Future outlook
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How will we live in 30 years time? How will the transportation and logistics industry be affected?
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Future outlook
- 1. An outlook into a (possible) future Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers per-‐olof.arnas@chalmers.se CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs @Dr_PO
- 2. In 30 years from now... ...what will the world be like? live? work? ...how will we travel? CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs consume?
- 3. e S om Global trends Climate change Sustainability focus Popula4on growth UrbanizaJon Energy shortage Efficiency focus CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 4. Sustainability will affect everything we do CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 5. Environmental tax will increase greatly Consumers demand transparency CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 6. Most of us will live in ciJes CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 7. ExponenJal increase in complexity City LogisJcs becomes a global industry CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 8. We will experience an energy shortage CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 9. Not enough biomass, materials etc. Not available where it is needed most CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 10. Vehicles and vessels will (always) be ”full” CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 11. Specialized vehicles CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 12. Two tr endsthat will affect other logisJcs and transportaJon 1: Homo Digitalis 2: Prosumerism CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 13. b eginning We are in the middle of a huge exponenJal CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs development curve
- 14. A new global eco-‐system where new types of, knowledge based, industries compete with the tradiJonal ones CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 15. Startups don’t compete with airlines... by purchasing a bunch of planes hiring a bunch of pilots and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports. CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs h"p://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-‐problem-‐with-‐innova=on
- 16. Startups don’t compete with airlines... by purchasing a bunch of planes hiring a bunch of pilots and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports. Startups compete with airlines by invenJng videoconferencing. CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs h"p://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-‐problem-‐with-‐innova=on
- 17. Homo Digitalis CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 18. Even though the created world around us evolves quickly... ...we as a species do not. Well, not without tools, anyway. CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 19. People will sJll want the same things Get laid Get paid Get made CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs Quote from Dave McClure
- 20. CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 21. CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 22. We are deeply connected to everything around us From Minority Report CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 23. Homo Economicus The Economic Man CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 24. Homo Digitalis Economicus Well-‐informed The Well-‐equipped Economic Man Well-‐connected data With high expectaJons on opJmizaJon interacJon CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 25. Our digital double will be our extension into the ”matrix” No difference between personal and professional Interac4on Nego4a4on Our double will handle Op4miza4on Communica4on Filtering CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 26. Prosumerism CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 27. CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 28. 3D-‐prinJng will be done at home or in local/regional faciliJes Increased global flows of raw materials Decreased global flow of products CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 29. CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs
- 30. Thank you! Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers per-‐olof.arnas@chalmers.se @Dr_PO Slides available on my SlideShare channel: slideshare.net/poar Images CC-‐licensed, source in comments CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs