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27.02.2013



                                                                                        Company Analysis - Overview
Ticker:                     OSK CN            Osisko Mining Corp                                          Benchmark:
                                              Toronto: OSK, Currency: CAD                                 S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX (SPTSX)             Osisko Mining Corporation is a gold exploration company. The Company holds
Currency:
                                                                                                                                                      interests in the Canadian Malartic gold deposit in Quebec, Canada.

Sector: Materials        Industry: Metals & Mining                                                           Year:
Telephone         1-514-735-7131                       Revenue (M)                                 665    Business Segments in CAD                            Sales (M)   Geographic Segments in CAD                            Sales (M)
Website           www.osisko.com                       No of Employees                       #N/A N/A     Gold Exploration                                          665   Unallocated Sales                                             1
Address           Windsor Station Suite 300 1100 De La Gauchetiere West Montreal, PQ H3B 2S2 Canada
Share Price Performance in CAD
Price                                 6.15             1M Return                                -11.8%
52 Week High                        12.98              6M Return                                -34.2%
52 Week Low                           5.68             52 Wk Return                             -50.8%
52 Wk Beta                            1.72             YTD Return                               -23.1%
Credit Ratings
Bloomberg                   IG8
S&P                           -       Date               -                       Outlook              -
Moody's                       -       Date               -                       Outlook              -
Fitch                         -       Date               -                       Outlook              -
Valuation Ratios
                          12/09      12/10      12/11        12/12     12/13E        12/14E     12/15E
P/E                            -          -     196.8x       34.8x      12.7x           9.1x     10.1x
EV/EBIT                        -          -     160.3x       16.8x           -             -          -
EV/EBITDA                      -          -      85.0x       12.8x        6.7x          5.2x       5.6x
P/S                            -          -      14.3x         4.7x       3.0x          2.6x       2.7x
P/B                         2.6x       3.5x       2.3x         1.5x       1.2x          1.0x       1.0x
Div Yield                  0.0%       0.0%       0.0%         0.0%       0.2%          0.6%       3.4%                               100%                                                            100%
Profitability Ratios %
                       12/09         12/10       12/11       12/12     12/13E        12/14E     12/15E
Gross Margin                -             -       30.2        45.5       58.0          63.0          -
EBITDA Margin               -             -       18.0        39.4       48.3          54.5       52.6
Operating Margin            -             -        9.6        29.9       41.4          42.4       40.5
                                                                                                                                  Gold Exploration
Profit Margin               -             -        6.8        11.8       24.1          29.3       26.4                                                                                             Unallocated Sales
Return on Assets         -2.5          -1.1        0.9         3.3       14.8          10.8        4.9
Return on Equity         -3.0          -1.3        1.1         4.1        9.1           9.6        7.4
Leverage and Coverage Ratios
                       12/09         12/10       12/11       12/12
Current Ratio           15.6           3.0         1.3         1.5                                        Current Capitalization in CAD
Quick Ratio             15.3           2.8         0.9         1.0                                        Common Shares Outstanding (M)                                                                          389.5
EBIT/Interest               -            -         1.4         6.4                                        Market Capitalization (M)                                                                             2683.8
Tot Debt/Capital          0.1          0.2         0.2         0.1                                        Cash and ST Investments (M)                                                                            112.6
Tot Debt/Equity           0.2          0.2         0.2         0.2                                        Total Debt (M)                                                                                         345.4
Eff Tax Rate %              -            -           -        48.0                                        Preferred Equity (M)                                                                                     0.0
                                                                                                          LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M)                                                                0.0
                                                                                                          Investments (M)                                                                                          0.0
                                                                                                          Enterprise Value (M)                                                                                  2916.7



                                                                                 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings
Osisko Mining Corp
Target price in CAD
Broker Recommendation




                                                              Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price




                                                                                                                                                                  Price
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Brokers' Target Price
                                                                                                                                                             25           14
                        100%                                                       6%         6%        5%        5%
                                  6%         6%       6%        6%       6%                                                   6%          6%       6%
                                                                                                                                                                          12
                                                                                   22%                 21%        21%         24%                  24%       20
                        80%       29%                 25%                29%                  28%                                        29%
                                            31%                31%                                                                                                        10

                                                                                                                                                             15             8
                        60%
                                                                                                                                                                            6
                        40%                                                                                                                                  10
                                                      69%                          72%                 74%        74%         71%                  71%                      4
                                  65%       63%                63%       65%                  67%                                        65%
                                                                                                                                                                            2
                        20%                                                                                                                                  5
                                                                                                                                                                            0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Genuity Corp
                                                                                                                                                                                BMO Capital




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Raymond
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                GMP
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Securities Inc.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Macquarie




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Securities Corp




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      RBC Capital



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Scotia Capital




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Capital Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                              Credit Suisse




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Securities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           National Bank




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Stifel Nicolaus
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      TD Securities




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Dimensions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            CIBC World




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Paradigm
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Canaccord
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   James




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Clarus
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Markets




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Markets
                                                                                                                                                                                 Markets
                         0%                                                                                                                                  0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Financial
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Cormark




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            EVA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Dundee
                                févr.12    mars.12   avr.12   mai.12    juin.12   juil.12   août.12   sept.12    oct.12      nov.12     déc.12   janv.13
                                                                       Buy        Hold        Sell       Price          Target Price

                               Date                     Buy             Hold                Sell                    Date               Price Target Price                 Broker                                                          Analyst                                                                Recommendation                                                Target                                    Date
                               31-Jan-13                71%              24%                6%                   27-Feb-13              6.15         10.13                BMO Capital Markets                                            JOHN P HAYES                                                                      speculative outperform                                     9.25                            26-Feb-13
                               31-Dec-12                65%              29%                6%                   26-Feb-13              6.15         10.13                Credit Suisse                                                  ANITA SONI                                                                               neutral                                             8.00                            26-Feb-13
                               30-Nov-12                71%              24%                6%                   25-Feb-13              6.20         10.13                Cormark Securities Inc.                                        RICHARD GRAY                                                                                buy                                             10.00                            26-Feb-13
                               31-Oct-12                74%              21%                5%                   22-Feb-13              6.20         10.30                GMP                                                            ANDREW MIKITCHOOK                                                                           buy                                             10.00                            25-Feb-13
                               28-Sep-12                74%              21%                5%                   21-Feb-13              5.79         10.42                TD Securities                                                  DANIEL EARLE                                                                                buy                                             10.00                            25-Feb-13
                               31-Aug-12                67%              28%                6%                   20-Feb-13              5.84         10.53                Macquarie                                                      MICHAEL SIPERCO                                                                        outperform                                            9.00                            23-Feb-13
                               31-Jul-12                72%              22%                6%                   19-Feb-13              6.07         10.53                Raymond James                                                  BRAD HUMPHREY                                                                        market perform                                         10.00                            22-Feb-13
                               29-Jun-12                65%              29%                6%                   18-Feb-13              5.95         10.53                CIBC World Markets                                             COSMOS CHIU                                                                         sector outperform                                       13.00                            22-Feb-13
                               31-May-12                63%              31%                6%                   15-Feb-13              5.95         10.53                Dundee Securities Corp                                         JOE FAZZINI                                                                                 buy                                             11.00                            22-Feb-13
                               30-Apr-12                69%              25%                6%                   14-Feb-13              6.38         10.53                National Bank Financial                                        STEPHEN PARSONS                                                                        outperform                                           10.75                            22-Feb-13
                               30-Mar-12                63%              31%                6%                   13-Feb-13              6.14         10.65                Clarus Securities                                              JAMIE SPRATT                                                                                buy                                             10.75                            22-Feb-13
                               29-Feb-12                65%              29%                6%                   12-Feb-13              6.41         10.61                EVA Dimensions                                                 CRAIG STERLING                                                                             hold                                                                              22-Feb-13
                                                                                                                 11-Feb-13              6.39         10.61                RBC Capital Markets                                            DAN ROLLINS                                                                            outperform                                            9.00                            21-Feb-13
                                                                                                                  8-Feb-13              6.54         10.61                Scotia Capital                                                 LEILY OMOUMI                                                                        sector outperform                                       10.50                            21-Feb-13
                                                                                                                  7-Feb-13              6.35         10.61                Canaccord Genuity Corp                                         STEVEN BUTLER                                                                               buy                                              8.50                            21-Feb-13
                                                                                                                  6-Feb-13              6.52         10.61                Stifel Nicolaus                                                GEORGE J TOPPING                                                                            buy                                             12.25                             8-Feb-13
                                                                                                                  5-Feb-13              6.70         10.61                Paradigm Capital Inc                                           DON BLYTH                                                                                   buy                                             12.50                            13-Nov-12
                                                                                                                  4-Feb-13              6.79         10.61
                                                                                                                  1-Feb-13              6.88         10.70
                                                                                                                 31-Jan-13              6.91         10.66
                                                                                                                 30-Jan-13              7.03         10.66
                                                                                                                 29-Jan-13              6.77         10.66
                                                                                                                 28-Jan-13              6.86         10.60
                                                                                                                 25-Jan-13              6.97         10.77
                                                                                                                 24-Jan-13              7.13         11.11
                                                                                                                 23-Jan-13              7.07         11.58
                                                                                                                 22-Jan-13              7.60         11.58
                                                                                                                 21-Jan-13              7.73         11.58
                                                                                                                 18-Jan-13              7.79         11.64
                                                                                                                 17-Jan-13              7.87         11.64

                                                                                                             Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
27.02.2013



Osisko Mining Corp
                                                                              Company Analysis - Ownership
                                                                                     Ownership Type
Ownership Statistics                                                                                                                   Geographic Ownership Distribution                                             Geographic Ownership
                                                                                           1%
Shares Outstanding (M)                          389.5                                                                                  United States                             41.38%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2% 2%
Float                                           99.0%                                                                                  Canada                                    32.88%                                    2%               2%
Short Interest (M)                                30.1                                                                                 Germany                                   14.81%                           3%
Short Interest as % of Float                    7.80%                                                                                  Luxembourg                                2.71%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        41%
Days to Cover Shorts                              6.98                                                                                 Britain                                   2.42%                       15%
                                                                    48%                                         51%
Institutional Ownership                        50.97%                                                                                  Unknown Country                           1.95%
Retail Ownership                               48.02%                                                                                  Switzerland                               1.78%
Insider Ownership                               1.02%                                                                                  Others                                    2.05%

                                                                                                                                       Institutional Ownership Distribution
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                33%
                                                                                                                                       Investment Advisor                        83.17%
                                                                                                                                       Mutual Fund Manager                       7.84%
                                                                                                                                       Hedge Fund Manager                        6.79%
                                                                                                                                                                                                           United States         Canada                Germany
                                                           Institutional Ownership      Retail Ownership   Insider Ownership           Individual                                1.95%
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Luxembourg            Britain               Unknown Country
Pricing data is in CAD                                                                                                                 Others                                    0.24%                     Switzerland           Others
Top 20 Owners:                 TOP 20 ALL

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Institutional Ownership
Holder Name                                    Position   Position Change                       Market Value          % of Ownership   Report Date                  Source       Country
EURASIA HOLDING AG                          33'356'367                   0                       205'141'657               7.64%                      27.10.2009     SEDI       GERMANY                                         2%         0%
GCIC LTD/CANADA                             32'648'396          -7'713'560                       200'787'635               7.48%                      14.02.2012    Co File      CANADA                                  7%
BLACKROCK                                   17'126'608           4'083'693                       105'328'639               3.92%                      25.02.2013   ULT-AGG    UNITED STATES
TOCQUEVILLE ASSET MA                        14'515'480           3'600'860                        89'270'202               3.33%                      30.09.2012     13F      UNITED STATES                        8%
FRANKLIN RESOURCES                          12'169'560             266'190                        74'842'794               2.79%                      31.12.2012   ULT-AGG    UNITED STATES
OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC                        10'295'653             200'000                        63'318'266               2.36%                      30.12.2012   MF-AGG     UNITED STATES
IG INVESTMENT MANAGE                         8'527'738          -1'029'374                        52'445'589               1.95%                      28.09.2012   MF-AGG        CANADA
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA                         8'173'682             409'466                        50'268'144               1.87%                      31.01.2013   ULT-AGG       CANADA
FMR LLC                                      7'783'520           1'696'471                        47'868'648               1.78%                      31.12.2012   ULT-AGG    UNITED STATES
VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C                         5'989'691                   0                        36'836'600               1.37%                      25.02.2013   MF-AGG     UNITED STATES                                                      83%
FIRST EAGLE INVESTME                         5'274'540                   0                        32'438'421               1.21%                      30.09.2012   MF-AGG     UNITED STATES
UNITED SERVICES AUTO                         4'604'600                   0                        28'318'290               1.06%                      30.11.2012   MF-AGG     UNITED STATES
VANGUARD GROUP INC                           4'222'430              49'580                        25'967'945               0.97%                      31.12.2012   MF-AGG     UNITED STATES
LOMBARD ODIER DARIER                         3'183'664             110'000                        19'579'534               0.73%                      31.12.2012   MF-AGG     LUXEMBOURG      Investment Advisor           Mutual Fund Manager     Hedge Fund Manager
                                                                                                                                                                                              Individual                   Others
IA CLARINGTON INVEST                         3'075'000            -371'400                        18'911'250               0.70%                      30.09.2012   MF-AGG        CANADA
WELLS FARGO FUNDS MA                         3'059'400                   0                        18'815'310               0.70%                      31.12.2012   MF-AGG     UNITED STATES
SPROTT INC                                   2'848'612                   0                        17'518'964               0.65%                      30.06.2011   MF-AGG        CANADA
AGF INVESTMENTS INC                          2'614'064             507'300                        16'076'494               0.60%                      28.09.2012   MF-AGG        CANADA
TD ASSET MANAGEMENT                          2'603'325          -1'662'844                        16'010'449               0.60%                      31.12.2011   MF-AGG        CANADA
HEXAVEST INC                                 2'323'686             403'129                        14'290'669               0.53%                      31.12.2012     13F         CANADA
Top 5 Insiders:


Holder Name                                   Position    Position Change                       Market Value          % of Ownership   Report Date                  Source
WARES ROBERT P                               1'471'000              -10'000                         9'046'650              0.34%                      11.09.2012      SEDI
ROOSEN SEAN E O                                788'812                2'798                         4'851'194              0.18%                      17.01.2013      SEDI
STORM NORMAN                                   671'500               -5'000                         4'129'725              0.15%                      04.09.2012      SEDI
BURZYNSKI JOHN                                 538'900               10'000                         3'314'235              0.12%                      18.12.2012      SEDI
COATES BRYAN A                                 409'954                2'798                         2'521'217              0.09%                      01.02.2013      SEDI




                                                                               Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials I/IV
Osisko Mining Corp
Financial information is in CAD (M)                                                                                                                                              Equivalent Estimates
Periodicity:             Fiscal Year                 12/02         12/03    12/04      12/05        12/06       12/07        12/08       12/09       12/10    12/11   12/12   12/13E      12/14E        12/15E
Income Statement
Revenue                                                                         0           0           0           0            0           0           0     263     665      906        1'037          984
  - Cost of Goods Sold                                                                                                                                         184     363

Gross Income                                                                                                                                                    79     303      525          653
  - Selling, General & Admin Expenses                     0            1        2           2           8          12           11          21          34      54     104
          (Research & Dev Costs)                                                0           0                                                0

Operating Income                                         -0            -1      -2          -2          -8          -12         -11          -21        -34      25     199      375          440          398
  - Interest Expense                                      0                     0           0           0            0           0            0          0      18      31
  - Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains)                       0                     0           0           0            3          -6            5         -3       1      -2
  - Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains)                      0            -0      -0          -0          -0           -4          -3           -3        -12      -5      19

Pretax Income                                            -0                    -2          -2          -8          -12          -3          -23        -20      11     151      356          478          401
  - Income Tax Expense                                    0                     0           0           0            0          -4           -2         -2      -7      72

Income Before XO Items                                   -0            -1      -2          -2          -8          -12           1          -21        -18      18      78
   - Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax                        0             0       0           0           0            0           0            0          0       0       0
   - Minority Interests                                   0             0       0           0           0            0           0            0          0       0       0

Diluted EPS Before XO Items                          (0.02)        (0.03)   (0.04)     (0.02)       (0.07)      (0.09)       0.01        (0.08)      (0.05)   0.05    0.20

Net Income Adjusted*                                                            -2         -2           -8         -12                      -21          -0      18    180      218          304          259
EPS Adjusted                                                                (0.04)     (0.02)       (0.07)      (0.09)                   (0.08)      (0.06)   0.05    0.46     0.48         0.68         0.61
Dividends Per Share                                   0.00          0.00     0.00       0.00         0.00        0.00        0.00         0.00        0.00    0.00    0.00     0.02         0.04         0.21
        Payout Ratio %                                                                                                        0.0                              0.0     0.0     0.03         0.06         0.35

Total Shares Outstanding                                 21           40       64         89          114         160          166         336         382     385     390
Diluted Shares Outstanding                               20           26       60         89          106         132          168         260         360     390     391

EBITDA                                                                         -2          -2          -8          -12         -11          -21        -34      47     262      437          565          517

*Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges.




                                                                             Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials II/IV
Periodicity:                             12/02      12/03    12/04      12/05        12/06       12/07        12/08       12/09        12/10    12/11    12/12    12/13E   12/14E   12/15E
Balance Sheet
Total Current Assets                   0.008393   0.695511    0.66   5.174321    18.342519     195.332      119.272     812.602       426.855   209.3   274.484
  + Cash & Near Cash Items                    0          1       0          4            6         108           58         674           358    101         93
  + Short Term Investments                    0          0       0          0            7          73           20          90            17       0        19
  + Accounts & Notes Receivable               0          0       0          1            5          14           22          38            31     39         62
  + Inventories                               0          0       0          0            0           0            0           0             0     48         74
  + Other Current Assets                                 0       0          0            0           1           20          12            21     22         26

Total Long-Term Assets                       0          1       1            2          13          69          199         526         1'532   1'860     2'394
  + Long Term Investments                    0                               0           0           1            0           6
         Gross Fixed Assets                                                             13          68          200         506
         Accumulated Depreciation                                                        0           0            1           2
  + Net Fixed Assets                         0          1       1            2          13          68          199         504         1'478   1'801     2'330
  + Other Long Term Assets                   0                  0            0           0           0                       16            54      59        64

Total Current Liabilities                    0          0       1            0           4          12           27          52          144     162       179
  + Accounts Payable                         0                  0            0           4          12           25          46           74      75       101
  + Short Term Borrowings                    0                  0            0           0           0            1           6           70      86        77
  + Other Short Term Liabilities             0          0       0            0           0           0            0           0            0       1         1

Total Long Term Liabilities                  0          0       0            0           0           0           24         185          229     261       348
  + Long Term Borrowings                     0          0       0            0           0           0           24         185          225     253       269
  + Other Long Term Borrowings               0                  0            0           0           0            0           0            3       8        79

Total Liabilities                             0          0       1          0            4          12           51          238          373     423       527
  + Long Preferred Equity                     0          0       0          0            0           0            0            0            0       0         0
  + Minority Interest                         0          0       0          0            0           0            0            0            0       0         0
  + Share Capital & APIC                      2          4       6         13           42         278          292        1'146        1'663   1'725     2'134
  + Retained Earnings & Other Equity         -2         -3      -5         -6          -14         -26          -24          -45          -77     -79         8

Total Shareholders Equity                    0          1       1            7          28         253          267        1'101        1'586   1'646     2'142

Total Liabilities & Equity                   0          1       2            7          32         264          318        1'339        1'959   2'069     2'668

Book Value Per Share                       0.01       0.03    0.02        0.07        0.25         1.57        1.61         3.27         4.15    4.27      5.50     5.22     5.94     6.40
  Tangible Book Value Per Share            0.01       0.03    0.02        0.07        0.25         1.57        1.61         3.27         4.15    4.27




                                                              Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials III/IV
Periodicity:                           12/02   12/03   12/04      12/05        12/06       12/07        12/08       12/09       12/10   12/11   12/12   12/13E   12/14E   12/15E
Cash Flows
Net Income                                -0      -1      -2          -2           -8         -12           1          -21        -18     18      78      212      338      308
  + Depreciation & Amortization                            0           0            0           0           0            0          0     22      64
  + Other Non-Cash Adjustments            0        0       1           1            4           9          -6            3         -4     36     132
  + Changes in Non-Cash Capital           0       -0       0          -1           -2          -0           1            8          0     10     -27

Cash From Operating Activities            -0      -0      -1          -2          -5           -3          -3         -10         -21      86     247
  + Disposal of Fixed Assets               0       0       0           0           0            0           2           0           0       0       0
  + Capital Expenditures                  -0      -1      -2          -1         -11          -51        -130        -276        -498    -357    -229     -235     -285     -337
  + Increase in Investments                0       0       0           0           0            0           0           0           0       0       0
  + Decrease in Investments                0       0       0           0           0            0           0           0           0       0       0
  + Other Investing Activities             0       0      -0           0          -7          -67          50         -85          99      -1      -9

Cash From Investing Activities            -0      -1      -2          -1         -18         -118         -78        -361        -399    -358    -238
  + Dividends Paid                         0       0       0           0           0            0           0           0           0       0       0
  + Change in Short Term Borrowings        0       0       0           0           0            0           0           0           0       0       0
  + Increase in Long Term Borrowings       0       0       0           0           0            0          20         150          75       0      15
  + Decrease in Long Term Borrowings       0       0       0           0           0            0          -0          -1         -11     -12     -28
  + Increase in Capital Stocks             0       2       2           7          24          223          13         841          41      39      19
  + Decrease in Capital Stocks             0       0       0           0           0            0          -1           0           0       0       0
  + Other Financing Activities             0       0       0          -0           0            0          -1          -3          -1     -13     -23

Cash From Financing Activities            0       2       2            7          24         223           31         987        104      14      -17

Net Changes in Cash                       -0      1       -1           4           2         102          -50         616        -315    -258      -7

Free Cash Flow (CFO-CAPEX)                -0      -1      -2          -3         -16          -54        -134        -286        -519    -271     18      127      141        5

Free Cash Flow To Firm                                                                                                                             34
Free Cash Flow To Equity                  -0      -1      -2          -3          -16         -54        -112         -137       -455    -283       5
Free Cash Flow per Share               -0.01   -0.04   -0.04       -0.04        -0.15       -0.41       -0.82        -1.10      -1.44   -0.71    0.05




                                                        Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials IV/IV
Periodicity:                          12/02    12/03     12/04       12/05        12/06       12/07        12/08       12/09       12/10   12/11    12/12   12/13E   12/14E   12/15E
Ratio Analysis

Valuation Ratios
  Price Earnings                                                                                          364.0x                           196.8x   34.8x    12.7x     9.1x    10.1x
  EV to EBIT                                                                                                                               160.3x   16.8x
  EV to EBITDA                                                                                                                              85.0x   12.8x     6.7x     5.2x     5.6x
  Price to Sales                                                                                                                            14.3x    4.7x     3.0x     2.6x     2.7x
  Price to Book                         2.5x     6.7x      9.0x       10.4x       22.5x         3.7x         2.3x        2.6x       3.5x     2.3x    1.5x     1.2x     1.0x     1.0x
  Dividend Yield                       0.0%     0.0%      0.0%        0.0%        0.0%         0.0%         0.0%        0.0%       0.0%     0.0%    0.0%     0.2%     0.6%     3.4%

Profitability Ratios
  Gross Margin                                                                                                                             30.2%    45.5%   58.0%    63.0%
  EBITDA Margin                                                                                                                            18.0%    39.4%   48.3%    54.5%    52.6%
  Operating Margin                                                                                                                          9.6%    29.9%   41.4%    42.4%    40.5%
  Profit Margin                                                                                                                             6.8%    11.8%   24.1%    29.3%    26.4%
  Return on Assets                    -57.8%   -70.5%   -149.0%      -35.3%      -39.0%        -8.0%        0.5%       -2.5%       -1.1%    0.9%     3.3%   14.8%    10.8%     4.9%
  Return on Equity                   -102.3%   -94.2%   -199.2%      -39.1%      -43.3%        -8.4%        0.6%       -3.0%       -1.3%    1.1%     4.1%    9.1%     9.6%     7.4%

Leverage & Coverage Ratios
  Current Ratio                         0.25    31.61      1.28       16.12        5.18        16.48        4.49       15.57        2.97     1.29    1.53
  Quick Ratio                           0.25    31.39      1.24       16.05        5.16        16.42        3.74       15.35        2.82     0.87    0.98
  Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/I)                                                                                                           1.42    6.45
  Tot Debt/Capital                      0.50     0.15      0.11        0.00        0.00         0.00        0.09         0.15       0.16     0.17    0.14
  Tot Debt/Equity                       0.99     0.17      0.12        0.00        0.00         0.00        0.10         0.17       0.19     0.21    0.16

Others
  Asset Turnover                                           0.00        0.00        0.00         0.00        0.00         0.00       0.00     0.13    0.28
  Accounts Receivable Turnover                             0.00        0.00        0.00         0.00        0.00         0.00       0.00     7.51   13.09
  Accounts Payable Turnover                                                                                                                  3.13    4.43
  Inventory Turnover                                                                                                                         7.74    5.98

  Effective Tax Rate                                                                                                                                48.0%




                                                           Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Peers Comparision
                                                             BARRICK GOLD                       FREEPORT-       DETOUR GOLD                             ANGLOGOLD                                                KIRKLAND LAKE                                            YAMANA GOLD                         AGNICO-EAGLE
                                         OSISKO MINING                        KINROSS GOLD                                         BHP BILLITON LTD                       RIO TINTO LTD       VALE SA-PF                            SILVER WHEATON     GOLDCORP INC                        PAN AMER SILVER
                                                                 CRP                            MCMORAN            CORP                                   ASHANT                                                      GO                                                      INC                                 MIN

Latest Fiscal Year:                             12/2012            12/2012          12/2012          12/2012          12/2011              06/2012            12/2012           12/2012               12/2011          04/2012             12/2011           12/2012            12/2012           12/2012           12/2012
52-Week High                                       12.98              49.44            11.47            44.23            29.07                39.34          32'983.00             72.30                 43.43            17.66               41.18             50.17              20.61             26.78             57.00
52-Week High Date                             09.03.2012         28.02.2012       28.02.2012       29.02.2012       05.10.2012           20.02.2013         29.02.2012        14.02.2013            29.02.2012       29.02.2012          01.11.2012        29.02.2012         09.11.2012        29.02.2012        31.10.2012
52-Week Low                                          5.68             30.75              7.14           30.54            18.45                30.09          22'175.00             48.37                 31.73              5.11              23.11             32.32              12.76             13.79             31.91
52-Week Low Date                              20.02.2013         20.02.2013       09.05.2012       06.12.2012       15.05.2012           12.07.2012         22.02.2013        30.08.2012            04.09.2012       13.12.2012          16.05.2012        12.07.2012         16.05.2012        24.07.2012        23.04.2012
Daily Volume                                   3'807'044         10'462'030        7'069'131       15'396'816          986'151            7'807'427             11'207         2'879'459            23'958'800          819'429           2'349'771         4'885'598          4'671'708           362'834         1'242'819
  Current Price (2/dd/yy)                           6.15             32.07              8.14           31.93            21.24                36.69          22'600.00              66.01                35.15              6.22              33.50              34.44             15.82              17.64            43.03
  52-Week High % Change                           -52.6%            -35.1%            -29.0%          -27.8%           -26.9%                  -6.7%            -31.5%              -8.7%              -19.1%            -64.8%             -18.6%             -31.4%            -23.2%             -34.1%           -24.5%
  52-Week Low % Change                              8.3%              4.3%             14.0%            4.6%            15.1%                 21.9%               1.9%             36.5%                10.8%             21.7%              45.0%               6.6%             24.0%              27.9%            34.8%
Total Common Shares (M)                            389.5           1'001.1           1'140.1           949.0            101.9               5'297.6              384.9           1'847.0              5'097.3              70.2              353.5              811.5             745.8              151.9            172.3
  Market Capitalization                         2'683.8           32'105.5          9'280.5        30'318.5           2'504.1           182'793.3            87'001.5         101'728.3             193'312.7            436.3            11'871.6          27'948.7          11'900.2            2'678.1           7'409.2
Total Debt                                        345.4           13'943.0           2'632.6         3'527.0            413.2             28'330.0           30'376.0           26'819.0             49'121.0               8.8               78.6             783.0              431.8              78.0             843.0
Preferred Stock                                     -                  -                 -               -                -                    -                  -                  -                    -                 -                  -                 -                  -                 -                 -
Minority Interest                                   -              2'663.0              75.5         3'768.0              -                1'215.0              186.5           11'156.0              3'144.0               -                  -               213.0               46.8               7.3               -
Cash and Equivalents                              112.6            2'093.0           1'982.7         3'705.0            764.2              4'781.0            7'562.2            7'615.0              7'573.0              30.2              840.2             918.0              550.4             542.3             332.0
   Enterprise Value                             2'916.7           45'815.6          9'773.8        33'908.5           2'628.9           218'602.9          110'001.7          134'407.7             237'523.1            485.1            11'076.8          27'327.7          12'014.6            2'154.1           7'734.8
                                                                                                                                                         Valuation
Total Revenue                      LFY             665.4          14'547.0           4'311.4        18'010.0              0.0             72'226.0           52'160.3           50'967.0            103'195.0             159.8              730.0            5'435.0           2'336.8              928.6          1'917.7
                                  LTM              665.4          14'547.0           4'311.4        18'010.0              -               66'950.0           52'152.1           50'967.0             91'893.7             153.6              754.2            5'435.0           2'336.8              928.6          1'917.7
                                 CY+1              905.7          15'576.2           4'593.8        22'676.3              -               68'522.1           67'169.1           58'856.0             91'162.9             155.1              821.0            6'044.5           2'929.3            1'160.5          1'962.4
                                 CY+2            1'037.2          16'616.2           4'842.6        23'753.0            435.9             75'406.9           77'137.2           62'661.4             98'446.2             273.6            1'108.4            7'553.0           3'467.1            1'249.6          2'235.3
EV/Total Revenue                   LFY               5.0x              3.4x              2.7x            2.0x          #DIV/0!                 3.3x               2.4x               3.1x                 2.3x              4.6x              18.6x                5.5x             6.3x               2.6x             5.0x
                                  LTM                5.0x              3.4x              2.7x            2.0x                 -                3.5x               2.3x               3.1x                 2.5x              4.8x              18.0x                5.5x             6.5x               2.6x             5.0x
                                 CY+1                3.0x              2.9x              2.1x            1.8x          #DIV/0!                 3.2x               1.6x               2.3x                 2.7x              3.5x              13.3x                4.6x             3.9x               1.8x             3.9x
                                 CY+2                2.3x              2.6x              2.0x            1.7x             6.5x                 2.8x               1.3x               2.1x                 2.5x              1.9x              10.5x                3.6x             3.1x               1.5x             3.4x
EBITDA                             LFY             262.4           7'358.0           1'962.2         6'934.0            (57.0)            33'421.0           19'105.5           15'902.0             60'071.0              55.7              618.8            2'798.0           1'301.1              367.4            791.4
                                  LTM              262.4           7'358.0           1'962.2         6'934.0            (56.6)            22'246.0           19'105.5           15'486.0             39'812.0              38.8              627.8            2'798.0           1'218.5              362.0            791.4
                                 CY+1              437.5           8'488.3           2'174.1        10'395.4            (57.3)            29'030.4           30'056.4           22'112.5             37'568.1              31.1              686.7            3'308.5           1'709.8              513.7            870.8
                                 CY+2              565.0           9'279.3           2'483.4        10'992.4            162.1             34'724.0           35'739.9           24'211.3             44'006.6             116.4              939.5            4'510.8           2'123.6              585.2          1'058.4
EV/EBITDA                          LFY              12.8x              6.7x              6.0x            5.2x           -58.5x                 7.1x               6.5x               9.9x                 3.9x             13.3x              21.9x              10.7x             11.3x               6.5x            12.1x
                                  LTM               12.8x              6.7x              6.0x            5.2x                 -               10.6x               6.3x              10.1x                 5.8x             19.1x              21.6x              10.7x             12.3x               6.6x            12.1x
                                 CY+1                6.2x              5.4x              4.5x            4.0x                 -                7.4x               3.5x               6.1x                 6.5x             17.6x              15.9x                8.5x             6.7x               4.1x             8.8x
                                 CY+2                4.3x              4.7x              3.8x            3.7x            17.4x                 6.1x               2.7x               5.4x                 5.7x              4.4x              12.4x                6.0x             5.1x               3.2x             7.2x
EPS                                LFY               0.23              3.82              0.77            3.19             0.20                 3.61              21.85               6.45                 7.21              0.57               1.55               1.99              0.93               1.04             1.89
                                  LTM                0.23              3.69              0.77            3.22            -0.03                 1.83              24.22              -1.63                 4.60              0.27               1.56               1.89              0.63               1.08             2.08
                                 CY+1               0.48              4.36              0.80            4.44            (0.52)                2.56              33.23               6.07                 4.18              0.06               1.66               2.11              1.12               1.60             2.09
                                 CY+2               0.68              4.68              0.90            4.54             0.95                 3.12              40.65               6.82                 4.73              0.78               2.12               2.90              1.40               1.79             2.53
P/E                                LFY              26.7x              8.5x             10.3x            9.9x                 -               20.6x               9.3x                   -                7.6x             23.0x              20.9x              17.7x             24.5x              15.9x            20.2x
                                  LTM               26.7x              8.5x             10.3x            9.9x                 -               13.4x               9.1x                   -                7.6x             23.0x              20.9x              17.7x             24.5x              15.9x            20.2x
                                 CY+1               12.7x              7.2x              9.9x            7.2x                 -               14.7x               6.8x              11.1x                 8.4x            103.7x              19.7x              15.9x             13.8x              10.8x            20.1x
                                 CY+2                9.1x              6.7x              8.8x            7.0x            21.9x                12.0x               5.6x               9.9x                 7.4x              8.0x              15.4x              11.6x             11.0x               9.6x            16.6x
Revenue Growth                  1 Year            152.6%              2.2%             12.2%         (13.7%)                  -               0.7%              (4.1%)           (15.8%)                24.0%             54.7%              72.4%                1.4%             7.5%               8.6%             5.3%
                                5 Year                   -           17.9%             34.9%           15.3%                  -               6.8%              24.6%              11.2%                19.2%             72.4%              39.3%              19.3%            203.5%              47.9%            54.5%
EBITDA Growth                   1 Year            453.3%           (11.6%)              1.9%         (31.8%)             7.0%              (12.1%)            (17.8%)            (39.5%)                29.9%            110.9%              95.7%              (7.7%)             3.0%            (17.6%)             5.1%
                                5 Year                   -           24.5%             40.7%           (2.4%)                 -               8.0%              86.9%               8.7%                26.2%                   -            44.0%              21.0%             27.4%              25.6%            31.8%
EBITDA Margin                     LTM              39.4%             50.6%             45.5%           38.5%                  -              33.2%              36.6%              30.4%                43.3%             25.3%              83.2%              51.5%             52.1%              39.0%            41.3%
                                 CY+1              48.3%             54.5%             47.3%           45.8%                  -              42.4%              44.7%              37.6%                41.2%             20.1%              83.6%              54.7%             58.4%              44.3%            44.4%
                                 CY+2              54.5%             55.8%             51.3%           46.3%            37.2%                46.0%              46.3%              38.6%                44.7%             42.6%              84.8%              59.7%             61.3%              46.8%            47.4%
                                                                                                                                                Leverage/Coverage Ratios
Total Debt / Equity %                             16.1%              63.8%            26.7%            20.1%            32.7%                43.0%              65.8%             57.2%                 34.2%              3.8%                3.0%              3.4%              5.8%               2.9%            24.7%
Total Debt / Capital %                            13.9%              36.3%            21.0%            14.2%            24.6%                29.7%              39.6%             31.6%                 25.1%              3.7%                2.9%              3.3%              5.4%               2.8%            19.8%
Total Debt / EBITDA                               1.316x             1.895x           1.342x           0.509x                -               1.595x             1.540x            1.732x                1.472x           2.286x              0.091x            0.280x            0.638x             0.215x            1.065x
Net Debt / EBITDA                                 0.887x             1.610x           0.331x          -0.026x                -               1.366x             1.156x            1.240x                1.033x           1.257x             -0.793x           -0.048x            0.305x            -1.283x            0.646x
EBITDA / Int. Expense                             8.512x             9.890x          13.838x                -                -              44.266x            10.074x           22.980x               24.998x         224.702x                    -          93.267x           26.129x            47.844x           13.672x
                                                                                                                                                       Credit Ratings
S&P LT Credit Rating                                    -             BBB+             BBB-              BBB                  -                  A+              BBB-                 A-                    A-                 -                  -             BBB+                  -                  -               NR
S&P LT Credit Rating Date                                -       30.07.2012       15.08.2011       29.07.2011                  -         15.11.2010         10.12.2012        18.04.2011            23.11.2011                  -                  -       01.06.2009                  -                  -       12.03.2003
Moody's LT Credit Rating                                -             Baa1             Baa3             Baa3                  -               (P)A1                  -                 -                 Baa2                  -                  -                 -                 -                  -               WR
Moody's LT Credit Rating Date                            -       17.05.2011       15.08.2011       13.10.2010                  -         15.11.2010                   -                 -           29.08.2008                  -                  -                 -                 -                  -       05.03.2002



                                                                                                                            Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |

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Financial Analysis - Osisko Mining Corporation is a gold exploration compa…

  • 1. 27.02.2013 Company Analysis - Overview Ticker: OSK CN Osisko Mining Corp Benchmark: Toronto: OSK, Currency: CAD S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX (SPTSX) Osisko Mining Corporation is a gold exploration company. The Company holds Currency: interests in the Canadian Malartic gold deposit in Quebec, Canada. Sector: Materials Industry: Metals & Mining Year: Telephone 1-514-735-7131 Revenue (M) 665 Business Segments in CAD Sales (M) Geographic Segments in CAD Sales (M) Website www.osisko.com No of Employees #N/A N/A Gold Exploration 665 Unallocated Sales 1 Address Windsor Station Suite 300 1100 De La Gauchetiere West Montreal, PQ H3B 2S2 Canada Share Price Performance in CAD Price 6.15 1M Return -11.8% 52 Week High 12.98 6M Return -34.2% 52 Week Low 5.68 52 Wk Return -50.8% 52 Wk Beta 1.72 YTD Return -23.1% Credit Ratings Bloomberg IG8 S&P - Date - Outlook - Moody's - Date - Outlook - Fitch - Date - Outlook - Valuation Ratios 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E P/E - - 196.8x 34.8x 12.7x 9.1x 10.1x EV/EBIT - - 160.3x 16.8x - - - EV/EBITDA - - 85.0x 12.8x 6.7x 5.2x 5.6x P/S - - 14.3x 4.7x 3.0x 2.6x 2.7x P/B 2.6x 3.5x 2.3x 1.5x 1.2x 1.0x 1.0x Div Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 3.4% 100% 100% Profitability Ratios % 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E Gross Margin - - 30.2 45.5 58.0 63.0 - EBITDA Margin - - 18.0 39.4 48.3 54.5 52.6 Operating Margin - - 9.6 29.9 41.4 42.4 40.5 Gold Exploration Profit Margin - - 6.8 11.8 24.1 29.3 26.4 Unallocated Sales Return on Assets -2.5 -1.1 0.9 3.3 14.8 10.8 4.9 Return on Equity -3.0 -1.3 1.1 4.1 9.1 9.6 7.4 Leverage and Coverage Ratios 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 Current Ratio 15.6 3.0 1.3 1.5 Current Capitalization in CAD Quick Ratio 15.3 2.8 0.9 1.0 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 389.5 EBIT/Interest - - 1.4 6.4 Market Capitalization (M) 2683.8 Tot Debt/Capital 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 Cash and ST Investments (M) 112.6 Tot Debt/Equity 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 Total Debt (M) 345.4 Eff Tax Rate % - - - 48.0 Preferred Equity (M) 0.0 LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0 Investments (M) 0.0 Enterprise Value (M) 2916.7 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 2. Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings Osisko Mining Corp Target price in CAD Broker Recommendation Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price Price Brokers' Target Price 25 14 100% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 12 22% 21% 21% 24% 24% 20 80% 29% 25% 29% 28% 29% 31% 31% 10 15 8 60% 6 40% 10 69% 72% 74% 74% 71% 71% 4 65% 63% 63% 65% 67% 65% 2 20% 5 0 Genuity Corp BMO Capital Raymond GMP Securities Inc. Macquarie Securities Corp RBC Capital Scotia Capital Capital Inc Credit Suisse Securities National Bank Stifel Nicolaus TD Securities Dimensions CIBC World Paradigm Canaccord James Clarus Markets Markets Markets 0% 0 Financial Cormark EVA Dundee févr.12 mars.12 avr.12 mai.12 juin.12 juil.12 août.12 sept.12 oct.12 nov.12 déc.12 janv.13 Buy Hold Sell Price Target Price Date Buy Hold Sell Date Price Target Price Broker Analyst Recommendation Target Date 31-Jan-13 71% 24% 6% 27-Feb-13 6.15 10.13 BMO Capital Markets JOHN P HAYES speculative outperform 9.25 26-Feb-13 31-Dec-12 65% 29% 6% 26-Feb-13 6.15 10.13 Credit Suisse ANITA SONI neutral 8.00 26-Feb-13 30-Nov-12 71% 24% 6% 25-Feb-13 6.20 10.13 Cormark Securities Inc. RICHARD GRAY buy 10.00 26-Feb-13 31-Oct-12 74% 21% 5% 22-Feb-13 6.20 10.30 GMP ANDREW MIKITCHOOK buy 10.00 25-Feb-13 28-Sep-12 74% 21% 5% 21-Feb-13 5.79 10.42 TD Securities DANIEL EARLE buy 10.00 25-Feb-13 31-Aug-12 67% 28% 6% 20-Feb-13 5.84 10.53 Macquarie MICHAEL SIPERCO outperform 9.00 23-Feb-13 31-Jul-12 72% 22% 6% 19-Feb-13 6.07 10.53 Raymond James BRAD HUMPHREY market perform 10.00 22-Feb-13 29-Jun-12 65% 29% 6% 18-Feb-13 5.95 10.53 CIBC World Markets COSMOS CHIU sector outperform 13.00 22-Feb-13 31-May-12 63% 31% 6% 15-Feb-13 5.95 10.53 Dundee Securities Corp JOE FAZZINI buy 11.00 22-Feb-13 30-Apr-12 69% 25% 6% 14-Feb-13 6.38 10.53 National Bank Financial STEPHEN PARSONS outperform 10.75 22-Feb-13 30-Mar-12 63% 31% 6% 13-Feb-13 6.14 10.65 Clarus Securities JAMIE SPRATT buy 10.75 22-Feb-13 29-Feb-12 65% 29% 6% 12-Feb-13 6.41 10.61 EVA Dimensions CRAIG STERLING hold 22-Feb-13 11-Feb-13 6.39 10.61 RBC Capital Markets DAN ROLLINS outperform 9.00 21-Feb-13 8-Feb-13 6.54 10.61 Scotia Capital LEILY OMOUMI sector outperform 10.50 21-Feb-13 7-Feb-13 6.35 10.61 Canaccord Genuity Corp STEVEN BUTLER buy 8.50 21-Feb-13 6-Feb-13 6.52 10.61 Stifel Nicolaus GEORGE J TOPPING buy 12.25 8-Feb-13 5-Feb-13 6.70 10.61 Paradigm Capital Inc DON BLYTH buy 12.50 13-Nov-12 4-Feb-13 6.79 10.61 1-Feb-13 6.88 10.70 31-Jan-13 6.91 10.66 30-Jan-13 7.03 10.66 29-Jan-13 6.77 10.66 28-Jan-13 6.86 10.60 25-Jan-13 6.97 10.77 24-Jan-13 7.13 11.11 23-Jan-13 7.07 11.58 22-Jan-13 7.60 11.58 21-Jan-13 7.73 11.58 18-Jan-13 7.79 11.64 17-Jan-13 7.87 11.64 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 3. 27.02.2013 Osisko Mining Corp Company Analysis - Ownership Ownership Type Ownership Statistics Geographic Ownership Distribution Geographic Ownership 1% Shares Outstanding (M) 389.5 United States 41.38% 2% 2% Float 99.0% Canada 32.88% 2% 2% Short Interest (M) 30.1 Germany 14.81% 3% Short Interest as % of Float 7.80% Luxembourg 2.71% 41% Days to Cover Shorts 6.98 Britain 2.42% 15% 48% 51% Institutional Ownership 50.97% Unknown Country 1.95% Retail Ownership 48.02% Switzerland 1.78% Insider Ownership 1.02% Others 2.05% Institutional Ownership Distribution 33% Investment Advisor 83.17% Mutual Fund Manager 7.84% Hedge Fund Manager 6.79% United States Canada Germany Institutional Ownership Retail Ownership Insider Ownership Individual 1.95% Luxembourg Britain Unknown Country Pricing data is in CAD Others 0.24% Switzerland Others Top 20 Owners: TOP 20 ALL Institutional Ownership Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source Country EURASIA HOLDING AG 33'356'367 0 205'141'657 7.64% 27.10.2009 SEDI GERMANY 2% 0% GCIC LTD/CANADA 32'648'396 -7'713'560 200'787'635 7.48% 14.02.2012 Co File CANADA 7% BLACKROCK 17'126'608 4'083'693 105'328'639 3.92% 25.02.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES TOCQUEVILLE ASSET MA 14'515'480 3'600'860 89'270'202 3.33% 30.09.2012 13F UNITED STATES 8% FRANKLIN RESOURCES 12'169'560 266'190 74'842'794 2.79% 31.12.2012 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC 10'295'653 200'000 63'318'266 2.36% 30.12.2012 MF-AGG UNITED STATES IG INVESTMENT MANAGE 8'527'738 -1'029'374 52'445'589 1.95% 28.09.2012 MF-AGG CANADA ROYAL BANK OF CANADA 8'173'682 409'466 50'268'144 1.87% 31.01.2013 ULT-AGG CANADA FMR LLC 7'783'520 1'696'471 47'868'648 1.78% 31.12.2012 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C 5'989'691 0 36'836'600 1.37% 25.02.2013 MF-AGG UNITED STATES 83% FIRST EAGLE INVESTME 5'274'540 0 32'438'421 1.21% 30.09.2012 MF-AGG UNITED STATES UNITED SERVICES AUTO 4'604'600 0 28'318'290 1.06% 30.11.2012 MF-AGG UNITED STATES VANGUARD GROUP INC 4'222'430 49'580 25'967'945 0.97% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG UNITED STATES LOMBARD ODIER DARIER 3'183'664 110'000 19'579'534 0.73% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG LUXEMBOURG Investment Advisor Mutual Fund Manager Hedge Fund Manager Individual Others IA CLARINGTON INVEST 3'075'000 -371'400 18'911'250 0.70% 30.09.2012 MF-AGG CANADA WELLS FARGO FUNDS MA 3'059'400 0 18'815'310 0.70% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG UNITED STATES SPROTT INC 2'848'612 0 17'518'964 0.65% 30.06.2011 MF-AGG CANADA AGF INVESTMENTS INC 2'614'064 507'300 16'076'494 0.60% 28.09.2012 MF-AGG CANADA TD ASSET MANAGEMENT 2'603'325 -1'662'844 16'010'449 0.60% 31.12.2011 MF-AGG CANADA HEXAVEST INC 2'323'686 403'129 14'290'669 0.53% 31.12.2012 13F CANADA Top 5 Insiders: Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source WARES ROBERT P 1'471'000 -10'000 9'046'650 0.34% 11.09.2012 SEDI ROOSEN SEAN E O 788'812 2'798 4'851'194 0.18% 17.01.2013 SEDI STORM NORMAN 671'500 -5'000 4'129'725 0.15% 04.09.2012 SEDI BURZYNSKI JOHN 538'900 10'000 3'314'235 0.12% 18.12.2012 SEDI COATES BRYAN A 409'954 2'798 2'521'217 0.09% 01.02.2013 SEDI Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 4. Company Analysis - Financials I/IV Osisko Mining Corp Financial information is in CAD (M) Equivalent Estimates Periodicity: Fiscal Year 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E Income Statement Revenue 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 263 665 906 1'037 984 - Cost of Goods Sold 184 363 Gross Income 79 303 525 653 - Selling, General & Admin Expenses 0 1 2 2 8 12 11 21 34 54 104 (Research & Dev Costs) 0 0 0 Operating Income -0 -1 -2 -2 -8 -12 -11 -21 -34 25 199 375 440 398 - Interest Expense 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 31 - Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains) 0 0 0 0 3 -6 5 -3 1 -2 - Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains) 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -4 -3 -3 -12 -5 19 Pretax Income -0 -2 -2 -8 -12 -3 -23 -20 11 151 356 478 401 - Income Tax Expense 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -2 -2 -7 72 Income Before XO Items -0 -1 -2 -2 -8 -12 1 -21 -18 18 78 - Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - Minority Interests 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Diluted EPS Before XO Items (0.02) (0.03) (0.04) (0.02) (0.07) (0.09) 0.01 (0.08) (0.05) 0.05 0.20 Net Income Adjusted* -2 -2 -8 -12 -21 -0 18 180 218 304 259 EPS Adjusted (0.04) (0.02) (0.07) (0.09) (0.08) (0.06) 0.05 0.46 0.48 0.68 0.61 Dividends Per Share 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.21 Payout Ratio % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.03 0.06 0.35 Total Shares Outstanding 21 40 64 89 114 160 166 336 382 385 390 Diluted Shares Outstanding 20 26 60 89 106 132 168 260 360 390 391 EBITDA -2 -2 -8 -12 -11 -21 -34 47 262 437 565 517 *Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges. Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 5. Company Analysis - Financials II/IV Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E Balance Sheet Total Current Assets 0.008393 0.695511 0.66 5.174321 18.342519 195.332 119.272 812.602 426.855 209.3 274.484 + Cash & Near Cash Items 0 1 0 4 6 108 58 674 358 101 93 + Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0 7 73 20 90 17 0 19 + Accounts & Notes Receivable 0 0 0 1 5 14 22 38 31 39 62 + Inventories 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 48 74 + Other Current Assets 0 0 0 0 1 20 12 21 22 26 Total Long-Term Assets 0 1 1 2 13 69 199 526 1'532 1'860 2'394 + Long Term Investments 0 0 0 1 0 6 Gross Fixed Assets 13 68 200 506 Accumulated Depreciation 0 0 1 2 + Net Fixed Assets 0 1 1 2 13 68 199 504 1'478 1'801 2'330 + Other Long Term Assets 0 0 0 0 0 16 54 59 64 Total Current Liabilities 0 0 1 0 4 12 27 52 144 162 179 + Accounts Payable 0 0 0 4 12 25 46 74 75 101 + Short Term Borrowings 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 70 86 77 + Other Short Term Liabilities 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 Total Long Term Liabilities 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 185 229 261 348 + Long Term Borrowings 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 185 225 253 269 + Other Long Term Borrowings 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 8 79 Total Liabilities 0 0 1 0 4 12 51 238 373 423 527 + Long Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 + Minority Interest 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 + Share Capital & APIC 2 4 6 13 42 278 292 1'146 1'663 1'725 2'134 + Retained Earnings & Other Equity -2 -3 -5 -6 -14 -26 -24 -45 -77 -79 8 Total Shareholders Equity 0 1 1 7 28 253 267 1'101 1'586 1'646 2'142 Total Liabilities & Equity 0 1 2 7 32 264 318 1'339 1'959 2'069 2'668 Book Value Per Share 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.07 0.25 1.57 1.61 3.27 4.15 4.27 5.50 5.22 5.94 6.40 Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.07 0.25 1.57 1.61 3.27 4.15 4.27 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 6. Company Analysis - Financials III/IV Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E Cash Flows Net Income -0 -1 -2 -2 -8 -12 1 -21 -18 18 78 212 338 308 + Depreciation & Amortization 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 64 + Other Non-Cash Adjustments 0 0 1 1 4 9 -6 3 -4 36 132 + Changes in Non-Cash Capital 0 -0 0 -1 -2 -0 1 8 0 10 -27 Cash From Operating Activities -0 -0 -1 -2 -5 -3 -3 -10 -21 86 247 + Disposal of Fixed Assets 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 + Capital Expenditures -0 -1 -2 -1 -11 -51 -130 -276 -498 -357 -229 -235 -285 -337 + Increase in Investments 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 + Decrease in Investments 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 + Other Investing Activities 0 0 -0 0 -7 -67 50 -85 99 -1 -9 Cash From Investing Activities -0 -1 -2 -1 -18 -118 -78 -361 -399 -358 -238 + Dividends Paid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 + Change in Short Term Borrowings 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 + Increase in Long Term Borrowings 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 150 75 0 15 + Decrease in Long Term Borrowings 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -1 -11 -12 -28 + Increase in Capital Stocks 0 2 2 7 24 223 13 841 41 39 19 + Decrease in Capital Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 0 + Other Financing Activities 0 0 0 -0 0 0 -1 -3 -1 -13 -23 Cash From Financing Activities 0 2 2 7 24 223 31 987 104 14 -17 Net Changes in Cash -0 1 -1 4 2 102 -50 616 -315 -258 -7 Free Cash Flow (CFO-CAPEX) -0 -1 -2 -3 -16 -54 -134 -286 -519 -271 18 127 141 5 Free Cash Flow To Firm 34 Free Cash Flow To Equity -0 -1 -2 -3 -16 -54 -112 -137 -455 -283 5 Free Cash Flow per Share -0.01 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.15 -0.41 -0.82 -1.10 -1.44 -0.71 0.05 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 7. Company Analysis - Financials IV/IV Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E Ratio Analysis Valuation Ratios Price Earnings 364.0x 196.8x 34.8x 12.7x 9.1x 10.1x EV to EBIT 160.3x 16.8x EV to EBITDA 85.0x 12.8x 6.7x 5.2x 5.6x Price to Sales 14.3x 4.7x 3.0x 2.6x 2.7x Price to Book 2.5x 6.7x 9.0x 10.4x 22.5x 3.7x 2.3x 2.6x 3.5x 2.3x 1.5x 1.2x 1.0x 1.0x Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 3.4% Profitability Ratios Gross Margin 30.2% 45.5% 58.0% 63.0% EBITDA Margin 18.0% 39.4% 48.3% 54.5% 52.6% Operating Margin 9.6% 29.9% 41.4% 42.4% 40.5% Profit Margin 6.8% 11.8% 24.1% 29.3% 26.4% Return on Assets -57.8% -70.5% -149.0% -35.3% -39.0% -8.0% 0.5% -2.5% -1.1% 0.9% 3.3% 14.8% 10.8% 4.9% Return on Equity -102.3% -94.2% -199.2% -39.1% -43.3% -8.4% 0.6% -3.0% -1.3% 1.1% 4.1% 9.1% 9.6% 7.4% Leverage & Coverage Ratios Current Ratio 0.25 31.61 1.28 16.12 5.18 16.48 4.49 15.57 2.97 1.29 1.53 Quick Ratio 0.25 31.39 1.24 16.05 5.16 16.42 3.74 15.35 2.82 0.87 0.98 Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/I) 1.42 6.45 Tot Debt/Capital 0.50 0.15 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.14 Tot Debt/Equity 0.99 0.17 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.16 Others Asset Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.28 Accounts Receivable Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.51 13.09 Accounts Payable Turnover 3.13 4.43 Inventory Turnover 7.74 5.98 Effective Tax Rate 48.0% Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 8. Company Analysis - Peers Comparision BARRICK GOLD FREEPORT- DETOUR GOLD ANGLOGOLD KIRKLAND LAKE YAMANA GOLD AGNICO-EAGLE OSISKO MINING KINROSS GOLD BHP BILLITON LTD RIO TINTO LTD VALE SA-PF SILVER WHEATON GOLDCORP INC PAN AMER SILVER CRP MCMORAN CORP ASHANT GO INC MIN Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2011 06/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2011 04/2012 12/2011 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 52-Week High 12.98 49.44 11.47 44.23 29.07 39.34 32'983.00 72.30 43.43 17.66 41.18 50.17 20.61 26.78 57.00 52-Week High Date 09.03.2012 28.02.2012 28.02.2012 29.02.2012 05.10.2012 20.02.2013 29.02.2012 14.02.2013 29.02.2012 29.02.2012 01.11.2012 29.02.2012 09.11.2012 29.02.2012 31.10.2012 52-Week Low 5.68 30.75 7.14 30.54 18.45 30.09 22'175.00 48.37 31.73 5.11 23.11 32.32 12.76 13.79 31.91 52-Week Low Date 20.02.2013 20.02.2013 09.05.2012 06.12.2012 15.05.2012 12.07.2012 22.02.2013 30.08.2012 04.09.2012 13.12.2012 16.05.2012 12.07.2012 16.05.2012 24.07.2012 23.04.2012 Daily Volume 3'807'044 10'462'030 7'069'131 15'396'816 986'151 7'807'427 11'207 2'879'459 23'958'800 819'429 2'349'771 4'885'598 4'671'708 362'834 1'242'819 Current Price (2/dd/yy) 6.15 32.07 8.14 31.93 21.24 36.69 22'600.00 66.01 35.15 6.22 33.50 34.44 15.82 17.64 43.03 52-Week High % Change -52.6% -35.1% -29.0% -27.8% -26.9% -6.7% -31.5% -8.7% -19.1% -64.8% -18.6% -31.4% -23.2% -34.1% -24.5% 52-Week Low % Change 8.3% 4.3% 14.0% 4.6% 15.1% 21.9% 1.9% 36.5% 10.8% 21.7% 45.0% 6.6% 24.0% 27.9% 34.8% Total Common Shares (M) 389.5 1'001.1 1'140.1 949.0 101.9 5'297.6 384.9 1'847.0 5'097.3 70.2 353.5 811.5 745.8 151.9 172.3 Market Capitalization 2'683.8 32'105.5 9'280.5 30'318.5 2'504.1 182'793.3 87'001.5 101'728.3 193'312.7 436.3 11'871.6 27'948.7 11'900.2 2'678.1 7'409.2 Total Debt 345.4 13'943.0 2'632.6 3'527.0 413.2 28'330.0 30'376.0 26'819.0 49'121.0 8.8 78.6 783.0 431.8 78.0 843.0 Preferred Stock - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Minority Interest - 2'663.0 75.5 3'768.0 - 1'215.0 186.5 11'156.0 3'144.0 - - 213.0 46.8 7.3 - Cash and Equivalents 112.6 2'093.0 1'982.7 3'705.0 764.2 4'781.0 7'562.2 7'615.0 7'573.0 30.2 840.2 918.0 550.4 542.3 332.0 Enterprise Value 2'916.7 45'815.6 9'773.8 33'908.5 2'628.9 218'602.9 110'001.7 134'407.7 237'523.1 485.1 11'076.8 27'327.7 12'014.6 2'154.1 7'734.8 Valuation Total Revenue LFY 665.4 14'547.0 4'311.4 18'010.0 0.0 72'226.0 52'160.3 50'967.0 103'195.0 159.8 730.0 5'435.0 2'336.8 928.6 1'917.7 LTM 665.4 14'547.0 4'311.4 18'010.0 - 66'950.0 52'152.1 50'967.0 91'893.7 153.6 754.2 5'435.0 2'336.8 928.6 1'917.7 CY+1 905.7 15'576.2 4'593.8 22'676.3 - 68'522.1 67'169.1 58'856.0 91'162.9 155.1 821.0 6'044.5 2'929.3 1'160.5 1'962.4 CY+2 1'037.2 16'616.2 4'842.6 23'753.0 435.9 75'406.9 77'137.2 62'661.4 98'446.2 273.6 1'108.4 7'553.0 3'467.1 1'249.6 2'235.3 EV/Total Revenue LFY 5.0x 3.4x 2.7x 2.0x #DIV/0! 3.3x 2.4x 3.1x 2.3x 4.6x 18.6x 5.5x 6.3x 2.6x 5.0x LTM 5.0x 3.4x 2.7x 2.0x - 3.5x 2.3x 3.1x 2.5x 4.8x 18.0x 5.5x 6.5x 2.6x 5.0x CY+1 3.0x 2.9x 2.1x 1.8x #DIV/0! 3.2x 1.6x 2.3x 2.7x 3.5x 13.3x 4.6x 3.9x 1.8x 3.9x CY+2 2.3x 2.6x 2.0x 1.7x 6.5x 2.8x 1.3x 2.1x 2.5x 1.9x 10.5x 3.6x 3.1x 1.5x 3.4x EBITDA LFY 262.4 7'358.0 1'962.2 6'934.0 (57.0) 33'421.0 19'105.5 15'902.0 60'071.0 55.7 618.8 2'798.0 1'301.1 367.4 791.4 LTM 262.4 7'358.0 1'962.2 6'934.0 (56.6) 22'246.0 19'105.5 15'486.0 39'812.0 38.8 627.8 2'798.0 1'218.5 362.0 791.4 CY+1 437.5 8'488.3 2'174.1 10'395.4 (57.3) 29'030.4 30'056.4 22'112.5 37'568.1 31.1 686.7 3'308.5 1'709.8 513.7 870.8 CY+2 565.0 9'279.3 2'483.4 10'992.4 162.1 34'724.0 35'739.9 24'211.3 44'006.6 116.4 939.5 4'510.8 2'123.6 585.2 1'058.4 EV/EBITDA LFY 12.8x 6.7x 6.0x 5.2x -58.5x 7.1x 6.5x 9.9x 3.9x 13.3x 21.9x 10.7x 11.3x 6.5x 12.1x LTM 12.8x 6.7x 6.0x 5.2x - 10.6x 6.3x 10.1x 5.8x 19.1x 21.6x 10.7x 12.3x 6.6x 12.1x CY+1 6.2x 5.4x 4.5x 4.0x - 7.4x 3.5x 6.1x 6.5x 17.6x 15.9x 8.5x 6.7x 4.1x 8.8x CY+2 4.3x 4.7x 3.8x 3.7x 17.4x 6.1x 2.7x 5.4x 5.7x 4.4x 12.4x 6.0x 5.1x 3.2x 7.2x EPS LFY 0.23 3.82 0.77 3.19 0.20 3.61 21.85 6.45 7.21 0.57 1.55 1.99 0.93 1.04 1.89 LTM 0.23 3.69 0.77 3.22 -0.03 1.83 24.22 -1.63 4.60 0.27 1.56 1.89 0.63 1.08 2.08 CY+1 0.48 4.36 0.80 4.44 (0.52) 2.56 33.23 6.07 4.18 0.06 1.66 2.11 1.12 1.60 2.09 CY+2 0.68 4.68 0.90 4.54 0.95 3.12 40.65 6.82 4.73 0.78 2.12 2.90 1.40 1.79 2.53 P/E LFY 26.7x 8.5x 10.3x 9.9x - 20.6x 9.3x - 7.6x 23.0x 20.9x 17.7x 24.5x 15.9x 20.2x LTM 26.7x 8.5x 10.3x 9.9x - 13.4x 9.1x - 7.6x 23.0x 20.9x 17.7x 24.5x 15.9x 20.2x CY+1 12.7x 7.2x 9.9x 7.2x - 14.7x 6.8x 11.1x 8.4x 103.7x 19.7x 15.9x 13.8x 10.8x 20.1x CY+2 9.1x 6.7x 8.8x 7.0x 21.9x 12.0x 5.6x 9.9x 7.4x 8.0x 15.4x 11.6x 11.0x 9.6x 16.6x Revenue Growth 1 Year 152.6% 2.2% 12.2% (13.7%) - 0.7% (4.1%) (15.8%) 24.0% 54.7% 72.4% 1.4% 7.5% 8.6% 5.3% 5 Year - 17.9% 34.9% 15.3% - 6.8% 24.6% 11.2% 19.2% 72.4% 39.3% 19.3% 203.5% 47.9% 54.5% EBITDA Growth 1 Year 453.3% (11.6%) 1.9% (31.8%) 7.0% (12.1%) (17.8%) (39.5%) 29.9% 110.9% 95.7% (7.7%) 3.0% (17.6%) 5.1% 5 Year - 24.5% 40.7% (2.4%) - 8.0% 86.9% 8.7% 26.2% - 44.0% 21.0% 27.4% 25.6% 31.8% EBITDA Margin LTM 39.4% 50.6% 45.5% 38.5% - 33.2% 36.6% 30.4% 43.3% 25.3% 83.2% 51.5% 52.1% 39.0% 41.3% CY+1 48.3% 54.5% 47.3% 45.8% - 42.4% 44.7% 37.6% 41.2% 20.1% 83.6% 54.7% 58.4% 44.3% 44.4% CY+2 54.5% 55.8% 51.3% 46.3% 37.2% 46.0% 46.3% 38.6% 44.7% 42.6% 84.8% 59.7% 61.3% 46.8% 47.4% Leverage/Coverage Ratios Total Debt / Equity % 16.1% 63.8% 26.7% 20.1% 32.7% 43.0% 65.8% 57.2% 34.2% 3.8% 3.0% 3.4% 5.8% 2.9% 24.7% Total Debt / Capital % 13.9% 36.3% 21.0% 14.2% 24.6% 29.7% 39.6% 31.6% 25.1% 3.7% 2.9% 3.3% 5.4% 2.8% 19.8% Total Debt / EBITDA 1.316x 1.895x 1.342x 0.509x - 1.595x 1.540x 1.732x 1.472x 2.286x 0.091x 0.280x 0.638x 0.215x 1.065x Net Debt / EBITDA 0.887x 1.610x 0.331x -0.026x - 1.366x 1.156x 1.240x 1.033x 1.257x -0.793x -0.048x 0.305x -1.283x 0.646x EBITDA / Int. Expense 8.512x 9.890x 13.838x - - 44.266x 10.074x 22.980x 24.998x 224.702x - 93.267x 26.129x 47.844x 13.672x Credit Ratings S&P LT Credit Rating - BBB+ BBB- BBB - A+ BBB- A- A- - - BBB+ - - NR S&P LT Credit Rating Date - 30.07.2012 15.08.2011 29.07.2011 - 15.11.2010 10.12.2012 18.04.2011 23.11.2011 - - 01.06.2009 - - 12.03.2003 Moody's LT Credit Rating - Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 - (P)A1 - - Baa2 - - - - - WR Moody's LT Credit Rating Date - 17.05.2011 15.08.2011 13.10.2010 - 15.11.2010 - - 29.08.2008 - - - - - 05.03.2002 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |