2. The above screen shot shows us the 3 periods of the Tolerance limits (absolute). As my
current meter reading (1500 units) doesn’t fall within any of the given 3 period ranges it
has failed the validation.
The validation check is done by the system after it has executed the estimation run. So even
if n is maintained as 0 or 1, it will always have a single entry which would the ‘original
period’. If n > 1 then system would go back into the consumption history to fetch more
entries. The Base period category matters which is maintained in the Installation. Here it’s
maintained as ‘previous period’. The meter reading unit maintained in the Installation
matters as it gives us the period length for n. Here the period length is 1 month.
Here is the consumption pattern till date and we are estimating the meter reading for 1st
July 2013.
So accordingly the system will propose the following consumption.
(300 units / 31 days) * 30 days = 290 units (truncated). The calculation for base period
check is not shown here.
Consumption for the period 1st May 2013 to 1st June 2013 is 300 units
Number of days in the forecast period (1st June 2013 to 1st July 2013) is 30 days
Number of days in the original period (1st May 2013 to 1st June 2013) is 31 days.
The absolute tolerance limits are maintained as +/- 10 units.
So writing this down in Tolerance limit ranges
Expected Consumption 290 Minimum Consumption 280 Maximum Consumption 300
units
units
units
Expected Meter Reading
Minimum Meter Reading
Maximum Meter Reading
1690 units (1400+290)
1680 units
1700 units
3. This also defines the first comparison period.
For the second comparison period which would come after the first period i.e. 2nd April 2013
to 1st May 2013
Consumption of the period (1st April 2013 to 1st May 2013) is 190 units for 31 days
Adding previous period per day 9.677 (300/31), so per day it comes to 199.677/31= 6.441
The number of days in first period is 30 days. So the consumption for the first period is
6.441 * 30 = 193.236 which is truncated to 193 units.
So writing this down in Tolerance limit ranges
Expected Consumption 193
Minimum Consumption 183 Maximum Consumption 203
units
units
units
Expected Meter Reading
Minimum Meter Reading
Maximum Meter Reading
1593 units (1400+193)
1583 units
1603 units
This defines the second comparison period.
Estimated Consumption for the third comparison period (2nd March 2013 to 1st April 2013)
Consumption of the period (1st March 2013 to 1st April 2013) is 330 units for 31 days
Adding previous period per day 6.333 (190/31), so per day it comes to 336.333/32 =
10.510
The number of days in first period is 30 days. So the consumption for the first period is
10.510 * 30 = 315.313 which is truncated to 315 units.
So writing this down in Tolerance limit ranges
Expected Consumption 315
Minimum Consumption 305 Maximum Consumption 325
units
units
units
Expected Meter Reading
Minimum Meter Reading
Maximum Meter Reading
1715 units (1400+315)
1705 units
1725 units
This defines the third comparison period.
So combining all if my meter reading is within 1583 units to 1725 units then it’s a plausible
reading. So the definition of n would depend on the Business requirements on how many
periods they are ready to compare.
That’s it. Thanks ☺