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Introduction to investments

  1. SECURITIES ANALYSIS III Semester M.Com and PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
  2. SECUTIY ANALYSIS AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT To provide students with a conceptual framework of evaluating various investment avenues. To provide students with a conceptual and analytical framework of different financial. instruments, markets, regulations, their risk and returns and strategies in managing funds. To familiarize students with portfolio management techniques that challenges a financial manager. To give an overview of the global markets and their impact on the domestic markets Why learn this Subject? Objectives
  3. SECUTIY ANALYSIS AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMEN T Course Preview Unit 1 Introduction to Investments 10 Hours Investment management, nature and scope, investment avenues, types of financial assets and real assets, Security return and risk – Systematic and unsystematic risk; sources of risk, Measurement of risk and return; courses of investment information; Profile of Indian investors. Unit 2 Fixed Income Securities 10 Hours Fixed income securities – bonds, preference shares-sources of risk, valuation, duration of bond-theory of interest rates-yield curve; Bond innovations and their valuation; Analysis of variable income securities. Unit 3 Methods of Security Analysis 15 Hours Fundamental analysis – analysis of economy, industry analysis, company analysis – financial and non-financial; Equity valuation models - options, futures, forwards, warrants and their valuations; Technical analysis – Dow theory; Efficient market hypothesis and its implications. Unit 4 Introduction to Portfolio Management 05 Hours Meaning of portfolio management; portfolio analysis; Importance; Portfolio objectives; Portfolio management process; selection of securities. Unit 5 Modern Portfolio Theories Portfolio theory; Markowitz model; Sharpe’s single index model; Efficient frontier with lending and borrowing, optimal portfolio, capital asset pricing model; Arbitrage pricing theory, two factor and multifactor models. Unit 6 Portfolio Management Strategies & Portfolio Evaluation 08 Hours Bond Portfolio management strategies; Equity portfolio management strategies, strategies using derivatives, hedging; Portfolio revision – rebalancing plans, Portfolio evaluation- Sharpe’s index, Treynor’s measure and Jenson’s measure.
  4. SECUTIY ANALYSIS AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMEN T Reference Books ♠ Alexender & Bailey. (2001). Fundamentals of Investments. New Delhi: PHI . ♠ Bhalla V K. (2008). Investment Management. New Delhi: S Chand & Co. ♠ Fischer and Jordan (2006). Security Analysis and Portfolio Management. New Delhi: Prentice- Hall. ♠ Prasanna Chandra.(2011). Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management .New Delhi: Mcgraw-Hill. ♠ Preeti Singh. (2000). Investment Management. New Delhi: HPH . ♠ Punithavathy Pandian .(2010). Security Analysis and Portfolio Management. New Delhi: Vikas Publishing House. ♠ SudhindraBhat.(2011). Security Analysis and Portfolio Management. New Delhi: Excel Books. Finance portals  Moneycontrol.Com  Btvin.Com  Profit.Ndtv.Com  Indiainfoline.Com  Apnapaisa.Com
  5. Unit : 1 INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENTS
  6. What is Investment? In simple terms, Investment refers to process of investing money in financial or real assets for profit or material result.  Investment made in buying financial instruments such as new shares, bonds, securities, etc. is considered as a Financial Investment. Investment made in plant and equipment, land and building and other infrastructure facilities is considered as Real Investment.  Investment decisions refers to application of funds in long-term assets in anticipation of future benefits and maximization of long-term profitability. Investment refers to a money commitment of some sort.
  7. Difference between Savings and Investment Difference Savings Investment Meaning Saving money means keeping aside a part of your income regularly in order to deal with unexpected expenses. Investment means putting your saved money in various products in order to earn returns and grow your wealth. Time Savings are usually used to meet your short term needs. People save in order to deal with emergency situations and meet unexpected expenses. However, investment generally entails a longer horizon of six months or more. It is designed to provide returns and grow your money over a period of time. Risk and reward savings stored in a safety vault are very safe, they will not generate any returns over the years. Even if money is kept in a savings account, it will provide a negligible rate of return. money invested in various products like stocks, mutual funds, gold, etc. is subject to more risks, but has the potential to grow over time. If invested wisely, your money can grow manifold over years. Liquidity savings are the most liquid assets, as they can be accessed at any time. It takes a few days for the money to reach your bank account after you decide to sell your investments.
  8. CLASSIFICATIO N OF INVESTMENT • A: On the Basis of Physical Investments • House • Land • Building • Gold and Silver • Precious stones Investment refers to a money commitment of some sort. • B: On the Basis of Financial Investment • Marketable and Transferable investments • Non-Marketable Investments B.1: Marketable and Transferable investments • Shares • Debentures • Bonds • Government Securities • Derivatives B.2: Marketable and Transferable investments • Bank Deposits • Provident and Pension Funds • Insurance Certificates • Post office Deposits • National Saving Certificates • Company Deposits
  9. Share • Features and rights of equity share holders Residual claim Voting rights Ownership rights Pre-emptive right (Right issue) Par value The capital of a company is divided into shares. Each share forms a unit of ownership of a company and is offered for sale so as to raise capital for the company. Merits 1. Easily transferable 2. Liability 3. Profit potential 4. Purchasing power risk De-merits 1. Uncertain and Irregular Income 2. Capital loss During Depression Period 3. Loss on Liquidation
  10. Preference Shares Preference shares are those, which enjoy preferential rights. • Features and rights of equity share holders Dividends Voting rights Ownership rights  Pre-emptive right (Right issue)  Par value  Retirement of debt through sinking fund  Convertibility  Hybrid De-merits 1. No Voting Right 2. Fixed Income 3. No claim over surplus 4. No Guarantee of Assets Merits 1. Regular Fixed Income 2. Lesser Capital Losses 3. Preferential Rights 4. Voting Right for Safety of Interest. 5. Fair Security Preference shares. Sec. 85(1) of the Companies Act defines preference shares as those shares which carry preferential rights as the payment of dividend at a fixed rate and as to repayment of capital in case of winding up of the company. Classification of preference shares 1. Cumulative or non cumulative 2. Participating or Non-participating 3. Redeemable or Non-Redeemable 4. Convertible or Non-convertible
  11. Classification of Equity Shares According to Stock Market Stock market has classified equity shares as follows: Type Key feature Blue chip shares Share of large, well established and financially strong companies shares with an impressive record of earnings and dividends. Growth shares Enjoy an above average rate of growth as well as profitability. Income shares fairly stable operations, relatively limited growth opportunities, and high dividend payout ratios. Cyclical shares A Cyclical stock is a stock highly correlated to the economic activity. Defensive shares Relatively unaffected by the ups and downs in general business conditions. Speculative shares tend to fluctuate widely because there is a lot of speculative trading in them.
  12. Concept of Debentures in India • According to Indian Company’s Act, 1956, defined the term ‘Debentures.’ • Debentures includes debenture stock, bonds and any other securities of a company, whether constituting a charge on the assets of the company or not, in common parlance, debenture is an instrument issued by a company under its common seal, acknowledging its debt to the holder, and containing an undertaking to repay the debt on or after a specified period and to pay interest on the debt at a fixed rate at regular intervals, usually, half yearly, until the debt is repaid. • The person to whom the debentures are issued are called debenture holders. The debenture holders are not the owners of the company. They are just the loan creditors of the company.
  13. Debenture A type of debt instrument that is not secured by physical assets or collateral. Merits 1. Higher rates of financial return 2. Choice of converting 3. Fixed interest 4. Transferable De-merits 1. Credit Risk 2. Bankruptcy 3. Unsecured Classification of Debentures 1. Convertible debentures 2. Non-convertible debentures
  14. Corporate FDs • The deposit placed by investors with companies for a fixed term carrying a prescribed rate of interest is called Company Fixed Deposit. • Financial institutions and Non-Banking Finance Companies (NBFCs) also accept such deposits. Deposits thus mobilized are governed by the Companies Act under Section 58A. • These deposits are unsecured, i.e., if the company defaults, the investor cannot sell the documents to recover his capital, thus making them a risky investment option. Companies that find it difficult to get loans from banks raise money from the public. 1. Company fixed deposits offer better interest rates than banks 2. Additional risk 3. Company fixed deposits are rated by Rating Agencies 4. TDS on Company Fixed Deposits 5. You could keep a shorter horizon 1. Cumulative 2. Non-Cumulative
  15. Bonds A debt investment in which an investor loans money to an entity (corporate or governmental) that borrows the funds for a defined period of time at a fixed interest rate. Features of Bonds 1. Indenture 2. Covenants: Affirmative & Negative 3. Maturity 4. Par Value 5. Coupon Rate Types of Bonds 1. Serial Bonds 2. Sinking Fund bonds 3. Registered bonds 4. Mortgage bond 5. Collateral trust bonds 6. Convertible bonds 7. Zero-coupon bonds 8. Callable Bonds
  16. Symbols Rating Definition Remarks CRISIL AAA Highest Safety Timely servicing of financial obligations-lowest credit risk. CRISIL AA High Safety Timely servicing of financial obligations very- low credit risk. CRISIL A Adequate safety Adequate degree of safety- low credit risk. CRISIL BBB Moderate Safety carry moderate credit risk. CRISIL BB Moderate Risk risk of default -financial obligations CRISIL B High Risk CRISIL C Very High Risk CRISIL D Default
  17. Fixed Deposits • The main features of fixed deposit account are as follows: • Tenure ranges between six months to 10 years • Guaranteed Returns • Interest income monthly, quarterly or annually. • Reinvest interest income and gain the influence of compounding • Partial or full withdrawal facility is available with penalty interest rates • Loan against deposits • Senior citizens get higher coupon rates in the range of 0.25 - 100 %. The term 'fixed deposit' means that the deposit is fixed and is repayable only after a specific period is over. Pros Cons Safety Lower rate of returns Regular Income Taxes Saves tax inflation Convenience Risk Deposit Insurance & Credit Guarantee Scheme of India
  18. Recurring deposits • Recurring deposits are special kind of Term Deposits and are suitable for people who do not have lump sum amount of savings, but are ready to save a small amount every month. Difference Fixed Recurring Rate of Return Approximately 8%-8.5% for a period of 1 year Approximately 8%-8.5% for a period of 1 year Additional Benefits Loan facility available Loan facility available Tenure Tenure ranges from 7 days to 10 years Tenure ranges from 1 years to 10 years Minimum investment Rs. 10,000 (may differ from Bank to Bank) Rs. 100 Maximum investment No limit No Limit Premature withdrawal Interest penalty levied, varies from Bank to Bank Interest penalty levied, varies from Bank to Bank Tax benefit Incase of a Tax saver FD, a tax exemption u/s 80c is applicable No tax benefit Interest Income Taxable and subject to Taxable but no TDS
  19. MONEY MARKET INVESTMENTS
  20. It provides a parking place to employ short term surplus funds. It is a market purely for short term funds or financial assets called near money. It deals with debt instrument which have a maturity of less than one year at the time of issue are called money market instruments. Money market instruments are highly liquid and have negligible risk. The money market is dominated by the government, financial institutions, banks and corporates. Features of a Money Market
  21. TREASURY BILLS • Treasury Bills are money market instruments to finance the short term requirements of the Government of India. • These are discounted securities and thus are issued at a discount to face value. • The return to the investor is the difference between the maturity value and issue price. • Treasury Bills are issued for the following tenors 91-days, 182- days and 364-days Treasury bills. Benefits of Investment In Treasury Bills 1. No tax deducted at source 2. Zero default risk being sovereign paper 3. Highly liquid money market instrument 4. Better returns especially in the short term 5. Transparency 6. Simplified settlement 7. High degree of tradability
  22. Treasury Bills  Form  The treasury bills are issued in the form of promissory note in physical form or by credit to Subsidiary General Ledger (SGL) account or Gilt account in dematerialized form.  Minimum Amount of Bids  Bids for treasury bills are to be made for a minimum amount of Rs 25000/- only and in multiples thereof.  Eligibility  All entities registered in India like banks, financial institutions, Primary Dealers, firms, companies, corporate bodies, partnership firms, institutions, mutual funds, Foreign Institutional Investors, State Governments, Provident Funds, trusts, research organizations, Nepal Rashtra bank and even individuals are eligible to bid and purchase Treasury bills.  Repayment  The treasury bills are repaid at par on the expiry of their tenor at the office of the Reserve Bank of India, Mumbai.  Availability  All the treasury Bills are highly liquid instruments available both in the primary and secondary market.  Day Count  For treasury bills the day count is taken as 365 days for a year. How to BUY treasury Bills?
  23. Yield Calculation • A cooperative bank wishes to buy 91 Days Treasury on Oct. 12, 20014, Bill Maturing on Dec. 6, 2014. The rate quoted by seller is Rs. 99.1489 per Rs. 100 face values. The yield of a Treasury Bill is calculated as per the following formula: YTM (100-P)x365x100 PxD Wherein Y = discounted yield P= Price D= Days to maturity YTM = (100-99.1489) x 365 x 100/(99.1489*55) = 5.70%
  24. Salient Features of The Auction Technique • The auction of treasury bills is done only at Reserve Bank of India, Mumbai. • Bids are submitted in terms of price per Rs 100. • For example, a bid for 91-day Treasury bill auction could be for Rs 97.50. Auction committee of Reserve Bank of India decides the cut-off price and results are announced on the same day. • Bids above the cut-off price receive full allotment; bids at cut-off price may receive full or partial allotment and bids below the cut-off price are rejected.
  25. Types of Auctions There are two types of auction for treasury bills: 1. Multiple Price Based or French Auction: Under this method, all bids equal to or above the cut-off price are accepted. However, the bidder has to obtain the treasury bills at the price quoted by him. 2. Uniform Price Based or Dutch auction: Under this system, all the bids equal to or above the cut-off price are accepted at the cut- off level. However, unlike the Multiple Price based method, the bidder obtains the treasury bills at the cut-off price and not the price quoted by him.
  26. Working Capital INADEQUACY OF WC Under-utilization of capacity Creditworthiness is hit Cannot utilize business opportunity Modernization and Maintenance Discounts and Perks
  27. Money Market Instruments 1. Certificate of deposit - Time deposit, commonly offered to consumers by banks, thrift institutions, and credit unions. 2. Repurchase agreements - Short-term loans—normally for less than two weeks and frequently for one day 3. Commercial paper - Unsecured promissory notes with a fixed maturity of one to 270 days; usually sold at a discount from face value. 4. Treasury bills - Short-term debt obligations of a national government that are issued to mature in three to twelve months
  28. Certificates of Deposit • Certificate of Deposit (CD) is a negotiable money market instrument and issued in dematerialized form or as a Usance Promissory Note against funds deposited at a bank or other eligible financial institution for a specified time period. • Guidelines for issue of CDs are presently governed by various directives issued by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), as amended from time to time. Difference FD CD Negotiability No Yes Return Low High Rating No Yes Key Features 1. Eligibility-Who can issue? 2. Aggregate Amount- How much? 3. Denominations-Pricing? multiples of Rs. 1 lakh thereafter. 4. Investors-Who can buy? 5. Maturity 7d-1y 6. Coupon Rate 7. Reserve Requirements 8. Settlement-DVP
  29. Commercial Paper (CP) • A Commercial Paper (CP) is an unsecured, short-term debt instrument issued by a corporation, typically for meeting short-term liabilities. • It was introduced in India in 1990. • It was aimed at providing highly rated corporates with a borrowing option. • So while they could borrow from a bank, now with the help of a CP, they could also borrow from the open market. • This process is also called Financial Disintermediation or in other words getting rid of the mediator.
  30. RBI Guidelines Who can issue CP? Corporates, primary dealers (PDs) and the All-India Financial Institutions (FIs) are eligible to issue CP. Rating requirement All eligible participants shall obtain the credit rating for issuance of Commercial Paper. In what denominations a CP that can be issued? CP can be issued in denominations of Rs.5 lakh or multiples thereof. minimum and maximum period of maturity a minimum of 7 days and a maximum of up to one year from the date of issue Who can invest in CP? a Individuals, banking companies, other corporate bodies (registered or incorporated in India) and unincorporated bodies, Non-Resident Indians (NRIs) and Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) etc. can invest in CPs. However, investment by FIIs would be within the limits set for them by Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) from time-to-time. What is the mode of redemption? Initially the investor in CP is required to pay only the discounted value of the CP by means of a crossed account payee cheque to the account of the issuer through IPA. On maturity of CP. DVP.
  31. REPO • An agreement with a commitment by the seller (dealer) to buy a security back from the purchaser (customer) at a specified price at a designated future date. • The repurchase price should be greater than the original sale price, the difference effectively representing interest, sometimes called the repo rate. • The party that originally buys the securities effectively acts as a lender. The original seller is effectively acting as a borrower, using their security as collateral for a secured cash loan at a fixed rate of interest. • Legal title to the collateral security which is used in repo transaction, passes to the buyer during the repo period. As a result in case the seller defaults the buyer does not require to establish right on the collateral security.
  32. Gilt Edged Securities • Gilts, short for Gilt Edged Securities, are securities issued by the Government with a fixed interest rate for a predetermined length of time. • Gilt-edged securities are a high-grade investment with very low risk. Typically, these are issued by blue chip companies that dependably meet dividend or interest payments because they are well-established and financially stable .
  33. RISK MANAGEMENT AND INSURANCE
  34. Concept of RISK “Risk is defined as the chance of having a loss due to occurrence of an event” “The risk is always associated with the loss aspects since the word itself has the association of DANGER OF LOSS” The definition can be “ PROBABAILITY OF THE OCCURRENCE OF AN EVENT RESULTING IN LOSS/ GAIN
  35. Types of Risk Speculative RISK Results in loss, or break even or Making a profit Pure RISK Produces only loss or in some cases break even. Fundamental RISK Particular RISK Outside the control & Fall on masses Exposure to loss from a situation associated with specific individual events Dynamic and Static Risk 1. Personal Risk  Premature Death  Dependent Old Age  Sickness and Disability  Unemployment 2. Property Risk  Loss or Damage  Loss on use of property  Additional expenses on loss 3. Liability Risk  Human Mistake/Civil Wrong 4. Default Risk
  36. Activity 1. Horse race Speculative 2. Busying stocks Speculative 3. Real estate Speculative 4. Diversify on the existing product line 5. Fire at home due to short circuit 6. Natural disasters 7. Betting and Gambling 8. Inflation 9. Hurricane Katrina 10.War 11.Bhopal Gas tragedy 12.Employee violence at Maruti Plant 13.Swine Flu Speculative Pure: Property Fundamental Speculative Fundamental Fundamental Fundamental Particular Particular Fundamental
  37. Types of Life Insurance Term Life Insurance • Increasing/Decreasing term policies • Convertible Term Assurance Policy • Level Term Life Insurance • Renewable term life Insurance Endowment Insurance ◦ Joint life endowment plan ◦ Money back endowment plan ◦ Marriage endowment plan Permanent (Whole) Life Insurance ◦ Ordinary whole life plan ◦ Limited payment whole life plan Unit Linked Plans
  38. Term Life Insurance • Sum assured is payable only in the event of death during the term. • In case of survival, the contract comes to an end at the end of term. • Term Life Insurance can be for period as long as 40 years and as short as 1 year. • No refund of premium • Non-participating policies • Low premium as only death risk is covered.
  39. Types of Term Insurance Increasing Term Insurance  Life insurance cover under this plan goes on increasing periodically over the term in a predetermined rate. (Riders) Decreasing Term Insurance  The sum assured decreases with the term of the policy. Normally decreasing term assurance plan is taken out for mortgaged protection, under which outstanding loan amount decreases as time passes as also the sum assured.
  40. Types of Term Insurance Convertible term assurance policy Under this plan a policyholder is entitled to exchange the term policy for an endowment insurance or a whole life policy. Conversion can be done at any time during the term except last 2 years. Level Term Life Insurance The sum assured throughout the term of the policy does not change.
  41. Types of Term Insurance Renewable Term Life Insurance With renewable term insurance, the insurance company automatically allows you to renew your coverage after the term of the policy is over (generally 5 to 20 years)
  42. Endowment Insurance • Endowment insurance plans is an investment oriented plan which not only pays in the event of death but also in the event of survival at the end of the term. • Is a contract underwritten by a life insurance company to pay a Fixed term plus Accumulated profits that are declared annually. • Premium includes 2 elements -mortality element & investment element • Minimum age at entry : 12years • Maximum age at entry: 65 years • Maximum age at maturity : 75years
  43. Types of Endowment Insurance Joint Life Endowment Plan: Under this plan, two lives can be insured under one contract. The sum assured is payable at the end of the endowment term or death of either of the two. Money Back Endowment Plan: In this plan, there is an additional advantage of receiving a certain amount of money at periodic intervals during the policy term.
  44. Types of Endowment Insurance Marriage Endowment Plan: This plan has the specific condition that the sum assured is payable only after the expiry of the term even if death of the life assured takes place earlier. Educational Endowment Plan: These plans are specially designed to meet educational expense of children at a future date. If the insured parent dies before the date of maturity the installment is paid in lump sum with immediate effect which helps to meet the educational expenses.
  45. Permanent( Whole) Life Insurance • Whole life plans are another type of endowment plan, which cover death for an indefinite period. • When the policy holder dies, the face value of the policy, known as a death benefit, is paid to the person or persons named in the life insurance policy (the beneficiary or beneficiaries). • It can be with or without profits. • If you cancel the policy after a certain amount of time has passed, the insurance company will surrender the cash value to you.
  46. Types of Whole Life Insurance • Ordinary Whole Life Plan: • This is a continuous premium payment plan. The insured pays premium throughout his life. It provides dual facility of protection plus savings. • Limited Payment Whole Life Plan: • It provides the same benefit as above but premiums are paid for a limited period. Premiums are sufficiently higher to cover the risk
  47. Types of Whole Life Insurance 3. Anticipated Whole Life Plans:  Under this plan, the insured receives a fixed sum in a periodic interval on his survival and full sum assured is paid on death of the policy holder without any deduction.  It takes care of family needs after death of the insured and interim needs of the insured and his family.
  48. Children’s Life Insurance • Since last few years insurance companies have started offering risk cover plans like limited payment whole life, and endowment assurance plan from the age of 12years and money back plan from age of 13 years(completed). • New plans have been specifically designed for children where the risk of the child starts much earlier say 7 years.
  49. Unit Linked Plans • It has emerged as one of the fastest growing insurance products. • It is a combination of an investment fund( such as mutual fund) and an insurance policy. • The premium amount is invested in the stock market and returns better income on the maturity period.
