Fundamental Analysis - SX5E Index (Eurostoxx50) Members
1. This material does not constitute investment advice and should not be
viewed as a current or past recommendation or a solicitation of an
offer to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.
Fundamental Analysis &
Analyst Recommendations
Eurostoxx 50 - SX5E Index
April 2013
Q M S Advisors
. .
Q.M.S Advisors | Avenue de la Gare, 1 1003 Lausanne | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
4. 26.03.2013
Air Liquide SA
Air Liquide SA, through its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and sells Price/Volume
industrial and healthcare gases worldwide. These gases include liquid nitrogen,
120 3.5 M
argon, carbon dioxide, and oxygen. The Company also produces welding equipment,
100 3.0 M
diving equipment, and technical-medical equipment. Air Liquide sells its
products throughout Europe, the United States, Canada, Africa, and Asia. 2.5 M
80
2.0 M
60
Valuation Analysis 1.5 M
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2012 40
1.0 M
LTM as of: 09/yy 20 .5 M
52-Week High (21.09.2012) 100.00
0 .0 M
52-Week Low (18.05.2012) 83.45 m-11 a-11 m-11 j-11 j-11 a-11 s-11 o-11 n-11 d-11 j-12 f-12 m-12
Daily Volume 169'244.00
Current Price (3/dd/yy) 94.83 Market Data
52-Week High % Change -5.19% Dividend Yield -
52-Week Low % Change 13.63% Beta 0.76
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 64.95% Equity Float 311.10
Shares Out 08.03.2013 312.5 Short Int -
Market Capitalization 29'629.93 1 Yr Total Return 7.50%
Total Debt 7'273.70 YTD Return -0.23%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 0.756
Minority Interest 232.6 Analyst Recs 35
Cash and Equivalents 1'154.20 Consensus Rating 3.543
Enterprise Value 35'982.03 Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance Average Volume 5 Day 910'620
AI FP EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 933'595
AI FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 770'134
Fiscal Year Ended LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 31.12.2012 09/yy 09/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 03/13 Q1 06/13 Q2
Total Revenue 13'103.1 11'976.1 13'488.0 14'456.9 15'326.3 13'003.5 14'255.5 16'327.5 17'503.5 3'966.8 3'976.0
TEV/Revenue 1.73x 2.25x 2.38x 2.25x 2.34x 0.00x 0.00x 2.20x 2.03x - 9.03x
EBITDA 2'941.8 2'969.0 3'374.3 3'563.6 3'792.3 0.0 0.0 4'091.5 4'441.9 - 1'976.0
TEV/EBITDA 7.71x 9.08x 9.50x 9.13x 9.48x 0.00x 0.00x 8.81x 8.11x - -
Net Income 1'220.0 1'230.0 1'403.6 1'534.9 1'609.4 0.0 0.0 1'733.8 1'918.7 - 879.0
P/E 13.93x 17.67x 18.97x 17.60x 18.38x 0.00x 0.00x 17.02x 15.39x - -
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
EBITDA 3'792.30 Long-Term Rating Date 02.07.2007
EBIT 2'560.50 Long-Term Rating A
Operating Margin 16.71% Long-Term Outlook POS
Pretax Margin 14.63% Short-Term Rating Date 06.05.2004
Return on Assets 6.55% Short-Term Rating A-1
Return on Common Equity 16.12% Credit Ratios
Return on Capital - EBITDA/Interest Exp. 13.84
Asset Turnover 0.62% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 6.51
Margin Analysis Net Debt/EBITDA 1.61
Gross Margin - Total Debt/EBITDA 1.92
EBITDA Margin 24.7% Reference
EBIT Margin 16.7% Total Debt/Equity 71.2%
Net Income Margin 10.5% Total Debt/Capital 41.1%
Structure Asset Turnover 0.62
Current Ratio 1.03 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 1.23
Quick Ratio 0.77 Accounts receivable turnover-days 66.93
Debt to Assets 29.09% Inventory Days -
Tot Debt to Common Equity 71.23% Accounts Payable Turnover Day -
Accounts Receivable Turnover 5.47 Cash Conversion Cycle -
Inventory Turnover -
Price/ Cash Flow Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00 16'000.0
12.00 14'000.0
12'000.0
10.00
10'000.0
8.00
8'000.0
6.00
6'000.0
4.00 4'000.0
2.00 2'000.0
0.00
0.0
02.01.2009 02.07.2009 02.01.2010 02.07.2010 02.01.2011 02.07.2011 02.01.2012 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
5. 26.03.2013
Air Liquide SA
Holdings By: All
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'602'821 1.62 332'555 30.06.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
THORNBURG INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'158'340 1.46 - 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'834'874 1 61'554 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'442'705 0.51 (1'613) 07.03.2012 Investment Advisor
AIR LIQUIDE n/a Co File 1'339'624 0.47 - 31.12.2010 Corporation
AMUNDI Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'178'326 0.42 111'689 30.12.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
