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Biofuels in Victoria –  Drivers and Opportunities Michael Williamson – Sustainability Victoria August 2009
Sustainability Victoria ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bioenergy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The carbon cycle of biomass for energy is intrinsically carbon neutral Report to Sustainability Victoria by Crucible Carbon
Biofuels – key drivers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Biofuels –  the 2020 view from McKinsey Company Biofuels - cost negative abatement
Biofuels – real or potential barriers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Climate Change - Scientific Context  ,[object Object],[object Object]
Economic Imperative of Climate Change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
Australia’s CO 2  Position Sources: International Energy Agency, 2006d; International Monetary Fund, 2007
Crude Oil – A history ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Crude Oil – Global Producers
Crude Oil – Global Consumers
Crude Oil and CO 2 Source: US Department of Energy
Crude Oil and Volatility Aug 2009: $70 bbl
Peak Oil ‘ the point in time when the maximum rate of global petroleum extraction is reached, after which the rate of production enters terminal decline’ Source:  www.theoildrum.com
Geopolitics and Biofuels
Geopolitics and Biofuels
Is the Stage Set for Biofuels? Source: McKinsey Analysis  http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/Betting_on_biofuels_1992
Victorian Biofuels Roadmap
Roadmap Strategic Objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
In Conclusion - Is the Stage Set for Biofuels? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank you  Michael Williamson Ph: 03 8626 8737 [email_address] www.sustainability.vic.gov.au
Resources  www.sustainability.vic.gov.au www.dpi.vic.gov.au www.climatechange.vic.gov.au www.greenhouse.gov.au

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Biofuels in Victoria - Drivers and Opportunities

Notas del editor

  1. Stern Report executive Summary http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/30_10_06_exec_sum.pdf
  2. Stern Report executive Summary http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/30_10_06_exec_sum.pdf
  3. From Report of the Prime Minister’s Emissions Trading Taskforce (2007)
  4. From Report of the Prime Minister’s Emissions Trading Taskforce (2007)
  5. McKinsey makes make three important assumptions: only land that does not have to be deforested will be available for feedstock production, cellulosic technology and high-density ranching practices will be used extensively, and agricultural products will be devoted to biofuels only after demand for food and animal feed is met. Our model suggests that there is sufficient land to cultivate almost four billion tons (that is, one thousand million tons) of feedstock a year—in theory, enough to produce bioethanol providing more than 50 percent of total transportation fuels by 2020.
  6. (50-80% of production cost comes from feedstock costs) CSIRO projections of $8 per litre by 2018