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Understanding Climate Change


                        Jitesh Panda
  Vrutti livelihoods Resource Centre
                          29th Oct’07
It is all about……
Increase or Decrease in Temperature
Increase or Decrease in Rainfall
Rise in Sea level


             Expected to happen slowly;
  Scientists estimates, that it is already happening
Increase in Temperature…..
Would result in…
 Present housing designs unsuitable to stay
 More evapo-transpiration
  – Some crops cannot be grown
  – More requirement for Irrigation
  – Finally, drought
 Glaciers would melt leading to flooding of
 rivers flowing from Glacier belts
Decrease in Temperature…
Would also result in…
 Unsuitability of present design of
 houses to stay
 Some crops will not grow
Increase in Rainfall….
Would result in flooding in low lying
areas leading to:
– Loss of crop
– Loss of life
– Loss of property
Decrease in Rainfall….
Would result in drought leading to …
 Loss of Crop
 Loss of Livelihoods
 Finally, loss of life
Rise in Sea level….
Would lead to flooding of coastal
areas…
Loss of Life
Loss of Property
Loss of Crop
Who are going to be affected….
Those who ….
  Stay in vulnerable (disaster prone) places
  Depend on Agriculture
  Reside in unsafe houses

They are….
  Poor
  Vulnerable
  Small and Marginal Farmers
  Agriculture Wage Earners
                        However,
Climate Change would not distinguish between rich and poor;
                Rich would also be affected
Is it any thing new….???
We are used to managing…
 Flood
 Drought
 Cyclone

It is right…but now…it would be:
  More frequent AND
  Even permanent
      Resulting in Agrarian Crises – No Food;
       Finally affecting Human Civilization
Are We doing anything about it???
More Confusion than Clarity
We are lost in….
 Arguing each other, if Climate Change is going to
 happen AND
 Relating everything in day to day life to Climate
 Change

So far We are….
  More searching for reason/cause for Climate
  Change THAN getting prepared to face it
  Implication of Climate Change is seen more from
  technical perspective THAN social perspective
  More searching for Macro solutions (like Carbon
  Trading) THAN local solutions
Need for holistic interventions…




              Prevention
             Preparedness
              Adaptation
Way forward…
Prevention through….less emission of
green house gases
Preparedness through overall
disaster risk reduction….
mainstreaming to on going
Livelihood Promotion Efforts
Adaptation…..Living with disasters…
change in design of houses, Flood
and Drought Management
Should we still believe Climate Change….

Some of us have started feeling that…

  Recurrence of frequent drought
  Heat wave
  Frequent Cyclone
  Water logging (Flood) in cities like Mumbai
  Heavy rainfall for few days followed with dry spell
  Merging of seasons – no major distinction
  between seasons
  Short winter season

Are nothing BUT symptoms of Climate Change
It is up to us…

Should We Wait OR Act ?


                          thank u

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Understanding Climate Change 291007

  • 1. Understanding Climate Change Jitesh Panda Vrutti livelihoods Resource Centre 29th Oct’07
  • 2. It is all about…… Increase or Decrease in Temperature Increase or Decrease in Rainfall Rise in Sea level Expected to happen slowly; Scientists estimates, that it is already happening
  • 3. Increase in Temperature….. Would result in… Present housing designs unsuitable to stay More evapo-transpiration – Some crops cannot be grown – More requirement for Irrigation – Finally, drought Glaciers would melt leading to flooding of rivers flowing from Glacier belts
  • 4. Decrease in Temperature… Would also result in… Unsuitability of present design of houses to stay Some crops will not grow
  • 5. Increase in Rainfall…. Would result in flooding in low lying areas leading to: – Loss of crop – Loss of life – Loss of property
  • 6. Decrease in Rainfall…. Would result in drought leading to … Loss of Crop Loss of Livelihoods Finally, loss of life
  • 7. Rise in Sea level…. Would lead to flooding of coastal areas… Loss of Life Loss of Property Loss of Crop
  • 8. Who are going to be affected…. Those who …. Stay in vulnerable (disaster prone) places Depend on Agriculture Reside in unsafe houses They are…. Poor Vulnerable Small and Marginal Farmers Agriculture Wage Earners However, Climate Change would not distinguish between rich and poor; Rich would also be affected
  • 9. Is it any thing new….??? We are used to managing… Flood Drought Cyclone It is right…but now…it would be: More frequent AND Even permanent Resulting in Agrarian Crises – No Food; Finally affecting Human Civilization
  • 10. Are We doing anything about it???
  • 11. More Confusion than Clarity We are lost in…. Arguing each other, if Climate Change is going to happen AND Relating everything in day to day life to Climate Change So far We are…. More searching for reason/cause for Climate Change THAN getting prepared to face it Implication of Climate Change is seen more from technical perspective THAN social perspective More searching for Macro solutions (like Carbon Trading) THAN local solutions
  • 12. Need for holistic interventions… Prevention Preparedness Adaptation
  • 13. Way forward… Prevention through….less emission of green house gases Preparedness through overall disaster risk reduction…. mainstreaming to on going Livelihood Promotion Efforts Adaptation…..Living with disasters… change in design of houses, Flood and Drought Management
  • 14. Should we still believe Climate Change…. Some of us have started feeling that… Recurrence of frequent drought Heat wave Frequent Cyclone Water logging (Flood) in cities like Mumbai Heavy rainfall for few days followed with dry spell Merging of seasons – no major distinction between seasons Short winter season Are nothing BUT symptoms of Climate Change
  • 15. It is up to us… Should We Wait OR Act ? thank u