This document discusses the challenges of rising sea levels, more frequent extreme weather events, and the need to improve flood resilience. It notes that minimum regulatory standards are insufficient, and that there is a lack of coordinated planning. It then provides recommendations to improve resilience through comprehensive planning, acquisition of at-risk properties, implementing higher construction standards, protecting natural resources, and passing supportive legislation. The key question is whether political leaders will implement bold mitigation actions now to help ensure more resilient communities in the future that can better withstand storms and flooding.
2. FACTS
RELATIVE SEA LEVEL IS RISING (MORE THAN
ONE FOOT OVER THE PAST CENTURY)
SEDIMENT SUPPLIES ARE DIMINISHING
DEVELOPMENT AND IMPERVIOUS COVER ARE
INCREASING
FLOOD HAZARD AREAS ARE EXPANDING
FLOOD HEIGHTS ARE INCREASING
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS ARE OCCURRING
MORE FREQUENTLY
3. MORE FACTS
HIGH DENSITY OF DEVELOPMENT PUTS
MANY PEOPLE AND PROPERTIES AT RISK
TENDENCY TO UNDERESTIMATE HAZARDS
AND VULNERABILITY…AND REGULATE
ACCORDINGLY
MINIMUM REGULATORY STANDARDS ARE
INSUFFICIENTLY PROTECTIVE
LACK OF COORDINATED PLANNING RESULTS
IN MISSED OPPORTUNITIES (NOAA, FEMA,
ACOE, NJDEP, NJDCA, NJDOT)
13. DEBRIS MANAGEMENT
6.2 MILLION CUBIC YARDS
LONG BRANCH SEASIDE HEIGHTS
14. LESSONS LEARNED?
Belmar to Spend $20 Million Rebuilding Wrecked Boardwalk
(Source: Bergen Record, 12/4/12)
BELMAR – One of New Jersey’s most popular beach towns is moving swiftly
to rebuild its boardwalk that was destroyed by Superstorm Sandy. Belmar is
scheduled to vote Monday night on a $20 million spending plan to pay for a
new boardwalk, as well as some of the cost of cleaning up the ruins of the old
one.
Mayor Doherty said the Federal Emergency Management Agency should
pay for at least 75 percent of the cost of boardwalk repairs, and said New
Jersey’s Congressional delegation is working to have the agency approve a 90
percent reimbursement rate. To help pay for the Borough’s share of the cost,
Belmar will help pay for the work by increasing daily beach badge fees from $7
to $8, and seasonal fees from $50 to $55.
The Monmouth County community is also considering building a sea wall
to help protect against future storms.
15. BEYOND STAFFORD ACT ASSISTANCE:
FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS TO NFIP
Katrina and other 2005 hurricanes left $18.75
billion in debt to the U.S. Treasury
Nationally: 5.53 million policies in force with an
insured exposure of $1.27 trillion
NJ Policies in force: 235,654
NJ Insurance in force: $54,386,729,100
NJ Losses (1/78 - 9/12): 111,963
NJ Payments (1/78 - 9/12): $1,617,544,537
16. Frequency – Recurrence Interval
Natural Hazard Probabilities During Periods of Various Lengths
(FEMA, 2001)
(The percentages shown represent the probabilities of one or more occurrences of an
event of a given magnitude or larger within the specified period. As the length of the
period increases, so does the probability that floods of a given magnitude or greater
will occur.)
10 – Year 25 – Year 50 – Year 100 – Year 500 – Year
Event Event Event Event Event
Length
Of Period
1 Year 10% 4% 2% 1% 0.2%
10 Years 65% 34% 18% 10% 2%
20 Years 88% 56% 33% 18% 5%
25 Years 93% 64% 40% 22% 5%
30 Years 96% 71% 45% 26% 6%
50 Years 99+% 87% 64% 39% 10%
70 Years 99.94+% 94% 76% 50% 13%
100 Years 99.99+% 98% 87% 63% 18%
17. WHAT IS OUR GOAL?
DISASTER RESILIENCE!
The capacity of a community that is exposed to
hazards to adapt, by resisting or changing, in order to
reach and maintain an acceptable level of functioning and
structure. Resilience is determined by the degree to which
the community is capable of organizing itself to increase
its capacity for learning from past disasters.
Disaster resilience means that communities can withstand
the impacts of floods and storms and readily recover, which
in turn, contributes to long-term sustainability of
communities for the enjoyment of all, both now and for
future generations.
(Subcommittee on Disaster Reduction, 2005)
18. DISASTER RESILIENCE THROUGH
HAZARD MITIGATION
COMPREHENSIVE PLANNING
ACQUISITION/RELOCATION
HIGHER STANDARDS
REGULATIONS
LAND USE MANAGEMENT
NATURAL RESOURCE RESTORATION
FLOODPROOFING AND RETROFITTING
LEGISLATION
19. COMPREHENSIVE MULTI-HAZARDS
PLANNING
IDENTIFY VULNERABILITY AND RANGE OF
MITIGATION OPTIONS
PRE-STORM PLANNING FOR POST-STORM
MITIGATION AND RESPONSE ACTIONS
ALIGN AGENCY PLANNING, PROGRAMS, PRIORITIES
AND FUNDING TO MAXIMIZE BENEFITS
PROMOTE LONG-TERM COST-BENEFICIAL ACTIONS
PLAN AND IMPLEMENT REGIONAL SEDIMENT
MANAGEMENT ACTIONS
EMPLOY A BROAD RANGE OF SOLUTIONS
COMMUNITY RATING SYSTEM (CRS)
20. ACQUISITION/RELOCATION
THE MOST COST-EFFECTIVE LONG-TERM
MITIGATION OPTION
REPRESENTS A PERMANENT SOLUTION TO
PERSISTENT PROBLEMS
BREAKS THE CYCLE OF REPETITIVE DAMAGES
FACILITATES RESTORATION AND ENHANCEMENT
OF PROTECTIVE NATURAL RESOURCES
TDR PROVIDES AN ALTERNATIVE MECHANISM TO
SUPPORT RELOCATION
21. HIGHER STANDARDS
ELEVATE STRUCTURES ABOVE THE BASE FLOOD
ELEVATION (BFE) AND INCLUDE FREEBOARD
USE ADVISORY BFEs
REQUIRE V ZONE (COASTAL HIGH HAZARD AREA)
STANDARDS IN COASTAL A ZONES
CONSIDER V ZONE STANDARDS FOR SURGE-
PRONE BAYFRONT AREAS
CONSIDER NEW REQUIREMENTS TO ADDRESS
POTENTIAL FOUNDATION FAILURE IN A ZONES
22. REGULATIONS
RESCIND EXECUTIVE ORDER #2
ADOPT REGULATIONS THAT EXCEED FEDERAL
MINIMUM STANDARDS
APPLY A STRICT PROHIBITION OF DEVELOPMENT ON
BEACHES, DUNES AND COASTAL WETLANDS
PROHIBIT ENLARGEMENT OF EXISTING STRUCTURES
IN V ZONES AND EROSION HAZARD AREAS
APPLY COASTAL HIGH HAZARD AREA AND EROSION
HAZARD AREA CZM RULES TO ALL DEVELOPMENT
23. LAND USE MANAGEMENT
INCORPORATE DEVELOPMENT SETBACKS FROM
BEACHES, DUNES AND WETLANDS
DESIGNATE SETBACK AREAS FOR NATURAL
RESOURCE RESTORATION
ADOPT CONSERVATION ZONING ALONG OCEAN
AND BAY SHOREFRONTS
LIMIT DEVELOPMENT DENSITY IN V ZONES AND
EROSION HAZARD AREAS
ELIMINATE NON-CONFORMING USES IN POST-
STORM SCENARIO
24. NATURAL RESOURCE PROTECTION
AND RESTORATION
REQUIRE DUNE CREATION AND
ENHANCEMENT…EVERYWHERE!
CONDITION STATE & FEDERAL AID ACCORDINGLY
USE CZM STANDARD FOR OPTIMAL DUNE VOLUME
PROHIBIT LOWERING OF DUNES
PROVIDE INCREASED BUFFERS TO ALLOW FOR
COASTAL WETLAND MIGRATION OVER TIME
CONSIDER SHALLOW WATER FILL FOR WETLANDS
RESTORATION IN BAYS
25. FLOODPROOFING AND RETROFITTING
AN IMPORTANT TOOL FOR HEAVILY DEVELOPED
URBAN AREAS
ELEVATE STRUCTURES WHERE POSSIBLE
UPGRADE STORMWATER MANAGEMENT
SYSTEMS…INCLUDE BACKFLOW PREVENTION
FLOODPROOF DOORS AND WINDOWS
ELEVATE UTILITIES AND APPLIANCES
UTILIZE WATER RESISTANT BUILDING MATERIALS
26. LEGISLATION
CAFRA LEGISLATIVE FINDINGS: OVERSIGHT?
RE-EVALUATE CAFRA ABSOLUTE RIGHT TO REBUILD
STRUCTURES DESTROYED BY STORMS
CONSIDER DEVELOPMENT PROHIBITION FOR STORM
DAMAGED STRUCTURES IN V ZONES AND EROSION
HAZARD AREAS
LINK DEVELOPMENT PROHIBITION TO BLUE ACRES
FUNDING TO COMPENSATE PROPERTY OWNERS
ESTABLISH COASTAL COMMISSION TO FACILITATE
REGIONAL PLANNING IN COASTAL ZONE?
DUNE AND SHOREFRONT PROTECTION ACT?
27. THE BAD NEWS
DESPITE BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SPENT TO “CONTROL”
FLOODING AND REDUCE RISK, STATISTICS SHOW THAT
EACH DECADE SINCE 1900 HAS WITNESSED MORE FLOOD
LOSSES THAN THE PREVIOUS DECADE
WE CONTINUE ON THE SAME PATH AND REPEAT
PAST MISTAKES WITHOUT MAJOR CHANGES IN
POLICY AND REGULATION
SANDY DEMONSTRATED THAT WE CANNOT AFFORD
A “BUSINESS AS USUAL” ATTITUDE
28. THE GOOD NEWS
WE KNOW WHAT WORKS
WE HAVE A BROAD RANGE OF PROVEN
MITIGATION STRATEGIES AVAILABLE
SANDY PROVIDES A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY
TO IMPLEMENT ACTIONS THAT WILL MITIGATE
DAMAGES, COSTS AND MISERY OF FUTURE
STORM EVENTS
29. THE $34 BILLION QUESTION…
CAN NEW JERSEY’S LEADERS SUMMON THE
POLITICAL WILL TO IMPLEMENT BOLD,
DECISIVE AND COST-EFFECTIVE ACTIONS NOW,
TO ENSURE MORE RESILIENT COMMUNITIES IN
THE FUTURE?
( LET’S MAKE SURE THAT THEY DO! )