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US Leveraged Finance Market Update
            April, 2013
  Steve Miller - Managing Director
New-Issue Loan Volume โ€“ by Year

$550B

                    Text
                           Pro Rata
                           Institutional
$440B




$330B




$220B




$110B




  $0B
    1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1Q12 1Q13

        Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
S&P/LSTA Index โ€“ Average Price
98




96




 94




 91




  89


     3/11   5/11   7/11   9/11   11/11   1/12   3/12   5/12   7/12   9/12   11/12   1/13   3/13

Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
CLO Issuance
$10B




$8B




$6B




$4B




$2B




$0B
       3/12    4/12    5/12     6/12    7/12        8/12   9/12   10/12   11/12   12/12   1/13   2/13   3/13




        Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
S&P/LSTA Index Loans Outstanding
$565B




$552B




$539B




$526B




$513B




$500B
    5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11 1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13



        Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
Average New-Issue Clearing Yield of First Lien Loans
                                                  All-BB
                                                  All-B
    9%




    8%




   7%




   5%




   4%




   3%
        3/11   5/11   7/11   9/11    11/11     1/12   3/12   5/12   7/12   9/12   11/12   1/13   3/13



   Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
Covenant-lite as a percent of S&P/LSTA Index
40




30




 20




 10




     0


      1/4   9/4   5/5   1/6   9/6   5/7     1/8   9/8   5/9   1/10 9/10 5/11   1/12 9/12   3/13

Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
Loan Default Rate

 12%




10%




 7%




5%




2%




0%
  12/98      8/00      4/02      12/03      8/05   4/07   12/08   8/10   3/13



Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
Loan Market โ€“ Outlook


               โ€ข Lackluster calendar



                โ€ข Retail/institutional demand remains strong



                โ€ข CLO market choppier



                โ€ข Still positive bias persists




Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
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1st Quarter leveraged loan market analysis - US

  • 1. Text US Leveraged Finance Market Update April, 2013 Steve Miller - Managing Director
  • 2. New-Issue Loan Volume โ€“ by Year $550B Text Pro Rata Institutional $440B $330B $220B $110B $0B 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1Q12 1Q13 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 3. S&P/LSTA Index โ€“ Average Price 98 96 94 91 89 3/11 5/11 7/11 9/11 11/11 1/12 3/12 5/12 7/12 9/12 11/12 1/13 3/13 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 4. CLO Issuance $10B $8B $6B $4B $2B $0B 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 5. S&P/LSTA Index Loans Outstanding $565B $552B $539B $526B $513B $500B 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11 1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 6. Average New-Issue Clearing Yield of First Lien Loans All-BB All-B 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3/11 5/11 7/11 9/11 11/11 1/12 3/12 5/12 7/12 9/12 11/12 1/13 3/13 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 7. Covenant-lite as a percent of S&P/LSTA Index 40 30 20 10 0 1/4 9/4 5/5 1/6 9/6 5/7 1/8 9/8 5/9 1/10 9/10 5/11 1/12 9/12 3/13 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 8. Loan Default Rate 12% 10% 7% 5% 2% 0% 12/98 8/00 4/02 12/03 8/05 4/07 12/08 8/10 3/13 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 9. Loan Market โ€“ Outlook โ€ข Lackluster calendar โ€ข Retail/institutional demand remains strong โ€ข CLO market choppier โ€ข Still positive bias persists Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 10. Follow LCD www.lcdcomps.com news, analysis, research, archives www.linkedin.com/groups/LCD-Leveraged-Loan-Group-2092432 LCD Leveraged Loan Group ... 10,000+ contacts www.twitter.com/lcdnews Headlines, market chatter www.facebook.com/lcdcomps/ Daily Playbook, headlines, video analysis www.leveragedloan.com Free website covering the leveraged loan market www.highyieldbond.com Free website covering the HY market
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