DEUTSCHE BANK AG Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'151'189 0.41 (369) 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor
CAPITAL WORLD INVEST Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'055'066 0.37 (452'336) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
MASSACHUSETTS FINANC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'033'942 0.36 (5'605) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK ASSET MANA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 872'830 0.31 (582) 07.03.2012 Investment Advisor
AMUNDI Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 816'304 0.29 (2'392) 30.12.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
FIDELITY INTERNATION Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 812'698 0.29 653'801 30.12.2011 Investment Advisor
MERCURY ASSET MANAGE Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 795'418 0.28 (9'820) 07.03.2012 Investment Advisor
BESSEMER GROUP INCOR Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 775'161 0.27 - 31.10.2011 Investment Advisor
T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 694'738 0.24 (31'780) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
FIDELITY MANAGEMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 678'737 0.24 (22'020) 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor
WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP 13F 608'046 0.21 (1'432) 30.09.2011 Investment Advisor
BANK OF NEW YORK MEL Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 581'653 0.2 (8'773) 07.03.2012 Investment Advisor
LBPAM Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 507'326 0.18 (993) 30.11.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
ROTHSCHILD & COMPAGN Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 457'871 0.16 - 30.09.2011 Investment Advisor
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Banco Sabadell PATRICIA GARCIA SANCHEZ buy 5 M 115 Not Provided 05.03.2012
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE underweight 1 D #N/A N/A Not Provided 02.03.2012
AlphaValue VERONIQUE COLAS add 4 M 101 6 month 01.03.2012
Macquarie JUERGEN RECK outperform 5 M 108 12 month 25.02.2012
Exane BNP Paribas HEIDI VESTERINEN neutral 3 M 104 Not Provided 24.02.2012
Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY buy 5 U 109 3 month 22.02.2012
Collins Stewart PAUL W SATCHELL hold 3 M 90 Not Provided 22.02.2012
Commerzbank Corporates & Markets STEPHAN KIPPE add 4 M 104 6 month 21.02.2012
BHF-Bank ANNETT WEBER market weight 3 M 101 12 month 21.02.2012
Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg ULLE WORNER buy 5 M 110 Not Provided 21.02.2012
CA Cheuvreux KLAUS RINGEL outperform 5 D 108 Not Provided 21.02.2012
Independent Research GmbH STEFAN ROEHLE hold 3 M 106 6 month 21.02.2012
Societe Generale PETER CLARK buy 5 M 106 12 month 20.02.2012
Hamburger Sparkasse MARCO GUENTHER sell 1 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 20.02.2012
Barclays Capital GUNTHER ZECHMANN underwt/positive 1 M 98 Not Provided 20.02.2012
Morgan Stanley PETER MACKEY Equalwt/In-Line 3 M 100 12 month 17.02.2012
Credit Suisse CHRIS COUNIHAN neutral 3 M 109 Not Provided 17.02.2012
Sanford C. Bernstein & Co JEREMY REDENIUS market perform 3 M 96 12 month 17.02.2012
CM - CIC Securities(ESN) ARI AGOPYAN hold 3 M 96 12 month 17.02.2012
Nomura JEAN DE WATTEVILLE reduce 2 M 110 12 month 17.02.2012
Standard & Poor's Equity Research ANKIT JAIN hold 3 M 101 12 month 17.02.2012
Main First Bank AG THOMAS SWOBODA neutral 3 M 102 Not Provided 09.02.2012
Natixis FREDERIC WILLIAMS-GOBEAUX neutral 3 M 101 Not Provided 08.02.2012
JPMorgan NEIL C TYLER overweight 5 M 108 12 month 02.02.2012
Goldman Sachs RICHARD LOGAN neutral/neutral 3 M 122 12 month 30.01.2012
HSBC GEOFF HAIRE neutral 3 M 104 Not Provided 26.01.2012
ING Wholesale Banking FABIAN SMEETS not rated #N/A N/A M #N/A N/A Not Provided 19.01.2012
Citi ANDREW BENSON neutral 3 M 100 Not Provided 12.12.2011
Deutsche Bank TIMOTHY JONES hold 3 M 98 12 month 02.12.2011
DZ Bank AG PETER SPENGLER buy 5 M 100 12 month 27.10.2011
Oddo & Cie JEAN-PIERRE DMIRDJIAN buy 5 M 100 Not Provided 26.10.2011
Alembic Global Advisors HASSAN I AHMED neutral 3 M 105 12 month 03.01.2011
Redburn Partners TONY JONES buy 5 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 26.05.2010
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
6. 26.03.2013
Allianz SE
Allianz SE, through subsidiaries, offers insurance and financial services. The Price/Volume
Company offers property and casualty, life and health, credit, motor vehicle and
120 16.0 M
travel insurance, and fund management services.
