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Karim	
  Keshavjee,	
  MSc,	
  MD,	
  MBA,	
  CCFP,	
  CPHIMS-­‐CA	
  
ITCH	
  2017	
  	
  Feb	
  19,	
  2017	
  
Victoria,	
  BC	
  
¡  EHRs	
  have	
  pretty	
  much	
  failed	
  all	
  
over	
  the	
  world	
  	
  
(I’m	
  talking	
  about	
  centralized	
  
medical	
  records,	
  not	
  American	
  
physician	
  medical	
  records)	
  
¡  Why?	
  
¡  There	
  are	
  a	
  thousand	
  reasons,	
  but	
  
the	
  #1	
  reason	
  
Our	
  collective	
  hypotheses	
  about	
  
EHRs	
  are	
  incorrect	
  
Doctors	
  need	
  data	
  to	
  look	
  after	
  patients	
  (duh!)	
  
If	
  we	
  give	
  data	
  to	
  them	
  faster,	
  patients	
  will	
  get	
  better	
  faster	
  
	
  
(The	
  “Replace	
  Postal	
  Service”	
  Hypothesis	
  of	
  Better	
  Care)	
  
	
  
Let’s	
  also	
  make	
  it	
  Machine	
  Readable	
  so	
  Computers	
  can	
  double-­‐guess	
  the	
  doctors!	
  
¡  It	
  may	
  be	
  true	
  (unproven)	
  
¡  But	
  solving	
  this	
  problem	
  has	
  
NOT	
  created	
  enough	
  value	
  to	
  
justify	
  the	
  costs	
  
¡  The	
  experiences	
  of	
  the	
  
Health	
  Information	
  
Exchanges	
  (HIEs)	
  in	
  the	
  US	
  
bears	
  this	
  out	
  
§  HIEs	
  are	
  purer	
  versions	
  of	
  the	
  
“Replace	
  Postal	
  Service”	
  with	
  a	
  
lower	
  cost	
  structure	
  than	
  EHRs	
  
§  They	
  have	
  also	
  failed	
  
¡  HL7	
  and	
  Interoperability	
  are	
  
also	
  massive	
  failures	
  –they	
  
are	
  also	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  RPS	
  
hypothesis	
  
¡  We	
  should	
  be	
  identifying	
  and	
  testing	
  multiple	
  
hypotheses	
  as	
  we	
  move	
  forward	
  
¡  But	
  how	
  will	
  we	
  know	
  which	
  one	
  is	
  the	
  right	
  one?	
  
¡  Easy!	
  
¡  Humans	
  and	
  systems	
  are	
  good	
  at	
  identifying	
  value	
  
and	
  embrace	
  it	
  quickly	
  
§  Christoph	
  Lehmann	
  pointed	
  this	
  out	
  nicely	
  in	
  his	
  Keynote:	
  
When	
  IT	
  goes	
  ‘Viral’,	
  you	
  know	
  you’re	
  onto	
  something	
  
¡  What	
  we	
  need	
  to	
  do	
  is	
  try	
  out	
  a	
  bunch	
  of	
  alternative	
  
ideas	
  and	
  see	
  what	
  works	
  
§  But….where	
  should	
  we	
  look	
  for	
  better	
  ideas?	
  
Research	
  
Study	
  
Research	
  Study	
  
Synthesis	
  
Researchers 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Academics	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Clinician-­‐Scientists	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Clinicians	
   	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Patients	
  	
  
Guidelines	
  
The	
  Healthcare	
  Value	
  Chain	
  
¡  The	
  steps	
  along	
  the	
  way	
  by	
  which	
  we	
  add	
  
value	
  to	
  raw	
  materials	
  
¡  In	
  the	
  Automotive	
  Industry,	
  they	
  take	
  iron	
  
from	
  holes	
  in	
  the	
  ground	
  and	
  make	
  nice	
  shiny	
  
cars	
  which	
  you	
  can	
  buy	
  from	
  your	
  local	
  
neighborhood	
  dealer	
  
§  They	
  don’t	
  make	
  you	
  go	
  to	
  Northern	
  Ontario	
  to	
  
dig	
  up	
  the	
  iron	
  and	
  smelt	
  it	
  yourself	
  
¡  In	
  healthcare,	
  we	
  discover	
  new	
  facts	
  and	
  
treatments	
  that	
  we	
  can	
  deliver	
  to	
  patients	
  
¡  There	
  are	
  many	
  stakeholders	
  in	
  the	
  
healthcare	
  system	
  who	
  ADD	
  value	
  to	
  the	
  
system	
  
¡  When	
  they’re	
  left	
  out	
  of	
  the	
  IT	
  equation,	
  real	
  
value	
  cannot	
  be	
  created	
  
Stakeholders	
  
Researchers	
  
&	
  Academics	
  
Providers	
  
Patients	
  
Ministries	
  of	
  
Health	
  
Systems	
  
Implementers	
  
Guideline	
  
Implementers	
  
Vendors	
  
¡  Lowering	
  the	
  costs	
  of	
  providing	
  healthcare	
  through:	
  
¡  Predictive	
  analytics	
  –to	
  provide	
  care	
  that	
  matters	
  to	
  
patients	
  and	
  to	
  allocate	
  resources	
  better	
  
§  Everyone	
  agrees	
  there’s	
  lots	
  of	
  waste	
  in	
  the	
  system,	
  but	
  
nobody	
  knows	
  where	
  it	
  is!	
  
§  Will	
  need	
  researchers	
  and	
  data	
  scientists	
  to	
  identify	
  waste	
  
§  More	
  than	
  anything,	
  we	
  need	
  better	
  measurements	
  of	
  
“What	
  is”	
  
§  That’s	
  what	
  impressed	
  me	
  most	
  about	
  Christoph	
  
Lehmann’s	
  presentation	
  –not	
  his	
  great	
  inventions,	
  but	
  the	
  
fact	
  that	
  he	
  had	
  such	
  great	
  granular	
  data	
  
¡  Shared	
  data	
  for	
  coordinated	
  care	
  
§  Virtualization	
  of	
  care	
  beyond	
  bricks	
  and	
  mortar	
  
¡  Increased	
  patient	
  empowerment,	
  access	
  and	
  
control	
  (mobile	
  apps,	
  block	
  chain)	
  
¡  Chronic	
  disease	
  logistics	
  (lots	
  of	
  patients	
  
falling	
  through	
  the	
  cracks)	
  
¡  Ability	
  to	
  rapidly	
  test	
  hypotheses	
  
§  Big	
  data	
  is	
  meaningless	
  without	
  hypothesis	
  
testing	
  
¡  Ability	
  to	
  share	
  innovations	
  using	
  non-­‐
commercial	
  dissemination	
  mechanisms	
  
Panel on the future of Electronic Health Records

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Panel on the future of Electronic Health Records

  • 1. Karim  Keshavjee,  MSc,  MD,  MBA,  CCFP,  CPHIMS-­‐CA   ITCH  2017    Feb  19,  2017   Victoria,  BC  
  • 2. ¡  EHRs  have  pretty  much  failed  all   over  the  world     (I’m  talking  about  centralized   medical  records,  not  American   physician  medical  records)   ¡  Why?   ¡  There  are  a  thousand  reasons,  but   the  #1  reason   Our  collective  hypotheses  about   EHRs  are  incorrect  
  • 3. Doctors  need  data  to  look  after  patients  (duh!)   If  we  give  data  to  them  faster,  patients  will  get  better  faster     (The  “Replace  Postal  Service”  Hypothesis  of  Better  Care)     Let’s  also  make  it  Machine  Readable  so  Computers  can  double-­‐guess  the  doctors!  
  • 4. ¡  It  may  be  true  (unproven)   ¡  But  solving  this  problem  has   NOT  created  enough  value  to   justify  the  costs   ¡  The  experiences  of  the   Health  Information   Exchanges  (HIEs)  in  the  US   bears  this  out   §  HIEs  are  purer  versions  of  the   “Replace  Postal  Service”  with  a   lower  cost  structure  than  EHRs   §  They  have  also  failed   ¡  HL7  and  Interoperability  are   also  massive  failures  –they   are  also  based  on  the  RPS   hypothesis  
  • 5. ¡  We  should  be  identifying  and  testing  multiple   hypotheses  as  we  move  forward   ¡  But  how  will  we  know  which  one  is  the  right  one?   ¡  Easy!   ¡  Humans  and  systems  are  good  at  identifying  value   and  embrace  it  quickly   §  Christoph  Lehmann  pointed  this  out  nicely  in  his  Keynote:   When  IT  goes  ‘Viral’,  you  know  you’re  onto  something   ¡  What  we  need  to  do  is  try  out  a  bunch  of  alternative   ideas  and  see  what  works   §  But….where  should  we  look  for  better  ideas?  
  • 6. Research   Study   Research  Study   Synthesis   Researchers          Academics                                    Clinician-­‐Scientists                  Clinicians                            Patients     Guidelines   The  Healthcare  Value  Chain  
  • 7. ¡  The  steps  along  the  way  by  which  we  add   value  to  raw  materials   ¡  In  the  Automotive  Industry,  they  take  iron   from  holes  in  the  ground  and  make  nice  shiny   cars  which  you  can  buy  from  your  local   neighborhood  dealer   §  They  don’t  make  you  go  to  Northern  Ontario  to   dig  up  the  iron  and  smelt  it  yourself   ¡  In  healthcare,  we  discover  new  facts  and   treatments  that  we  can  deliver  to  patients  
  • 8. ¡  There  are  many  stakeholders  in  the   healthcare  system  who  ADD  value  to  the   system   ¡  When  they’re  left  out  of  the  IT  equation,  real   value  cannot  be  created  
  • 9. Stakeholders   Researchers   &  Academics   Providers   Patients   Ministries  of   Health   Systems   Implementers   Guideline   Implementers   Vendors  
  • 10. ¡  Lowering  the  costs  of  providing  healthcare  through:   ¡  Predictive  analytics  –to  provide  care  that  matters  to   patients  and  to  allocate  resources  better   §  Everyone  agrees  there’s  lots  of  waste  in  the  system,  but   nobody  knows  where  it  is!   §  Will  need  researchers  and  data  scientists  to  identify  waste   §  More  than  anything,  we  need  better  measurements  of   “What  is”   §  That’s  what  impressed  me  most  about  Christoph   Lehmann’s  presentation  –not  his  great  inventions,  but  the   fact  that  he  had  such  great  granular  data   ¡  Shared  data  for  coordinated  care   §  Virtualization  of  care  beyond  bricks  and  mortar  
  • 11. ¡  Increased  patient  empowerment,  access  and   control  (mobile  apps,  block  chain)   ¡  Chronic  disease  logistics  (lots  of  patients   falling  through  the  cracks)   ¡  Ability  to  rapidly  test  hypotheses   §  Big  data  is  meaningless  without  hypothesis   testing   ¡  Ability  to  share  innovations  using  non-­‐ commercial  dissemination  mechanisms