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Tools for
Closure of Emissions, Observations and Models
                     using
         Service Oriented Architecture



Rudolf B. Husar, rhusar@wustl.edu, Washington University, USA
Stefan R. Falke, stefan.falke@ngc.com, NGC, USA
Gregory J. Frost, gregory.j.frost@noaa.gov, NOAA & U. Colorado, USA
Terry J. Keating, keating.terry@epa.gov, US EPA/OAR, USA

          GEIA Conference, Toulouse, FR, June 11-13, 2012
Guiding Principles by
Global Observing System of Systems (GEOSS)

Any Single Data Set Can
Serve Many Applications

  Any Single Problem
Requires Many Data Sets

            Interoperability
              is Required!
AQ Networking Requires:
Interoperability of People and Machines
 People & Machines


                     People                                People
                                People & People
                                AQ Community of Practice




                              Machines & Machines
                                 AQ Community Server
AQ Data Network:
       Core Datastes; AQ Community Catalog Exits
     Many Interop. Issues Unresolved (e.g. Sept. Dublin Metadata Mtg.)




20+ Datasets, 12+ Originators
GEO Air Quality Community of Practice
   AQ Data Network Architecture




Based on Service Oriented Architecture:
    Loosely Coupled Components
GEO Air Quality Community of Practice
AQ Data Network Architecture




   Atmospheric Model
   Evaluation Network
The Atmospheric Model Evaluation Network (AMEN)
             Terry Keating, U.S. EPA, keating.terry@epa.gov



   Air Quality         Air Quality         Air Quality
   Obs. Data           Obs. Data           Obs. Data



   Air Quality
  Model Output                Air Model            Stat Tests & Views
                                                   Model-Obs; Model-Model
                              Evaluation           Model-Emiss; Emiss-Obs
                            Network Portal                Obs-Obs
   Air Quality
  Model Output

                               Emissions
   Air Quality
  Model Output
                               Database


Tools for statistical & interactive model evaluation
Built on the federated data infrastructure
Still High Variability of Aerosol Model Performance
 Example: Huneeus et al, 2011: Global dust model intercomparison in AeroCom I

                                           10000
                                                                          Max    Median   Min
                                            1000


                                             100


                                                 10
                                                      NorthAfrica AsiaSouth MiddleEast WorldRest


• Transport simulations are are consistent but
  emissions and transformation/removal
  processes diverge among models

• Dust emissions varied my an order of
  magnitude, causing similar divergence of the
  simulated dust surface concentrations
Simple Goal: Utopia
Best Available Atmospheric Composition

                Best Available
              Atm. Composition
                                      Public Health

                                      Chem. Climate

                                      Ecology, Esthetics
                By Integrating Best
                Observations, Emiss
                   ions, Models
Approach to Obs. Model Closure:
          Tool to Iteratively Reduce the Bias
        Actual closure to be worked out by the AQ community
               DJF                    MAM                         JJA                  SON




     Nitrate                Organics                  Fine Dust             Bio. Organics
     Low in DJF            Low in DJF                 Low in MAM           High MAM & JJA
 Add nitrate source    Improved smoke by         Add Sahara, local dust   Reduce biogenic OC
Inverse modeling of        combined              Dust and smoke BC for    Adjust source trem
   VIEWS Nitrate      chemical, satellite, spa    CMAQ – e.g. NAAPS
                            ce-time
VIEWS NO3 DJF
                                                  CMAQ


                                                  NAAPS Dust, July
Fine Particle Mass, PM 2.5
      Obs.: USEPA; Model: Regional-Summer




                                PM2.5 BIAS

OBSERVATION      MODEL
Fine Particle Mass, PM 2.5
       Obs.: USEPA; Model: Regional-Winter




                                 PM2.5 BIAS
OBSERVATION      MODEL
Fine Particle Sulfate
              Obs: IMPROVE; Model: Global




                                      SO4 BIAS

OBSERVATION          MODEL
Aerosol Optical Thickness
 Obs.: Aeronet; Model: Global




AOT Bias
Summary:
   Current State:         Future Possibilities:
Tools for Emission Obs.   Community-based EOM
    Model Closure         convergence & closure


                            Best Available
                          Atm. Composition
                                                  Public Health

                                                  Chem. Climate

                                                  Ecology, Esthetics
                            By Integrating Best
                            Observations, Emiss
                               ions, Models

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120612 geia closure_ofeo_ms_soa_subm

  • 1. Tools for Closure of Emissions, Observations and Models using Service Oriented Architecture Rudolf B. Husar, rhusar@wustl.edu, Washington University, USA Stefan R. Falke, stefan.falke@ngc.com, NGC, USA Gregory J. Frost, gregory.j.frost@noaa.gov, NOAA & U. Colorado, USA Terry J. Keating, keating.terry@epa.gov, US EPA/OAR, USA GEIA Conference, Toulouse, FR, June 11-13, 2012
  • 2. Guiding Principles by Global Observing System of Systems (GEOSS) Any Single Data Set Can Serve Many Applications Any Single Problem Requires Many Data Sets Interoperability is Required!
  • 3. AQ Networking Requires: Interoperability of People and Machines People & Machines People People People & People AQ Community of Practice Machines & Machines AQ Community Server
  • 4. AQ Data Network: Core Datastes; AQ Community Catalog Exits Many Interop. Issues Unresolved (e.g. Sept. Dublin Metadata Mtg.) 20+ Datasets, 12+ Originators
  • 5. GEO Air Quality Community of Practice AQ Data Network Architecture Based on Service Oriented Architecture: Loosely Coupled Components
  • 6. GEO Air Quality Community of Practice AQ Data Network Architecture Atmospheric Model Evaluation Network
  • 7. The Atmospheric Model Evaluation Network (AMEN) Terry Keating, U.S. EPA, keating.terry@epa.gov Air Quality Air Quality Air Quality Obs. Data Obs. Data Obs. Data Air Quality Model Output Air Model Stat Tests & Views Model-Obs; Model-Model Evaluation Model-Emiss; Emiss-Obs Network Portal Obs-Obs Air Quality Model Output Emissions Air Quality Model Output Database Tools for statistical & interactive model evaluation Built on the federated data infrastructure
  • 8. Still High Variability of Aerosol Model Performance Example: Huneeus et al, 2011: Global dust model intercomparison in AeroCom I 10000 Max Median Min 1000 100 10 NorthAfrica AsiaSouth MiddleEast WorldRest • Transport simulations are are consistent but emissions and transformation/removal processes diverge among models • Dust emissions varied my an order of magnitude, causing similar divergence of the simulated dust surface concentrations
  • 9. Simple Goal: Utopia Best Available Atmospheric Composition Best Available Atm. Composition Public Health Chem. Climate Ecology, Esthetics By Integrating Best Observations, Emiss ions, Models
  • 10. Approach to Obs. Model Closure: Tool to Iteratively Reduce the Bias Actual closure to be worked out by the AQ community DJF MAM JJA SON Nitrate Organics Fine Dust Bio. Organics Low in DJF Low in DJF Low in MAM High MAM & JJA Add nitrate source Improved smoke by Add Sahara, local dust Reduce biogenic OC Inverse modeling of combined Dust and smoke BC for Adjust source trem VIEWS Nitrate chemical, satellite, spa CMAQ – e.g. NAAPS ce-time VIEWS NO3 DJF CMAQ NAAPS Dust, July
  • 11. Fine Particle Mass, PM 2.5 Obs.: USEPA; Model: Regional-Summer PM2.5 BIAS OBSERVATION MODEL
  • 12. Fine Particle Mass, PM 2.5 Obs.: USEPA; Model: Regional-Winter PM2.5 BIAS OBSERVATION MODEL
  • 13. Fine Particle Sulfate Obs: IMPROVE; Model: Global SO4 BIAS OBSERVATION MODEL
  • 14. Aerosol Optical Thickness Obs.: Aeronet; Model: Global AOT Bias
  • 15. Summary: Current State: Future Possibilities: Tools for Emission Obs. Community-based EOM Model Closure convergence & closure Best Available Atm. Composition Public Health Chem. Climate Ecology, Esthetics By Integrating Best Observations, Emiss ions, Models

Notas del editor

  1. Loosely coupled data network for Observations, Models and Emissions (OME)AMEN portal that facilitates standards-based access to the distributed OMEsTools for statistical test and analyses through interactive graphic interface