  50. Add ons • Add-on’s or Riders • Accident and Disability benefit • Critical illness benefit • Major surgical assistance • Level Term Insurance •Protection Plans • The Pru Life Guard or Term Level Assurance • Death Risk Coverage • No maturity benefits in case of single premium level term policy • Add-on’s or Riders as in ICICI Pru Cash Bank
  51. HOW MUCH INSURANCE DOES A MAN NEED? 1. Immediate funds requirements upon after death- medical expenses for terminal illness, expenses for performance of last rites and religious ceremonies etc 2. Children's Education and Marriage expenses 3. Recurring dependent spouse and children 4. Funds for paying off debts.
  52. Requirements of Insurable Risks 1. Sufficient number of homogeneous exposure 2. The loss must occur by chance 3. Risk must be predictable 4. Loss must not be catastrophic 5. Loss must be definite and measurable
  53. Legal Principles of Insurance • Should also meet all the requirements of a valid contract: • Offer and Acceptance • Consideration • Legal Capacity • Legal Purpose Insurance - contractual agreement between the insurer and the insured. • Insurance contracts are special type of contracts which have certain additional distinguishing features associated with it. • Insurable Interest • Indemnity • Principle of Contribution • Subrogation (Applicable only to indemnity contracts… not to life insurance) • Utmost good faith Utmost good faith • Principle of Causa Proxima
  54. CONCEPT OF RISK In Investments
  55. Concept of Risk • Concept of Risk The actual returns that an investor receives from a stock may vary from his expected return and the this probability of variance itself is the risk. • Risk is expressed in terms of variability of return. An investor before investing in securities must properly analyze the risks associated with these securities. • Sometimes the term risk and uncertainty are used interchangeably but uncertainty the possible events and probabilities of their occurrence are not known, whereas in case of risk they are known. • So, risk and uncertainty are different from each other.
  56. Business Entities are Exposed to Many Risks • Interest Rate Risk Exchange • Risk Liquidity Risk Default Risk • Internal Business Risk • External Business Risk • Financial Risk • Market Risk • Marketability Risk • Credit Risk • Operational Risk • Environmental Risk • Production Risk • Events of God • And many more
  57. Types of Risks Types of Risk Systematic Risk Unsystematic Risk Systematic Risk:  Systematic Risk It is the risk that is caused by external factors such as economic, political and sociological conditions.  It affects the functioning of the entire market.  Since these risks arise due to external factors they are beyond the control of the company affected, and hence are uncontrollable or referred to as undiversifiable risk. They are of three types: 1. Market risk 2. Interest rate risk 3. Purchasing power risk
  58. Market risk • Market risk as that portion of the total variability of returns that is caused by the alternating forces of bull and bear markets. • When the stock market moves upwards, it is known as bull market. On the other hand, when the stock market moves downwards, then it is known as bear market. • The two forces that affect the market are: 1. Tangible events : Earthquake, war, political uncertainty and decrease in the value of money are some of the examples of tangible events. 2. Intangible events: It is related to market psychology. Political unrest or fall of government affects the market sentiments. Inflow of foreign funds may make the market psychology positive.
  59. Interest Rate Risk • Interest Rate Risk It is the risk caused by the variations in the market interest rates. • Prices of debentures, bonds, etc. are mainly affected by the interest rate risk. (as demand for bonds and debentures varies directly with the ups and downs of the stock market) Extensive use of borrowed funds in the stock market • The causes of interest rate risk are as follows: Changes in the government’s monetary policy Changes in the interest rate of treasury bills Changes in the interest rate of government bonds.
  60. Purchasing Power Risk: • Purchasing Power Risk Variations in returns are caused by the loss of purchasing power of currency. • So, the purchasing power risk is the probable loss in the purchasing power of the returns to be received in the future. • There are mainly two types of inflation: 1. Demand-pull inflation : The demand for goods and services remains higher than the supply. 2. Cost-push inflation : There is a rise in price due to the increase in the cost of production.
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