Financial analysis electricite de france sa - produces, transmits, distributes, imports and exports electricity. the company, using nuclear power, coal and gas, provides electricity for french energy consumers
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Financial analysis electricite de france sa - produces, transmits, distributes, imports and exports electricity. the company, using nuclear power, coal and gas, provides electricity for french energy consumers
1. 20.02.2013
Company Analysis - Overview
Ticker: EDF FP Electricite de France SA Benchmark: EDF SA (Electricite de France) produces, transmits, distributes, imports and exports
Currency: EN Paris: EDF, Currency: EUR CAC 40 INDEX (CAC) electricity. The Company, using nuclear power, coal and gas, provides electricity for
French energy consumers.
Sector: Utilities Industry: Electric Utilities Year:
Telephone 33-1-40-42-22-22 Revenue (M) 72'729 Business Segments in EUR Sales (M) Geographic Segments in EUR Sales (M)
Website www.edf.fr No of Employees #N/A N/A Transmission 1 France 39120
Address 22-30 Avenue de Wagram Paris Cedex 08, 75382 France Distribution Italy 10098
Share Price Performance in EUR Eliminations United Kingdom 9739
Price 14.77 1M Return 1.3% Other Other International 7976
52 Week High 18.22 6M Return -7.8% Generation Supply Other Activities 5796
52 Week Low 12.86 52 Wk Return -16.3% Integrated Utilities Germany
52 Wk Beta 0.78 YTD Return 5.7%
Credit Ratings
Bloomberg HY1 8%
S&P A+ Date 17.01.2012 Outlook STABLE
Moody's Aa3 Date 14.01.2009 Outlook NEG 11%
Fitch A+ Date 07.01.2009 Outlook STABLE
Valuation Ratios
12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E
13%
P/E 21.1x 89.1x 11.5x 7.8x 8.2x 7.8x 7.1x 54%
EV/EBIT 13.3x 15.1x 8.7x 8.8x - - -
EV/EBITDA 7.7x 6.0x 4.9x 4.8x 4.6x 4.4x 4.2x
P/S 1.3x 0.9x 0.5x 0.4x 0.4x 0.4x 0.3x
P/B 2.6x 1.8x 1.1x 1.0x 0.8x 0.8x 0.8x 14%
Div Yield 2.8% 3.7% 6.1% 8.9% 7.9% 7.9% 8.0% 100%
Profitability Ratios %
12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E
Gross Margin - - - - 20.1 20.8 - France
EBITDA Margin 27.2 24.0 22.3 20.8 22.0 22.2 22.5 Italy
Operating Margin 15.7 9.6 12.7 11.3 12.4 12.6 12.8
Transmission
Profit Margin 6.6 1.6 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.8 5.1 United Kingdom
Return on Assets 1.8 0.4 1.3 1.4 2.7 2.7 1.9 Other International
Return on Equity 14.7 3.3 9.7 11.8 10.4 10.5 10.5
Other Activities
Leverage and Coverage Ratios
12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12
Current Ratio 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.2 Current Capitalization in EUR
Quick Ratio 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 1847.7
EBIT/Interest 3.4 2.3 3.6 3.4 Market Capitalization (M) 27307.8
Tot Debt/Capital 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 Cash and ST Investments (M) #N/A N/A
Tot Debt/Equity 1.8 1.4 1.6 2.1 Total Debt (M) #N/A N/A
Eff Tax Rate % 27.5 55.4 28.7 30.8 Preferred Equity (M) 0.0
LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0
Investments (M) 0.0
Enterprise Value (M)
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2. Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings
Electricite de France SA
Target price in EUR
Broker Recommendation
Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price
Price
Brokers' Target Price
35 35
100% 4% 4% 4% 8%
15% 15% 17% 30
22% 24% 25% 30
30%
80% 41% 25
50% 50% 48% 25
46% 20
42% 35%
60% 50% 50%
38% 20 15
45%
50%
10
15
40% 36%
5
10
48% 0
46% 46% 46% 42% 43%
Day by Day
Bryan Garnier & Cie
Morgan Stanley
20%
Barclays
Kepler Capital Markets
Main First Bank AG
S&P Capital IQ
Raymond James
Natixis
Exane BNP Paribas
Macquarie
Credit Suisse
Societe Generale
Nomura
HSBC
DZ Bank AG
EVA Dimensions
AlphaValue
Berenberg Bank
Goldman Sachs
Deutsche Bank
Landesbank Baden-
35% 35% 38%
30% 5
Wuerttemberg
20% 23%
0% 0
févr.12 mars.12 avr.12 mai.12 juin.12 juil.12 août.12 sept.12 oct.12 nov.12 déc.12 janv.13
Buy Hold Sell Price Target Price
Date Buy Hold Sell Date Price Target Price Broker Analyst Recommendation Target Date
31-Jan-13 23% 36% 41% 20-Feb-13 14.77 16.05 Societe Generale VINCENT AYRAL buy 20.00 20-Feb-13
31-Dec-12 30% 45% 25% 19-Feb-13 14.95 16.05 AlphaValue MYRIAM COHEN add 16.00 19-Feb-13
30-Nov-12 20% 50% 30% 18-Feb-13 14.80 16.05 Kepler Capital Markets INGO BECKER reduce 13.00 15-Feb-13
31-Oct-12 38% 38% 24% 15-Feb-13 14.68 16.05 Bryan Garnier & Cie JULIEN DESMARETZ sell 12.00 15-Feb-13
28-Sep-12 43% 35% 22% 14-Feb-13 14.95 16.07 Natixis PHILIPPE OURPATIAN neutral 16.20 15-Feb-13
31-Aug-12 42% 42% 17% 13-Feb-13 14.24 16.07 Exane BNP Paribas BENJAMIN LEYRE outperform 20.00 15-Feb-13
31-Jul-12 46% 46% 8% 12-Feb-13 14.20 16.07 Barclays JULIE ARAV underweight 13.00 15-Feb-13
29-Jun-12 48% 48% 4% 11-Feb-13 14.24 16.07 Goldman Sachs ANDREW MEAD buy/attractive 18.90 8-Feb-13
31-May-12 46% 50% 4% 8-Feb-13 14.16 16.07 Macquarie ATALLAH ESTEPHAN outperform 19.00 7-Feb-13
30-Apr-12 46% 50% 4% 7-Feb-13 13.73 16.09 Berenberg Bank ROBERT CHANTRY hold 14.60 5-Feb-13
30-Mar-12 35% 50% 15% 6-Feb-13 13.78 16.09 Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY hold 31-Jan-13
29-Feb-12 35% 50% 15% 5-Feb-13 13.90 16.17 Main First Bank AG ANDREAS THIELEN underperform 15.50 29-Jan-13
4-Feb-13 13.92 16.26 S&P Capital IQ CLIVE ROBERTS sell 12.00 28-Jan-13
1-Feb-13 14.21 16.26 EVA Dimensions AUSTIN BURKETT underweight 17-Jan-13
31-Jan-13 14.15 16.45 Morgan Stanley EMMANUEL TURPIN Equalwt/In-Line 23.00 15-Jan-13
30-Jan-13 14.41 16.45 Credit Suisse MICHEL DEBS underperform 12.00 11-Jan-13
29-Jan-13 14.59 16.45 Deutsche Bank MARTIN BROUGH sell 12.50 7-Jan-13
28-Jan-13 14.43 16.51 Nomura MARTIN YOUNG buy 18.75 12-Dec-12
25-Jan-13 14.55 16.51 Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg ERKAN AYCICEK hold 16.50 3-Dec-12
24-Jan-13 14.52 16.51 HSBC ADAM DICKENS neutral 17.00 14-Nov-12
23-Jan-13 14.50 16.51 Raymond James EMMANUEL RETIF market perform 13-Nov-12
22-Jan-13 14.71 16.51 DZ Bank AG HASIM SENGUEL buy 33.00 15-Nov-11
21-Jan-13 14.88 16.51
18-Jan-13 14.58 16.51
17-Jan-13 14.71 16.51
16-Jan-13 14.52 16.51
15-Jan-13 14.67 16.51
14-Jan-13 14.37 16.51
11-Jan-13 13.66 16.51
10-Jan-13 13.89 16.41
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
3. 20.02.2013
Electricite de France SA
Company Analysis - Ownership
Ownership Type
