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Making Telecoms the Essential
Spice of Every Business
Ecosystem: The Slow, Painful
Rise of APIs in Telecoms




6th SDP Asia Summit
27-30 March 2012 Singapore
www.alanquayle.com/blog
                             © 2012 Alan Quayle Business and Service Development
Structure
 •   Fundamental Misconceptions
     o   Its about Business not Technology
     o   Its across the Tail, not the Long Tail


 •   Why Service Exposure matters
     o   Quantifying the opportunity
     o   Why all businesses are moving to APIs
     o   Understanding the Telecom situation


 •   BlueVia Case Study

 •   Verizon Case Study

 •   Key Points
Fundamental Misconceptions:
Its about Business not Technology

                      Go to Market


                      Services Wrap


                 Services Exposure / APIs

                         Network
                                            Developer
                       Capabilities /
                                             Support
                         Services
Fundamental Misconceptions:
Its Across the Tail, not the long Tail


Internal Innovation:
Eat your own dog food


                       Partner Innovation:
            System Integrators / Content Partners


                                                    Long Tail /
                                             Emerging Partner /
                                             Unknown Developer
Telco APIs are at least a $115B per annum Business
    by 2015
•   Payments API (digital Goods) $2B (assumes a competitive fee of just 10%)
•   Presence / Location $4.5B (note assumes a solutions based approach not just raw API revenues)
•   Long tail messaging $3B (ignore short tail as aggregators do that today and internal operator politics will
    limit what can be addressed with the messaging API)
•   Voice Call Control $40B
•   Multimedia Call Control $2B
•   Advertising API $7.5B
                                                       Note this is significantly backed off the
•   Hosted Unified Communications $1B
                                                         analysis I did back in 2005 (its one
•   Directory $2.6B
                                                       third the size), as operators are late to
•   Machine to Machine $1.5B
                                                          market, many opportunities have
•   Number Provisioning $4 to $9B
                                                       significant reduced due to the entry of
•   USSD API $14B (developing markets)
                                                      freemium, web-based and device-based
•   Billing non-digital goods $24B                                business models…
•   Collaboration $1B
•   Content Delivery $1B
•   IVR / Voice Store / other voice related VAS $2B
Open APIs: Why bother?
 • Make money
      – 60% of all listings on eBay.com added via their APIs

 • Save money
      – SmugMug saves > $500K/year with Amazon S3
        Storage

 • Build brand
      – Google Maps 300% growth vs 20% MapQuest

 • Move to the cloud
      – Over 80% of all transactions via their API

 • Go anywhere
      – Netflix now available on over 250 devices
Cloud, TV, multi-devices support, communications, messaging, etc. are all now delivered through
APIs. To remain relevant and not be bypassed a comprehensive API strategy is essential to Telcos’
      6      survival. Note Telcos were working on API exposure back in the ’90s.
Top 15 API Markets




  7   Telco APIs are relevant, APIs are not just a “Web 2.0” thing
API Billionaires Club

          28 billion API calls / month (Jan 2012)
          11 billion API calls / day    (Feb 2012)


          19 billion API calls / day    (Dec 2011)


          14 billion API calls / day    (Nov 2011)


          12 billion API calls / month (Dec 2011)
          5 billion API calls / month (Nov 2011)
          2 billion API-delivered stories / month (Dec 2011)
          Over 80% of all traffic via API (Jan 2012)
          Over 500 billion objects stored in S3 (Jan 2012)

 8
“Why are you inventing APIs available
  in most mobile SDKs? What is the
  point? Why would any developer
 want to restrict their apps to a single
  operator when they only need to
     restrict to single platform.”
source developer response to 2011 API
                 survey
 The market is confused about operator APIs, non-operator APIs are moving fast, and there is
      much prejudice against operators for the sins of the past. Partnering is essential!
     9
Some Developer Quotes from 2009

          We have spent 18 months                They (Orange Partner) select what
       working with Orange Partner                apps their customers see! How is
         and achieved nothing. Its               that a developer community? Isn’t
        simpler to directly go to the               it the customer that decides;
         relevant product manager                haven’t they learnt even the basics
                                                             from Apple!


                 AT&T and Verizon’s developer communities are
                 broken. We’re no longer engaged, we’ve focused
                 our development efforts on iPhone, Android and
                   Ovi because there is a clear path to cash (the
                                   customer).


