
Wellness Camping, Family Wellness
Pilgrimage in the mud
The future of traveling
Vielen Dank!

Besuchen Sie uns:
Institut für Trend- und Zukunftsforschung (ITZ)
Heidelberg und Hamburg
www.zukunftpassiert.de
Alter Wall 24-36
20457 Hamburg
Telefon +49 (0)40 3344152 20

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Institute für Trend- und Zukunftsforschung (IZT)

  • 1. Trends in Tourism and Outdoors Walldorf, 08. Juni 2011 Hamburg, 30. Mai 2012
  • 2.
  • 3. From the society of obligation to LOHAS-Culture 1950s und 60s 1970s und 80s End 1990s Society of Hedonism LOHAS obligation diligence lust experience obligation transformation achievement transformation engagement family me friendship devoutness material spirituality fidelity eros authenticity utility fun nature
  • 4. Industrial Biography: 3 Phases 23 60 Childhood and Youth Working- and Familylife Retirement Family
  • 5. How we will live in the future: From 3-phase-biographies to 6-phase biographies Job 3 Job 2 Job 1 Childhood Youth Adolescence Rush Hour Second Breakup Wisdom Family 1 Family 2 Family 3 23 60
  • 6. Future of society: Indindividual lifestyles class, social class, milieu, lifestyle + social differentiation multidimensional two-dimensional (social values one-dimensional-hierarchich (top vs. bottom) lifestyles social milieus classes on/ zati caste uali ivid ization estate Ind ern d mo – traditional society 1950s 1980s 2000 2020
  • 7. Inbetweens > Entering job sphere and family life through contingency > Oscilating between different part time jobs and ties and friendships > Prolonged job-entering (labs, temporary jobs, project work, freelancer) > Permanent social and geografical mobility
  • 9. Latte-Macchiato-Families – urban Hedonists with kids > Modern, urban-lifestyle (Starbucks, Pizzaservice, Cocktailbar) plus family life > Relatively young families, decision for family and urban lifestyle > Amenities of big citys (mobility, culture, advanced consumerism) > Unconventionel, alternative, but no consumer rebels > Enviromentally conscious, high affinity to modern technology > Focus on quality and design
  • 10. Forecast 2020: 2,6 Mio. Latte-Macchiato-People
  • 11. Tribal Family 2.0: Increasing share of people in the U.S. and in western europe are living in more-generational families 30 % 24,7 20 16,7 10 0 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 2090 2000 2009
  • 12. Very-Important-Baby-Families (VIBS) – Megaproject Child > Child-focused > Heavily investing into the future of child and family > Well established in job and society > Child as follow-up project of establishment in job, planned child > High standard of formal education, educated class: Bildungsbürger
  • 14. Super-Daddy – family orientated men > Family life, based on true partnership > Fragmented Careers > Big Picture: Sucess in job, happiness, sharing quality time with children, sound family life, individual self-fulfillment – daily feeling of excessive demands
  • 15. Forecast 2020: 3,8 Mio. Super-Daddys
  • 16. Greyhopper – Have fun with 71 > independent, autonomy seeking > responsibility > Seniority and spiritual and physical challenges are no antagonists > Second upraise
  • 18. We are switching from knee-breeches to modern outdoor-culture Hiking in Baiersbronn as it was conceived in the 70s: Nature is a postcard
  • 19. Outdoor-Kitchen, Design-Fireplaces: artepuro From Campingground-Amusement to noble Highend-Lifestyle
  • 20. Neo-Nature and Fashion: A big Hype in the USA: „Be glam, live green!“ www.myecoself.blogspot.com, www.prettybynature.com, www.greenmystyle.com, http://stylesavestheworld.blogspot.com, http://thegreenlifestyle.blogspot.com, http://hautenature.blogspot.com
  • 21. Nature as rooms of deceleration >> In contrast to one- dimensional everyday life >> Share of people between 20- to 29-years who prefer hiking has doubled in the last 2 years
  • 22. Natur as Outdoor-Cocooning: „Being outdoors at home“ >> Nature is becoming a place to be AND a Livingroom. That means in the mass culture of the 21. century: We want to get into contact with nature in the same way as we are putting on our slippers. >> Western Europe: revenues outdoor-articles: 5,5 billion euro. >> Jack Wolfskin: Revenues in europe: 304 million euros, tripled 3 years.
  • 23. Learning from Nature, enjoying Nature
  • 25. Urban Camping as work of art
  • 26. Tipis and Bohemian Bivouacs
  • 28.
  • 32. Adventure - Tourism - Medicine - Well being
  • 35. The future of traveling
  • 36.
  • 37. Vielen Dank! Besuchen Sie uns: Institut für Trend- und Zukunftsforschung (ITZ) Heidelberg und Hamburg www.zukunftpassiert.de Alter Wall 24-36 20457 Hamburg Telefon +49 (0)40 3344152 20