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Module 10 
Sections 2 & 3 
Section 2: ICTs, the environment and 
climate change 
& 
Section 3: ICT Trends 
Richard Labelle 
rlab@sympatico.ca
2 
Objectives of Module 10 
To show that ICTs be used to address 
climate change 
To demonstrate why ICTs are a crucial 
part of the solution โ€“ i.e. in promoting 
efficiency, Green Growth & sustainable 
development
3 
ICTs are key!
4 
ICTs have 3 types of 
environmental impact 
ICTs facilitate environmental 
observation 
ICTs consume energy and this emits 
GHGs 
ICTs enhance energy use efficiency 
and abate GHG emissions
ICTs enhance efficiency & facilitate 
5 
conservation by (1): 
Process efficiency 
Doing things faster 
Use less energy ๏ƒ  emit less C 
Connecting everything: 
The Internet of Things 
Measuring everything: 
The Internet of Things 
More info on energy use
ICTs enhance efficiency & facilitate 
6 
conservation by (2): 
Controlling everything 
Smart controls 
Connect & control all motors & energy 
consumption (embedded controls) 
More options to reduce consumption: 
smart logistics /transport & cities
7 
ICTs that enhance energy use 
efficiency & reduce GHG emissions 
ICTs can help to: 
Understand, 
Monitor, 
Use, 
Manage and 
Control 
โ€ฆenergy and material use and consumption 
and GHG emissions.
8 
Some examples of smart ICTs for 
abating climate change 
Smart design technologies: 
Building information modeling (BIM) 
Variable rate motors with smart control systems 
Smart metering systems 
Dematerialization technologies 
Smart transportation and logistics technologies 
Smart grid and related technologies 
Smart buildings and building management 
system (BMS) 
Smart water management technologies
9 
Summary 
ICTs can make a significant contribution in 
reducing GHG emissions. 
ICTs have an impact in reducing GHG emissions through both 
adaptation and mitigation measures. 
The rapid diffusion of ICTs as well as the many 
recent and highly beneficial innovations in their 
design and use are helping to reduce GHG 
emissions, and enhance energy and material use 
efficiency. 
These are the main reasons that ICTs have an important role 
to play in abating climate change. 
These points will be explored further in the following sections. 
Smart technologies are based on the use of ICTs. 
In many cases, the ICTs are networked sensing devices with a 
microprocessor embedded in them allowing measurements of 
the ambient environment and communication capabilities for 
reporting on the physical or chemical status of the object or 
environment.
10 
ICT Trends: a list (1) 
Digitization and dematerialization 
Microprocessors 
Internet diffusion, broadband and wireless 
technologies 
Miniaturized computers, smart objects, 
low power communication technologies 
and environmental sensors
11 
ICT Trends: a list (2) 
Wireless sensor networks and the Internet 
of Things 
Cloud computing 
IPv6 
Improved and greener batteries 
Social networking
12 
Trends: digitization & 
dematerialization 
Digitization & dematerialization 
Smaller environmental sensing devices 
More powerful sensing devices 
More digitization (e-government, e-commerce, 
etc.) ๏ƒ  less need for travel 
for rural dwellers, more energy 
efficiency 
More downloads: video, music, P2P, etc. 
Telepresence 
Virtualization (servers, networks, etc.)
13 
Trends: microprocessors (1) 
11 nm dies now, with 1 nm in future 
Smarter and more energy efficient 
More powerful microprocessors and 
microcontrollers 
Parallel processing CPUs and GPUs in 
portable / handheld devices 
Mooreโ€™s law still works
14 
Trends: microprocessors (2) 
45 nm Intel Core i7 processor: 
Peak data throughput of 50 GB /sec. vs. 
64 MB / sec. for Intel 386 
8 cores per microprocessor die 
Do more (much) faster & with less 
energy
15 
Trends: microprocessors (3) 
Dual / quad core for mobile devices: 
Smartphones more powerful than 
netbooks & as powerful as desktops ๏ƒ  
โ€ฆPowering transition to mobile over 
desktop computing as main computing 
platform 
Enable wireless sensor networks 
(WSNs) & the Internet of Things 
(IoT)
16 
Trends: Internet diffusion 
Global connectivity is growing
17 
Trends: Internet diffusion (1) 
Mobile use by consumer & enterprise 
markets in developed & emerging 
economies increasing 
Bandwidth demand from data & 
video increasing 
M2M connections increase 
Backhaul capacity still has to 
increase to meet demand 
More portability and interoperability
18 
Trends: Internet diffusion (2) 
New businesses & models emerging: 
New forms of advertising, media and 
content partnerships, mobile services 
Including M2M, live gaming and looking 
into the future, augmented reality 
Off electrical grid connectivity in 
some countries 
A cottage industry 
Driving use of renewables (solar) for 
charging & powering beyond the 
electrical grid
19 
Trends: Internet diffusion (3) 
Tendency is total integration of 
โ€œdesktopโ€ with the Cloud 
High bandwidth, low latency 
connectivity 
FTTx 
4G, 5Gโ€ฆ 
This means speed of IP / Cloud access 
~= to speed of computer buses 
Massive data flows 
With social nets: everyone is a user and 
provider of massive amounts of info.
Global ICT development, 1998-2009 
(ITU) 
20
21 
Mobile Internet Outpaces 
Desktop Internet Adoption 
[Morgan Stanley. 2010. Internet trends. http://www.morganstanley.com/institutional/techresearch/internet_trends042010.html
The shift towards mobile computing 
22 
[Morgan Stanley. 2009. Economy + Internet Trends October 20, 2009. Web 2.0 
Summit โ€“ San Francisco. mary.meeker@ms.com / scott.devitt@ms.com / 
liang.wu@ms.com www.morganstanley.com/techresearch
Global mobile data traffic forecast by 
region (Cisco) 
23 
[Cisco. 2011. Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast 
Update, 2010โ€“2015. 
http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/ 
white_paper_c11-520862.html
Intelligent devices such as notebooks 
and laptops lead traffic growth 
24 
Cisco. 2011. Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast 
Update, 2010โ€“2015. 
http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/ 
white_paper_c11-520862.html
25 
Trends: Broadband (1) 
Passive networking: 
Background streaming and downloading 
from ambient / environmental video 
sources: nannycams, petcams, home 
security cams, etc. 
Real time HD video: 
Internet TV 
Video communications: telepresence,โ€ฆ 
Ambient video
26 
Trends: Broadband (2) 
High definition video 
Transference: from TV to live HD 
video on demand over the Internet 
Silicon photonics and hybrid silicon 
lasers: 
Low cost, high bandwidth optical 
communications will affect all connected 
devices and networks
27 
Trends: Broadband (3) 
Wireless broadband: 
Exponential growth in traffic 
Will outstrip the increased revenue 
required to make it profitable 
Technical solutions: 
Offloading content to the Internet
28 
Trends: Nanotechnology 
Greater transistor density 
More energy efficient chip designs 
Enabling Mooreโ€™s Law for many years 
to come 
Will โ€œincrease transistor speed, 
enhance energy efficiency, and 
provide more functionalitiesโ€ 
Has allowed the miniaturization of 
computer memory. 
This has made the Apple iPOD a reality.
29 
Trends: wireless (1) 
Digitization of broadcasting signals 
will open more spectrum: 
Many new wireless channels, devices 
and services 
Near field communication & medium 
and longer range technologies to 
operationalize the Internet of Things 
ZigBee, 6LowPAN, WirelessHART, etc. 
c. Location aware (sometime GPS 
enabled) mobile devices or objects
30 
Trends: wireless (2) 
Augmented reality that is facilitated 
through the use of wireless devices 
The proliferation of wireless devices 
enables social networking & vice 
versa
31 
Trends: wireless (mobile) 
Data from Cisco 2011 (Ciscoยฎ Visual Networking Index (VNI)) 
Mobile Data Traffic Nearly Tripled in 
2010 
Accelerated adoption of smartphones 
๏ƒ  higher usage profile 
Other high-usage devices increased 
their presence on the mobile network 
๏ƒ mobile-connected laptops grew by 63 
percent in 2010 
Mobile for fixed substitution is NOW!
Global Mobile Data Traffic by region 
2010โ€“2015 (Cisco VSN 2011) 
Ciscoยฎ Visual Networking Index 
(VNI) 
32 
Cisco. 2011. Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2010โ€“2015. 
http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/white_paper_c11-520862.html
Devices with High Usage Profiles Are 
Growing in Number on the Mobile 
Network (Cisco VSN 2011) 
33 
Cisco. 2011. Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2010โ€“2015. 
http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/white_paper_c11-520862.html
High-End Devices Can Multiply Traffic 
34 
Cisco. 2011. Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2010โ€“2015. 
http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/white_paper_c11-520862.html
35 
Trends: wireless (mobile) 
Data from Cisco 2011 
Mobile beyond the power grid 
Selling off grid charging: car batteries, 
solar powered, etc. 
Off-grid, on-net population will reach 
137 million by 2015 
Mobile network will break the 
electricity barrier in 4 major regions 
and more than 40 countries
36 
Trends: Innovations in display 
technology 
Multi-touch input, high definition 
displays 
Cisco identifies the expansion of 
digital screen surface area and 
resolution as being important drivers 
of IP traffic growth 
Scratch and break resistant glass: 
Gorilla Glass, Dragontail Glass, etc.
Trends: GIS & related visualization 
37 
technologies 
Increased use of GIS 
If its visual, its easier to measure & 
understand 
Smartphones as visualization tools 
Building information modeling (BIM) 
software for building & city wide 
energy analysis
Using Google Maps to help map the impact 
38 
of sea level rise on the coast of CA
Trends: the Internet of Things (1) 
Growth in machine to machine 
(M2M) communications - a significant 
opportunity for MNOs 
39 
M2M is driving exponential growth in 
connections 
Revenue from services to embedded 
modems in M2M applications to grow 
exponentially until at 2014
Trends: the Internet of Things (2) 
40 
GSM Association (GSMA) has 
launched an โ€œembedded SIMโ€ 
initiative to support the IOT 
To speed up development of M2M 
services 
Make it easier to bring mobile 
broadband to non-traditional devices: 
cameras, MP3 players, navigation 
devices and e-Readers & smart meters
Trends: the Internet of Things (3) 
41 
87 million embedded mobile M2M 
connections last year 
โ€ฆ will reach 428 million by 2014 
Embedded SIM cards in mobile 
phones / smartphones: 
Allow users direct control over their 
connections: ability to select carrier 
networks of choice, bypassing MNOs, 
Allow to connect to the Internet of 
Things without MNO.
Trends: the Internet of Things (4) 
42 
Global revenues from IOT: 
30 x higher than the Internet in the 
smart transportation sector alone 
(Forrester Research) 
Governments have made significant 
investments in IOT: EU, Japan, 
South Korea, China, USA 
In China: revenues from IOT will 
reach 750 billion RMB (USD 112 
billion) by 2015
Trends: the Internet of Things (5) 
The number of devices connected to 
the Internet: > 5 billion @ Aug. 2010 
In an online presentation, an IBM 
researcher reports that there will be 
a trillion Internet connected devices 
by 2011 
A VP at Ericsson predicted that โ€œ50 
billion connected devices are coming 
to cellular networks in the next 
decadeโ€ 
43
44 
Trends: sensor technology (1) 
Radio-frequency identification (RFID) 
tags 
Low power operating sensors 
(energy harvesting motes) 
Able to withstand harsh 
environments 
Self organizing, self configuring, self-healing
45 
Trends: sensor technology (2) 
Low or zero maintenance 
Bandwidth efficient 
High data capacity 
Many open standards are used, but 
not all standardized. Many corporate, 
i.e. proprietary technologies in the 
market place 
Efforts to standardize on IPv6 
compliant IP (Contiki operating 
system) micro stack
46 
Trends: sensor technology (3) 
Sensors embedded in devices and 
sensor nets (motes) 
Smartphone / mobile device 
Types of sensors: 
Physical: T, P (altitude), density, motion 
(accelerometers), light (cameras and 
wavelength sensors โ€“ infra red โ€“ 
thermal sensors, etc.), gravity, etc.
47 
Trends: sensor technology (4) 
Types of sensors: 
Chemical sensors evolving as well: wet 
chemistry sensors more difficult (unless 
in aqueous environment), gaseous 
sensors easier to implement 
Motion imagery surveillance 
Wide Area Motion Imagery (WAMI) 
Security application with environmental 
uses
What is a wireless sensor network 
(WSN) and why they are important 
48
49 
A wireless sensor network 
EmbeddeSoftDev.com, โ€œWireless sensor network (WSN). What is WSN?โ€, 13 August 2010. Available from 
http://embedsoftdev.com/embedded/wireless-sensor-network-wsn/.
Wireless sensor networks (WSNs -1) 
50 
Tiny sensor โ€œnodesโ€ that collect & 
relay data to a network of similar 
nodes 
Each node: sensor, microprocessor & 
transceiver (radio)
Wireless sensor networks (WSNs -2) 
51 
Spatially distributed autonomous 
sensors 
That cooperatively monitor physical 
&/or chemical parameters: 
T, P, sounds, vibration, motion 
Pollutants, gases, 
Limited power 
Energy saving communication 
protocols 
Short range
Wireless sensor networks (WSNs -3) 
52 
Applications 
Homeland security 
Monitoring of space assets for 
potential and human-made threats in 
space, 
Ground based monitoring of both 
land and water 
Intelligence gathering for defense 
Environmental monitoring 
Urban warfare
Wireless sensor networks (WSNs -4) 
53 
Applications 
Weather and climate analysis and 
prediction 
Battlefield monitoring and 
surveillance 
Exploration of the Solar System and 
beyond 
Monitoring of seismic acceleration 
Strain 
GPS data
54 
A commercially available sensor node 
from Libelium 
Libelium. 2011. Waspmote โ€“ The sensor device for developers. 20110202. http://www.libelium.com/products/waspmote
Sensing applications (commercial: Libelium) 
55 
[Libelium. 2011. Sensor boards. 20110202 http://www.libelium.com/products/waspmote/sensors
Schematic layers of a USN (Ubiquitous 
56 
Sensor Network) 
ITU. 2008. Ubiquitous sensor networks (USN). ITU-T Technology Watch Report # 4. ITU, Geneva, 15 pp. 
http://www.itu.int/oth/T2301000004/en
57 
WSNs for disaster risk reduction โ€“ 
monitoring volcanic activity 
Harvard Sensor Networks Lab, โ€œ Volcano monitoringโ€, Available from http://fiji.eecs.harvard.edu/Volcano.
58 
Machine to machine (M2M) 
communications โ€“ a WSN variant 
Beacham Research. 2009. M2M world of connected services. The Internet of Things. http://www.beechamresearch.com/Downloads.aspx . 
Beecham`s Sector Map shows segmentation of M2M Market in new semi-circular format, including 9 key Service Sectors, key Applications 
Groups within Sectors, and examples of Connected Devices within each Sector. Overall, Beecham Research tracks over 300 different device 
types.
Korea's vision of the Internet of Things (1) 
59 
Kim, Y.-W. 2009. Korean visions and policies for the Internet of Things. Presented on occasion of RFOD Global Forum and the Internet of 
Things.CASAGRAS, EU Framework 7 Peoject. 
http://www.rfidglobal.eu/page.asp?pageid=28&pagegroup=RFID%20Global&pagetitle=Final%20Conference%20Presentations
Korea's vision of the Internet of Things (2) 
60 
Kim, Y.-W. 2009. Korean visions and policies for the Internet of Things. Presented on occasion of RFOD Global Forum and the Internet of 
Things.CASAGRAS, EU Framework 7 Peoject. 
http://www.rfidglobal.eu/page.asp?pageid=28&pagegroup=RFID%20Global&pagetitle=Final%20Conference%20Presentations
61 
HP CeNSE - 
Hartwell, P. & Williams, R.S. 2010. CeNSE - Central Nervous System for the Earth. Spring 2010. Slideshare. 