Ownership Statistics Geographic Ownership Distribution Geographic Ownership
0%
Shares Outstanding (M) 1847.7 13% France 97.94%
0%
0% 0%0%0%
Float 15.5% United States 1.29% 1% 0%
Short Interest (M) Luxembourg 0.18%
Short Interest as % of Float Canada 0.17%
Days to Cover Shorts Britain 0.09%
Institutional Ownership 87.04% Ireland 0.07%
Retail Ownership 12.96% Spain 0.05%
Insider Ownership 0.00% Others 0.21%
Institutional Ownership Distribution
87% 99%
Government 97.08%
Investment Advisor 2.08%
Mutual Fund Manager 0.83%
Institutional Ownership Retail Ownership Insider Ownership Insurance Company 0.00%
France United States Luxembourg Canada
Pricing data is in EUR Others 0.00% Britain Ireland Spain Others
Top 20 Owners: TOP 20 ALL
Institutional Ownership
Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source Country
FRENCH STATE 1'561'222'705 0 23'059'259'353 84.44% 31.12.2011 Co File FRANCE 0%
1% 0%
THORNBURG INVESTMENT 7'870'200 -2'229'800 116'242'854 0.43% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG UNITED STATES 2%
NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE 5'682'211 -305'942 83'926'256 0.31% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG FRANCE
VANGUARD GROUP INC 4'291'487 61'401 63'385'263 0.23% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG UNITED STATES
BLACKROCK 2'348'697 2'036 34'690'255 0.13% 15.02.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES
NUVEEN ASSET MANAGEM 2'056'924 -93'060 30'380'767 0.11% 31.01.2013 MF-AGG UNITED STATES
CI INVESTMENTS INC 1'966'710 1'964'810 29'048'307 0.11% 30.06.2012 MF-AGG CANADA
AVIVA PLC 1'574'700 0 23'258'319 0.09% 31.01.2013 MF-AGG BRITAIN
ING INTERNATIONAL AD 1'371'198 -156'801 20'252'594 0.07% 31.07.2012 MF-AGG LUXEMBOURG
ELECTRICITE DE FRANC 1'175'594 0 17'363'523 0.06% 31.12.2011 Co File FRANCE 97%
ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN 1'171'218 5'290 17'298'890 0.06% 31.12.2012 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES
AMUNDI 1'017'724 -66'541 15'031'783 0.06% 28.09.2012 MF-AGG FRANCE
AMUNDI 843'591 0 12'459'839 0.05% 28.09.2012 MF-AGG FRANCE
CI INVESTMENTS INC 763'219 603'463 11'272'745 0.04% 31.08.2012 MF-AGG CANADA Government Investment Advisor Mutual Fund Manager
Insurance Company Others
BANK OF NEW YORK MEL 711'261 0 10'505'325 0.04% 15.02.2013 MF-AGG UNITED STATES
ROTHSCHILD & COMPAGN 680'000 40'000 10'043'600 0.04% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG FRANCE
SANFORD C BERNSTEIN 656'530 0 9'696'948 0.04% 30.11.2012 MF-AGG UNITED STATES
AGICAM 639'382 -5'309 9'443'672 0.03% 30.04.2012 MF-AGG FRANCE
TAUBE HODSON STONEX 610'970 -2'190 9'024'027 0.03% 30.11.2012 MF-AGG BRITAIN
STATE STREET BANQUE 591'042 -27'639 8'729'690 0.03% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG FRANCE
Top 5 Insiders:
Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source
GRILLAT ALEXANDRE 328 4'845 0.00% 31.12.2011 Co File
CROUZET PHILIPPE 200 2'954 0.00% 31.12.2011 Co File
JAY MICHAEL HASTIN 200 2'954 0.00% 31.12.2011 Co File
LAFONT BRUNO 150 2'216 0.00% 31.12.2011 Co File
FAUGERE MIREILLE 106 1'566 0.00% 31.12.2011 Co File
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |