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{
Disruptive Technology
Change is the new norm
Adapt or die
A Meeting of Minds
@DavidMcClelland
5 June 2014
 Technologist – 18 years IBM, DELL, ING,
BTMU, C&W, Reuters, CME, Local and Central
Government, Start-up
 Journalist – Enterprise and Consumer Tech,
BBC, Computing, Computer Weekly, Wired
 Broadcaster – Consumer: BBC Rip off Britain,
ITV Daybreak, CNN, Planet of the Apps
David McClelland
{Digital Revolution
Disruptive
Technology
 Creates new market, displaces existing market
 Technology as an enabler for accelerated disruption
 Google: destroys more value than it creates (for itself)
 Power to the people - consumers capture majority of
economic surplus
Digital Disruption
“Successful companies can put too
much emphasis on customers’ current
needs, and fail to adopt new
technology or business models that
will meet customers’ unstated or
future needs. Such companies will
eventually fall behind.”
Clayton M Christensen
Dilemma
{ {Disrupted
PCs
CRT TVs
Wood, Metal, Glass
Film Cameras
Rail
Encyclopedia Britannica
Disruptor
Tablets/Smartphones
LCD TVs
Plastics
Digital Cameras
Cars
Wikipedia
Disrupted
“With active engagement and a will to invest in the
future, there can still be peace between the disruptor
and disrupted”
Top Ten Challenges for Investment Banks
Accenture 2014
Collaborated
{Today’s view of Tomorrow
Technologies
McKinsey Global Institute
Disruptive Technologies: Advances that will
transform life, business and the global
economy
Tomorrow
 Smartphone
 Tablet
 Data
 Connected staff
 Connected customer
Mobility & Mobile Internet
“The idea that every object we own, no matter how
mundane, is connected to the internet and can be
monitored and manipulated via the internet, whether
it’s a toaster, a lightbulb or your car”
Christopher Mims, Quartz
Internet of Things
Economies of scale:
 Compute cost decline 33% annually
 Storage cost decline 38% annually
 Bandwidth cost decline 27% annually
Lowers barriers to entry = anybody can disrupt
Cloud
Data by numbers:
 2.5 quintillion bytes per day
 90% created in last two years
 80% unstructured data
 Only 10% of data read more than once
Source: IBM
Data
“Just as the telescope enabled us to comprehend the
universe and the microscope allowed us to understand
germs, the new techniques for collecting and analyzing
huge bodies of data will help us make sense of our
world in ways we are just starting to appreciate”
Mayer-Schonberger, Cukier
Big Data
Value:
 Single Customer View
 Predict patterns
 Identify opportunities
 Personalised advice
Get the edge: leverage existing data to know your
customers better than anybody else
Analytics: Digital Intelligence
 Nest – estimated 2bn kWh energy saved
 Automatic – saves 30% fuel cost
 Wealthfront Investment Management
+ 4.6% return vs average mutual fund
Pattern Driven
 Better decision making
 Humans can’t keep up
 Cognitive computing
 Expands human cognition
 Learns with use
 Interacts naturally
Knowledge Automation
 Advanced Robotics
 Advanced Materials
 3D Printing
 Energy Storage
 Next-Gen Genomics
 (Near-) Autonomous Vehicles
 Advanced Oil and Gas Exploration and Recovery
 Renewable Energy
Other Technologies
{Reinforcing each other and
potentially driving greater impact
Combinations of
Technologies
Multiply Impact
 Top down / waterfalls too slow
 Online demands faster response
 Good cloud fit
Agile Development
 D
Analogue vs Digital Culture
 Target Target
 70 million – records stolen
 40 million – credit/debit cards
 $200m – bank cost to reissue cards
 $53.7m – income from selling card details
 $55m – executive settlement to CEO Steinhafel
 46% drop in profits
Secure, Hack, Fraud
 Heartbleed Bug
 eBay
 LinkedIn
 Target
 Spotify
 Gameover Zeus
“This is the new norm”, FBI
Secure, Secure, Secure
 Built for the internet
 Sound technology platform
 Infrastructure investment
Cryptocurrencies
 Cut out the middle man
 DIY attitude – willing to take on some risk
 Direct engagement
 Online knowledge isn’t a privilege
P2P Attitudes
 Airbnb – connects tourists with destinations
 RelayRides – connects drivers with car owners
 Lending Club – connects investor to borrower
 Paypal
 M-Pesa
P2P Disrupts
 #FinTech
 Nutmeg
 Wealthfront (US)
 OpenFin
Financial Technology
 Still space for Face to Face
 Cs Commerce Platform
 Content
 Community
 Commerce
Commerce Got Social
 ‘Connected customer’
transformation
 CSAT from lowest to
highest
Commonwealth Bank
 Generational Attitudes
 Baby Boomer - Collateral
 Gen X - Convenience
 Gen Y – Contact
 Customer Centricity
 User Interface
 Far less friction
 Far more convenience
Attitudes
 Know your customer > Better than anyone else
 Know your limitations > Embrace Innovator
 Still space for face to face > Augment online
Takeaways
@DavidMcClelland
www.davidmcclelland.co.uk
Thank you

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Change is the New Norm. Adapt or Die. Disruptive Technology (and Technology that Disrupts) (June 2014)

  • 1. { Disruptive Technology Change is the new norm Adapt or die A Meeting of Minds @DavidMcClelland 5 June 2014
  • 2.  Technologist – 18 years IBM, DELL, ING, BTMU, C&W, Reuters, CME, Local and Central Government, Start-up  Journalist – Enterprise and Consumer Tech, BBC, Computing, Computer Weekly, Wired  Broadcaster – Consumer: BBC Rip off Britain, ITV Daybreak, CNN, Planet of the Apps David McClelland
  • 4.  Creates new market, displaces existing market  Technology as an enabler for accelerated disruption  Google: destroys more value than it creates (for itself)  Power to the people - consumers capture majority of economic surplus Digital Disruption
  • 5. “Successful companies can put too much emphasis on customers’ current needs, and fail to adopt new technology or business models that will meet customers’ unstated or future needs. Such companies will eventually fall behind.” Clayton M Christensen Dilemma
  • 6. { {Disrupted PCs CRT TVs Wood, Metal, Glass Film Cameras Rail Encyclopedia Britannica Disruptor Tablets/Smartphones LCD TVs Plastics Digital Cameras Cars Wikipedia Disrupted
  • 7. “With active engagement and a will to invest in the future, there can still be peace between the disruptor and disrupted” Top Ten Challenges for Investment Banks Accenture 2014 Collaborated
  • 8. {Today’s view of Tomorrow Technologies
  • 9. McKinsey Global Institute Disruptive Technologies: Advances that will transform life, business and the global economy Tomorrow
  • 10.  Smartphone  Tablet  Data  Connected staff  Connected customer Mobility & Mobile Internet
  • 11. “The idea that every object we own, no matter how mundane, is connected to the internet and can be monitored and manipulated via the internet, whether it’s a toaster, a lightbulb or your car” Christopher Mims, Quartz Internet of Things
  • 12. Economies of scale:  Compute cost decline 33% annually  Storage cost decline 38% annually  Bandwidth cost decline 27% annually Lowers barriers to entry = anybody can disrupt Cloud
  • 13. Data by numbers:  2.5 quintillion bytes per day  90% created in last two years  80% unstructured data  Only 10% of data read more than once Source: IBM Data
  • 14. “Just as the telescope enabled us to comprehend the universe and the microscope allowed us to understand germs, the new techniques for collecting and analyzing huge bodies of data will help us make sense of our world in ways we are just starting to appreciate” Mayer-Schonberger, Cukier Big Data
  • 15. Value:  Single Customer View  Predict patterns  Identify opportunities  Personalised advice Get the edge: leverage existing data to know your customers better than anybody else Analytics: Digital Intelligence
  • 16.  Nest – estimated 2bn kWh energy saved  Automatic – saves 30% fuel cost  Wealthfront Investment Management + 4.6% return vs average mutual fund Pattern Driven
  • 17.  Better decision making  Humans can’t keep up  Cognitive computing  Expands human cognition  Learns with use  Interacts naturally Knowledge Automation
  • 18.  Advanced Robotics  Advanced Materials  3D Printing  Energy Storage  Next-Gen Genomics  (Near-) Autonomous Vehicles  Advanced Oil and Gas Exploration and Recovery  Renewable Energy Other Technologies
  • 19. {Reinforcing each other and potentially driving greater impact Combinations of Technologies Multiply Impact
  • 20.  Top down / waterfalls too slow  Online demands faster response  Good cloud fit Agile Development
  • 21.  D Analogue vs Digital Culture
  • 22.  Target Target  70 million – records stolen  40 million – credit/debit cards  $200m – bank cost to reissue cards  $53.7m – income from selling card details  $55m – executive settlement to CEO Steinhafel  46% drop in profits Secure, Hack, Fraud
  • 23.  Heartbleed Bug  eBay  LinkedIn  Target  Spotify  Gameover Zeus “This is the new norm”, FBI Secure, Secure, Secure
  • 24.  Built for the internet  Sound technology platform  Infrastructure investment Cryptocurrencies
  • 25.  Cut out the middle man  DIY attitude – willing to take on some risk  Direct engagement  Online knowledge isn’t a privilege P2P Attitudes
  • 26.  Airbnb – connects tourists with destinations  RelayRides – connects drivers with car owners  Lending Club – connects investor to borrower  Paypal  M-Pesa P2P Disrupts
  • 27.  #FinTech  Nutmeg  Wealthfront (US)  OpenFin Financial Technology
  • 28.  Still space for Face to Face  Cs Commerce Platform  Content  Community  Commerce Commerce Got Social
  • 29.  ‘Connected customer’ transformation  CSAT from lowest to highest Commonwealth Bank
  • 30.  Generational Attitudes  Baby Boomer - Collateral  Gen X - Convenience  Gen Y – Contact  Customer Centricity  User Interface  Far less friction  Far more convenience Attitudes
  • 31.  Know your customer > Better than anyone else  Know your limitations > Embrace Innovator  Still space for face to face > Augment online Takeaways

Editor's Notes

  1. 1996 – Reuters in London, technical role 2000 – IBM 2005 – Freelance Consultant, worked on IT major transformation projects in US Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Bangkok with Reuters, Amsterdam with ING and DELL 2011 – Joined technology startup; 2013 acquired by IBM > we’ll talk about this later I’ve been a Consulting Editor at Computing, contributor to Wired, Computer Weekly, CNET; for the BBC I am an expert in N&CA, Rip Off Britain etc; Host consumer technology show Planet of the Apps (Challenge TV, Virgin Planes!), write and host shows online for various technology brands, pop up on the news for ITV, CNN, C4 etc Disclosure – IBM is a current client of mine, I may use some of their stats today, among many others, but I’ve no intent to endorse their products or services here today
  2. Google destroyed more value than it created – Richard Dobbs, Director at McKinsey Global Institute Lending Club CEO Renaud Laplanche: History has show that it’s difficult for incumbent providers to drive costs down, adopt new technologies and processes as *quickly* as the innovators
  3. Could easily add – Movie rentals (Blockbuster) disrupted by the likes of Netflix, Amazon, iTunes (++ convenience, ++ choice than Blockbuster, advice through trailers, ++ cost – one movie rental equivalent of one month’s subscription to Netflix (still model with iTunes and some Amazon). It will be interesting to keep an eye on Sky, and how it fights to maintain its position against cheaper services – for movies certainly, Sports is an interesting high value/high risk battlefield too (eg BT Sport). Coming back to movies, the PwC Entertainment and Media Outlook report earlier this week shows revenue from online services will overtake box office revenues by 2018.
  4. Ref: http://www.accenture.com/microsites/10-challenges-2014/Pages/challenge08.aspx Or: keep your enemies close
  5. Dive into some of the technologies frequently bandied around as ‘disruptive’.
  6. Report is from 2013, well worth a read – management summary is still very comprehensive. It pulls out 12 different disruptive technologies that will have impacts on various sectors, along with some challenger technologies Link: http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/business_technology/disruptive_technologie I’m going to add my own too – different spins, some with more relevant to financial services
  7. MGI has 12 disruptive technologies in its report, here just for completeness are some others that we’ll not be covering in detail today I’ve a few more of my own that I want to cover here – not all of them fit the ‘disruptive technology’ definition nicely, but they do have the potential to disrupt on their own or in concert and they are all in the technology bucket.
  8. To paraphrase McKinsey