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Renewables and Efficiency:
Durable Alternatives to Coal
for Powering Iowa
Four Season HarvestRenewables and Efficiency:
Durable Alternatives to Coal for Powering Iowa
Grinnell College - March, 2008
By Lawrence A. Gamble, P.E.
Lonniegamble@yahoo.com
This presentation prepared on solar powered computers
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are needed to see this picture.
Kilowatt Ours excerpt
US Energy Sources and Uses
Where our electricity comes from
Coal
• Coal pollutes when it is mined, transported to the power plant, stored,
and burned. Burning coal is the major contributor to global warming,
rising levels of mercury in fresh water fish, acid rain, and accounts for
72,000 asthma attacks and 2200 hospital admissions per year in Iowa
alone. Coal power plants are the major source of mercury pollution.
Over 300,000 babies nationwide have unsafe levels of mercury.
• Union of Concerned Scientists,
Some Statistics About the
Proposed Coal Plant
Location: Marshalltown
Developers: Alliant Energy, REC coalition
Capacity: 660 Mw Energy: 3.8 Billion kwh/year
8.5% of Iowa consumption (400,000 homes)
Capacity Factor (what % of full output is utilized): 65%
(only operates the equivalent of 7.8 months/yr)
Cost: 1.5 billion Financing Terms: ????
Energy Price: 4.5 cents per kwh ?????
Excluding cost of environmental externalities
Efficiency: Peak 44%, Overall 35%
(56-65% of the energy on the fuel thrown away at the plant)
Location: Waterloo
Developers: LS Power (Merchant Plant) Capacity: 770 Mw
The Case Against Coal
Environmental
Economic
Justice and Equity issues
Opportunity
Environmental
Makeup of Coal and Ash
Coal is one of the most impure of fuels. Its impurities
range from trace quantities of many metals, including
uranium and thorium, to much larger quantities of
aluminum and iron to still larger quantities of
impurities such as sulfur. Products of coal
combustion include the oxides of carbon, nitrogen,
and sulfur; carcinogenic and mutagenic substances;
and recoverable minerals of commercial value,
including nuclear fuels naturally occurring in coal.
Environmental: Combustion
 Greenhouse gases: Taken together, the proposed coal plants will
emit as much greenhouse gas as all the existing cars in Iowa.
 Coal Ash: 15 % of the original volume of coal is ash
 Mercury: Coal plants are the largest emitter of Mercury
 Nuclear: Coal-fired power plants throughout the world are the major
source of radioactive materials released to the environment. If
radiation emissions from coal plants were regulated, their capital and
operating costs would increase, making coal-fired power less
economically competitive*
 Particulates: 72,000 asthma attacks and 2200 hospital admissions per year in Iowa
alone (UCS report)
Science, December 1978 - "Radiological Impact of Airborne
Effluents of Coal and Nuclear Plants” J. P. McBride, R. E.
Moore, J. P. Witherspoon, and R. E. Blanco
Justice and Equity
Studies show that African Americans and other
minorities are far more likely than white
Americans to live within a distance of coal-fired
power plants at which health impacts are the
worst. Coal combustion is also one of the biggest
drivers of global warming, which also impacts
indigenous, minority, and impoverished
communities disproportionately.
Air of Injustice: African Americans and Power
Plant Pollution - Clean Air Task Force, 2002
Economic: Alternatives are cheaper,
even if environmental externalities not
included
Union of Concerned Scientists
http://go.ucsusa.org/just_the_facts/50.html
Lovins on Opportunity Cost
Fine Homebuilding, Spring 1991
Will you have a dead-end job because
someone bought the wrong light bulbs?
Fuel to Light at 3%
Light Bulb Technologies
Incandescent Compact Flourescent LED
10 2.5 1
=
=
=
"If every U.S. household participates in the campaign
and makes their next light an ENERGY STAR, the
nation will save up to $800 million in energy bills, and
the reduction in air pollution will be equal to removing
1.2 million cars from the road for one year.”
- EPA Administrator Christie Whitman.
=
=
Using Energy Wisely =
New Source of Energy
Negawatts vs Megawatts
Negawatt Power:The simplest solution to global warming
Reed McManus, Sierra Magazine, Jan 2007
Negawatt Example: Lighting
60 watt incandescent replace with CF
CF bulb cost: $1.00
CF bulb power requirements: 25 watts
Power savings: 75 watts
Bulb lifetime: 10,000 hours
Saved Energy: 750 kw-hours
(Enough to run my home for 3 years)
Cost/kwh for saved energy: 1/10 of a cent per kwh
Time to install: Immediate
Greenhouse gases saved/bulb: 700 lbs of CO2
Replacing Coal With Efficiency
Coal plant Kwh: 3.8 Billion/year
Energy Saved Per Bulb: 750 kwh
# of bulbs needed: 5,011,000
Households in Iowa: 1,230,000*
Bulbs per household: 4.1
Cost per bulb: $1.00
Total cost for 3.8 billion kwh: $5,011,00
New Coal Plant Cost: $1,500,000
*
Census Bureau, ACS, 2003
The "2,000-Watt Society" program
promoted by the Swiss Federal
Institute of Technology claims it's
feasible to reduce average continuous
per-capita power use in industrialized
countries to 2,000 watts per day--
that's a two-thirds reduction in energy
use for Europeans and a five-sixths
decrease for spendthrift Americans--
without crimping anyone's standard of
living.
Sierra Club, 2007
Critiques of Efficiency
Wise Use of Energy
Efficiency
Plus
Effectiveness
A bright future for Iowa
Efficiency
Renewables
No New Coal Plants
Energy and Community Wealth:
Fairfield
Efficiency
Biomass Cogeneration
Wind Power
Solar Hot Water
City Design
Jefferson County Statistics
Population: 16,181
Households: 6649
Energy Use Assumptions:
Gasoline/Diesel: $50/household/wk
Home heating: $1000/yr
Hot Water: $30/mo
Electricity: $100/mo
Annual Energy Consumption:
Gasoline/Diesel: $38,000,000
Home Heating: $16,181,000
Hot Water: $ 5,825,160
Electricity $19,417,200
TOTAL $80,257,760 (Residential Only!)
20 Year Total: $1.6 BILLION DOLLARS
Statewide Residential Energy Costs:
Iowa Annual total:
$6 billion
Iowa 20 yr total:
$1.2 TRILLION DOLLARS
If Jefferson Co replicated
Osage…
Cost: $1,120,000
Savings: $5,400,000 Per Year
# of residents: 16,181
20 yr total savings: $107,000,000
20 yr savings per resident: $6600
"I don't see any difference
between a dollar brought in by a
new business and a dollar that's
saved due to energy conservation,"
Wes Birdsall, Supervisor, Osage
Municipal Utilities
If Poweshiek County
Copied Osage…….
Cost: $1,320,000 one time cost
Savings: $ 6,300,000 per Year
20 yr total: 127,000,000
20 yr total per person: $6,666
20 yr total per houshold:$17,100
Population: 19,000
Households: 7,400
Biomass Cogeneration
Cogeneration:
Combined heat and power (CHP)
100 Units of
Energy in Fuel
Power Plant
66 units
Waste Heat
33 units
Electricity
2/3 of the energy going into conventional power plants is wasted
Jefferson County Cogen Co
 Jefferson Co residential use: 75 million KWH
 Plant Size: 10 MW
 Annual KWH production: 74 million KWH
 Fuel: Baled switchgrass
 Acres required: 5,200
 Acres in Jefferson co: 261,000
 Payments to Farmers: $2-3 Million
 Cost electricity: 6 cents/kwh
 Waste heat available: equiv to 5,000,000 gallons of oil -
could heat 12,000 not-efficient homes
 Plant cost: $15-20 Million
 Current Jefferson Co electricity costs: $19 Million
Wind
Jefferson Co
Community Wind
 Residential electrical use: 75,000,000 kwh/yr
 # of Turbines required: 18
– If we spent $5,000,000 on energy conservation projects: 5
– If every home used energy like ecovillage homes: 1.8
 Turbine size: 1.6 MW NEG/Micon
 Electricity cost: 4-6 cents/kwh
 Project Cost: $35 Million
 County residential electricity costs: $19 Million/yr
Solar Hot Water
Berwynn, Illinois Laundry
Solar saves $2000/Month
Jefferson Co Community Solar
Utility (Hot Water)
 90% of households: 6,000 systems
 Cost/system: $3000
 Project Cost: $18,000,000
 Annual Savings: $4.5 million/yr
 Simple Payback: 4.5 years
 Next 20 years of savings: $90 million dollars
-13,500 per household
 Finance through revolving loan fund
 If installed over 5 years, would require 30-50 people
working full time just in installation
 Build them here?
Earl Mason, Habitat for
Humanity, Mason City Iowa
1400 sq feet
Occupied by a Family of 4
$175 annual heating and cooling
High insulation levels allow
Building to be heated with
the water heater.
Furnace elimination paid
for extra insulation
RMI clip
QuickTime™ and a
H.264 decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
What would it take to make Fairfield
the Amsterdam of America?
What would it take to make Portland (Oregon) (or Grinnell Iowa) the
Amsterdam of America?
That is, with relation to bicycles
 ?
 This is a question recently asked by the Portland Office of Transportation, as a part of their update
to the citywide Bicycle Master Plan.
 1) User fees for cars:
 - Introduction of European-style gas taxes that raise the cost per gallon of gasoline to above $5.
 - Congestion pricing in congested areas, following Ken Livingstone's London example, that allows
bicycles free entrance but charges cars.
 2) Creation of expanded bicycle and pedestrian infrastructure. In areas of high congestion, remove
the least-efficient use: automobiles. Use the additional space to provide facilities dedicated to
bicycles, so they can zip by pedestrians and streetcars on their own paths.
 - In Downtown Portland, for instance, this might mean taking a lane of 3-lane one-way streets and
making it into a Class 1 bicycle facility. This bikeway would fit between the existing sidewalk and
the parking lane.
 - In neighborhood commercial districts, when over-crowding causes congestion, automobile traffic
needs to be the first thing to go, and bicycle facilities should be the first thing installed to take its
place.
 - In the neighborhoods, this would mean the creation of bicycle routes where bikes can travel as
far as possible, unhindered by vehicles. All stop signs on bicycle boulevards should be replaced by
traffic circles. Stop lights should act like the one at 39th & SE Clinton, permitting bikes but
stopping cars.
 - Bicycle "freeways" like the Springwater Corridor should be built in as many places as possible:
Sullivan's Gulch, the North Portland Waterfront, along the SE Portland RR ROW that extends
from the river to Crystal Springs Gardens/Golf Course, etc.
 3) Bicycle rental facilities should be widely dispersed throughout the city that provide bikes for
little or no charge for those who need to use them for a quick trip.
 4) Bicycle parking should be provided in mass quantities at popular destinations. There are already
complaints about a shortage of bicycle parking opportunities in downtown Portland. This needs to
be resolved ASAP, and bicycle parking lots need to be fitted into the infrastructure where demand
requires them. Outside of the Amsterdam rail station, for instance, is a sea of hundreds of bikes, all
locked up right next to one another. I've also seen stacked bicycle parking. Whatever it takes to fit
the bikes into the real estate available.
 5) Commuter rail systems need to bring people into the central city from neighboring cities, and
provide plenty of room for secure bicycle parking at their stations, as well as plenty of room on
board for bicycle hooks. Part of bicycle mobility is the ability to extend the range of your bicycle
by hopping on a fast, efficient train to get to places slightly further afoot.
 6) Development density within the city needs to increase, so that more people are living closer to
more destinations, making the bicycle just inherently a more sensible option for making more trips.
 7) Automobile parking needs to be regulated to make it just a little less easy to park everywhere
for free. Charging for parking in most commercial districts would be a good start. Taxing every
surface parking space would be another good start -- say, $5 per space per month? This would
make people and businesses seriously consider exactly how many car parking spaces they really
need and are willing to pay for.
Paris Velib Project
20,000 bikes
1451 stations (In contrast,
Paris Metro = 297 stations)
Months in operation - 4
Registered users - over
3,000,000
Daily trips - 350,000
6,000,000 miles traveled
400 employess
Velib cont’d
Paid for by ad revenue and run by an ad
company (JC Decaux pays 4.3 million
plus turns in all proceeds to the city -
expected to net $30,000,000)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?
v=hDBfwU6zni8
Cost to User: 1 euro the day, 5 euros per week,
29 euros per year for an unlimited
number of journeys of less than one half hour
Local economy - examples
 Navarre, Spain - Energy
 Cuba - Organic Agriculture
 Curitiba - Urban Design
 Paris - Velib http://www.youtube.com/watch?
v=hDBfwU6zni8
 Denmark/Northern Germany wind
– NEG/Micon research division
 Vedic City, Maharishi University of Management- four
season vegetable production
 Cedar Falls Buy Fresh/Buy Local
 Clipper Wind - 300 people employed in Cedar Rapids
Navarre
• Population: 593,000
• Capital City: Pamploma, 300,000 in metro area
• Next largest city: 32,000
• Size: 70 miles square
Navarre Energy Sources
• Energy from Renewables: 60% (2004)
– 43.6% from 28 wind farms
– 12% from over 100 small-scale water turbines
– 5.3% from 2 biomass and 2 biogas plants.
• Commitment to renewables: 100% by 2010 (2004)
• Photovoltaic installations: Spain’s largest at 1.2 mw, with
hundreds of smaller ones
• # of jobs in Navarre in wind: 3,600
• # of jobs in Spain in wind: 100,000
• Danish and German examples
Navarre Wind
• Home to Accionia Energy, world’s
largest wind developer
Iowa connection
• Acciona recently started construction on its first wind turbine
manufacturing plant in the United States, located in West
Branch, Iowa. Upon its completion in late 2007, the 200,190
square-foot plant will supply turbines for Acciona wind farms
throughout North America and will utilize Acciona's proprietary
technology to produce its AWP 1.5-77 and AWP 1.5-82 models.
The West Branch facility will be Acciona's fourth wind turbine
assembly plant; two currently operate in Spain and one in
China.
• "It is fair to say that we are talking about hundreds if not
thousands of new jobs in the next couple of years just
related to wind energy," Culver says. Culver has been
making the case to Europeans that Iowa not only sits
near the geographic center of the country, making it a
transportation hub, but Iowa also sits on a major wind
ridge in the U.S.
• "Arguably Iowa has more opportunities related to
renewable energy than any state in the nation and so
we're here rolling up our sleeves and working hard to
tap that potential," Culver says. There are about eight-
hundred different parts that go into a wind turbine and
Culver says his effort is shifting to get the companies
that make those parts to open facilities in Iowa.”
Governor Culver on Wind
• "The first challenge was to get the turbine and the blade
manufacturers to our state...but the next phase will clearly be on
the gear boxes, for example, that power the turbine," Culver says.
"There is a concern about not having enough of those
components and (it's) the same with bearings and a couple of
other key components." Culver's visiting Germany, Denmark and
Spain this week. At the end of his tour, Culver will have visited
with 18 different companies that either build wind turbines or make
the components for wind turbines.
• Monday in Denmark, Culver visited Seimens, which is operating a
blade manufacturing plant in Fort Madison. He'll visit Acciona in
Spain tomorrow. That's the company opening a turbine plant in
West Branch. Culver's also met with a number of the companies
that supply Clipper, the company which is opening a blade
manufacturing plant in Cedar Rapids. Culver attended a wind
energy conference in Germany and was invited to speak at the
event which attracted people from 30 different countries.
Governor Culver on Wind
Navarre - Solar
• Home to Spain’s largest PV array (1.2
mw)
• Hundreds of smaller installations
• Working to become world leader in PV
production
• Community development model
Navarre - Organization
• The community is governed as an autonomous region, with its
own parliament (Parlamento de Navarra) and government
(Gobierno de Navarra). As in other autonomous regions in
Spain, health, employment, education and social services,
together with housing, urban development, environment
protection policies are under the responsibility of its own
institutions. Unlike other regions (and like the Basque Country),
it has almost full responsibility for collecting taxes, which must
follow the overall guidelines established by the Spanish
government but may have some minor differences.
Global Warming Strategy for
Iowa
Efficiency
Renewables
No New Coal
Missouri Cooperative Abandons New Coal
Plant In Favor of Clean Energy
Kansas City, March 3, 2008
Today, Associated Electric Cooperative, one of the nation’s largest and most
respected rural electric cooperatives announced they are “postponing indefinitely”
their plans to build a massive new coal-fired power plant near Norborne in
Northwest Missouri. Associated Electric will pursue wind, energy efficiency and
clean-burning natural gas instead.
Associated Electric is owned by, and provides wholesale power to, six regional and
51 local electric cooperative systems in Missouri, northeast Oklahoma and
southeast Iowa that serve more than 850,000 customers. In the past two years
Associated Electric has become the wind energy leader in Missouri among all
electric providers, including municipal and investor owned utilities.
• “Today’s announcement is the latest breaking news in a tidal wave of
progress as our nation transitions from nineteenth century coal
technology to a modern and clean 21st
century clean energy economy,”
said Bruce Nilles, Director of Sierra Club National Coal Campaign.
Four years ago the country was considering plans to build as many as
160 new coal-fired power plants and today AECI brings the total
number of plants abandoned or defeated to 63. And all indications are
that this trend is accelerating as costs of coal skyrocket and the nation
focuses its attention on global warming solutions.
• In the past month three major Wall Street Banks announced they were
turning against new coal plant investments because of global warming
concerns and the federal government abandoned plans to build a
prototype clean coal plant because of skyrocketing costs.
Press release, Sierra Club Coal Campaign
• Ontario (the jursdiction in North America with
Feed in Tariffs like Germany and Japan) has
committed to close down it’s coal plants by
2015.
• Its political leaders simply concluded that the health
and environmental costs of coal burning are too high.
Jack Gibbons, Director of the Ontario Clear Air
Alliance, calls coal "a nineteenth century fuel that has
no place in twenty-first century Ontario."
Public Policy
Feed in tariffs
– Feed laws have enabled tremendous growth in
renewable energy and stunningly high local ownership
rates for renewable energy: 45% local ownership of
German wind projects and 83% of Danish ones.
These gains have come at a lower cost to produce
electricity than under renewable standards in other
European nations and have supported a greater
diversity of energy sources, such as solar photovoltaic.
Minnesota Feed-In Tariff Could Lower Cost, Boost Renewables and Expand Local
Ownership - John Farrell, Institute for Local Self Reliance, 2007
In Germany, the massive expansion of
renewable capacity has cost average
ratepayers less than $2.00 per month.
Feed in tariff cost in Minnesota:
0.3 cents per kwh out of 10 cent /kwh total
price
 We need a different on-ramp for people from disadvantaged communities The leaders
of the climate establishment came in through one door and now they want to squeeze
everyone through that same door. It’s not going to work. If we want to have a broad-
based environmental movement, we need more entry points. ...
 You can’t take a building you want to weatherize, put it on a ship to China and then
have them do it and send it back. So we are going to have to put people to work in this
country—weatherizing millions of buildings, putting up solar panels, constructing
wind farms. Those green-collar jobs can provide a pathway out of poverty for someone
who has not gone to college.
 If we can get these youth in on the ground floor of the solar industry now, where they
can be installers today, they’ll become managers in five years and owners in 10. And
then they become inventors. The green economy has the power to deliver new sources
of work, wealth and health to low-income people—while honoring the Earth. If you
can do that, you just wiped out a whole bunch of problems. We can make what is good
for poor black kids good for the polar bears and good for the country."
- Van Jones, 2007 NYT
The Great Work of Generations
MINE:
- Mall of America and suburbia
“Greatest misallocation of resources in
Human history” - James Howard Kuntsler
UPCOMING:
- Really good urban/village design: Make
dense human settlements the most attractive
places to live- Solar powered Ecocities
- Co-exist with Otherness
The Next Generation
Apollo
Paris Velib Project
20,000 bikes
1451 stations (In contrast,
Paris Metro = 297 stations)
Months in operation - 4
Registered users - over
3,000,000
Daily trips - 350,000
6,000,000 miles traveled
400 employess
Velib cont’d
Paid for by ad revenue and run by an ad
company (JC Decaux pays 4.3 million
plus turns in all proceeds to the city -
expected to net $30,000,000)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?
v=hDBfwU6zni8
Cost to User: 1 euro the day, 5 euros per week,
29 euros per year for an unlimited
number of journeys of less than one half hour
Biomass Cogeneration
Cogeneration:
Combined heat and power (CHP)
100 Units of
Energy in Fuel
Power Plant
66 units
Waste Heat
33 units
Electricity
2/3 of the energy going into conventional power plants is wasted
The Stone Age Didn’t End
Because We Ran Out of Stones….
Other issues with oil….
Peak Oil
Global Warming
Oil Wars
Peak Oil
Oil prices, profits, politics
Electricity Flow 2002
(Quadrillion Btu)EIAAnnual Energy Review 2002
Coal
Nat Gas
Oil
Nuke
Renewables
Conversion
Loss
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
"If every U.S. household participates in the campaign
and makes their next light an ENERGY STAR, the
nation will save up to $800 million in energy bills, and
the reduction in air pollution will be equal to removing
1.2 million cars from the road for one year.”
- EPA Administrator Christie Whitman.
=
=
Earl Mason, Habitat for
Humanity, Mason City Iowa
1400 sq feet
Occupied by a Family of 4
$175 annual heating and cooling
High insulation levels allow
Building to be heated with
the water heater.
Furnace elimination paid
for extra insulation
Top of Iowa
Wind Farm
Ecosystem Services:
The Economy of Nature
Guerilla Solar from “power to the people”
QuickTime™ and a
H.263 decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Hypercar
But each Hypercar® vehicle then becomes a 30- to 40-
kilowatt power station on wheels. It's parked about 96
percent of the time, usually in habitual places. Someone
will gladly pay an annual lease fee of about $4,000 to 5,000
for the privilege of driving the "power plant" the other 4
percent of the time.
Suppose that someone is you. You drive your Hypercar®
vehicle to work. By a funny coincidence, you happen to
work at a building powered by a fuel cell—leased to the
landlord by the same utility that leased you your car. As
you park your car, you plug it in both to the electricity grid
and to a little snap-on pipe that brings surplus hydrogen out
from the reformer in the building (since that's not kept fully
occupied all the time, it makes a little extra, avoiding the
need to set up a whole new infrastructure of reformers
dedicated purely to cars).
But you're not plugging in to recharge your car: quite the
contrary, while you sit at your desk, your power-plant-on-
wheels is silently sending kilowatts back to the grid. You're
automatically getting credited for that production at the
real-time price (which is pretty high during the daytime).
Thus your second-biggest, but previously idle, household
asset is earning you enough money to pay almost half your
lease fee.
If the entire U.S. light
vehicle fleet consisted of
Hypercar® vehicles, it would
collectively have about five
times the generating capacity
of the national grid.
Jones told The New York Times:
“The green economy has the power to deliver new
sources of work, wealth and health to low-income people
— while honoring the Earth. If you can do that, you just
wiped out a whole bunch of problems. We can make what
is good for poor black kids good for the polar bears and
good for the country.”
30
U.S. Total Energy Consumption by
Source
(Quadrillion BTU)
10
20
40
1800
1900
Coal
Wood
Oil
Nuclear
Electric
Hydro
Nat
Gas
Energy
 Former ORNL researchers J. P. McBride, R. E. Moore, J. P. Witherspoon,
and R. E. Blanco made this point in their article "Radiological Impact of
Airborne Effluents of Coal and Nuclear Plants" in the December 8, 1978,
issue of Science magazine. They concluded that Americans living near coal-
fired power plants are exposed to higher radiation doses than those living
near nuclear power plants that meet government regulations. This ironic
situation remains true today and is addressed in this article.The fact that
coal-fired power plants throughout the world are the major sources of
radioactive materials released to the environment has several implications. It
suggests that coal combustion is more hazardous to health than nuclear
power and that it adds to the background radiation burden even more than
does nuclear power. It also suggests that if radiation emissions from coal
plants were regulated, their capital and operating costs would increase,
making coal-fired power less economically competitive
In Ontario, Canada's most populous province, the three major political parties
agreed early this year on the phase out of that province's five large coal-fired
power plants by 2015. This bold plan accelerated with the early October election
of Premier Dalton McGuinty, who has pledged to close all the coal-fired power
plants by 2007, eight years ahead of the earlier deadline.
The goal is to clean up the air locally and help stabilize climate globally. In terms
of cutting carbon emissions, shutting down just the huge Nanticoke power
station on the shore of Lake Erie would be equal to taking 4 million cars off
Canadian roads.
Ontario is the first Canadian province to turn its back on coal. Its political leaders
simply concluded that the health and environmental costs of coal burning are
too high. Jack Gibbons, Director of the Ontario Clear Air Alliance, calls coal "a
nineteenth century fuel that has no place in twenty-first century Ontario." Other
East Canadian provinces including Nova Scotia and New Brunswick may soon
follow its lead.
Several leading industrial countries are turning away from coal including the
United Kingdom and Germany. The United Kingdom, which used coal to launch
the Industrial Revolution more than two centuries ago, cut coal use by 40
percent between 1990 and 2001 mainly by substituting natural gas. (See data.)

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Durable alternatives to coal

  • 1. Renewables and Efficiency: Durable Alternatives to Coal for Powering Iowa
  • 2. Four Season HarvestRenewables and Efficiency: Durable Alternatives to Coal for Powering Iowa Grinnell College - March, 2008 By Lawrence A. Gamble, P.E. Lonniegamble@yahoo.com This presentation prepared on solar powered computers
  • 3. QuickTime™ and a H.263 decompressor are needed to see this picture.
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  • 11. US Energy Sources and Uses
  • 12. Where our electricity comes from
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  • 14. Coal • Coal pollutes when it is mined, transported to the power plant, stored, and burned. Burning coal is the major contributor to global warming, rising levels of mercury in fresh water fish, acid rain, and accounts for 72,000 asthma attacks and 2200 hospital admissions per year in Iowa alone. Coal power plants are the major source of mercury pollution. Over 300,000 babies nationwide have unsafe levels of mercury. • Union of Concerned Scientists,
  • 15. Some Statistics About the Proposed Coal Plant Location: Marshalltown Developers: Alliant Energy, REC coalition Capacity: 660 Mw Energy: 3.8 Billion kwh/year 8.5% of Iowa consumption (400,000 homes) Capacity Factor (what % of full output is utilized): 65% (only operates the equivalent of 7.8 months/yr) Cost: 1.5 billion Financing Terms: ???? Energy Price: 4.5 cents per kwh ????? Excluding cost of environmental externalities Efficiency: Peak 44%, Overall 35% (56-65% of the energy on the fuel thrown away at the plant) Location: Waterloo Developers: LS Power (Merchant Plant) Capacity: 770 Mw
  • 16. The Case Against Coal Environmental Economic Justice and Equity issues Opportunity
  • 17. Environmental Makeup of Coal and Ash Coal is one of the most impure of fuels. Its impurities range from trace quantities of many metals, including uranium and thorium, to much larger quantities of aluminum and iron to still larger quantities of impurities such as sulfur. Products of coal combustion include the oxides of carbon, nitrogen, and sulfur; carcinogenic and mutagenic substances; and recoverable minerals of commercial value, including nuclear fuels naturally occurring in coal.
  • 18. Environmental: Combustion  Greenhouse gases: Taken together, the proposed coal plants will emit as much greenhouse gas as all the existing cars in Iowa.  Coal Ash: 15 % of the original volume of coal is ash  Mercury: Coal plants are the largest emitter of Mercury  Nuclear: Coal-fired power plants throughout the world are the major source of radioactive materials released to the environment. If radiation emissions from coal plants were regulated, their capital and operating costs would increase, making coal-fired power less economically competitive*  Particulates: 72,000 asthma attacks and 2200 hospital admissions per year in Iowa alone (UCS report) Science, December 1978 - "Radiological Impact of Airborne Effluents of Coal and Nuclear Plants” J. P. McBride, R. E. Moore, J. P. Witherspoon, and R. E. Blanco
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  • 20. Justice and Equity Studies show that African Americans and other minorities are far more likely than white Americans to live within a distance of coal-fired power plants at which health impacts are the worst. Coal combustion is also one of the biggest drivers of global warming, which also impacts indigenous, minority, and impoverished communities disproportionately. Air of Injustice: African Americans and Power Plant Pollution - Clean Air Task Force, 2002
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  • 22. Economic: Alternatives are cheaper, even if environmental externalities not included Union of Concerned Scientists http://go.ucsusa.org/just_the_facts/50.html
  • 23. Lovins on Opportunity Cost Fine Homebuilding, Spring 1991 Will you have a dead-end job because someone bought the wrong light bulbs?
  • 24. Fuel to Light at 3%
  • 25. Light Bulb Technologies Incandescent Compact Flourescent LED 10 2.5 1
  • 26. = = =
  • 27. "If every U.S. household participates in the campaign and makes their next light an ENERGY STAR, the nation will save up to $800 million in energy bills, and the reduction in air pollution will be equal to removing 1.2 million cars from the road for one year.” - EPA Administrator Christie Whitman. = =
  • 28. Using Energy Wisely = New Source of Energy
  • 29. Negawatts vs Megawatts Negawatt Power:The simplest solution to global warming Reed McManus, Sierra Magazine, Jan 2007
  • 30. Negawatt Example: Lighting 60 watt incandescent replace with CF CF bulb cost: $1.00 CF bulb power requirements: 25 watts Power savings: 75 watts Bulb lifetime: 10,000 hours Saved Energy: 750 kw-hours (Enough to run my home for 3 years) Cost/kwh for saved energy: 1/10 of a cent per kwh Time to install: Immediate Greenhouse gases saved/bulb: 700 lbs of CO2
  • 31. Replacing Coal With Efficiency Coal plant Kwh: 3.8 Billion/year Energy Saved Per Bulb: 750 kwh # of bulbs needed: 5,011,000 Households in Iowa: 1,230,000* Bulbs per household: 4.1 Cost per bulb: $1.00 Total cost for 3.8 billion kwh: $5,011,00 New Coal Plant Cost: $1,500,000 * Census Bureau, ACS, 2003
  • 32. The "2,000-Watt Society" program promoted by the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology claims it's feasible to reduce average continuous per-capita power use in industrialized countries to 2,000 watts per day-- that's a two-thirds reduction in energy use for Europeans and a five-sixths decrease for spendthrift Americans-- without crimping anyone's standard of living. Sierra Club, 2007
  • 34. Wise Use of Energy Efficiency Plus Effectiveness
  • 35. A bright future for Iowa Efficiency Renewables No New Coal Plants
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  • 37. Energy and Community Wealth: Fairfield Efficiency Biomass Cogeneration Wind Power Solar Hot Water City Design