14.0 M
100
12.0 M
80
10.0 M
60 8.0 M
Valuation Analysis
6.0 M
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2012 40
4.0 M
LTM as of: 12/yy 20
2.0 M
52-Week High (14.03.2013) 114.05
0 .0 M
52-Week Low (04.06.2012) 68.50 m-11 a-11 m-11 j-11 j-11 a-11 s-11 o-11 n-11 d-11 j-12 f-12 m-12
Daily Volume 542'623.00
Current Price (3/dd/yy) 108.55 Market Data
52-Week High % Change -4.91% Dividend Yield -
52-Week Low % Change 58.47% Beta 1.25
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 86.06% Equity Float 451.47
Shares Out 31.12.2012 456.0 Short Int -
Market Capitalization 49'493.38 1 Yr Total Return 23.80%
Total Debt 28'651.00 YTD Return 3.58%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 1.251
Minority Interest 2'665.0 Analyst Recs 43
Cash and Equivalents 12'437.00 Consensus Rating 4.279
Enterprise Value 68'372.37 Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance Average Volume 5 Day 1'585'730
ALV GY EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 1'974'630
ALV GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 1'710'488
Fiscal Year Ended LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 31.12.2012 12/yy 12/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 03/13 Q1 06/13 Q2
Total Revenue 76'195.0 82'711.0 89'740.0 87'384.0 96'020.0 89'413.0 64'190.0 104'171.7 107'045.1 - -
TEV/Revenue 0.69x 0.75x 0.67x 0.61x 0.69x 2.71x 2.83x 0.59x 0.57x - -
EBITDA - - - - - 0.0 0.0 - - - -
TEV/EBITDA - - - - - 0.00x 0.00x - - - -
Net Income (2'444.0) 4'297.0 5'053.0 2'545.0 5'169.0 4'966.0 2'545.0 5'440.3 5'682.2 - -
P/E 8.51x 8.37x 7.94x 13.13x 9.18x 8.08x 13.15x 8.95x 8.55x - -
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
EBITDA - Long-Term Rating Date 27.01.2012
EBIT - Long-Term Rating AA
Operating Margin 10.61% Long-Term Outlook STABLE
Pretax Margin 8.95% Short-Term Rating Date 23.03.2009
Return on Assets 0.77% Short-Term Rating A-1+
Return on Common Equity 10.50% Credit Ratios
Return on Capital 8.01% EBITDA/Interest Exp. -
Asset Turnover 0.14% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. -
Margin Analysis Net Debt/EBITDA -
Gross Margin - Total Debt/EBITDA -
EBITDA Margin - Reference
EBIT Margin - Total Debt/Equity 53.5%
Net Income Margin 5.4% Total Debt/Capital 33.8%
Structure Asset Turnover 0.14
Current Ratio - Net Fixed Asset Turnover -
Quick Ratio - Accounts receivable turnover-days -
Debt to Assets 4.12% Inventory Days -
Tot Debt to Common Equity 53.50% Accounts Payable Turnover Day -
Accounts Receivable Turnover - Cash Conversion Cycle -
Inventory Turnover -
Price/ Cash Flow Sales/Revenue/Turnover
6.00 100'000.0
90'000.0
5.00
80'000.0
70'000.0
4.00
60'000.0
3.00 50'000.0
40'000.0
2.00 30'000.0
20'000.0
1.00
10'000.0
0.00
0.0
02.01.2009 02.07.2009 02.01.2010 02.07.2010 02.01.2011 02.07.2011 02.01.2012 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
7. 26.03.2013
Allianz SE
Holdings By: All
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
BLACKROCK INC n/a EXCH 22'861'350 5.02 - 29.06.2011 Investment Advisor
AXA n/a Research 13'449'857 2.95 - 30.07.2010 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK ASSET MANA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 11'190'894 2.46 (9'000) 07.03.2012 Investment Advisor
DEUTSCHE BANK AG Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 5'848'109 1.28 (33'373) 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor
DB PLATINUM ADVISORS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 5'710'817 1.25 2'479'720 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor
HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 5'061'636 1.11 (90'446) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'838'347 1.06 84'632 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
HARRIS ASSOCIATES L HARRIS ASSOC LP 13F 4'712'955 1.04 213'077 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
UNION INVESTMENT GMB Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'510'090 0.99 150'583 31.03.2011 Investment Advisor
FIDELITY INTERNATION Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'305'644 0.95 1'036'531 30.12.2011 Investment Advisor
THORNBURG INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 3'973'507 0.87 282'800 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 3'756'586 0.83 (512) 07.03.2012 Investment Advisor
