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Mongolia’s expected power requirements until 2015

                 New Approach




                                  Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
Paulius Kuncinas



Regional Editor, Asia
Oxford Business Group




                        Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
Key Themes:

 •Opportunities for upgrading Mongolia’s existing power plants

 •Plans for introducing new power plants within the near future

 •Introducing new technologies to Mongolian power plants

 •Air cooled power plants




                                                 Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
   Main Sources of Demand:

   Rapid Urbanization - Ulaanbaatar

   Mining Sector – Oyu Tolgoy

   New Industries




                                       Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
   80% TPPs, 12% imports, 2.5%
    hydro

   Soviet Design

   State Dominated

   CES 95% of the 814-MW

   Last Greenfield in 1991




                                  Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
               Available Capacity (MW)

                                  TPP2                      17.6
   814MW vs 614.3 available
                                  TPP3                      105.1

                                  TPP4                       432
   Unerpowered & Underinvested
                                  Darkhan                   38.6

   Last Investment in 1991       Erdenet                     21

                                                                

                                  Total                     614.3




                                            Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
   CES - 95% of 814-MW

   CES - 220KV line to Russia

   100% Coal-fired




                                 Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
   TPPs account for 85% of domestic consumption of coal

   Tariffs set below market price

   Tariff for sale to the TPPs is $14.04 vs $ 17 production cost




                                                     Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
   Upgrading Existing TPPs

   New TPPs

   Renewables

   Nuclear

   Energy Efficiency




                              Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
   Open Minded Policy Makers

   Focus on Clean Coal

   Air Cooling & Water Management

   Energy Efficiency




                                     Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
   Establish supply to every settlement

   220MW Hydro on the Egiin River

   TPP 5, w 450-MW electricity and
    587-MW thermal capacity

   Nuclear remains an option




                                           Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
   Technological Leapfrog

   Engage Policy Makers

   Superior Investment Opportunity




                                      Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
THANK YOU!




             Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE

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Mongolia's Expected Power Requirements until 2015 - Oxford Business Group

  • 1. Mongolia’s expected power requirements until 2015 New Approach Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
  • 2. Paulius Kuncinas Regional Editor, Asia Oxford Business Group Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
  • 3. Key Themes: •Opportunities for upgrading Mongolia’s existing power plants •Plans for introducing new power plants within the near future •Introducing new technologies to Mongolian power plants •Air cooled power plants Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
  • 4. Main Sources of Demand:  Rapid Urbanization - Ulaanbaatar  Mining Sector – Oyu Tolgoy  New Industries Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
  • 5. 80% TPPs, 12% imports, 2.5% hydro  Soviet Design  State Dominated  CES 95% of the 814-MW  Last Greenfield in 1991 Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
  • 6.   Available Capacity (MW) TPP2 17.6  814MW vs 614.3 available TPP3 105.1 TPP4 432  Unerpowered & Underinvested Darkhan 38.6  Last Investment in 1991 Erdenet 21     Total 614.3 Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
  • 7. CES - 95% of 814-MW  CES - 220KV line to Russia  100% Coal-fired Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
  • 8. TPPs account for 85% of domestic consumption of coal  Tariffs set below market price  Tariff for sale to the TPPs is $14.04 vs $ 17 production cost Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
  • 9. Upgrading Existing TPPs  New TPPs  Renewables  Nuclear  Energy Efficiency Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
  • 10. Open Minded Policy Makers  Focus on Clean Coal  Air Cooling & Water Management  Energy Efficiency Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
  • 11. Establish supply to every settlement  220MW Hydro on the Egiin River  TPP 5, w 450-MW electricity and 587-MW thermal capacity  Nuclear remains an option Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
  • 12. Technological Leapfrog  Engage Policy Makers  Superior Investment Opportunity Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE
  • 13. THANK YOU! Oxford Business Group THE INSIDE EDGE