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Generating High Growth Innovation Hubs Steve Blank www.steveblank.com Twitter: sgblank
A Few Short Stories Silicon Valley History All Startups Are Not the Same Why Startups and Companies Differ E- School Versus B-School
To predict the future you need to understand the past
Internet PersonalComputers IntegratedCircuits FruitOrchards FruitOrchards FruitOrchards The Popular View of Silicon Valley History Marc Andreessen Steve Jobs Moore/Noyce Hewlett & Packard Innovation Networks 1910 1960 1970 1980 2000 1990 1930 1940 1950 1920
Internet PersonalComputers IntegratedCircuits Microwaves/Defense TestEquipment VacuumTubes The Real Story of Silicon Valley History Venture Capital Innovation Networks 1910 1960 1970 1980 2000 1990 1930 1940 1950 1920
Story 1: WWII  The First Electronic War
[object Object]
 Precision Bombing
  B-17’s
  B-24’s
  Flew at 15 - 25 thousand feetStrategic Bombing of Germany The Combined Bomber Offensive British bombed at Night Area Bombing Lancaster's Halifax Flew at 7 - 17 thousand feet
Math ChallengeFor every 100 bombers on a mission 4 - 20% would not return Crews had to fly 25 mission to go home
Story 2: The Electronic Shield – Electronic Warfare
Harvard Radio Research Lab (RRL) Signals Intelligence and Electronic Warfare Reduce losses to fighters and flak Find/understand German Air Defense  Electronic and Signals Intelligence Jam/confuse German Air Defense Radar Order of Battle Chaff Jammers Top Secret 800 person lab
Electronically Blind German RadarJam the Radars with Noise MANDREL Jammer Put Jammers on Airplanes Jam and shut down  Early Warning Radars Anti-aircraft Radars Fighter Radars Ground Control Radars Built over 30,000 jammers DINA Jammer
Who Ran this Secret Lab and became the Father of Electronic Warfare? Harvard Radio Research Lab Ran all electronic warfare in WWII  800 people Director: Fredrick Terman - Stanford
Fredrick Terman“the Father of Silicon Valley” Stanford Professor of engineering 1926 encouraged his students, William Hewlett and David Packard to start a company Dean of Engineering 1946 Provost 1955
Story 3: Stanford And The Cold War
WWII Office of Scientific Research and Development (OSRD) $450 million spent on weapons R&D  MIT $117 million Caltech $83 million Harvard and Columbia ~ $30 million Stanford ~ $50K
Terman’s PostwarStrategy Focus on microwaves and electronics Not going to be left out of gov’t $’s this time Recruits 11 members of war lab as faculty By 1950 Stanford was the MIT of the West Students came from all over the U.S.
Stanford Spinouts - Microwave Components Microwave Tube Startups:Klystrons, BWO’s, & TWT’s Eitel-McCullough (1934) Varian Associates (1948) Litton Industries (1946) Huggins Laboratories (1948) Stewart Engineering (1952)  Watkins-Johnson (1957) Microwave Electronics Co. (1959)
The Cold War and Stanford The Cold War battlefield moves 500 miles east Countermeasures, ELINT become critical Stanford becomes a center of excellence for the CIA, NSA, Navy, Air Force 400-person weapons lab in engineering department
Lockheed Comes to Town - 1956 Polaris missile SLBM Built by Lockheed Missiles Division in Sunnyvale 20,000 employees by 1960  From 0 in 4 years HP: 3,000 employees 1960
Stanford Spinouts - Military Systems  Sylvania Electronics Defense Laboratory (1953) GE Microwave Laboratory (1956) Granger Associates (1956) Applied Technology (1959) Electronic Systems Laboratories (ESL) (1964) Argo Systems (1969) Advent Systems (1972)
Terman Changes the Startup/University RulesSilicon Valley as We Know it Starts Here Graduate students encouraged to start companies Professors encouraged to consult for companies Terman and other professors take board seats Technology transfer/IP licensing easy Getting out in the real world was good for your academic career Failure was accepted as part of the culture
Entrepreneurs WeaponsFinance Crisis Profit Motivation Customer  Development Mgmt Tools Agile Development Business ModelDesign Design Thinking Stanford and the Cold War Silicon Valley’s 1st Wave Risk Taking Culture Entrepreneurial Outward-Facing Tech Universities Free flow of People/Info Infrastructure 24/7 Utilities Predictable Economic System Stable Legal System Research Universities
Story 4:  1956 - The Year it Becomes Silicon Valley
Meanwhile, on the Other Side of Town… The Head of Radar Bombing training for Air Force starts a Company
Internet PersonalComputers IntegratedCircuits Microwaves/Defense TestEquipment VacuumTubes The Real Story of Silicon Valley History Venture Capital Innovation Networks 1910 1960 1970 1980 2000 1990 1930 1940 1950 1920
William Shockley“The Other Father of Silicon Valley” Director of Navy anti-submarine warfare Head of Radar Bombing training for Air Force Co-inventor of the transistor  Nobel Prize in 1956 Founded Shockley Semiconductor 1956
William Shockley“Great Researcher, Awesome Talent Spotter, Horrible Manager” Unintended consequences: “The traitorous 8” leave Shockley   found Fairchild Semiconductor 1st VC-backed startup Noyce & Moore leave Fairchild to start Intel 65 other chip companies in the next 20 years
Semiconductor Genealogy: 1955 - 1976
Story 5: The Rise of VentureCapital
Internet PersonalComputers IntegratedCircuits Microwaves/Defense TestEquipment VacuumTubes The Real Story of Silicon Valley History Venture  Capital Innovation Networks 1910 1960 1970 1980 2000 1990 1930 1940 1950 1920
The Rise of Risk CapitalFamily Money 	1940’s - 1960’s J.H. Whitney	 1st family office 1946 Laurance Rockefeller Draper Gaither & Anderson (1st limited Partnership) 1958 Spun out as Venrock in 1969 Bessemer East Coast focus Wide variety of industries
The Valley Attracts Financial AttentionThe 1st West Coast IPO’s 1956	Varian  1957	Hewlett Packard 1958	Ampex
The Rise of Risk CapitalSBIC Act of 1958 Cold war program – Sputnik motivated Gov’tmatch of private investments 3:1 700 SBIC funds by 1965  75% of all VC funding in 1968 7% in 1988 Replaced by the Limited Partnership
The Rise of Venture CapitalThe Limited Partnership Raise money from pension funds, private universities, wealthy individuals – the limited partners Investment professionals manage the fund – the general partners i.e. the VC’s Compensate the general partners via the “2 and 20” 2% management fee, 20% carried interest (i.e. of the profits) ,[object Object]
 Rock and Davis 	 			  1961
 Sutter Hill					   1964
Patricof & Co.					   1969
Kleiner Perkins				   1972
 Sequoia Capital			    1972,[object Object]
Entrepreneurs VentureFinance Crisis Profit Motivation Customer  Development Mgmt Tools Agile Development Business ModelDesign Design Thinking Venture CapitalSilicon Valley’s 2nd Wave Risk Taking Culture Entrepreneurial Outward-Facing Tech Universities Free flow of People/Info Infrastructure 24/7 Utilities Predictable Economic System Stable Legal System Research Universities
Story 6:Entrepreneurship as a Management Science Not All Startups Are Equal
Companies Get Educated Gov’t charted companies ~1600’s Modern corporations ~1800’s Business Schools to educate corporate execs Organize body of knowledge First Harvard MBA – 1908
Startups Get Educated Every company began as a startup Modern startups ~ 1950’s Venture funded startups ~1970’s Entrepreneurship Schools to educate founders Organize body of knowledge Emerging now
Wait a Minute…Aren’t Startups Small Versions of Large Companies? 50 Years of Experience Says NO
Story 7:Not All Startups Are Equal Small Business Scalable Startups Large Company Innovation
Small Business Startup Exit Criteria ,[object Object],- Profitable business ,[object Object],< $1M in revenue Small Business Startups ,[object Object]
Feed the family,[object Object]
Not all businesses on the Internet are “Scalable Startups”,[object Object]
 Can grow to $100m/year
 Business model found
 Focused on execution and processScalable Startup Execute Search A Startup is a temporary organization used tosearch for a scalable business model
Scalable Startup Large Company >$100M/year ,[object Object]
 Can grow to $100m/year
 Business model found
 Focused on execution and process
 Typically requires “risk capital”Scalable Startup Execute Search ,[object Object]
 Typically needs risk capital
 What Silicon Valley means when they say “Startup”,[object Object]
 Professional Mgmt
 Process
 Beginning of scale,[object Object]
Known product feature needs,[object Object]
 New tech / Unknown product features
 Looks like a scalable startup,[object Object]
Startups Search, Companies Execute The Search for the Business Model Scalable Startup Transition Large Company Business Model found ,[object Object],   i.e. Product/Market fit ,[object Object]
 Repeatable sales model- Managers hired
Startups Search, Companies Execute The Execution of the Business Model The Search for the Business Model Scalable Startup Transition Large Company - Cash-flow breakeven - Profitable - Rapid scale - New Senior Mgmt ~ 150 people ,[object Object]
 Product/Market fit- Repeatable sales model - Managers hired
Customer Validation Versus Sales The Execution of the Business Model Scalable Startup Transition Large Company Sales ,[object Object]
 Scalable
 Price List/Data Sheets
 Revenue Plan,[object Object]
 Pricing/Feature unstable
 Not yet repeatable
“One-off’s”
 Done by foundersSales ,[object Object]
 Scalable
 Price List/Data Sheets
 Revenue Plan,[object Object]
 Waterfall Development
 QA
 Tech Pubs,[object Object]
 Waterfall Development
 QA
 Tech PubsAgile Development ,[object Object]
 Continuous Learning
 Self Organizing Teams
 Minimum Feature Set
 Pivots,[object Object]
 Cash Flow Statement
 Income Statement,[object Object]
 Viral coefficient
 Customer Lifetime Value
 Average Selling Price/Order Size
 Monthly burn rate
 etc.  Traditional Accounting ,[object Object]
 Cash Flow Statement
 Income Statement,[object Object]
 Reduce risk
 Optimize certainty
 Protect profits,[object Object]
 No profits to risk
 Searching equals risk
Pains in the butt
 Always looking at something different
 Doesn’t get with the program,[object Object]
 Affects revenue/profit
 Reflects on individual/organization
 Covered up,[object Object]
 Normal part of startups
 Not a crisis
 Shared, lessons learned
 Iterations and Pivots
Pains in the butt
 Always looking at something different
 Doesn’t get with the program,[object Object]

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