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austra lumina
Hacking For Defense, MS&E 297
Stanford University, Spring 2017
[ VIDEO ]
austra lumina
Sponsor: USSOUTHCOM
Week 10
Problem: Lack of communication and
situational awareness capabilities
with foreign partners hinders success
of tactical operations.
Solution: Create low-cost situational
awareness and comms capability
using commercial satellite networks
linked to a mobile application.
Week 0
Problem: New capabilities for
persistent Illicit Maritime Activity
Detection and Monitoring
desired by SOUTHCOM/JIATF-S.
Solution: Improve detection
rates with data analytics.
101 interviews conducted
Xuan Hao Ong Sam Jackson Vishakh Hegde Benjamin Tan James Hennessy
MS MS&E
BS Aero. Engineering
MBA
BA Political Science
MS ICME
BS & MS Physics
MS MS&E
BSc Actuarial Science
BS CS & Applied
Mathematics
Aerospace, Military
Engineering & Design
Technology
Strategy & Ops
Machine Learning,
Computer Vision
Military UAVs,
Statistical Modeling
Computer Science,
Genomics
Our Team
101 Total Interviews
Our product journey…
Week
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
4
Situational Awareness and
Communications
3
Predictive
Modeling
2
Persistent
Monitoring
1
Data
Analytics
Week
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
4
Situational Awareness and
Communications
3
Predictive
Modeling
2
Persistent
Monitoring
1
Data
Analytics
Primary
Beneficiary
Ops Analyst,
Pilots
Nav Officer,
Ops Analyst
Detection Crews JIATF-S + Foreign Law Enforcement
Ops
Analyst
Our beneficiary journey…
Week
EmotionalState
“So much to
learn!”
“It’s something
they want!”
“This could be
years.”
“So much we
learned!”
0 2 4 6 8 10
Our own (emotional) journey…
“You don’t know how much you don’t know”
- H4D Teaching Team
The starting point for our journey
Joint Inter-Agency Task Force - South
(JIATF-S)
Law Enforcement /
International Partners
Dept. of
Justice
Our sponsor’s mission
Joint Inter-Agency Task Force - South
(JIATF-S)
Law Enforcement /
International Partners
Dept. of
Justice
First Focus
Our first focus: Targeting and Detection
Targeting and Detection are the key mission goals;
Analysts are the key beneficiary;
Analytics tools can improve targeting & detection success
Focus: Targeting and Detection
Key finding:
Ocean is very, very big
“Even if you know where a
[suspect] boat is, it may be
days to intercept…”
- Captain, U.S. Coast Guard
“We’re trying to detect
small, fast-moving
objects, in very large
parts of the ocean… with
persistent monitoring
capacity issues.”
- US SOUTHCOM Sponsor
Key finding:
Insufficient sensor data,
sensor platforms, to feed
proposed models
Pivot #1
Detection → Monitoring
Sensor capability, persistence are the challenges;
Low-cost, unmanned platforms are the solution
Joint Inter-Agency Task Force - South
(JIATF-S)
Law Enforcement /
International Partners
Dept. of
Justice
New Focus
New focus: Monitoring
First Focus
“We already have more known threats than we can
pursue with our current assets…”
- Captain, U.S. Coast Guard
However…
“The amount of drugs out of South America
significantly exceeds our assets available to interdict.”
- P-3 Pilot, U.S. Air Force
Data supported this concern
25%
Targeted
7%
10%
Detected
7%
Disrupted
100%
Key discovery:
Monitoring is not the
bottleneck!
Our next question:
If detection and monitoring are not
bottlenecks, can we improve efficiency of
existing missions?
Pivot #2
Persistent Monitoring
→ Mission Efficiency
Joint Inter-Agency Task Force - South
(JIATF-S)
Law Enforcement /
International Partners
Dept. of
Justice
New FocusPrior Focus
New focus: Monitoring & Interdiction
“Knowing where to look
and where not to look
can drastically increase
the efficiency of the
search.”
- U-2 Pilot, U.S. Air Force
Predicting the search space
can enhance the
effectiveness of each asset
Key finding:
Goals:
1. Actionably
predict red
forces behaviors
1. Allocate assets
(U.S., foreign)
more efficiently
austra
lumina
Prediction Model
“We understand the travelling salesman problem, but we
do not even have a blue force tracker for foreign
partners.”
- JIATF-S Innovation Council
However…
Pivot #3
Prediction Model
→ Tactical Communication
- Foreign Liaison
Officers
- Innovation and
Technology, JIATF-S
- U.S. P-3 Pilot,
formerly operating
out of El Salvador
ES
New focus: Tactical Communication
2. Situational Awareness App1. Satellite Communication Device
Final MVP
“Sounds like people want to give you
funding…”
- US SOUTHCOM Sponsor
“You guys are definitely on the right
track… show the affordability model, and
it will definitely be used.”
- - Senior Executive Service,
- Office of Naval Research
Product
Mission
Fit (!)
Week
EmotionalState
“So much to
learn!”
“It’s something
they want!”
“This could be
years.”
“So much we
learned!”
0 2 4 6 8 10
From Discovery to Product Mission Fit
Data Analytics US SOUTHCOM
JIATF-S
Watch Floor
US
Interdiction Crew
Tactical
Communication
US SOUTHCOM
JIATF-S
Watch Floor
US
Interdiction Crew
Foreign
Interdiction Crew
Foreign
Command Center
Initial problem might not be the problem!!!
Mission Model Canvas
BeneficiariesKey Activities
Key Resources
Key Partners Buy-In/Support
Deployment
Mission AchievementMission Budget/Costs
Value Proposition
1. Market research into sat-
comm device
2. Develop Comms App
interface
3. Procure Sat-Comms device
4. Workflow optimization and
automation
- J72, USSOUTHCOM
- JIATF-S, USSOUTHCOM
- International Affairs, J9
- Foreign LNOs and
militaries (S. America)
- Sat-comms companies
(eg Garmin, SPOT,
TextAnywhere)
Strategic
- 15% increase in number of interdicted drug vessels
Operational
- x% reduction in number of illegal vessels “lost” at foreign partner level
Tactical
- x% reduction in a single OODA loop cycle (foreign interdiction missions)
- x% reduction in time spent on detection
- Introduce MVP to Local
Interceptor Crew, Nav
Officers, and Proxies
- Small scale deployment of
MVP to foreign interdiction
crews of a single country
- JIATF-S and foreign partner
level adoption and integration
Fixed:
- Design & engineering (software/hardware)
- Market research
- Technology acquisition
Variable:
- Technology updates
- Access to computational
power
- Open-source data analysis
tools
- UAV SMEs (as key sensor
platform)
- Access to existing
communication system
- Support from Internat. Affairs
J9 and Foreign LNOs
- Ride on existing / introduce
CotS systems
- Implementation by foreign
interdiction crews or local
proxies
- Increase detection effiiency:
reduce time taken for detection
through a clear, secured, line of
direct communication
- Improve decision effectiveness
and efficiency: allow Ops Analyst to
better assist detection effort by
allowing for instantaneous
communication and real-time input of
new intel
- Ease interdiction resource
constraint: improve
coordination/communication with
interdiction agencies
Primary
- Foreign partners’ Interceptor
Crew deployed to investigate illegal
ships
- Foreign partners’ Operations
Center to coordinate the mission
- JIATF-S J3 Watch Floor Ops part
of coordination effort
Secondary
- USCG interdiction teams
deployed to investigate illegal ships
Tertiary
- Sat comm companies
- UIUX companies
Value Proposition
- Increase detection efficiency
- Improve decision
effectiveness and efficiency
- Ease interdiction resource
constraint
Beneficiaries
Primary
- Foreign partners’ interceptor
crew deployed to investigate
illegal ships
- Foreign partners’ operations
center in charge of the
mission
- JIATF-S J3 Watch Floor Ops
as part of the overall
coordination agency
Week
EmotionalState
“So much to
learn!”
“It’s something
they want!”
“This could be
years.”
“So much we
learned!”
0 2 4 6 8 10
But what about Deployment?
Workflows Influencers
This is an extremely complex space...
Key Factors influencing MVP
BeneficiariesKey Activities
Key Resources
Key Partners Buy-In/Support
Deployment
Mission AchievementMission Budget/Costs
Value Proposition
1. Market research into sat-
comm device
2. Develop Comms App
interface
3. Procure Sat-Comms device
4. Workflow optimization and
automation
- J72, USSOUTHCOM
- JIATF-S, USSOUTHCOM
- International Affairs, J9
- Foreign LNOs and
militaries (S. America)
- Sat-comms companies
(eg Garmin, SPOT,
TextAnywhere)
Strategic
- 15% increase in number of interdicted drug vessels
Operational
- x% reduction in number of illegal vessels “lost” at foreign partner level
Tactical
- x% reduction in a single OODA loop cycle (foreign interdiction missions)
- x% reduction in time spent on detection
- Introduce MVP to Local
Interceptor Crew, Nav
Officers, and Proxies
- Small scale deployment of
MVP to foreign interdiction
crews of a single country
- JIATF-S and foreign partner
level adoption and integration
Fixed:
- Design & engineering (software/hardware)
- Market research
- Technology acquisition
Variable:
- Technology updates
- Access to computational
power
- Open-source data analysis
tools
- UAV SMEs (as key sensor
platform)
- Access to existing
communication system
- Support from Internat. Affairs
J9 and Foreign LNOs
- Ride on existing / introduce
CotS systems
- Implementation by foreign
interdiction crews or local
proxies
- Increase detection effiiency:
reduce time taken for detection
through a clear, secured, line of
direct communication
- Improve decision effectiveness
and efficiency: allow Ops Analyst to
better assist detection effort by
allowing for instantaneous
communication and real-time input of
new intel
- Ease interdiction resource
constraint: improve
coordination/communication with
interdiction agencies
Primary
- Foreign partners’ Interceptor
Crew deployed to investigate illegal
ships
- Foreign partners’ Operations
Center to coordinate the mission
- JIATF-S J3 Watch Floor Ops part
of coordination effort
Secondary
- USCG interdiction teams
deployed to investigate illegal ships
Tertiary
- Sat comm companies
- UIUX companies
Information
Security
Trust
Upkeep Cost
Buy-in and Support
Key finding:
Trust matters…
But is sometimes lacking
Country 1 Country 2
“We do not want to reveal
pattern of life.”
- Operational Test and Evaluation,
JIATF-S
“Many startups fail because
they neglected security
concerns.”
- H4D Teaching Team
Lesson
Engage security experts
early on in product
development
Problem: Information Security
“Communicating common
situational picture currently
takes up a huge bandwidth
and [satellite comm.] is
expensive”
- Deputy Director of International
Affairs, JIATF-S
Solution
Leverage existing devices
-
Light communication
Problem: Cost
Week
EmotionalState
“So much to
learn!”
“It’s something
they want!”
“This could be
years.”
“So much we
learned!”
0 2 4 6 8 10
Where do we end?
The path forward…
… May involve pursuing ONR or
USSOUTHCOM resources to keep going!
… but at the least will include details for
how our sponsor can pursue the next steps
Where do we end?
Proof of concept with
a simple prototype of
low-fidelity Minimum
Viable Product
Video has more
details of prototype
in action!
Where does our product end? (TRL / IRL)
Our work would not have been possible without our sponsors (and other supporters)
Special thanks to:
• Our direct sponsors at USSOUTHCOM: Mr. Juan Hurtardo, LTC Todd Moe, Dr. Andrew Higier
• Our supporters in JIATF-S: Mr. Fred Scali, MAJ Marada Phillips
• Our mentor: Daniel Bardenstein
And not least, the additional 80+ contacts who generously provided their time…
Thank you for your consistent support, feedback, and engagement!
Acknowledgement and Thanks
Additional questions?
Contact us at:
o australumina@lists.stanford.edu
Or individually:
o xong@stanford.edu
o bentwk@stanford.edu
o vishakh@stanford.edu
o samuel.jackson@Stanford.edu
o jameshennessy@stanford.edu
Additional questions?
Read more about our journey:
australumina.wordpress.com
Appendix
We have sought to capture the flow of mission
achievement from a tactical, operational, and strategic
level
We have also drawn a distinction between “mission
achievement” and “systems achievement”
Based on in-depth sponsor and stakeholder interviews, we
believer we will deliver results in both dimensions
Mission achievement:
• Mission speed ++
• Mission success rate ++
Systems achievement:
• Cost --
• Capability ++
These will support the ultimate mission of JIATF-S,
USSOUTHCOM, and partner nations: disrupt illict
activities, and illict networks
Mission Achievement
Mission achievement – draft framework
(Not included in submitted
materials)
Available for upload for final documentation purposes

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Austra Lumina Hacking for Defense 2017

  • 1. austra lumina Hacking For Defense, MS&E 297 Stanford University, Spring 2017
  • 3. austra lumina Sponsor: USSOUTHCOM Week 10 Problem: Lack of communication and situational awareness capabilities with foreign partners hinders success of tactical operations. Solution: Create low-cost situational awareness and comms capability using commercial satellite networks linked to a mobile application. Week 0 Problem: New capabilities for persistent Illicit Maritime Activity Detection and Monitoring desired by SOUTHCOM/JIATF-S. Solution: Improve detection rates with data analytics. 101 interviews conducted
  • 4. Xuan Hao Ong Sam Jackson Vishakh Hegde Benjamin Tan James Hennessy MS MS&E BS Aero. Engineering MBA BA Political Science MS ICME BS & MS Physics MS MS&E BSc Actuarial Science BS CS & Applied Mathematics Aerospace, Military Engineering & Design Technology Strategy & Ops Machine Learning, Computer Vision Military UAVs, Statistical Modeling Computer Science, Genomics Our Team
  • 6. Our product journey… Week 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 4 Situational Awareness and Communications 3 Predictive Modeling 2 Persistent Monitoring 1 Data Analytics
  • 7. Week 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 4 Situational Awareness and Communications 3 Predictive Modeling 2 Persistent Monitoring 1 Data Analytics Primary Beneficiary Ops Analyst, Pilots Nav Officer, Ops Analyst Detection Crews JIATF-S + Foreign Law Enforcement Ops Analyst Our beneficiary journey…
  • 8. Week EmotionalState “So much to learn!” “It’s something they want!” “This could be years.” “So much we learned!” 0 2 4 6 8 10 Our own (emotional) journey…
  • 9. “You don’t know how much you don’t know” - H4D Teaching Team The starting point for our journey
  • 10. Joint Inter-Agency Task Force - South (JIATF-S) Law Enforcement / International Partners Dept. of Justice Our sponsor’s mission
  • 11. Joint Inter-Agency Task Force - South (JIATF-S) Law Enforcement / International Partners Dept. of Justice First Focus Our first focus: Targeting and Detection
  • 12. Targeting and Detection are the key mission goals; Analysts are the key beneficiary; Analytics tools can improve targeting & detection success Focus: Targeting and Detection
  • 13. Key finding: Ocean is very, very big “Even if you know where a [suspect] boat is, it may be days to intercept…” - Captain, U.S. Coast Guard
  • 14. “We’re trying to detect small, fast-moving objects, in very large parts of the ocean… with persistent monitoring capacity issues.” - US SOUTHCOM Sponsor Key finding: Insufficient sensor data, sensor platforms, to feed proposed models
  • 15. Pivot #1 Detection → Monitoring Sensor capability, persistence are the challenges; Low-cost, unmanned platforms are the solution
  • 16. Joint Inter-Agency Task Force - South (JIATF-S) Law Enforcement / International Partners Dept. of Justice New Focus New focus: Monitoring First Focus
  • 17. “We already have more known threats than we can pursue with our current assets…” - Captain, U.S. Coast Guard However… “The amount of drugs out of South America significantly exceeds our assets available to interdict.” - P-3 Pilot, U.S. Air Force
  • 18. Data supported this concern 25% Targeted 7% 10% Detected 7% Disrupted 100%
  • 19. Key discovery: Monitoring is not the bottleneck!
  • 20. Our next question: If detection and monitoring are not bottlenecks, can we improve efficiency of existing missions?
  • 22. Joint Inter-Agency Task Force - South (JIATF-S) Law Enforcement / International Partners Dept. of Justice New FocusPrior Focus New focus: Monitoring & Interdiction
  • 23. “Knowing where to look and where not to look can drastically increase the efficiency of the search.” - U-2 Pilot, U.S. Air Force Predicting the search space can enhance the effectiveness of each asset Key finding:
  • 24. Goals: 1. Actionably predict red forces behaviors 1. Allocate assets (U.S., foreign) more efficiently austra lumina Prediction Model
  • 25. “We understand the travelling salesman problem, but we do not even have a blue force tracker for foreign partners.” - JIATF-S Innovation Council However…
  • 26. Pivot #3 Prediction Model → Tactical Communication
  • 27. - Foreign Liaison Officers - Innovation and Technology, JIATF-S - U.S. P-3 Pilot, formerly operating out of El Salvador ES New focus: Tactical Communication
  • 28. 2. Situational Awareness App1. Satellite Communication Device Final MVP
  • 29. “Sounds like people want to give you funding…” - US SOUTHCOM Sponsor “You guys are definitely on the right track… show the affordability model, and it will definitely be used.” - - Senior Executive Service, - Office of Naval Research Product Mission Fit (!)
  • 30. Week EmotionalState “So much to learn!” “It’s something they want!” “This could be years.” “So much we learned!” 0 2 4 6 8 10 From Discovery to Product Mission Fit
  • 31. Data Analytics US SOUTHCOM JIATF-S Watch Floor US Interdiction Crew Tactical Communication US SOUTHCOM JIATF-S Watch Floor US Interdiction Crew Foreign Interdiction Crew Foreign Command Center Initial problem might not be the problem!!!
  • 32. Mission Model Canvas BeneficiariesKey Activities Key Resources Key Partners Buy-In/Support Deployment Mission AchievementMission Budget/Costs Value Proposition 1. Market research into sat- comm device 2. Develop Comms App interface 3. Procure Sat-Comms device 4. Workflow optimization and automation - J72, USSOUTHCOM - JIATF-S, USSOUTHCOM - International Affairs, J9 - Foreign LNOs and militaries (S. America) - Sat-comms companies (eg Garmin, SPOT, TextAnywhere) Strategic - 15% increase in number of interdicted drug vessels Operational - x% reduction in number of illegal vessels “lost” at foreign partner level Tactical - x% reduction in a single OODA loop cycle (foreign interdiction missions) - x% reduction in time spent on detection - Introduce MVP to Local Interceptor Crew, Nav Officers, and Proxies - Small scale deployment of MVP to foreign interdiction crews of a single country - JIATF-S and foreign partner level adoption and integration Fixed: - Design & engineering (software/hardware) - Market research - Technology acquisition Variable: - Technology updates - Access to computational power - Open-source data analysis tools - UAV SMEs (as key sensor platform) - Access to existing communication system - Support from Internat. Affairs J9 and Foreign LNOs - Ride on existing / introduce CotS systems - Implementation by foreign interdiction crews or local proxies - Increase detection effiiency: reduce time taken for detection through a clear, secured, line of direct communication - Improve decision effectiveness and efficiency: allow Ops Analyst to better assist detection effort by allowing for instantaneous communication and real-time input of new intel - Ease interdiction resource constraint: improve coordination/communication with interdiction agencies Primary - Foreign partners’ Interceptor Crew deployed to investigate illegal ships - Foreign partners’ Operations Center to coordinate the mission - JIATF-S J3 Watch Floor Ops part of coordination effort Secondary - USCG interdiction teams deployed to investigate illegal ships Tertiary - Sat comm companies - UIUX companies Value Proposition - Increase detection efficiency - Improve decision effectiveness and efficiency - Ease interdiction resource constraint Beneficiaries Primary - Foreign partners’ interceptor crew deployed to investigate illegal ships - Foreign partners’ operations center in charge of the mission - JIATF-S J3 Watch Floor Ops as part of the overall coordination agency
  • 33. Week EmotionalState “So much to learn!” “It’s something they want!” “This could be years.” “So much we learned!” 0 2 4 6 8 10 But what about Deployment?
  • 34. Workflows Influencers This is an extremely complex space...
  • 35. Key Factors influencing MVP BeneficiariesKey Activities Key Resources Key Partners Buy-In/Support Deployment Mission AchievementMission Budget/Costs Value Proposition 1. Market research into sat- comm device 2. Develop Comms App interface 3. Procure Sat-Comms device 4. Workflow optimization and automation - J72, USSOUTHCOM - JIATF-S, USSOUTHCOM - International Affairs, J9 - Foreign LNOs and militaries (S. America) - Sat-comms companies (eg Garmin, SPOT, TextAnywhere) Strategic - 15% increase in number of interdicted drug vessels Operational - x% reduction in number of illegal vessels “lost” at foreign partner level Tactical - x% reduction in a single OODA loop cycle (foreign interdiction missions) - x% reduction in time spent on detection - Introduce MVP to Local Interceptor Crew, Nav Officers, and Proxies - Small scale deployment of MVP to foreign interdiction crews of a single country - JIATF-S and foreign partner level adoption and integration Fixed: - Design & engineering (software/hardware) - Market research - Technology acquisition Variable: - Technology updates - Access to computational power - Open-source data analysis tools - UAV SMEs (as key sensor platform) - Access to existing communication system - Support from Internat. Affairs J9 and Foreign LNOs - Ride on existing / introduce CotS systems - Implementation by foreign interdiction crews or local proxies - Increase detection effiiency: reduce time taken for detection through a clear, secured, line of direct communication - Improve decision effectiveness and efficiency: allow Ops Analyst to better assist detection effort by allowing for instantaneous communication and real-time input of new intel - Ease interdiction resource constraint: improve coordination/communication with interdiction agencies Primary - Foreign partners’ Interceptor Crew deployed to investigate illegal ships - Foreign partners’ Operations Center to coordinate the mission - JIATF-S J3 Watch Floor Ops part of coordination effort Secondary - USCG interdiction teams deployed to investigate illegal ships Tertiary - Sat comm companies - UIUX companies Information Security Trust Upkeep Cost
  • 36. Buy-in and Support Key finding: Trust matters… But is sometimes lacking
  • 38. “We do not want to reveal pattern of life.” - Operational Test and Evaluation, JIATF-S “Many startups fail because they neglected security concerns.” - H4D Teaching Team Lesson Engage security experts early on in product development Problem: Information Security
  • 39. “Communicating common situational picture currently takes up a huge bandwidth and [satellite comm.] is expensive” - Deputy Director of International Affairs, JIATF-S Solution Leverage existing devices - Light communication Problem: Cost
  • 40. Week EmotionalState “So much to learn!” “It’s something they want!” “This could be years.” “So much we learned!” 0 2 4 6 8 10 Where do we end?
  • 41. The path forward… … May involve pursuing ONR or USSOUTHCOM resources to keep going! … but at the least will include details for how our sponsor can pursue the next steps Where do we end?
  • 42. Proof of concept with a simple prototype of low-fidelity Minimum Viable Product Video has more details of prototype in action! Where does our product end? (TRL / IRL)
  • 43. Our work would not have been possible without our sponsors (and other supporters) Special thanks to: • Our direct sponsors at USSOUTHCOM: Mr. Juan Hurtardo, LTC Todd Moe, Dr. Andrew Higier • Our supporters in JIATF-S: Mr. Fred Scali, MAJ Marada Phillips • Our mentor: Daniel Bardenstein And not least, the additional 80+ contacts who generously provided their time… Thank you for your consistent support, feedback, and engagement! Acknowledgement and Thanks
  • 44. Additional questions? Contact us at: o australumina@lists.stanford.edu Or individually: o xong@stanford.edu o bentwk@stanford.edu o vishakh@stanford.edu o samuel.jackson@Stanford.edu o jameshennessy@stanford.edu Additional questions? Read more about our journey: australumina.wordpress.com
  • 46. We have sought to capture the flow of mission achievement from a tactical, operational, and strategic level We have also drawn a distinction between “mission achievement” and “systems achievement” Based on in-depth sponsor and stakeholder interviews, we believer we will deliver results in both dimensions Mission achievement: • Mission speed ++ • Mission success rate ++ Systems achievement: • Cost -- • Capability ++ These will support the ultimate mission of JIATF-S, USSOUTHCOM, and partner nations: disrupt illict activities, and illict networks Mission Achievement Mission achievement – draft framework
  • 47. (Not included in submitted materials) Available for upload for final documentation purposes