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Mark N. Mauriello
Director of Environmental Affairs and Planning
             Edgewood Properties
FACTS
 RELATIVE SEA LEVEL IS RISING (MORE THAN
  ONE FOOT OVER THE PAST CENTURY)
 SEDIMENT SUPPLIES ARE DIMINISHING
 DEVELOPMENT AND IMPERVIOUS COVER ARE
  INCREASING
 FLOOD HAZARD AREAS ARE EXPANDING
 FLOOD HEIGHTS ARE INCREASING
 EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS ARE OCCURRING
  MORE FREQUENTLY
MORE FACTS
 HIGH DENSITY OF DEVELOPMENT PUTS
  MANY PEOPLE AND PROPERTIES AT RISK
 TENDENCY TO UNDERESTIMATE HAZARDS
  AND VULNERABILITY…AND REGULATE
  ACCORDINGLY
 MINIMUM REGULATORY STANDARDS ARE
  INSUFFICIENTLY PROTECTIVE
 LACK OF COORDINATED PLANNING RESULTS
  IN MISSED OPPORTUNITIES (NOAA, FEMA,
  ACOE, NJDEP, NJDCA, NJDOT)
WARMING TREND (IPCC, 2007)
ESTIMATES OF RELATIVE SEA LEVEL RISE
ALONG THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES
 (NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL, 1987)
NEGATIVE
     SEDIMENT BUDGETS
SEA ISLE CITY   MONMOUTH BEACH
HOLGATE OVERWASH
BARRIER ISLAND MIGRATION?
MINIMUM REGULATORY STANDARDS
TOMS RIVER TOWNSHIP   BRICK TOWNSHIP
MINIMUM REGULATORY STANDARDS
          SEA BRIGHT
DRIFTWOOD CABANA   SINGLE FAMILY HOME
      CLUB
BAYSIDE FLOODING/SURGE
      SEASIDE PARK
URBAN AREA CHALLENGES
      HOBOKEN
DEBRIS MANAGEMENT
   6.2 MILLION CUBIC YARDS
LONG BRANCH      SEASIDE HEIGHTS
LESSONS LEARNED?
    Belmar to Spend $20 Million Rebuilding Wrecked Boardwalk
                   (Source: Bergen Record, 12/4/12)

BELMAR – One of New Jersey’s most popular beach towns is moving swiftly
to rebuild its boardwalk that was destroyed by Superstorm Sandy. Belmar is
scheduled to vote Monday night on a $20 million spending plan to pay for a
new boardwalk, as well as some of the cost of cleaning up the ruins of the old
one.
Mayor Doherty said the Federal Emergency Management Agency should
pay for at least 75 percent of the cost of boardwalk repairs, and said New
Jersey’s Congressional delegation is working to have the agency approve a 90
percent reimbursement rate. To help pay for the Borough’s share of the cost,
Belmar will help pay for the work by increasing daily beach badge fees from $7
to $8, and seasonal fees from $50 to $55.
The Monmouth County community is also considering building a sea wall
to help protect against future storms.
BEYOND STAFFORD ACT ASSISTANCE:
       FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS TO NFIP
 Katrina and other 2005 hurricanes left $18.75
  billion in debt to the U.S. Treasury
 Nationally: 5.53 million policies in force with an
  insured exposure of $1.27 trillion
 NJ Policies in force: 235,654
 NJ Insurance in force: $54,386,729,100
 NJ Losses (1/78 - 9/12): 111,963
 NJ Payments (1/78 - 9/12): $1,617,544,537
Frequency – Recurrence Interval
Natural Hazard Probabilities During Periods of Various Lengths
                       (FEMA, 2001)
(The percentages shown represent the probabilities of one or more occurrences of an
event of a given magnitude or larger within the specified period. As the length of the
period increases, so does the probability that floods of a given magnitude or greater
will occur.)
                     10 – Year    25 – Year   50 – Year    100 – Year   500 – Year
                      Event        Event       Event         Event        Event
        Length
       Of Period

       1 Year          10%          4%           2%           1%           0.2%

       10 Years        65%          34%         18%          10%           2%

       20 Years        88%          56%         33%          18%           5%

       25 Years        93%          64%         40%          22%           5%

       30 Years        96%          71%         45%          26%           6%

       50 Years       99+%          87%         64%          39%           10%

       70 Years      99.94+%        94%         76%          50%           13%

       100 Years     99.99+%        98%         87%          63%           18%
WHAT IS OUR GOAL?
            DISASTER RESILIENCE!
The capacity of a community that is exposed to
hazards to adapt, by resisting or changing, in order to
reach and maintain an acceptable level of functioning and
structure. Resilience is determined by the degree to which
the community is capable of organizing itself to increase
its capacity for learning from past disasters.

Disaster resilience means that communities can withstand
the impacts of floods and storms and readily recover, which
in turn, contributes to long-term sustainability of
communities for the enjoyment of all, both now and for
future generations.

        (Subcommittee on Disaster Reduction, 2005)
DISASTER RESILIENCE THROUGH
        HAZARD MITIGATION
 COMPREHENSIVE PLANNING
 ACQUISITION/RELOCATION
 HIGHER STANDARDS
 REGULATIONS
 LAND USE MANAGEMENT
 NATURAL RESOURCE RESTORATION
 FLOODPROOFING AND RETROFITTING
 LEGISLATION
COMPREHENSIVE MULTI-HAZARDS
             PLANNING
 IDENTIFY VULNERABILITY AND RANGE OF
    MITIGATION OPTIONS
   PRE-STORM PLANNING FOR POST-STORM
    MITIGATION AND RESPONSE ACTIONS
   ALIGN AGENCY PLANNING, PROGRAMS, PRIORITIES
    AND FUNDING TO MAXIMIZE BENEFITS
   PROMOTE LONG-TERM COST-BENEFICIAL ACTIONS
   PLAN AND IMPLEMENT REGIONAL SEDIMENT
    MANAGEMENT ACTIONS
   EMPLOY A BROAD RANGE OF SOLUTIONS
   COMMUNITY RATING SYSTEM (CRS)
ACQUISITION/RELOCATION
 THE MOST COST-EFFECTIVE LONG-TERM
    MITIGATION OPTION
   REPRESENTS A PERMANENT SOLUTION TO
    PERSISTENT PROBLEMS
   BREAKS THE CYCLE OF REPETITIVE DAMAGES
   FACILITATES RESTORATION AND ENHANCEMENT
    OF PROTECTIVE NATURAL RESOURCES
   TDR PROVIDES AN ALTERNATIVE MECHANISM TO
    SUPPORT RELOCATION
HIGHER STANDARDS
 ELEVATE STRUCTURES ABOVE THE BASE FLOOD
    ELEVATION (BFE) AND INCLUDE FREEBOARD
   USE ADVISORY BFEs
   REQUIRE V ZONE (COASTAL HIGH HAZARD AREA)
    STANDARDS IN COASTAL A ZONES
   CONSIDER V ZONE STANDARDS FOR SURGE-
    PRONE BAYFRONT AREAS
   CONSIDER NEW REQUIREMENTS TO ADDRESS
    POTENTIAL FOUNDATION FAILURE IN A ZONES
REGULATIONS
 RESCIND EXECUTIVE ORDER #2
 ADOPT REGULATIONS THAT EXCEED FEDERAL
  MINIMUM STANDARDS
 APPLY A STRICT PROHIBITION OF DEVELOPMENT ON
  BEACHES, DUNES AND COASTAL WETLANDS
 PROHIBIT ENLARGEMENT OF EXISTING STRUCTURES
  IN V ZONES AND EROSION HAZARD AREAS
 APPLY COASTAL HIGH HAZARD AREA AND EROSION
  HAZARD AREA CZM RULES TO ALL DEVELOPMENT
LAND USE MANAGEMENT
 INCORPORATE DEVELOPMENT SETBACKS FROM
    BEACHES, DUNES AND WETLANDS
   DESIGNATE SETBACK AREAS FOR NATURAL
    RESOURCE RESTORATION
   ADOPT CONSERVATION ZONING ALONG OCEAN
    AND BAY SHOREFRONTS
   LIMIT DEVELOPMENT DENSITY IN V ZONES AND
    EROSION HAZARD AREAS
   ELIMINATE NON-CONFORMING USES IN POST-
    STORM SCENARIO
NATURAL RESOURCE PROTECTION
          AND RESTORATION
 REQUIRE DUNE CREATION AND
    ENHANCEMENT…EVERYWHERE!
   CONDITION STATE & FEDERAL AID ACCORDINGLY
   USE CZM STANDARD FOR OPTIMAL DUNE VOLUME
   PROHIBIT LOWERING OF DUNES
   PROVIDE INCREASED BUFFERS TO ALLOW FOR
    COASTAL WETLAND MIGRATION OVER TIME
   CONSIDER SHALLOW WATER FILL FOR WETLANDS
    RESTORATION IN BAYS
FLOODPROOFING AND RETROFITTING
 AN IMPORTANT TOOL FOR HEAVILY DEVELOPED
    URBAN AREAS
   ELEVATE STRUCTURES WHERE POSSIBLE
   UPGRADE STORMWATER MANAGEMENT
    SYSTEMS…INCLUDE BACKFLOW PREVENTION
   FLOODPROOF DOORS AND WINDOWS
   ELEVATE UTILITIES AND APPLIANCES
   UTILIZE WATER RESISTANT BUILDING MATERIALS
LEGISLATION
 CAFRA LEGISLATIVE FINDINGS: OVERSIGHT?
 RE-EVALUATE CAFRA ABSOLUTE RIGHT TO REBUILD
    STRUCTURES DESTROYED BY STORMS
   CONSIDER DEVELOPMENT PROHIBITION FOR STORM
    DAMAGED STRUCTURES IN V ZONES AND EROSION
    HAZARD AREAS
   LINK DEVELOPMENT PROHIBITION TO BLUE ACRES
    FUNDING TO COMPENSATE PROPERTY OWNERS
   ESTABLISH COASTAL COMMISSION TO FACILITATE
    REGIONAL PLANNING IN COASTAL ZONE?
   DUNE AND SHOREFRONT PROTECTION ACT?
THE BAD NEWS
 DESPITE BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SPENT TO “CONTROL”
  FLOODING AND REDUCE RISK, STATISTICS SHOW THAT
 EACH DECADE SINCE 1900 HAS WITNESSED MORE FLOOD
         LOSSES THAN THE PREVIOUS DECADE

  WE CONTINUE ON THE SAME PATH AND REPEAT
   PAST MISTAKES WITHOUT MAJOR CHANGES IN
            POLICY AND REGULATION

 SANDY DEMONSTRATED THAT WE CANNOT AFFORD
         A “BUSINESS AS USUAL” ATTITUDE
THE GOOD NEWS
          WE KNOW WHAT WORKS


    WE HAVE A BROAD RANGE OF PROVEN
      MITIGATION STRATEGIES AVAILABLE

 SANDY PROVIDES A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY
 TO IMPLEMENT ACTIONS THAT WILL MITIGATE
   DAMAGES, COSTS AND MISERY OF FUTURE
              STORM EVENTS
THE $34 BILLION QUESTION…

 CAN NEW JERSEY’S LEADERS SUMMON THE
    POLITICAL WILL TO IMPLEMENT BOLD,
DECISIVE AND COST-EFFECTIVE ACTIONS NOW,
TO ENSURE MORE RESILIENT COMMUNITIES IN
               THE FUTURE?



    ( LET’S MAKE SURE THAT THEY DO! )

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Resilient NJ Shore 12 7-12 mauriello

  • 1. Mark N. Mauriello Director of Environmental Affairs and Planning Edgewood Properties
  • 2. FACTS  RELATIVE SEA LEVEL IS RISING (MORE THAN ONE FOOT OVER THE PAST CENTURY)  SEDIMENT SUPPLIES ARE DIMINISHING  DEVELOPMENT AND IMPERVIOUS COVER ARE INCREASING  FLOOD HAZARD AREAS ARE EXPANDING  FLOOD HEIGHTS ARE INCREASING  EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS ARE OCCURRING MORE FREQUENTLY
  • 3. MORE FACTS  HIGH DENSITY OF DEVELOPMENT PUTS MANY PEOPLE AND PROPERTIES AT RISK  TENDENCY TO UNDERESTIMATE HAZARDS AND VULNERABILITY…AND REGULATE ACCORDINGLY  MINIMUM REGULATORY STANDARDS ARE INSUFFICIENTLY PROTECTIVE  LACK OF COORDINATED PLANNING RESULTS IN MISSED OPPORTUNITIES (NOAA, FEMA, ACOE, NJDEP, NJDCA, NJDOT)
  • 5. ESTIMATES OF RELATIVE SEA LEVEL RISE ALONG THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES (NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL, 1987)
  • 6.
  • 7. NEGATIVE SEDIMENT BUDGETS SEA ISLE CITY MONMOUTH BEACH
  • 9. MINIMUM REGULATORY STANDARDS TOMS RIVER TOWNSHIP BRICK TOWNSHIP
  • 10. MINIMUM REGULATORY STANDARDS SEA BRIGHT DRIFTWOOD CABANA SINGLE FAMILY HOME CLUB
  • 11. BAYSIDE FLOODING/SURGE SEASIDE PARK
  • 13. DEBRIS MANAGEMENT 6.2 MILLION CUBIC YARDS LONG BRANCH SEASIDE HEIGHTS
  • 14. LESSONS LEARNED? Belmar to Spend $20 Million Rebuilding Wrecked Boardwalk (Source: Bergen Record, 12/4/12) BELMAR – One of New Jersey’s most popular beach towns is moving swiftly to rebuild its boardwalk that was destroyed by Superstorm Sandy. Belmar is scheduled to vote Monday night on a $20 million spending plan to pay for a new boardwalk, as well as some of the cost of cleaning up the ruins of the old one. Mayor Doherty said the Federal Emergency Management Agency should pay for at least 75 percent of the cost of boardwalk repairs, and said New Jersey’s Congressional delegation is working to have the agency approve a 90 percent reimbursement rate. To help pay for the Borough’s share of the cost, Belmar will help pay for the work by increasing daily beach badge fees from $7 to $8, and seasonal fees from $50 to $55. The Monmouth County community is also considering building a sea wall to help protect against future storms.
  • 15. BEYOND STAFFORD ACT ASSISTANCE: FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS TO NFIP  Katrina and other 2005 hurricanes left $18.75 billion in debt to the U.S. Treasury  Nationally: 5.53 million policies in force with an insured exposure of $1.27 trillion  NJ Policies in force: 235,654  NJ Insurance in force: $54,386,729,100  NJ Losses (1/78 - 9/12): 111,963  NJ Payments (1/78 - 9/12): $1,617,544,537
  • 16. Frequency – Recurrence Interval Natural Hazard Probabilities During Periods of Various Lengths (FEMA, 2001) (The percentages shown represent the probabilities of one or more occurrences of an event of a given magnitude or larger within the specified period. As the length of the period increases, so does the probability that floods of a given magnitude or greater will occur.) 10 – Year 25 – Year 50 – Year 100 – Year 500 – Year Event Event Event Event Event Length Of Period 1 Year 10% 4% 2% 1% 0.2% 10 Years 65% 34% 18% 10% 2% 20 Years 88% 56% 33% 18% 5% 25 Years 93% 64% 40% 22% 5% 30 Years 96% 71% 45% 26% 6% 50 Years 99+% 87% 64% 39% 10% 70 Years 99.94+% 94% 76% 50% 13% 100 Years 99.99+% 98% 87% 63% 18%
  • 17. WHAT IS OUR GOAL? DISASTER RESILIENCE! The capacity of a community that is exposed to hazards to adapt, by resisting or changing, in order to reach and maintain an acceptable level of functioning and structure. Resilience is determined by the degree to which the community is capable of organizing itself to increase its capacity for learning from past disasters. Disaster resilience means that communities can withstand the impacts of floods and storms and readily recover, which in turn, contributes to long-term sustainability of communities for the enjoyment of all, both now and for future generations. (Subcommittee on Disaster Reduction, 2005)
  • 18. DISASTER RESILIENCE THROUGH HAZARD MITIGATION  COMPREHENSIVE PLANNING  ACQUISITION/RELOCATION  HIGHER STANDARDS  REGULATIONS  LAND USE MANAGEMENT  NATURAL RESOURCE RESTORATION  FLOODPROOFING AND RETROFITTING  LEGISLATION
  • 19. COMPREHENSIVE MULTI-HAZARDS PLANNING  IDENTIFY VULNERABILITY AND RANGE OF MITIGATION OPTIONS  PRE-STORM PLANNING FOR POST-STORM MITIGATION AND RESPONSE ACTIONS  ALIGN AGENCY PLANNING, PROGRAMS, PRIORITIES AND FUNDING TO MAXIMIZE BENEFITS  PROMOTE LONG-TERM COST-BENEFICIAL ACTIONS  PLAN AND IMPLEMENT REGIONAL SEDIMENT MANAGEMENT ACTIONS  EMPLOY A BROAD RANGE OF SOLUTIONS  COMMUNITY RATING SYSTEM (CRS)
  • 20. ACQUISITION/RELOCATION  THE MOST COST-EFFECTIVE LONG-TERM MITIGATION OPTION  REPRESENTS A PERMANENT SOLUTION TO PERSISTENT PROBLEMS  BREAKS THE CYCLE OF REPETITIVE DAMAGES  FACILITATES RESTORATION AND ENHANCEMENT OF PROTECTIVE NATURAL RESOURCES  TDR PROVIDES AN ALTERNATIVE MECHANISM TO SUPPORT RELOCATION
  • 21. HIGHER STANDARDS  ELEVATE STRUCTURES ABOVE THE BASE FLOOD ELEVATION (BFE) AND INCLUDE FREEBOARD  USE ADVISORY BFEs  REQUIRE V ZONE (COASTAL HIGH HAZARD AREA) STANDARDS IN COASTAL A ZONES  CONSIDER V ZONE STANDARDS FOR SURGE- PRONE BAYFRONT AREAS  CONSIDER NEW REQUIREMENTS TO ADDRESS POTENTIAL FOUNDATION FAILURE IN A ZONES
  • 22. REGULATIONS  RESCIND EXECUTIVE ORDER #2  ADOPT REGULATIONS THAT EXCEED FEDERAL MINIMUM STANDARDS  APPLY A STRICT PROHIBITION OF DEVELOPMENT ON BEACHES, DUNES AND COASTAL WETLANDS  PROHIBIT ENLARGEMENT OF EXISTING STRUCTURES IN V ZONES AND EROSION HAZARD AREAS  APPLY COASTAL HIGH HAZARD AREA AND EROSION HAZARD AREA CZM RULES TO ALL DEVELOPMENT
  • 23. LAND USE MANAGEMENT  INCORPORATE DEVELOPMENT SETBACKS FROM BEACHES, DUNES AND WETLANDS  DESIGNATE SETBACK AREAS FOR NATURAL RESOURCE RESTORATION  ADOPT CONSERVATION ZONING ALONG OCEAN AND BAY SHOREFRONTS  LIMIT DEVELOPMENT DENSITY IN V ZONES AND EROSION HAZARD AREAS  ELIMINATE NON-CONFORMING USES IN POST- STORM SCENARIO
  • 24. NATURAL RESOURCE PROTECTION AND RESTORATION  REQUIRE DUNE CREATION AND ENHANCEMENT…EVERYWHERE!  CONDITION STATE & FEDERAL AID ACCORDINGLY  USE CZM STANDARD FOR OPTIMAL DUNE VOLUME  PROHIBIT LOWERING OF DUNES  PROVIDE INCREASED BUFFERS TO ALLOW FOR COASTAL WETLAND MIGRATION OVER TIME  CONSIDER SHALLOW WATER FILL FOR WETLANDS RESTORATION IN BAYS
  • 25. FLOODPROOFING AND RETROFITTING  AN IMPORTANT TOOL FOR HEAVILY DEVELOPED URBAN AREAS  ELEVATE STRUCTURES WHERE POSSIBLE  UPGRADE STORMWATER MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS…INCLUDE BACKFLOW PREVENTION  FLOODPROOF DOORS AND WINDOWS  ELEVATE UTILITIES AND APPLIANCES  UTILIZE WATER RESISTANT BUILDING MATERIALS
  • 26. LEGISLATION  CAFRA LEGISLATIVE FINDINGS: OVERSIGHT?  RE-EVALUATE CAFRA ABSOLUTE RIGHT TO REBUILD STRUCTURES DESTROYED BY STORMS  CONSIDER DEVELOPMENT PROHIBITION FOR STORM DAMAGED STRUCTURES IN V ZONES AND EROSION HAZARD AREAS  LINK DEVELOPMENT PROHIBITION TO BLUE ACRES FUNDING TO COMPENSATE PROPERTY OWNERS  ESTABLISH COASTAL COMMISSION TO FACILITATE REGIONAL PLANNING IN COASTAL ZONE?  DUNE AND SHOREFRONT PROTECTION ACT?
  • 27. THE BAD NEWS  DESPITE BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SPENT TO “CONTROL” FLOODING AND REDUCE RISK, STATISTICS SHOW THAT EACH DECADE SINCE 1900 HAS WITNESSED MORE FLOOD LOSSES THAN THE PREVIOUS DECADE  WE CONTINUE ON THE SAME PATH AND REPEAT PAST MISTAKES WITHOUT MAJOR CHANGES IN POLICY AND REGULATION  SANDY DEMONSTRATED THAT WE CANNOT AFFORD A “BUSINESS AS USUAL” ATTITUDE
  • 28. THE GOOD NEWS  WE KNOW WHAT WORKS  WE HAVE A BROAD RANGE OF PROVEN MITIGATION STRATEGIES AVAILABLE  SANDY PROVIDES A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY TO IMPLEMENT ACTIONS THAT WILL MITIGATE DAMAGES, COSTS AND MISERY OF FUTURE STORM EVENTS
  • 29. THE $34 BILLION QUESTION… CAN NEW JERSEY’S LEADERS SUMMON THE POLITICAL WILL TO IMPLEMENT BOLD, DECISIVE AND COST-EFFECTIVE ACTIONS NOW, TO ENSURE MORE RESILIENT COMMUNITIES IN THE FUTURE? ( LET’S MAKE SURE THAT THEY DO! )