  • 38. Jefferson County Statistics Population: 16,181 Households: 6649 Energy Use Assumptions: Gasoline/Diesel: $50/household/wk Home heating: $1000/yr Hot Water: $30/mo Electricity: $100/mo Annual Energy Consumption: Gasoline/Diesel: $38,000,000 Home Heating: $16,181,000 Hot Water: $ 5,825,160 Electricity $19,417,200 TOTAL $80,257,760 (Residential Only!) 20 Year Total: $1.6 BILLION DOLLARS
  • 39. Statewide Residential Energy Costs: Iowa Annual total: $6 billion Iowa 20 yr total: $1.2 TRILLION DOLLARS
  • 40. If Jefferson Co replicated Osage… Cost: $1,120,000 Savings: $5,400,000 Per Year # of residents: 16,181 20 yr total savings: $107,000,000 20 yr savings per resident: $6600 "I don't see any difference between a dollar brought in by a new business and a dollar that's saved due to energy conservation," Wes Birdsall, Supervisor, Osage Municipal Utilities
  • 41. If Poweshiek County Copied Osage……. Cost: $1,320,000 one time cost Savings: $ 6,300,000 per Year 20 yr total: 127,000,000 20 yr total per person: $6,666 20 yr total per houshold:$17,100 Population: 19,000 Households: 7,400
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  • 44. Cogeneration: Combined heat and power (CHP) 100 Units of Energy in Fuel Power Plant 66 units Waste Heat 33 units Electricity 2/3 of the energy going into conventional power plants is wasted
  • 45. Jefferson County Cogen Co  Jefferson Co residential use: 75 million KWH  Plant Size: 10 MW  Annual KWH production: 74 million KWH  Fuel: Baled switchgrass  Acres required: 5,200  Acres in Jefferson co: 261,000  Payments to Farmers: $2-3 Million  Cost electricity: 6 cents/kwh  Waste heat available: equiv to 5,000,000 gallons of oil - could heat 12,000 not-efficient homes  Plant cost: $15-20 Million  Current Jefferson Co electricity costs: $19 Million
  • 46. Wind
  • 47. Jefferson Co Community Wind  Residential electrical use: 75,000,000 kwh/yr  # of Turbines required: 18 – If we spent $5,000,000 on energy conservation projects: 5 – If every home used energy like ecovillage homes: 1.8  Turbine size: 1.6 MW NEG/Micon  Electricity cost: 4-6 cents/kwh  Project Cost: $35 Million  County residential electricity costs: $19 Million/yr
  • 49. Berwynn, Illinois Laundry Solar saves $2000/Month
  • 50. Jefferson Co Community Solar Utility (Hot Water)  90% of households: 6,000 systems  Cost/system: $3000  Project Cost: $18,000,000  Annual Savings: $4.5 million/yr  Simple Payback: 4.5 years  Next 20 years of savings: $90 million dollars -13,500 per household  Finance through revolving loan fund  If installed over 5 years, would require 30-50 people working full time just in installation  Build them here?
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  • 52. Earl Mason, Habitat for Humanity, Mason City Iowa 1400 sq feet Occupied by a Family of 4 $175 annual heating and cooling High insulation levels allow Building to be heated with the water heater. Furnace elimination paid for extra insulation
  • 53. RMI clip QuickTime™ and a H.264 decompressor are needed to see this picture.
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  • 55. What would it take to make Fairfield the Amsterdam of America?
  • 56. What would it take to make Portland (Oregon) (or Grinnell Iowa) the Amsterdam of America? That is, with relation to bicycles  ?  This is a question recently asked by the Portland Office of Transportation, as a part of their update to the citywide Bicycle Master Plan.  1) User fees for cars:  - Introduction of European-style gas taxes that raise the cost per gallon of gasoline to above $5.  - Congestion pricing in congested areas, following Ken Livingstone's London example, that allows bicycles free entrance but charges cars.  2) Creation of expanded bicycle and pedestrian infrastructure. In areas of high congestion, remove the least-efficient use: automobiles. Use the additional space to provide facilities dedicated to bicycles, so they can zip by pedestrians and streetcars on their own paths.  - In Downtown Portland, for instance, this might mean taking a lane of 3-lane one-way streets and making it into a Class 1 bicycle facility. This bikeway would fit between the existing sidewalk and the parking lane.  - In neighborhood commercial districts, when over-crowding causes congestion, automobile traffic needs to be the first thing to go, and bicycle facilities should be the first thing installed to take its place.  - In the neighborhoods, this would mean the creation of bicycle routes where bikes can travel as far as possible, unhindered by vehicles. All stop signs on bicycle boulevards should be replaced by traffic circles. Stop lights should act like the one at 39th & SE Clinton, permitting bikes but stopping cars.  - Bicycle "freeways" like the Springwater Corridor should be built in as many places as possible: Sullivan's Gulch, the North Portland Waterfront, along the SE Portland RR ROW that extends from the river to Crystal Springs Gardens/Golf Course, etc.
  • 57.  3) Bicycle rental facilities should be widely dispersed throughout the city that provide bikes for little or no charge for those who need to use them for a quick trip.  4) Bicycle parking should be provided in mass quantities at popular destinations. There are already complaints about a shortage of bicycle parking opportunities in downtown Portland. This needs to be resolved ASAP, and bicycle parking lots need to be fitted into the infrastructure where demand requires them. Outside of the Amsterdam rail station, for instance, is a sea of hundreds of bikes, all locked up right next to one another. I've also seen stacked bicycle parking. Whatever it takes to fit the bikes into the real estate available.  5) Commuter rail systems need to bring people into the central city from neighboring cities, and provide plenty of room for secure bicycle parking at their stations, as well as plenty of room on board for bicycle hooks. Part of bicycle mobility is the ability to extend the range of your bicycle by hopping on a fast, efficient train to get to places slightly further afoot.  6) Development density within the city needs to increase, so that more people are living closer to more destinations, making the bicycle just inherently a more sensible option for making more trips.  7) Automobile parking needs to be regulated to make it just a little less easy to park everywhere for free. Charging for parking in most commercial districts would be a good start. Taxing every surface parking space would be another good start -- say, $5 per space per month? This would make people and businesses seriously consider exactly how many car parking spaces they really need and are willing to pay for.