FIDELITY MANAGEMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 3'607'698 0.79 217'890 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor
ADIG INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'536'585 0.56 54'500 31.10.2011 Investment Advisor
ALLIANZ GLOBAL INVES Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'497'805 0.55 (150'830) 31.10.2011 Investment Advisor
AMUNDI Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'321'367 0.51 (846'227) 30.12.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'141'056 0.47 10'236 31.10.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
CAPITAL WORLD INVEST Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'894'650 0.42 (1'026'500) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
COMINVEST ASSET MANA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'717'202 0.38 97'100 31.10.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
SOCIETE GENERALE Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'713'830 0.38 898'985 30.12.2011 Bank
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Bryan Garnier & Cie OLIVIER PAUCHAUT buy 5 M 100 6 month 09.03.2012
DZ Bank AG THORSTEN WENZEL buy 5 M 105 12 month 09.03.2012
Main First Bank AG MICHAEL HAID buy 5 M 105 12 month 07.03.2012
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods WILLIAM HAWKINS market perform 3 D 120 12 month 04.03.2012
Morgan Stanley JON HOCKING Overwt/In-Line 5 M 108 12 month 02.03.2012
Oddo & Cie NICOLAS JACOB neutral 3 M 85 12 month 02.03.2012
Barclays Capital ANDREW BROADFIELD overwt/neutral 5 M 109 Not Provided 02.03.2012
Exane BNP Paribas THOMAS JACQUET outperform 5 M 108 Not Provided 01.03.2012
Societe Generale EMMANUELLE CALES buy 5 M 100 12 month 29.02.2012
Credit Suisse RICHARD BURDEN outperform 5 M 111 Not Provided 29.02.2012
Commerzbank Corporates & Markets ROLAND PFAENDER add 4 M 100 6 month 28.02.2012
HSBC KAILESH MISTRY overweight 5 M 110 Not Provided 28.02.2012
Macquarie HADLEY COHEN outperform 5 M 110 12 month 28.02.2012
Equinet Institutional Services(ESN) PHILIPP HAESSLER accumulate 4 M 104 12 month 28.02.2012
Mediobanca SpA GIANLUCA FERRARI outperform 5 M 110 12 month 27.02.2012
Nord/LB CONSTANTIN ROHRBACH hold 3 U 85 12 month 27.02.2012
JPMorgan MICHAEL HUTTNER neutral 3 M 109 9 month 27.02.2012
CA Cheuvreux ATANASIO PANTARROTAS outperform 5 M 105 Not Provided 27.02.2012
Hamburger Sparkasse CHRISTIAN HAMANN buy 5 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 27.02.2012
Kepler Capital Markets FABRIZIO CROCE hold 3 M 73 Not Provided 27.02.2012
Nomura NICK HOLMES neutral 3 M 100 Not Provided 27.02.2012
Collins Stewart BEN COHEN buy 5 M 100 Not Provided 27.02.2012
Independent Research GmbH MATTHIAS ENGELMAYER hold 3 M 97 6 month 24.02.2012
Standard & Poor's Equity Research TONY SILVERMAN hold 3 M 109 12 month 24.02.2012
RBC Capital Markets JEAN-FRANCOIS TREMBLAY outperform 5 M 110 12 month 23.02.2012
Raymond James DANNY JACQUES market perform 3 D 95 Not Provided 23.02.2012
Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg WERNER SCHIRMER hold 3 M 92 Not Provided 23.02.2012
National Bank AG MANFRED JAISFELD buy 5 M 120 Not Provided 23.02.2012
Bankhaus Metzler JOCHEN SCHMITT sell 1 M 81 12 month 23.02.2012
WestLB Equity Markets ANDREAS SCHAEFER neutral 3 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 23.02.2012
Silvia Quandt Research CHRISTIAN MUSCHICK neutral 3 M 88 18 month 23.02.2012
Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY buy 5 U 103 3 month 17.02.2012
AlphaValue DIETER HEIN add 4 M 104 6 month 16.02.2012
ING Wholesale Banking MAARTEN ALTENA buy 5 M 105 12 month 14.02.2012
Goldman Sachs VINIT MALHOTRA Buy/Neutral 5 M 110 12 month 08.02.2012
Banco Sabadell MARIO LODOS sell 1 D 97 Not Provided 06.02.2012
Natixis BENOIT VALLEAUX buy 5 M 106 Not Provided 26.01.2012
Redburn Partners PAUL GOODHIND buy 5 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 23.01.2012
Berenberg Bank MICHAEL BROOM buy 5 M 123 12 month 09.01.2012
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE hold 3 D #N/A N/A Not Provided 02.01.2012
Grupo Santander VALVANERA GOMEZ PASTOR buy 5 M 104 Not Provided 16.12.2011
Deutsche Bank SPENCER HORGAN buy 5 M 100 12 month 06.12.2011
Jefferies JAMES SHUCK hold 3 M 85 12 month 14.11.2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |