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Financial Market




                   1
You will understand

• The component and Structure of financial market.

• The working of the equity as an asset class.

• The working of the Fixed Income Securities.

• The working of mutual fund products.

• Economic Environment and indicators.

• How to recommend a investment portfolio.
                                            2
Financial Markets




  Organizations that facilitate the trade in financial products. i.e.
Stock exchanges facilitate the trade in stocks, bonds and warrants




                                                    3
Types of financial markets
The financial markets can be divided into different categories:
   – Capital Market
       • Stock markets, which provide financing through the issuance
         of shares and enable the subsequent trading.
       • Bond markets, which provide financing through the issuance
         of Bonds, and enable the subsequent trading.

   – Money markets, which provide short term debt financing and
     investment.

   – Derivatives markets, which provide instruments for the
     management of financial risk.

   – Foreign exchange markets, which facilitate the trading of foreign
     exchange.

   – Commodity markets, which facilitate the trading of commodities.
                                                  4
Capital Market

• The capital market is the market for securities, where companies
  and governments can raise long-term funds.

• The capital market includes the stock market and the bond
  market.

• Financial regulators oversee the capital markets to ensure that
  investors are protected against fraud.

• The capital markets consist of primary markets and secondary
  markets.
   – Primary markets: Newly formed (issued) securities are bought
     or sold.
   – Secondary markets allow investors to sell securities that they
     hold or buy existing securities.

                                                    5
Primary Market
• It deals with the issuance of new securities. Companies, governments
  or public sector institutions can obtain funding through the sale of a
  new stock or bond issue.

• In the case of a new stock issue, this sale is an initial public offering
  (IPO).

• Features Of Primary Market are:
   – Market for new long term capital.
   – Securities are sold for the first time.
   – Issued by the company directly to investors

• Methods of issuing securities in the Primary Market
   – Initial Public Offer;
   – Rights Issue (For existing Companies); and
   – Preferential Issue.
                                                        6
Secondary Market

• It is the market for trading of securities that have
  already been issued in an initial offering
• Once a newly issued stock is listed on a stock exchange,
  investors and speculators can easily trade on the
  exchange
• A stock exchange is an organization which provides
  facilities for stock brokers and traders, to trade company
  stocks and other securities.




                                             7
Equity




         8
Understanding Equity



Equity is the form of shares of common stock. As a unit
of ownership, common stock typically carries voting
rights that can be exercised in company decisions




                                          9
Ordinary shares - Equities

• Part Owners of Company
   – Voting
   – receive annual report and accounts
   – entitlement to residual assets in case of winding up

• No Actual Ownership of Company Assets




                                            10
Preference shares

• Fixed Dividend
• Priority for dividend
• Priority on liquidation of company




                                       11
Terminology




              12
EPS: Earning per Share

• Earning per share: PAT/ No of equity share

• PAT: Profit after tax of the company

It denote the how much the company has earned on per
share.

            Particulars         ABC Co Ltd XYZ Co Ltd

            No of shares           540        300

        PAT( Last 4 quarters)      60          25

                EPS                 9          12

                                               13
P/E Ratio

• Market price / number of shares outstanding
• It tells how much investment one has to make to earn
  one rupee of income.
• P/E could be either trailing or forward, depending on
  the type of earnings used in the denominator.

        Particulars         ABC Co Ltd   XYZ Co Ltd
           Price               100          200
  EPS (Earning per share)       5            20
     P/E Computation          (100/5)     (200/20)
         P/E Ratio              20           10



                                           14
Dividend Yield

•   Dividend is declared on the face value of the share.
•   The market price and face value of the share differs
•   Divided yield: Dividend/ price
•   In case of a dividend paying company, there is a cut off
    day – till the cut off day the price is CUM-dividend and
    after that EX-dividend.

                                ABC Co Ltd            XYZ Co Ltd
    Current Market price (Rs)        500                      350

    Dividend per share                20                       5

    Dividend yield                     4                      1.43
                                    High D/Y paying
                                    High D/Y paying                Low D/Y paying
                                                                   Low D/Y paying
                                      Company
                                      Company            15          Company
                                                                     Company
Market capitalization

• It gives the idea as how big the company.

                      Price x No. of share
    Where,
        Price: Market price
        No of share: No of fully diluted share


         Example               XYZ Co Ltd        ABC Co Ltd
   Current Price                   200               230
   No of share (Cr)              10000               2000
   Market Capitalization       200 x 10000        230 x 2000
   Market cap                   2000000             460000
                                             Large Cap 16
                                             Large Cap         Small Cap
Index

• A broad-base index represents the performance of a
  whole stock market — and by proxy, reflects investor
  sentiment on the state of the economy.

   – Meaning – represents the value of a set of stocks;
     relative in value
   – Importance
      • Barometer for market behavior
      • Benchmark portfolio performance
      • Underlying in derivative instruments like index
        futures
      • Passive fund management (index funds)

                                            17
Index: Sensex


• Short form of the BSE-Sensitive Index
• Is a "Market Capitalization-Weighted" index of 30 stocks
  representing a sample of large, well-established and
  financially sound companies.
• Base period of SENSEX is 1978-79. Actual total market value
  of the stocks in the Index during the base period is equal to
  an indexed value of 100.
Calculation:
• Divide the total market capitalization of 30 companies in the
  Index by the Index Divisor. The Divisor is the only link to the
  original base period value of the SENSEX.


                                                 18
Types of equity research
• Fundamental analysis – Future earnings and risk profile
  considered ( whether to buy or not)

• Technical analysis – Study of historic data on the
  company’s share price movements and volume (To find
  timing)




                                            19
Valuations

• Valuation - process of determining the fair value of a financial
  asset.
• Also referred to as ‘valuing’ or ‘pricing’.
• The fundamental principle of valuation - value is equal to present
  value of expected cash flows.
• Valuations of financial assets involve the following three steps:

      Step 1: Estimate the expected cash flows


      Step 2: Determine the appropriate interest rate that should be used to
      discount the cash flows.


      Step 3: Calculate the present value of expected cash flows found in
      Step 1, using the interest rate or interest rate determined in Step 2.
                                                            20
Equity Valuation

• The valuation of equity share is more difficult.
• The difficulties arise because of two factors first the
  rate of dividend on equity share is not known also the
  payment of equity dividend is discretionary.




                                             21
Valuation Process

• There are two general approaches to the valuation
  process
   – Top- Down (three step) Approach
   – Bottom Up/ Stock Picking Approach

• Three step approach believe that the economy/ market
  and the industry effect have a significant impact on the
  total returns for the individual stock.

• The stock picking contend that it is possible to find
  stocks that are undervalued relative to their market
  price and these will provide superior returns regardless
  of the market and industry outlook.
                                            22
The Bulls

                                                                                                          A bull market is when everything in the economy is
                                                                                                          great, people are finding jobs, gross domestic
                                                                                                          product (GDP) is growing, and stocks are rising.

Picking stocks during a bull market is easier because everything is going up.

Bull markets cannot last forever though, and sometimes they can lead to dangerous situations if stocks become overvalued.

If a person is optimistic and believes that stocks will go up, he or she is called a "bull" and is said to have a "bullish outlook".




                                                                                                                           23
The Bears

 A bear market is when the economy is bad, recession is looming and
stock prices are falling.

Bear markets make it tough for investors to pick profitable stocks.

 One solution to this is to make money when stocks are falling using a
technique called short selling.

Another strategy is to wait on the sidelines until you feel that the
bear market is nearing its end, only starting to buy in anticipation of
a bull market.

 If a person is pessimistic, believing that stocks are going to drop, he
or she is called a "bear" and said to have a "bearish outlook".


                                                       24
Risk consideration

   Investment Risk: It is the total risk of the investment in
   stock which is measured by Standard deviation. It can
   be separated into systematic risk (non diversifiable
   risk) Plus Unsystematic Risk (Diversifiable Risk)
A) Systematic Risk: It includes risks that affect the entire market e.g.
   market risk, interest rate risk. Systematic risk cannot be eliminated
   through diversification because it affects the entire market. Beta is a
   measure by which systematic risk is determined.
B) Unsystematic risk:       It is unique to a single business or industry, such
   as operations and methods of financing. Unlike systematic risk,
   unsystematic risk can be eliminated through diversification.




                                                            25
Beta

• Beta is a measure of the systematic risk of a security
  that cannot be avoided through diversification.
• Beta is a relative measure of risk-the risk of an
  individual stock relative to the market portfolio of all
  stocks.
• If the stock has a beta of 1, the implication is that the
  stock moves exactly with the market.
• A beta of 1.2 is 20 percent riskier than the market and
  0.8 is 20 percent less risky than the market.




                                             26
Return Computation

• Total return or Holding period return: The period during
  which the investment is held by the investor is known as holding
  period and the return generated on that investment is called as
  holding period return during that period.



• Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR): The year-
  over-year growth rate of an investment over a specified period of
  time.




                                                    27
CAGR Computation
• Suppose you invested Rs. 10,000 in a portfolio on Jan 1, 2005. Let's
  say by Jan 1, 2006, your portfolio had grown to Rs. 13,000, then
  Rs. 14,000 by 2007, and finally ended up at Rs. 19,500 by 2008.
  Your CAGR would be the ratio of your ending value to beginning
  value (Rs. 19,500 / Rs. 10,000 = 1.95) raised to the power of 1/3
  (since 1/# of years = 1/3), then subtracting 1 from the resulting
  number:
  1.95 raised to 1/3 power = 1.2493. (This could be written as
  1.95^0.3333). 
  1.2493 - 1 = 0.2493


• Another way of writing 0.2493 is 24.93%.
  Thus, your CAGR for your three-year investment is equal to
  24.93%, representing the smoothed annualized gain you earned
  over your investment time horizon.

                                                     28
Risk Adjusted Return

• A higher return by itself is not necessarily indicative of
  superior performance.
• Alternately, a lower return is not indicative of inferior
  performance.
• There are composite equity portfolio measures that
  combine risk and return to give quantifiable risk-
  adjusted numbers.
• The most important and widely used measures of
  performance are:
   – The Sharpe Measure
   – The Treynor Measure


                                              29
The Treynor Measure

• Relative measure of the risk adjusted performance of a
  portfolio based on the market risk (i.e. the systematic
  risk).

• Treynor Index (Ti) = (Ri - Rf)/Bi.

• Where, Rp represents return on portfolio, Rf is risk free
  rate of return and Bi is beta of the portfolio.




                                             30
The Sharpe Measure

• Relative measure of risk adjusted performance of a
  portfolio based on total risk (systematic risk +
  nonsystematic risk).

• Standard deviation is used as the measure for the total
  risk. In comparing, bigger is better

   Sharpe Index (SI) = (Rp - Rf)/SD

• Where, SD is standard deviation of the fund, Rp is the
  portfolio rate of return and Rf is the risk free rate of
  return.
                                             31
Long Term Investors Get Rewarded




                       32
Fixed Income Securities




                    33
Introduction to Bonds




A financial obligation to pay a specified sum of money at
    specified future date- Fixed Income Investment




                                          34
Basic Features

• Term to Maturity: The number of years the debt is outstanding.

• Par Value: The agreed repayment amount to the bondholder at or
  by maturity date.

• Coupon Rate (Nominal Rate): The interest rate that the issuer
  agrees to pay each year.

• Zero Coupon Bond: Bonds that are not contracted to make periodic
  coupon payment.




                                                   35
Floating Rate Securities

• Coupon rate need not be fixed over the bond’s life.
• Floating rate securities - coupon payments reset periodically
  according to some reference rate.
• Calculated as
   – Coupon rate = reference rate x Quoted margin
• Quoted margin: additional amount that the issuer agrees to pay
  above the reference rate.



      Coupon rate = 1 month MIBOR +Quoted Basis point


                                                    36
Classification of Bonds

   Market                Issuer                               Instruments
  Segment
Government        Central Government       Zero Coupon Bonds, Coupon Bearing Bonds, Treasury
 Securities                                                    Bills, STRIPS

                   State Governments                     Coupon Bearing Bonds.

Public Sector    Government Agencies /            Govt. Guaranteed Bonds, Debentures
   Bonds            Statutory Bodies

                   Public Sector Units         PSU Bonds, Debentures, Commercial Paper

Private Sector         Corporate           Debentures, Bonds, Commercial Paper, Floating Rate
    Bonds                                    Bonds, Zero Coupon Bonds, Inter-Corporate Deposits

                          Banks                Certificates of Deposits, Debentures, Bonds

                  Financial Institutions             Certificates of Deposits, Bonds




                                                                        37
Risk associated with Fixed
                 Income Securities

• Interest rate risk: Inverse Relationship between Interest or Yield
  and bond price.
• Following relationship will hold:
    – Price of a bond = par if coupon rate = yield.
    – Price of a bond can be < par (sell at discount) or > par (sell at
      a premium) if the coupon rate is different from yield.
• Maturity Effect: All other factors constant, the longer maturity,
  greater the price sensitivity to interest rates changes.




                                                      38
Risk associated with Fixed
                 Income Securities
• Reinvestment risk: Risk of reinvestment of interest income or
  principal repayments at lower rates in a declining rate
  environment.

• Credit risk: An investor who lends funds by purchasing a bond issue
  is exposed to credit risk.

• There are two types of credit risk:

   – Default Risk: Risk that the issuer will not meet the obligation
     of timely payment of interest & principle.

   – Downgrade Risk: Risk that one or more of the rating agencies
     will reduce the credit rating of an issue or issuer.

                                                     39
What is a credit rating ?

• Rating organizations evaluate credit worthiness of an issuer .
• Evaluation on ability to pay back debt.
• The rating is an alphanumeric code representing creditworthiness.
• The highest credit rating - AAA & lowest - D (for default).
• Short-term instruments* rating symbol - "P" (varies depending on
  the rating agency).
• In India, we have 4 rating agencies:

       CRISIL                ICRA

        CARE                 Fitch



                 *of less than one year
                                                   40
Credit Rating

• An important tool used to gauge the default risk of an issue -
  credit ratings by rating companies.
                  Agency       Moody’s/ ICRA   S & Ps/ CRISIL            Description

                                                                     Gilt edge, prime, Maximum
   Highest Quality                  Aaa             AAA                        safety

                                                                      High Grade, High Credit
   High Quality                     Aa              AA                        quality

   Upper Medium                      A               A                 Upper Medium Grade


   Medium                           Baa             BBB                Lower Medium Grade


   Somewhat Speculative             Ba              BB                Low grade, Speculative


   Speculative                       B               B                  Highly Speculative

                                                                      Substantial risk, in poor
   Highly Speculative               Caa             CCC                      standing

                                                                      May be in default, very
   Most Speculative                 Ca              CC                     speculative


   Imminent Default                  C               C                 Extremely speculative

   Default                           D               D                        Default

                                                                41
Risk associated with Fixed
                  Income Securities
• Inflation Risk/Purchasing power risk: Risk of decline in the real
  value of the security due to inflation.

• Liquidity Risk: Liquidity risk is the risk that the investor will have
  to sell a bond below its expected value.




                                                        42
Relationship between
              parameters
• The relationship between coupon rate, yield, price and par value
  are as follows:

   – Coupon rate = Yield required by market, therefore price = par
     value

   – Coupon rate < Yield required by market, therefore price < par
     value (discount)

   – Coupon rate > Yield required by market, therefore price > par
     value (premium)




                                                   43
Yield Measures

• Investor should value bonds in terms of Yields and in not rupee
  terms.
• For fixed income instruments, returns can be from :
       • Coupon interest payment
       • Capital gain on sale or maturity
       • Reinvestment of interim cash flow.
• Current Yield: relates coupon interest to bond’s market price.
• Same as dividend yield to stocks.
• Computed as follows
       • Current yield= Annual coupon / market price




                                                    44
Yield to Maturity

• The Yield to maturity is interest rate that will make the present
  value of the cash flow equal to price plus accrued interest. It is
  also known as IRR of bond.

• It takes in to account all three sources of return.

• The most widely used bond yield figure as it indicates the fully
  compounded rate of return promised to an investor who buys the
  bond at prevailing prices, if two assumptions hold true.

        • The first assumption is that the investor holds the bond to
          maturity.
        • Investors reinvest all the interim cash flows at the
          computed YTM rate.

                                                        45
Debt Markets

• Capital Markets comprise of :
   – Equities Market &
   – Debt Markets.

• The Debt Market - where fixed income securities of various types
  and features are issued and traded.

• Fixed income securities can be issued by:
   – Central and State Governments,
   – Public Bodies,
   – Statutory corporations and corporate bodies.




                                                    46
Indian Debt Markets

• Indian Debt Markets - one of the largest in Asia today.

• Government Securities (G-Secs) market - the oldest & largest
  component of Indian Debt Market in terms of capitalization,
  outstanding securities & trading volumes.

• G-Secs- Benchmark for determining level of interest rates in the
  country are the yields on government securities , referred to as
  the risk-free rate of return.

• The Indian Debt Market structure was a wholesale market with
  participation largely restricted to the Banks, Institutions and the
  Primary Dealers.

• The Retail Debt Market in India has been created recently.

                                                      47
Segments in the secondary
                 debt market
• The segments in the secondary debt market based on the
  characteristics of the investors and the structure of the market
  are:

   – Wholesale Debt Market - investors are mostly Banks, Financial
     Institutions, the RBI, Primary Dealers, Insurance companies,
     MFs, Corporates and FIIs.

   – Retail Debt Market involving participation by individual
     investors, provident funds, pension funds, private trusts, NBFCs
     and other legal entities in addition to the wholesale investor
     classes




                                                     48
Money Market Instruments

• Money markets - markets for debt instruments with maturity up to
  one year.

• Money markets allow banks to manage their liquidity as well as
  provide central bank a means to implement monetary policy.

• The most active part of the money market - call money market
  (i.e. market for overnight and term money between banks and
  institutions) and the market for repo transactions.

• The former is in the form of loans and the latter are sale and
  buyback agreements - both are obviously not traded.

• The main traded instruments are Commercial Papers (CPs),
  Certificates of Deposit (CDs) and Treasury Bills (T-Bills).

                                                     49
Commercial Paper

• A Commercial Paper is a short term unsecured promissory note
  issued by the raiser of debt to the investor.

• In India; corporate & Financial Institutions (FIs) can issue these
  notes.

• Generally companies with very good ratings are active in the CP
  market, though RBI permits a minimum credit rating of Crisil-P2.

• Tenure of CPs - anything between 15 days to one year, the most
  popular duration being 90 days.

• Companies use CPs to save interest costs.


                                                      50
Certificates of Deposit

• Issued by banks in denominations of Rs.5 lakhs & have maturity
  ranging from 30 days to 3 years.

• Banks are allowed to issue CDs with a maturity of less than one
  year

• Financial institutions are allowed to issue CDs with a maturity of at
  least one year.




                                                     51
Treasury Bills (T-Bills)

• T- Bills: instruments issued by RBI at a discount to face value

• Form an integral part of the money market.

• In India treasury bills are issued in four different maturities—14
   days, 90 days, 182 days and 364 days.

• Apart from these, certain other short-term instruments are also
   popular with investors.

• These include short-term corporate debentures, bills of exchange
   and promissory notes.



                                                      52
Mutual Fund




              53
Introduction

• It is a pool of money, collected from investors, and is
  invested according to certain investment objectives

• The ownership of the fund is thus joint or mutual, the
  fund belongs to all investors.

• A mutual funds business is to invest the funds thus
  collected, according to the wishes of the investors who
  created the pool

• e.g. money market mutual fund seeks investors to
  invest predominantly in Money Market Instruments
                                             54
Important characteristics

• The ownership is in the hands of the investors who have
  pooled in their funds.
• It is managed by a team of investment professionals and
  other service providers.
• The pool of funds is invested in a portfolio of
  marketable investments.
• The investors share is denominated by ‘units’ whose
  value is called as Net Asset Value (NAV) which changes
  everyday.
• The investment portfolio is created according to the
  stated investment objectives of the fund.


                                           55
Advantages & Disadvantages

Advantage:
• Portfolio diversification
• Professional Management
• Reduction in Risk
• Reduction in Transaction costs
• Liquidity
• Convenience and Flexibility
• Safety – Well regulated by SEBI

Disadvantage:
• No control over the costs. Regulators limit the expenses of Mutual
   Funds. Fees are paid as percentage of the value of investment.
• No tailor made portfolios.
• Managing a portfolio of funds. (Investor has to hold a portfolio for
   funds for different objectives)
                                                       56
Type of mutual Fund: By
                    Structure

Open Ended Fund:

Investors can buy and sell units of the fund, at NAV related prices, at any time,
directly from the fund.

Open ended scheme are offered for sale at a pre- specified price, say Rs. 10, in
the initial offer period. After a pre-specified period say 30 days, the fund is
declared open for further sales and repurchases

Investors receive account statements of their holdings,

The number of outstanding units goes up and down

The unit capital is not fixed but variable.


                                                              57
Type of mutual Fund: By
              Structure
Closed Ended fund:
• A closed -end fund is open for sale to investors for a
  specified period, after which further sales are closed.

• Any further transactions happen in the secondary
  market where closed-end funds are listed.

• The price at which the units are sold or redeemed
  depends on the market prices, which are fundamentally
  linked to the NAV.



                                             58
Types of Funds - By Investment
               Objective


  Equity                    Debt           Money Market


Equity Funds           Fixed Income        Money Market
Index Funds               Funds            Mutual Funds
Sector Funds            GILT Funds


           Balanced Funds




                                      59
Gilt Funds

• Invests only in securities that are issued by the Government and
  therefore do not carry any credit risk.

• Government papers are called as dated securities also.

• It invests in both long-term and short-term paper.

• Ideal for institutional investors who have to invest in Govt.
  Securities.

• Enables retail Participation




                                                       60
ELSS (Equity Linked Saving
                Scheme)
• 3 year lock in period
• Minimum investment of 90% in equity markets at all times
• So ELSS investment automatically leads to investment in equity
  shares.
• Open or closed ended.
• Eligible under Section 80 C
• Dividends are tax free.
• Benefit of Long term Capital gain taxation.




                                                   61
Fixed Term Plan Series

• FTPs are closed ended in nature.
• AMC issues a fixed number of units for each series only
  once and closes the issue after an initial offering
  period.
• Fixed Term plan are usually for shorter term – less than
  a year.
• They are not listed on a stock exchange.
• FTP series are likely to be an Income scheme.
• Good alternate of Bank deposits/ corporate deposits.




                                            62
Money Market Mutual Fund

• Money funds provide investors with current income and are
  managed to maintain a stable share price.

• Because of their stability, money funds are often used for cash
  reserves or money that might be needed right away.

• Money funds typically invest in short-term, high-quality, fixed-
  income securities, such as T-Bills, CDs and CPs

• Income from money funds is generally determined by short-term
  interest rates.




                                                     63
How does a Mutual Fund work?


                                            AMC
                 Savings

                              Trust                   Investments
                  Units
Unit holders                                Returns



                            Registrar

                             Trust
          SEB
          I           Custodian       AMC




                                                64
Loads
• Load is charged to investor when the investor buys or redeems
  units. It is primarily used to meet the expenses related to sale and
  distribution of units

• Load charged on sale of units is entry load. It increases the price
  above the NAV for new investor.

• Load charged on redemption is exit load. It reduces price.

• Maximum Entry load or Exit load is 7%.( For Open ended Funds)

• Max. Entry or Exit load for closed ended funds is 5%

• CDSC is an exit load that varies with holding period.

• Load is an amount which is recovered from the investor.

                                                      65
Net Assets Value

• The net assets represent the market value of assets
  which belong to the investors, on a given date.

• Net assets are calculated as:

Market value of investments
Plus(+) current assets and other assets
Plus(+) accrued income
Less(-) current liabilities and other liabilities
Less(-) accrued expenses


                                                66
NAV Computation

• Unit capital of a MF scheme is Rs.20 million. The
  market value of investments is Rs. 55 million. The
  number of units is 1 million. The NAV is
   – Rs. 20
   – Rs. 75
   – Rs.55
   – Not possible to say




                                            67
Fund Management




                  68
Active fund management

Fund manager tends to look at specific attributes in selecting stocks.

Active fund manager believes, that his ability to buy right stock at the right
   time, can translate into superior performance for his portfolio.

 What are the basic active equity fund management style?

 Growth Investment style – Objective is capital appreciation, look for companies
 that are expected to give above average earnings growth, The shares are more
 risky and thus expected to offer higher returns over a long investment horizons.
 Relatively higher P/E ratio and have lower dividend yield

 Value Investment Style – Look for companies that are currently undervalued but
 whose worth will be recognized eventually.


                                                              69
Passive fund management

• Fund manager believes, that holding a well diversified
  portfolio is the cost efficient way ,to better returns, he
  would tend to mimic the market index.
• It requires limited research and monitoring costs and is
  therefore cheaper.
• Fund manager may choose to mimic a index, or a subset
  of the index or choose a basket of shares from multiple
  indices.
• A passive fund manager has to rebalance his portfolio
  every time changes are made in the index.



                                             70
Performance Measurement

• Returns comes form dividend or capital gains.
• Rate of Return =(Income Earned/Amount invested)x100
• Simple total return=
      {NAV(end) – NAV ( begin)}+ Dividend paid x100

              NAV at beginning
• Rule of 72 is a thumb rule used in finding doubling
  period. If Rate = 12%, then money will double in 72/12
  = 6 years.
• CAGR
• While comparing funds performance with peer group
  funds, size and composition of the portfolios should be
  comparable.                                71
Investment Plans

• Broadly 2 options- Growth option and Dividend Option
• Automatic Reinvestment Plans– Benefit of Power of
  Compounding.
• Systematic Investment Plans – For regular investment
• Systematic Withdrawal Plan – For regular income ( it is
  not similar to MIP)
• Systematic Transfer Plan




                                            72
Wealth cycle for investors

       Stage                 Financial needs                    Investment preferences
Accumulation stage    Investing for long term identifed   Growth options and long term
                      financial goals                     products.High risk appetite
Transition Stage      Near term needs for funds as        Liquid and medium term investments.
                      pre-specified needs draw closer     Lower risk appetite
                                                           
Reaping Stage         Higher liquidity requirements       Liquid and medium term investments.
                                                          Preference for income and debt
                       
                                                              products
                                                           
                      Long term investment of
Inter Generational                                        Low liquidity needs.
                          inheritance
                                                          Ability to take risk and invest for the
transfer               
                                                               long term
                                                           
Sudden wealth surge   Medium to long term                 Wealth preservation.
                                                          Preference for low risk products

                                                                           73
Financial Planning Strategies

• Power of Compounding

• Buy and hold

• Rupee cost averaging:

   – A fixed amount is invested at regular intervals

   – More units are bought when prices are low and fewer units are

     bought when prices are high. Over a period of time, the

     average purchase price of investor is lower than average NAV.

   – Its disadvantage : Does not indicate when to sell or switch.
                                                       74
Economic Environment and Indicators




                           75
Importance of Economic and
              Business Environment
• Significant implications on the investment
  recommendation.

• Recommendations depend on a number of assumptions
  about the future performance of the economy.

• Financial advisors should always keep a track of
  economic environment to make reasonable
  assumptions.

• A thorough understanding of economic environment
  helps in reviewing the existing financial situation.

                                            76
Gross Domestic Product

• There are three ways to derive GDP:
   – The sum of all expenditures,
   – The sum of all incomes, and
   – The sum of all value added by business




                                              77
ECONOMIC FACTORS: GNP & GDP


Gross National
 Gross National             This is the value of output of goods and services
                             This is the value of output of goods and services
Product (GNP)
 Product (GNP)           produced by Indian companies, regardless of whether
                          produced by Indian companies, regardless of whether
                              the production is inside or outside the India
                               the production is inside or outside the India

                             The value of output of goods and services produced
                              The value of output of goods and services produced
Gross Domestic
 Gross Domestic             in the country, regardless of whether businesses are
Product (GDP)                in the country, regardless of whether businesses are
 Product (GDP)                   owned and operated by Indians or foreigners.
                                  owned and operated by Indians or foreigners.




                                        -
                                                                       profits on

                  =                                          +
                                               profits on
Gross National
 Gross National       Gross Domestic
                       Gross Domestic                                Indian owned
                                             foreign owned
Product (GNP)
 Product (GNP)        Product (GDP)
                       Product (GDP)                                   businesses
                                               businesses
                                                                     outside India



                                                             78
GDP
GDP is the measure of total value of final goods and services produced in
the domestic economy each year. The following is often used

  GDP=
  GDP=          C + II + G +
                C+ +G+               (X- M)
                                      (X- M)
   C = personal consumption spending on goods and services
    C = personal consumption spending on goods and services

   I I= Private sector fixed capital expenditure
       = Private sector fixed capital expenditure

   G = Government expenditure
   G = Government expenditure

   (X-M)= Net of export receipts (X) and import payments (M)
    (X-M)= Net of export receipts (X) and import payments (M)
The relationship highlights actual rupee expenditure for goods and services produced
in the economy for measuring GDP.
This equation includes all key players involved in the economy – consumers /
households, business (private sector) and government.
For living standards to rise in India, GDP must grow at a faster rate than the
population. This way, there is greater quantity of goods and services per person.
                                                                    79
Example

The following information is available for an economy.
      Consumption (C) = Rs 3000
      Private Investment (I) = Rs 500
      Government Expenditure (G) = Rs 2000
      Exports (E) = Rs 1000
      Imports = Rs 1500
      Calculate the GDP for the economy?

Answer:
     GDP     = 3000 + 500 + 2000 + (1000-1500)
             = 5500 – 500
             = 5000
                                           80
Inflation
• A situation of rising prices. Inflation refers to a persistent rise in prices.
  Simply put, it is a situation of too much money and too few goods.

• The most popular measure of inflation in India is change in the Whole Price
  Index (WPI) over a period of time.

• The WPI is an index measure of the wholesale prices of a selected basket of
  goods and services in the economy. The WPI is expressed as a percentage
  with reference to some base year, according to a formula

• WPI= (aggregate price for current year/aggregate price for the base year)*
  100

• An alternative measure is consumer price Index, which is concerned with the
  consumer market for goods and services. There is a considerable co-
  movement between these two indices with the CPI tending to follow the WPI
  with a lag.

• The converse of inflation, that is, deflation, is the persistent falling of
  prices. RBI can reduce the supply of money or increase interest rates to
  reduce inflation.
                                                                81
Monetary Policy

• Monetary policy is the process by which the central
  bank of a country controls the supply of money, cost of
  money or rate of interest.

• The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) controls and influences
  the economy by means of monetary and credit policy.




                                            82
Some Monetary Policy terms

• Bank Rate
   – Bank rate is the minimum rate at which the central bank provides loans
     to the commercial banks. It is also called the discount rate.
   – Usually, an increase in bank rate results in commercial banks increasing
     their lending rates. Changes in bank rate affect credit creation by banks
     through altering the cost of credit.
   – Bank Rate is at 6.0 per cent.

• Cash Reserve Ratio
   – All commercial banks are required to keep a certain amount of its
     deposits in cash with RBI. This percentage is called the cash reserve
     ratio.
   – It is cash as a percentage of demand and time liabilities that bank
     maimtain with RBI
   – Cash reserve ratio (CRR) of scheduled banks increased to 8.25 per cent
     with effect from the fortnight beginning May 24, 2008.


                                                          83
Some Monetary Policy terms

• Open Market Operations
   – An important instrument of credit control, the Reserve Bank of
     India purchases and sells securities in open market operations.

   – In times of inflation, RBI sells securities to mop up the excess
     money in the market. Similarly, to increase the supply of
     money, RBI purchases securities.

• Statutory Liquidity Ratio
   – Banks in India are required to maintain 25 per cent of their
     deposits in government securities and certain approved
     securities.

   – These are collectively known as SLR securities.

                                                     84
Thank You!




             85

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  • 2. You will understand • The component and Structure of financial market. • The working of the equity as an asset class. • The working of the Fixed Income Securities. • The working of mutual fund products. • Economic Environment and indicators. • How to recommend a investment portfolio. 2
  • 3. Financial Markets Organizations that facilitate the trade in financial products. i.e. Stock exchanges facilitate the trade in stocks, bonds and warrants 3
  • 4. Types of financial markets The financial markets can be divided into different categories: – Capital Market • Stock markets, which provide financing through the issuance of shares and enable the subsequent trading. • Bond markets, which provide financing through the issuance of Bonds, and enable the subsequent trading. – Money markets, which provide short term debt financing and investment. – Derivatives markets, which provide instruments for the management of financial risk. – Foreign exchange markets, which facilitate the trading of foreign exchange. – Commodity markets, which facilitate the trading of commodities. 4
  • 5. Capital Market • The capital market is the market for securities, where companies and governments can raise long-term funds. • The capital market includes the stock market and the bond market. • Financial regulators oversee the capital markets to ensure that investors are protected against fraud. • The capital markets consist of primary markets and secondary markets. – Primary markets: Newly formed (issued) securities are bought or sold. – Secondary markets allow investors to sell securities that they hold or buy existing securities. 5
  • 6. Primary Market • It deals with the issuance of new securities. Companies, governments or public sector institutions can obtain funding through the sale of a new stock or bond issue. • In the case of a new stock issue, this sale is an initial public offering (IPO). • Features Of Primary Market are: – Market for new long term capital. – Securities are sold for the first time. – Issued by the company directly to investors • Methods of issuing securities in the Primary Market – Initial Public Offer; – Rights Issue (For existing Companies); and – Preferential Issue. 6
  • 7. Secondary Market • It is the market for trading of securities that have already been issued in an initial offering • Once a newly issued stock is listed on a stock exchange, investors and speculators can easily trade on the exchange • A stock exchange is an organization which provides facilities for stock brokers and traders, to trade company stocks and other securities. 7
  • 8. Equity 8
  • 9. Understanding Equity Equity is the form of shares of common stock. As a unit of ownership, common stock typically carries voting rights that can be exercised in company decisions 9
  • 10. Ordinary shares - Equities • Part Owners of Company – Voting – receive annual report and accounts – entitlement to residual assets in case of winding up • No Actual Ownership of Company Assets 10
  • 11. Preference shares • Fixed Dividend • Priority for dividend • Priority on liquidation of company 11
  • 13. EPS: Earning per Share • Earning per share: PAT/ No of equity share • PAT: Profit after tax of the company It denote the how much the company has earned on per share. Particulars ABC Co Ltd XYZ Co Ltd No of shares 540 300 PAT( Last 4 quarters) 60 25 EPS 9 12 13
  • 14. P/E Ratio • Market price / number of shares outstanding • It tells how much investment one has to make to earn one rupee of income. • P/E could be either trailing or forward, depending on the type of earnings used in the denominator. Particulars ABC Co Ltd XYZ Co Ltd Price 100 200 EPS (Earning per share) 5 20 P/E Computation (100/5) (200/20) P/E Ratio 20 10 14
  • 15. Dividend Yield • Dividend is declared on the face value of the share. • The market price and face value of the share differs • Divided yield: Dividend/ price • In case of a dividend paying company, there is a cut off day – till the cut off day the price is CUM-dividend and after that EX-dividend. ABC Co Ltd XYZ Co Ltd Current Market price (Rs) 500 350 Dividend per share 20 5 Dividend yield 4 1.43 High D/Y paying High D/Y paying Low D/Y paying Low D/Y paying Company Company 15 Company Company
  • 16. Market capitalization • It gives the idea as how big the company. Price x No. of share Where, Price: Market price No of share: No of fully diluted share Example XYZ Co Ltd ABC Co Ltd Current Price 200 230 No of share (Cr) 10000 2000 Market Capitalization 200 x 10000 230 x 2000 Market cap 2000000 460000 Large Cap 16 Large Cap Small Cap
  • 17. Index • A broad-base index represents the performance of a whole stock market — and by proxy, reflects investor sentiment on the state of the economy. – Meaning – represents the value of a set of stocks; relative in value – Importance • Barometer for market behavior • Benchmark portfolio performance • Underlying in derivative instruments like index futures • Passive fund management (index funds) 17
  • 18. Index: Sensex • Short form of the BSE-Sensitive Index • Is a "Market Capitalization-Weighted" index of 30 stocks representing a sample of large, well-established and financially sound companies. • Base period of SENSEX is 1978-79. Actual total market value of the stocks in the Index during the base period is equal to an indexed value of 100. Calculation: • Divide the total market capitalization of 30 companies in the Index by the Index Divisor. The Divisor is the only link to the original base period value of the SENSEX. 18
  • 19. Types of equity research • Fundamental analysis – Future earnings and risk profile considered ( whether to buy or not) • Technical analysis – Study of historic data on the company’s share price movements and volume (To find timing) 19
  • 20. Valuations • Valuation - process of determining the fair value of a financial asset. • Also referred to as ‘valuing’ or ‘pricing’. • The fundamental principle of valuation - value is equal to present value of expected cash flows. • Valuations of financial assets involve the following three steps: Step 1: Estimate the expected cash flows Step 2: Determine the appropriate interest rate that should be used to discount the cash flows. Step 3: Calculate the present value of expected cash flows found in Step 1, using the interest rate or interest rate determined in Step 2. 20
  • 21. Equity Valuation • The valuation of equity share is more difficult. • The difficulties arise because of two factors first the rate of dividend on equity share is not known also the payment of equity dividend is discretionary. 21
  • 22. Valuation Process • There are two general approaches to the valuation process – Top- Down (three step) Approach – Bottom Up/ Stock Picking Approach • Three step approach believe that the economy/ market and the industry effect have a significant impact on the total returns for the individual stock. • The stock picking contend that it is possible to find stocks that are undervalued relative to their market price and these will provide superior returns regardless of the market and industry outlook. 22
  • 23. The Bulls A bull market is when everything in the economy is great, people are finding jobs, gross domestic product (GDP) is growing, and stocks are rising. Picking stocks during a bull market is easier because everything is going up. Bull markets cannot last forever though, and sometimes they can lead to dangerous situations if stocks become overvalued. If a person is optimistic and believes that stocks will go up, he or she is called a "bull" and is said to have a "bullish outlook". 23
  • 24. The Bears A bear market is when the economy is bad, recession is looming and stock prices are falling. Bear markets make it tough for investors to pick profitable stocks. One solution to this is to make money when stocks are falling using a technique called short selling. Another strategy is to wait on the sidelines until you feel that the bear market is nearing its end, only starting to buy in anticipation of a bull market. If a person is pessimistic, believing that stocks are going to drop, he or she is called a "bear" and said to have a "bearish outlook". 24
  • 25. Risk consideration Investment Risk: It is the total risk of the investment in stock which is measured by Standard deviation. It can be separated into systematic risk (non diversifiable risk) Plus Unsystematic Risk (Diversifiable Risk) A) Systematic Risk: It includes risks that affect the entire market e.g. market risk, interest rate risk. Systematic risk cannot be eliminated through diversification because it affects the entire market. Beta is a measure by which systematic risk is determined. B) Unsystematic risk: It is unique to a single business or industry, such as operations and methods of financing. Unlike systematic risk, unsystematic risk can be eliminated through diversification. 25
  • 26. Beta • Beta is a measure of the systematic risk of a security that cannot be avoided through diversification. • Beta is a relative measure of risk-the risk of an individual stock relative to the market portfolio of all stocks. • If the stock has a beta of 1, the implication is that the stock moves exactly with the market. • A beta of 1.2 is 20 percent riskier than the market and 0.8 is 20 percent less risky than the market. 26
  • 27. Return Computation • Total return or Holding period return: The period during which the investment is held by the investor is known as holding period and the return generated on that investment is called as holding period return during that period. • Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR): The year- over-year growth rate of an investment over a specified period of time. 27
  • 28. CAGR Computation • Suppose you invested Rs. 10,000 in a portfolio on Jan 1, 2005. Let's say by Jan 1, 2006, your portfolio had grown to Rs. 13,000, then Rs. 14,000 by 2007, and finally ended up at Rs. 19,500 by 2008. Your CAGR would be the ratio of your ending value to beginning value (Rs. 19,500 / Rs. 10,000 = 1.95) raised to the power of 1/3 (since 1/# of years = 1/3), then subtracting 1 from the resulting number: 1.95 raised to 1/3 power = 1.2493. (This could be written as 1.95^0.3333).  1.2493 - 1 = 0.2493 • Another way of writing 0.2493 is 24.93%. Thus, your CAGR for your three-year investment is equal to 24.93%, representing the smoothed annualized gain you earned over your investment time horizon. 28
  • 29. Risk Adjusted Return • A higher return by itself is not necessarily indicative of superior performance. • Alternately, a lower return is not indicative of inferior performance. • There are composite equity portfolio measures that combine risk and return to give quantifiable risk- adjusted numbers. • The most important and widely used measures of performance are: – The Sharpe Measure – The Treynor Measure 29
  • 30. The Treynor Measure • Relative measure of the risk adjusted performance of a portfolio based on the market risk (i.e. the systematic risk). • Treynor Index (Ti) = (Ri - Rf)/Bi. • Where, Rp represents return on portfolio, Rf is risk free rate of return and Bi is beta of the portfolio. 30
  • 31. The Sharpe Measure • Relative measure of risk adjusted performance of a portfolio based on total risk (systematic risk + nonsystematic risk). • Standard deviation is used as the measure for the total risk. In comparing, bigger is better Sharpe Index (SI) = (Rp - Rf)/SD • Where, SD is standard deviation of the fund, Rp is the portfolio rate of return and Rf is the risk free rate of return. 31
  • 32. Long Term Investors Get Rewarded 32
  • 34. Introduction to Bonds A financial obligation to pay a specified sum of money at specified future date- Fixed Income Investment 34
  • 35. Basic Features • Term to Maturity: The number of years the debt is outstanding. • Par Value: The agreed repayment amount to the bondholder at or by maturity date. • Coupon Rate (Nominal Rate): The interest rate that the issuer agrees to pay each year. • Zero Coupon Bond: Bonds that are not contracted to make periodic coupon payment. 35
  • 36. Floating Rate Securities • Coupon rate need not be fixed over the bond’s life. • Floating rate securities - coupon payments reset periodically according to some reference rate. • Calculated as – Coupon rate = reference rate x Quoted margin • Quoted margin: additional amount that the issuer agrees to pay above the reference rate. Coupon rate = 1 month MIBOR +Quoted Basis point 36
  • 37. Classification of Bonds Market Issuer Instruments Segment Government Central Government Zero Coupon Bonds, Coupon Bearing Bonds, Treasury Securities Bills, STRIPS State Governments Coupon Bearing Bonds. Public Sector Government Agencies / Govt. Guaranteed Bonds, Debentures Bonds Statutory Bodies Public Sector Units PSU Bonds, Debentures, Commercial Paper Private Sector Corporate Debentures, Bonds, Commercial Paper, Floating Rate Bonds Bonds, Zero Coupon Bonds, Inter-Corporate Deposits   Banks Certificates of Deposits, Debentures, Bonds   Financial Institutions Certificates of Deposits, Bonds 37
  • 38. Risk associated with Fixed Income Securities • Interest rate risk: Inverse Relationship between Interest or Yield and bond price. • Following relationship will hold: – Price of a bond = par if coupon rate = yield. – Price of a bond can be < par (sell at discount) or > par (sell at a premium) if the coupon rate is different from yield. • Maturity Effect: All other factors constant, the longer maturity, greater the price sensitivity to interest rates changes. 38
  • 39. Risk associated with Fixed Income Securities • Reinvestment risk: Risk of reinvestment of interest income or principal repayments at lower rates in a declining rate environment. • Credit risk: An investor who lends funds by purchasing a bond issue is exposed to credit risk. • There are two types of credit risk: – Default Risk: Risk that the issuer will not meet the obligation of timely payment of interest & principle. – Downgrade Risk: Risk that one or more of the rating agencies will reduce the credit rating of an issue or issuer. 39
  • 40. What is a credit rating ? • Rating organizations evaluate credit worthiness of an issuer . • Evaluation on ability to pay back debt. • The rating is an alphanumeric code representing creditworthiness. • The highest credit rating - AAA & lowest - D (for default). • Short-term instruments* rating symbol - "P" (varies depending on the rating agency). • In India, we have 4 rating agencies: CRISIL ICRA CARE Fitch *of less than one year 40
  • 41. Credit Rating • An important tool used to gauge the default risk of an issue - credit ratings by rating companies. Agency Moody’s/ ICRA S & Ps/ CRISIL Description Gilt edge, prime, Maximum Highest Quality Aaa AAA safety High Grade, High Credit High Quality Aa AA quality Upper Medium A A Upper Medium Grade Medium Baa BBB Lower Medium Grade Somewhat Speculative Ba BB Low grade, Speculative Speculative B B Highly Speculative Substantial risk, in poor Highly Speculative Caa CCC standing May be in default, very Most Speculative Ca CC speculative Imminent Default C C Extremely speculative Default D D Default 41
  • 42. Risk associated with Fixed Income Securities • Inflation Risk/Purchasing power risk: Risk of decline in the real value of the security due to inflation. • Liquidity Risk: Liquidity risk is the risk that the investor will have to sell a bond below its expected value. 42
  • 43. Relationship between parameters • The relationship between coupon rate, yield, price and par value are as follows: – Coupon rate = Yield required by market, therefore price = par value – Coupon rate < Yield required by market, therefore price < par value (discount) – Coupon rate > Yield required by market, therefore price > par value (premium) 43
  • 44. Yield Measures • Investor should value bonds in terms of Yields and in not rupee terms. • For fixed income instruments, returns can be from : • Coupon interest payment • Capital gain on sale or maturity • Reinvestment of interim cash flow. • Current Yield: relates coupon interest to bond’s market price. • Same as dividend yield to stocks. • Computed as follows • Current yield= Annual coupon / market price 44
  • 45. Yield to Maturity • The Yield to maturity is interest rate that will make the present value of the cash flow equal to price plus accrued interest. It is also known as IRR of bond. • It takes in to account all three sources of return. • The most widely used bond yield figure as it indicates the fully compounded rate of return promised to an investor who buys the bond at prevailing prices, if two assumptions hold true. • The first assumption is that the investor holds the bond to maturity. • Investors reinvest all the interim cash flows at the computed YTM rate. 45
  • 46. Debt Markets • Capital Markets comprise of : – Equities Market & – Debt Markets. • The Debt Market - where fixed income securities of various types and features are issued and traded. • Fixed income securities can be issued by: – Central and State Governments, – Public Bodies, – Statutory corporations and corporate bodies. 46
  • 47. Indian Debt Markets • Indian Debt Markets - one of the largest in Asia today. • Government Securities (G-Secs) market - the oldest & largest component of Indian Debt Market in terms of capitalization, outstanding securities & trading volumes. • G-Secs- Benchmark for determining level of interest rates in the country are the yields on government securities , referred to as the risk-free rate of return. • The Indian Debt Market structure was a wholesale market with participation largely restricted to the Banks, Institutions and the Primary Dealers. • The Retail Debt Market in India has been created recently. 47
  • 48. Segments in the secondary debt market • The segments in the secondary debt market based on the characteristics of the investors and the structure of the market are: – Wholesale Debt Market - investors are mostly Banks, Financial Institutions, the RBI, Primary Dealers, Insurance companies, MFs, Corporates and FIIs. – Retail Debt Market involving participation by individual investors, provident funds, pension funds, private trusts, NBFCs and other legal entities in addition to the wholesale investor classes 48
  • 49. Money Market Instruments • Money markets - markets for debt instruments with maturity up to one year. • Money markets allow banks to manage their liquidity as well as provide central bank a means to implement monetary policy. • The most active part of the money market - call money market (i.e. market for overnight and term money between banks and institutions) and the market for repo transactions. • The former is in the form of loans and the latter are sale and buyback agreements - both are obviously not traded. • The main traded instruments are Commercial Papers (CPs), Certificates of Deposit (CDs) and Treasury Bills (T-Bills). 49
  • 50. Commercial Paper • A Commercial Paper is a short term unsecured promissory note issued by the raiser of debt to the investor. • In India; corporate & Financial Institutions (FIs) can issue these notes. • Generally companies with very good ratings are active in the CP market, though RBI permits a minimum credit rating of Crisil-P2. • Tenure of CPs - anything between 15 days to one year, the most popular duration being 90 days. • Companies use CPs to save interest costs. 50
  • 51. Certificates of Deposit • Issued by banks in denominations of Rs.5 lakhs & have maturity ranging from 30 days to 3 years. • Banks are allowed to issue CDs with a maturity of less than one year • Financial institutions are allowed to issue CDs with a maturity of at least one year. 51
  • 52. Treasury Bills (T-Bills) • T- Bills: instruments issued by RBI at a discount to face value • Form an integral part of the money market. • In India treasury bills are issued in four different maturities—14 days, 90 days, 182 days and 364 days. • Apart from these, certain other short-term instruments are also popular with investors. • These include short-term corporate debentures, bills of exchange and promissory notes. 52
  • 54. Introduction • It is a pool of money, collected from investors, and is invested according to certain investment objectives • The ownership of the fund is thus joint or mutual, the fund belongs to all investors. • A mutual funds business is to invest the funds thus collected, according to the wishes of the investors who created the pool • e.g. money market mutual fund seeks investors to invest predominantly in Money Market Instruments 54
  • 55. Important characteristics • The ownership is in the hands of the investors who have pooled in their funds. • It is managed by a team of investment professionals and other service providers. • The pool of funds is invested in a portfolio of marketable investments. • The investors share is denominated by ‘units’ whose value is called as Net Asset Value (NAV) which changes everyday. • The investment portfolio is created according to the stated investment objectives of the fund. 55
  • 56. Advantages & Disadvantages Advantage: • Portfolio diversification • Professional Management • Reduction in Risk • Reduction in Transaction costs • Liquidity • Convenience and Flexibility • Safety – Well regulated by SEBI Disadvantage: • No control over the costs. Regulators limit the expenses of Mutual Funds. Fees are paid as percentage of the value of investment. • No tailor made portfolios. • Managing a portfolio of funds. (Investor has to hold a portfolio for funds for different objectives) 56
  • 57. Type of mutual Fund: By Structure Open Ended Fund: Investors can buy and sell units of the fund, at NAV related prices, at any time, directly from the fund. Open ended scheme are offered for sale at a pre- specified price, say Rs. 10, in the initial offer period. After a pre-specified period say 30 days, the fund is declared open for further sales and repurchases Investors receive account statements of their holdings, The number of outstanding units goes up and down The unit capital is not fixed but variable. 57
  • 58. Type of mutual Fund: By Structure Closed Ended fund: • A closed -end fund is open for sale to investors for a specified period, after which further sales are closed. • Any further transactions happen in the secondary market where closed-end funds are listed. • The price at which the units are sold or redeemed depends on the market prices, which are fundamentally linked to the NAV. 58
  • 59. Types of Funds - By Investment Objective Equity Debt Money Market Equity Funds Fixed Income Money Market Index Funds Funds Mutual Funds Sector Funds GILT Funds Balanced Funds 59
  • 60. Gilt Funds • Invests only in securities that are issued by the Government and therefore do not carry any credit risk. • Government papers are called as dated securities also. • It invests in both long-term and short-term paper. • Ideal for institutional investors who have to invest in Govt. Securities. • Enables retail Participation 60
  • 61. ELSS (Equity Linked Saving Scheme) • 3 year lock in period • Minimum investment of 90% in equity markets at all times • So ELSS investment automatically leads to investment in equity shares. • Open or closed ended. • Eligible under Section 80 C • Dividends are tax free. • Benefit of Long term Capital gain taxation. 61
  • 62. Fixed Term Plan Series • FTPs are closed ended in nature. • AMC issues a fixed number of units for each series only once and closes the issue after an initial offering period. • Fixed Term plan are usually for shorter term – less than a year. • They are not listed on a stock exchange. • FTP series are likely to be an Income scheme. • Good alternate of Bank deposits/ corporate deposits. 62
  • 63. Money Market Mutual Fund • Money funds provide investors with current income and are managed to maintain a stable share price. • Because of their stability, money funds are often used for cash reserves or money that might be needed right away. • Money funds typically invest in short-term, high-quality, fixed- income securities, such as T-Bills, CDs and CPs • Income from money funds is generally determined by short-term interest rates. 63
  • 64. How does a Mutual Fund work? AMC Savings Trust Investments Units Unit holders Returns Registrar Trust SEB I Custodian AMC 64
  • 65. Loads • Load is charged to investor when the investor buys or redeems units. It is primarily used to meet the expenses related to sale and distribution of units • Load charged on sale of units is entry load. It increases the price above the NAV for new investor. • Load charged on redemption is exit load. It reduces price. • Maximum Entry load or Exit load is 7%.( For Open ended Funds) • Max. Entry or Exit load for closed ended funds is 5% • CDSC is an exit load that varies with holding period. • Load is an amount which is recovered from the investor. 65
  • 66. Net Assets Value • The net assets represent the market value of assets which belong to the investors, on a given date. • Net assets are calculated as: Market value of investments Plus(+) current assets and other assets Plus(+) accrued income Less(-) current liabilities and other liabilities Less(-) accrued expenses 66
  • 67. NAV Computation • Unit capital of a MF scheme is Rs.20 million. The market value of investments is Rs. 55 million. The number of units is 1 million. The NAV is – Rs. 20 – Rs. 75 – Rs.55 – Not possible to say 67
  • 69. Active fund management Fund manager tends to look at specific attributes in selecting stocks. Active fund manager believes, that his ability to buy right stock at the right time, can translate into superior performance for his portfolio. What are the basic active equity fund management style? Growth Investment style – Objective is capital appreciation, look for companies that are expected to give above average earnings growth, The shares are more risky and thus expected to offer higher returns over a long investment horizons. Relatively higher P/E ratio and have lower dividend yield Value Investment Style – Look for companies that are currently undervalued but whose worth will be recognized eventually. 69
  • 70. Passive fund management • Fund manager believes, that holding a well diversified portfolio is the cost efficient way ,to better returns, he would tend to mimic the market index. • It requires limited research and monitoring costs and is therefore cheaper. • Fund manager may choose to mimic a index, or a subset of the index or choose a basket of shares from multiple indices. • A passive fund manager has to rebalance his portfolio every time changes are made in the index. 70
  • 71. Performance Measurement • Returns comes form dividend or capital gains. • Rate of Return =(Income Earned/Amount invested)x100 • Simple total return= {NAV(end) – NAV ( begin)}+ Dividend paid x100 NAV at beginning • Rule of 72 is a thumb rule used in finding doubling period. If Rate = 12%, then money will double in 72/12 = 6 years. • CAGR • While comparing funds performance with peer group funds, size and composition of the portfolios should be comparable. 71
  • 72. Investment Plans • Broadly 2 options- Growth option and Dividend Option • Automatic Reinvestment Plans– Benefit of Power of Compounding. • Systematic Investment Plans – For regular investment • Systematic Withdrawal Plan – For regular income ( it is not similar to MIP) • Systematic Transfer Plan 72
  • 73. Wealth cycle for investors Stage Financial needs Investment preferences Accumulation stage Investing for long term identifed Growth options and long term   financial goals products.High risk appetite Transition Stage Near term needs for funds as Liquid and medium term investments.   pre-specified needs draw closer Lower risk appetite       Reaping Stage Higher liquidity requirements Liquid and medium term investments. Preference for income and debt     products       Long term investment of Inter Generational Low liquidity needs. inheritance Ability to take risk and invest for the transfer   long term       Sudden wealth surge Medium to long term Wealth preservation.     Preference for low risk products 73
  • 74. Financial Planning Strategies • Power of Compounding • Buy and hold • Rupee cost averaging: – A fixed amount is invested at regular intervals – More units are bought when prices are low and fewer units are bought when prices are high. Over a period of time, the average purchase price of investor is lower than average NAV. – Its disadvantage : Does not indicate when to sell or switch. 74
  • 75. Economic Environment and Indicators 75
  • 76. Importance of Economic and Business Environment • Significant implications on the investment recommendation. • Recommendations depend on a number of assumptions about the future performance of the economy. • Financial advisors should always keep a track of economic environment to make reasonable assumptions. • A thorough understanding of economic environment helps in reviewing the existing financial situation. 76
  • 77. Gross Domestic Product • There are three ways to derive GDP: – The sum of all expenditures, – The sum of all incomes, and – The sum of all value added by business 77
  • 78. ECONOMIC FACTORS: GNP & GDP Gross National Gross National This is the value of output of goods and services This is the value of output of goods and services Product (GNP) Product (GNP) produced by Indian companies, regardless of whether produced by Indian companies, regardless of whether the production is inside or outside the India the production is inside or outside the India The value of output of goods and services produced The value of output of goods and services produced Gross Domestic Gross Domestic in the country, regardless of whether businesses are Product (GDP) in the country, regardless of whether businesses are Product (GDP) owned and operated by Indians or foreigners. owned and operated by Indians or foreigners. - profits on = + profits on Gross National Gross National Gross Domestic Gross Domestic Indian owned foreign owned Product (GNP) Product (GNP) Product (GDP) Product (GDP) businesses businesses outside India 78
  • 79. GDP GDP is the measure of total value of final goods and services produced in the domestic economy each year. The following is often used GDP= GDP= C + II + G + C+ +G+ (X- M) (X- M) C = personal consumption spending on goods and services C = personal consumption spending on goods and services I I= Private sector fixed capital expenditure = Private sector fixed capital expenditure G = Government expenditure G = Government expenditure (X-M)= Net of export receipts (X) and import payments (M) (X-M)= Net of export receipts (X) and import payments (M) The relationship highlights actual rupee expenditure for goods and services produced in the economy for measuring GDP. This equation includes all key players involved in the economy – consumers / households, business (private sector) and government. For living standards to rise in India, GDP must grow at a faster rate than the population. This way, there is greater quantity of goods and services per person. 79
  • 80. Example The following information is available for an economy. Consumption (C) = Rs 3000 Private Investment (I) = Rs 500 Government Expenditure (G) = Rs 2000 Exports (E) = Rs 1000 Imports = Rs 1500 Calculate the GDP for the economy? Answer: GDP = 3000 + 500 + 2000 + (1000-1500) = 5500 – 500 = 5000 80
  • 81. Inflation • A situation of rising prices. Inflation refers to a persistent rise in prices. Simply put, it is a situation of too much money and too few goods. • The most popular measure of inflation in India is change in the Whole Price Index (WPI) over a period of time. • The WPI is an index measure of the wholesale prices of a selected basket of goods and services in the economy. The WPI is expressed as a percentage with reference to some base year, according to a formula • WPI= (aggregate price for current year/aggregate price for the base year)* 100 • An alternative measure is consumer price Index, which is concerned with the consumer market for goods and services. There is a considerable co- movement between these two indices with the CPI tending to follow the WPI with a lag. • The converse of inflation, that is, deflation, is the persistent falling of prices. RBI can reduce the supply of money or increase interest rates to reduce inflation. 81
  • 82. Monetary Policy • Monetary policy is the process by which the central bank of a country controls the supply of money, cost of money or rate of interest. • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) controls and influences the economy by means of monetary and credit policy. 82
  • 83. Some Monetary Policy terms • Bank Rate – Bank rate is the minimum rate at which the central bank provides loans to the commercial banks. It is also called the discount rate. – Usually, an increase in bank rate results in commercial banks increasing their lending rates. Changes in bank rate affect credit creation by banks through altering the cost of credit. – Bank Rate is at 6.0 per cent. • Cash Reserve Ratio – All commercial banks are required to keep a certain amount of its deposits in cash with RBI. This percentage is called the cash reserve ratio. – It is cash as a percentage of demand and time liabilities that bank maimtain with RBI – Cash reserve ratio (CRR) of scheduled banks increased to 8.25 per cent with effect from the fortnight beginning May 24, 2008. 83
  • 84. Some Monetary Policy terms • Open Market Operations – An important instrument of credit control, the Reserve Bank of India purchases and sells securities in open market operations. – In times of inflation, RBI sells securities to mop up the excess money in the market. Similarly, to increase the supply of money, RBI purchases securities. • Statutory Liquidity Ratio – Banks in India are required to maintain 25 per cent of their deposits in government securities and certain approved securities. – These are collectively known as SLR securities. 84

Editor's Notes

  1. Within the same alphabet class, the rating agency might have different grades like A, AA, and AAA and within the same grade AA+, AA- where the &quot;+&quot; denotes better than AA and &quot;-&quot; indicates the opposite.