  • 58. Paris Velib Project 20,000 bikes 1451 stations (In contrast, Paris Metro = 297 stations) Months in operation - 4 Registered users - over 3,000,000 Daily trips - 350,000 6,000,000 miles traveled 400 employess
  • 59. Velib cont’d Paid for by ad revenue and run by an ad company (JC Decaux pays 4.3 million plus turns in all proceeds to the city - expected to net $30,000,000) http://www.youtube.com/watch? v=hDBfwU6zni8 Cost to User: 1 euro the day, 5 euros per week, 29 euros per year for an unlimited number of journeys of less than one half hour
  • 60. Local economy - examples  Navarre, Spain - Energy  Cuba - Organic Agriculture  Curitiba - Urban Design  Paris - Velib http://www.youtube.com/watch? v=hDBfwU6zni8  Denmark/Northern Germany wind – NEG/Micon research division  Vedic City, Maharishi University of Management- four season vegetable production  Cedar Falls Buy Fresh/Buy Local  Clipper Wind - 300 people employed in Cedar Rapids
  • 61. Navarre • Population: 593,000 • Capital City: Pamploma, 300,000 in metro area • Next largest city: 32,000 • Size: 70 miles square
  • 62. Navarre Energy Sources • Energy from Renewables: 60% (2004) – 43.6% from 28 wind farms – 12% from over 100 small-scale water turbines – 5.3% from 2 biomass and 2 biogas plants. • Commitment to renewables: 100% by 2010 (2004) • Photovoltaic installations: Spain’s largest at 1.2 mw, with hundreds of smaller ones • # of jobs in Navarre in wind: 3,600 • # of jobs in Spain in wind: 100,000 • Danish and German examples
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  • 64. Navarre Wind • Home to Accionia Energy, world’s largest wind developer
  • 65. Iowa connection • Acciona recently started construction on its first wind turbine manufacturing plant in the United States, located in West Branch, Iowa. Upon its completion in late 2007, the 200,190 square-foot plant will supply turbines for Acciona wind farms throughout North America and will utilize Acciona's proprietary technology to produce its AWP 1.5-77 and AWP 1.5-82 models. The West Branch facility will be Acciona's fourth wind turbine assembly plant; two currently operate in Spain and one in China.
  • 66. • "It is fair to say that we are talking about hundreds if not thousands of new jobs in the next couple of years just related to wind energy," Culver says. Culver has been making the case to Europeans that Iowa not only sits near the geographic center of the country, making it a transportation hub, but Iowa also sits on a major wind ridge in the U.S. • "Arguably Iowa has more opportunities related to renewable energy than any state in the nation and so we're here rolling up our sleeves and working hard to tap that potential," Culver says. There are about eight- hundred different parts that go into a wind turbine and Culver says his effort is shifting to get the companies that make those parts to open facilities in Iowa.” Governor Culver on Wind
  • 67. • "The first challenge was to get the turbine and the blade manufacturers to our state...but the next phase will clearly be on the gear boxes, for example, that power the turbine," Culver says. "There is a concern about not having enough of those components and (it's) the same with bearings and a couple of other key components." Culver's visiting Germany, Denmark and Spain this week. At the end of his tour, Culver will have visited with 18 different companies that either build wind turbines or make the components for wind turbines. • Monday in Denmark, Culver visited Seimens, which is operating a blade manufacturing plant in Fort Madison. He'll visit Acciona in Spain tomorrow. That's the company opening a turbine plant in West Branch. Culver's also met with a number of the companies that supply Clipper, the company which is opening a blade manufacturing plant in Cedar Rapids. Culver attended a wind energy conference in Germany and was invited to speak at the event which attracted people from 30 different countries. Governor Culver on Wind
  • 68. Navarre - Solar • Home to Spain’s largest PV array (1.2 mw) • Hundreds of smaller installations • Working to become world leader in PV production • Community development model
  • 69. Navarre - Organization • The community is governed as an autonomous region, with its own parliament (Parlamento de Navarra) and government (Gobierno de Navarra). As in other autonomous regions in Spain, health, employment, education and social services, together with housing, urban development, environment protection policies are under the responsibility of its own institutions. Unlike other regions (and like the Basque Country), it has almost full responsibility for collecting taxes, which must follow the overall guidelines established by the Spanish government but may have some minor differences.
  • 70. Global Warming Strategy for Iowa Efficiency Renewables No New Coal
  • 71. Missouri Cooperative Abandons New Coal Plant In Favor of Clean Energy Kansas City, March 3, 2008 Today, Associated Electric Cooperative, one of the nation’s largest and most respected rural electric cooperatives announced they are “postponing indefinitely” their plans to build a massive new coal-fired power plant near Norborne in Northwest Missouri. Associated Electric will pursue wind, energy efficiency and clean-burning natural gas instead. Associated Electric is owned by, and provides wholesale power to, six regional and 51 local electric cooperative systems in Missouri, northeast Oklahoma and southeast Iowa that serve more than 850,000 customers. In the past two years Associated Electric has become the wind energy leader in Missouri among all electric providers, including municipal and investor owned utilities.
  • 72. • “Today’s announcement is the latest breaking news in a tidal wave of progress as our nation transitions from nineteenth century coal technology to a modern and clean 21st century clean energy economy,” said Bruce Nilles, Director of Sierra Club National Coal Campaign. Four years ago the country was considering plans to build as many as 160 new coal-fired power plants and today AECI brings the total number of plants abandoned or defeated to 63. And all indications are that this trend is accelerating as costs of coal skyrocket and the nation focuses its attention on global warming solutions. • In the past month three major Wall Street Banks announced they were turning against new coal plant investments because of global warming concerns and the federal government abandoned plans to build a prototype clean coal plant because of skyrocketing costs. Press release, Sierra Club Coal Campaign
  • 73. • Ontario (the jursdiction in North America with Feed in Tariffs like Germany and Japan) has committed to close down it’s coal plants by 2015. • Its political leaders simply concluded that the health and environmental costs of coal burning are too high. Jack Gibbons, Director of the Ontario Clear Air Alliance, calls coal "a nineteenth century fuel that has no place in twenty-first century Ontario."
