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Mostafa Amir Sabbih
Financing the 2030
Agenda for Sustainable
Development in
Bangladesh
Introduction
 At the seventieth session of the UN General Assembly
on 25 September 2015, the member states have
adopted the declaration
Transforming our world: the 2030
Agenda for Sustainable Development
 17 Goals with 169 Targets will come into effect on 1
January 2016 and will guide the international
development agenda over the next 15 years
 The indicators will be finalised by the UN statistical
Commission in early 2016
 Debates on Financing the SDG are being widely
discussed across the world
Key elements of the SDGs
Not a very perfect agenda, but expresses a global consensus of high
aspiration, based on a fine political balance
Key elements of the SDGs
It is critically important to keep the
key elements of SDGs in
perspective
 The synthesis report of the
Secretary General on the post-
2015 agenda, “The road to dignity:
ending poverty, transforming all
lives and protecting the planet”
was published in December 2014
 The report presents six elements
for delivering on the SDGs which
“… would help frame and reinforce
the universal, integrated and
transformative nature of a
sustainable development agenda
…”
SDGs negotiation process
 The SDGs declaration has included commitments from several
international processes including Third International Conference
on Financing for Development, Addis Ababa Action Agenda
(AAAA) that took place 13-15 July, 2015.
 The declaration also looked forward to Conference of Parties
(COP21) taking place on 7- 8 December, 2015 in Paris.
Why Financing is So Important So
Early
 For MDGs, resource requirement was not estimated
upfront
 Resource needs for MDGs were estimated individually
for different goals – which ended up in double counting
 The learning of MDGs taught us the lesson to discuss
the financing issue upfront at the country level to turn
this ambitious agenda into a reality..
Costing the SDGs
There will be
an annual
financing gap
of $2.5 trillion
for aforesaid
five areas
(about 3.2% of
world GDP) at
current levels
of public and
private
investment
Financing Gap
Developing countries
will need between
$3.3 trillion and
$4.5 trillion a year in
financing for basic
infrastructure (roads,
rail and ports; power
stations; water and
sanitation), food
security, climate
change mitigation
and adaptation,
health and education
United Nations Conference
on Trade and Development
(UNCTAD)
Achieving the SDGs
in all countries will
require additional
global investments
in the range of $5
trillion to $7 trillion
per year up to 2030
Intergovernmental Committee
of Experts on Sustainable
Development Financing
(ICESDF)
Costing the SDGs
SDGs would cost
three times more
than MDGs
Developing
countries may
require doubling
public spending,
but it will be difficult
to mobilise
additional aid
IMF-World Bank annual
meetings, October 2014
Achieving the
proposed SDGs
globally will require
best possible use of
each available grant
dollar, beginning with
$13.5 trillion in ODA
from governments
and also including
philanthropy,
remittances, South-
South flows, other
official assistance,
and foreign direct
investment
World Bank
Financing Sources
 To mobilise the needed finance for SDG implementation,
additional flows must come from two main pillars:
• Domestic resource mobilisation is $23.5 billion (12.1% of
GDP )
• Illicit outflows of a staggering $5.8 billion during 2004-2013
• ODA is $3.1 billion (1.6% of GDP)– more than $20 billion in
the pipeline
• Public investment is $13.4 billion (6.9% of GDP)
Public
sector
• Private investment is $43.0 billion (22.1% of GDP) –
stagnant over last three years
• Foreign direct investment is $1.8 billion (0.9% of GDP) –
comparatively low
• Remittances is $6.2 billion (7.9% of GDP) – volatile
prospect
Private
sector
Adequacy of Finance for Implementing
SDGs
Budgetary allocation on social security is
hovering around 2% of GDP in FY2010-2015
period
 It is even lower than the Six Five Year Plan
target of 3% of GDP
Spending on agriculture and food security has
been declining consistently both as a share of
GDP and total budget in last 5-6 years
 Average share of agriculture and food security in
total budget was 10.3% while it was around 1.3% of
GDP during FY2010-2015
Adequacy of Finance for Implementing
SDGs
Average share of health in total public
expenditure stagnated at 0.7% of GDP during
FY2003-2014
 WHO stipulates that the allocation should be 5%
of GDP
Education budget (both allocation and
expenditure) has been about 2% of GDP during
FY2003-2014
 UNESCO stipulates that the allocation should be
6% of GDP
Adequacy of Finance for Implementing
SDGs
Budgetary allocation on gender is increasing
steadily over the years which is a positive sign
 From 2.6% of GDP in 2007 to 4.4% of GDP in
2015
Although public spending on energy and fuel
has been on an increasing trend in recent years
but they are still inadequate
 The share is hovering around less than or equal to
1% of GDP
Other Means of Implementation
 Global financial architecture needs stability in the midst of a
volatile and tepid global environment
 While illicit resource outflow needs to be curbed
 Other systemic issues are also of critical importance -
 Creating conducive environment through global trading
system
 Market access for goods and services and preference erosion
 Intellectual property rights
 Technology transfer
 Climate financing
 Ownership trap must be avoided
Data Financing
 A recent estimate by Espey et al (2015) suggest that around
$1 billion will be needed annually to finance the data needs
of 77 developing countries
 The estimate further suggests that an additional $200 million
ODA will need to be provided annually to support the
statistics of these countries
 The present trend of ODA flow to support statistics is not a
very promising one while the demand is on the higher side
 According to Partner Report on Support to Statistics (PRESS
2015), in 2013, commitments to statistical development (of about
$448 million) show a 20% decrease from the previous two years
Recommendations
 Once the indicators are finalised, resource requirements for
implementing SDGs need to be carried out at both country
level and globally
 Target based estimates need to be considered
 Synergy among the targets and trade-offs need to be taken
into cognisance
 Estimated resource requirement needs to be matched with
existing flow of resources (by sources)
 This will lead to more accurate estimates of resource gaps
and identification of potential sources for financing
References
 Bhattacharya, D. (2015). Implementing 2030 Agenda for
Sustainable Development: What Bangladesh should be aware of.
Presented at CPD-FES-SV Dialogue held on 31 October 2015.
 UNCTAD. (2014). World Investment Report 2014: Investing in the
SDGs: An Action Plan. New York and Geneva: United Nations.
 United Nations. (2014a). The Road to Dignity by 2030: Ending
Poverty, Transforming All Lives and Protecting the Planet. New
York: United Nations.
 United Nations. (2014b). Report of the Intergovernmental
Committee of Experts on Sustainable Development Financing.
New York: United Nations.
 UNGA. (2015). Transforming our world: the 2030 Agenda for
Sustainable Development.

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Financing the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in Bangladesh

  • 1. Mostafa Amir Sabbih Financing the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development in Bangladesh
  • 2. Introduction  At the seventieth session of the UN General Assembly on 25 September 2015, the member states have adopted the declaration Transforming our world: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development  17 Goals with 169 Targets will come into effect on 1 January 2016 and will guide the international development agenda over the next 15 years  The indicators will be finalised by the UN statistical Commission in early 2016  Debates on Financing the SDG are being widely discussed across the world
  • 3. Key elements of the SDGs Not a very perfect agenda, but expresses a global consensus of high aspiration, based on a fine political balance
  • 4. Key elements of the SDGs It is critically important to keep the key elements of SDGs in perspective  The synthesis report of the Secretary General on the post- 2015 agenda, “The road to dignity: ending poverty, transforming all lives and protecting the planet” was published in December 2014  The report presents six elements for delivering on the SDGs which “… would help frame and reinforce the universal, integrated and transformative nature of a sustainable development agenda …”
  • 5. SDGs negotiation process  The SDGs declaration has included commitments from several international processes including Third International Conference on Financing for Development, Addis Ababa Action Agenda (AAAA) that took place 13-15 July, 2015.  The declaration also looked forward to Conference of Parties (COP21) taking place on 7- 8 December, 2015 in Paris.
  • 6. Why Financing is So Important So Early  For MDGs, resource requirement was not estimated upfront  Resource needs for MDGs were estimated individually for different goals – which ended up in double counting  The learning of MDGs taught us the lesson to discuss the financing issue upfront at the country level to turn this ambitious agenda into a reality..
  • 7. Costing the SDGs There will be an annual financing gap of $2.5 trillion for aforesaid five areas (about 3.2% of world GDP) at current levels of public and private investment Financing Gap Developing countries will need between $3.3 trillion and $4.5 trillion a year in financing for basic infrastructure (roads, rail and ports; power stations; water and sanitation), food security, climate change mitigation and adaptation, health and education United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) Achieving the SDGs in all countries will require additional global investments in the range of $5 trillion to $7 trillion per year up to 2030 Intergovernmental Committee of Experts on Sustainable Development Financing (ICESDF)
  • 8. Costing the SDGs SDGs would cost three times more than MDGs Developing countries may require doubling public spending, but it will be difficult to mobilise additional aid IMF-World Bank annual meetings, October 2014 Achieving the proposed SDGs globally will require best possible use of each available grant dollar, beginning with $13.5 trillion in ODA from governments and also including philanthropy, remittances, South- South flows, other official assistance, and foreign direct investment World Bank
  • 9. Financing Sources  To mobilise the needed finance for SDG implementation, additional flows must come from two main pillars: • Domestic resource mobilisation is $23.5 billion (12.1% of GDP ) • Illicit outflows of a staggering $5.8 billion during 2004-2013 • ODA is $3.1 billion (1.6% of GDP)– more than $20 billion in the pipeline • Public investment is $13.4 billion (6.9% of GDP) Public sector • Private investment is $43.0 billion (22.1% of GDP) – stagnant over last three years • Foreign direct investment is $1.8 billion (0.9% of GDP) – comparatively low • Remittances is $6.2 billion (7.9% of GDP) – volatile prospect Private sector
  • 10. Adequacy of Finance for Implementing SDGs Budgetary allocation on social security is hovering around 2% of GDP in FY2010-2015 period  It is even lower than the Six Five Year Plan target of 3% of GDP Spending on agriculture and food security has been declining consistently both as a share of GDP and total budget in last 5-6 years  Average share of agriculture and food security in total budget was 10.3% while it was around 1.3% of GDP during FY2010-2015
  • 11. Adequacy of Finance for Implementing SDGs Average share of health in total public expenditure stagnated at 0.7% of GDP during FY2003-2014  WHO stipulates that the allocation should be 5% of GDP Education budget (both allocation and expenditure) has been about 2% of GDP during FY2003-2014  UNESCO stipulates that the allocation should be 6% of GDP
  • 12. Adequacy of Finance for Implementing SDGs Budgetary allocation on gender is increasing steadily over the years which is a positive sign  From 2.6% of GDP in 2007 to 4.4% of GDP in 2015 Although public spending on energy and fuel has been on an increasing trend in recent years but they are still inadequate  The share is hovering around less than or equal to 1% of GDP
  • 13. Other Means of Implementation  Global financial architecture needs stability in the midst of a volatile and tepid global environment  While illicit resource outflow needs to be curbed  Other systemic issues are also of critical importance -  Creating conducive environment through global trading system  Market access for goods and services and preference erosion  Intellectual property rights  Technology transfer  Climate financing  Ownership trap must be avoided
  • 14. Data Financing  A recent estimate by Espey et al (2015) suggest that around $1 billion will be needed annually to finance the data needs of 77 developing countries  The estimate further suggests that an additional $200 million ODA will need to be provided annually to support the statistics of these countries  The present trend of ODA flow to support statistics is not a very promising one while the demand is on the higher side  According to Partner Report on Support to Statistics (PRESS 2015), in 2013, commitments to statistical development (of about $448 million) show a 20% decrease from the previous two years
  • 15. Recommendations  Once the indicators are finalised, resource requirements for implementing SDGs need to be carried out at both country level and globally  Target based estimates need to be considered  Synergy among the targets and trade-offs need to be taken into cognisance  Estimated resource requirement needs to be matched with existing flow of resources (by sources)  This will lead to more accurate estimates of resource gaps and identification of potential sources for financing
  • 16. References  Bhattacharya, D. (2015). Implementing 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development: What Bangladesh should be aware of. Presented at CPD-FES-SV Dialogue held on 31 October 2015.  UNCTAD. (2014). World Investment Report 2014: Investing in the SDGs: An Action Plan. New York and Geneva: United Nations.  United Nations. (2014a). The Road to Dignity by 2030: Ending Poverty, Transforming All Lives and Protecting the Planet. New York: United Nations.  United Nations. (2014b). Report of the Intergovernmental Committee of Experts on Sustainable Development Financing. New York: United Nations.  UNGA. (2015). Transforming our world: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.