           An ADC is a large                                Operators’ ADCs must
        undertaking, Operators                            solve the 4 key challenges
       must resource adequately                               facing developers:
       to not repeat the problems                          distribution, discovery,
               of the past.                               predictable process, and a
                                                          clear way to make money

  10
Some Developer Quotes from 2011
            Even though we have direct
           operator SMS connections we                   I’d assumed WAC had finally
             work through other SMS                    died/been put out of its misery...
           aggregators as its simply too              Have not really followed much of
               difficult to work with                 what they are trying to do. Recall
                     operators.                       it was some attempt to allow web
                                                        developers to get some mickey
                                                       mouse apps on a phone cos app
                      LBS
                      Developer
                                                         stores didn't really help that
                                                                    group.
LATAM
Developer                                                                       Games
                   We no longer waste our time with operators.                  Developer
                  Apple and Android have created direct access
                   to a large engaged customer base of 200M+
                  customers. Operators’ stores are fragmented,
                  with unengaged customers, unreasonable rev
                     shares, they don’t keep promises, and are
                          simply too difficult to work with.


       Plus these guys are also your customers which doesn’t do you any favors!
      11
General Developers’
      Perspective of the
          Initiatives
      + they only really
       need 2 things…



12
A Large Engaged Customer Base
Apple + Android >300M customers




13
A Clear Path to Cash


                           $$$


 Note the big brands, e.g. FT, already have these so can use
additional mechanisms such as the high street, web, TV, etc.
  14
Telecom API Myths
APIs are ONLY a method to deliver a service,
  it’s a bit of technology, its irrelevant to the buyers.
   The focus has to be on the service (solution to a
 business problem), e.g. the Mobile Payment Service.
When your brand is on an F1 car, the product does not
      need to be sold, its brand is marketed.
   Operators are marketing not sales machines.
Put Simply

•   Telcos need partners to sell services (business solutions) delivered
    through APIs.
    o   Verizon and Telenor both achieved success through partnering.
    o   Telcos have little experience in business development and competitive sales
        processes where customer inaction is the dominant state.


•   An API is just a piece of technology to deliver a service which solves a
    business problem.
    o   Focus on the business problems your APIs can economically solve with your
        partners.
    o   Focus where Telcos are strong: Communications and Billing.


•   API standards are NOT necessary for API launch.
    o   Focus on what works and copy that, like every over industry.
BlueVia takes a Different Approach

•   BlueVia is based on the learning from O2 Litmus and Open Telefonica.
    o   O2 / BTCellnet’s history of developer communities stems back over 10 years
•   Undertaken extensive developer surveys and listened to the many developer
    frustrations
    o   Developers were pushed to Apple and Android after operators raised expectations then
        abandoned developers in the previous 7 years
    o   BlueVia’s model should be part of every operators business model options
•   BlueVia makes several critical assumptions
    o   Customers pay for APIs and developers share in the stimulated revenue (traffic and / or
        advertising), this enables Telefonica to claim they pay developers to use their APIs!
    o   APIs can be used across apps, web pages or business processes, Telefonica does not
        expect applications to go into the Telefonica app store
•   Clear differentiation from other operator initiatives
BlueVia Principles

•   Global developer platform (not community) that helps take apps,
    web services and ideas to market
•   Built on four principles
    o   Scale
    o   Tools
    o   Business Models
    o   Path to Market
•   Web standards: Oauth, REST
•   Zero financial risk to developer
•   Low friction, plug and play
Keys to BlueVia’s Success

•   Open and honest approach to the market recognizing the challenge
    operator APIs have in being relevant to developers; and


•   Willingness to experiment and explore new technologies and
    business models to meet developers’ needs.
23
     2011 Alan Quayle
Case Study: Location Enhanced Call Center
•    Helping callers even when they don’t know where they are to reduce costly dispatch
     mistakes and to substantially reduce the costs of customer service time by reducing service
     call duration.
•    Automatically routing calls made to a central number to the local point of sale to leverage
     the personal service from local stores and franchises to close more sales and deliver better
     service.
•    Reducing the hassle and time in
     answering the question
     “Where are you?” to realize
     operator cost savings and
     improve customer satisfaction.




     24
Case Study: Location Enhanced Call Center

•    Technocom (Aggregator) has integrated Verizon’s location and messaging APIs
     into its Location‐enhanced Call Center and IVR Services
•    FleetNet America, Inc. (www.fleetnetamerica.com), a third-party vendor
     management company that coordinates emergency roadside assistance and
     maintenance management for all types of commercial equipment.
     o   When someone breaks down and calls roadside assistance, the IVR will confirm it’s OK
         to get the person’s location for only this call.
     o   As the agent has the location information, time is saved and human error is removed.
     o   Then when the truck is scheduled, an SMS is sent to the person with the truck’s
         estimated arrive time and contact information, which again saves call center agent time.
     o   The savings enabled by the location and messaging API can be in the order of tens of
         dollars, so the API charges are negligible.




25
Keys to Verizon’s Success

•   Partners such as Technocom and Loc-aid translate the APIs into
    business solutions for enterprise customers; and


•   Verizon has implemented a privacy framework that put the
    customer in control of their information, yet is easy to use by its
    partners creating a slick privacy experience.
Overall Points

•   Its about partnering and business development – rare skills in an
    operator


•   You do not want nor need a developer community


•   Standards do not matter – follow the current OneAPI activity not
    OMA and copy others’ success


•   Talk to other operators – we need to work together on making
    business happen not grandiose standards activities

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Making Telecoms the Essential Spice of Every Business Ecosystem: The Slow, Painful Rise of APIs in Telecoms. SDP Asia 2012

  • 1. Making Telecoms the Essential Spice of Every Business Ecosystem: The Slow, Painful Rise of APIs in Telecoms 6th SDP Asia Summit 27-30 March 2012 Singapore www.alanquayle.com/blog © 2012 Alan Quayle Business and Service Development
  • 2. Structure • Fundamental Misconceptions o Its about Business not Technology o Its across the Tail, not the Long Tail • Why Service Exposure matters o Quantifying the opportunity o Why all businesses are moving to APIs o Understanding the Telecom situation • BlueVia Case Study • Verizon Case Study • Key Points
  • 3. Fundamental Misconceptions: Its about Business not Technology Go to Market Services Wrap Services Exposure / APIs Network Developer Capabilities / Support Services
  • 4. Fundamental Misconceptions: Its Across the Tail, not the long Tail Internal Innovation: Eat your own dog food Partner Innovation: System Integrators / Content Partners Long Tail / Emerging Partner / Unknown Developer
  • 5. Telco APIs are at least a $115B per annum Business by 2015 • Payments API (digital Goods) $2B (assumes a competitive fee of just 10%) • Presence / Location $4.5B (note assumes a solutions based approach not just raw API revenues) • Long tail messaging $3B (ignore short tail as aggregators do that today and internal operator politics will limit what can be addressed with the messaging API) • Voice Call Control $40B • Multimedia Call Control $2B • Advertising API $7.5B Note this is significantly backed off the • Hosted Unified Communications $1B analysis I did back in 2005 (its one • Directory $2.6B third the size), as operators are late to • Machine to Machine $1.5B market, many opportunities have • Number Provisioning $4 to $9B significant reduced due to the entry of • USSD API $14B (developing markets) freemium, web-based and device-based • Billing non-digital goods $24B business models… • Collaboration $1B • Content Delivery $1B • IVR / Voice Store / other voice related VAS $2B
  • 6. Open APIs: Why bother? • Make money – 60% of all listings on eBay.com added via their APIs • Save money – SmugMug saves > $500K/year with Amazon S3 Storage • Build brand – Google Maps 300% growth vs 20% MapQuest • Move to the cloud – Over 80% of all transactions via their API • Go anywhere – Netflix now available on over 250 devices Cloud, TV, multi-devices support, communications, messaging, etc. are all now delivered through APIs. To remain relevant and not be bypassed a comprehensive API strategy is essential to Telcos’ 6 survival. Note Telcos were working on API exposure back in the ’90s.
  • 7. Top 15 API Markets 7 Telco APIs are relevant, APIs are not just a “Web 2.0” thing
  • 8. API Billionaires Club 28 billion API calls / month (Jan 2012) 11 billion API calls / day (Feb 2012) 19 billion API calls / day (Dec 2011) 14 billion API calls / day (Nov 2011) 12 billion API calls / month (Dec 2011) 5 billion API calls / month (Nov 2011) 2 billion API-delivered stories / month (Dec 2011) Over 80% of all traffic via API (Jan 2012) Over 500 billion objects stored in S3 (Jan 2012) 8
  • 9. “Why are you inventing APIs available in most mobile SDKs? What is the point? Why would any developer want to restrict their apps to a single operator when they only need to restrict to single platform.” source developer response to 2011 API survey The market is confused about operator APIs, non-operator APIs are moving fast, and there is much prejudice against operators for the sins of the past. Partnering is essential! 9
  • 10. Some Developer Quotes from 2009 We have spent 18 months They (Orange Partner) select what working with Orange Partner apps their customers see! How is and achieved nothing. Its that a developer community? Isn’t simpler to directly go to the it the customer that decides; relevant product manager haven’t they learnt even the basics from Apple! AT&T and Verizon’s developer communities are broken. We’re no longer engaged, we’ve focused our development efforts on iPhone, Android and Ovi because there is a clear path to cash (the customer). An ADC is a large Operators’ ADCs must undertaking, Operators solve the 4 key challenges must resource adequately facing developers: to not repeat the problems distribution, discovery, of the past. predictable process, and a clear way to make money 10
  • 11. Some Developer Quotes from 2011 Even though we have direct operator SMS connections we I’d assumed WAC had finally work through other SMS died/been put out of its misery... aggregators as its simply too Have not really followed much of difficult to work with what they are trying to do. Recall operators. it was some attempt to allow web developers to get some mickey mouse apps on a phone cos app LBS Developer stores didn't really help that group. LATAM Developer Games We no longer waste our time with operators. Developer Apple and Android have created direct access to a large engaged customer base of 200M+ customers. Operators’ stores are fragmented, with unengaged customers, unreasonable rev shares, they don’t keep promises, and are simply too difficult to work with. Plus these guys are also your customers which doesn’t do you any favors! 11
  • 12. General Developers’ Perspective of the Initiatives + they only really need 2 things… 12
  • 13. A Large Engaged Customer Base Apple + Android >300M customers 13
  • 14. A Clear Path to Cash $$$ Note the big brands, e.g. FT, already have these so can use additional mechanisms such as the high street, web, TV, etc. 14
  • 16. APIs are ONLY a method to deliver a service, it’s a bit of technology, its irrelevant to the buyers. The focus has to be on the service (solution to a business problem), e.g. the Mobile Payment Service. When your brand is on an F1 car, the product does not need to be sold, its brand is marketed. Operators are marketing not sales machines.
  • 17. Put Simply • Telcos need partners to sell services (business solutions) delivered through APIs. o Verizon and Telenor both achieved success through partnering. o Telcos have little experience in business development and competitive sales processes where customer inaction is the dominant state. • An API is just a piece of technology to deliver a service which solves a business problem. o Focus on the business problems your APIs can economically solve with your partners. o Focus where Telcos are strong: Communications and Billing. • API standards are NOT necessary for API launch. o Focus on what works and copy that, like every over industry.
  • 18.
  • 19. BlueVia takes a Different Approach • BlueVia is based on the learning from O2 Litmus and Open Telefonica. o O2 / BTCellnet’s history of developer communities stems back over 10 years • Undertaken extensive developer surveys and listened to the many developer frustrations o Developers were pushed to Apple and Android after operators raised expectations then abandoned developers in the previous 7 years o BlueVia’s model should be part of every operators business model options • BlueVia makes several critical assumptions o Customers pay for APIs and developers share in the stimulated revenue (traffic and / or advertising), this enables Telefonica to claim they pay developers to use their APIs! o APIs can be used across apps, web pages or business processes, Telefonica does not expect applications to go into the Telefonica app store • Clear differentiation from other operator initiatives
  • 20. BlueVia Principles • Global developer platform (not community) that helps take apps, web services and ideas to market • Built on four principles o Scale o Tools o Business Models o Path to Market • Web standards: Oauth, REST • Zero financial risk to developer • Low friction, plug and play
  • 21.
  • 22. Keys to BlueVia’s Success • Open and honest approach to the market recognizing the challenge operator APIs have in being relevant to developers; and • Willingness to experiment and explore new technologies and business models to meet developers’ needs.
  • 23. 23 2011 Alan Quayle
  • 24. Case Study: Location Enhanced Call Center • Helping callers even when they don’t know where they are to reduce costly dispatch mistakes and to substantially reduce the costs of customer service time by reducing service call duration. • Automatically routing calls made to a central number to the local point of sale to leverage the personal service from local stores and franchises to close more sales and deliver better service. • Reducing the hassle and time in answering the question “Where are you?” to realize operator cost savings and improve customer satisfaction. 24
  • 25. Case Study: Location Enhanced Call Center • Technocom (Aggregator) has integrated Verizon’s location and messaging APIs into its Location‐enhanced Call Center and IVR Services • FleetNet America, Inc. (www.fleetnetamerica.com), a third-party vendor management company that coordinates emergency roadside assistance and maintenance management for all types of commercial equipment. o When someone breaks down and calls roadside assistance, the IVR will confirm it’s OK to get the person’s location for only this call. o As the agent has the location information, time is saved and human error is removed. o Then when the truck is scheduled, an SMS is sent to the person with the truck’s estimated arrive time and contact information, which again saves call center agent time. o The savings enabled by the location and messaging API can be in the order of tens of dollars, so the API charges are negligible. 25
  • 26. Keys to Verizon’s Success • Partners such as Technocom and Loc-aid translate the APIs into business solutions for enterprise customers; and • Verizon has implemented a privacy framework that put the customer in control of their information, yet is easy to use by its partners creating a slick privacy experience.
  • 27. Overall Points • Its about partnering and business development – rare skills in an operator • You do not want nor need a developer community • Standards do not matter – follow the current OneAPI activity not OMA and copy others’ success • Talk to other operators – we need to work together on making business happen not grandiose standards activities