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The Current Credit Crisis Why it is so dangerous and potential implications Prepared by Robert Malvin [email_address]
Economic Theory of Money Supply Doesn’t Include Debt ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Inflation is a Monetary Phenomena ,[object Object],[object Object]
Look No Further than the Housing Market ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Banks Cut Lending ,[object Object]
Commercial and Consumer Loans Violently Reduced ,[object Object],[object Object],FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile Second Quarter 2009
Economy over reliant on debt put’s a death grip on growth ,[object Object],[object Object],Household debt surpasses total money supply http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/
Banks leveraging the money supply has been irresponsible ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/
This Caused  Loan Losses to Explode One Month Decrease can Be Followed by More Increases http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/
Bank Losses Will Continue to Increase Large gap between the loan loss reserves and noncurrent loans (more than 90 days past due) suggest that current reserves will need to be increased for the foreseeable future This is a major drain on banks earnings  FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile Second Quarter 2009
Banks Want Capitalism for Everyone  BUT  Banks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How Big is Our Subsidy to Banks? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Not Reducing Debt Strangle Will Lead to a Death Spiral in our Economy We have surpassed the debt  levels that were the cause of the great depression  Why would deleveraging this debt be any less painful? It won’t be unless the Fed acknowledges the banking industries culpability and decreases debt burden on consumer and forces banks to take significant debt write offs to re-establish realistic levels of money supply and debt in our economy http://mwhodges.home.att.net/nat-debt/debt-nat-b.htm
Percent Change By Day from Market Top ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Hope Rally of 1929 Hope Rally of 2009?
Cheaper Money for Banks and Continued Overreliance on Debt is NOT a SOLUTION ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Analysis Of Credit Crisis of 2008 - 2010

  • 1. The Current Credit Crisis Why it is so dangerous and potential implications Prepared by Robert Malvin [email_address]
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. This Caused Loan Losses to Explode One Month Decrease can Be Followed by More Increases http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/
  • 10. Bank Losses Will Continue to Increase Large gap between the loan loss reserves and noncurrent loans (more than 90 days past due) suggest that current reserves will need to be increased for the foreseeable future This is a major drain on banks earnings FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile Second Quarter 2009
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Not Reducing Debt Strangle Will Lead to a Death Spiral in our Economy We have surpassed the debt levels that were the cause of the great depression Why would deleveraging this debt be any less painful? It won’t be unless the Fed acknowledges the banking industries culpability and decreases debt burden on consumer and forces banks to take significant debt write offs to re-establish realistic levels of money supply and debt in our economy http://mwhodges.home.att.net/nat-debt/debt-nat-b.htm
  • 14.
  • 15.