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GEOG5426 Past climates, past societies
By November 3
[Tentative] list of 10 articles related to
your region and time period.
November 24
Brief (15-minute) summaries of project topics.
(1) What are the most important features of the modern
climate in your region?
(2) What proxies are available in your region, over the time
interval specified? How are they related to climate? and
(3) How different were past climates from modern
conditions? Why is that important?
Scientists are sometimes like American tourists;
[we] think that if we just speak English loud enough,
people will understand us.
“
Kevin Finneram, editor in chief
Issues in Science and Technology
Tip #1
Use images, not text
Hear a piece of information,
and three days later you'll
remember 10% of it.
Add a picture and you'll
remember 65%.”
“
John Medina
LOWfrequency
Tip #2
Design for the back row
Make It BIG
Make It
Lake Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada
• Lake Winnipeg is the 11th largest
freshwater lake in the world
• The lake’s watershed includes
territory in Alberta, Saskatchewan,
Manitoba, Ontario, Minnesota and
North Dakota
• Its tributaries include the
Saskatchewan, Red, Winnipeg and
Assiniboine Rivers.
• The lake drains northward into the
Nelson River and contributes to
Hudson Bay.
Photograph of Lake Winnipeg from Gimli, Manitoba
St. George et al.,The Holocene, 2010
St. George et al.,The Holocene, 2010
Anatomical signatures from riparian trees can be used to extend flood records by
several hundred years.
Flood hazards and tree rings
In the Red River basin, shifts in annual precipitation of roughly ten percent
altered flood risks significantly during the last 350 years. Geological processes
are not affecting flood hazards at relevant timescales.
The current design flood for the Red River valley was produced by an exceptional
combination of extensive flooding in the northeastern Great Plains and unusual
spring weather across central North America.
Paleoflood Records for the
Red River, Manitoba, Canada
characteristics of D2M‘hotspots’
Not correlated with major modes
Do not track SST anomalies
Are not synchronized with each other
✘
✘
✘
Tip #3
Get to the point
The secret of being a bore is to tell everything.”
“ Voltaire
MURDER
YOUR
DARLINGS.
“
Sir Arthur Quiller-Couch
”
“I’m more important that the next speaker.”
“I’m more important than this session.”
“I’m more important than my audience.”
What going over time really means
Strive for continual improvement
You must unlearn what you have learned.”
“ Yoda
www.presentationzen.com
M EGADROUGHT
intensity at least equivalent to modern multiyear droughts
duration longer than the several years to decade thereof
Seager et al., Journal of Climate, 2008
Red River floods
Red River valley
AP Photo/U.S. Coast Guard, Lt. Brendan Evans
DaKohlmeyer
River diversion
Main channel
Winnipeg
population: 680,000
Photograph: Greg Brooks
why are Red River floods so severe?
why are Red River floods so severe?
geology &climate history!
Level of Lake Winnipeg (metres)
We do not think that the country below Fort Garry will
ever be flooded again for experience shows clearly that
each successive flood has indicated far less depth of
the plains that its predecessors – a fact fully accounted
by the rapid widening of the river channel.
“
”Anonymous, 1861
Brooks (2003) Geomorphology
how o en does the Red River flood?
Photograph: Greg Brooks
Red River
Manitoba
2008
1875
Photo: Erik Nielsen
Photo: Erik Nielsen
67
Photo: Erik Nielsen
Photo: Erik Nielsen
70
St.. George and Nielsen,The Holocene, 2003
Normal growth
Flood damaged
St. George and Nielsen, The Holocene, 2003
350 years of Red River floods
The forts now stand like a castle of romance in the midst of
an ocean of deep contending currents, the water extending
for at least a mile behind them, and they are thereby only
approachable by boats and canoes.”
“
Francis Heron
Hudson Bay Company, 1826
St.. George and Rannie, CanadianWater Resources Journal, 2003
74
Winnipeg floodway
expansion
GEOG5426 Past climates, past societies
Climate and the collapse of the Mayan Civilization
Haug et al., Science, 2003
Intertropical Convergence Zone
The region where the northeasterly and southeasterly
trade winds converge, forming an o en continuous band
of clouds or thunderstorms near the equator.
National Weather Service
Photo: f-l-e-x
Photo: Celso Flores
Photo: npa erson
Haug et al., Science, 2003
Haug et al., Science, 2003
Aztec drought and “The Curse of One Rabbit”
Therrell et al., BMAS, 2004
Therrell et al., BAMS, 2004
Therrell et al., BAMS, 2004
photo: Howard Arno
Therrell et al., BAMS, 2004
Therrell et al., BAMS, 2004
November 10
Statistics in Paleoclimate

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Class 8, Past Climates and Society