http://www.slideshare.net/hewlettpackard/hp-cense-sensor-networks-and-the-pulse-of-the-planet
62 
WSNs are a hot subject 
Merret, G. V. and Y. K. Tan. 2010. Wireless Sensor Networks: Application Centric Design. Edited by Dr. Geoff V Merret and Dr. Yen Kheng 
Tan (Wireless Sensor Networks: Application Centric Design Edited by Dr. Geoff V Merret and Dr. Yen Kheng Tan (Editor-in-Chief)Editor-in- 
Chief). Published by InTech. Janeza Trdine 9, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia. http://www.intechopen.com/books/show/title/wireless-sensor-networks- 
application-centric-design
Trends in the development of the Internet 
63 
of Things 
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/5a/Internet_of_Things.png
Number of computing units shipped over 
64 
time 
Braathe, E. 2010. Internet of Things and cloud computing. May 2010. RFID and the Internet of Things - Are you ready? International 
Workshop โ€“ 10-11 May, Oslo, Norway. http://www.rfid-rnet. 
com/Presentations_11_May_2010/E_Braathe_IBM_Workshop_IoT_Oslo_11_May_2010.pdf
Growth in data (exabytes) over time as a 
65 
result of the IoT 
Braathe, E. 2010. Internet of Things and cloud computing. May 2010. RFID and the Internet of Things - Are you ready? International 
Workshop โ€“ 10-11 May, Oslo, Norway. http://www.rfid-rnet. 
com/Presentations_11_May_2010/E_Braathe_IBM_Workshop_IoT_Oslo_11_May_2010.pdf
Trends: Cloud computing is 3 things: 
66 
Software as a service (SaaS) 
An application is licensed to a customer for use as a 
service on demand, usually accessed through a Web 
browser. 
Infrastructure as a service (IaaS) 
Instead of purchasing and installing servers and 
software, a computing platform is purchased as an 
outsourced service (including datacenter space, servers, 
storage, networking, and software often provided as a 
virtual machine environment). 
Platform as a service (PaaS) 
Also known as โ€œcloudware,โ€: where both the computing 
platform and solution stack are delivered as a service 
(used to develop and deliver solutions to end users).
67 
Trends: Cloud computing (1) 
Allows for Grid computing applied to 
environmental needs: 
Access to super computing resources 
Facilitates access to massive digital 
data sets online (INPE โ€“ BR, Landsat, 
etc.) 
The Global Earth Observation System 
of Systems (GEOSS) 
Google Earth, Microsoft Virtual Earth, 
etc.
68 
Trends: Cloud computing (2) 
Computing on demand increasing in 
popularity as broadband speeds rise 
Can reduce energy use of a company 
by moving cost to provider of Cloud 
services 
Can favour green energy sources as 
fiber connected Cloud service centres 
Linked to the Internet of Things 
Collection of live environmental data 
from embedded sensors in mesh nets.
69 
Trends: Advantages of Cloud 
computing 
Delocalize computing services to 
greener energy locations 
Increase access to computing 
services 
Cut capital costs of data centres 
Cut costs of applications 
Reduce energy consumption & costs 
Computing becomes operational 
cost, not capital cost
Cloud Computing and Sustainability: The 
Environmental Benefits of Moving to the 
70 
Cloud 
See Accenture & & WSP Environment & Energy, โ€œCloud Computing and Sustainability: The Environmental Benefits of Moving to the Cloudโ€, 4 
November 2010. Available from 
http://www.microsoft.com/Presspass/press/2010/nov10/11-04CloudBenefitsPR.mspx.
71 
World map showing distribution of 
ClimatePrediction.Net servers 
See http://www.climateprediction.net/project.php
72 
Trends: IPv6 
IPv6: 
Will allow the Internet of Things 
Will push IP to the edge of the network 
More efficient that IPv4 
More support for: 
Data / user authentication 
Data integrity 
Data confidentiality 
Etc.
Trends: IPv6 โ€“ implications for the 
73 
developing world 
There re no more IPv4 addresses 
available 
Some available, but cost very high 
IPv6 uptake is not as fast as it was 
hoped 
Developing countries at disadvantage 
๏ƒ  
Slow down of locally adapted IP apps & 
services 
ICTs for climate change may suffer
Trends: Improved & greener batteries 
74 
(1) 
Many of these ICT innovations 
(WSNs especailly) depend on 
autonomous power: 
Batteries or energy harvesting 
technologies 
Quest for low or portable power 
sources and batteries 
Self/ambient powered and/or power 
harvesting devices for sensors, RFID & 
other embedded devices.
Trends: Improved & greener batteries 
75 
(2) 
Standard battery for all portable 
devices (ITU) 
Higher capacity energy storage 
technologies for use in: 
Smart grid 
Electric vehicles
76 
Trends: social networking (1) 
3 types: 
Imagery social nets 
Gaming driven social nets 
Interaction driven social nets. 
Facebook, Twitter, chat, blogs and 
other social networking applications 
User generated content 
Online content sharing including 
video blogging (vlogging)
77 
Trends: social networking (2) 
Human based computation : 
Human flesh search (HFS) engine: 
people powered search 
Crowdsourcing for soliciting public 
feedback using ICTs 
Much used by environmental groups 
for mobilizing & reporting 
environmental observations & 
infringements
78 
Trends: importance of social 
networking 
The most popular Internet 
application: 
Dominates Internet usage in the Asia 
Pacific region and beyond 
Enabled by wireless technologies 
Enhances stakeholder participation 
Strengthen communities of practice
Different social networking services and 
79 
related statistics 
See Jess3. โ€œThe geosocial universeโ€, May 2011. Available from http://jess3.com/geosocial-universe-2/.
Percent of Internet users in the Asia Pacific 
80 
region (minus China) visiting a social 
networking site 
See Joe Nguyen, โ€œSocial Networking: No Longer a Niche Market in Asia-Pacโ€, 20 September 2010. Available from 
http://blog.comscore.com/2010/09/social_networking_asia_pacific.html.
Average time spent online visiting social 
networking site in the Asia Pacific region 
81 
(minus China) 
See Joe Nguyen, โ€œSocial Networking: No Longer a Niche Market in Asia-Pacโ€, 20 September 2010. Available from 
http://blog.comscore.com/2010/09/social_networking_asia_pacific.html.
82 
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Module 10 - Section 2: ICTs, the environment and climate change & Section 3: ICT trends 20110825

  • 1. Module 10 Sections 2 & 3 Section 2: ICTs, the environment and climate change & Section 3: ICT Trends Richard Labelle rlab@sympatico.ca
  • 2. 2 Objectives of Module 10 To show that ICTs be used to address climate change To demonstrate why ICTs are a crucial part of the solution โ€“ i.e. in promoting efficiency, Green Growth & sustainable development
  • 3. 3 ICTs are key!
  • 4. 4 ICTs have 3 types of environmental impact ICTs facilitate environmental observation ICTs consume energy and this emits GHGs ICTs enhance energy use efficiency and abate GHG emissions
  • 5. ICTs enhance efficiency & facilitate 5 conservation by (1): Process efficiency Doing things faster Use less energy ๏ƒ  emit less C Connecting everything: The Internet of Things Measuring everything: The Internet of Things More info on energy use
  • 6. ICTs enhance efficiency & facilitate 6 conservation by (2): Controlling everything Smart controls Connect & control all motors & energy consumption (embedded controls) More options to reduce consumption: smart logistics /transport & cities
  • 7. 7 ICTs that enhance energy use efficiency & reduce GHG emissions ICTs can help to: Understand, Monitor, Use, Manage and Control โ€ฆenergy and material use and consumption and GHG emissions.
  • 8. 8 Some examples of smart ICTs for abating climate change Smart design technologies: Building information modeling (BIM) Variable rate motors with smart control systems Smart metering systems Dematerialization technologies Smart transportation and logistics technologies Smart grid and related technologies Smart buildings and building management system (BMS) Smart water management technologies
  • 9. 9 Summary ICTs can make a significant contribution in reducing GHG emissions. ICTs have an impact in reducing GHG emissions through both adaptation and mitigation measures. The rapid diffusion of ICTs as well as the many recent and highly beneficial innovations in their design and use are helping to reduce GHG emissions, and enhance energy and material use efficiency. These are the main reasons that ICTs have an important role to play in abating climate change. These points will be explored further in the following sections. Smart technologies are based on the use of ICTs. In many cases, the ICTs are networked sensing devices with a microprocessor embedded in them allowing measurements of the ambient environment and communication capabilities for reporting on the physical or chemical status of the object or environment.
  • 10. 10 ICT Trends: a list (1) Digitization and dematerialization Microprocessors Internet diffusion, broadband and wireless technologies Miniaturized computers, smart objects, low power communication technologies and environmental sensors
  • 11. 11 ICT Trends: a list (2) Wireless sensor networks and the Internet of Things Cloud computing IPv6 Improved and greener batteries Social networking
  • 12. 12 Trends: digitization & dematerialization Digitization & dematerialization Smaller environmental sensing devices More powerful sensing devices More digitization (e-government, e-commerce, etc.) ๏ƒ  less need for travel for rural dwellers, more energy efficiency More downloads: video, music, P2P, etc. Telepresence Virtualization (servers, networks, etc.)
  • 13. 13 Trends: microprocessors (1) 11 nm dies now, with 1 nm in future Smarter and more energy efficient More powerful microprocessors and microcontrollers Parallel processing CPUs and GPUs in portable / handheld devices Mooreโ€™s law still works
  • 14. 14 Trends: microprocessors (2) 45 nm Intel Core i7 processor: Peak data throughput of 50 GB /sec. vs. 64 MB / sec. for Intel 386 8 cores per microprocessor die Do more (much) faster & with less energy
  • 15. 15 Trends: microprocessors (3) Dual / quad core for mobile devices: Smartphones more powerful than netbooks & as powerful as desktops ๏ƒ  โ€ฆPowering transition to mobile over desktop computing as main computing platform Enable wireless sensor networks (WSNs) & the Internet of Things (IoT)
  • 16. 16 Trends: Internet diffusion Global connectivity is growing
  • 17. 17 Trends: Internet diffusion (1) Mobile use by consumer & enterprise markets in developed & emerging economies increasing Bandwidth demand from data & video increasing M2M connections increase Backhaul capacity still has to increase to meet demand More portability and interoperability
  • 18. 18 Trends: Internet diffusion (2) New businesses & models emerging: New forms of advertising, media and content partnerships, mobile services Including M2M, live gaming and looking into the future, augmented reality Off electrical grid connectivity in some countries A cottage industry Driving use of renewables (solar) for charging & powering beyond the electrical grid
  • 19. 19 Trends: Internet diffusion (3) Tendency is total integration of โ€œdesktopโ€ with the Cloud High bandwidth, low latency connectivity FTTx 4G, 5Gโ€ฆ This means speed of IP / Cloud access ~= to speed of computer buses Massive data flows With social nets: everyone is a user and provider of massive amounts of info.
  • 20. Global ICT development, 1998-2009 (ITU) 20
  • 21. 21 Mobile Internet Outpaces Desktop Internet Adoption [Morgan Stanley. 2010. Internet trends. http://www.morganstanley.com/institutional/techresearch/internet_trends042010.html
  • 22. The shift towards mobile computing 22 [Morgan Stanley. 2009. Economy + Internet Trends October 20, 2009. Web 2.0 Summit โ€“ San Francisco. mary.meeker@ms.com / scott.devitt@ms.com / liang.wu@ms.com www.morganstanley.com/techresearch
  • 23. Global mobile data traffic forecast by region (Cisco) 23 [Cisco. 2011. Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2010โ€“2015. http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/ white_paper_c11-520862.html
  • 24. Intelligent devices such as notebooks and laptops lead traffic growth 24 Cisco. 2011. Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2010โ€“2015. http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/ white_paper_c11-520862.html
  • 25. 25 Trends: Broadband (1) Passive networking: Background streaming and downloading from ambient / environmental video sources: nannycams, petcams, home security cams, etc. Real time HD video: Internet TV Video communications: telepresence,โ€ฆ Ambient video
  • 26. 26 Trends: Broadband (2) High definition video Transference: from TV to live HD video on demand over the Internet Silicon photonics and hybrid silicon lasers: Low cost, high bandwidth optical communications will affect all connected devices and networks
  • 27. 27 Trends: Broadband (3) Wireless broadband: Exponential growth in traffic Will outstrip the increased revenue required to make it profitable Technical solutions: Offloading content to the Internet
  • 28. 28 Trends: Nanotechnology Greater transistor density More energy efficient chip designs Enabling Mooreโ€™s Law for many years to come Will โ€œincrease transistor speed, enhance energy efficiency, and provide more functionalitiesโ€ Has allowed the miniaturization of computer memory. This has made the Apple iPOD a reality.
  • 29. 29 Trends: wireless (1) Digitization of broadcasting signals will open more spectrum: Many new wireless channels, devices and services Near field communication & medium and longer range technologies to operationalize the Internet of Things ZigBee, 6LowPAN, WirelessHART, etc. c. Location aware (sometime GPS enabled) mobile devices or objects
  • 30. 30 Trends: wireless (2) Augmented reality that is facilitated through the use of wireless devices The proliferation of wireless devices enables social networking & vice versa
  • 31. 31 Trends: wireless (mobile) Data from Cisco 2011 (Ciscoยฎ Visual Networking Index (VNI)) Mobile Data Traffic Nearly Tripled in 2010 Accelerated adoption of smartphones ๏ƒ  higher usage profile Other high-usage devices increased their presence on the mobile network ๏ƒ mobile-connected laptops grew by 63 percent in 2010 Mobile for fixed substitution is NOW!
  • 32. Global Mobile Data Traffic by region 2010โ€“2015 (Cisco VSN 2011) Ciscoยฎ Visual Networking Index (VNI) 32 Cisco. 2011. Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2010โ€“2015. http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/white_paper_c11-520862.html
  • 33. Devices with High Usage Profiles Are Growing in Number on the Mobile Network (Cisco VSN 2011) 33 Cisco. 2011. Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2010โ€“2015. http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/white_paper_c11-520862.html
  • 34. High-End Devices Can Multiply Traffic 34 Cisco. 2011. Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2010โ€“2015. http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/white_paper_c11-520862.html
  • 35. 35 Trends: wireless (mobile) Data from Cisco 2011 Mobile beyond the power grid Selling off grid charging: car batteries, solar powered, etc. Off-grid, on-net population will reach 137 million by 2015 Mobile network will break the electricity barrier in 4 major regions and more than 40 countries
  • 36. 36 Trends: Innovations in display technology Multi-touch input, high definition displays Cisco identifies the expansion of digital screen surface area and resolution as being important drivers of IP traffic growth Scratch and break resistant glass: Gorilla Glass, Dragontail Glass, etc.
  • 37. Trends: GIS & related visualization 37 technologies Increased use of GIS If its visual, its easier to measure & understand Smartphones as visualization tools Building information modeling (BIM) software for building & city wide energy analysis
  • 38. Using Google Maps to help map the impact 38 of sea level rise on the coast of CA
  • 39. Trends: the Internet of Things (1) Growth in machine to machine (M2M) communications - a significant opportunity for MNOs 39 M2M is driving exponential growth in connections Revenue from services to embedded modems in M2M applications to grow exponentially until at 2014
  • 40. Trends: the Internet of Things (2) 40 GSM Association (GSMA) has launched an โ€œembedded SIMโ€ initiative to support the IOT To speed up development of M2M services Make it easier to bring mobile broadband to non-traditional devices: cameras, MP3 players, navigation devices and e-Readers & smart meters
  • 41. Trends: the Internet of Things (3) 41 87 million embedded mobile M2M connections last year โ€ฆ will reach 428 million by 2014 Embedded SIM cards in mobile phones / smartphones: Allow users direct control over their connections: ability to select carrier networks of choice, bypassing MNOs, Allow to connect to the Internet of Things without MNO.
  • 42. Trends: the Internet of Things (4) 42 Global revenues from IOT: 30 x higher than the Internet in the smart transportation sector alone (Forrester Research) Governments have made significant investments in IOT: EU, Japan, South Korea, China, USA In China: revenues from IOT will reach 750 billion RMB (USD 112 billion) by 2015
  • 43. Trends: the Internet of Things (5) The number of devices connected to the Internet: > 5 billion @ Aug. 2010 In an online presentation, an IBM researcher reports that there will be a trillion Internet connected devices by 2011 A VP at Ericsson predicted that โ€œ50 billion connected devices are coming to cellular networks in the next decadeโ€ 43
  • 44. 44 Trends: sensor technology (1) Radio-frequency identification (RFID) tags Low power operating sensors (energy harvesting motes) Able to withstand harsh environments Self organizing, self configuring, self-healing
  • 45. 45 Trends: sensor technology (2) Low or zero maintenance Bandwidth efficient High data capacity Many open standards are used, but not all standardized. Many corporate, i.e. proprietary technologies in the market place Efforts to standardize on IPv6 compliant IP (Contiki operating system) micro stack
  • 46. 46 Trends: sensor technology (3) Sensors embedded in devices and sensor nets (motes) Smartphone / mobile device Types of sensors: Physical: T, P (altitude), density, motion (accelerometers), light (cameras and wavelength sensors โ€“ infra red โ€“ thermal sensors, etc.), gravity, etc.
  • 47. 47 Trends: sensor technology (4) Types of sensors: Chemical sensors evolving as well: wet chemistry sensors more difficult (unless in aqueous environment), gaseous sensors easier to implement Motion imagery surveillance Wide Area Motion Imagery (WAMI) Security application with environmental uses
  • 48. What is a wireless sensor network (WSN) and why they are important 48
  • 49. 49 A wireless sensor network EmbeddeSoftDev.com, โ€œWireless sensor network (WSN). What is WSN?โ€, 13 August 2010. Available from http://embedsoftdev.com/embedded/wireless-sensor-network-wsn/.
  • 50. Wireless sensor networks (WSNs -1) 50 Tiny sensor โ€œnodesโ€ that collect & relay data to a network of similar nodes Each node: sensor, microprocessor & transceiver (radio)
  • 51. Wireless sensor networks (WSNs -2) 51 Spatially distributed autonomous sensors That cooperatively monitor physical &/or chemical parameters: T, P, sounds, vibration, motion Pollutants, gases, Limited power Energy saving communication protocols Short range
  • 52. Wireless sensor networks (WSNs -3) 52 Applications Homeland security Monitoring of space assets for potential and human-made threats in space, Ground based monitoring of both land and water Intelligence gathering for defense Environmental monitoring Urban warfare
  • 53. Wireless sensor networks (WSNs -4) 53 Applications Weather and climate analysis and prediction Battlefield monitoring and surveillance Exploration of the Solar System and beyond Monitoring of seismic acceleration Strain GPS data
  • 54. 54 A commercially available sensor node from Libelium Libelium. 2011. Waspmote โ€“ The sensor device for developers. 20110202. http://www.libelium.com/products/waspmote
  • 55. Sensing applications (commercial: Libelium) 55 [Libelium. 2011. Sensor boards. 20110202 http://www.libelium.com/products/waspmote/sensors
  • 56. Schematic layers of a USN (Ubiquitous 56 Sensor Network) ITU. 2008. Ubiquitous sensor networks (USN). ITU-T Technology Watch Report # 4. ITU, Geneva, 15 pp. http://www.itu.int/oth/T2301000004/en
  • 57. 57 WSNs for disaster risk reduction โ€“ monitoring volcanic activity Harvard Sensor Networks Lab, โ€œ Volcano monitoringโ€, Available from http://fiji.eecs.harvard.edu/Volcano.
  • 58. 58 Machine to machine (M2M) communications โ€“ a WSN variant Beacham Research. 2009. M2M world of connected services. The Internet of Things. http://www.beechamresearch.com/Downloads.aspx . Beecham`s Sector Map shows segmentation of M2M Market in new semi-circular format, including 9 key Service Sectors, key Applications Groups within Sectors, and examples of Connected Devices within each Sector. Overall, Beecham Research tracks over 300 different device types.
