This document discusses drivers and opportunities for biofuels in Victoria. It outlines key strategic drivers like climate change, peak oil, and energy security that are pushing the development of biofuels. The document also notes potential barriers to biofuels like public acceptance issues and competition from other low-emissions transport options. It concludes that while biofuels still face challenges, governments are investing in the industry and technologies are improving, so conditions may be right for increased biofuel production and use.
16. Peak Oil ‘ the point in time when the maximum rate of global petroleum extraction is reached, after which the rate of production enters terminal decline’ Source: www.theoildrum.com
From Report of the Prime Minister’s Emissions Trading Taskforce (2007)
From Report of the Prime Minister’s Emissions Trading Taskforce (2007)
McKinsey makes make three important assumptions: only land that does not have to be deforested will be available for feedstock production, cellulosic technology and high-density ranching practices will be used extensively, and agricultural products will be devoted to biofuels only after demand for food and animal feed is met. Our model suggests that there is sufficient land to cultivate almost four billion tons (that is, one thousand million tons) of feedstock a year—in theory, enough to produce bioethanol providing more than 50 percent of total transportation fuels by 2020.
(50-80% of production cost comes from feedstock costs) CSIRO projections of $8 per litre by 2018