  • 74. Public Policy Feed in tariffs – Feed laws have enabled tremendous growth in renewable energy and stunningly high local ownership rates for renewable energy: 45% local ownership of German wind projects and 83% of Danish ones. These gains have come at a lower cost to produce electricity than under renewable standards in other European nations and have supported a greater diversity of energy sources, such as solar photovoltaic. Minnesota Feed-In Tariff Could Lower Cost, Boost Renewables and Expand Local Ownership - John Farrell, Institute for Local Self Reliance, 2007
  • 75. In Germany, the massive expansion of renewable capacity has cost average ratepayers less than $2.00 per month. Feed in tariff cost in Minnesota: 0.3 cents per kwh out of 10 cent /kwh total price
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  • 78.  We need a different on-ramp for people from disadvantaged communities The leaders of the climate establishment came in through one door and now they want to squeeze everyone through that same door. It’s not going to work. If we want to have a broad- based environmental movement, we need more entry points. ...  You can’t take a building you want to weatherize, put it on a ship to China and then have them do it and send it back. So we are going to have to put people to work in this country—weatherizing millions of buildings, putting up solar panels, constructing wind farms. Those green-collar jobs can provide a pathway out of poverty for someone who has not gone to college.  If we can get these youth in on the ground floor of the solar industry now, where they can be installers today, they’ll become managers in five years and owners in 10. And then they become inventors. The green economy has the power to deliver new sources of work, wealth and health to low-income people—while honoring the Earth. If you can do that, you just wiped out a whole bunch of problems. We can make what is good for poor black kids good for the polar bears and good for the country." - Van Jones, 2007 NYT
  • 79. The Great Work of Generations MINE: - Mall of America and suburbia “Greatest misallocation of resources in Human history” - James Howard Kuntsler UPCOMING: - Really good urban/village design: Make dense human settlements the most attractive places to live- Solar powered Ecocities - Co-exist with Otherness
  • 82. Paris Velib Project 20,000 bikes 1451 stations (In contrast, Paris Metro = 297 stations) Months in operation - 4 Registered users - over 3,000,000 Daily trips - 350,000 6,000,000 miles traveled 400 employess
  • 83. Velib cont’d Paid for by ad revenue and run by an ad company (JC Decaux pays 4.3 million plus turns in all proceeds to the city - expected to net $30,000,000) http://www.youtube.com/watch? v=hDBfwU6zni8 Cost to User: 1 euro the day, 5 euros per week, 29 euros per year for an unlimited number of journeys of less than one half hour
  • 85. Cogeneration: Combined heat and power (CHP) 100 Units of Energy in Fuel Power Plant 66 units Waste Heat 33 units Electricity 2/3 of the energy going into conventional power plants is wasted
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  • 87. The Stone Age Didn’t End Because We Ran Out of Stones….
  • 88. Other issues with oil…. Peak Oil Global Warming Oil Wars
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  • 92. Electricity Flow 2002 (Quadrillion Btu)EIAAnnual Energy Review 2002 Coal Nat Gas Oil Nuke Renewables Conversion Loss Residential Commercial Industrial
  • 93. "If every U.S. household participates in the campaign and makes their next light an ENERGY STAR, the nation will save up to $800 million in energy bills, and the reduction in air pollution will be equal to removing 1.2 million cars from the road for one year.” - EPA Administrator Christie Whitman. = =
  • 94. Earl Mason, Habitat for Humanity, Mason City Iowa 1400 sq feet Occupied by a Family of 4 $175 annual heating and cooling High insulation levels allow Building to be heated with the water heater. Furnace elimination paid for extra insulation
  • 97. Guerilla Solar from “power to the people” QuickTime™ and a H.263 decompressor are needed to see this picture.
  • 98. Hypercar But each Hypercar® vehicle then becomes a 30- to 40- kilowatt power station on wheels. It's parked about 96 percent of the time, usually in habitual places. Someone will gladly pay an annual lease fee of about $4,000 to 5,000 for the privilege of driving the "power plant" the other 4 percent of the time. Suppose that someone is you. You drive your Hypercar® vehicle to work. By a funny coincidence, you happen to work at a building powered by a fuel cell—leased to the landlord by the same utility that leased you your car. As you park your car, you plug it in both to the electricity grid and to a little snap-on pipe that brings surplus hydrogen out from the reformer in the building (since that's not kept fully occupied all the time, it makes a little extra, avoiding the need to set up a whole new infrastructure of reformers dedicated purely to cars). But you're not plugging in to recharge your car: quite the contrary, while you sit at your desk, your power-plant-on- wheels is silently sending kilowatts back to the grid. You're automatically getting credited for that production at the real-time price (which is pretty high during the daytime). Thus your second-biggest, but previously idle, household asset is earning you enough money to pay almost half your lease fee. If the entire U.S. light vehicle fleet consisted of Hypercar® vehicles, it would collectively have about five times the generating capacity of the national grid.
  • 99. Jones told The New York Times: “The green economy has the power to deliver new sources of work, wealth and health to low-income people — while honoring the Earth. If you can do that, you just wiped out a whole bunch of problems. We can make what is good for poor black kids good for the polar bears and good for the country.”
  • 100.
  • 101. 30 U.S. Total Energy Consumption by Source (Quadrillion BTU) 10 20 40 1800 1900 Coal Wood Oil Nuclear Electric Hydro Nat Gas
  • 102. Energy
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  • 104.  Former ORNL researchers J. P. McBride, R. E. Moore, J. P. Witherspoon, and R. E. Blanco made this point in their article "Radiological Impact of Airborne Effluents of Coal and Nuclear Plants" in the December 8, 1978, issue of Science magazine. They concluded that Americans living near coal- fired power plants are exposed to higher radiation doses than those living near nuclear power plants that meet government regulations. This ironic situation remains true today and is addressed in this article.The fact that coal-fired power plants throughout the world are the major sources of radioactive materials released to the environment has several implications. It suggests that coal combustion is more hazardous to health than nuclear power and that it adds to the background radiation burden even more than does nuclear power. It also suggests that if radiation emissions from coal plants were regulated, their capital and operating costs would increase, making coal-fired power less economically competitive
  • 105. In Ontario, Canada's most populous province, the three major political parties agreed early this year on the phase out of that province's five large coal-fired power plants by 2015. This bold plan accelerated with the early October election of Premier Dalton McGuinty, who has pledged to close all the coal-fired power plants by 2007, eight years ahead of the earlier deadline. The goal is to clean up the air locally and help stabilize climate globally. In terms of cutting carbon emissions, shutting down just the huge Nanticoke power station on the shore of Lake Erie would be equal to taking 4 million cars off Canadian roads. Ontario is the first Canadian province to turn its back on coal. Its political leaders simply concluded that the health and environmental costs of coal burning are too high. Jack Gibbons, Director of the Ontario Clear Air Alliance, calls coal "a nineteenth century fuel that has no place in twenty-first century Ontario." Other East Canadian provinces including Nova Scotia and New Brunswick may soon follow its lead. Several leading industrial countries are turning away from coal including the United Kingdom and Germany. The United Kingdom, which used coal to launch the Industrial Revolution more than two centuries ago, cut coal use by 40 percent between 1990 and 2001 mainly by substituting natural gas. (See data.)