  • 59. Korea's vision of the Internet of Things (1) 59 Kim, Y.-W. 2009. Korean visions and policies for the Internet of Things. Presented on occasion of RFOD Global Forum and the Internet of Things.CASAGRAS, EU Framework 7 Peoject. http://www.rfidglobal.eu/page.asp?pageid=28&pagegroup=RFID%20Global&pagetitle=Final%20Conference%20Presentations
  • 60. Korea's vision of the Internet of Things (2) 60 Kim, Y.-W. 2009. Korean visions and policies for the Internet of Things. Presented on occasion of RFOD Global Forum and the Internet of Things.CASAGRAS, EU Framework 7 Peoject. http://www.rfidglobal.eu/page.asp?pageid=28&pagegroup=RFID%20Global&pagetitle=Final%20Conference%20Presentations
  • 61. 61 HP CeNSE - Hartwell, P. & Williams, R.S. 2010. CeNSE - Central Nervous System for the Earth. Spring 2010. Slideshare. http://www.slideshare.net/hewlettpackard/hp-cense-sensor-networks-and-the-pulse-of-the-planet
  • 62. 62 WSNs are a hot subject Merret, G. V. and Y. K. Tan. 2010. Wireless Sensor Networks: Application Centric Design. Edited by Dr. Geoff V Merret and Dr. Yen Kheng Tan (Wireless Sensor Networks: Application Centric Design Edited by Dr. Geoff V Merret and Dr. Yen Kheng Tan (Editor-in-Chief)Editor-in- Chief). Published by InTech. Janeza Trdine 9, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia. http://www.intechopen.com/books/show/title/wireless-sensor-networks- application-centric-design
  • 63. Trends in the development of the Internet 63 of Things http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/5a/Internet_of_Things.png
  • 64. Number of computing units shipped over 64 time Braathe, E. 2010. Internet of Things and cloud computing. May 2010. RFID and the Internet of Things - Are you ready? International Workshop โ€“ 10-11 May, Oslo, Norway. http://www.rfid-rnet. com/Presentations_11_May_2010/E_Braathe_IBM_Workshop_IoT_Oslo_11_May_2010.pdf
  • 65. Growth in data (exabytes) over time as a 65 result of the IoT Braathe, E. 2010. Internet of Things and cloud computing. May 2010. RFID and the Internet of Things - Are you ready? International Workshop โ€“ 10-11 May, Oslo, Norway. http://www.rfid-rnet. com/Presentations_11_May_2010/E_Braathe_IBM_Workshop_IoT_Oslo_11_May_2010.pdf
  • 66. Trends: Cloud computing is 3 things: 66 Software as a service (SaaS) An application is licensed to a customer for use as a service on demand, usually accessed through a Web browser. Infrastructure as a service (IaaS) Instead of purchasing and installing servers and software, a computing platform is purchased as an outsourced service (including datacenter space, servers, storage, networking, and software often provided as a virtual machine environment). Platform as a service (PaaS) Also known as โ€œcloudware,โ€: where both the computing platform and solution stack are delivered as a service (used to develop and deliver solutions to end users).
  • 67. 67 Trends: Cloud computing (1) Allows for Grid computing applied to environmental needs: Access to super computing resources Facilitates access to massive digital data sets online (INPE โ€“ BR, Landsat, etc.) The Global Earth Observation System of Systems (GEOSS) Google Earth, Microsoft Virtual Earth, etc.
  • 68. 68 Trends: Cloud computing (2) Computing on demand increasing in popularity as broadband speeds rise Can reduce energy use of a company by moving cost to provider of Cloud services Can favour green energy sources as fiber connected Cloud service centres Linked to the Internet of Things Collection of live environmental data from embedded sensors in mesh nets.
  • 69. 69 Trends: Advantages of Cloud computing Delocalize computing services to greener energy locations Increase access to computing services Cut capital costs of data centres Cut costs of applications Reduce energy consumption & costs Computing becomes operational cost, not capital cost
  • 70. Cloud Computing and Sustainability: The Environmental Benefits of Moving to the 70 Cloud See Accenture & & WSP Environment & Energy, โ€œCloud Computing and Sustainability: The Environmental Benefits of Moving to the Cloudโ€, 4 November 2010. Available from http://www.microsoft.com/Presspass/press/2010/nov10/11-04CloudBenefitsPR.mspx.
  • 71. 71 World map showing distribution of ClimatePrediction.Net servers See http://www.climateprediction.net/project.php
  • 72. 72 Trends: IPv6 IPv6: Will allow the Internet of Things Will push IP to the edge of the network More efficient that IPv4 More support for: Data / user authentication Data integrity Data confidentiality Etc.
  • 73. Trends: IPv6 โ€“ implications for the 73 developing world There re no more IPv4 addresses available Some available, but cost very high IPv6 uptake is not as fast as it was hoped Developing countries at disadvantage ๏ƒ  Slow down of locally adapted IP apps & services ICTs for climate change may suffer
  • 74. Trends: Improved & greener batteries 74 (1) Many of these ICT innovations (WSNs especailly) depend on autonomous power: Batteries or energy harvesting technologies Quest for low or portable power sources and batteries Self/ambient powered and/or power harvesting devices for sensors, RFID & other embedded devices.
  • 75. Trends: Improved & greener batteries 75 (2) Standard battery for all portable devices (ITU) Higher capacity energy storage technologies for use in: Smart grid Electric vehicles
  • 76. 76 Trends: social networking (1) 3 types: Imagery social nets Gaming driven social nets Interaction driven social nets. Facebook, Twitter, chat, blogs and other social networking applications User generated content Online content sharing including video blogging (vlogging)
  • 77. 77 Trends: social networking (2) Human based computation : Human flesh search (HFS) engine: people powered search Crowdsourcing for soliciting public feedback using ICTs Much used by environmental groups for mobilizing & reporting environmental observations & infringements
  • 78. 78 Trends: importance of social networking The most popular Internet application: Dominates Internet usage in the Asia Pacific region and beyond Enabled by wireless technologies Enhances stakeholder participation Strengthen communities of practice
  • 79. Different social networking services and 79 related statistics See Jess3. โ€œThe geosocial universeโ€, May 2011. Available from http://jess3.com/geosocial-universe-2/.
  • 80. Percent of Internet users in the Asia Pacific 80 region (minus China) visiting a social networking site See Joe Nguyen, โ€œSocial Networking: No Longer a Niche Market in Asia-Pacโ€, 20 September 2010. Available from http://blog.comscore.com/2010/09/social_networking_asia_pacific.html.
  • 81. Average time spent online visiting social networking site in the Asia Pacific region 81 (minus China) See Joe Nguyen, โ€œSocial Networking: No Longer a Niche Market in Asia-Pacโ€, 20 September 2010. Available from http://blog.comscore.com/2010/09/social_networking_asia_pacific.html.